venture capital

also referred to as: a vc · vc · vcs · venture capital industry

1104 statements across 571 episodes · 214 bullish · 471 bearish · 447 people on the record · first statement Jan 18, 2015 by David Hornik · across every show →

Everything said about venture capital, oldest first

Jan 18, 2015 neutral
Insight
Hornik: Venture funds require billion-dollar addressable markets because startups capture small fractions
“You really need to have markets that that, that span billion dollars of available opportunity, because in all likelihood, you're going to get small fractions of those markets, and it's incumbent upon you to then you know, eek, eek out your hundreds of millions…”
David Hornik Jan 18, 2015 ▶ 12:43 20 VC 004: David Hornik on the Magic of Stanford and Startups
Jan 18, 2015 negative
Opinion
Hornik: Legal training is a terrible asset for venture capitalists
“Well, largely venture, sorry, lawyers are trained to be to be very conservative, right? They're, the training is to sit, to find all of the problems that one might run into, and to try and you know, worry about those things, and not say to yourself, what are t…”
David Hornik Jan 18, 2015 ▶ 5:36 20 VC 004: David Hornik on the Magic of Stanford and Startups
Jan 19, 2015
Insight
VC board members must keep their nose in and fingers out
“When you flip the table and you become the VC and a board member and a representative of the money you've invested, your fingers really need to stay out. Your nose is in, and you're constantly smelling for things that don't smell right, and you're letting the …”
Kent Godfrey Jan 19, 2015 ▶ 9:34 20 VC 005: Be The Best CEO with Kent Godfrey
Jan 19, 2015 neutral
Insight
A VC's operating background must match the firm's investment stage
“And I think even more important is, is, you know, VCs invest at all stages of companies from very, very early to very, very late. And I think it is important that you have operating experience at whatever stage or stage is you're investing in. I don't think ha…”
Kent Godfrey Jan 19, 2015 ▶ 13:59 20 VC 005: Be The Best CEO with Kent Godfrey
Jan 22, 2015
Insight
Ifty Ahmed: Venture capital is an apprenticeship business, not a science
“Obviously it's not a science, it's an art, and that's why I think venture capital as a business, as an industry, is an, is a, is an apprenticeship business, so you've got to acquire those skills and that talent over time.”
Ifty Ahmed Jan 22, 2015 ▶ 5:03 20 VC 006: Google Glass & Founding Teams
Jan 22, 2015
Insight
Ahmed: Biotech VC requires subject expertise, consumer internet does not
“If you want to get into biotech, I would say, hey, get some real, ah, subject matter expertise, because it is very important. Whereas in, in the consumer internet space, Because we are all consumers. It's less important.”
Ifty Ahmed Jan 22, 2015 ▶ 13:46 20 VC 006: Google Glass & Founding Teams
Jan 26, 2015 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Csathy predicts more VCs will adopt integrated legal and consulting services
“Increasingly Clients will demand, and entrepreneurs will demand to not have to go to this place, and this place, and so you'll see more of an evolution of businesses doing what we do, and VCs doing what we do.”
Peter Csathy Jan 26, 2015 ▶ 6:31 20 VC 007: The Evolution of Content and the Venture Capital Industry with Peter Csathy
Jan 28, 2015 negative
Insight
Davis: Raising VC for small businesses destroys founder returns
“There are a lot of companies out there, founders who could build very small, successful businesses but take venture capital because thinking it's the only option, and basically destroy their return.”
Mark Peter Davis Jan 28, 2015 ▶ 22:58 20 VC 008: Startup 101 with Mark Peter Davis
Jan 28, 2015 positive
Insight
Davis: Venture capital is best for large market land grabs
“If you've got a big opportunity and you need a lot of capital to land grab, you have to take the capital and go for it. The key is to get alignment.”
Mark Peter Davis Jan 28, 2015 ▶ 23:51 20 VC 008: Startup 101 with Mark Peter Davis
Feb 2, 2015 neutral
Insight
Floyd: Venture capital lacks concrete skills and is just connecting people
“The venture job doesn't really have a lot of concrete skills. It is a job, it's a people job. You're effectively going out, meeting people, and connecting people. Those are the two job functions you have.”
Joe Floyd Feb 2, 2015 ▶ 4:25 20 VC 009: Red Flags, Saas and becoming a VC with Joe Floyd
Feb 23, 2015 neutral
Insight
Venture capitalists must actively assume regulatory risk in emerging markets
“VCs generally have to take, ah, a bit of regulation risk, right? You either make a call that regulation is going in, in the direction that's favorable towards, towards you know, the potential investments you're looking at, or they're not.”
Kyle Lui Feb 23, 2015 ▶ 17:04 20 VC 014: Acquired by Salesforce turned VC with Kyle Lui
Feb 26, 2015
Insight
Lisa Wu: Working in VC raises the bar for launching a startup
“What happens in venture is the longer you stay in, it's almost harder for you to go start a business because your bar becomes super high because you understand all the challenges and how difficult it is to actually scale a business,”
Lisa Wu Feb 26, 2015 ▶ 3:17 20 VC 015: Marketplaces, IPOs and the NY Startup Scene with Lisa Wu
Mar 12, 2015 negative
Insight
Wise: FOMO is a dangerous inclination venture investors must actively correct
“It's something we constantly have to check ourselves against. I think it's a natural human inclination. I think it's a really dangerous one, and it's something which we are aware of and trying to correct for all the time.”
James Wise Mar 12, 2015 ▶ 19:17 20 VC 019: Funding the Future with James Wise of Balderton Capital
Mar 12, 2015 bullish
Insight
Wise: Venture capital firms must react to the rise of equity crowdfunding
“And I think that there's no doubt it's already a real force to be reckoned with, and I think it's one which has got huge potential. And VCs need to react to it and be aware of it”
James Wise Mar 12, 2015 ▶ 7:43 20 VC 019: Funding the Future with James Wise of Balderton Capital
Mar 12, 2015
Insight
Wise: Venture capital struggles to scale in its traditional model
“It's really, really difficult to scale venture capitalists. The companies we invest in, they have to scale, but we personally, we're not very good at it. So VC really, you know, struggles to scale in its current model, at least”
James Wise Mar 12, 2015 ▶ 3:21 20 VC 019: Funding the Future with James Wise of Balderton Capital
Mar 12, 2015
Insight
Wise: VC investment decisions ultimately depend on subjective belief over data
“You can use a lot of Data around emerging trends and around market and around looking at existing traction and public data points, but ultimately the decision comes down to that very core subjective belief.”
James Wise Mar 12, 2015 ▶ 10:51 20 VC 019: Funding the Future with James Wise of Balderton Capital
Mar 19, 2015 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Wienbar: Only 4.6% of Venture Capital General Partners Are Female
“Actually only 4.6% of general partners are female.”
Sharon Wienbar Mar 19, 2015 ▶ 7:14 20 VC 021: Gender Equality, Startup Valuations and 'Friend Raising before Fund Raising with Sharon Wienbar
Mar 26, 2015 positive
Insight
McCall: Continuous random acts of kindness drive VC success and deal flow
“There's only one rule that I found and we've tried over 20 years, I've been in the business 20 years, we've tried everything under the sun to try and figure out what drives success and what doesn't you know, in terms of predicting, and it's, it really comes do…”
Matthew McCall Mar 26, 2015 ▶ 9:40 20 VC 022: Letting go of the life we planned and the Power of the Female Narrative with Matthew McCall
Mar 26, 2015 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
McCall: Venture capital is among the first asset classes to lose liquidity
“Venture being a very high risk asset class will be one of the first to lose liquidity.”
Matthew McCall Mar 26, 2015 ▶ 15:56 20 VC 022: Letting go of the life we planned and the Power of the Female Narrative with Matthew McCall
Mar 30, 2015 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
VCs no longer invest in funding rounds below £5 million
“What we're seeing is that VCs aren't coming in into a round until it reaches a certain size, and that size is getting larger and larger. So, so what A VC would have done a few years ago, five or 10 even, you know, playing in a two million round. Now they won't…”
Tom Britton Mar 30, 2015 ▶ 7:23 20 VC 023: The Recipe for a successful Crowdfunding campaign with Tom Britton
Apr 23, 2015
Assertion Supported
Active venture capital firm count dropped 30% between 2010 and 2015
“I think also you have to look at where venture is, and over the past four or five years, we, we've seen a reduction in the number of firms, a slight reduction in the amount of capital available, but A significant 30% reduction in the number of firms out there …”
John Taylor Apr 23, 2015 ▶ 17:10 20 VC 030: VC Funds, Angels and IPOs with John Taylor, Head of Research @ NVCA
May 7, 2015 negative
Opinion
Staenberg: VCs overvalue their contributions while founders assume all VCs are identical
“Yeah, I think, in general, VCs overvalue their role, and their value add, and but having said that, I think the entrepreneur often makes the mistake of assuming all VCs are the same.”
Jon Staenberg May 7, 2015 ▶ 11:13 20 VC 034: 250 Investments, AngelList Syndicates and Microsoft with Jon Staenberg
May 7, 2015
Insight
Staenberg: Founders should reference check VCs with failed portfolio company founders
“The tell is asking other companies they've invested in, And not just the ones that have worked out, the ones that didn't work out.”
Jon Staenberg May 7, 2015 ▶ 13:24 20 VC 034: 250 Investments, AngelList Syndicates and Microsoft with Jon Staenberg
May 7, 2015 positive
Insight
Staenberg: Five years of operational experience makes for better venture capitalists
“You can do venture, but why don't you get some real world experience first? Why don't you go somewhere for five years? And actually know what it means to go through cycles, know what it means to hire and fire people, know what it means to have to work on a tea…”
Jon Staenberg May 7, 2015 ▶ 2:16 20 VC 034: 250 Investments, AngelList Syndicates and Microsoft with Jon Staenberg
May 11, 2015 positive
Insight
VC Platform Roles Offer Creative Control and an Engaged Audience
“I kind of want three things in my career and that's the ability to create things, creative control over those things, and then an audience that cares. And the platform role at a VC is like the perfect blend of those three for me right now.”
Jay Acunzo May 11, 2015 ▶ 5:58 20 VC 035: The Ultimate Marketing Guide for Startups with Jay Acunzo, VP of Platform @ NextView Ventures
May 21, 2015
Insight
Tran King-Yens: Build VC relationships by showing progress on their advice
“I think the key to building any kind of relationship is making sure that there's progress going forward. So let's say I meet Harry today and I give Harry advice. Hopefully Harry takes that with gusto and comes back with progress and So that we keep building a …”
Angela Tran Kingyens May 21, 2015 ▶ 4:01 20 VC 038: How Make Connections with VCs and Maximise Employability with Angela Tran Kingyens @ Version One Ventures
May 25, 2015
Insight
Menashy: VCs use pitch questions to test founder thinking and data
“I think the reality is that a VC is testing you. They're testing your thinking. They're testing you know, really is the business model going to work? Really is the market as big as we all think it is? And is that really addressable? And you need to know the an…”
Simon Menashy May 25, 2015 ▶ 6:09 How to Pitch a Top VC with Simon Menashy @ MMC Ventures
May 25, 2015
Insight
Menashy: Founders over-prepare pitch decks and under-prepare for VC Q&A
“I mean, honestly, I think a lot of founders make the mistake of thinking that they need to come up with a really big formal pitch. They need to fill an hour. They produce a big IM you know, and they kind of over prepare on the documentation and the format and …”
Simon Menashy May 25, 2015 ▶ 5:09 How to Pitch a Top VC with Simon Menashy @ MMC Ventures
Jun 4, 2015 negative
Opinion
Altucher: VCs do not need a vision of the future to succeed
“I don't think you need any vision of the future because, look, don't invest in kind of a social network for left-handed people.”
James Altucher Jun 4, 2015 ▶ 13:32 James Altucher: Ideas, Investing and Entrepreneurs
Jun 4, 2015 negative
Opinion
Altucher: The best venture capitalists do not spend time sourcing deals
“The best VCs I know, which are in some sense the ones I co-invest with, do not spend a lot of time looking at, looking for investments.”
James Altucher Jun 4, 2015 ▶ 12:37 James Altucher: Ideas, Investing and Entrepreneurs
Jun 8, 2015 negative
Insight
Short VC internships fail because deal vetting requires thousands of hours
“Being able to vet deals, I think, requires some amount of experience and just, you know, getting your 10,000 hours in looking at looking at startups. So I think it's really hard to just pop in somewhere for a couple of months and expect to be productive.”
Charlie O'Donnell Jun 8, 2015 ▶ 4:05 20 VC 043: How To Be A VC Analyst and Lessons From Union Square and First Round with Charlie O'Donnell, Founder @ Brooklyn Bridge Venture
Jun 8, 2015 positive
Insight
Crowdfunding pre-sales make early-stage hardware VC investments economically viable
“All these various pre-sale platforms are really making it economically viable for VCs to make early stage investments, because you're not funding the manufacturing, the customers are funding the manufacturing, and so, you know, you, it's a lot easier to swallo…”
Charlie O'Donnell Jun 8, 2015 ▶ 17:59 20 VC 043: How To Be A VC Analyst and Lessons From Union Square and First Round with Charlie O'Donnell, Founder @ Brooklyn Bridge Venture
Jun 11, 2015 negative
Opinion
VCs should not run operations because they are financiers, not operators
“I prefer that they didn't be involved in how the operations of a company run is because most of them are financiers and not operators.”
Doug Scott Jun 11, 2015 ▶ 22:52 20 VC 044: Dominating AngelList Syndicates with Doug Scott
Jun 15, 2015
Insight
Pitching Requires Emotional Storytelling, Not the Standard VC Metrics Template
“So we need to become great storytellers, and that never, never, never Fits the templates that the VCs want to see. Why? Because the VCs want to punch all the metrics into a spreadsheet and judge you coldly and rationally. The best thing that we can do is grab …”
Alan Jones Jun 15, 2015 ▶ 16:01 20 VC 045: From Idea to Pitch with Alan Jones, Founding Investor @ Startmate
Jun 18, 2015 positive
Insight
Chiu: Great VCs identify founders balancing strong conviction with adaptability
“One of the things I've observed with great VCs is they are very good at reading entrepreneurs, in picking the entrepreneurs that have the perseverance and the right balance of strong conviction and adaptability. To both pursue the vision with relentless grit, …”
Alan Chiu Jun 18, 2015 ▶ 16:39 20 VC 046: How VCs Evaluate Investment Opportunities with Alan Chiu, Partner @ XSeed Capital
Jun 18, 2015 bullish
Insight
Chiu: Top VCs hold winning investments past 50X for 1,000X potential
“But some of the best companies We'll have, we'll still have a very exciting growth curve ahead of them, even after these late stage investors have come in. And the greatest VCs know to identify which companies still have a lot of potential and hang on to their…”
Alan Chiu Jun 18, 2015 ▶ 18:10 20 VC 046: How VCs Evaluate Investment Opportunities with Alan Chiu, Partner @ XSeed Capital
Jun 22, 2015
Insight
Junior VCs must start as hunters before trading or farming deals
“So I think when you start in VC, you have to be a hunter because you've got nothing to trade with. Farming hasn't had any results yet. And so, yeah, I think you always start off as a hunter and you're kind of chasing what you think are interesting new sectors.”
