The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

0resolved → 0open claims → 0supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion

Brown: Scaling self-play beyond zero-sum games will not be as easy as AlphaGo

“My point is that, like, this is where the AlphaGo analogy breaks down. And, not necessarily breaks down, but, like, it's not going to be as easy as self-play was in AlphaGo.”

Noam Brown Jun 19, 2025 ▶ 58:29 Scaling Test Time Compute to Multi-Agent Civilizations — Noam Brown, OpenAI

Assertion Not checkable as stated

Beauchamp: Almost no 2010s ML reached superhuman performance except AlphaGo

“There was almost nothing that went superhuman except for something like AlphaGo.”

William Beauchamp Jan 26, 2025 ▶ 10:16 Outlasting Noam Shazeer, Crowdsourcing Chai AI w/ 1.4m DAU — with William Beauchamp, Chai Research

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The Ledger

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