why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Wolfe: 30% to 50% of AI inference will occur on-device
“I think that you're going to end up doing a lot of inference on device. Meaning, instead of going, ah, to the cloud and typing a query, like, 30 to 50% of your inference may be on an Apple or an Android device.”
Assertion Supported
Holland: Samsung Android 11 builds may lack upstream security fixes
“You could have, you know, the latest Samsung phone running Android 11 that doesn't actually have all of the security fixes that the main Android branch has.”
Opinion
Holland: Targeted attacks are more likely to succeed on Android than iOS
“The odds of being hit in a mass attack are potentially lower, but if somebody is targeting you, I would say that the odds of, you know, you, them being successful against you are higher on Android for sure.”
Opinion
Wolfe: Android is better architected than Apple for on-device AI
“And if I had to bet today, it's Android because of the architecture over Apple, but if Apple can do some smart things, maybe they can catch up to this, but some of the design choices and the closed aspects, which have been great for privacy as a feature, may h…”
Insight
Holland: Android fragmentation prevents mass attacks better than Apple iOS
“The nature of Android also creates a scenario where there's so many different flavors of Android, it makes it much more difficult to create a mass attack. Whereas on iOS, because it's the same version of the operating system across the board on every device, i…”
Opinion
Holland: Running a one-year-old Android OS makes users significant targets
“Pretty confident that if you're rocking a version of Android that's a year old, you're probably a pretty big target, and that, You know, again, I don't mean to pick on Android, but that is just a reality of how that ecosystem has evolved.”
What-if
Maples: Cheap drones would not exist without iPhone and Android scale
“So you wouldn't have drones as cheap as they are if it wasn't for the iPhone and for Android. Because now you have cameras and sensors and chips that never would have been built just for drones, but now are mass producing to be harnessed by drones and by other…”