The Argument Index

Debate potential by speaker, the highest-scored statement each year, and the companies with the most bearish calls on record. All of it clickable, all of it playable.

355debate potential 4–5 → 17debate potential 5 → 219rated speakers →
People

Average debate potential by speaker

All 219 guests with 5 or more scored statements, ranked. 5 more have fewer than 5, too few for a fair average, and the host is scored on his own page. Sort or filter below.

#PersonAvg debate potential Statements scored
1 Abigail Shrier Senior Fellow, Manhattan Institute 3.63 30
2 Gary Taubes Co-Founder & President, Nutrition Science Initiative 3.21 24
3 Balaji Srinivasan Founder, The Network School 3.19 83
4 Bill Gurley General Partner, Benchmark 3.09 22
5 Pierre Poilievre Leader, Conservative Party of Canada 3.09 75
6 Joe Liemandt Principal, Alpha School 2.98 41
7 Ken Stanley 2.93 14
8 Matthew Holland Founder & CEO, Field Effect 2.93 29
9 Benedict Evans Independent Technology Analyst 2.82 28
10 Douglas Rushkoff Professor of Media Theory, Queens College, CUNY 2.81 21
11 Venkatesh Rao Founder, Ribbonfarm 2.78 18
12 Jonathan Haidt Professor of Ethical Leadership, NYU Stern 2.77 39
13 Kaz Nejatian CEO, Opendoor 2.75 36
14 Bryan Johnson Founder, Project Blueprint 2.73 26
15 Nir Eyal Author & Consultant, Nir & Far 2.73 30
16 Joel Greenblatt Managing Principal & Co-CIO, Gotham Asset Management 2.69 16
17 Jason Fried Co-founder and CEO, 37signals 2.69 26
18 Barry Diller Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC 2.67 24
19 Tyler Cowen Professor of Economics, George Mason University 2.65 46
20 Dr. David Sinclair 2.65 49
21 William MacAskill Senior Research Fellow, Forethought 2.65 34
22 Elad Gil Founder, Gil Capital 2.64 42
23 Chamath Palihapitiya Founder & CEO, Social Capital 2.62 21
24 Rey Flemings Co-Founder and CEO, Myria 2.61 18
25 Nathan Myhrvold Co-founder & CEO, Intellectual Ventures 2.61 18
26 Kunal Shah Founder & CEO, CRED 2.61 54
27 Roger Martin Professor Emeritus, Rotman School of Management 2.61 31
28 Lisa Feldman Barrett Distinguished Professor of Psychology, Northeastern University 2.61 18
29 Dr. Julie Gurner Founder, Gurner Consulting 2.6 25
30 Lulu Cheng Meservey Founder and CEO, Rostra 2.59 39
31 Adam Robinson Founder & CEO, Retention.com 2.58 73
32 Jason Karp Founder and CEO, HumanCo 2.58 19
33 Bethany McLean Contributing Editor, Vanity Fair 2.58 45
34 Daniel Gross Compute Lead, Meta 2.58 33
35 Kevin Kelly Senior Maverick, Wired 2.57 23
36 Michaeleen Doucleff Science Correspondent, NPR 2.56 16
37 Marc Andreessen Co-Founder and General Partner, Andreessen Horowitz 2.55 29
38 Scott Adams 2.55 20
39 Dr. Sue Johnson Founding Director, ICEEFT 2.54 52
40 Josh Wolfe Co-Founder & Managing Partner, Lux Capital 2.54 92
41 Rory Sutherland Vice Chairman, Ogilvy UK 2.53 109
42 Tobi Lütke Co-Founder and CEO, Shopify 2.53 81
43 Jane McGonigal Director of Games R&D, Institute for the Future 2.53 32
44 Greg Brockman President & Co-founder, OpenAI 2.51 39
45 Frank Slootman Chairman, Snowflake 2.5 32
46 George Stalk Jr. Senior Advisor, Boston Consulting Group 2.5 20
47 Garry Tan President & CEO, Y Combinator 2.46 72
48 Bill Ackman Founder and CEO, Pershing Square Capital Management 2.45 33
49 Reed Hastings Co-Founder, Netflix 2.44 36
50 Stanley McChrystal Founder and Partner, McChrystal Group 2.41 29
