The Argument Index
Debate potential by speaker, the highest-scored statement each year, and the companies with the most bearish calls on record. All of it clickable, all of it playable.
Average debate potential by speaker
All 219 guests with 5 or more scored statements, ranked. 5 more have fewer than 5, too few for a fair average, and the host is scored on his own page. Sort or filter below.
| # | Person | Avg debate potential | Statements scored |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abigail Shrier Senior Fellow, Manhattan Institute | 3.63 | 30 |
| 2 | Gary Taubes Co-Founder & President, Nutrition Science Initiative | 3.21 | 24 |
| 3 | Balaji Srinivasan Founder, The Network School | 3.19 | 83 |
| 4 | Bill Gurley General Partner, Benchmark | 3.09 | 22 |
| 5 | Pierre Poilievre Leader, Conservative Party of Canada | 3.09 | 75 |
| 6 | Joe Liemandt Principal, Alpha School | 2.98 | 41 |
| 7 | Ken Stanley | 2.93 | 14 |
| 8 | Matthew Holland Founder & CEO, Field Effect | 2.93 | 29 |
| 9 | Benedict Evans Independent Technology Analyst | 2.82 | 28 |
| 10 | Douglas Rushkoff Professor of Media Theory, Queens College, CUNY | 2.81 | 21 |
| 11 | Venkatesh Rao Founder, Ribbonfarm | 2.78 | 18 |
| 12 | Jonathan Haidt Professor of Ethical Leadership, NYU Stern | 2.77 | 39 |
| 13 | Kaz Nejatian CEO, Opendoor | 2.75 | 36 |
| 14 | Bryan Johnson Founder, Project Blueprint | 2.73 | 26 |
| 15 | Nir Eyal Author & Consultant, Nir & Far | 2.73 | 30 |
| 16 | Joel Greenblatt Managing Principal & Co-CIO, Gotham Asset Management | 2.69 | 16 |
| 17 | Jason Fried Co-founder and CEO, 37signals | 2.69 | 26 |
| 18 | Barry Diller Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC | 2.67 | 24 |
| 19 | Tyler Cowen Professor of Economics, George Mason University | 2.65 | 46 |
| 20 | Dr. David Sinclair | 2.65 | 49 |
| 21 | William MacAskill Senior Research Fellow, Forethought | 2.65 | 34 |
| 22 | Elad Gil Founder, Gil Capital | 2.64 | 42 |
| 23 | Chamath Palihapitiya Founder & CEO, Social Capital | 2.62 | 21 |
| 24 | Rey Flemings Co-Founder and CEO, Myria | 2.61 | 18 |
| 25 | Nathan Myhrvold Co-founder & CEO, Intellectual Ventures | 2.61 | 18 |
| 26 | Kunal Shah Founder & CEO, CRED | 2.61 | 54 |
| 27 | Roger Martin Professor Emeritus, Rotman School of Management | 2.61 | 31 |
| 28 | Lisa Feldman Barrett Distinguished Professor of Psychology, Northeastern University | 2.61 | 18 |
| 29 | Dr. Julie Gurner Founder, Gurner Consulting | 2.6 | 25 |
| 30 | Lulu Cheng Meservey Founder and CEO, Rostra | 2.59 | 39 |
| 31 | Adam Robinson Founder & CEO, Retention.com | 2.58 | 73 |
| 32 | Jason Karp Founder and CEO, HumanCo | 2.58 | 19 |
| 33 | Bethany McLean Contributing Editor, Vanity Fair | 2.58 | 45 |
| 34 | Daniel Gross Compute Lead, Meta | 2.58 | 33 |
| 35 | Kevin Kelly Senior Maverick, Wired | 2.57 | 23 |
| 36 | Michaeleen Doucleff Science Correspondent, NPR | 2.56 | 16 |
| 37 | Marc Andreessen Co-Founder and General Partner, Andreessen Horowitz | 2.55 | 29 |
| 38 | Scott Adams | 2.55 | 20 |
| 39 | Dr. Sue Johnson Founding Director, ICEEFT | 2.54 | 52 |
| 40 | Josh Wolfe Co-Founder & Managing Partner, Lux Capital | 2.54 | 92 |
