Venture capital, startups and investing, on tape.
Every prediction, opinion and bold claim from the Knowledge Project: extracted from the transcript, verified against the tape, checked against cited public sources, playable at the exact moment it was said.
3,890 insights1,976 assertions686 opinions629 disclosures295 predictions41 what-ifs
every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. Of those 2,271 claims, 1,551 carry an assessment, 70 are not yet assessed, and 650 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to pin down. The rest (opinions, what ifs, insights) carry no assessment because the record can never settle them.
Powered by StarZero: transcripts that keep every stumble, speaker identity, and playback that starts at the exact word. An agentic research harness does the extraction, verification and grounded fact checking · how it works → · we audit our assessments →
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Ordered by full support rate, then by supported count. Minimum three resolved. Partly supported claims count as resolved but not as fully supported, same as everywhere on the ledger.
| Person | Eps | Statements | Supported | Partly supported | Contradicted | Full support rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dr. Emily Balcetis | 2 | 18 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Greg Brockman | 1 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Brad Jacobs | 3 | 62 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Greg Walton | 1 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Steven Strogatz | 1 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Benedict Evans | 1 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Daniel Kahneman | 3 | 58 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Michael Mauboussin | 2 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
From the Wisdom Wall all quotes →
“I love M&A as a way to create value for shareholders because I don't know of another way on a risk adjusted basis on a certainty level that Is more likely to create massive shareholder value than…”
Brad Jacobs, Aug 4, 2026 · ▶ 58:50“It is to be remembered that oftentimes the most difficult competition comes not from the strong, intelligent, conservative competitor, but from the man who is holding on by the eyelids, is ignorant of…”
Shane Parrish, Jul 28, 2026 · ▶ 1:15:02“he said you basically have to live the life that you want your kids to live, and so if you want your kids to grow up with a middle-class life, you can't live in a mansion and then force a middle-class…”
Shane Parrish, Jul 28, 2026 · ▶ 2:48:32