why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Wikimedia has become an apparatus producing political statements
“Wikipedia became such an important brand, and people are willing to pay for it, that it created enormous, ah, apparatus of functionaries that were, ah, then mostly producing
political statements, and had a political mission.”
Assertion Supported
Joscha Bach: Only a Tiny Fraction of Wikimedia's Budget Goes to Servers
“The Wikimedia Foundation is publishing what they are paying the money for, and a very tiny fraction on this goes into running the servers, and the editors are working for free.”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Jan 2026
White: Synthesis routes for dangerous compounds are already available on Wikipedia
“You can go find the synthesis route for many dangerous compounds on Wikipedia. People know what are the targets in the human body that, like, are targeted by most biological weapons. It's not really that much of a mystery.”
Insight
Howard: Accurate next-token prediction forces models to learn world models and causality
“I thought, okay, so if I do this at a much bigger scale, using all of Wikipedia, what would it need to be able to do to finish a sentence in Wikipedia effectively, to do it quite accurately, quite often? I thought, geez, it would actually have to know a lot ab…”
Insight
Sehgal: AI deep research provides most lift on niche, non-Wikipedia topics
“We love to test, like, super niche random things, like, things where there's, like, No Wikipedia page already about this topic or something like that, right? Because that's where you'll see the most lift from a feature like this.”
Assertion Supported
Martin: Andrej Karpathy launched Spotify podcast using NotebookLM Wikipedia summaries
“I think that's what Karpathy did, right? Like he has now a Spotify channel called histories of mysteries, which is basically like, he just took like interesting stuff from Wikipedia and made audio overviews out of it.”