51 Matt Ridley Author & Columnist 2.41 29
52 Naval Ravikant Co-founder and Chairman, AngelList 2.41 63
53 Jeff Immelt Venture Partner, NEA 2.4 25
54 Chris Voss CEO and Founder, The Black Swan Group 2.4 42
55 Jason Calacanis Founder & CEO, LAUNCH 2.37 30
56 Anthony Scilipoti President & CEO, Veritas Investment Research 2.36 44
57 Bret Taylor CEO & Co-Founder, Sierra 2.36 56
58 Sahil Lavingia Founder and CEO, Gumroad 2.36 22
59 Dacher Keltner Professor of Psychology, UC Berkeley 2.35 23
60 Codie Sanchez Founder & CEO, Contrarian Thinking 2.33 49
61 Jeff Hunter Founder & CEO, Talentism 2.33 27
62 Ben Thompson Founder & Author, Stratechery 2.33 45
63 Jason Zweig 2.32 22
64 Mark Pincus Founder & Executive Chairman, Zynga 2.31 36
65 Blake Eastman Founder, The Nonverbal Group 2.31 29
66 Scott Page Professor, University of Michigan 2.31 16
67 Howard Marks Co-Founder and Co-Chairman, Oaktree Capital Management 2.31 26
68 Winston Weinberg Co-founder and CEO, Harvey 2.3 20
69 Randall Stutman Founder, Admired Leadership Institute 2.3 20
70 Gary Klein Chief Scientist, ShadowBox LLC 2.3 27
71 BJ Fogg Director, Stanford Behavior Design Lab 2.3 23
72 Gabriel Weinberg Founder & CEO, DuckDuckGo 2.3 23
73 Daniel Kahneman Professor of Psychology Emeritus, Princeton University 2.29 58
74 Barbara Oakley Distinguished Professor of Engineering, Oakland University 2.29 34
75 Paul Assaiante Athletics Ambassador, Trinity College 2.29 17
76 Esther Wojcicki Founder & CEO, Global Moonshots in Education 2.29 24
77 Hugh Howey Author & Executive Producer 2.29 28
78 Shreyas Doshi Startup Advisor & Executive Coach 2.28 18
79 Code Cubitt Co-Founder & Managing Director, Mistral Venture Partners 2.28 32
80 Dr. Gio Valiante Performance Psychologist and High-Performance Coach 2.27 40
81 Nicolai Tangen CEO, Norges Bank Investment Management 2.27 30
82 Seth Godin Author, Speaker, and Teacher, Seth's Blog 2.27 40
83 April Dunford Founder and CEO, Ambient Strategy 2.24 33
84 Brent Beshore Founder & CEO, Permanent Equity 2.24 29
85 Aaron Dignan Founder, The Ready 2.24 34
86 Pedro Domingos Professor Emeritus, University of Washington 2.24 51
87 Ravi Gupta Partner, Sequoia Capital 2.23 26
88 Nancy Sherman 2.23 13
89 Chris Dixon Founder & Managing Partner, a16z crypto 2.23 22
90 Matt Mullenweg Founder & CEO, Automattic 2.22 32
91 Diana Chapman Co-founder, Conscious Leadership Group 2.21 19
92 Sarah Tavel Venture Partner, Benchmark 2.21 28
93 Sendhil Mullainathan Professor of Economics and EECS, MIT 2.21 24
94 Aaron Wade Founder, Homeroom 2.2 15
95 Emily Nagoski Author and Sex Educator 2.2 25
96 Ryan Petersen Founder & CEO, Flexport 2.19 43
97 Jim Collins 2.19 53
98 Justin Su'a Founder & Leadership Performance Advisor, PAG 2.19 16
99 Jim Dethmer Co-Founder, The Conscious Leadership Group 2.18 45
100 Noreena Hertz Honorary Professor, University College London 2.18 28
101 Alan Mulally Senior Fellow, Seattle University 2.17 18
102 Adam Grant Professor of Management, Wharton 2.16 57
103 Marshall Goldsmith Executive Coach & Co-Founder, 100 Coaches Agency 2.16 32
104 Mike Maples Jr. Co-Founder and Partner, Floodgate 2.16 43
105 Todd Herman Founder, Herman Global Ventures 2.15 27
106 Brian Halligan Co-Founder & Executive Chairperson, HubSpot 2.14 21
107 Russ Hudson Co-founder, The Enneagram Institute 2.14 29