Rob Moffat Jun 22, 2015 ▶ 7:56 20 VC 047: 4 Ways Investors Find Great Startups with Rob Moffat, Principal @ Balderton Capital
Jun 22, 2015 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moffat: Startups are being funded earlier and with less data
“And what you're now seeing is good companies are getting chased by VCs. They're getting funded before they were thinking about doing a funding round. They're getting funded on less sort of traction, less data than would have been the case a few years ago.”
Rob Moffat Jun 22, 2015 ▶ 10:51 20 VC 047: 4 Ways Investors Find Great Startups with Rob Moffat, Principal @ Balderton Capital
Jun 22, 2015 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
VCs will launch separate seed arms to leverage AngelList
“I think a lot of this will be VCs probably having some sort of separate Seed funding arm, which probably uses AngelList alongside to help to do that early stage investing.”
Rob Moffat Jun 22, 2015 ▶ 18:17 20 VC 047: 4 Ways Investors Find Great Startups with Rob Moffat, Principal @ Balderton Capital
Jun 22, 2015 negative
Opinion
AngelList syndicates pose a direct competitive threat to traditional VCs
“I think AngelList are more directly competing with VC.”
Rob Moffat Jun 22, 2015 ▶ 17:11 20 VC 047: 4 Ways Investors Find Great Startups with Rob Moffat, Principal @ Balderton Capital
Jun 22, 2015 negative
Disclosure
Moffat: Forced deal trading with other VCs does not come naturally
“I don't think I'm a very good trader. That doesn't come naturally to me, this kind of idea of forced trading deals and maintaining a kind of a balance of payments with other VCs.”
Rob Moffat Jun 22, 2015 ▶ 9:47 20 VC 047: 4 Ways Investors Find Great Startups with Rob Moffat, Principal @ Balderton Capital
Jun 26, 2015
Insight
Avoiding early VC funding gives founders leverage in future raises
“If you can avoid it, For as long as possible. It's a good thing. You'll also have more leverage at the time when you do fundraise because you're coming to them from a position of strength. You know, you're not asking for sort of a handout to survive.”
Anand Sanwal Jun 26, 2015 ▶ 6:00 Founder's Friday 001: How to Create Great Company Culture with Anand Sanwal, Founder @ CB Insights
Jun 26, 2015 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Venture capital will evolve slowly as technology companies become cheaper to build
“I do think the VC model is one that is going to need to evolve, right? I think companies are increasingly less expensive to build, especially tech companies and so I think we're gonna see experiments in venture but, you know, they're gonna play out over many y…”
Anand Sanwal Jun 26, 2015 ▶ 17:27 Founder's Friday 001: How to Create Great Company Culture with Anand Sanwal, Founder @ CB Insights
Jul 1, 2015
Insight
Lemkin: VCs cannot make money unless founders pursue unicorn valuations
“To make any money as a VC, even just as a partner in a hundred eighty million dollar fund, which is not huge, If you're not at least going for a unicorn, no matter what ends up happening, I can't make any money, so I'm out.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 1, 2015 ▶ 16:05 20 VC 050: Starting, Building and Selling in SaaS with the King of SaaS, Jason Lemkin, Managing Director @ Storm Ventures
Jul 3, 2015 bearish
Opinion
Stebbings: Crowdfunding Cannot Replace Venture Capital Value-Add
“I've asked a lot I've asked Luke Lang, Tom Britton, Crowdcube Syndicate Room, is crowdfunding replacing VC which many think it might do, and that VC value-add is something that cannot be replaced by the crowd, in my opinion, giving it a real sustainable longev…”
Harry Stebbings Jul 3, 2015 ▶ 7:44 Founders Friday 002: Balderton's James Wise interviews 20VC Founder, Harry Stebbings
Jul 6, 2015
Insight
Sollberger: VC candidates must argue well, regardless of their stance
“It doesn't matter if, you know, it's A yes or a no, like I like or I don't like the startup, it matters more that you can argue for or against it.”
Alessandra Sollberger Jul 6, 2015 ▶ 8:20 20 VC 051: The New Silicon Valley Style VC in London with Alessandra Sollberger @ Mosaic Ventures
Jul 8, 2015 negative
Opinion
Helgason: Working in venture capital is less stressful than being a founder
“It's less stressful than being in the trenches as a founder. But it quite appeals to me in that you can kind of take a step back and think more strategically and be more analytical Rather than having to be in kind of animal mode every day.”
Ari Helgason Jul 8, 2015 ▶ 3:33 20 VC 052: How To Make The Leap From Seed To Series A with Ari Helgason @ Dawn Capital
Jul 13, 2015 negative
Insight
Sports Tech Is Tough for VCs Due to IP Lockup
“And a tough one for VCs just because a lot of that industry is locked down by intellectual property and things like that, which actually is something that we had to deal with 50.”
Jonathan Libov Jul 13, 2015 ▶ 14:36 20 VC 053: Inside Union Square Ventures with Jonathan Libov @ Union Square Ventures
Jul 15, 2015
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Venture Capital Will Be Disrupted and Practiced Differently in Five Years
“Venture will be disrupted. It's being disrupted today. It's being practiced actually today differently than it was 15 or 20 years ago, and it'll probably be practiced five or seven years from now differently than it is today. So I do believe that venture is no…”
David Pakman Jul 15, 2015 ▶ 12:40 20 VC 055: David Pakman @ Venrock on The Future Of The Music Industry
Jul 15, 2015 negative
Insight
Pakman: Venture capital is too efficient at funding obvious winners
“Right now venture capital is super competitive, and it's a very efficient market at funding things that are working right now. So if you're a VC and your goal is to look for things that are exploding at this moment, that's a very competitive space, and it's go…”
David Pakman Jul 15, 2015 ▶ 10:50 20 VC 055: David Pakman @ Venrock on The Future Of The Music Industry
Jul 15, 2015 neutral
Insight
Pakman: Former CEOs entering VC must accept they no longer make decisions
“The hardest part, though, is appreciating that you're not the one in charge anymore, and that the CEOs that you're backing are the ones who are in charge, and you can give them advice, but ultimately they have to make all of the final decisions, and that's jus…”
David Pakman Jul 15, 2015 ▶ 3:28 20 VC 055: David Pakman @ Venrock on The Future Of The Music Industry
Jul 22, 2015
Insight
Turner: VCs should ask permission before giving rejected founders feedback
“I shouldn't assume that someone wants my feedback, and probably no venture, no VC should and it's always best to ask for someone's permission to give them feedback”
Guy Turner Jul 22, 2015 ▶ 18:17 20 VC 056: The Life Cycle of Startups with Guy Turner, Partner @ Hyde Park Venture Partners
Jul 22, 2015 positive
Insight
Turner: Problem solving is the main transferable engineering skill to VC
“The part of engineering that's transferable to investing and both looking at investments and also managing in an investment portfolio is the problem solving part.”
Guy Turner Jul 22, 2015 ▶ 2:58 20 VC 056: The Life Cycle of Startups with Guy Turner, Partner @ Hyde Park Venture Partners
Jul 22, 2015 positive
Insight
Turner: Consulting work directly prepares venture capitalists for deal evaluation
“The consulting work was probably a little bit more transferable in the sense that, you know, as a consultant, you spend one to four months at a time looking at an industry and hopefully learning just enough with just enough of a different viewpoint than the co…”
Guy Turner Jul 22, 2015 ▶ 3:22 20 VC 056: The Life Cycle of Startups with Guy Turner, Partner @ Hyde Park Venture Partners
Jul 22, 2015
Insight
Turner: Vague responses from VCs usually signal a rejection
“At the end of any meeting with a VC, you should be looking for next steps and commitment on those next steps. Most of the time, there won't be that kind of commitment. It'll be something like, let me talk to my partners. Or let me think about it, or things, th…”
Guy Turner Jul 22, 2015 ▶ 17:30 20 VC 056: The Life Cycle of Startups with Guy Turner, Partner @ Hyde Park Venture Partners
Aug 5, 2015 positive
Opinion
Venture capital and proximity to Silicon Valley drive LA tech growth
“Well, listen, I think that, you know, whether you know, what drives the growth is venture capital, and we're fortunate in that we are a close proximity to Silicon Valley.”
Mike Jones Aug 5, 2015 ▶ 15:06 20 VC 060: 12 Acquisitions, $1bn In Exits, Mike Jones, Former MySpace CEO on Life At Science Inc.
Aug 17, 2015
Disclosure
Galston cold-emailed VCs a mapped relationship graph of his gaming network
“What I did is I created like this interest or this relationship graph where I put myself in the middle and I put all the different players in the gaming world around me and showed who I knew, like what executive level, how like the relationships developed. And…”
Ezra Galston Aug 17, 2015 ▶ 19:34 20 VC 063: What It Takes To Standout In A Crowded Market with Ezra Galston @ Chicago Ventures
Aug 17, 2015
Disclosure
Galston broke into venture capital without a network or sending resumes
“I never sent a resume to a single VC and I had no network.”
Ezra Galston Aug 17, 2015 ▶ 19:18 20 VC 063: What It Takes To Standout In A Crowded Market with Ezra Galston @ Chicago Ventures
Aug 19, 2015 negative
Assertion Supported
Beim: It remains harder for female entrepreneurs to raise VC funding
“In direct answer to your question, I think it still is harder for female entrepreneurs to raise money, and it's sort of an uncomfortable truth in the industry, but I do think it's important to call out”
Nick Beim Aug 19, 2015 ▶ 10:44 20 VC 064: Finding Exceptional People with Big Ideas with Nick Beim, Partner @ Venrock
Aug 26, 2015 negative
Insight
Levine: Venture capital is fundamentally an unscalable business
“Venture capital is not a scalable business by any stretch of the imagination.”
Seth Levine Aug 26, 2015 ▶ 13:23 20 VC 066: FOUNDRY GROUP WEEK 1: Seth Levine: 'VC Is Not A Scalable Business'
Aug 28, 2015 positive
Insight
Portfolio founder introductions are the most effective way to reach VCs
“Once you get those introductions, you actually get introductions from startups that these VCs have already invested in, and of course, for that reason, already trust and believe in. And I think it's one of the most relevant introductions you can get to our VC.”
Carl Waldekranz Aug 28, 2015 ▶ 17:05 FF 010: Becoming Europe's Hottest Startup with Carl Waldekranz, Co-Founder and CEO @ Tictail
Aug 28, 2015
Insight
Pitch decks should provoke questions, not answer everything about the business
“Because as it turns out, the purpose of a deck is not to answer all questions about a business. It's to create ground for, like, interesting discussions to come. Like, VCs, in general, are interested people, and they want to be curious at the end of a presenta…”
Carl Waldekranz Aug 28, 2015 ▶ 14:51 FF 010: Becoming Europe's Hottest Startup with Carl Waldekranz, Co-Founder and CEO @ Tictail
Aug 31, 2015 positive
Opinion
Brochado: VC focuses on growth, PE relies on financial engineering
“I was really looking forward to moving into VC, where you're actually, you know, helping businesses grow as opposed to the more financial engineering of private equity”
Carolina Brochado Aug 31, 2015 ▶ 2:31 20 VC 067: Scaling Startups Into Unicorns with Atomico's Mattias Ljungman and Carolina Brochado
Sep 2, 2015 positive
Assertion Supported
Seton-Rogers: Equity crowdfunding platforms offer startups higher valuations than VCs
“Just the way I see the pricing happen, they're getting much higher prices on these crowdfunding platforms than investors will give them, than VCs will give them.”
Sean Seton-Rogers Sep 2, 2015 ▶ 19:52 20 VC 068: Why Now Is The Best Time To Be An Entrepreneur with Sean Seton-Rogers @ PROfounders Capital
Sep 6, 2015 negative
Opinion
Soltero: Venture capital is an incestuous market where players collude on deals
“Venture capital is not a true market in the sense that it's a very limited number of players often colluding with and really incestuously sort of managing deal flow back and forth, and it works.”
Javier Soltero Sep 6, 2015 ▶ 21:14 FF 012: Acquired by Microsoft for $200m with Javier Soltero @ Microsoft
Sep 7, 2015 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Clavier: No VCs Were Willing to Fund Fitbit in 2010
“In 2000 10 there was basically no one to fund Fitbit, like no one would touch it despite the early progress and, you know, sort of early liftoff in terms of sales”
Jeff Clavier Sep 7, 2015 ▶ 8:04 20 VC 069: Jeff Clavier, King of Seed Funding @ SoftTech VC on Brad Feld, Fitbit and Standout Startups
Sep 7, 2015 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Clavier: Hardware Startups Were a "No-Go Zone" for VCs in 2008
“It was a no-no or no-go or no investment zone for the other VCs.”
Jeff Clavier Sep 7, 2015 ▶ 6:07 20 VC 069: Jeff Clavier, King of Seed Funding @ SoftTech VC on Brad Feld, Fitbit and Standout Startups
Sep 16, 2015 neutral
Assertion Supported
In 2014, syndicates deployed $200M compared to $50B in traditional VC
“And the VC, every year on average, you have about fifty billion dollars of VC investments. Last year, I think the syndicated model total between all different sites like Founders Club and Angelus were like two hundred million.”
Fabrice Grinda Sep 16, 2015 ▶ 20:46 20 VC 072: Super Angel, Fabrice Grinda: The Future of Startup Investing
Sep 16, 2015 negative
Insight
High entry valuations prevent venture returns from covering startup failures
“Most startups do fail, and you need to make sure that the startups that you do succeed with actually help to cover all the losses that you make otherwise, and if you invest at way too high a price, you're not going to cover all the other failures that you have…”
Fabrice Grinda Sep 16, 2015 ▶ 7:50 20 VC 072: Super Angel, Fabrice Grinda: The Future of Startup Investing
Sep 21, 2015
Insight
Treskow: Founder experience is helpful for VCs but not essential
“All else being equal, all incremental experience helps. And so if you can have somebody who has had prior entrepreneurial experience, all else being equal you'd like that, right? And the question is, is more around to what extent that's necessary, right? Becau…”
Michael Treskow Sep 21, 2015 ▶ 4:05 20 VC 073: Life Inside Accel Partners with Michael Treskow @ Accel
Oct 5, 2015 negative
Opinion
Kamal Ravikant: 90% of VCs add no value and 70% are dangerous
“He's like, 90% of VCs are not helpful, and 70% of VCs are actually dangerous. You know, it's actually, I think he was exaggerating a bit, but there's a strong element of truth in it.”
