why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chintala: Apple's MLX will fail server-side due to lack of differentiation
“If they end up expanding onto the server side, and they'll probably build something like PyTorch as well, right? Like, eventually, that'll where it will land. And I think there, they will kind of fail on the, like, lack of differentiation. Like, it wouldn't be…”
Opinion
Burazin: Apple is shooting itself in the foot with macOS licensing restrictions
“And from, if anyone in Apple is listening, I very much feel that they are shooting itself in the foot of the scale of the revenue of compute or licensing they could get if they would just enable
A concurrency model similar to what you can get on a Windows and …”
Insight
Rieseberg: Desktop apps need embedded Chromium because OS WebViews are inadequate
“The reason to go with your own embedded rendering engine is because, and this is still true in 20, 26, the operating system rendering engines are not that good. They're just not that good. Both Microsoft and Apple are trying to move away from that. They so far…”
Insight
Rieseberg: Dual-cursor AI desktop concepts fail due to OS architecture
“We could do a second cursor, but that actually breaks down quite a bit. Even if you go and like present cool dreams to both Apple and Microsoft, you're like, wouldn't it be cool if it breaks down quite a bit because so many of our models on a computer are buil…”
Opinion
Apple's local on-device iOS AI capabilities have been underwhelming so far
“IOS has done some work there, but it was underwhelming so far.”
Insight
Hotz: Except for Apple, secretive tech companies hide underwhelming tech
“Whenever a company is secretive, with the exception of Apple, Apple's the only exception, whenever a company is secretive, it's because they're hiding something that's not that cool.”
Insight
Younis: Early-stage founders mistakenly copy mature companies' vertical strategies
“I think sometimes in founders falsely kind of take very mature companies strategies And then apply it to their, like, nascent. They're like, oh, well, Steve Jobs says be completely vertical. Well, yeah, in 2007, Apple is very different than 1978 and 1982.”
Assertion Supported
Apple Siri routes requests based on the user's ChatGPT subscription tier
“If you sign into your ChatGPT account the Siri integration will actually use your subscription status to decide what type of model to use when it passes things over to ChatGPT. And so if you're you know just a free user you get, you know, the free model. But i…”
Insight
Goyal: Figma operates like Apple around annual release cycles rather than continuous shipping
“And three, Figma is kind of like Apple, a company that is really optimized around a periodic, like annual release cycle rather than something that's continuous.”
Disclosure
Wu: OpenAI has no current plans to become a generic IdP
“Direct answer is like no plans right now, of course but I actually think we currently have some version of this, which is our partnership with Apple because with Apple, you can actually sign in to your ChatGPT account, and some of that identity does carry with…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Only 250 people knew about Apple's Swift language before its 2014 launch
“Started in 2010, it launched publicly by Apple in 2014, ok? And by the time it launched in 2014, only about 250 people in the world knew about it. Most of whom were in my team, about 200 and something of them were in my team, and then it was senior execs, mark…”
Assertion Supported
Frankle: OpenAI, Google, Meta, and Apple have data deals with Shutterstock
“And you know, I, at least I've heard in the news, like opening, I Google, Meta Apple have all called Shutterstock and made those deals.”