108 Barbara Coloroso Author & Consultant, Kids Are Worth It! Inc. 2.14 28
109 Margaret Heffernan Professor of Practice, University of Bath 2.14 21
110 Jerry Colonna Co-Founder and CEO, Reboot.io 2.13 15
111 Luke Burgess Managing Partner, Fourth Wall Ventures 2.13 31
112 Josh Kaufman Founder, PersonalMBA.com 2.13 15
113 Michael Ovitz Chairman, Treville Capital Group 2.12 32
114 Reid Hoffman Partner, Greylock 2.12 26
115 Patrick Collison Co-founder & CEO, Stripe 2.12 42
116 Esther Perel Host, Where Should We Begin? 2.12 32
117 Vlad Tenev Co-Founder & CEO, Robinhood 2.11 37
118 Hannah Fry Professor, University of Cambridge 2.11 19
119 Frank Stephenson Co-Founder & CCO, frankstephenson design 2.11 19
120 Jeff Annello Investment & Planning Analyst, SAGEbroadview 2.11 9
121 Brad Jacobs Chairman & CEO, QXO, Inc. 2.1 62
122 Charlie Hoehn Co-Founder and CEO, Author.Inc 2.09 33
123 Robert Greene Author and Speaker 2.09 23
124 Morgan Housel Partner, The Collaborative Fund 2.08 152
125 Dr. Becky Kennedy Founder & CEO, Good Inside 2.08 26
126 Amelia Boone 2.08 13
127 Ryan Holiday Founder & Host, The Daily Stoic 2.07 71
128 Dr. Andrew Huberman Professor, Stanford University School of Medicine 2.06 36
129 Danny Meyer Founder & Executive Chairman, USHG 2.06 16
130 Paul Rabil Co-Founder and President, Premier Lacrosse League 2.06 32
131 Susan Cain Author & Founder, Quiet Revolution 2.06 18
132 Loch Kelly Founder and Guiding Teacher, Effortless Mindfulness Institute 2.05 20
133 Derek Sivers Author and Programmer 2.04 26
134 Annie Duke Special Partner, First Round Capital 2.04 25
135 Angela Duckworth Professor of Psychology, University of Pennsylvania 2.04 23
136 Doug Conant Founder and CEO, ConantLeadership 2.04 25
137 Dr. Laura Markham Founder & Clinical Psychologist, Aha! Parenting 2.04 27
138 Indra Nooyi Former CEO, PepsiCo 2.03 39
139 John Mackey Co-Founder & CEO, Love.Life 2.03 35
140 Dr. Rhonda Patrick Founder, FoundMyFitness 2.02 41
141 Jim Murphy 2 13
142 Alfred Lin Partner & Co-Steward, Sequoia Capital 2 52
143 Matthew Dicks Storyteller & Author, Storyworthy 2 48
144 Ed Latimore Founder, Mind and Fist 2 22
145 Jennifer Garvey Berger Co-founder & CEO, Cultivating Leadership 2 44
146 Brian Koppelman Screenwriter, Director & Showrunner 2 11
147 Dr. Atul Gawande Surgeon, Brigham and Women’s Hospital 2 25
148 Sanjay Bakshi 2 15
149 Tracy Britt Cool Co-Founder, Kanbrick 1.97 34
150 Christopher Davis Chairman & Portfolio Manager, Davis Advisors 1.96 48
151 Mickey Drexler Chairman, Alex Mill 1.95 19
152 Julia Galef Co-founder, Center for Applied Rationality 1.95 20
153 Dr. Thomas Zurbuchen Director, ETH Zurich | Space 1.94 33
154 Chris Bosh Author and Former Professional Basketball Player 1.94 17
155 William Irvine Professor Emeritus of Philosophy, Wright State University 1.94 18
156 Warren Berger Founder, A More Beautiful Question 1.94 17
157 Brent Gilchrist President, JDS Resources 1.93 14
158 Harley Finkelstein President, Shopify 1.92 26
159 Ron Shaich CEO & Managing Partner, Act III Holdings 1.92 25
160 Bruce Flatt CEO, Brookfield Corporation 1.92 38
161 Sheila Heen Professor of Practice, Harvard Law School 1.92 26
162 John Maxwell Founder, Maxwell Leadership 1.91 11
163 Ray Dalio Founder and Mentor, Bridgewater Associates 1.91 34
164 David Baszucki Co-founder & CEO, Roblox 1.9 21
165 Rob Fraser Founder & CEO, Outway 1.9 30