Kamal Ravikant Oct 5, 2015 ▶ 5:18 20 VC 077: PART 1: Kamal Ravikant: 'I'm Not Your Traditional VC'
Oct 5, 2015 negative
Opinion
Kamal Ravikant: Venture capital is not real work compared to running startups
“And honestly, I don't think it's real work, because what is my work? It's meetings and research, and maybe once in a while fundraising, right, and helping companies, which I do anyway. Like, real work is making payroll, you know, having to go and put payroll o…”
Kamal Ravikant Oct 5, 2015 ▶ 8:14 20 VC 077: PART 1: Kamal Ravikant: 'I'm Not Your Traditional VC'
Oct 7, 2015 neutral
Insight
Kamal Ravikant: Founders bear single-bet risk while VCs diversify portfolios
“The entrepreneur is the one who makes, who loses big, because they're going all in on one thing for their life, right? For three, five years of their life. For a VC, you're just another company in their portfolio.”
Kamal Ravikant Oct 7, 2015 ▶ 4:03 20 VC 077: Part 2: Kamal Ravikant: The Future Of Venture Capital
Oct 7, 2015 negative
Opinion
Kamal Ravikant: Entrepreneurs create startup value, not venture capitalists
“I think the entrepreneur is the one who needs to have the power. The entrepreneur is the one who creates the value, not the VCs.”
Kamal Ravikant Oct 7, 2015 ▶ 3:31 20 VC 077: Part 2: Kamal Ravikant: The Future Of Venture Capital
Oct 19, 2015 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nakache: The era of the generalist venture capitalist is largely over
“The days of sort of the generalist venture capitalist is, is I think mostly gone exists in some rare pockets, but, you know, I think when I, and that's been a transition that's happened during the time I've been in venture capital I think, you know, it wasn't …”
Patricia Nakache Oct 19, 2015 ▶ 19:02 20 VC 080: How VCs Can Differentiate Themselves with Patricia Nakache, General Partner @ Trinity Ventures
Oct 19, 2015 negative
Insight
Nakache: Market retrenchment disproportionately harms minorities in venture capital
“I think there was a, when I joined it was higher, I believe, because we were in the middle of the dot-com boom, and in growth times, that's when opportunity exists, actually, I think, For minorities to make progress. I think in retrenchment, times of retrenchm…”
Patricia Nakache Oct 19, 2015 ▶ 9:24 20 VC 080: How VCs Can Differentiate Themselves with Patricia Nakache, General Partner @ Trinity Ventures
Oct 23, 2015 negative
Insight
Founders Cannot Truly Judge a VC Until Working With Them Directly
“It's been so noisy in the past five years since I've started doing this. It's been five years now that it's almost so hard to know if a VC is truly someone you want to look up to or respect until you actually know them.”
Brian Wong Oct 23, 2015 ▶ 6:01 20 VC FF 018: Brian Wong, Founder @ Kiip on Raising $30m in VC Funding by 24
Nov 2, 2015 bullish
Prediction Held up
Nussenbaum predicted a surge of new UK VC firms in late 2015
“There's much more new VCs coming in the market in the UK. We've seen a few last year with Arcef, Mosaic, and so on, and there will be much more in, in the next few months.”
Antoine Nussenbaum Nov 2, 2015 ▶ 14:19 20 VC 084: Meet Felix Capital: A Venture Firm For The Creative Class with Antoine Nussenbaum
Nov 11, 2015 positive
Insight
Zink: Venture capital should be impatient, not patient capital
“I often hear about the notion that venture capital is supposed to be patient capital, and I always smile, because I think the opposite is all about being impatient. If something is not working, change it. Don't wait and see if it improves.”
Jeppe Zink Nov 11, 2015 ▶ 14:52 20 VC 087: From The Investors Of Spotify, TrustPilot and Klarna with Jeppe Zink, General Partner @ Northzone
Nov 11, 2015 bearish
Prediction Held up
Zink: Tourist investors like hedge funds will exit VC during downcycles
“I see a lot of valuation bubbles in certain subsectors or in late stage VC investments, and that's really because you have a lot of tourists coming in, like hedge funds and other, other non-consistent players putting money into the VC game, and I think as you …”
Jeppe Zink Nov 11, 2015 ▶ 6:59 20 VC 087: From The Investors Of Spotify, TrustPilot and Klarna with Jeppe Zink, General Partner @ Northzone
Nov 13, 2015
Insight
O'Hear: Fundraising Creates Conflict When Founders Pitch VCs
“There's, like An absolute conflict of interest in that stage when you're fundraising, because essentially you're telling your VC, in a way, you're trying to tell them what they want to hear, because you want to close the round. But the minute you close the rou…”
Steve O'Hear Nov 13, 2015 ▶ 8:11 20 VC FF 021: From TechCrunch to Founder to TechCrunch with the legend, Steve O'Hear
Nov 20, 2015 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mitra: Equity crowdfunding and VCs will collaborate rather than compete
“I don't think they are. I think look, the ecosystem is evolving, and actually there is room and requirement for both types. VCs have been around for ages, and VCs are sort of classes, you know, a capital pool with discretionary decision-making to invest in com…”
Ayan Mitra Nov 20, 2015 ▶ 11:37 20 VC FF 022: Crowdfunding Is Here To Stay with Ayan Mitra, Founder & CEO @ Crowdbnk
Nov 23, 2015 negative
Insight
Venture capital is too random for a traditional career ladder
“I'm not sure that venture is really supposed to be a career that you sort of join at 21 and sort of slowly progress yourself through. It's a little bit too random and a little bit too you know, too much of it is, is a little bit too much of a random walk to be…”
Suranga Chandratilake Nov 23, 2015 ▶ 22:09 20 VC 090: Balderton Capital's General Partner, Suranga Chandratillake on What It Takes To Be A Great CEO
Dec 2, 2015
Insight
Kaji: VCs must wait 7-10 years to evaluate their investment ability
“Part of that is, it's not just returning capital, but having to wait seven to 10 years to understand whether you're any good at investing.”
Samir Kaji Dec 2, 2015 ▶ 27:39 20 VC 093: Where Is The Micro VC Market Going with Samir Kaji @ First Republic Bank
Dec 2, 2015 negative
Opinion
Kaji: Returning capital to LPs is harder than raising funds
“Returning. I know, and I won't name anybody, but I know people that are incredible fundraisers but are terrible at actually distributing capital back.”
Samir Kaji Dec 2, 2015 ▶ 27:56 20 VC 093: Where Is The Micro VC Market Going with Samir Kaji @ First Republic Bank
Dec 4, 2015 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Glenn: Equity crowdfunding will complement venture capital, not displace it
“I think it's going to be a sympathetic relationship. You know, there are instances when companies need 50, a 102 hundred, fifty million dollars to grow in scale, and the crowd is never going to provide that capital, and I think VCs provide important seats at t…”
Erin Glenn Dec 4, 2015 ▶ 12:32 20 VC FF 025: Crowdfunding Gimlet Media and Why The Nature Of Startup Equity Is Changing with Erin Glenn, CEO @ Betaworks' backed, Quire
Dec 7, 2015 neutral
Insight
Maqubela: VC feedback loops are too long to evaluate investor performance quickly
“And you don't know if you're any good until many, many, many years later. And so the input-output relationship is actually kind of a tenuous one.”
Kanyi Maqubela Dec 7, 2015 ▶ 16:13 20 VC 094: Kanyi Maqubela @ Collaborative Fund on Rocketships, Feedback Loops and Turning Lemons Into Lemonade!
Dec 7, 2015 negative
Insight
Maqubela: GP commitments exclude talent and drive young VCs to risk aversion
“I think it's fundamentally excluding a lot of people who could otherwise be great VCs, because they either don't have the capital, or if they happened to, it's too much capital to allocate in one place, and thereby makes them risk averse.”
Kanyi Maqubela Dec 7, 2015 ▶ 14:41 20 VC 094: Kanyi Maqubela @ Collaborative Fund on Rocketships, Feedback Loops and Turning Lemons Into Lemonade!
Dec 7, 2015 positive
Insight
Maqubela: VC deal flow relies on investor coopetition at Demo Days
“VCs get great deal flow from each other. They learn to trust each other. This is a, an industry that I, you know, to coin a term from a friend of mine is, is, is, driven by coopetition, and so we're cooperating constantly while we compete, and that means that …”
Kanyi Maqubela Dec 7, 2015 ▶ 21:08 20 VC 094: Kanyi Maqubela @ Collaborative Fund on Rocketships, Feedback Loops and Turning Lemons Into Lemonade!
Dec 9, 2015 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Teten: Early-Stage VCs Spend 80% of Time on Deals They Reject
“One of the great frustrations of our friends who work at, ah, most other VCs at our stage is they spend 80% of their time talking with companies with whom they can't consummate an investment.”
David Teten Dec 9, 2015 ▶ 7:40 20 VC 095: How VCs Find Startups and How To Add Value Once Invested with David Teten @ ff Venture Capital
Dec 9, 2015 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Teten: Algorithmic Deal Sourcing Will Grow but Never Replace Traditional Methods
“So it will be a, an increasingly important tool in the VC's toolkit. But it will never be the only tool.”
David Teten Dec 9, 2015 ▶ 7:21 20 VC 095: How VCs Find Startups and How To Add Value Once Invested with David Teten @ ff Venture Capital
Dec 9, 2015 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Teten: AngelList Is Becoming the Operating System of Venture Capital
“We are certainly monitoring AngelList because there is no question that they are working up the food chain to make themselves the fundamental operating system of this asset class.”
David Teten Dec 9, 2015 ▶ 16:21 20 VC 095: How VCs Find Startups and How To Add Value Once Invested with David Teten @ ff Venture Capital
Dec 14, 2015 neutral
Insight
Startups require operational detail while VC requires macro trend analysis
“Working in startups you only get to see a few ideas get to any stage. So you're very into detail, and you're really into, like, growing that one company versus suddenly, you know, I'm exposed to, you know, thousands of ideas, and trying to think about longer-t…”
Dharmesh Raithatha Dec 14, 2015 ▶ 5:19 20 VC 096: Developing The Idea Muscle and VCs Providing More Than Just Money with Dharmesh Raithatha, Partner @ Forward Partners
Dec 14, 2015 positive
Insight
Startup and operational experience is increasingly crucial for entering VC
“I would say that I can see that the VC world is changing and having some operational or startup expertise helps.”
Dharmesh Raithatha Dec 14, 2015 ▶ 20:38 20 VC 096: Developing The Idea Muscle and VCs Providing More Than Just Money with Dharmesh Raithatha, Partner @ Forward Partners
Dec 16, 2015 positive
Insight
Bradley: Small Business Experience Provides Key Operational Baseline For VC Careers
“Definitely I think some kind of expertise and working with for or starting your own small businesses is really helpful to understand the sort of The mechanics, the challenges the important variables going on challenging small businesses and small teams and sol…”
Matthew Bradley Dec 16, 2015 ▶ 4:48 20 VC 097: Betting Big on Consumer Fintech with Matthew Bradley, Investor @ Forward Partners
Dec 16, 2015 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bradley: Crowdfunding Will Not Replace Venture Capital But Will Endure
“I don't think it's got the potential to replace VC, but as a part of the funding landscape I think it will be around.”
Matthew Bradley Dec 16, 2015 ▶ 22:06 20 VC 097: Betting Big on Consumer Fintech with Matthew Bradley, Investor @ Forward Partners
Dec 30, 2015 positive
Opinion
Teli: Crowdfunding complements seed venture capital instead of threatening it
“No, I actually think it helps it. I mean, a lot of the best crowdfunding runs I've seen have been alongside a VC. One. And two I think, you know, there, there's a lot of businesses out there that frankly don't need venture capital. They need capital, but not v…”
Sitar Teli Dec 30, 2015 ▶ 20:49 20 VC: How To Say No Fast and Efficiently and Why UX Must Always Be At The Core Of What You Do with Sitar Teli, Managing Partner @ Connect Ventures
Dec 30, 2015 negative
Opinion
Teli: Firm Twitter accounts are ineffective compared to personal VC branding
“A lot of them, so what I see a lot of is like VCs where the firm has a Twitter account, and I don't think that's very effective. Because I think for entrepreneurs, right, your relationship is with the investor, the specific person that you're going to be worki…”
Sitar Teli Dec 30, 2015 ▶ 24:03 20 VC: How To Say No Fast and Efficiently and Why UX Must Always Be At The Core Of What You Do with Sitar Teli, Managing Partner @ Connect Ventures
Dec 30, 2015 negative
Opinion
Teli: VCs giving 'maybe' responses unfairly string founders along with false hope
“A lot of times, VCs say maybe, which is, I think, just a very not nice way of saying no, right? Right, because it gives the entrepreneur hope, and a lot of times the entrepreneurs interpret them maybe as a not no, you know, and it's just keeping them hanging o…”
Sitar Teli Dec 30, 2015 ▶ 15:43 20 VC: How To Say No Fast and Efficiently and Why UX Must Always Be At The Core Of What You Do with Sitar Teli, Managing Partner @ Connect Ventures
Jan 6, 2016 negative
Opinion
Moehring: Becoming rich as a young venture capitalist is a fallacy
“The illusion that you're going to make investments and become rich by being a VC when you're young is, is a fallacy that I think people need to understand.”
Philipp Moehring Jan 6, 2016 ▶ 7:38 20 VC: Philipp Moehring, Head of AngelList Europe on Scaling Seed Stage Funding and Why 500 Is Not Your Traditional VC
Jan 6, 2016 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moehring: VC career paths for young joiners are slow and unpredictable
“People who start young in this industry usually don't make partner very quickly and the career path is a lot more Well, mysterious and a lot less plannable than a career path in other industries.”
Philipp Moehring Jan 6, 2016 ▶ 6:12 20 VC: Philipp Moehring, Head of AngelList Europe on Scaling Seed Stage Funding and Why 500 Is Not Your Traditional VC
Jan 6, 2016 positive
Opinion
Moehring: The glass ceiling for young VCs exists for good reason
“There certainly is a glass ceiling, but I think it's for a very good reason. So the real thing about the VC industry that nobody really tells you is that things take a very, very, very long time.”
Philipp Moehring Jan 6, 2016 ▶ 6:50 20 VC: Philipp Moehring, Head of AngelList Europe on Scaling Seed Stage Funding and Why 500 Is Not Your Traditional VC
Jan 6, 2016 positive
Insight
Moehring: Startup operational experience is essential for modern VCs
“Joining startups after that which I think is a great preparation for being a VC running your own startup, being part of a startup in, you know, in a crucial role really shows you much more what building companies is about, what growing companies is about and t…”
Philipp Moehring Jan 6, 2016 ▶ 7:50 20 VC: Philipp Moehring, Head of AngelList Europe on Scaling Seed Stage Funding and Why 500 Is Not Your Traditional VC
Jan 11, 2016 negative
Insight
VCs claiming pattern recognition under 10 years experience are mistaken
“Trying to sort of assume you have it and have figured it out this soon I think is, is probably a mistake.”
David Tisch Jan 11, 2016 ▶ 11:17 20 VC: David Tisch @ Box Group on The Future of Consumer Mobile, Developing Pattern Recognition and FOMO
Jan 13, 2016 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Shillo: VCs refused to invest in digital content startups in late 2000s
“No VC would touch content at the time.”
