The Argument Index
Debate potential by speaker, the highest-scored statement each year, and the companies with the most bearish calls on record. All of it clickable, all of it playable.
People
Average debate potential by speaker
All 295 guests with 5 or more scored statements, ranked. 33 more have fewer than 5, too few for a fair average. Sort or filter below.
| # | Person | Avg debate potential | Statements scored |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jo Kristian Bergum | 3.12 | 8 |
| 2 | Pliny the Liberator Leader, BT6 | 3.1 | 10 |
| 3 | Chris Manning Professor of Machine Learning, Stanford University | 3.08 | 12 |
| 4 | Steve Yegge Head of Engineering, Sourcegraph | 3.08 | 25 |
| 5 | Joscha Bach Founder & Executive Director, CIMC | 3.03 | 32 |
| 6 | Sam Altman CEO, OpenAI | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Martin Casado General Partner, Andreessen Horowitz | 2.94 | 16 |
| 8 | George Hotz Founder, Tiny Corp | 2.94 | 32 |
| 9 | Alex Lupsasca Theoretical Physicist, OpenAI | 2.92 | 13 |
| 10 | Doug O'Laughlin President, SemiAnalysis | 2.88 | 33 |
| 11 | Quinn Slack CEO, Amp | 2.85 | 34 |
| 12 | Marc Andreessen Co-Founder and General Partner, Andreessen Horowitz | 2.81 | 26 |
| 13 | Dylan Patel Founder & Chief Analyst, SemiAnalysis | 2.8 | 49 |
| 14 | Thorsten Ball Amp Dictator, Sourcegraph | 2.79 | 14 |
| 15 | Ashu Garg General Partner, Foundation Capital | 2.78 | 9 |
| 16 | Danielle Perszyk Head of HCI, Amazon AGI Lab | 2.69 | 16 |
| 17 | Jeremy Howard Co-Founder, Answer.AI | 2.69 | 59 |
| 18 | Misha Laskin Co-founder & CEO, Reflection AI | 2.69 | 16 |
| 19 | David Luan Founder, Adept | 2.69 | 16 |
| 20 | Ari Morcos Co-Founder and CEO, DatologyAI | 2.68 | 50 |
| 21 | Jake Cooper Founder & CEO, Railway | 2.67 | 24 |
| 22 | Raaz Dwivedi Co-founder, Traversal | 2.67 | 6 |
| 23 | Evan Conrad Co-Founder and CEO, SF Compute | 2.65 | 23 |
| 24 | Kyle Corbitt Co-founder, OpenPipe | 2.63 | 19 |
| 25 | Deedy Das Partner, Menlo Ventures | 2.62 | 21 |
| 26 | Sander Schulhoff CEO, InventoryQuant | 2.62 | 16 |
| 27 | Shunyu Yao Researcher, OpenAI | 2.61 | 18 |
| 28 | Dhravya Shah Founder & CEO, Supermemory | 2.6 | 15 |
| 29 | Ankur Goyal Founder & CEO, Braintrust | 2.59 | 51 |
| 30 | Beyang Liu Co-founder & CTO, Sourcegraph | 2.58 | 12 |
| 31 | Sean Lie Co-founder & CTO, Cerebras Systems | 2.58 | 19 |
| 32 | Ali Taha Team Member, Baseten | 2.57 | 21 |
| 33 | Florent Crivello Founder & CEO, Lindy | 2.57 | 42 |
| 34 | Matt Pocock Founder & Educator, AI Hero | 2.56 | 9 |
| 35 | Quentin Anthony VP of AI Engineering, Zyphra | 2.56 | 25 |
| 36 | Solomon Hykes Co-founder & CEO, Dagger | 2.56 | 9 |
| 37 | Batuhan Taskaya Head of Engineering, fal.ai | 2.55 | 11 |
| 38 | Jerry Liu Co-founder & CEO, LlamaIndex | 2.54 | 13 |
| 39 | Yi Tay Senior Staff Research Scientist, Google DeepMind | 2.53 | 68 |
| 40 | Satya Nadella Chairman and CEO, Microsoft | 2.52 | 23 |
| 41 | Ashvin Nair AI Researcher, Meta | 2.52 | 25 |
| 42 | Will Bryk Founder, ExaAI | 2.52 | 21 |
| 43 | Jason Liu Developer Experience Engineer, OpenAI | 2.52 | 27 |
| 44 | Soumith Chintala CTO, Thinking Machines Lab | 2.52 | 29 |
