The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Hill-Smith: Google used unpublished 32-shot CoT to claim Gemini beat GPT-4
“Back when I'm Googled a Gemini one when I ultra and needed a number that would say it was better than GPT four. And Like, constructed I think never published, like, chain of thought examples, 32 of them in every topic in MLU to run it, to get the score.”
Schulhoff: Role Prompting Does Not Improve Accuracy on Modern LLMs
“For accuracy-based tasks, like MMLU, you're trying to solve a math problem, and maybe you tell the AI that it's a math professor, and you expect it to have improved performance. I really don't think that works. I'm quite certain that doesn't work on more moder…”
Bakouch: SmolLM 2 scored random on MMLU until 6.5 trillion tokens
“And this is basically until like 6.5 trillion of tokens, which is a lot, to be honest. Until this amount of token, the MMLU in the QA format, meaning that the model have to select which answer is, the model have to output, for example, the right answer is A, o…”
Beauchamp: Real AI progress is performance per dollar, not raw benchmarks
“For us, it doesn't make sense to think of AI as just the absolute performance. So if you look at like the MMLU score or the, you know, any of these benchmarks that people like to look at, If you just get that score, it doesn't really tell, tell you anything. C…”