Kate Shillo Jan 13, 2016 ▶ 9:18 20 VC: Investing in Hardware and The Future of IOT with Kate Shillo, Director @ Galvanize Ventures
Jan 13, 2016 neutral
Insight
Shillo: VC is highly stressful because investors lack operational control
“That it's easy. You know, I think from a lot of people looking in, it's fun because we're the ones controlling the capital, but it's incredibly stressful, and we're sitting in between having no control over the company, and hence the outcome.”
Kate Shillo Jan 13, 2016 ▶ 24:50 20 VC: Investing in Hardware and The Future of IOT with Kate Shillo, Director @ Galvanize Ventures
Jan 15, 2016
Disclosure
VCs told Gimlet Media to ignore revenue and focus on user growth
“We had conversations with some VCs who we would begin to talk about revenue, and they're like, we don't want to hear it. We're not actually interested in that. We want to see just a really steep user growth curve, and like, we know that if you get a large audi…”
Matt Lieber Jan 15, 2016 ▶ 7:13 20 VC FF 030: Gimlet Media's Matt Lieber on The Future of Podcasting and Life @ Gimlet
Jan 18, 2016 negative
Insight
Destin: VCs earn a bad reputation by abruptly pulling founder support
“The reason why VCs get a bad rap is because typically they'll be like, founder, supportive, founder, supportive, love the company, and then suddenly from one day to the next, they're like, actually we're not backing you. And entrepreneurs fucking hate that wit…”
Fred Destin Jan 18, 2016 ▶ 26:43 20VC: Fred Destin @ Accel on Why Startups Fail & Founders Get Fired?
Jan 18, 2016 negative
Opinion
Destin Criticizes VCs for Operating Under a Control Mindset
“VCs are very often assholes because they're in a logic of control. Their viewpoint of the world is like, Hey, you work for me. You have to deliver results. Which is, of course, completely wrong, because the reality is we're only trying to enable a project call…”
Fred Destin Jan 18, 2016 ▶ 20:02 20VC: Fred Destin @ Accel on Why Startups Fail & Founders Get Fired?
Jan 20, 2016
Insight
Venture capital naturally flows across borders to back great founders
“Yeah, I mean, I think VC money does flow naturally across borders. I mean, just look at where we invest. We'll come anywhere. We'll go out of our way to find companies.”
James Cameron Jan 20, 2016 ▶ 20:17 20VC: James Cameron @ Accel on Building Great Startup Communities and The Rise of Enterprise and Cyber Security Software
Feb 3, 2016
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Prominent VCs warned Eniac founders in 2010 that mobile was too niche
“A lot of the VCs that we had worked with as entrepreneurs who are Very well-respected VCs and continue to be very well-respected and nothing against them, but a lot of them told us that, you know, it was too niche, that we needed to be broader.”
Hadley Harris Feb 3, 2016 ▶ 4:22 20VC: The Evolution Of Mobile & The Importance Of Follow On Funding with Hadley Harris @ Eniac Ventures
Feb 8, 2016
Insight
Gil Penchina: Venture capital is fundamentally a game of exceptions
“You know, I think this game is a, my joke is all venture capital is a game of exceptions, right? Every deal is different. Every deal has some strange exception that you hadn't seen before.”
Gil Penchina Feb 8, 2016 ▶ 11:34 20VC: Gil Penchina on Building The World's Largest AngelList Syndicate with Flight.vc
Feb 8, 2016 negative
Opinion
Gil Penchina: Average VCs ignore post-meeting follow-up emails from founders
“The average VC ignores that email because they were selling, they weren't actually promising, you know, and the worst VCs will actually just tell you like, no, I'm not going to help.”
Gil Penchina Feb 8, 2016 ▶ 13:02 20VC: Gil Penchina on Building The World's Largest AngelList Syndicate with Flight.vc
Feb 17, 2016 negative
Insight
Willis: VCs and angel investors cannot save a failing startup
“Angel investors and VCs can be very important, can be very valuable, but I don't think they do much of the work, and I really don't think they can save a ship from going off the wrong course.”
Tyler Willis Feb 17, 2016 ▶ 7:30 20VC: Tyler Willis on How To Be Innovative With Customer Acquisition and The Future Of Innovation
Feb 22, 2016 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tim Draper: Bitcoin and blockchain will disrupt venture capital like Uber
“All of these things, Bitcoin, the blockchain, there are going to be new technologies applied to venture capital just the way file sharing was applied to the music industry, or Uber was applied to the taxi industry. I think venture capital is going to be change…”
Tim Draper Feb 22, 2016 ▶ 5:45 20VC: Tim Draper on Investing In Tesla, The Best Pitch He Has Ever Seen & The Evolution of Venture and Startups
Feb 29, 2016 negative
Insight
VCs Will Use Leverage Over Startups Whenever Possible
“Well, exactly, because, you know, the thing that you have to remember is that VCs are, at the end of the day, in the business of trying to make money, and if they have leverage over a company, they will probably use it.”
Andy McLoughlin Feb 29, 2016 ▶ 10:36 20VC: SoftTech VC's Andy McLoughlin on The Series A Crunch, Maximising Runway and Minimising Burn and For Startups
Mar 4, 2016 negative
Insight
Hiten Shah: Founders who don't need venture capital shouldn't raise it
“If you don't have to raise money, don't raise money.”
Hiten Shah Mar 4, 2016 ▶ 6:27 20VC FF: Hiten Shah on VC Funded vs Bootstrapped Businesses and How He Decides Which Startups To Advise
Mar 4, 2016 positive
Insight
Hiten Shah: Startups should only raise VC after achieving product-market fit
“Once you're at a point, my ideal scenario is, you get to product market fit, You start experimenting with channels and things like that so that you're basically ready to scale, and then you wanna make a, make an argument, so to speak, that without money, we wo…”
Hiten Shah Mar 4, 2016 ▶ 6:34 20VC FF: Hiten Shah on VC Funded vs Bootstrapped Businesses and How He Decides Which Startups To Advise
Mar 9, 2016 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Venture capital cannot be disrupted without changing the 10-year fund model
“We're still seen in the same bucket as a private equity fund, 10 years capped, Return my money based on capital calls, minimum return, and until that change, some of the flexibility that might be needed to disrupt the asset class is not going to be there.”
Christian Hernandez Mar 9, 2016 ▶ 19:55 20VC: Christian Hernandez on The Importance of Mobile and The Relationship Between Growth vs Revenue
Mar 9, 2016 bullish
Opinion
AngelList's platform and $400M fund could disrupt venture capital deal flow
“AngelList is a great example where AngelList builds a platform on top of which they prove success, on top of which they go raise a four hundred million dollar fund. That could have, that has the potential to be a disruptive new way of doing both deal flow and …”
Christian Hernandez Mar 9, 2016 ▶ 20:08 20VC: Christian Hernandez on The Importance of Mobile and The Relationship Between Growth vs Revenue
Mar 21, 2016
Insight
Venture reputations take careers to build and one deal to destroy
“This is remember, this is a longterm business, you know, and reputations are made, you know, over careers and they're lost over deals.”
Rob Hayes Mar 21, 2016 ▶ 15:41 Uber's First Investor, First Round Capital's Rob Hayes on How The Deal Of The Decade Originated and Why Product Orientated VC Is The Future
Mar 30, 2016 negative
Opinion
Craig: Venture capitalists range from geniuses to 'fucking idiots'
“VCs are just people, so you'll find VCs who are very intellectual, some VCs are very diplomatic, some VCs are very aggressive, some VCs are fucking idiots, some VCs are genius”
Paige Craig Mar 30, 2016 ▶ 9:01 20VC: 'The Best Seed Investors Hunt' with Paige Craig @ Arena VC
Apr 8, 2016
Insight
Biyani: Top VCs care more about product impact than business models
“Most good VCs, Know that it's not about how, like, beautiful the business model is. It's about how beautiful the product is if it's successful and how, how much it changes the world.”
Gagan Biyani Apr 8, 2016 ▶ 17:54 20VC: Sprig's Gagan Biyani on The 3 Principles Of Fundraising and Building The World's Largest Restaurant
Apr 8, 2016 negative
Insight
Biyani: Pitching fewer than five VCs is foolish; target five to ten
“I think a lot of VCs want you to talk to less than five and just go to the top two or three. I think that's foolish. We usually talk to five to 10 VCs, people we like,”
Gagan Biyani Apr 8, 2016 ▶ 17:10 20VC: Sprig's Gagan Biyani on The 3 Principles Of Fundraising and Building The World's Largest Restaurant
Apr 11, 2016
Insight
Venture capital is a derivative business like an art gallery
“I basically immediately realized that venture capital is a derivative business. It's like an art gallery. We are not building these companies, but we're creating these companies and we're supporting them.”
Aydin Senkut Apr 11, 2016 ▶ 8:12 20VC: Felicis' Aydin Senkut on Scaling Felicis From $4m to $120m, Doing Venture Differently and Why Being A VC Is Like A Jamaican Bobsled Team!
Apr 20, 2016 positive
Insight
Bartlett: Pitching executive recruits is a VC's most important value add
“The board and the C-suite executives, you know, at the end of the day are kind of recruiting arms and chief evangelists for the company. And so I think the biggest value add that, that a VC can have is just being able to look either other independent board dir…”
Logan Bartlett Apr 20, 2016 ▶ 23:18 20VC: The Rise Of The Celebrity VC & The Pros and Cons Of Staying Private with Logan Bartlett @ Battery Ventures
Apr 25, 2016
Insight
Wise: Venture capital offers loose oversight compared to banking or startups
“If you don't love it is actually surprisingly easy for people to disappear for three or four hours a day and not really do anything, right? You get rumbled after six months, but it's not like a fight. It's not like being in a bank or being a consultancy or it'…”
James Wise Apr 25, 2016 ▶ 24:54 20VC: Europe's Youngest Series A Venture Partner, James Wise @ Balderton Capital on How To Get Into Venture & What The Future Of The VC Industry Looks Like
Apr 25, 2016 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wise: Small, hyper-specialized VC funds will prove flawed in the long run
“And that's why just saying, hey, you know, I'm going to set up the best three-man team to do, you know, something really specific in venture is, is I think going to be flawed in the long run.”
James Wise Apr 25, 2016 ▶ 22:19 20VC: Europe's Youngest Series A Venture Partner, James Wise @ Balderton Capital on How To Get Into Venture & What The Future Of The VC Industry Looks Like
Apr 25, 2016 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wise: Mobile gaming startups no longer require venture capital
“If you launch a mobile game today, there are rigorous data models, which basically mean you don't need venture capital anymore. You know that there'll be certain targets you need to hit, and some growth investor or someone else will buy you.”
James Wise Apr 25, 2016 ▶ 19:14 20VC: Europe's Youngest Series A Venture Partner, James Wise @ Balderton Capital on How To Get Into Venture & What The Future Of The VC Industry Looks Like
Apr 25, 2016 negative
Opinion
Wise: Raising new micro-funds for quick capital is short-sighted
“There is a huge, there's quite a big rush, actually, I've noticed of people saying, hey, I'm going to go and raise my own fund now. There's, you know, there's some money on the table. And I think it's great, but it's quite short-term view for what is a very lo…”
James Wise Apr 25, 2016 ▶ 14:35 20VC: Europe's Youngest Series A Venture Partner, James Wise @ Balderton Capital on How To Get Into Venture & What The Future Of The VC Industry Looks Like
Apr 25, 2016 negative
Opinion
Wise: Breaking into venture capital is harder than ever
“I think it's now harder than ever to get into venture, despite the new funds being set up, because I think, so there's such broad awareness of it, and people find it interesting.”
James Wise Apr 25, 2016 ▶ 25:55 20VC: Europe's Youngest Series A Venture Partner, James Wise @ Balderton Capital on How To Get Into Venture & What The Future Of The VC Industry Looks Like
Apr 25, 2016 negative
Insight
Wise: Core VC tasks do not require prior operational experience
“It's really not clear that you need to have huge amounts of entrepreneurial experience in order to do the two things which VCs should be able to do really well. One is insightfully source companies. So find interesting companies in areas which are fast growing…”
James Wise Apr 25, 2016 ▶ 3:29 20VC: Europe's Youngest Series A Venture Partner, James Wise @ Balderton Capital on How To Get Into Venture & What The Future Of The VC Industry Looks Like
May 9, 2016
Insight
Charles Hudson: VCs Without Operating Experience Underestimate Startup Organizational Friction
“I think as a VC, it's easy to sit in the boardroom and see strategically that there's something off with the business and to kind of dictate, Hey, we should fix sales or, Hey, we've got to fix marketing. We've got to fix product. But until you've actually been…”
Charles Hudson May 9, 2016 ▶ 4:40 20VC: Raising A Solo GP Fund & Why They Are So Prominent Today with Charles Hudson, Managing Partner @ Precursor Ventures
May 11, 2016 negative
Insight
Clifford: Traditional VC criteria for evaluating founding teams are outdated
“So all the conventional wisdom about how good teams formed come from a world where very few people became entrepreneurs. But now we're moving into a world where many more people would be entrepreneurs and many more people should be entrepreneurs. And that actu…”
Matt Clifford May 11, 2016 ▶ 5:01 20VC: Why More People Should Be Entrepreneurs & How Do You Know When You Are Ready with Matt Clifford @ Entrepreneur First
May 16, 2016 negative
Insight
Go: Growing VC Fund Sizes Create Disconnect With Low-Cost Software Startups
“The cost of starting software businesses had come way down. And the best venture funds had accumulated larger and larger amounts of capital, and so there's this natural disconnect with founders.”
Rob Go May 16, 2016 ▶ 2:57 20VC: Rob Go @ NextView on WTF Is Seed Investing Today and Why Raising Too Much Money Can Harm Your Startup
May 30, 2016
Insight
Turck: Venture investing requires balancing deep sector expertise with deliberate naivety
“There is a, this interesting tension between becoming a deep student of a specific industry like big data, internet of things, or any of those these different areas, and the industry in general, so really understanding all the nuances of how companies become s…”
Matt Turck May 30, 2016 ▶ 24:47 20VC: Is Big Data Still A Thing with Matt Turck, Managing Director at FirstMark Capital
Jun 1, 2016
Insight
Basu Trivedi: Venture experience eventually trumps operating background for investors
“But now that I've been in venture capital for five to six years, the venture experience trumps the operating experience at some point. It absolutely does now for me. And so I think the venture experience now informs much more what I do every day with finding n…”
Nikhil Basu Trivedi Jun 1, 2016 ▶ 3:57 20VC: The Future For Autonomous Vehicles & How Software Is Eating Cars with Nikhil Basu Trivedi, Investor @ Shasta Ventures
Jun 6, 2016
Insight
Startups needing under $2M in deficit financing should not raise VC
“I think if your company needs probably, you know, less than a million or two million dollars of deficit financing to accomplish the mission, You know, you shouldn't raise venture capital for that.”