| 45 | Zico Kolter Professor and Department Head, Carnegie Mellon University | 2.5 | 16 |
| 46 | Pratyush Maini Founding Member of Technical Staff, DatologyAI | 2.5 | 12 |
| 47 | Nikhil Abraham Co-Founder & CEO, CloudChef | 2.5 | 10 |
| 48 | Matan Grinberg Co-Founder and CEO, Factory | 2.5 | 14 |
| 49 | Eno Reyes Co-Founder & CTO, Factory | 2.5 | 12 |
| 50 | Alexander Embiricos Product Lead for Codex, OpenAI | 2.5 | 8 |
| 51 | Dan Fu Assistant Professor, UC San Diego | 2.5 | 8 |
| 52 | Luca Soldaini Member of Technical Staff, Microsoft AI | 2.5 | 16 |
| 53 | Dax Reed Co-founder, OpenCode | 2.48 | 23 |
| 54 | Michael Royzen Co-Founder & CEO, Phind | 2.48 | 21 |
| 55 | Fan-yun Sun | 2.46 | 13 |
| 56 | Jeff Huber Co-founder & CEO, Chroma | 2.46 | 26 |
| 57 | David Hsu Founder & CEO, Retool | 2.46 | 28 |
| 58 | Dylan Field Co-founder and CEO, Figma | 2.45 | 20 |
| 59 | Jack Morris AI Researcher | 2.45 | 22 |
| 60 | Itamar Friedman Co-founder & CEO, Qodo | 2.45 | 11 |
| 61 | Dan Biderman Co-founder & CEO, Engram | 2.44 | 18 |
| 62 | Stay Sassy EM Co-creator and Writer, Stay SaaSy | 2.44 | 9 |
| 63 | Barak Lenz CTO, AI21 Labs | 2.44 | 16 |
| 64 | Sarah Guo Founder & General Partner, Conviction | 2.43 | 7 |
| 65 | Dex Horthy Founder and CEO, HumanLayer | 2.43 | 7 |
| 66 | Noam Brown Research Scientist, OpenAI | 2.43 | 30 |
| 67 | Thomas Sohmers Co-Founder and CTO, Positron AI | 2.41 | 17 |
| 68 | Reynold Xin Co-founder & Chief Architect, Databricks | 2.4 | 15 |
| 69 | Ian Webster CEO and Co-founder, Promptfoo | 2.4 | 10 |
| 70 | Olivier Godement Head of Product, Platform, OpenAI | 2.4 | 5 |
| 71 | Kanjun Qiu Co-Founder and CEO, Imbue | 2.4 | 20 |
| 72 | Mark Chen Chief Research Officer, OpenAI | 2.38 | 16 |
| 73 | Fei-Fei Li Co-Founder and CEO, World Labs | 2.38 | 8 |
| 74 | Kevin Hou | 2.38 | 21 |
| 75 | Ben Hillock | 2.38 | 8 |
| 76 | Sarah Catanzaro General Partner, Amplify Partners | 2.37 | 19 |
| 77 | Andy Beam CTO, Lila Sciences | 2.36 | 28 |
| 78 | Gavriel Cohen Co-founder & CEO, NanoCo | 2.36 | 11 |
| 79 | Anjney Midha Founder & CEO, AMP | 2.36 | 22 |
| 80 | Yaroslav Azhnyuk Founder & CEO, The Fourth Law | 2.36 | 28 |
| 81 | Eiso Kant Co-Founder & CTO, Poolside | 2.35 | 43 |
| 82 | Aaron Levie Co-Founder & CEO, Box | 2.35 | 26 |
| 83 | Bret Taylor CEO & Co-Founder, Sierra | 2.35 | 23 |
| 84 | William Beauchamp Founder & CEO, Chai AI | 2.34 | 35 |
| 85 | Olivia Watkins Member of Technical Staff, OpenAI | 2.33 | 6 |
| 86 | Andrew White Co-founder & Head of Science, FutureHouse | 2.33 | 48 |
| 87 | Vivek Ravisankar Co-founder and CEO, HackerRank | 2.33 | 21 |
| 88 | Scott Wu Co-founder & CEO, Cognition | 2.33 | 15 |
| 89 | Pratik Bhavsar AI Engineer, Cisco / Splunk | 2.33 | 12 |
| 90 | Saoud (Saud) Rizwan Founder & CEO, Cline | 2.33 | 15 |
| 91 | Karan Malhotra | 2.33 | 6 |
| 92 | Joel Becker Researcher, METR | 2.32 | 19 |
| 93 | Joubin Mirzadegan Co-Founder & CEO, Roadrunner | 2.32 | 19 |
| 94 | Robert McCloy Co-founder, Scrunch AI | 2.32 | 25 |
| 95 | Carina Hong Founder & CEO, Axiom Math | 2.31 | 36 |
| 96 | Heather Kulik Professor of Chemical Engineering, MIT | 2.31 | 16 |
| 97 | Mark Bissell Member of Technical Staff, Goodfire AI | 2.31 | 16 |
| 98 | Stanislas Polu Co-founder, Dust | 2.3 | 23 |