| 41 | Rory Sutherland Vice Chairman, Ogilvy UK | 2.53 | 109 |
| 42 | Tobi Lütke Co-Founder and CEO, Shopify | 2.53 | 81 |
| 43 | Jane McGonigal Director of Games R&D, Institute for the Future | 2.53 | 32 |
| 44 | Greg Brockman President & Co-founder, OpenAI | 2.51 | 39 |
| 45 | Frank Slootman Chairman, Snowflake | 2.5 | 32 |
| 46 | George Stalk Jr. Senior Advisor, Boston Consulting Group | 2.5 | 20 |
| 47 | Garry Tan President & CEO, Y Combinator | 2.46 | 72 |
| 48 | Bill Ackman Founder and CEO, Pershing Square Capital Management | 2.45 | 33 |
| 49 | Reed Hastings Co-Founder, Netflix | 2.44 | 36 |
| 50 | Stanley McChrystal Founder and Partner, McChrystal Group | 2.41 | 29 |
| 51 | Matt Ridley Author & Columnist | 2.41 | 29 |
| 52 | Naval Ravikant Co-founder and Chairman, AngelList | 2.41 | 63 |
| 53 | Jeff Immelt Venture Partner, NEA | 2.4 | 25 |
| 54 | Chris Voss CEO and Founder, The Black Swan Group | 2.4 | 42 |
| 55 | Jason Calacanis Founder & CEO, LAUNCH | 2.37 | 30 |
| 56 | Anthony Scilipoti President & CEO, Veritas Investment Research | 2.36 | 44 |
| 57 | Bret Taylor CEO & Co-Founder, Sierra | 2.36 | 56 |
| 58 | Sahil Lavingia Founder and CEO, Gumroad | 2.36 | 22 |
| 59 | Dacher Keltner Professor of Psychology, UC Berkeley | 2.35 | 23 |
| 60 | Codie Sanchez Founder & CEO, Contrarian Thinking | 2.33 | 49 |
| 61 | Jeff Hunter Founder & CEO, Talentism | 2.33 | 27 |
| 62 | Ben Thompson Founder & Author, Stratechery | 2.33 | 45 |
| 63 | Jason Zweig | 2.32 | 22 |
| 64 | Mark Pincus Founder & Executive Chairman, Zynga | 2.31 | 36 |
| 65 | Blake Eastman Founder, The Nonverbal Group | 2.31 | 29 |
| 66 | Scott Page Professor, University of Michigan | 2.31 | 16 |
| 67 | Howard Marks Co-Founder and Co-Chairman, Oaktree Capital Management | 2.31 | 26 |
| 68 | Winston Weinberg Co-founder and CEO, Harvey | 2.3 | 20 |
| 69 | Randall Stutman Founder, Admired Leadership Institute | 2.3 | 20 |
| 70 | Gary Klein Chief Scientist, ShadowBox LLC | 2.3 | 27 |
| 71 | BJ Fogg Director, Stanford Behavior Design Lab | 2.3 | 23 |
| 72 | Gabriel Weinberg Founder & CEO, DuckDuckGo | 2.3 | 23 |
| 73 | Daniel Kahneman Professor of Psychology Emeritus, Princeton University | 2.29 | 58 |
| 74 | Barbara Oakley Distinguished Professor of Engineering, Oakland University | 2.29 | 34 |
| 75 | Paul Assaiante Athletics Ambassador, Trinity College | 2.29 | 17 |
| 76 | Esther Wojcicki Founder & CEO, Global Moonshots in Education | 2.29 | 24 |
| 77 | Hugh Howey Author & Executive Producer | 2.29 | 28 |
| 78 | Shreyas Doshi Startup Advisor & Executive Coach | 2.28 | 18 |
| 79 | Code Cubitt Co-Founder & Managing Director, Mistral Venture Partners | 2.28 | 32 |
| 80 | Dr. Gio Valiante Performance Psychologist and High-Performance Coach | 2.27 | 40 |
| 81 | Nicolai Tangen CEO, Norges Bank Investment Management | 2.27 | 30 |
| 82 | Seth Godin Author, Speaker, and Teacher, Seth's Blog | 2.27 | 40 |
| 83 | April Dunford Founder and CEO, Ambient Strategy | 2.24 | 33 |
| 84 | Brent Beshore Founder & CEO, Permanent Equity | 2.24 | 29 |
| 85 | Aaron Dignan Founder, The Ready | 2.24 | 34 |
| 86 | Pedro Domingos Professor Emeritus, University of Washington | 2.24 | 51 |
| 87 | Ravi Gupta Partner, Sequoia Capital | 2.23 | 26 |