Bijan Sabet Jun 6, 2016 ▶ 19:08 20VC: Spark's Bijan Sabet on Investing in Twitter, Tumblr and Foursquare & Why First Time Founders Are So Exciting
Jun 8, 2016 negative
Opinion
Hyatt: Most VCs prioritize market modeling over team and product
“I think VCs generally, despite whatever they say on their websites, are market-first investors. So they want a market that they can model, you know, that they can give to an associate, and an associate can say, this is a one billion dollar market or a one tril…”
Nabeel Hyatt Jun 8, 2016 ▶ 12:49 20VC: Spark's Nabeel Hyatt on Investing in Oculus and Cruise & What It Takes To Invest Ahead Of The Curve
Jun 15, 2016
Insight
Douvos: How VCs treat LPs predicts how they treat founders
“The way investors treat LPs gives us a lot of insight into how they treat entrepreneurs. And if they're being heavy handed and arrogant with us, their shareholders, how are they with their customers?”
Chris Douvos Jun 15, 2016 ▶ 15:14 20VC: Will LPs Replace GPs with Chris Douvos, Managing Director @ VIA
Jun 17, 2016 negative
Opinion
Orloff: Managing hundreds of millions as a VC is an easy job
“Having a pretty cushy job where you're paid pretty well to listen to exciting, inspiring people come pitch you on ideas, and you're managing hundreds of millions of dollars. In our case, that's, it's a pretty easy job.”
Sasha Orloff Jun 17, 2016 ▶ 4:50 20VC: Raising $150m, Meeting Yuri Milner & Revolutionising Mobile Finance with Sasha Orloff @ LendUp
Jun 22, 2016
Insight
Kadavy: It takes ten years to know if you are a good VC
“It takes one person 10 years to know if they're good at this job or not, which is crazy when you think about it. I couldn't give you another example of a job that takes 10 years to give you that feedback.”
Annie Kadavy Jun 22, 2016 ▶ 6:28 20VC: Why Bots Are The New Black, Conversational Interface Is The Next of For Consumerisation and The Determinants Of A Successful Marketplace with Annie Kadavy, General Partner @ CRV
Jun 22, 2016 neutral
Insight
Kadavy: VCs own nothing and lead nothing; they are just enablers
“It is a job where you are inherently in the middle of a lot of things. You don't own anything and you are not the leader of anything. You are the enabler of people and ideas”
Annie Kadavy Jun 22, 2016 ▶ 27:02 20VC: Why Bots Are The New Black, Conversational Interface Is The Next of For Consumerisation and The Determinants Of A Successful Marketplace with Annie Kadavy, General Partner @ CRV
Jun 27, 2016 negative
Opinion
David Cohen: Tech industry rewards loudness over performance
“I'm very concerned about the health of the long-term dynamic where entrepreneurs and investors value fame and boisterousness over shut the hell up and do a great job and help the company, right? I think most industries evolve towards rewarding performance and,…”
David Cohen Jun 27, 2016 ▶ 22:23 20VC: Techstars Founder, David Cohen on Scaling Techstars Ventures and Investing In Uber, Twilio and Sendgrid
Jul 13, 2016
Insight
Expecting Past VC Investment Models to Repeat Is a Major Failure Mode
“I think one of the failure modes of venture capital is to assume that the past is the future and that you'll consider it, can you continue to see the same models?”
Brad Burnham Jul 13, 2016 ▶ 10:11 20VC: USV's Brad Burnham on Co-Founding USV with Fred Wilson, What They Look For In Potential Partners & Whether We Are Entering a Period of Consolidation or Expansion
Jul 18, 2016
Insight
Bussgang: VCs evaluate startup risk as data-driven pattern recognition algorithms
“VCs, VCs are big data decision makers. Think about us as pattern recognizers and machine learning, deep learning algorithms that feed on data. And the more data we take every data point and make decisions and judgment based on those data points and signaling r…”
Jeff Busgang Jul 18, 2016 ▶ 21:15 20VC: Flybridge's Jeff Bussgang on Why It Is Not All About Unit Economics & Why VCs Are Big Data Decision Makers
Jul 20, 2016 negative
Assertion Supported
Half to two-thirds of venture capital managers lose money
“In most asset classes, a third to a quarter of managers lose money. In venture, that, that could be, depending on the vintage, that could be half, two-thirds of the managers.”
Alex Bangash Jul 20, 2016 ▶ 11:17 20VC: Why The Whole Industry Is Backward Looking, The Best Funds Are Entrepreneur Led and Venture Is All About Access with Alex Bangash, Founder @ Trusted Insight
Jul 20, 2016 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Baseline venture capital return expectations have dropped from 3-5x to 2x net
“The return expectation of venture used to be three to five X and above, and now there are folks in the industry that are perfectly fine with a two X net return because internally their return expectations are much, much lower.”
Alex Bangash Jul 20, 2016 ▶ 14:30 20VC: Why The Whole Industry Is Backward Looking, The Best Funds Are Entrepreneur Led and Venture Is All About Access with Alex Bangash, Founder @ Trusted Insight
Jul 20, 2016
Assertion Contradicted
Over 90 percent of venture capital avoids true early-stage deals
“There was close to forty billion raised last year, 14, fifteen billion in Q-one. 90%, 90 to 95% of that Is not going into true early stage.”
Alex Bangash Jul 20, 2016 ▶ 18:26 20VC: Why The Whole Industry Is Backward Looking, The Best Funds Are Entrepreneur Led and Venture Is All About Access with Alex Bangash, Founder @ Trusted Insight
Jul 20, 2016 neutral
Insight
Venture capital is inverted because entrepreneurs select their fund managers
“Today, the entrepreneurs are picking the managers. This is in stark contrast to any other asset class. So in any other asset class, you can look at a great manager and you can assess their ability to pick securities. Ok, so it's a security selection. So ventur…”
Alex Bangash Jul 20, 2016 ▶ 7:47 20VC: Why The Whole Industry Is Backward Looking, The Best Funds Are Entrepreneur Led and Venture Is All About Access with Alex Bangash, Founder @ Trusted Insight
Jul 20, 2016 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Venture capital performance persistence is a myth due to high fund churn
“So for all this talk of we see being increasingly persistent the reality is it's not. And the reality is that there is a huge churn in venture capital.”
Alex Bangash Jul 20, 2016 ▶ 5:15 20VC: Why The Whole Industry Is Backward Looking, The Best Funds Are Entrepreneur Led and Venture Is All About Access with Alex Bangash, Founder @ Trusted Insight
Jul 25, 2016 negative
Opinion
Semil Shah: VCs Misuse 'Founder Friendly' to Avoid Giving Honest Feedback
“I think in the way people think of founder friendly, I am not. People think founder friendly is like they walk on eggshells around other people so that they don't piss somebody off, even the founder. They're so nervous about losing deal flow or getting a negat…”
Semil Shah Jul 25, 2016 ▶ 15:56 20VC: Semil Shah on Why The Most Important Thing An Investor Can Do Is Attract Follow On & The Fundamentals of VC Branding
Aug 1, 2016 negative
Insight
Justin Kan: Venture Capital Is Easy Because VCs Do No Real Work
“Because you don't do any of the real work. You know, like, this is, I can, I talk to founders all day, and I give them my advice, and they either do it or they don't do it. But at the end of the day, you know, I, you don't have any control. And so you wait, se…”
Justin Kan Aug 1, 2016 ▶ 23:04 20VC: YC's Justin Kan on The 3 Qualities All Successful Investors Have & Why 'VCs Don't Really Do Any Real Work'?
Aug 1, 2016 neutral
Assertion Supported
YC Continuity Fund Was Designed to Compete With Public Market Investors
“The continuity fund originally was conceived of as a way to compete with more of the growth stage investors that were coming into the market in the later stage. So that's people who weren't actually classically VCs. I think as you've seen like tech companies, …”
Justin Kan Aug 1, 2016 ▶ 11:01 20VC: YC's Justin Kan on The 3 Qualities All Successful Investors Have & Why 'VCs Don't Really Do Any Real Work'?
Aug 29, 2016
Insight
VCs expect founders to answer pitch questions using standardized mental frameworks
“I think there's always a miscommunication a lot of times when, you know, a VCO asks a type of question, like competition, where you see growth, what does this mean? I think in their mind, they want to hear it An answer in, in a framework that they're going to …”
Peter Pham Aug 29, 2016 ▶ 10:26 20VC: Science Inc's Peter Pham on Why The Battle Between Entrepreneurs & VCs Is Unfair, How To Even The Playing Field & How To Tell When A VC Really Is Interested
Aug 29, 2016 negative
Opinion
Fundraising is structurally stacked against founders because VCs default to no
“I think it's unfair, I think, in the battle of entrepreneurs, the VCs to get money in the sense that a VC has been doing this for years, right? They're getting a couple pitches a day, years, and so their default answer is a no.”
Peter Pham Aug 29, 2016 ▶ 6:57 20VC: Science Inc's Peter Pham on Why The Battle Between Entrepreneurs & VCs Is Unfair, How To Even The Playing Field & How To Tell When A VC Really Is Interested
Aug 29, 2016 negative
Opinion
Most venture capitalists do not actively think about their portfolio founders
“The reality is most VCs don't actually think about you all the time”
Peter Pham Aug 29, 2016 ▶ 17:54 20VC: Science Inc's Peter Pham on Why The Battle Between Entrepreneurs & VCs Is Unfair, How To Even The Playing Field & How To Tell When A VC Really Is Interested
Sep 2, 2016
Insight
Minshew: Founders should never reveal specific investor names to VCs
“I would never tell a VC who else I'm talking to. That's just not, not great practice, but certainly giving them an update about how the process is moving.”
Kathryn Minshew Sep 2, 2016 ▶ 22:56 20VC: How To Win The Strategic Process Of Fundraising and Optimising Co-Founder Relationships and Break Ups with Kathryn Minshew, Founder & CEO @ The Muse
Sep 14, 2016
Opinion
Sarver: Operators who fail in venture capital can always return to startups
“And I feel like, you know, if you're not being a great VC or if, you know, the team doesn't love me or, you know, whatever you can always go back to doing a startup.”
Ryan Sarver Sep 14, 2016 ▶ 6:19 20VC: Do VC's Really Hustle Enough? The Takeaways From Watching Twitter Scale From 30 to 2,500 & Why Chris Sacca Is Like Yoda with Ryan Sarver, Partner @ Redpoint
Sep 14, 2016
Insight
Sarver: Venture capital lacks immediate scorecards to measure success
“Venture requires a lot of hours. And the tough part is you have no No checklist or no scorecard along the way to tell you if you're doing well or not.”
Ryan Sarver Sep 14, 2016 ▶ 9:47 20VC: Do VC's Really Hustle Enough? The Takeaways From Watching Twitter Scale From 30 to 2,500 & Why Chris Sacca Is Like Yoda with Ryan Sarver, Partner @ Redpoint
Sep 14, 2016
Opinion
Sarver: Venture capital is less stressful than founding or operating a company
“It is definitely, having gone and seen both sides of this job was less stressful than, you know, being an operator and for sure being a founder. There's no doubt, you know, you have a whole team of people riding on you.”
Ryan Sarver Sep 14, 2016 ▶ 9:30 20VC: Do VC's Really Hustle Enough? The Takeaways From Watching Twitter Scale From 30 to 2,500 & Why Chris Sacca Is Like Yoda with Ryan Sarver, Partner @ Redpoint
Sep 19, 2016
Insight
Fushman: Venture capital is like a swim team, not a soccer team
“But it's a sometimes lonely job. It's like being on a swim team and not a soccer team.”
Ilya Fushman Sep 19, 2016 ▶ 19:57 20VC: Index's Ilya Fushman on The Key Lessons From Scaling Dropbox To 400m Users, Is Excessive Amounts Of Capital Driving Valuations Too High In The Valley & Why Venture Is Like Being On A Swim Team Not A Soccer Team
Sep 19, 2016
Insight
Fushman: Venture feedback cycles differ fundamentally from product development
“The feedback cycles in venture are incredibly different from the feedback cycles of building and shipping products, and that's probably the biggest gap.”
Ilya Fushman Sep 19, 2016 ▶ 11:52 20VC: Index's Ilya Fushman on The Key Lessons From Scaling Dropbox To 400m Users, Is Excessive Amounts Of Capital Driving Valuations Too High In The Valley & Why Venture Is Like Being On A Swim Team Not A Soccer Team
Sep 21, 2016 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Skok: Venture capital suffers from poor alignment between founders, VCs, and LPs
“There isn't good alignment, whether people like it or not, between the entrepreneur, their VC, and the VC, and their GPs, and sorry, and their LPs in many instances.”
Michael Skok Sep 21, 2016 ▶ 4:27 20VC: Why Valuation Is A Stupid Concept, VC Is Ripe For Disruption & Not All LPs Are Made Equal with Michael Skok, Founding Partner @ Underscore VC
Sep 26, 2016 positive
Insight
Founder sentiment is the leading indicator of a VC's potency
“So we find that founders and entrepreneurs are leading opinions are the leading indicators of the relevancy and potency of a VC Find that many LPs opinion of a VC's brand is actually a lagging indicator. The most powerful form of social proof for us is the opi…”
Judith Elsea Sep 26, 2016 ▶ 9:44 20VC: The 3 Things LPs Want To See From VCs & Why The Table Stakes For VCs Is Higher Than Ever with Judith Elsea, Co-Founder @ Weathergage Capital
Oct 3, 2016 neutral
Insight
Hannah: Venture capital lacks the compounding flywheel momentum of entrepreneurship
“It's a job where I think unlike an entrepreneur's job, you don't get as much a sense of the flywheel working, right? Like you don't sense that you don't get the sense that you've got this thing going and you're building strength to strength. Like it's a, you k…”
Josh Hannah Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 26:55 20VC: Why The Best CEO's Are The Best Capital Allocators, How You Can Build A Business In A Space You Are Not Passionate About & When Is The Right Time To Put The Pedal To The Metal with Josh Hannah, General Partner @ Matrix Ventures
Oct 5, 2016 negative
Insight
Venture Capital Lacks Feedback Loops Due to Five-to-Seven Year Deal Cycles
“There's just no feedback loop in, in VC. You don't know if you're good at your job because, okay, you can measure yourself if you're doing deals, but you just don't know if those deals become good till five, six, seven years. And you need to do a lot of work w…”
Hardi Meybaum Oct 5, 2016 ▶ 12:21 20VC: The Secret To Building Pattern Recognition, Why MBA Does Not Always Equal Great Founder & What Are The Right Reasons To Start A Company With Hardi Meybaum, General Partner @ Matrix Partners
Oct 12, 2016 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Eakman: Highest Investment Returns at UTIMCO Were in Venture Capital
“And yeah, it helped that my best returns were in venture too.”
