The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Brown: Reasoning models improve primarily through compute efficiency rather than longer thinking duration
“These models are becoming more efficient in the way they're thinking, as they're able to do more with the same amount of test time compute, and I think that's a very underappreciated point, that it's not just that we're getting these models to think for longer…”
Friedman: AlphaCodium boosts OpenAI o1, proving o1 lacks true System 2
“We took their all one preview with Alpha Codium and did better. Like it just shows like, and there is a big difference between the preview and the IOI. It shows, like, that these models are not still system two thinkers, and there's a big difference.”