166 Maria Konnikova Contributing Writer, The New Yorker 1.9 21
167 Logan Ury Director of Relationship Science, Hinge 1.89 36
168 Dan Kluger Chef & Owner, Loring Place 1.89 9
169 Michael Mauboussin Head of Consilient Research, Counterpoint Global 1.89 35
170 Dan Ariely Professor, Duke University 1.89 28
171 Michael Lombardi Host, The GM Shuffle 1.89 9
172 Sam Arbesman Venture Partner, Lux Capital 1.88 17
173 John Bragg Chairman and Co-CEO, Oxford Frozen Foods 1.87 55
174 Dr. Jim Loehr Co-founder, Human Performance Institute 1.86 21
175 Walter Isaacson Professor, Tulane University 1.86 29
176 Chris Cordell Portfolio Manager, Davis Advisors 1.86 14
177 Stephen Schwarzman Chairman, CEO, and Co-Founder, Blackstone 1.86 29
178 Suzanne Iasenza Faculty Member, Ackerman Institute for the Family 1.84 31
179 Dr. Anna Lembke Professor of Psychiatry, Stanford University 1.83 30
180 Apolo Ohno CEO, Olympic Mountain 1.83 18
181 Jack Kornfield Guiding Teacher, Spirit Rock Meditation Center 1.82 11
182 Todd Simkin Associate Director, Susquehanna International Group 1.82 22
183 David Heacock Founder and CEO, Filterbuy 1.81 43
184 Les Snead General Manager, Los Angeles Rams 1.81 26
185 Shep Gordon President & Co-Founder, Alive Enterprises 1.81 21
186 Celeste Headlee President & CEO, Headway DEI 1.81 36
187 Dr. Leah Lagos Clinical and Performance Psychologist, Private Practice 1.8 15
188 Kat Cole CEO, AG1 1.8 20
189 Laurie Santos Professor of Psychology, Yale University 1.8 35
190 Greg Walton Professor of Psychology, Stanford University 1.8 15
191 Barbara Tversky Professor of Psychology, Columbia University 1.79 29
192 Neil Pasricha Founder and Director, The Institute for Global Happiness 1.78 51
193 Philip Tetlock Professor, University of Pennsylvania 1.78 18
194 Dr. Matt Walker Professor of Neuroscience, UT Dallas 1.77 35
195 Aristotle Koskinas 1.77 13
196 Sarah Jones Simmer COO, National Women's Soccer League 1.76 21
197 Tom Gaynor CEO & Chairman, Markel Group 1.75 36
198 Connor Teskey CEO, Brookfield Asset Management 1.74 19
199 James Clear Author and Writer, JamesClear.com 1.74 57
200 Adam Carr President and Portfolio Manager, Orbis Investments 1.74 27
201 Keith Creel President and CEO, CPKC 1.73 15
202 Dr. Giulia Enders Physician and Author 1.71 42
203 Maya Shankar Senior Director of Behavioral Economics, Google 1.71 21
204 Veronique Rivet 1.71 14
205 David Segal Co-Founder & CEO, Firebelly Tea 1.67 18
206 Bill Belichick Head Football Coach, North Carolina Tar Heels 1.65 31
207 Andrew Wilkinson Co-Founder and Managing Partner, Tiny 1.62 29
208 Steven Strogatz Professor of Applied Mathematics, Cornell University 1.62 16
209 Dr. Emily Balcetis Associate Professor of Psychology, New York University 1.61 18
210 Alexander Shelley Artistic and Music Director, Artis—Naples 1.61 18
211 Marc Garneau Former Minister of Transport, Government of Canada 1.58 19
212 Mario Harik Chairman & CEO, XPO, Inc. 1.57 42
213 Robert Cialdini Professor Emeritus, Arizona State University 1.57 28
214 Carolyn Coughlin Co-founder and US Director, Cultivating Leadership 1.53 15
215 Gina Poe Professor and BRI Director, UCLA 1.48 21
216 Thomas Tull Founder, Chairman & CEO, Tulco 1.44 9
217 Charlie Munger Former Vice Chairman, Berkshire Hathaway 1.4 5
218 Joe Mazzulla Head Coach, Boston Celtics 1.29 7
219 Panayiota Kalogeropoulou 1.25 8
Companies