Lyndall Eakman Oct 12, 2016 ▶ 5:15 20VC: Why Many VCs Fail To Raise, Why LP Compensation Is A Massive Problem & Why Fund of Funds Will Become More Prominent with Lindel Eakman, Managing Director @ Foundry Group
Oct 26, 2016 negative
Insight
Wong: Starting early in venture beats pivoting from an operating career
“I think the best investors stem from actually being investors. So the earlier in venture that you start investing, the better you're going to be over the long term. So I don't think doing a career, a lifetime career in another field and then switching over as …”
Leon Wong Oct 26, 2016 ▶ 4:07 20VC: Why You Don't Have To Have Operational Experience To Be A Good VC, Why There Is No Optimal Stage To Invest & Why VCs Should Focus on Reputation Ahead of Cash On Cash Returns with Lyon Wong, General Partner @ Spectrum 28
Oct 26, 2016 neutral
Insight
Wong: Late-stage VC returns can match early-stage IRR via faster exits
“So there's no definitive optimal stage because if you're on that efficiency curve and you're investing in the late stage, it's as good as investing in the early stage. Even if your multiple isn't as high as So not in the hundred X, but you're really faster to …”
Leon Wong Oct 26, 2016 ▶ 8:27 20VC: Why You Don't Have To Have Operational Experience To Be A Good VC, Why There Is No Optimal Stage To Invest & Why VCs Should Focus on Reputation Ahead of Cash On Cash Returns with Lyon Wong, General Partner @ Spectrum 28
Oct 26, 2016 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lyon Wong: Real-time operator networks will outperform individual VC operating experience
“So I think having an operational network is key, but not necessarily you have to be the one to have experienced All aspects of operating and you to be imparting the wisdom yourself. I don't think that's the, that in 10 years from now, I don't think that that w…”
Leon Wong Oct 26, 2016 ▶ 5:48 20VC: Why You Don't Have To Have Operational Experience To Be A Good VC, Why There Is No Optimal Stage To Invest & Why VCs Should Focus on Reputation Ahead of Cash On Cash Returns with Lyon Wong, General Partner @ Spectrum 28
Nov 2, 2016 positive
Insight
VC remains inefficient, letting investors win deals on relationships over price
“I see VC as being one of those last industries, one of those last categories that's inefficient still. And what I mean by that is it's not like the public markets where the highest bidder is always going to win. I think VCs through relationships, through vario…”
Clinton Foy Nov 2, 2016 ▶ 9:26 20VC: Why You Have To Be A Good Long Term Actor To Succeed in VC & How Owning An Esports Team Could Be A $Bn Outcome with Clinton Foy, General Partner @ Crosscut Ventures
Nov 2, 2016 negative
Insight
Aggressive, short-term VCs eventually get forced out of the ecosystem
“I don't I think it's a market of bullish predators because I think those bullish predators get forced out of the system. I think you can be a short-term predator, but to be a good VC, I think you have to be an excellent long-term actor.”
Clinton Foy Nov 2, 2016 ▶ 7:52 20VC: Why You Have To Be A Good Long Term Actor To Succeed in VC & How Owning An Esports Team Could Be A $Bn Outcome with Clinton Foy, General Partner @ Crosscut Ventures
Nov 2, 2016 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Y Combinator is disrupting venture capital by flipping founder supply and demand
“I think it will. We're starting to see that happen with Y Combinator. There was a great article I just read Profiling Sam Altman in the New Yorker, and I respect what Y Combinator has done, and I'm a big fan of what they've done over the last three to four yea…”
Clinton Foy Nov 2, 2016 ▶ 10:34 20VC: Why You Have To Be A Good Long Term Actor To Succeed in VC & How Owning An Esports Team Could Be A $Bn Outcome with Clinton Foy, General Partner @ Crosscut Ventures
Nov 4, 2016
Insight
Jerry Colonna: VCs are complicit in creating negative founder dynamics
“I think that VCs would benefit from spending more time looking at their own behavior, looking at the ways in which they are complicit in creating the conditions they say they don't want.”
Jerry Colonna Nov 4, 2016 ▶ 16:45 20VC: CEO Whisperer Jerry Colonna on How Investors Mimic Aggressive Behaviour To Cover Insecurity and Why Vulnerability is Key To Success In VC
Nov 4, 2016 negative
Opinion
Colonna: Traditional unreflective VC behavior does not increase fund returns
“The current way of doing things isn't necessary. It Doesn't necessarily lead to better returns, which by the way is what the job is and is painful.”
Jerry Colonna Nov 4, 2016 ▶ 14:54 20VC: CEO Whisperer Jerry Colonna on How Investors Mimic Aggressive Behaviour To Cover Insecurity and Why Vulnerability is Key To Success In VC
Nov 7, 2016 negative
Opinion
Caldbeck: VCs hypocritically demand founder focus while remaining unfocused generalists
“A lot of VCs talk to entrepreneurs about focus, and yet do everything from seed, series A, growth, consumer, infrastructure, clean tech, maybe some international”
Justin Caldbeck Nov 7, 2016 ▶ 5:01 20VC: Binary's Justin Caldbeck on Specialisation Being Key To Success In VC, The Biggest Problem In VC Today and Why The Future Is A Moneyless Barter Economy
Nov 14, 2016 negative
Assertion Supported
Series A VCs Typically Require 10% to 15% Employee Option Pools
“Typically, the VC is going to require a 10 to 15% option pool for the employees, which makes sense, but usually the angel investor is getting squeezed by that as well.”
Rick Marini Nov 14, 2016 ▶ 17:21 20VC: Rick Marini on Lessons Leant From Naval Ravikant, Why You Need To Make 30 Investments Before You Know What You Are Doing & Why You Have To Earn The Right To Good Dealflow
Nov 23, 2016 negative
Assertion Supported
Paley's study of 71 IPOs shows capital raised doesn't drive startup success
“We looked at 71 IPOs over the last five years, the 71 tech IPOs over the last five years. To study whether venture capital in the outlier cases could be argued to have really driven greater success. And it turned out there was effectively no correlation betwee…”
Eric Paley Nov 23, 2016 ▶ 10:42 20VC: Venture Capital Is One Hell Of A Drug, What VCs Expect From Founders Once They Have Raised & Why Customers Validate Your Business Not Venture Capital with Eric Paley, Managing Partner @ Founder Collective
Nov 23, 2016
Insight
Founders drive inflated valuation expectations just as much as VCs, says Paley
“Actually, the expectations come as a result of a tough negotiation where, Not just VCs, but founders typically want more capital and higher price. And so it's on both sides, the intention of the VC to get more capital in and incentives to do so, and the desire…”
Eric Paley Nov 23, 2016 ▶ 12:39 20VC: Venture Capital Is One Hell Of A Drug, What VCs Expect From Founders Once They Have Raised & Why Customers Validate Your Business Not Venture Capital with Eric Paley, Managing Partner @ Founder Collective
Nov 25, 2016 positive
Insight
Srinivasan: VCs are financially incentivized to make founders wealthier than themselves
“VC is incentivized to build people up. You know, what I mean by that is as an investor, you want to invest in somebody and make them richer than yourself. Example, Peter Thiel investing in the young Mark Zuckerberg put 500,000 dollars into Zuckerberg. Thiel ma…”
Balaji Srinivasan Nov 25, 2016 ▶ 29:05 20VC: a16z's Balaji Srinivasan on Why There Is A Financial Incentive For Truth In VC & Why The Best VCs Invest In Founder To Make Them Richer Than Themselves
Nov 25, 2016 positive
Insight
Srinivasan: Venture capital creates a unique financial incentive for seeking truth
“VC has many, many faults, but there's a couple of things I think are really interesting about it, and one of the biggest is that a VC is very interested in whether they were wrong. You know, pass on a Series A company, and then it's successful, and it becomes …”
Balaji Srinivasan Nov 25, 2016 ▶ 28:12 20VC: a16z's Balaji Srinivasan on Why There Is A Financial Incentive For Truth In VC & Why The Best VCs Invest In Founder To Make Them Richer Than Themselves
Nov 28, 2016
Insight
O'Driscoll: Founders Must Claim Billion-Dollar Markets to Raise VC
“There are lots of founders. They know they have to claim billion dollar markets to raise money. They claim it. And frankly, it's our job and why we get paid to figure out which of them are wrong.”
Rory O'Driscoll Nov 28, 2016 ▶ 12:09 20VC: Why Market Is More Important Than Team, The 4 Key Roles of A Board Member & Why Founders Get Market Sizing So Wrong with Rory O'Driscoll, Founding Partner @ Scale Venture Partners
Nov 30, 2016 negative
Opinion
Farmer: Most venture capital firms operate exactly as they did in 1970
“So for the most part, the way most VCs do business has barely changed since 1970.”
Chris Farmer Nov 30, 2016 ▶ 6:00 20VC: Why There Is A Revolution In VC, Why Boards Are Inherently Inefficient & Why Data Will Be Central To VC In The Future with Chris Farmer, General Partner @ SignalFire
Nov 30, 2016 negative
Opinion
Farmer: Traditional VC model is outdated and must be rebuilt from scratch
“After a few years, I felt that VC was outdated. So I left Bessemer to study one question. If you were to strip a venture curve down to the bare metal to where to recreate a firm from scratch, how would you build a next generation VC?”
Chris Farmer Nov 30, 2016 ▶ 4:44 20VC: Why There Is A Revolution In VC, Why Boards Are Inherently Inefficient & Why Data Will Be Central To VC In The Future with Chris Farmer, General Partner @ SignalFire
Nov 30, 2016 negative
Opinion
Farmer: Too many VCs lack conviction and rely on peer validation
“There's probably too many people who, and VCs in the industry who sit on the fence and don't have the conviction themselves to make their own decisions without Without pure validation. And so there's some awesome entrepreneurial, you know, investors that reall…”
Chris Farmer Nov 30, 2016 ▶ 20:39 20VC: Why There Is A Revolution In VC, Why Boards Are Inherently Inefficient & Why Data Will Be Central To VC In The Future with Chris Farmer, General Partner @ SignalFire
Dec 2, 2016 negative
Insight
Petersen: Massive Market Dollar Capture Outweighs Pure Software Gross Margins
“Six percent of what is the question you need to ask yourself, right? And if what is a trillion dollars, Who cares if it's six percent? Wouldn't you rather have six percent of a trillion dollar market than like, you know, 90% margin on a ten million dollar?”
Ryan Petersen Dec 2, 2016 ▶ 13:16 20VC: Flexport's Ryan Petersen on Why Investor Relations Are Overrated, Why Boards Have To Be Rethought & Why MBAs Do Not Make Bad Entrepreneurs
Dec 12, 2016 positive
Insight
Ohanian: Kindness in venture capital is a smart long-term investment strategy
“A hundred percent. Yes, because kindness is a long-term investment, and if you're a smart investor, you are thinking about the long-term. Kindness does not mean being weak or being dumb. It just means looking at the world as though it is not this purely zero-s…”
Alexis Ohanian Dec 12, 2016 ▶ 21:21 20VC: Reddit's Alexis Ohanian on How It All Started With Paul Graham @ YC, The Biggest Surprises About Making The Move Into VC & Why Alexis Believes All The Best Investors Have Operating Experience
Dec 14, 2016 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
In 2008, VCs questioned why Stanford grads joined Y Combinator
“I remember in oh eight going out and pitching VCs saying, yeah, we're recent graduates of YC. And they would say, why the heck did you do that? You're a Stanford grad. You have startup experience. You didn't have to.”
Garry Tan Dec 14, 2016 ▶ 8:00 20VC: Garry Tan on The Biggest Takeaways From Advising 700 Companies @ Y Combinator & Why Now Is The Golden Age For The Early Stage?
Dec 19, 2016 positive
Opinion
Rebecca Lynn: Venture capital is one of few jobs that rewards ADD
“I think it's one of the few jobs in the world that reward ADD.”
Rebecca Lynn Dec 19, 2016 ▶ 5:57 20VC: Learnings From Mary Meeker & Larry Summers, Missing Out On Uber & The Changing World of VC with Canvas Partner, Rebecca Lynn
Dec 19, 2016
Assertion Contradicted
Lynn: Fewer Than a Handful of VCs Invested in Healthcare Services in 2009
“Cost incentives were really shifting and there were less than a handful of VCs that were doing anything in healthcare services at that point in time.”
Rebecca Lynn Dec 19, 2016 ▶ 11:40 20VC: Learnings From Mary Meeker & Larry Summers, Missing Out On Uber & The Changing World of VC with Canvas Partner, Rebecca Lynn
Dec 19, 2016
Insight
Lynn: VC Deal Flow Is Solved, Deal Filtration Is the Real Problem
“And the other thing too, is that there is just so much out there right now. It's insane in terms of the number of deals and, you know, deal flow is, is not at all a problem. Deal filtration is your problem.”
Rebecca Lynn Dec 19, 2016 ▶ 10:38 20VC: Learnings From Mary Meeker & Larry Summers, Missing Out On Uber & The Changing World of VC with Canvas Partner, Rebecca Lynn
Dec 21, 2016 bearish
Prediction Held up
ICOs and token marketplaces will not replace traditional venture capital firms
“When we talk about disruption, I'm very skeptical that where we're going to be in 10 years is, you know, everything is initial coin offerings, and there's no VCs, and, you know, there's just sort of marketplaces like AngelList and Bitcoin, right? Like, I don't…”
Parker Thompson Dec 21, 2016 ▶ 22:51 20VC: AngelList's Parker Thompson on How He Evaluates Startup Founders & Why The Move To Series A Is Harder Than Ever?
Dec 23, 2016 negative
Insight
Politis: VCs do not mean it when saying 'stay in touch'
“When people said, oh, this is interesting, you know, stay in touch. I thought they actually meant this is interesting. Stay in touch. They don't, you know, they don't at all.”
David Politis Dec 23, 2016 ▶ 20:26 20VC: What VCs Really Mean They Say 'Stay In Touch', Why Incentivisation Through Perks Is Lazy & Why Founders Should Always Under-Promise & Over-Deliver with David Politis, Founder @ CEO @ Bettercloud
Dec 30, 2016
Insight
Banta: Venture capital dealmaking is a solo responsibility
“It is a little bit more of a solo sport, because anytime you're doing a deal, you're the person at the firm that's primarily responsible for it.”
Nitesh Banta Dec 30, 2016 ▶ 6:09 20VC: How AI Can Enhance Not Replace Humans? What Will Differentiate Between The Winners & The Losers In AI? Why AGI Is Further Away Than We Think with Nitesh Banta, Founder & CEO @ B12
Dec 30, 2016
Insight
Banta: Leaving venture capital becomes economically harder over time
“It gets harder with time. Economically, it gets harder. You get comfortable. You start to feel like you can actually do a good job in the venture industry”
Nitesh Banta Dec 30, 2016 ▶ 4:56 20VC: How AI Can Enhance Not Replace Humans? What Will Differentiate Between The Winners & The Losers In AI? Why AGI Is Further Away Than We Think with Nitesh Banta, Founder & CEO @ B12
Jan 2, 2017
Insight
O'Donnell: Venture investors must separate decision quality from outcome control
“It's important to separate decisions and outcomes. Hopefully, you make all good decisions, but you can't control the outcome, and that's sort of the humbling thing, is that you can check off every which box you come up with in terms of decision making and scre…”
Charlie O'Donnell Jan 2, 2017 ▶ 6:20 20VC: Why Companies Going Bust Is Part Of The Plan, Why Most VCs Are Later Stage Than They Think & Why Venture Capital Is Humbling with Charlie O'Donnell, Founder @ Brooklyn Bridge Ventures
Jan 2, 2017 positive
Opinion
O'Donnell: VC personal branding is essential in SF due to extreme deal competition
“So in San Francisco, where I happen to be visiting right now, I think personal brands and marketing that comes from sort of being public as a VC, it is important because it is extremely competitive here to get into deals.”