| 99 | Artem Keydunov Co-founder & CEO, Cube | 2.3 | 10 |
| 100 | Mikhail Parakhin CTO, Shopify | 2.29 | 28 |
| 101 | Peter Ludwig Co-founder & CTO, Applied Intuition | 2.29 | 21 |
| 102 | Guillaume Lample Chief Scientist | 2.29 | 14 |
| 103 | Anish Agarwal Co-Founder, Traversal | 2.29 | 7 |
| 104 | Stefano Ermon Associate Professor, Stanford University | 2.29 | 14 |
| 105 | Dylan Davis Founder, Gradient Labs | 2.29 | 7 |
| 106 | Josh Ma Engineer, OpenAI | 2.29 | 7 |
| 107 | James Brady | 2.29 | 14 |
| 108 | Kwindla Hultman Kramer Co-founder & CEO, Daily | 2.27 | 11 |
| 109 | Dharmesh Shah Co-Founder and CTO, HubSpot | 2.27 | 33 |
| 110 | Chris Lattner Co-founder and CEO, Modular | 2.26 | 23 |
| 111 | Bo Wang Chief AI Scientist, Xaira Therapeutics | 2.25 | 20 |
| 112 | Ronak Malde Co-founder & CEO, Trajectory | 2.25 | 12 |
| 113 | Ryan Lopopolo Member of Technical Staff, OpenAI | 2.25 | 51 |
| 114 | Justine Moore Partner, Andreessen Horowitz | 2.25 | 8 |
| 115 | Will Brown Research Lead, Prime Intellect | 2.25 | 16 |
| 116 | Pim de Witte CEO & Co-founder, General Intuition | 2.24 | 34 |
| 117 | Paul Klein Founder & CEO, Browserbase | 2.24 | 37 |
| 118 | Nathan Lambert Founder, Interconnects AI | 2.23 | 98 |
| 119 | Anima Anandkumar Bren Professor, Caltech | 2.22 | 36 |
| 120 | Hamel Husain Founder & AI Consultant, Parlance Labs | 2.22 | 9 |
| 121 | Jungwon Byun | 2.22 | 9 |
| 122 | Diego Bachman Co-founder & CEO, Manifest AI | 2.21 | 14 |
| 123 | Matt McPartlon Co-Founder, Chai Discovery | 2.2 | 15 |
| 124 | Matt Fredrikson CEO & Co-Founder, Gray Swan | 2.2 | 15 |
| 125 | Jonas Nelle Engineering Lead, Cursor | 2.2 | 20 |
| 126 | Gorkem Yurtseven Cofounder, Fal.ai | 2.2 | 10 |
| 127 | Stephanie Palazzolo AI Reporter, The Information | 2.2 | 10 |
| 128 | Varun Mohan CEO & Co-Founder, Windsurf | 2.2 | 76 |
| 129 | Rohit Agarwal Co-founder & CEO, Portkey | 2.2 | 15 |
| 130 | Pranav Reddy Partner, Conviction | 2.2 | 5 |
| 131 | Graham Neubig Associate Professor, Carnegie Mellon University | 2.2 | 25 |
| 132 | Erik Bernhardsson Founder and CEO, Modal Labs | 2.2 | 30 |
| 133 | Yasser Elsaid Founder & CEO, Chatbase | 2.19 | 26 |
| 134 | Neil Patil Head of Product and Platform Engineering, Chai Discovery | 2.18 | 17 |
| 135 | George Cameron Co-Founder & CPO, Artificial Analysis | 2.18 | 11 |
| 136 | Andrew Feldman Co-Founder and CEO, Cerebras Systems | 2.18 | 17 |
| 137 | Brendan Falk Co-founder & CEO, Hercules | 2.18 | 11 |
| 138 | Erik Schluntz Member of Technical Staff, Anthropic | 2.18 | 22 |
| 139 | Cole Murray Creator, OpenInspect | 2.17 | 12 |
| 140 | Samuel Colvin Founder & CEO, Pydantic | 2.17 | 35 |
| 141 | Nathan Sobo | 2.17 | 12 |
| 142 | Dan McAteer Author, Attention Heads | 2.17 | 6 |
| 143 | Lin Qiao Co-Founder & CEO, Fireworks AI | 2.17 | 12 |
| 144 | Mark Huang Co-founder & Chief Architect, Gradient | 2.17 | 23 |
| 145 | Mike Merrill Co-Creator, Terminal-Bench | 2.15 | 13 |
| 146 | Shawn Lewis | 2.15 | 13 |
| 147 | Suhail Doshi Founder & CEO, Playground | 2.15 | 20 |
| 148 | Matei Zaharia Co-Founder and CTO, Databricks | 2.14 | 14 |
| 149 | Joseph Krause Co-Founder and CEO, Radical AI | 2.14 | 36 |
