why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Johnson: Biology rejects polyamory trends because human love is neurologically hardwired
“The New York Times writes articles about how Oh, romantic, love is changing, and, you know, we're all going to be polyamorous, or we're going to have hookups until we're 60, and it's all going to be great, and, you know, there's going to be lots of freedom, an…”
Opinion
Johnson: Romantic attachment is structured by biology, not social convention
“These things are not social conventions. They're not made up. You know, the New York Times writes articles about how Oh, romantic. Love is changing, and, you know, we're all going to be polyamorous, or we're going to have hookups until we're 60, and it's all g…”
Insight
Rushkoff: Factual institutions lose when they manipulate truth to manage perceptions
“Once you start playing that game,
You're going to lose to whoever plays that game more ruthlessly.
You know, if you're going to be on the side of supposedly factual evidence-based reality, you got to stick with that.”
Assertion Supported
The New York Times Increased Revenue by Dropping Behavioral Ads in Europe
“Like after GDPR in Europe, the New York Times Decided to ditch all the behavioral advertising and put up contextual advertising only and they increased revenue.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Charlie Munger told Zweig he fears the loss of media oligopolies
“Charlie Munger told me last year when I was at the Daily Journal meeting in Los Angeles that he really fears for the future of the Republic, as he puts it that newspapers like the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times no longer have the, I guess I would s…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2031
Parrish: News Outlets Will Personalize Article Text to Readers' Preferences
“So increasingly, I mean, we're moving to a world. I don't think people quite realize that yet where you and I open the same article in the wall street journal or New York times, it's going to be two different versions of that article that's based on our browsi…”
Insight
Hoehn: NYT bestseller ROI comes from marketing effort, not the credential
“And I will say to people who hit the list, like congrats, it's hard to do. And you're probably going to make whatever investment you made into hitting that list back, but it won't be because of the list. It will not be because of the New York, it will be corre…”
Assertion Partly supported
Rushkoff: The New York Times misrepresented Israeli COVID study for clicks
“So when I see a piece In the New York Times that, you know, the headline and the first few paragraphs are arguing that, oh, you know, when Israel opened up its schools, its elementary schools COVID rates went up. And then you finally read all the way down, and…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Authors Need 15,000 First-Week Sales to Hit The New York Times List
“You have to sell if you, if you're going, like, in an average time of year, anywhere between probably 10 to 20,000 copies. A safe, Place to bet is 15,000 copies. So you have to sell 15,000 copies right out of the gate.”
Disclosure
Parrish framed a critical NYT comment to motivate himself to work harder
“There was this time, a comment on the New York Times profile that they wrote on me And it literally, you know, I framed it, and I put it in the office, and it was like this guy's enjoying his 15 minutes of fame. And it drove me to be better and to work harder …”