Charlie O'Donnell Jan 2, 2017 ▶ 14:22 20VC: Why Companies Going Bust Is Part Of The Plan, Why Most VCs Are Later Stage Than They Think & Why Venture Capital Is Humbling with Charlie O'Donnell, Founder @ Brooklyn Bridge Ventures
Jan 6, 2017
Insight
VCs accept execution and team risk but refuse to take market risk
“Almost all VCs will tell you they will take on execution risk. They'll even take on team risk. But they'll never take market risk, because that's the one thing they can't do anything about, which is why VCs tend to look for really big markets.”
Henry Ward Jan 6, 2017 ▶ 7:47 20VC: eShares' Henry Ward on Why Portfolio Theory Is Wrong? Why Investors Will Never Take Market Risk & Why You have To Have A Line of Sight To A $Bn Outcome
Jan 6, 2017 negative
Insight
VC failure rates are unnecessarily high because funds only seek home runs
“I actually challenge the notion that VCs have to have such a high failure rate. I think Part of the reason there is such a high failure rate is because everyone's swinging for home runs. No one's, no one, there are very few VCs that feel like they can assemble…”
Henry Ward Jan 6, 2017 ▶ 8:36 20VC: eShares' Henry Ward on Why Portfolio Theory Is Wrong? Why Investors Will Never Take Market Risk & Why You have To Have A Line of Sight To A $Bn Outcome
Jan 6, 2017 negative
Opinion
Henry Ward argues much of venture capital is simply momentum investing
“I think a lot of venture is momentum investing.”
Henry Ward Jan 6, 2017 ▶ 10:38 20VC: eShares' Henry Ward on Why Portfolio Theory Is Wrong? Why Investors Will Never Take Market Risk & Why You have To Have A Line of Sight To A $Bn Outcome
Jan 6, 2017
Prediction Held up
Startups staying private longer is a permanent structural shift
“The time it takes to build a company these days at the scale that venture and our investors would like us to build companies at just takes longer and longer. It's harder the journey's longer, and it's much more expensive. So I think, and I think that trend's g…”
Henry Ward Jan 6, 2017 ▶ 12:10 20VC: eShares' Henry Ward on Why Portfolio Theory Is Wrong? Why Investors Will Never Take Market Risk & Why You have To Have A Line of Sight To A $Bn Outcome
Jan 11, 2017
Insight
VC career trajectories mirror the Gartner hype cycle
“You go through a process as a VC, which is, you know, it's almost like the Gartner hype cycle, right? Everything is great, and then you go through the trough of disillusionment where you hate everything, right?”
Emily Melton Jan 11, 2017 ▶ 6:43 20VC: Why You Should Not Invest From Patterns, Why No Good Business Was Built As An Analogy Of Another & Why The Rise Of The 'Celebrity Investor' Is Concerning with Emily Melton, Partner @ DFJ
Jan 11, 2017 negative
Insight
Judging all startups by outlier growth forces premature capital risk
“I think that some of the trajectory of some of these amazing companies, which are truly outliers, that have had this, you know, up and to the right success, has forced all companies to be, you know, judged by that same curve, and that's not the way that, that …”
Emily Melton Jan 11, 2017 ▶ 29:28 20VC: Why You Should Not Invest From Patterns, Why No Good Business Was Built As An Analogy Of Another & Why The Rise Of The 'Celebrity Investor' Is Concerning with Emily Melton, Partner @ DFJ
Jan 11, 2017 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
VC transformed from small partnerships into corporate financial services
“Subsequently, the industry has become a lot more professionalized, so you see a lot of associates and analysts, and, you know, people have hired up, and it becomes much more like a traditional financial services firm, but at the time, it was still, you know, l…”
Emily Melton Jan 11, 2017 ▶ 4:07 20VC: Why You Should Not Invest From Patterns, Why No Good Business Was Built As An Analogy Of Another & Why The Rise Of The 'Celebrity Investor' Is Concerning with Emily Melton, Partner @ DFJ
Jan 25, 2017
Insight
Guo: Context Switching in Venture Capital Is Extremely Costly
“The context switching in venture is very costly, right? And so, it's very important to me to have some time when I'm not trying to field emails from people in the portfolio or jump from one meeting on perception for autonomous vehicles to another on developer …”
Sarah Guo Jan 25, 2017 ▶ 20:58 20VC: Preparing For The Next Big Trend, Why Conversational Will Be The Next Big Thing & How Entrepreneurs Should View Market Size with Sarah Guo @ Greylock Partners
Jan 27, 2017 positive
Insight
Ted Blosser: Founders should build investor teams like sports rosters, not marriages
“Don't just look at it as a spouse you would look for, but really look at it as a team you're building and think about the skill set that each VC brings to the table.”
Ted Blosser Jan 27, 2017 ▶ 8:30 20VC: Why You Should Build Your Investor Team Like A Sports Team & How To Leverage The Abilities Of Your Investors Effectively with Ted Blosser, Founder & CEO @ WorkRamp
Jan 30, 2017 negative
Opinion
Mendelson: Half of Board VCs Are Neither Respected Nor Transparent
“Just on the boards that I'm on, a good half of the VCs that I share these boards with, I don't respect. I don't think they're transparent.”
Jason Mendelson Jan 30, 2017 ▶ 8:21 20VC: How 50% Of VCs Hurt Entrepreneurs, How To Build A Relationship Of Trust With Your VC and How Entrepreneurs Can Detect VC BS with Jason Mendelson, Co-Founder @ Foundry Group
Feb 3, 2017 positive
Insight
Tim Junio: Pitch a generational vision over initial product launch revenue
“And so don't over optimize for this is how we're going to launch a product and make revenue optimize for how is this going to be one of the most impactful brands of our generation?”
Tim Junio Feb 3, 2017 ▶ 14:58 20VC: Why I Do Not Regret Taking 'Peter Thiel Money', What Is The Difference Between Leadership & Management & What Conversations Are For The Founding Team Only with Tim Junio, Founder & CEO @ Qadium
Feb 15, 2017
Insight
The highest-returning venture investments are non-obvious deals that consensus rejects
“It's sort of a core belief that the best investments we've made and the best investments out there were not obvious, and they were the kind of wacky deal in the corner of the room that everybody else sort of passed on”
Micah Rosenbloom Feb 15, 2017 ▶ 7:49 20VC: Why Founders Should Not Focus On Top Line Valuation, Why Capital Efficiency Is Key To Returns And Investment Success & Why Despite Popular Thought, $100m Is An Exciting Exit For VC with Micah Rosenbloom, Managing Partner @ Founder Collective
Mar 1, 2017 negative
Opinion
Ehrenberg: Complex term sheets and document obscurity in VC mean nothing
“I spent 12 of my 18 years in the derivatives markets, and I know that mystery and seeming obfuscation and complexity adds mystique. It's such bullshit. It's like the hardest part of VC is finding great people who are aligned on the challenging mission that's i…”
Roger Ehrenberg Mar 1, 2017 ▶ 24:01 20VC: The Power Of A Concentrated Seed Portfolio, Why Operational Value Add Models At Seed Do Not Make Sense & Why We Will See A Shakeout Of Growth Stage Investors with Roger Ehrenberg, Founder & Managing Partner @ IA Ventures
Mar 1, 2017
Prediction Held up
Ehrenberg predicts the VC industry will consolidate into a barbell model
“I think it really is, is going to, that the industry is going to look like a barbell, and I've long thought you'll kind of have firms that are really focused on helping build companies at the seed stage and proving out their businesses, and then you'll have la…”
Roger Ehrenberg Mar 1, 2017 ▶ 16:59 20VC: The Power Of A Concentrated Seed Portfolio, Why Operational Value Add Models At Seed Do Not Make Sense & Why We Will See A Shakeout Of Growth Stage Investors with Roger Ehrenberg, Founder & Managing Partner @ IA Ventures
Mar 8, 2017 negative
Insight
Hower: No 'subprime model' exists in venture capital due to power laws
“There's no subprime model to venture capital investing, right? You can't invest in the mediocre companies at a cheap price and produce a good outcome because the distribution of outcomes is a power law. It's not a normal distribution.”
Lee Hower Mar 8, 2017 ▶ 12:06 20VC: Why Valuation Is Of Critical Importance At Seed, How To Understand Innovation Cycles & Having 3 CEOs and Burning $10m a Month with Lee Hower, Co-Founder @ NextView Ventures
Mar 13, 2017 positive
Prediction Not publicly verifiable
Grady: VC hiring will swing back toward younger apprentices within 10 years
“My personal view, I think the pendulum in the last five years has shifted towards wanting founders and operators as VCs. I think in the next five or 10 years, it's going to swing back the other way towards Hiring younger people with fresh perspective and more …”
Pat Grady Mar 13, 2017 ▶ 6:17 20VC: Sequoia Partner, Pat Grady on Why Data Is The New Oil, Why We Will See The Return of The Apprenticeship Model in VC & The Defining Characteristics of The Next Generation of Great Software
Mar 20, 2017 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: Most VCs do not add value to portfolio companies
“I do think that most VCs do not add value.”
Jason Lemkin Mar 20, 2017 ▶ 23:19 20VC: SaaStr's Jason Lemkin on The 3 Things You Want From Your LPs, Why Most VCs Do Not Add Value & Why The Best VCs Know How To Package Startups For The Next Round
Mar 24, 2017 negative
Insight
Pitching on stage at VC conferences is an ineffective fundraising strategy
“I never really liked this idea of going, like, you know, to some conference and standing on a stage and pitching myself in front of 50 VCs. I don't think that's a very good way to get attention. I think there's a lot of connectors in the ecosystem. Getting to …”
Christian Lanng Mar 24, 2017 ▶ 18:17 20VC: How To Raise $200m In Any Economic Climate, Scale From Garage To Global In Record Time & The Biggest Startup You Have Not Heard About with Christian Lanng, Founder & CEO @ Tradeshift
Mar 27, 2017 negative
Opinion
Gur: Venture capital needs diversity to overcome male and white bias
“You know, I definitely don't think we need more VCs, but we definitely need a All the great businesses I know out there that aren't getting funded and could have a big impact in the world, and they just don't get funded because of the biases that we have as a …”
Sar Gur Mar 27, 2017 ▶ 19:48 20VC: How Investors Can Build Relationships with Founders In Organic, Non-Transactional Ways & How VCs Should Handle Founder Disputes with Saar Gur, General Partner @ CRV
Mar 31, 2017 negative
Insight
McCloskey: VCs maintain information asymmetry because transparency isn't in their interest
“The challenge is that founders can't really share that information because it's not in their best interest, and VCs don't Really want to be transparent because it's not in their best interest, right? They sort of hold all the power. And what that means is that…”
Melody McCloskey Mar 31, 2017 ▶ 22:42 20VC: Why Every Founder Should Bootstrap Their Startup, How To Solve Information Asymmetry Between Founders and VCs & Living In A Cupboard For Two Years To Fund StyleSeat with Melody McCloskey, Founder & CEO @ StyleSeat
Mar 31, 2017 negative
Insight
McCloskey: Leaking low runway to VCs severely damages fundraising terms
“When, I mean, the biggest challenge is when you are, let's say you're in the A stage of raising money, and you don't have a lot of runway, and as a startup, you need to try and keep as much of the power in that negotiation process as you can, while also, you k…”
Melody McCloskey Mar 31, 2017 ▶ 11:55 20VC: Why Every Founder Should Bootstrap Their Startup, How To Solve Information Asymmetry Between Founders and VCs & Living In A Cupboard For Two Years To Fund StyleSeat with Melody McCloskey, Founder & CEO @ StyleSeat
Mar 31, 2017
Insight
McCloskey: The individual VC partner matters far more than firm brand
“The partner is so much more important to me than the firm because there's such asymmetry of information between founders and VCs that makes it really hard for a founder.”
Melody McCloskey Mar 31, 2017 ▶ 17:48 20VC: Why Every Founder Should Bootstrap Their Startup, How To Solve Information Asymmetry Between Founders and VCs & Living In A Cupboard For Two Years To Fund StyleSeat with Melody McCloskey, Founder & CEO @ StyleSeat
Apr 5, 2017 negative
Insight
Breinlinger: Relying on early metrics like MRR leads VCs to bad decisions
“If you are so focused on just the data of user acquisitions, MRR growth, whatever, especially at the early stages where it's probably only a million or so in revenue, I think you can just buy into hype too easily and make bad decisions that ignore common sense…”
Josh Breinlinger Apr 5, 2017 ▶ 5:03 20VC: Why Spray & Pray Investing Is Wrong, Why Data-Informed VC Beats Data Driven VC & What To Look For When Investing In A Marketplace with Josh Breinlinger, Managing Director @ Jackson Square Ventures
Apr 5, 2017 positive
Insight
Breinlinger: Concentrated, high-conviction portfolios are best strategy to beat market
“I believe the best way to get returns is to have very high conviction investments, very concentrated investments, and I think that's the way to beat the market and stand out.”
Josh Breinlinger Apr 5, 2017 ▶ 8:37 20VC: Why Spray & Pray Investing Is Wrong, Why Data-Informed VC Beats Data Driven VC & What To Look For When Investing In A Marketplace with Josh Breinlinger, Managing Director @ Jackson Square Ventures
Apr 7, 2017 positive
Opinion
Stebbings: VCs view founder referrals as the highest quality introductions
“There's also no better referral than a founder referral for VCs. They take that as kind of the highest form of solicitation.”
Harry Stebbings Apr 7, 2017 ▶ 20:11 20VC: How To Create FOMO For Investors, How To Manage VC Conversations & A Repeatable Process For Learning New Things with Anna Shedletsky, Founder & CEO @ Instrumental.ai
Apr 7, 2017 positive
Insight
Shedletsky: Asking VCs for advice yields free consulting and builds relationships
“I think what I have kind of stumbled into is you just go and ask advice. This is a great way to get like half an hour of free consulting about what you should be worried about in your business and what you should be doing about X, Y, Z, or the other.”
Anna Shedletsky Apr 7, 2017 ▶ 19:55 20VC: How To Create FOMO For Investors, How To Manage VC Conversations & A Repeatable Process For Learning New Things with Anna Shedletsky, Founder & CEO @ Instrumental.ai
Apr 10, 2017
Insight
Naval Ravikant: Good founders unbundle venture capital advice, control, and capital
“Venture is a bundle of advice, control, and money, and good entrepreneurs unbundle those things and kind of purchase what they need at market rates.”
