The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Duke: IBM lost to Apple due to a culture of outcome bias
“And it's, I've always felt that it's because IBM is operating under a culture of resulting, and Apple isn't. Apple can't possibly be Operating under they're doing something unconventional by definition. Their whole business model is to make unconventional choi…”
Annie Duke Jul 25, 2018 ▶ 1:02:03 #37 Annie Duke: Getting Better by Being Wrong
Insight
Voss: People Fear Failing in New Ways More Than Failing
“People aren't afraid to fail. They're afraid to fail in a new way. So you never get fired for hiring IBM is like, if we hire IBM and we fail, it's already been demonstrated to be a socially acceptable outcome.”
Chris Voss Jan 3, 2018 ▶ 34:06 #27 Chris Voss: The Art of Letting Other People Have Your Way
Insight
The greatest business failures come from excelling at obsolete games
“The greatest business failures often come from not playing the game poorly, but from continuing to excel at games that no longer matter.”
Shane Parrish May 20, 2025 ▶ 1:03:06 Andy Grove: Only The Paranoid Survive [Outliers]
Assertion Supported
Gil: Major open-source technologies historically require giant corporate backers
“Almost every single major open source company has had a giant, ah, institutional backer. IBM was the biggest funder of Linux in the nineties as a counterbalance to Microsoft. And the biggest funders of all the open source browsers are Apple and Google with Web…”
Elad Gil May 13, 2025 ▶ 43:48 Elad Gil: How to Spot a Billion-Dollar Startup Before the Rest of the World
Assertion Contradicted
Fry: IBM Deep Blue introduced deliberate delays to simulate human thinking
“The IBM team deliberately coded their machine so that the way that it worked for you would sort of search for solutions. And depending on how long that search would take, it would be how quickly the answer came back, but they deliberately coded it so that some…”
Hannah Fry Jul 7, 2020 ▶ 39:50 #87 Hannah Fry: The Role of Algorithms
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Immelt: Top New York Fortune 500 CEOs held quarterly dinners on governance
“So there were five CEOs in the New York City area. It was me and Ken Chenault from American Express, Sam Palmisano, and then Jenny Romney from IBM, Steve Reimann, and then Indra Newey from Pepsi, and Bill Weldon, and then Alex Gorski from J&J. And we had dinne…”
Jeff Immelt Jul 27, 2021 ▶ 44:55 #116 Jeff Immelt: Leadership In A Crisis
Assertion Supported
Domingos: AI Self-Play Dates Back to Arthur Samuel's 1950s Checkers System
“This is actually a very, very old idea in machine learning. It's one of the oldest ideas. It goes all the way back to the fifties. And this researcher at IBM called Arthur Samuel, who actually wrote the first machine learning system to learn to play a game. An…”
Pedro Domingos Aug 30, 2016 ▶ 48:13 #13 Pedro Domingos: The Rise of The Machines
Assertion Partly supported
Domingos: IBM's Deep Blue Used Classical Search With No Machine Learning
“So Deep Blue was very much classic AI. There was no machine learning involved. Deep Blue essentially, it was just doing a very a clever and very extensive search for the best moves to make.”
Pedro Domingos Aug 30, 2016 ▶ 45:02 #13 Pedro Domingos: The Rise of The Machines
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 200 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.