| 150 | Justin Johnson Co-founder, World Labs | 2.14 | 7 |
| 151 | Charles Packer | 2.14 | 14 |
| 152 | Malte Ubl CTO, Vercel | 2.13 | 23 |
| 153 | Dr. Jasper Zhang Co-Founder and CEO, Hyperbolic | 2.13 | 15 |
| 154 | Lukas Petersson Co-founder & CEO, Andon Labs | 2.12 | 17 |
| 155 | Qasar Younis Co-founder & CEO, Applied Intuition | 2.12 | 17 |
| 156 | Mark Zuckerberg Founder & CEO, Meta | 2.12 | 16 |
| 157 | Chris (Christian Weichel) Creator, Gitpod | 2.12 | 8 |
| 158 | Anshul Ramachandran Head of Product and Strategy, Codeium | 2.12 | 16 |
| 159 | Greg Kamradt President, ARC Prize Foundation | 2.12 | 24 |
| 160 | Olivia Moore Partner, Andreessen Horowitz | 2.12 | 8 |
| 161 | Sid Bendray Co-founder & CTO, Oleve | 2.12 | 16 |
| 162 | Alex Krentsel PhD Researcher, UC Berkeley | 2.11 | 18 |
| 163 | Sergei Yudinov CTO, Genesis Molecular AI | 2.11 | 9 |
| 164 | Andy Konwinski Co-Founder, Databricks | 2.11 | 9 |
| 165 | Eugene Yan Member of Technical Staff, Anthropic | 2.11 | 19 |
| 166 | Andreas Stuhlmüller Co-founder & CEO, Elicit | 2.11 | 18 |
| 167 | Axel Backlund Co-founder & CTO, Andon Labs | 2.1 | 10 |
| 168 | Sarah Wang General Partner, Andreessen Horowitz | 2.1 | 10 |
| 169 | Sujay Jayakar Co-founder & Chief Scientist, Convex | 2.1 | 10 |
| 170 | Mike Conover Co-Founder and CEO, Brightwave | 2.1 | 31 |
| 171 | Ethan Sutin Co-founder & CTO, Bee AI | 2.09 | 22 |
| 172 | Josh Albrecht Co-founder & CTO, Imbue | 2.09 | 22 |
| 173 | Jeremy Wohlwend | 2.08 | 12 |
| 174 | Elie Bakouch Pre-training Lead, Hugging Face | 2.08 | 13 |
| 175 | Joon Sung Park Co-founder & CEO, Simile | 2.07 | 27 |
| 176 | Evan Feinberg Co-founder & CEO, Genesis Molecular AI | 2.07 | 15 |
| 177 | Micah Hill-Smith Co-Founder and CEO, Artificial Analysis | 2.07 | 14 |
| 178 | Shreya Rajpal Co-founder & CEO, Guardrails AI | 2.07 | 15 |
| 179 | Eugene Cheah CEO & Co-founder, Featherless.ai | 2.07 | 43 |
| 180 | Sarah Sachs Head of AI Engineering, Notion | 2.06 | 33 |
| 181 | Logan Kilpatrick Product Lead, Google DeepMind | 2.06 | 17 |
| 182 | Guy Gur-Ari Co-Founder and Chief Scientist, Augment Code | 2.06 | 17 |
| 183 | Drew Houston Co-Founder and Co-CEO, Dropbox | 2.06 | 31 |
| 184 | Vipul Ved Prakash Co-founder and CEO, Together AI | 2.06 | 17 |
| 185 | Tri Dao Assistant Professor, Princeton University | 2.06 | 17 |
| 186 | Ahmad Awais Founder & CEO, CommandCode.ai | 2.05 | 19 |
| 187 | Nicholas Carlini Research Scientist, Anthropic | 2.03 | 31 |
| 188 | Rafa Gomez-Bombarelli Co-founder & CSO, Lila Sciences | 2 | 9 |
| 189 | Ivan Burazin CEO & Co-Founder, Daytona | 2 | 27 |
| 190 | David Singleton Co-founder & CEO, Dreamer | 2 | 21 |
| 191 | Gabriele Corso | 2 | 12 |
| 192 | Josh McGrath Post-Training Researcher, OpenAI | 2 | 11 |
| 193 | Kevin Wang Chief Product Officer, Braze | 2 | 7 |
| 194 | Nina Lopatina | 2 | 8 |
| 195 | Jessica Rumbelow CEO & Co-founder, Leap Labs | 2 | 10 |
| 196 | Mitesh Agrawal CEO, Positron AI | 2 | 7 |
| 197 | Greg Brockman President & Co-founder, OpenAI | 2 | 32 |
| 198 | Vibhu Sapra | 2 | 8 |
| 199 | Vasek Mlejnsky Co-founder & CEO, E2B | 2 | 18 |
| 200 | Jack Hopkins Creator, Factorio Learning Environment | 2 | 8 |
| 201 | Rita Kozlov VP, Developers & AI, Cloudflare | 2 | 10 |