| 88 | Nancy Sherman | 2.23 | 13 |
| 89 | Chris Dixon Founder & Managing Partner, a16z crypto | 2.23 | 22 |
| 90 | Matt Mullenweg Founder & CEO, Automattic | 2.22 | 32 |
| 91 | Diana Chapman Co-founder, Conscious Leadership Group | 2.21 | 19 |
| 92 | Sarah Tavel Venture Partner, Benchmark | 2.21 | 28 |
| 93 | Sendhil Mullainathan Professor of Economics and EECS, MIT | 2.21 | 24 |
| 94 | Aaron Wade Founder, Homeroom | 2.2 | 15 |
| 95 | Emily Nagoski Author and Sex Educator | 2.2 | 25 |
| 96 | Ryan Petersen Founder & CEO, Flexport | 2.19 | 43 |
| 97 | Jim Collins | 2.19 | 53 |
| 98 | Justin Su'a Founder & Leadership Performance Advisor, PAG | 2.19 | 16 |
| 99 | Jim Dethmer Co-Founder, The Conscious Leadership Group | 2.18 | 45 |
| 100 | Noreena Hertz Honorary Professor, University College London | 2.18 | 28 |
| 101 | Alan Mulally Senior Fellow, Seattle University | 2.17 | 18 |
| 102 | Adam Grant Professor of Management, Wharton | 2.16 | 57 |
| 103 | Marshall Goldsmith Executive Coach & Co-Founder, 100 Coaches Agency | 2.16 | 32 |
| 104 | Mike Maples Jr. Co-Founder and Partner, Floodgate | 2.16 | 43 |
| 105 | Todd Herman Founder, Herman Global Ventures | 2.15 | 27 |
| 106 | Brian Halligan Co-Founder & Executive Chairperson, HubSpot | 2.14 | 21 |
| 107 | Russ Hudson Co-founder, The Enneagram Institute | 2.14 | 29 |
| 108 | Barbara Coloroso Author & Consultant, Kids Are Worth It! Inc. | 2.14 | 28 |
| 109 | Margaret Heffernan Professor of Practice, University of Bath | 2.14 | 21 |
| 110 | Jerry Colonna Co-Founder and CEO, Reboot.io | 2.13 | 15 |
| 111 | Luke Burgess Managing Partner, Fourth Wall Ventures | 2.13 | 31 |
| 112 | Josh Kaufman Founder, PersonalMBA.com | 2.13 | 15 |
| 113 | Michael Ovitz Chairman, Treville Capital Group | 2.12 | 32 |
| 114 | Reid Hoffman Partner, Greylock | 2.12 | 26 |
| 115 | Patrick Collison Co-founder & CEO, Stripe | 2.12 | 42 |
| 116 | Esther Perel Host, Where Should We Begin? | 2.12 | 32 |
| 117 | Vlad Tenev Co-Founder & CEO, Robinhood | 2.11 | 37 |
| 118 | Hannah Fry Professor, University of Cambridge | 2.11 | 19 |
| 119 | Frank Stephenson Co-Founder & CCO, frankstephenson design | 2.11 | 19 |
| 120 | Jeff Annello Investment & Planning Analyst, SAGEbroadview | 2.11 | 9 |
| 121 | Brad Jacobs Chairman & CEO, QXO, Inc. | 2.1 | 62 |
| 122 | Charlie Hoehn Co-Founder and CEO, Author.Inc | 2.09 | 33 |
| 123 | Robert Greene Author and Speaker | 2.09 | 23 |
| 124 | Morgan Housel Partner, The Collaborative Fund | 2.08 | 152 |
| 125 | Dr. Becky Kennedy Founder & CEO, Good Inside | 2.08 | 26 |
| 126 | Amelia Boone | 2.08 | 13 |
| 127 | Ryan Holiday Founder & Host, The Daily Stoic | 2.07 | 71 |
| 128 | Dr. Andrew Huberman Professor, Stanford University School of Medicine | 2.06 | 36 |
| 129 | Danny Meyer Founder & Executive Chairman, USHG | 2.06 | 16 |
| 130 | Paul Rabil Co-Founder and President, Premier Lacrosse League | 2.06 | 32 |
| 131 | Susan Cain Author & Founder, Quiet Revolution | 2.06 | 18 |
| 132 | Loch Kelly Founder and Guiding Teacher, Effortless Mindfulness Institute | 2.05 | 20 |
| 133 | Derek Sivers Author and Programmer | 2.04 | 26 |
| 134 | Annie Duke Special Partner, First Round Capital | 2.04 | 25 |
