why aren't all 1,976 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 14 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Brockman: Elon, Sam, Ilya, and I Agreed OpenAI Needed For-Profit Structure
“Elon, Sam, Ilya, and I all agreed. That the only path forward for OpenAI, the only path to achieve the mission, was to create a for-profit entity associated with OpenAI of some form. And so we were committed to that direction, and that is something that we kne…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brockman: OpenAI board gave zero explanation when firing Altman and removing Brockman
“I was told that the board has decided That Sam would be removed, and effectively the message that I got was the same messaging that was in the public post, and I asked if I could have any more information. I was told no, not right now, and I pressed on that ma…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Poilievre: Mark Carney holds 90% of assets in US, dodges Canadian taxes
“Here's Mark Carney, the guy who moved his corporate headquarters to the US, who has 90% of his assets in the US who You know, he, Carney dodges his taxes in Canada by putting his, putting them in the Caribbean.”
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: Research shows cellular epigenetic aging damage can be reversed
“And what we've discovered is that there are ways to, well, we discovered one of the main causes of scratches, that's broken chromosomes, which happens all the time in our bodies. Extreme cell damage also does that if we crush nerves. But we've also figured out…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Parrish: Snowden's leak of exploitation techniques cost people lives
“You can just reveal the details of the programs, but the actual techniques that he revealed, the software techniques, the exploitation techniques that, I mean, that, that definitely cost people lives that had a huge impact on people working there.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Zynga had a $400M handshake deal to acquire Supercell
“And I had a handshake with Ilka, the founder and CEO, to buy the company for four hundred million in cash.”
Assertion Supported
Brockman: OpenAI models recently resolved an open quantum physics problem
“If you look at math and physics, we now are solving open math problems. We're solving Open physics problems and actually have resolved this particular physics problem recently in quantum physics in the opposite way that the community expected.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brockman: Claims that OpenAI data centers consume massive water are misinformation
“Like a good example is data centers and water usage. Like that, that's something that people talk about a lot, but actually our data centers use incredibly little water, right? That's actually misinformation that they use a lot.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Liemandt: 200-Student School Achieves More Perfect Scores Than 100K-Student District
“And so we get more hundreds on state standardized tests in a building of 200 people than a school district of a 100,000.”
Assertion Contradicted
Liemandt: Paper shows 50% of UCSD freshmen cannot answer fifth-grade questions
“I think UC San Diego, one of the top schools, universities in our country, right? Just published a paper that, like, 50% of their freshmen can't answer fifth grade questions.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Liemandt: Elite private school students with A's test years behind
“The high and private schools are all lying to their parents by giving kids A's when they don't deserve them. So like we pulled in, you know, so we had hundreds of kids join, you know, whatever, couple months ago across the country. Right. And these are people …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Liemandt: Alpha School loses about 50% of educators over learning accountability
“We lose about 50% of our educators when we tell them they're accountable for the kid learning.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Liemandt: Alpha Fifth Graders Beat Wharton MBAs on Teamwork and Leadership Assessments
“We have quantified all the metrics on the life skills, right? So I know it's not just, oh yeah, our kids have grit, or oh, they're good public speakers. I'm like, no, everybody in our class scored 95% on RI, and every fifth grader beat a Wharton MBA in teamwor…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tenev: Robinhood does not have any business with hedge funds
“We don't really have any business with hedge funds.”
Assertion Supported
Poilievre: Canada's 3% Population Growth Outpaces 1% Housing and Healthcare Growth
“The liberals have been bringing in a million people a year, growing our population almost three percent while our housing stock grows by one percent. Our job market grows by about the same and our availability of doctors and nurses grows by about That one or t…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Poilievre: Temporary foreign workers are paid below prevailing wages and suppress employment
“There are temporary foreign workers who are making less than the, in reality, less than the prevailing wage and driving wages down and jobs out.”