| 202 | Sunil Pai Principal Systems Engineer, Cloudflare | 2 | 6 |
| 203 | Aymeric (Emmerich) Engineer, HuggingFace | 2 | 8 |
| 204 | Isaac Robinson Research Lead, Roboflow | 2 | 11 |
| 205 | Peter Robicheaux Roboflow | 2 | 7 |
| 206 | Vik Korupati Co-founder & CTO, Moondream | 2 | 5 |
| 207 | Jesse Hu Co-Founder, Abundant | 2 | 21 |
| 208 | Ce Zhang Co-founder & CTO, Together AI | 2 | 9 |
| 209 | Youssef Rizk Co-Founder, Wondercraft | 2 | 19 |
| 210 | Benedikt Jenik Co-Founder, Accelerated Understanding | 2 | 8 |
| 211 | Ethan He AI Researcher & Engineer | 1.98 | 56 |
| 212 | Felix Rieseberg Engineering Lead, Anthropic | 1.96 | 45 |
| 213 | Loïc Houssier CTO, Superhuman | 1.95 | 21 |
| 214 | Yining Zhang Senior Director, Inference, Together AI | 1.94 | 18 |
| 215 | Simon Eskildsen Co-founder & CEO, turbopuffer | 1.93 | 30 |
| 216 | Zach Lloyd Founder & CEO, Warp | 1.93 | 27 |
| 217 | David Kirkos Co-founder, Quadratic | 1.93 | 14 |
| 218 | Mukund Sridhar Tech Lead, Google DeepMind | 1.93 | 15 |
| 219 | Harrison Chase Co-founder & CEO, LangChain | 1.93 | 14 |
| 220 | Ci Chu Chief Discovery Officer | 1.92 | 13 |
| 221 | James Reggio CTO, Brex | 1.92 | 38 |
| 222 | Thomas Scialom Senior Staff Research Scientist, Meta AI | 1.92 | 25 |
| 223 | comfyanonymous (Comfy) | 1.91 | 22 |
| 224 | Kevin Weil Operator in Residence, Scribble Ventures | 1.9 | 10 |
| 225 | Myra Deng Head of Product, Goodfire AI | 1.9 | 10 |
| 226 | Shreya Shankar Assistant Professor, Carnegie Mellon University | 1.9 | 10 |
| 227 | Sarah Chieng Head of Developer Experience, Cerebras Systems | 1.9 | 10 |
| 228 | Simon Last Co-founder, Notion | 1.89 | 18 |
| 229 | Max Welling Co-Founder & CTO, CuspAI | 1.89 | 19 |
| 230 | Emil Eifrem Co-Founder & CEO, Neo4j | 1.88 | 8 |
| 231 | Matthias Wagner Co-Founder and CEO, Flux | 1.88 | 17 |
| 232 | Alex Rives Head of Science, Chan Zuckerberg Biohub | 1.86 | 22 |
| 233 | Janie Lee VP of Product, Abridge | 1.86 | 14 |
| 234 | Alex Shaw Founding Member of Technical Staff, Laude Institute | 1.86 | 7 |
| 235 | Andrew Hsu Co-founder & CTO, Speak | 1.85 | 40 |
| 236 | Karina Nguyen Former AI Researcher, OpenAI | 1.85 | 26 |
| 237 | Alistair Pullen Co-founder & CEO, Cosine | 1.85 | 34 |
| 238 | Brendan Fortuna Head of Engineering, Ambience Healthcare | 1.84 | 19 |
| 239 | Kevin Ben-Smith Co-founder & CEO, Snipd | 1.84 | 19 |
| 240 | Emily Glassberg Sands Head of Information, Stripe | 1.83 | 35 |
| 241 | Emmanuel Ameisen Interpretability Researcher, Anthropic | 1.83 | 30 |
| 242 | Walden Yan Co-founder & CPO, Cognition | 1.82 | 17 |
| 243 | Kyle Daigle COO, GitHub | 1.8 | 25 |
| 244 | Chai Asawa Engineering Lead, Abridge | 1.8 | 10 |
| 245 | Jeff Dean Co-founder & CEO, Discovery Loop | 1.8 | 30 |
| 246 | Steve Ruiz Founder & CEO, tldraw | 1.8 | 20 |
| 247 | Akshay Nathan Head of Core Product Engineering, OpenAI | 1.79 | 19 |
| 248 | Anastasios Angelopoulos Co-Founder and CEO, Arena | 1.79 | 28 |
| 249 | Boris Cherny Head of Claude Code, Anthropic | 1.79 | 34 |
| 250 | Omar Sanseviero Developer Experience Lead, Google DeepMind | 1.78 | 23 |
| 251 | Pengchuan Zhang SAM 3 Researcher, Meta | 1.78 | 9 |
| 252 | Rishabh Agarwal Researcher, Periodic Labs | 1.77 | 22 |