| 135 | Angela Duckworth Professor of Psychology, University of Pennsylvania | 2.04 | 23 |
| 136 | Doug Conant Founder and CEO, ConantLeadership | 2.04 | 25 |
| 137 | Dr. Laura Markham Founder & Clinical Psychologist, Aha! Parenting | 2.04 | 27 |
| 138 | Indra Nooyi Former CEO, PepsiCo | 2.03 | 39 |
| 139 | John Mackey Co-Founder & CEO, Love.Life | 2.03 | 35 |
| 140 | Dr. Rhonda Patrick Founder, FoundMyFitness | 2.02 | 41 |
| 141 | Jim Murphy | 2 | 13 |
| 142 | Alfred Lin Partner & Co-Steward, Sequoia Capital | 2 | 52 |
| 143 | Matthew Dicks Storyteller & Author, Storyworthy | 2 | 48 |
| 144 | Ed Latimore Founder, Mind and Fist | 2 | 22 |
| 145 | Jennifer Garvey Berger Co-founder & CEO, Cultivating Leadership | 2 | 44 |
| 146 | Brian Koppelman Screenwriter, Director & Showrunner | 2 | 11 |
| 147 | Dr. Atul Gawande Surgeon, Brigham and Women’s Hospital | 2 | 25 |
| 148 | Sanjay Bakshi | 2 | 15 |
| 149 | Tracy Britt Cool Co-Founder, Kanbrick | 1.97 | 34 |
| 150 | Christopher Davis Chairman & Portfolio Manager, Davis Advisors | 1.96 | 48 |
| 151 | Mickey Drexler Chairman, Alex Mill | 1.95 | 19 |
| 152 | Julia Galef Co-founder, Center for Applied Rationality | 1.95 | 20 |
| 153 | Dr. Thomas Zurbuchen Director, ETH Zurich | Space | 1.94 | 33 |
| 154 | Chris Bosh Author and Former Professional Basketball Player | 1.94 | 17 |
| 155 | William Irvine Professor Emeritus of Philosophy, Wright State University | 1.94 | 18 |
| 156 | Warren Berger Founder, A More Beautiful Question | 1.94 | 17 |
| 157 | Brent Gilchrist President, JDS Resources | 1.93 | 14 |
| 158 | Harley Finkelstein President, Shopify | 1.92 | 26 |
| 159 | Ron Shaich CEO & Managing Partner, Act III Holdings | 1.92 | 25 |
| 160 | Bruce Flatt CEO, Brookfield Corporation | 1.92 | 38 |
| 161 | Sheila Heen Professor of Practice, Harvard Law School | 1.92 | 26 |
| 162 | John Maxwell Founder, Maxwell Leadership | 1.91 | 11 |
| 163 | Ray Dalio Founder and Mentor, Bridgewater Associates | 1.91 | 34 |
| 164 | David Baszucki Co-founder & CEO, Roblox | 1.9 | 21 |
| 165 | Rob Fraser Founder & CEO, Outway | 1.9 | 30 |
| 166 | Maria Konnikova Contributing Writer, The New Yorker | 1.9 | 21 |
| 167 | Logan Ury Director of Relationship Science, Hinge | 1.89 | 36 |
| 168 | Dan Kluger Chef & Owner, Loring Place | 1.89 | 9 |
| 169 | Michael Mauboussin Head of Consilient Research, Counterpoint Global | 1.89 | 35 |
| 170 | Dan Ariely Professor, Duke University | 1.89 | 28 |
| 171 | Michael Lombardi Host, The GM Shuffle | 1.89 | 9 |
| 172 | Sam Arbesman Venture Partner, Lux Capital | 1.88 | 17 |
| 173 | John Bragg Chairman and Co-CEO, Oxford Frozen Foods | 1.87 | 55 |
| 174 | Dr. Jim Loehr Co-founder, Human Performance Institute | 1.86 | 21 |
| 175 | Walter Isaacson Professor, Tulane University | 1.86 | 29 |
| 176 | Chris Cordell Portfolio Manager, Davis Advisors | 1.86 | 14 |
| 177 | Stephen Schwarzman Chairman, CEO, and Co-Founder, Blackstone | 1.86 | 29 |
| 178 | Suzanne Iasenza Faculty Member, Ackerman Institute for the Family | 1.84 | 31 |
| 179 | Dr. Anna Lembke Professor of Psychiatry, Stanford University | 1.83 | 30 |
| 180 | Apolo Ohno CEO, Olympic Mountain | 1.83 | 18 |
