SemiAnalysis

also referred to as: semi-analysis

9 statements across 4 episodes · 1 bullish · 6 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Dec 5, 2023 by Dylan Patel · said 36 times in 9 episodes since 2023 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Doug O'Laughlin (11), Shawn Wang (10), Dylan Patel (4), Alessio Fanelli (4), Ivan Burazin (2), Nathan Lambert (1), Kyle Kranen (1)

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Everything said about SemiAnalysis, oldest first

Dec 5, 2023
Assertion Supported
Patel: SemiAnalysis reported GPT-4 mixture of experts architecture in January
“Just being clear, I talked about mixture of experts in January, it's just people didn't really notice it.”
Dylan Patel Dec 5, 2023 ▶ 1:08 The State of Silicon and the GPU Poors - with Dylan Patel of SemiAnalysis
Dec 5, 2023 negative
Insight
Patel: AI chip bottlenecks lie in interconnects and memory, not matrix multiplication
“Multiplying tensors is kind of, you know, anyone can, there's a lot of people who've made good matrix multiply units, right? But it's about, like, getting good utilization out of those, and interfacing with the memory, and interfacing with other chips really e…”
Dylan Patel Dec 5, 2023 ▶ 24:06 The State of Silicon and the GPU Poors - with Dylan Patel of SemiAnalysis
Dec 5, 2023 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Patel: AI inference will deploy more GPUs than training by 2024
“LLM inference will be bigger than training, or multimodal, whatever, blah, blah, blah inference will be bigger than training, you know, probably next year, in fact at least in terms of GPUs deployed,”
Dylan Patel Dec 5, 2023 ▶ 14:40 The State of Silicon and the GPU Poors - with Dylan Patel of SemiAnalysis
Feb 8, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Prakash: SemiAnalysis inference report erred by assuming unpriced input tokens
“I think there were some errors in that analysis. In particular we were trying to decode it, and one of the things we noticed is that it assumed that input tokens weren't being priced. So I think that may have been an error in the model.”
Vipul Ved Prakash Feb 8, 2024 ▶ 33:09 Building an open AI company - with Ce and Vipul of Together AI
Feb 24, 2026 negative
Insight
O'Laughlin: Being 5% more accurate on EPS models never drives good investment decisions
“Is your model, you know, being five percent more accurate, really going to ever make a good investment decision or not? No, never, not once. Like no one's saying, oh yeah, my estimate is always one cent more tighter than everyone else. That's why I'm good at s…”
Doug O'Laughlin Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 17:29 Claude Code for Finance + The Global Memory Shortage: Doug O'Laughlin, SemiAnalysis
Feb 24, 2026 bearish
Opinion
O'Laughlin: Traditional sell-side equity research is a broken business model on its last legs
“Sell side as a concept is very broken. If you're talking about waves and things that are changing sell side in a lot of ways is this hereditary child of like, let's say, 30 or 40 years of banking. Where you had you know, a company go public, so you needed some…”
Doug O'Laughlin Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 18:01 Claude Code for Finance + The Global Memory Shortage: Doug O'Laughlin, SemiAnalysis
Feb 24, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2028
O'Laughlin: Memory supply will not catch up with demand for two years
“And then boom, you're just looking at the supply demand and you're like, yeah, this is not gonna catch up for like two years.”
Doug O'Laughlin Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 1:44:05 Claude Code for Finance + The Global Memory Shortage: Doug O'Laughlin, SemiAnalysis
Feb 24, 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
O'Laughlin: Compiled a PhD-level chip cycle dataset in one day using AI
“I mean, this is like too much information to gather. It's like a lifetime of work. It's like a PhD project. I did it in a day.”
Doug O'Laughlin Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 46:46 Claude Code for Finance + The Global Memory Shortage: Doug O'Laughlin, SemiAnalysis
May 21, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Burazin: CPUs Will Become the Next Critical Bottleneck for AI Agents
“You will get to the point, and Dylan Patel was at the conference talking about, from Semi-Analysis that talks usually about GPUs, was also talking about how CPUs will now be a bottleneck because it will be the constraint. You won't be able to grow, or we won't…”
Ivan Burazin May 21, 2026 ▶ 47:35 AI Agents Need Computers: 74% MoM Growth, 850K/Day Runs, & New Agent Cloud — Ivan Burazin, Daytona
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