The most bearish calls

Debate potential is an AI score of how much a statement invites disagreement. Bearish counts tally what was said about a company on the show; they describe the conversation, not the company. Every count opens to the exact tape. full disclaimer →

All 275 companies, funds and products with at least one bearish claim on the record.

Company Bearish statements Of which 4–5
Google company 27 ↓ 4
Facebook company 18 ↓
Apple company 13 ↓ 1
Amazon company 13 ↓ 2
Shopify company 9 ↓ 2
OpenAI company 9 ↓ 4
Flexport company 9 ↓ 3
Twitter company 8 ↓ 1
Filterbuy company 8 ↓
Tesla company 7 ↓ 5
Whole Foods Market company 6 ↓ 2
The New York Times company 6 ↓ 2
Microsoft company 6 ↓ 2
Markel Group company 6 ↓
Enron company 6 ↓
Zoom company 5 ↓ 1
Robinhood company 5 ↓
Outway company 5 ↓
Opendoor company 5 ↓ 1
NVIDIA company 5 ↓ 1
Netflix company 5 ↓ 2
Lux Capital fund 5 ↓ 1
HubSpot company 5 ↓
General Electric company 5 ↓
Floodgate fund 5 ↓
Basecamp company 5 ↓
Blackstone fund 4 ↓
Benchmark fund 4 ↓
Android product 4 ↓
Y Combinator fund 3 ↓
Valeant Pharmaceuticals company 3 ↓
TikTok product 3 ↓ 1
Spotify company 3 ↓ 1
Sequoia Capital fund 3 ↓
Pinterest company 3 ↓
McDonald's company 3 ↓
Lehman Brothers company 3 ↓
Hewlett Packard company 3 ↓
Harvey company 3 ↓
Canadian Pacific Railway company 3 ↓
Brookfield Asset Management fund 3 ↓
Berkshire Hathaway company 3 ↓
Automattic company 3 ↓
Airbnb company 3 ↓
Zynga company 2 ↓
Zappos company 2 ↓
WeWork company 2 ↓
Walmart company 2 ↓
Valiant fund 2 ↓
Unilever company 2 ↓
Uber company 2 ↓ 1
Tiny Capital company 2 ↓
Thinking, Fast And Slow product 2 ↓
Teledyne company 2 ↓
Samsung company 2 ↓ 1
Salesforce company 2 ↓ 1
S And P 500 company 2 ↓ 2
Roblox company 2 ↓
QXO company 2 ↓
Permanent Equity fund 2 ↓
Orbis Investments fund 2 ↓
Neonex company 2 ↓
Nasdaq company 2 ↓ 1
Myria company 2 ↓
James Webb Space Telescope product 2 ↓
Jaguar company 2 ↓
iPhone product 2 ↓
IOS product 2 ↓
Huawei company 2 ↓ 1
Homeroom company 2 ↓
The Home Depot company 2 ↓
Herbalife company 2 ↓
Goldman Sachs company 2 ↓ 1
Gmail product 2 ↓
Gap company 2 ↓
Firestone Tire And Rubber Company company 2 ↓
Eaton's company 2 ↓
Eastlink company 2 ↓
Dick's Sporting Goods company 2 ↓
Davis Advisors fund 2 ↓
CNN company 2 ↓
Citigroup company 2 ↓
Apple III product 2 ↓
Apple II product 2 ↓
Anthropic company 2 ↓ 1
Zapmail product 1 ↓
YouTube company 1 ↓
Yellow Pages product 1 ↓
Writer company 1 ↓
World Economic Forum company 1 ↓ 1
WordPress product 1 ↓
Windu company 1 ↓
Windows product 1 ↓
Wikipedia company 1 ↓ 1
Washington Mutual company 1 ↓
The Wall Street Journal company 1 ↓
Vox company 1 ↓
Volvo company 1 ↓
Volkswagen company 1 ↓
Vice Media company 1 ↓
Verizon company 1 ↓
Upwork company 1 ↓
United Airlines company 1 ↓
UFC company 1 ↓
True Value company 1 ↓
Tribe.net company 1 ↓
Totino's product 1 ↓ 1
Time Magazine company 1 ↓
Theranos company 1 ↓
Tesla Full Self Driving product 1 ↓
TED Talks product 1 ↓
Talentism company 1 ↓
Sweetgreen company 1 ↓
Substack company 1 ↓
Stripe company 1 ↓
Stellantis company 1 ↓ 1
State Street company 1 ↓
Starbucks company 1 ↓ 1
Standard Oil company 1 ↓
Spark product 1 ↓
SpaceX company 1 ↓ 1
SoftBank Group fund 1 ↓ 1
Singularity Institute company 1 ↓ 1
Shop Pay product 1 ↓
Selfridges company 1 ↓
Sears company 1 ↓
Sanitizer product 1 ↓
Rippling company 1 ↓ 1
The Ready company 1 ↓
RadioShack company 1 ↓
Purdue company 1 ↓
Premier Lacrosse League company 1 ↓
