why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Taskaya: Flux was the first enterprise-ready generative image model
“The team at Stability left to start Black Forest Labs, which released Flux models. And that was the first model to, you know, breach the barrier of commercially usable, you know, enterprise-ready grade models”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wagner predicts AI automation will end the traditional OEM manufacturing model
“Yeah, wherever you look, where there's electronics and automation, right, are coming for that, you know, and I think this is the end for most categories of the OAM model, ultimately.”
Disclosure
Taskaya: Flux grew Fal's revenue from $2M to $20M in two months
“In the first month of flux models, we reached from, like, two million to ten million in revenue. That was, like, a big jump. Next month, we were at 20, like, it just started going from there”
Insight
Wagner: AI agent output quality heavily depends on upfront requirement specifications
“I think a lot of success depends how well you flesh out what you wanna do, right? Like if you just use this and ask it to like start here executing a plan, it's gonna be high variability in what you're gonna get back, right? But the more we go through here and…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Flux reached 7,000 paying customers and grew 26x year-over-year
“So we have 7000 paying customers today. That's like, you know, it's grown, it's like 26 X versus last year.”
Opinion
Wagner says Devin's 'Ask' function is its most underrated feature
“Now we use Devon here religiously, and I think one of the most underrated features of Devon is the actual ask feature.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Flux's AI agent finds electronic component replacements in under a minute
“This is going to take here, 30, 60 seconds, hopefully. And it's like, this would have taken us hours to do manually.”
Assertion Contradicted
Wagner claims Flux shipped embedded AI chat before GPT-4 released
“So I think I'm going to claim here, I think we were the first engineering tool or design tool that had an AI chat in it. We shipped that I think a month or two months before GPT-IV became publicly available.”
Opinion
Comfy: Flux is better for consistency while SD 3.5 is better for creativity
“If you want some to make something more like creative, maybe as the 3.5, if you want to make something more consistent and flux is. Probably better.”
Assertion Supported
Major Image Models Have Not Yet Adopted Consistency Models
“None of this technology that we're discussing today is in any of really in any of the big models that we know and love with maybe of maybe with the exception of flux.”
Assertion Partly supported
Flux boasts a user-generated library of over one million electronic parts
“So we have our own library for all these parts, over a million. That's all user generated.”
Disclosure
Wagner admits Flux's knowledge-base architecture was inspired by Cognition's Devin
“We love Devin here. Yeah, I mean, I know a lot here is inspired by Devon, like the knowledge-based thing, right, is inspired by Devon, right?”
Insight
One out-of-stock component can delay an entire hardware project 200 days
“And when you have a design with say, 500 components, and one of them is not on stock or there's a lead time of 200 days, then the whole project has a lead time now of 200 days, right?”
Disclosure
Flux shipped an autonomous agent for hardware board design in October
“And so that then led us to Really like heavily invest in the agenda capability in Flux, right? And going from like a, hey, look, I can answer questions and perform single tasks to like, no, I can take a product brief, break that down into an actual execution p…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Flux's autonomous hardware engineering agent runs for 25 minutes on average
“So yeah, the average session is I think, 25 minutes.”