| 181 | Jack Kornfield Guiding Teacher, Spirit Rock Meditation Center | 1.82 | 11 |
| 182 | Todd Simkin Associate Director, Susquehanna International Group | 1.82 | 22 |
| 183 | David Heacock Founder and CEO, Filterbuy | 1.81 | 43 |
| 184 | Les Snead General Manager, Los Angeles Rams | 1.81 | 26 |
| 185 | Shep Gordon President & Co-Founder, Alive Enterprises | 1.81 | 21 |
| 186 | Celeste Headlee President & CEO, Headway DEI | 1.81 | 36 |
| 187 | Dr. Leah Lagos Clinical and Performance Psychologist, Private Practice | 1.8 | 15 |
| 188 | Kat Cole CEO, AG1 | 1.8 | 20 |
| 189 | Laurie Santos Professor of Psychology, Yale University | 1.8 | 35 |
| 190 | Greg Walton Professor of Psychology, Stanford University | 1.8 | 15 |
| 191 | Barbara Tversky Professor of Psychology, Columbia University | 1.79 | 29 |
| 192 | Neil Pasricha Founder and Director, The Institute for Global Happiness | 1.78 | 51 |
| 193 | Philip Tetlock Professor, University of Pennsylvania | 1.78 | 18 |
| 194 | Dr. Matt Walker Professor of Neuroscience, UT Dallas | 1.77 | 35 |
| 195 | Aristotle Koskinas | 1.77 | 13 |
| 196 | Sarah Jones Simmer COO, National Women's Soccer League | 1.76 | 21 |
| 197 | Tom Gaynor CEO & Chairman, Markel Group | 1.75 | 36 |
| 198 | Connor Teskey CEO, Brookfield Asset Management | 1.74 | 19 |
| 199 | James Clear Author and Writer, JamesClear.com | 1.74 | 57 |
| 200 | Adam Carr President and Portfolio Manager, Orbis Investments | 1.74 | 27 |
| 201 | Keith Creel President and CEO, CPKC | 1.73 | 15 |
| 202 | Dr. Giulia Enders Physician and Author | 1.71 | 42 |
| 203 | Maya Shankar Senior Director of Behavioral Economics, Google | 1.71 | 21 |
| 204 | Veronique Rivet | 1.71 | 14 |
| 205 | David Segal Co-Founder & CEO, Firebelly Tea | 1.67 | 18 |
| 206 | Bill Belichick Head Football Coach, North Carolina Tar Heels | 1.65 | 31 |
| 207 | Andrew Wilkinson Co-Founder and Managing Partner, Tiny | 1.62 | 29 |
| 208 | Steven Strogatz Professor of Applied Mathematics, Cornell University | 1.62 | 16 |
| 209 | Dr. Emily Balcetis Associate Professor of Psychology, New York University | 1.61 | 18 |
| 210 | Alexander Shelley Artistic and Music Director, Artis—Naples | 1.61 | 18 |
| 211 | Marc Garneau Former Minister of Transport, Government of Canada | 1.58 | 19 |
| 212 | Mario Harik Chairman & CEO, XPO, Inc. | 1.57 | 42 |
| 213 | Robert Cialdini Professor Emeritus, Arizona State University | 1.57 | 28 |
| 214 | Carolyn Coughlin Co-founder and US Director, Cultivating Leadership | 1.53 | 15 |
| 215 | Gina Poe Professor and BRI Director, UCLA | 1.48 | 21 |
| 216 | Thomas Tull Founder, Chairman & CEO, Tulco | 1.44 | 9 |
| 217 | Charlie Munger Former Vice Chairman, Berkshire Hathaway | 1.4 | 5 |
| 218 | Joe Mazzulla Head Coach, Boston Celtics | 1.29 | 7 |
| 219 | Panayiota Kalogeropoulou | 1.25 | 8 |
The most bearish calls
Debate potential is an AI score of how much a statement invites disagreement. Bearish counts tally what was said about a company on the show; they describe the conversation, not the company. Every count opens to the exact tape. full disclaimer →
All 275 companies, funds and products with at least one bearish claim on the record.