why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ruiz: Collaborative whiteboards and text-to-diagram AI will become ubiquitous software commodities
“Kanban boards are in every productivity app now. I think the same thing is going to happen with collaborative whiteboards. It's like people like them. I'm making it easy. People are already doing it even without Teal Draw when it's hard. Like, yeah, that's goi…”
Opinion
Ruiz: Drawing apps combined with generative models have no competitive moat
“There's nothing really defensible about like, Hey, it's an, it's a drawing app plus an LCM like model because there's going to be a lot of those models and there's going to be a lot of drawing apps.”
Opinion
Yurtseven: Real-time generative drawing tools fail to retain users long-term
“I think it makes for a good demo. You know, you could build real-time applications. You could build these drawing applications, things like that. But I don't think people could build applications that like have user retention long-term. Like people couldn't re…”
Assertion Supported
Ruiz: GPT-4V turns low-quality photos of paper wireframes into functional websites
“I can just take the screenshot here of, you know, that the dude posted of the drawing that he had made, you know, it's not even like a good photo. There's a pen, you know, across one of the screens, et cetera. But if you just give that with no other informatio…”
Disclosure
Ruiz: tldraw will require commercial licenses for funded companies
“Really the only change that's gonna happen once we launch it is we're gonna start selling commercial licenses for it. So if you are using TealDraw in a commercial product, or if you want to, then you know, if it's If you're funded or if you have revenue, then,…”
Disclosure
Ruiz: tldraw is discussing a potential ChatGPT integration with OpenAI
“Hey, I'm talking to the good folks over at OpenAI tomorrow. Fingers crossed. Maybe we maybe we get it in, inside of ChatGPT or something.”
Insight
Ruiz: Infinite canvas tools must follow standardized interaction conventions
“Like, if you're making a canvas this way, you have to kind of do them all. Like, your undo, redo should work in a specific way. Your selection should work in a specific way. Like, you know, the camera position and how the camera moves should work in a, you kno…”
Assertion Partly supported
Ruiz: tldraw Hit #1 on Hacker News and 40K Users on Launch Day
“There was like number one on Hacker News for a while. It was like the top trending repo on GitHub. A lot of people get, like, 40,000 people showed up at teilder.com to use it on that launch date.”
Disclosure
Ruiz: tldraw sends text strings alongside canvas images to assist vision models
“Inside of the prompt for this, we do give it, like, an array of all the text that you've put in. We say, like, look, I know your vision isn't so good, or you have a hard time reading text sometimes when it's small... So we send those strings separately so that…”
Insight
Ruiz: Vision models effectively interpret mixed visual assets on infinite canvases
“The fun of the Infinite Canvas and Teal Draw in particular is that you could just dump like whatever you want onto the canvas. Screenshots, text, images, other websites sticky notes, all that stuff. And the model, even as something that was in preview, like th…”
Disclosure
Ruiz: tldraw accumulated nearly $200K in sponsorships before raising venture capital
“By then I had had almost 200,000 dollars of sponsorship, you know, and people were just signing up and signing up because there was no way to even be a customer.”
Assertion Supported
Ruiz: Perfect Freehand is used by Canva, draw.io, and Excalidraw
“So that was perfect freehand, and that's now used in, like, Canva uses it, like, draw.io uses it, Excaldraw uses it, we use it at Tealdraw, all over the place.”