Assertion Supported
Poilievre: Canada gave Stellantis $15B while Stellantis cut Canadian jobs
“And we've seen it with the Stellantis deal, where we're in for fifteen billion dollars, and Stellantis is cutting jobs in Canada. Fifteen billion dollars for one company. That works out to almost a thousand dollars for every Canadian family in taxes for a comp…”
Assertion Contradicted
Poilievre: Bill C-11 lets CRTC manipulate social algorithms
“We've seen this government has been trying to concentrate more and more media power, whether it's through C-Eleven
Which allows the CRTC to manipulate social media algorithms to favor certain types of media”
Assertion Supported
Dick's Destroyed $5M in Guns and Accepted $250M Annual Sales Loss
“After Parkland in 2018, where the shooter had bought a shotgun at Dix, Ed made a decision that would cost at least two hundred and fifty million dollars annually. No more assault rifles. No firearms to anyone under 21. They destroyed five million dollars in ex…”
Assertion Supported
Deel planted a spy at Rippling who tried to flush their phone
“Like in the tech world, we're seeing a very interesting story play out between Rippling and Deal, which are these two payroll processors, and Deal planting a spy, and the spy, like, running into the bathroom, and then trying to flush a phone.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
A CEO's human remorse has never lost a company a court case
“In practice, I've never seen someone lose a case because the CEO expressed human remorse in And empathy, and that was the thing that made them lose in the courtroom.”
Assertion Supported
Johnson: 70% of therapists treating couples lack actual couples therapy training
“Because the fact of the matter is, 70% of mental health professionals in North America say they seek Couples now, because the demand is huge, and most of those people have not been trained in couples therapy.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
U.S. tariffs are causing Flexport customers to halt domestic manufacturing
“I haven't met anyone who said, oh, because of these tariffs, I'm gonna start doing production in the U.S. I've read some headlines on it, and they've done some White House announcements and things, but like, those aren't my customer base. And my customer base …”
Assertion Contradicted
Parrish: El Salvador replaced public teachers with Synthesis AI tutoring software
“Oh, so they developed this Synthesis, this AI company developed this tutor, which actually teaches kids, and it's so good that El Salvador, the country, just recently adopted and replaced their teachers.”
Assertion Contradicted
Poilievre: Mark Carney Claimed in 2021 There Would Be No Inflation
“Like, you know, Mr. Carney, for example, told us in 20, 21, don't worry about inflation. There won't be any inflation. We should print even more money. Well, he was totally wrong. Like, utterly wrong.”
Assertion Partly supported
Poilievre claims 25% of Canadians in poverty and food bank lineups doubled
“Now 25% of people are in poverty. Food bank lineups increased by over a hundred percent. One in four of our kids is going to school undernourished.”
Assertion Partly supported
Poilievre: 23,500 fast-tracked infrastructure projects produced zero documented environmental issues
“23,500 projects got done from concept to completion and
In two years and the environment commissioner, an independent officer went out and did a full study and review and couldn't find a single environmental problem that had resulted from it.”
Assertion Supported
Poilievre: University of Ottawa Hired Convicted Paris Terrorist as Professor
“The University of Ottawa had hired a guy as a professor who had committed a terrorist attack in Paris before he came to Canada.”
Assertion Supported
Poilievre: Bill C-75 mandates releasing accused under least onerous conditions
“Bill C-seventy-five is the liberal bail law, and it requires judges release the accused under, quote, the earliest opportunity under the least onerous conditions.”