Practice company 1 ↓
Powder Mountain company 1 ↓
The Post Company company 1 ↓
PLCs product 1 ↓ 1
Pesticides product 1 ↓
Paraquat product 1 ↓
Pampered Chef company 1 ↓
PagerDuty company 1 ↓
P&G company 1 ↓
OxyContin product 1 ↓
Oxford Frozen Foods company 1 ↓
Open Office product 1 ↓
Ogilvy Australia company 1 ↓
NWEA MAP product 1 ↓
NSO Group company 1 ↓ 1
NPR company 1 ↓
Norway's Sovereign Wealth Fund fund 1 ↓
Nikola company 1 ↓ 1
Nike company 1 ↓
The New England Journal Of Medicine company 1 ↓
New Coke product 1 ↓
NBA company 1 ↓
NASCAR company 1 ↓
Myers Briggs Type Indicator product 1 ↓
MSNBC company 1 ↓
Morgan Stanley company 1 ↓ 1
Moody's company 1 ↓ 1
Monsanto company 1 ↓
Mobil company 1 ↓
Microsoft Teams product 1 ↓
Mercedes Benz company 1 ↓
Medium.com company 1 ↓
McKinsey And Company company 1 ↓
Marvel Entertainment company 1 ↓
Mars, Incorporated company 1 ↓
Major League Lacrosse company 1 ↓
Loudcloud company 1 ↓
Loring Place company 1 ↓
LinkExchange company 1 ↓
Legendary company 1 ↓
Land Rover company 1 ↓
Kodak company 1 ↓
JPMorgan Chase company 1 ↓
Intel company 1 ↓ 1
Instagram product 1 ↓
The Information company 1 ↓
Ikon Pass product 1 ↓
IBM company 1 ↓
Hyundai Motor Company company 1 ↓
HumanCo company 1 ↓
Hulu company 1 ↓ 1
House & Garden product 1 ↓
HBO company 1 ↓
Harrison's Principles Of Medicine product 1 ↓ 1
Handy Dan company 1 ↓
GitLab company 1 ↓
Gillette company 1 ↓
Getting To Yes product 1 ↓ 1
General Mills company 1 ↓ 1
GE Capital company 1 ↓
Gartner Quadrant product 1 ↓
Gartner company 1 ↓
Friendster company 1 ↓
Found company 1 ↓
Fortnite product 1 ↓ 1
Ford Motor Company company 1 ↓
Forbes company 1 ↓
Flashcards product 1 ↓ 1
FitSpirit company 1 ↓
Firestone Tire Company company 1 ↓
Financial Times company 1 ↓
Field Effect Security company 1 ↓
Fiduciary Trust Company company 1 ↓
Fentanyl product 1 ↓ 1
FedNow product 1 ↓ 1
FedEx company 1 ↓
ExxonMobil company 1 ↓
Expedia company 1 ↓
Excel product 1 ↓
Evernote company 1 ↓
Erewhon company 1 ↓
Equity Office Properties Trust company 1 ↓
Epic Pass product 1 ↓
eBay company 1 ↓
DuckDuckGo company 1 ↓
DoorDash company 1 ↓
Dollar Shave Club company 1 ↓
Dialogue company 1 ↓
Diageo company 1 ↓
Deloitte company 1 ↓
Deel company 1 ↓ 1
Dartmouth College company 1 ↓
Daily Journal company 1 ↓
Daily Harvest company 1 ↓
Creative Artists Agency company 1 ↓
Create Mode product 1 ↓
Consensus company 1 ↓
Condé Nast company 1 ↓
Commodore company 1 ↓
Coca Cola product 1 ↓
Citicorp company 1 ↓
Cisco company 1 ↓
The Chernin Group fund 1 ↓
ChatGPT product 1 ↓
BuzzFeed company 1 ↓
Burlington Northern Railroad company 1 ↓
Bumble company 1 ↓
Bubble company 1 ↓
Bridgewater Associates fund 1 ↓
Breakout product 1 ↓
Braintree company 1 ↓
BP company 1 ↓
Boston Consulting Group company 1 ↓
Boeing company 1 ↓
BMW company 1 ↓
Blueprint company 1 ↓
Blue Origin company 1 ↓ 1
Bitcoin product 1 ↓ 1
Bell company 1 ↓
Bank Cards product 1 ↓
Ballbarrow product 1 ↓
Audi company 1 ↓
Atari company 1 ↓
Aston Martin company 1 ↓
Asana company 1 ↓
Arthur Andersen company 1 ↓
Apple Pay product 1 ↓
App Store product 1 ↓
Apollo Global Management fund 1 ↓ 1
Android Pay product 1 ↓
Anaplan company 1 ↓
Amrion company 1 ↓
Amgen company 1 ↓
American Express company 1 ↓
American Apparel company 1 ↓
Ambien product 1 ↓
AlphaZero product 1 ↓ 1
Alpha School company 1 ↓
Admired Leadership Institute company 1 ↓
Access Now company 1 ↓
The 48 Laws Of Power product 1 ↓
3M company 1 ↓
20th Century Fox company 1 ↓

