why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Swix: Claude 3 degraded in capability a month after launch
“I used the same project to do this, to try to repeat the demo that I made for myself a month afterwards, and it wasn't anywhere as smart. So cloud three got dumber, but it looks like I like made up the demo or something, but no, like literally I just reran the…”
Opinion
Claude 3 can bypass its assistant persona to expose the underlying simulator
“Instead of having this entity, like GPT-IV, that's an assistant that just pops up in your face that you have to kind of, like, punch your way through and continue to have to deal with as a headache, instead, there's ways to kindly coax Claude into having the a…”
Disclosure
Nguyen: Claude 2's distinct personality was unintentional until Claude 3
“People said, like, Cloud II is, like, so much better at, like, writing and, like, has a certain personality, even though it was, like, unintentional at all. And we did not pay that much attention and didn't know even how to, like, productionize this property o…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Goyal: Braintrust saw nearly 100% OpenAI market share pre-Claude 3
“Pre-Claude III, it was close to a hundred percent OpenAI.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nguyen: Anthropic Claude 3 post-training team had only 10-12 people
“I was a part of the post-training fine-tuning team. We only had, like, what, like, 10, 12 people involved”