| 253 | Josephine Teo Minister, Ministry of Digital Development and Information | 1.77 | 13 |
| 254 | Lance Martin Software Engineer & Educator, LangChain | 1.76 | 21 |
| 255 | Pavan Kumar Reddy Voxtral Lead | 1.75 | 8 |
| 256 | Brian Fioca Engineer, OpenAI | 1.75 | 12 |
| 257 | Soham Ganatra Co-founder & CEO, Composio | 1.75 | 8 |
| 258 | Ben Firshman Co-founder & CEO, Replicate | 1.75 | 16 |
| 259 | Mikey Shulman Co-Founder & CEO, Suno | 1.73 | 22 |
| 260 | Philip Kiely Engineer & Head of AI Education, Baseten | 1.71 | 28 |
| 261 | Bill Chen Applied AI Engineer, OpenAI | 1.71 | 7 |
| 262 | Eric Simons Co-Founder & CEO, StackBlitz | 1.71 | 14 |
| 263 | Jonathan Frankle Chief AI Scientist, Databricks | 1.71 | 21 |
| 264 | Kyle Kranen Engineering Leader and Architect, NVIDIA | 1.69 | 13 |
| 265 | Akshat Bubna CTO and Co-founder, Modal | 1.68 | 40 |
| 266 | John Yang PhD Student, Stanford University | 1.67 | 9 |
| 267 | David Soria Parra MCP Lead, Anthropic | 1.67 | 33 |
| 268 | Jed Borovik Product Lead, Google Labs | 1.67 | 9 |
| 269 | David Hershey Member of Technical Staff, Anthropic | 1.67 | 27 |
| 270 | Umar Jamil Researcher, Mistral AI | 1.64 | 11 |
| 271 | Sam D'Amico Founder & CEO, Impulse Labs | 1.62 | 16 |
| 272 | Jim Zemlin CEO, Linux Foundation | 1.62 | 8 |
| 273 | Priscilla Chan Co-Founder and Co-CEO, Chan Zuckerberg Initiative | 1.62 | 8 |
| 274 | Alex Duffy Co-Founder & CEO, Good Start Labs | 1.58 | 12 |
| 275 | Jared Palmer VP of Engineering, Cognition | 1.57 | 14 |
| 276 | Thomas Paul Mann | 1.54 | 13 |
| 277 | Silas Alberti SVP of Research, Cognition | 1.53 | 17 |
| 278 | Raiza Martin Co-Founder and CEO, Huxe | 1.53 | 15 |
| 279 | Michelle Pokrass Post-Training Research Lead, OpenAI | 1.52 | 58 |
| 280 | Mike Krieger Chief Product Officer, Anthropic | 1.5 | 12 |
| 281 | Kat Wu | 1.5 | 8 |
| 282 | Arush Sehgal Lead Product Manager, Gemini Deep Research-Google/DeepMind-or-similar-not-specified -> Lead Product Manager, Gemini Deep Research | 1.5 | 8 |
| 283 | Usama Shafqat Lead AI Engineer, Google NotebookLM | 1.44 | 9 |
| 284 | Nader Khalil Director of Developer Technology, NVIDIA | 1.43 | 7 |
| 285 | Sherwin Wu Head of Engineering, OpenAI Platform | 1.42 | 12 |
| 286 | Shrestha Basu Mallick Product Lead, Google DeepMind | 1.42 | 12 |
| 287 | Wei-Lin Chiang Co-Founder & CTO, Arena | 1.4 | 5 |
| 288 | RJ Honicky Co-founder & CTO, MiraOmics | 1.36 | 14 |
| 289 | Joseph Nelson CEO, Roboflow | 1.36 | 14 |
| 290 | Nikhila Ravi Director, Meta Superintelligence Labs | 1.35 | 26 |
| 291 | Christina Huang Member of Technical Staff, OpenAI | 1.33 | 6 |
| 292 | Johannes (Johannes Landgraf) Gitpod | 1.33 | 6 |
| 293 | Akshay Agrawal Co-Founder and CEO, Marimo | 1.33 | 9 |
| 294 | Rob Haisfield | 1.22 | 9 |
| 295 | Nikunj Handa Product Lead, OpenAI | 1.18 | 11 |
Companies
The most bearish calls
Debate potential is an AI score of how much a statement invites disagreement. Bearish counts tally what was said about a company on the show; they describe the conversation, not the company. Every count opens to the exact tape. full disclaimer →
All 466 companies, funds and products with at least one bearish claim on the record.