Highest debate potential, by year

2026

Assertion Supported
Brockman: Elon, Sam, Ilya, and I Agreed OpenAI Needed For-Profit Structure
“Elon, Sam, Ilya, and I all agreed. That the only path forward for OpenAI, the only path to achieve the mission, was to create a for-profit entity associated with OpenAI of some form. And so we were committed to that direction, and that is something that we kne…”
Greg Brockman Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 5:48 Ai Goes Parabolic | OpenAI Co-Founder Greg Brockman
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brockman: OpenAI board gave zero explanation when firing Altman and removing Brockman
“I was told that the board has decided That Sam would be removed, and effectively the message that I got was the same messaging that was in the public post, and I asked if I could have any more information. I was told no, not right now, and I pressed on that ma…”
Greg Brockman Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 16:08 Ai Goes Parabolic | OpenAI Co-Founder Greg Brockman

2025

Opinion
Wolfe: Tesla got away with accounting fraud on warranty reserves
“And so, for me with Tesla, I think that they got away with accounting fraud. On warranty reserves and a whole bunch of other things. I think there was a lot of prestidigitation and magic of look over here while we're doing this. And today it doesn't matter bec…”
Josh Wolfe Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 37:50 Josh Wolfe: Human Advantage in the World of AI
Opinion
Hastings: Dave Chappelle is not anti-trans
“Which I don't believe that Dave is anti-trans, but he definitely takes on some of the issues”
Reed Hastings Jun 10, 2025 ▶ 33:30 Netflix Founder Reed Hastings on Scaling High-Trust Culture & Bold Judgment

2024

Opinion
Johnson: Suicidal ideation in severe depression is a rational and reasonable response
“When people feel suicidal, I am deeply empathetic. It is rational to want to kill oneself. It's reasonable.”
Bryan Johnson Feb 20, 2024 ▶ 9:22 Bryan Johnson: Five Habits for Longer Living
Opinion
School Psychology Staff Function Exactly Like Corporate DEI Departments
“Because the psych staffs are like the DEI staffs of an organ, of a corporation. That's what the psych staff now is at a school. They effectively run the schools. They pass judgment on everything. They control what a teacher can assign. What kind of test a teac…”
Abigail Shrier May 21, 2024 ▶ 1:13:44 Abigail Shrier: Why the Kids Aren’t Alright

2023

Opinion
Adam Robinson claims he knows more about financial markets than anyone living
“I, Adam, know more about financial markets than any other living person.”
Adam Robinson Jun 13, 2023 ▶ 29:52 Adam Robinson: Positioning Yourself For Success
Opinion
Manned spaceflight is a reality TV show with no functional purpose
“I mean, today, the manned space flight is a reality TV show. And in fact, the cutting edge of manned space flight is space tourism. That's what Blue Origin and SpaceX and others are gearing up for, and there's just no reason to take a fragile human up there.”
Nathan Myhrvold Mar 21, 2023 ▶ 13:29 Nathan Myhrvold

2022

Opinion
Srinivasan: Centralized Science Post-WWII Became Equivalent to a State Religion
“The bad that came out of it is you built this centralized funnel as opposed to lots of folks with independent power centers and funding sources, figuring out stuff from their own. Instead, you had like a single Thing, which was like official science and offici…”
Balaji Srinivasan Apr 5, 2022 ▶ 44:21 Balaji Srinivasan: The Network State
Opinion
Balaji: Corporate journalists act as hit men for old money targeting tech
“You know the names of all the tech people, because media corporations are at war with tech companies, and the owners of media corporations are It's not that they get good coverage. They get no coverage. They're just like blotted out, you know, all of this rhet…”
Balaji Srinivasan Apr 5, 2022 ▶ 58:12 Balaji Srinivasan: The Network State

2021

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mullenweg: Open Source Eventually Dominates Every Market It Enters
“So I believe that open source comes to dominate any market that enters over time. And the key word is over time because sometimes it takes many decades.”
Matt Mullenweg Jan 5, 2021 ▶ 6:46 #100 Matt Mullenweg: Collaboration Is Key
Opinion
Mullenweg: It is easier to slack off in an office than in distributed work
“I think it's easier to slack off in an office than it is in a distributed environment.”
Matt Mullenweg Jan 5, 2021 ▶ 28:04 #100 Matt Mullenweg: Collaboration Is Key

