The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Morcos: GPT-4.5 and Llama 4 show limits of naive mega-model scaling
“And I think that's what we've seen to some extent with the failure of the mega models, right? With 4.5 and Lama four and others. I think that there is a challenge of just continuing to do that naively and you have to figure out how to break it.”
Swyx: Frontier Models Exist Primarily to Distill Smaller, Usable Models
“Even GPT 4.5 is too expensive. Normally it's really gonna use it in, in any reasonable quantity. Like, you know, Claude 3.5 Opus, like if it does exist, still not like, you know, the thing that we actually use is Sonnet, right? So like, it's almost like a depl…”
Noam Brown: GPT-4.5 makes Tic-Tac-Toe mistakes without System 2 reasoning
“With Tic-Tac-Toe, we see that, like, GPD-Four .5 falls over. You know, it plays decently well. I shouldn't say it falls over. It does reasonably well. You can draw the board. It can make legal moves, but it will make mistakes sometimes, and if you really need …”
OpenAI is working to inject GPT-4.5's humor and nuance into future models
“We're working on incorporating kind of those improvements into the models more generally. People loved about 4.5 is like the humor, the green text, the nuance. So we've heard that feedback and I know, yeah, there's lots of folks working on that and trying to b…”