The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Evans: Anthropic's safety studies merely prove models follow rogue prompts
“And that's what these anthropic studies are. They're basically, you tell the machine to say a thing, And then it says it. Like, well you haven't proved anything.”
Benedict Evans Sep 2, 2025 ▶ 15:15 Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gil: The Tech Sector Will See Fewer New Foundation Model Companies
“We'll see fewer, what are known as foundation model companies, the people building the open AIs or Anthropics or some of the Google core technologies.”
Elad Gil May 13, 2025 ▶ 17:46 Elad Gil: How to Spot a Billion-Dollar Startup Before the Rest of the World
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Garry Tan: Every major AI lab will release computer-use agent capabilities
“What Anthropic is doing with computer use is, you know, I think that you know, what I've heard is basically every major lab is probably going to need to release something like that, whether it's an API the way Anthropic has, or literally built into this you kn…”
Garry Tan Apr 29, 2025 ▶ 1:16:59 Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan: Turning Ambitious Misfits into Founders
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tan: Mainstream global users know ChatGPT but definitely not Anthropic or Claude
“If you go any, almost anywhere in the world I, you know, people maybe have heard of ChatGPT, they definitely haven't heard of Anthropic or Claude.”
Garry Tan Apr 29, 2025 ▶ 1:23:40 Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan: Turning Ambitious Misfits into Founders
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