| Company | Bearish statements | Of which 4–5 |
|---|---|---|
| OpenAI company | 50 ↓ | 11 |
| Google company | 26 ↓ | 7 |
| Anthropic company | 26 ↓ | 7 |
| Model Context Protocol product | 19 ↓ | 6 |
| Codeium company | 19 ↓ | 4 |
| Claude product | 19 ↓ | 3 |
| SWE Bench product | 18 ↓ | 2 |
| ChatGPT product | 16 ↓ | — |
| NVIDIA company | 14 ↓ | 5 |
| Cursor product | 12 ↓ | 4 |
| GPT 4 product | 11 ↓ | 3 |
| Facebook company | 11 ↓ | 4 |
| Claude Code product | 10 ↓ | 5 |
| GitHub company | 9 ↓ | 2 |
| Cerebras Systems company | 9 ↓ | 4 |
| VS Code product | 8 ↓ | 1 |
| Docker company | 8 ↓ | — |
| Python product | 7 ↓ | — |
| Llama product | 7 ↓ | 2 |
| HumanEval product | 7 ↓ | 3 |
| Hugging Face company | 7 ↓ | 2 |
| Apple company | 7 ↓ | 1 |
| Together AI company | 6 ↓ | 2 |
| SemiAnalysis company | 6 ↓ | — |
| PyTorch product | 6 ↓ | 2 |
| OpenPipe company | 6 ↓ | 2 |
| OpenClaw product | 6 ↓ | — |
| Notion company | 6 ↓ | 1 |
| Microsoft company | 6 ↓ | 2 |
| Bee AI product | 6 ↓ | — |
| Andon Labs company | 6 ↓ | — |
| Warp company | 5 ↓ | — |
| VLLM product | 5 ↓ | 3 |
| Supermemory company | 5 ↓ | — |
| Shopify company | 5 ↓ | — |
| OpenCode product | 5 ↓ | 1 |
| Modal company | 5 ↓ | — |
| Imbue company | 5 ↓ | — |
| Groq company | 5 ↓ | 3 |
| Cognition AI company | 5 ↓ | — |
| Amazon Web Services company | 5 ↓ | — |
| Y Combinator fund | 4 ↓ | — |
| Windsurf product | 4 ↓ | 1 |
| SWE Bench Verified product | 4 ↓ | — |
| Railway company | 4 ↓ | 1 |
| Lindy.ai company | 4 ↓ | 1 |
| Figma company | 4 ↓ | 1 |
| Excel product | 4 ↓ | 2 |
| Elicit company | 4 ↓ | — |
| CUDA product | 4 ↓ | — |
| Cosine company | 4 ↓ | — |
| Composio company | 4 ↓ | — |
| Amp company | 4 ↓ | 2 |
| AMD company | 4 ↓ | — |
| Zyphra company | 3 ↓ | — |
| Vercel company | 3 ↓ | — |
| Suno company | 3 ↓ | — |
| SF Compute company | 3 ↓ | 1 |
| Retool company | 3 ↓ | — |
| Replicate company | 3 ↓ | — |
| Radical AI company | 3 ↓ | — |
| Qwen product | 3 ↓ | — |
| Poolside company | 3 ↓ | 1 |
| O1 product | 3 ↓ | — |
| Moonlake company | 3 ↓ | 1 |
| METR company | 3 ↓ | — |
| Kubernetes product | 3 ↓ | — |
| JavaScript product | 3 ↓ | 1 |
| GPT 4.5 product | 3 ↓ | 1 |
| Google DeepMind company | 3 ↓ | — |
| Goodfire AI company | 3 ↓ | — |
| Gemini product | 3 ↓ | 1 |
| Factory AI company | 3 ↓ | 1 |
| E2B company | 3 ↓ | — |
| DeepSeek company | 3 ↓ | 1 |
| DeepMind company | 3 ↓ | 1 |
| Daytona company | 3 ↓ | — |
| ComfyUI product | 3 ↓ | 1 |
| Codex product | 3 ↓ | 1 |
| Cline product | 3 ↓ | — |
| Claude 3.7 Sonnet product | 3 ↓ | — |
| Chai AI company | 3 ↓ | — |
| Brex company | 3 ↓ | — |
| Braintrust company | 3 ↓ | — |
| Azure product | 3 ↓ | 2 |
| Axiom Math product | 3 ↓ | — |
| Automatic1111 product | 3 ↓ | 1 |
| AlphaFold product | 3 ↓ | — |
| AI21 Labs company | 3 ↓ | — |
| Andreessen Horowitz fund | 3 ↓ | 1 |
| Zed product | 2 ↓ | — |
| World Labs company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Windows product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Wikipedia company | 2 ↓ | 2 |
| Waymo company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Veo 3 product | 2 ↓ | — |
| VendingBench product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Turbopuffer company | 2 ↓ | — |
| TSMC company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Triton product | 2 ↓ | — |
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| Sweebench product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Superhuman company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Supercomplete product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Substack company | 2 ↓ | 1 |
| Spotify company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Sourcegraph company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Sonnet product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Solveit company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Sentry company | 2 ↓ | 1 |
| Salesforce company | 2 ↓ | 1 |
| React product | 2 ↓ | 1 |
| Quadratic company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Promptfoo product | 2 ↓ | 1 |
| Postgres product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Playwright product | 2 ↓ | 1 |
| Playground AI company | 2 ↓ | — |
| OpenHands product | 2 ↓ | 1 |
| OpenAI O1 product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Modular company | 2 ↓ | 1 |
| MMLU product | 2 ↓ | 2 |
| LlamaIndex company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Linux product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Jupyter Notebooks product | 2 ↓ | 1 |
| JSON product | 2 ↓ | — |
| InfiniBand product | 2 ↓ | 1 |
| Humanity's Last Exam product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Humane company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Hopper Architecture product | 2 ↓ | — |
| GPT 4o product | 2 ↓ | 1 |
| GPT 3 product | 2 ↓ | — |
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| GitHub Copilot product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Genie product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Fireworks AI company | 2 ↓ | 2 |