Assertion Supported
Research Disproves the Claim That Yelling Causes Children Lifelong Trauma
“This is their idea that anything we do to get, anytime you yell at a kid that can traumatize a kid, that injury, emotional injury can be with them for a lifetime. It's not true. It's not what the best research has shown”
Assertion Supported
Studies Show Kids Excluded From Social-Emotional Learning Have Lower Anxiety
“Researchers in Australia and England actually tested this, separate groups of researchers, and they were able to show that the kids in the control group who didn't go through these practices ended up happier, better adjusted, better in, in terms of depression …”
Assertion Supported
NIMH Protocols Exclude Parents While Asking 8-Year-Olds About Suicide
“And it was created by our National Institute of Mental Health. This is a federal government agency, and they decided, and this is part of the protocol, kids age eight and up, they asked the parents to leave, and then they asked the children five escalating que…”
Assertion Supported
CDC Research Shows Normalizing Suicide Discussions Increases Youth Suicide
“The CDC has great research on this, which is that if you present, if you normalize suicide with kids, if you present it as a means of coping with distress, you know, basically telegraphing, this is something other kids are doing. When they feel sad, you consta…”
Assertion Contradicted
Controlled Studies Show Grieving People Suffer Worse Outcomes From Therapy
“There's a whole body of research that shows, you know, people who've gone through natural bereavement, the loss of a loved one, often feel worse after therapy. They did these controlled studies with You know, a control group who didn't, who lost a loved one, b…”
Assertion Contradicted
Therapy Causes Breast Cancer Survivors to Experience Worse Anxiety and Depression
“Same thing with you know, breast cancer survivors, anxiety about it, depression about it. They did worse if they had gone to therapy and also alienation from a spouse, alienation from parents. All of these are classic iatrogenic effects of therapy, and there's…”
Assertion Contradicted
No Robust Scientific Evidence Shows That Preventive Mental Health Therapy Works
“There's no good study showing preventive mental health works unless you're talking about things like a good life, like connection, you know, doing things for others, getting involved in community, dancing, you know, exercising, eating right.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Giving plasma to my father slowed his aging by 25 years
“When I gave my father plasma, my father's speed of aging slowed by the equivalent of 25 years. So from a 71 year old to a 46 year old, and those results remained the stable for six months, which is the last measurement we did.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Rey Flemings: NY State rejected 2,000 ordered ventilators for unknown reasons
“Only to find out that the state of New York ultimately did not want the ventilators. I had no idea why and still, you know, kind of don't know why. I would note as a footnote that, you know, a year and a half or so ago it came out that the you know, the state …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Karp: I fully reversed degenerative blindness in two months via lifestyle changes
“After about two months of this my vision started coming back, and nobody believed it, and thankfully, there was an empirical test that the ophthalmologist can do, That basically can show the progression of your blindness. It's not like, do you see, do you not …”
Assertion Partly supported
Karp: Totino's Pizza Rolls contain over 70 ingredients and banned chemicals
“Totino's has an ingredient label that's over 70 seven zero ingredients long. It doesn't even use real cheese. It actually says on the label imitation cheese. It has at least a dozen chemicals that are banned in other countries that are in the ingredient label.”
Assertion Contradicted
Natural gas produces more net global warming than coal
“Natural gas actually produces more global warming in almost every case than coal.”
Assertion Contradicted
Driving a Tesla on the US East Coast actively hurts the climate
“If you drive a Tesla and you live in the East Coast of the United States, statistically speaking, you're hurting the climate, not helping it.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinclair: Research Shows Interventions Can Make an 80-Year-Old Biologically 60
“We're keeping animals and increasingly we're showing with people that you can keep them younger for longer so that when you're 80, you can actually be 60.”
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: Data Shows Carnivore Diet Does Not Promote Long-Term Longevity
“I'm convinced and the data shows it from population studies that a carnivorous diet isn't a longevity producing diet in the long run, right?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Srinivasan: Most Core Math and Physics Breakthroughs Predate the NSF
“The vast majority Of, you know, results in mathematics and physics and so on that we rely on happened before NSF. Okay. Let's say like they predate the modern scientific establishment that Vannevar Bush set up”
Assertion Supported
Huberman: 1mg Melatonin Is ~100x Natural Secretion and Suppresses Puberty
“What you take in terms of one milligram melatonin, very small dosage, something like a hundred times what you naturally secrete. I get really concerned about this, especially in kids because melatonin is actually the hormone that suppresses the onset of pubert…”
Assertion Contradicted
Huberman: Mouth breathing causes deviated septums in most non-trauma cases
“The reason you have a deviated septum is because you're a mouth breather. There are rare exceptions where if people boxed or they had broken nose or something like that, but your sinuses can learn to dilate.”
Assertion Partly supported
Greenblatt: Nikola held a $6.5B valuation despite appearing completely fraudulent
“I was just looking after it's turned out that it appears to be mostly a fraud and they really haven't come up with anything that they promised still has a market cap of six and a half billion.”