Venkatesh Rao

Founder, Ribbonfarm · 2 appearances on the record.

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Venkatesh Rao is a strategy consultant and theorist known for writing on technology, mental models, and organizational dynamics. He is the founder of the blog Ribbonfarm and the author of Tempo: Timing, Tactics and Strategy in Narrative-Driven Decision-Making.

18statements → 0claims → 0claims resolved → 3.67/5average certainty → 2.78/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated → 4said about them ↓

1 opinion · 16 insights · 1 disclosure · every statement was checked. none of them is a claim the record can settle: opinions, insights and disclosures never carry an assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Venkatesh argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Venkatesh Rao on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Venkatesh Rao said on the Knowledge Project that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Insight
Rao: Individualistic conceptual thinking emerged less than 500 years ago
“So if you want to stack them in sort of evolutionary primacy order, I think tribal affiliational is the sort of most ancient of our decision making frameworks. The good and evil framework is slightly more recent in evolutionary history because you have, you ne…”
Venkatesh Rao Jan 28, 2016 ▶ 13:08 #7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers
Insight
Rao: The primary purpose of a mental model is to blind you
“So your mental model's job is basically to blind you. It's to blind you to 99.9999% of all the pertinent reality data that could possibly be salient to a decision so that you're paying attention to an extremely narrow stream of information. That's the purpose …”
Venkatesh Rao Jan 28, 2016 ▶ 22:00 #7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers
Insight
Rao: Automating middle management is actively shrinking the middle class
“That's the layer of the working world, at least, that's increasingly being automated. We no longer go through like four layers of approvals to get like a travel expense form reimbursed. We go to a piece of software, enter some details, maybe one person takes a…”
Venkatesh Rao Jan 28, 2016 ▶ 43:39 #7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers
Insight
Rao: Free agents replaced middle managers as the modern workforce archetype
“Perhaps the biggest flip is that the defining archetype of the new world of organizations is no longer the middle manager, but in fact the free agent. So people like you and me, the people who don't actually live in organizations at all, but live in the ecosys…”
Venkatesh Rao Jan 28, 2016 ▶ 44:24 #7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers
Insight
Rao: Uber drivers generate the R&D data used to automate their jobs
“When an Uber driver picks a passenger from point A and drops him off at point B, that passenger gets a ride and the driver gets paid some money. But the data that's generated that goes and feeds machine learning algorithms that, you know, improve everything fr…”
Venkatesh Rao Jan 28, 2016 ▶ 54:34 #7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers
Insight
Rao: For tribal thinkers, the only independent decision is tribe selection
“Understanding these People individually is the wrong thing to even attempt. You have to understand sort of how their groups or tribes think and think of these individuals only in terms of which tribes they choose to join. So that's the only decision that ever …”
Venkatesh Rao Oct 25, 2022 ▶ 6:16 TKP Insights: Making (Even) Better Decisions
Insight
Rao: Conceptual reasoning is modern, while tribal thinking is evolutionarily oldest
“If you want to stack them in sort of evolutionary primacy order, I think tribal affiliational is the sort of most ancient of our decision-making frameworks. The good and evil framework is slightly more recent in evolutionary history because you have, you need …”
Venkatesh Rao Oct 25, 2022 ▶ 12:07 TKP Insights: Making (Even) Better Decisions
Insight
Rao: Human decision-making divides into conceptual, ethical, and tribal archetypes
“So those are my three big buckets of types of human decision-making, and you and I think, represent the first kind, which is explored quite a lot in Tempo and your blog. The second is these people who start with good and evil, who I understand A little bit now…”
Venkatesh Rao Jan 28, 2016 ▶ 6:54 #7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers
Insight
Rao: Tribal thinkers only ever make one decision: which tribe to join
“You have to understand sort of how their groups or tribes think and think of these individuals only in terms of which tribes they choose to join. So that's the only decision that ever matters in their life, which is which tribe should I join? Every other decis…”
Venkatesh Rao Jan 28, 2016 ▶ 7:25 #7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers
Insight
Rao: Tribal thinkers adopt partisan stances through emotional resonance, not issue-by-issue analysis
“For a tribal thinker, it would be, who do I want to be with as sort of the operating system of my life? Who do I want to have barbecues with? Who do I want to hang out with? Who do I want sort of as my friends in my bowling league? That sort of issue. It's not…”
Venkatesh Rao Jan 28, 2016 ▶ 8:36 #7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers
Insight
Rao: Good-versus-evil moral framing simplifies complex social decision-making
“Good and evil, if you think about it, is a very, very good way Of simplifying that whole area of decision making, where if you simply decide that a certain group is good and other groups are evil, everything else gets massively simplified.”
Venkatesh Rao Jan 28, 2016 ▶ 12:46 #7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers
Insight
Rao: Mental models prioritize internal consistency over reality
“I don't think really mental models are so much about how the world works as much as they're about internal consistency.”
Venkatesh Rao Jan 28, 2016 ▶ 18:52 #7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers
Opinion
Rao estimates that 30 to 40 percent of workers are free agents
“And of course some very naive ways of counting lead to the conclusion that it's no more than five or 10%, which I think is bullshit. So my, the number I tend to believe is somewhere between 30 to 40% appropriately defined are free agents, and these people may …”
Venkatesh Rao Jan 28, 2016 ▶ 45:30 #7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers
Insight
Rao: Citing influential books is mostly social signaling of desired identity
“Influence is a very hard thing to quantify, and I think what we end up doing when we Talk about influential books is almost a social signaling game where you're trying to, like, advertise the identity you most want to inhabit right now to others.”
Venkatesh Rao Jan 28, 2016 ▶ 1:03:41 #7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers
Insight
Rao: Mental models are best understood as fictional world-building
“The best definition of a mental model is a world in the sense of science fiction or fantasy, right? So you've got, say, a universe like the Harry Potter universe or the Lord of the Ring universe, and so there's the world, and then there's the story that's told…”
Venkatesh Rao Oct 25, 2022 ▶ 14:07 TKP Insights: Making (Even) Better Decisions
Insight
Rao: Mental models are best understood as fictional world-building
“The best definition of a mental model is a world in the sense of science fiction or fantasy, right? So you've got, say, a universe like the Harry Potter universe or the Lord of the Ring universe, and so there's the world, and then there's the story that's told…”
Venkatesh Rao Jan 28, 2016 ▶ 15:08 #7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers
Insight
Rao: Exploratory reading cracks open secure mental models to reveal new ideas
“Exploratory reading is what creates cracks in your sort of secure mental models and allows you to see new things.”
Venkatesh Rao Jan 28, 2016 ▶ 30:46 #7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers
Disclosure
Rao: Partnering with Andreessen Horowitz shifted his views toward libertarianism
“One obvious effect that this work and project has had on me is it's made me a little bit more libertarian than I used to be. So previously I would say politically I was pretty nonpartisan. I would have described myself in 2013 as say a business conservative wh…”
Venkatesh Rao Jan 28, 2016 ▶ 37:58 #7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers

The other half of the tape: Venkatesh Rao's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 4 times in 2 episodes on the Knowledge Project. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Chris Dixon 3Garry Tan 1

Every mention by year

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01120152016201720182019202020212022202320242025episodes it came up in
001.50.53120152016201720182019202020212022202320242025episodesmentions per episode
2025 1 mention in 1 episode
2015 3 mentions in 1 episode

Appearances (2)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
TKP Insights: Making (Even) Better Decisions Oct 25, 2022 13m
#7 Venkatesh Rao: The Three Types of Decision Makers Jan 28, 2016 54m
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