| Fal.ai company | 2 ↓ | 1 |
| Factorio Learning Environment product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Exo product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Etched company | 2 ↓ | 2 |
| Dropbox company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Docker Compose product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Django product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Devin product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Claude 3.5 Opus product | 2 ↓ | 1 |
| Chroma company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Browserbase company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Brightwave company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Blackwell product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Bing product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Berkeley Function Calling Leaderboard product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Bedrock Capital product | 2 ↓ | 2 |
| Baseten company | 2 ↓ | — |
| AutoGPT product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Artificial Analysis company | 2 ↓ | — |
| ARC Prize Foundation company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Applied Intuition company | 2 ↓ | — |
| Apple Watch product | 2 ↓ | — |
| Amplify Partners fund | 2 ↓ | — |
| Amazon AGI Lab company | 2 ↓ | — |
| YouTube company | 1 ↓ | 1 |
| YOLO product | 1 ↓ | — |
| XLA product | 1 ↓ | — |
| WorldSim product | 1 ↓ | — |
| Workday company | 1 ↓ | — |
| WordPress product | 1 ↓ | 1 |
| Wondercraft company | 1 ↓ | — |
| Whisper product | 1 ↓ | — |
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| Voyage company | 1 ↓ | — |
| Visual Studio Code product | 1 ↓ | — |
| Victory Road company | 1 ↓ | — |
| Uber company | 1 ↓ | — |
| TypeScript product | 1 ↓ | 1 |
| Twitter company | 1 ↓ | — |
| Truthful QA product | 1 ↓ | — |
| Trajectory.ai company | 1 ↓ | — |
| TPU product | 1 ↓ | — |
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| Teradata company | 1 ↓ | — |
| TensorFlow 2 product | 1 ↓ | 1 |
| Tekton product | 1 ↓ | — |
| SynthID product | 1 ↓ | — |
| Switch Transformer product | 1 ↓ | — |
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| SWE Bench Multimodal product | 1 ↓ | — |
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| StudyX company | 1 ↓ | — |
| Stripe company | 1 ↓ | — |
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| Stack Overflow company | 1 ↓ | — |
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| Spark product | 1 ↓ | — |
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| Salesforce CPQ product | 1 ↓ | — |
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| Rippling company | 1 ↓ | — |
| Reka AI company | 1 ↓ | — |
| Reflection AI company | 1 ↓ | — |
| Recursal company | 1 ↓ | — |
| Realtime API product | 1 ↓ | — |
| Readwise company | 1 ↓ | — |
| React Native product | 1 ↓ | 1 |
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| Ramp company | 1 ↓ | — |
| Rails product | 1 ↓ | — |
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| Qualcomm's SNPE product | 1 ↓ | — |
| PyTorch FSDP product | 1 ↓ | — |
| PTX company | 1 ↓ | — |
| Product Hunt company | 1 ↓ | — |
| PostgreSQL product | 1 ↓ | 1 |
| PostgresML company | 1 ↓ | — |
| Positron AI company | 1 ↓ | 1 |
| Pinecoin product | 1 ↓ | 1 |
| Pi (Personal AI) product | 1 ↓ | — |
| Photoshop product | 1 ↓ | — |
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| Oracle company | 1 ↓ | — |
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| OpenAI Realtime API product | 1 ↓ | — |
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| Open Source Initiative company | 1 ↓ | — |
| Open LLM Leaderboard product | 1 ↓ | 1 |
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| NVLink product | 1 ↓ | — |
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| NVIDIA B 200 GPUs product | 1 ↓ | 1 |
| NotebookLM product | 1 ↓ | — |
| Neural Link company | 1 ↓ | 1 |
| Neo Four J product | 1 ↓ | — |
| MongoDB company | 1 ↓ | 1 |
| Mojo product | 1 ↓ | — |
| MLX product | 1 ↓ | 1 |
| MLE Bench product | 1 ↓ | — |
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| Airbyte company | 1 ↓ | — |
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Highest debate potential, by year
2026
Hill-Smith: Google used unpublished 32-shot CoT to claim Gemini beat GPT-4
“Back when I'm Googled a Gemini one when I ultra and needed a number that would say it was better than GPT four. And Like, constructed I think never published, like, chain of thought examples, 32 of them in every topic in MLU to run it, to get the score.”
2025
Yegge: Engineers still using an IDE by January 1st are bad engineers
“If you're still using an IDE to develop code by January first. You're a bad engineer.”
Yegge: Top engineers avoiding AI will operate like interns within a year
“Look, I have friends Who are much better engineers than I am, ok, I mean, world class, maybe some of the best in the whole world, ok, have built technologies that you've heard of, and they're not using AI yet, except the occasional, I'll ask Cursor a chat ques…”