The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Hill-Smith estimates Gemini 3 Pro parameter count hits 5 to 10 trillion
“You might reasonably form a view that there's a pretty good chance that Gemini three pro is bigger than that, that it could be in the five to 10 trillion parameter range. To be clear, I have absolutely no idea, but just based on this chart, like that's where y…”
Micah Hill-Smith Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 37:42 Artificial Analysis: The Independent LLM Analysis House — with George Cameron and Micah Hill-Smith
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gemini 3 Pro performs poorly on GDPval-AA benchmark evaluator tasks
“One data point there is that even as the, as an evaluator, Gemini three pro interestingly doesn't do actually that well in GDP val AA.”
George Cameron Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 41:41 Artificial Analysis: The Independent LLM Analysis House — with George Cameron and Micah Hill-Smith
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