The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Sean Lie: Etched is not building anything better than a traditional GPU
“I think my reaction when I see pictures like this is that it's very impressive graphics design. But I also don't see them building anything beyond just, or trying to build something better than just, you know, a traditional GPU, right? You know, they've made c…”
Sohmers: Hardening silicon for specific AI models is obsolete in months
“Doing any of that, like, hardening for specific Model things. I don't think lasts more than, you know, two or three months at the rate that the industry moves at.”
Swyx: Betting on transformer ASICs is safe because architectures persist
“The ChatGPT, like, GPT-III.V-ish architecture has mostly stayed the same this entire time. It's a pretty good bet, man. Like, even if there is a new, Model sometime in the future. The current workloads on existing models, like, four-oh is still being used, rig…”