The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Johnson: Nvidia Blackwell offers roughly same performance per watt as Hopper
“Like, if you look at the numbers, like, even going from Hopper to Blackwell, like, the performance per watt is about the same. They mostly make the number of transistors go up, and they make the chip size go up, and they make the power usage go up. But even fr…”
Justin Johnson Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 13:01 After LLMs: Spatial Intelligence and World Models — Fei-Fei Li & Justin Johnson, World Labs
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sohmers: NVIDIA Blackwell memory bandwidth efficiency will be lower than Hopper
“All indications are, even though they, you know, more than doubled the theoretical memory bandwidth going from Hopper to Blackwell, the actual percentage of theoretical that you can achieve is, again, going to be less than the previous generation”
Thomas Sohmers Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 14:53 ⚡️Accelerators @ 3x NVIDIA H200 perf, Made in the USA - Thomas Sohmers + Mitesh Agrawal, Positron AI
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