2020

Opinion
Calacanis: Tim Cook should not be CEO of Apple anymore
“If a company is storing a bunch of capital and paying you a dividend, that signals to us that you are not a bold and ambitious founder, and this is one of the big problems I have with Apple and Tim Cook, which, who I don't think should be CEO of that company a…”
Jason Calacanis Apr 14, 2020 ▶ 44:59 #81 Jason Calacanis: Intelligent Risk
Opinion
McLean: Elon Musk has repeatedly lied to secure funding for his vision
“That's certainly true of Elon Musk. Wherever you believe he sits in that spectrum, when you look at his history, he's for sure lied at many points in time in order to keep funding his dream.”
Bethany McLean Jun 9, 2020 ▶ 30:53 #85 Bethany McLean: Crafting a Narrative

2019

Opinion
Wolfe: Childless CEOs over 50 tend to be overly controlling operators
“I have a really politically incorrect one, which is older CEOs that by choice, not biologically, because there's a big difference, never had children. I find that for whatever reason, they tend to be very controlling. Now, my sample size here is like five of f…”
Josh Wolfe Jan 22, 2019 ▶ 12:32 #50 Josh Wolfe: Inventing the Future
Assertion Supported
Markham: Children face higher abuse risks when an unrelated male moves in
“When a new man comes on the scene in a child's life, a new man is now with their mother, their risk of being abused or in fact being killed in childhood goes up.”
Dr. Laura Markham Feb 19, 2019 ▶ 1:18:59 #52 Dr. Laura Markham: Peaceful Parenting with

2018

Opinion
Robinson: The concept of 'intrinsic value' in fundamental analysis is a fraud
“Intrinsic value is a fraud, and I can demonstrate that. It's a fraud for several reasons. First, I'm using air quotes. What he really meant by intrinsic value is true value. But he knows if he used the phrase true value of something, that people would say, hey…”
Adam Robinson Dec 11, 2018 ▶ 43:42 #47 Adam Robinson: Winning at the Great Game (Part 1)
Opinion
Robinson: Boys outperform on tests because their unpreparedness breeds psychological resilience
“And boys who tend to be unprepared, more unprepared than girls do better on standardized tests, precisely because when they run into difficulty, they expect it to.”
Adam Robinson Dec 11, 2018 ▶ 1:58:13 #47 Adam Robinson: Winning at the Great Game (Part 1)

2017

Opinion
Nutrition Science Is Not a Functioning Scientific Discipline
“I don't believe nutrition science is a functioning science. That it lacks many of the characteristics that a functioning science has to have, particularly the sort of critical, rigorous back and forth between scientists where they're attacking each other's ide…”
Gary Taubes Nov 30, 2017 ▶ 58:29 #25 Gary Taubes: Is Sugar Slowly Killing Us
Opinion
Ravikant: No one reaches enlightenment or does serious internal work in groups
“Nobody reaches enlightenment or internal happiness or does serious internal work in group settings. It is a very lonely kind of task. And so to some extent, I think that people who are constantly looking for social affirmation in their internal work, aren't th…”
Naval Ravikant Apr 11, 2017 ▶ 53:20 #18 Naval Ravikant: The Angel Philosopher

2016

Opinion
Domingos: Doctors Gatekeep Medical AI to Prevent Automating Their Own Jobs
“In the particular case of medicine, it's not used more already because, of course, the doctors are also the gatekeepers Of the system, and they're not very interested in replacing themselves or their job that they like best by machines.”
Pedro Domingos Aug 30, 2016 ▶ 25:20 #13 Pedro Domingos: The Rise of The Machines
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Domingos: AI Will Plateau Rather Than Experiencing Infinite Runaway Intelligence Growth
“And I think they will be in the case of AI, but I don't think we're going to see this, you know, infinite growth that, you know, goes completely beyond you know, what humans can imagine.”
Pedro Domingos Aug 30, 2016 ▶ 39:35 #13 Pedro Domingos: The Rise of The Machines

2015

Insight
Zweig: The best investors often possess an autistic-spectrum emotional detachment
“A lot of the best investors Have that sort of touch of something on the autistic spectrum. It's a little bit of detachment from other people's emotions that enables them to stand back and look and observe what other people are feeling and say, that's funny. Wh…”
Jason Zweig Oct 19, 2015 ▶ 36:09 #4 Jason Zweig: Elevate Your Financial IQ
Opinion
Zweig: Venture capital valuations ramp up without properly accounting for dilution
“They set their own valuations, and there's also a disturbing wrinkle in that the valuations sort of as a new round of capital comes in that ramps up the valuation without accounting for dilution the same way you would in a public company. And I think that's ve…”
Jason Zweig Oct 19, 2015 ▶ 49:29 #4 Jason Zweig: Elevate Your Financial IQ
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