Naval Ravikant Apr 10, 2017 ▶ 10:20 20VC: AngelList's Naval Ravikant on The Secrets To Success At Seed, Why Micro VC Is The Return of Traditional Series A & Why We Will See The Unbundling Of Traditional VC Brands
Apr 10, 2017 negative
Opinion
Naval Ravikant: VCs should not make a living arbitraging information
“And it seemed odd to me that in day and age of free information and the internet that you could still make a living by essentially arbitraging information. And that just didn't seem right to me.”
Naval Ravikant Apr 10, 2017 ▶ 3:13 20VC: AngelList's Naval Ravikant on The Secrets To Success At Seed, Why Micro VC Is The Return of Traditional Series A & Why We Will See The Unbundling Of Traditional VC Brands
Apr 10, 2017
Insight
Naval Ravikant: VCs earn high fees because money is a commodity
“So VCs get paid really well because they're selling a commodity at its core, and that commodity is money. So they have to add on advice and brand, and those advice and brand become really important.”
Naval Ravikant Apr 10, 2017 ▶ 13:17 20VC: AngelList's Naval Ravikant on The Secrets To Success At Seed, Why Micro VC Is The Return of Traditional Series A & Why We Will See The Unbundling Of Traditional VC Brands
Apr 12, 2017 positive
Insight
Kashyap: Smart non-VCs can be trained into successful venture capitalists
“Basically, what I learned was you can absolutely take young professionals who are smart, who are just pure smart, who have never done VC, and you can train them.”
Nagraj Kashyap Apr 12, 2017 ▶ 6:09 20VC: Why Young VCs Must Have Cheque Writing Ability & Why Corporate VC Is The Best Training Ground For New VCs with Nagraj Kashyap @ Microsoft Ventures
Apr 12, 2017 negative
Insight
Kashyap: Venture capitalists judge founders too quickly in one-hour meetings
“I feel that myself, you know, VCs and myself included, we pass judgment too quickly. We meet a company. We really don't know what journey they went through before they got To presenting us across the table, but you know, they basically get an hour and we pass …”
Nagraj Kashyap Apr 12, 2017 ▶ 19:50 20VC: Why Young VCs Must Have Cheque Writing Ability & Why Corporate VC Is The Best Training Ground For New VCs with Nagraj Kashyap @ Microsoft Ventures
Apr 12, 2017 bearish
Assertion Supported
Kashyap: Venture capital funding for semiconductors has almost disappeared
“Very few VCs will touch semiconductors, and it's a core innovation. Hardware is a core innovation on which software resides. So we do need to see continued innovation at the bottom layers. But that has sort of almost gone away from the VC ecosystem.”
Nagraj Kashyap Apr 12, 2017 ▶ 21:12 20VC: Why Young VCs Must Have Cheque Writing Ability & Why Corporate VC Is The Best Training Ground For New VCs with Nagraj Kashyap @ Microsoft Ventures
Apr 14, 2017 positive
Insight
Kimball: Top VCs Win Allocations by Staying Proactively Engaged Between Rounds
“But I think that what separates the wheat from the shaft there is that the really good VCs, the ones that really want to land the deal, assuming that is their priority, you know, these guys will, and gals, will stay in touch, and they'll be proactive about it.”
Spencer Kimball Apr 14, 2017 ▶ 17:04 20VC: How Investors Can Get Into The Best Deals & Why Founders First Point Of Contact Should Be With The Investment Decision-Maker with Spencer Kimball, Founder & CEO @ Cockroach Labs
Apr 14, 2017 negative
Disclosure
Kimball: Cockroach Labs Rejects Late-Arriving VCs Who Skipped Between-Round Touchpoints
“And then many of the VCs that I talked to in the previous round, they start to hear about it through the grapevine, and then they pop up, and they want to be involved, and no matter how much I like them, it's often pretty far along at that point, usually past …”
Spencer Kimball Apr 14, 2017 ▶ 17:52 20VC: How Investors Can Get Into The Best Deals & Why Founders First Point Of Contact Should Be With The Investment Decision-Maker with Spencer Kimball, Founder & CEO @ Cockroach Labs
Apr 17, 2017 positive
Opinion
Felser: Venture capital is easier than entrepreneurship due to flexibility
“It's obviously easier than being an entrepreneur, but I can do it from anywhere. I'm flexible about my hours. I can work, you know, sometimes I work until one AM, sometimes I work until three PM and have a portfolio of companies to spread the stress across.”
Josh Felser Apr 17, 2017 ▶ 4:50 20VC: Can Founders Really Trust Their VC & How To Navigate The Acquisition Process Successfully with Josh Felser, Co-Founder @ Freestyle.vc
Apr 19, 2017 negative
Opinion
Polovets: Bad VCs tarnish venture capital due to lack of public accountability
“I think most VCs are great and then a small number are not. And because there's no public repository of people, you know, saying what it's like to work with a specific investor, a lot of times, like both the good and bad investors will be able to get into roun…”
Leo Polovets Apr 19, 2017 ▶ 19:34 20VC: Investing; A Game Of Access Or Picking, Why Technical DD At Seed Is Irrelevant & Why A Contrarian Mindset Does Not Always Lead To Optimal Returns with Leo Polovets, Co-Founder & General Partner @ Susa Ventures
Apr 19, 2017 positive
Opinion
Stebbings: Venture capital is a game of access, not contrarian thinking
“I fundamentally don't think that venture is a game of contrarian thinking. I think it's a game of access.”
Harry Stebbings Apr 19, 2017 ▶ 6:21 20VC: Investing; A Game Of Access Or Picking, Why Technical DD At Seed Is Irrelevant & Why A Contrarian Mindset Does Not Always Lead To Optimal Returns with Leo Polovets, Co-Founder & General Partner @ Susa Ventures
May 8, 2017 negative
Insight
Pat Grady: The value of operational experience in VC decays rapidly
“Pat Grady said to me that never has the rate of decay on operational experience been greater.”
Harry Stebbings May 8, 2017 ▶ 7:48 20VC: Harry Stebbings on The Biggest Takeaways From Interviewing The World's Best Investors, What Makes A Truly Great Interview & Some Big News... with Mattias Ljungman, Co-Founder & General Partner @ Atomico
May 8, 2017 positive
Insight
Stebbings: Board meetings are opportunities for VCs to add value, not tests
“Board meetings, I always feel entrepreneurs view them as a test, but they're really a chance for VCs to Provide their value.”
Harry Stebbings May 8, 2017 ▶ 20:03 20VC: Harry Stebbings on The Biggest Takeaways From Interviewing The World's Best Investors, What Makes A Truly Great Interview & Some Big News... with Mattias Ljungman, Co-Founder & General Partner @ Atomico
May 10, 2017 bullish
Insight
Wolfe: Investing with a 3-10 year horizon creates time arbitrage advantage
“If the public markets are thinking one or two years out and discounting back, and VCs are thinking one or two years out, then if you are thinking three, four, five, or let alone 10 years out, then you've got a time arbitrage advantage.”
Josh Wolfe May 10, 2017 ▶ 18:30 20VC: The 3 Forms Of Edge A Founder Can Have, Lessons From Being on A Board With Bill Gates & Why There Are A Lot Of Tourist VCs Who Are Going To Lose A Lot Of Money, with Josh Wolfe, Co-Founder @ Lux Capital
May 15, 2017 negative
Insight
Rabois: VCs who spend time with other VCs generate average returns
“If you spend too much time with other VCs, you start thinking like other VCs. And then you're going to have the same returns as other VCs, which is not what your goal is.”
Keith Rabois May 15, 2017 ▶ 23:58 20VC: Khosla's Keith Rabois on How To Create Sustainability Behind Growth, How To Assess The Potential Of Individuals & Teams & The Biggest Takeaways from LinkedIn, Paypal & Square
May 17, 2017 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Raney: Very early stage venture deals expanded 10x from 2007 to 2015
“We saw a 10 X increase in the number of very early stage investments and we saw 40% increase in the number of You know, kind of series A and series B invest.”
Scott Raney May 17, 2017 ▶ 5:38 20VC: Why It Is Good Company Funding Has Been Down 6 Quarters In A Row, Why Unanimity Does Not Work In VC Decision-Making & Why It Is Dangerous To Be A Spreadsheet Investor with Scott Raney, Partner @ Redpoint Ventures
May 17, 2017 negative
Opinion
Raney: Posturing and positioning in venture capital is distasteful
“I think sometimes there's a lot of posturing positioning in this industry that I think is distasteful.”
Scott Raney May 17, 2017 ▶ 22:30 20VC: Why It Is Good Company Funding Has Been Down 6 Quarters In A Row, Why Unanimity Does Not Work In VC Decision-Making & Why It Is Dangerous To Be A Spreadsheet Investor with Scott Raney, Partner @ Redpoint Ventures
May 29, 2017 positive
Insight
Zaveri: Outbound sourcing is how venture works, not inbound deal flow
“I fundamentally learned that outbound is the way venture works and inbound is rarely the way it should work.”
MZ Zaveri May 29, 2017 ▶ 4:50 20VC: Kleiner Perkins' MZ Zaveri on Why Success In Venture Is About The 3 F's, How VCs Can Manage Deal Heat & Is There Too Much Venture Dollars At Seed
May 29, 2017 negative
Insight
Zaveri: Dismissing founders or ideas as just a feature is dangerous
“I'd say, like, huge market, and then the other pet, you know, pet peeve is, oh, this is a feature or something like that, right? It's like, you know, companies evolve and change, and I'd say there might be sort of folks that may sort of poorly phrase things, a…”
MZ Zaveri May 29, 2017 ▶ 21:18 20VC: Kleiner Perkins' MZ Zaveri on Why Success In Venture Is About The 3 F's, How VCs Can Manage Deal Heat & Is There Too Much Venture Dollars At Seed
May 31, 2017
Insight
Ascher: Early-stage VCs seek non-consensus viewpoints that prove right
“We're looking for a non-consensus viewpoint that will ultimately prove right, and the market will catch up and reward the company for achieving this goal.”
Brian Ascher May 31, 2017 ▶ 11:23 20VC: How Both Founders & GPs Should Construct Their Pitch, Why VCs Are Eternal Optimists & What Makes The Best Post-Investment VC/Founder Relationship with Brian Ascher, Partner @ Venrock
May 31, 2017 bearish
Opinion
Ascher: Venture capital has become overly transactional and cap-table focused
“I'd like to see it be less transactional and more relationship oriented. I feel like it's become a bit of a, yeah, yeah, yeah, write me a check and join this long cap table list, but ultimately for me, again, it's about the long-term partnership relationship.”
Brian Ascher May 31, 2017 ▶ 20:51 20VC: How Both Founders & GPs Should Construct Their Pitch, Why VCs Are Eternal Optimists & What Makes The Best Post-Investment VC/Founder Relationship with Brian Ascher, Partner @ Venrock
May 31, 2017
Insight
Ascher: Breaking into VC requires starting young or an executive track record
“Well, there's kind of two paths. You beat and kick and scratch and claw your way in as a young person who doesn't yet really have much to bring to the table by way of a track record or proven deal flow based on your stature as a founder or senior executive at …”
Brian Ascher May 31, 2017 ▶ 3:49 20VC: How Both Founders & GPs Should Construct Their Pitch, Why VCs Are Eternal Optimists & What Makes The Best Post-Investment VC/Founder Relationship with Brian Ascher, Partner @ Venrock
Jun 5, 2017 positive
Insight
Venture Capital Is Purely About Upside Maximization, Not Downside Minimization
“Venture capital to me is a Purely a game of upside maximization. And while this may be in trouble, you know, this may get me in trouble. I actually don't. Downside minimization is completely unimportant to me.”
Brian Singerman Jun 5, 2017 ▶ 10:10 20VC: Founders Fund's Brian Singerman on Why VC Is About Upside Maximisation Not Downside Minimisation, Why There Is No Right Way To Do Venture and Why They Do Not Have Monday Morning Partner Meetings At Founders Fund
Jun 21, 2017 negative
Insight
Gil: Traditional venture capital unnaturally bundles capital, governance, and advice
“The traditional BC model bundles capital, governance, and advice, and the people who are great investors aren't necessarily good at governance or advice, or vice versa. People who are great advisors may not be great investors. They may not be able to identify …”
Elad Gil Jun 21, 2017 ▶ 27:05 20VC: Elad Gil on Becoming One of Silicon Valleys Top Angels, Why Most People Get Market Sizing Wrong & Should VC Services Always Be Bundled Together?
Jun 26, 2017 negative
Opinion
Levine: Claims that operational VCs add superior value are bogus
“So I think this whole idea of VC being better or adding a lot of value to their operational experience, I think it's bogus. And I think it's sort of a, it's a new idea that's been perpetrated by folks who are competing as VCs who happen to have a lot of operat…”
Jeremy Levine Jun 26, 2017 ▶ 5:32 20VC: Bessemer's Jeremy Levine on Why We Are In A Fallow Period For Consumer, Why It Is Bogus That Operational VCs Can Add More Value & 2 Golden Rules To Always Tell Entrepreneurs Pre-Investment
Jun 26, 2017 bearish
Prediction Partly held up
Levine: High startup entry valuations will drag down overall VC returns
“And so if you're making much lower returns on your rate investments, you won't be able to afford to cover the bad investments. And basically that just means the returns of the industry are going to get dragged down.”
Jeremy Levine Jun 26, 2017 ▶ 21:22 20VC: Bessemer's Jeremy Levine on Why We Are In A Fallow Period For Consumer, Why It Is Bogus That Operational VCs Can Add More Value & 2 Golden Rules To Always Tell Entrepreneurs Pre-Investment
Jun 28, 2017 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kurzweil: Pre-Sold ICO Demand Is a Better Success Indicator Than VCs
“I'm one of the ones that think it might, and I think the way it disrupts our business is it allows folks to transact directly with the buyer of their product before they have said product. So, In a block in, in these ICOs that we're seeing now, you can put out…”
Ethan Kurzweil Jun 28, 2017 ▶ 22:44 20VC: Bessemer's Ethan Kurzweil on How To View Pattern Recognition and Deal With The Anti-Portfolio, The Next Frontier In Developer Focussed Businesses & Why eSports Is Interesting Again
Jul 5, 2017 bearish
Insight
Schuler: Venture capital's biggest existential threat is persistent overcapitalization
“The existential threat to VC is Is one that's always been around too much money searching for too few good deals yielding low returns and making the category not so attractive.”
Barry Schuler Jul 5, 2017 ▶ 19:09 20VC: How To Get Back To 200 Tech IPOs Per Year, Why We Are In A 'Bulge" Not A Bubble & The Impending Flat & Down Rounds To Come with Barry Schuler, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Jul 10, 2017 negative
Opinion
Lasky: Venture Capital Has Become an Over-Hyped PR Machine Like Hollywood
“Even the pre-internet bubble days. VCs were kind of shadow warriors. They were in the background. They were enablers. They were not really the center of attention. And I think increasingly, firms have brought a kind of Hollywood-like public relations and hype …”
Mitch Lasky Jul 10, 2017 ▶ 7:48 20VC: Benchmark's Mitch Lasky on The Snapchat Journey From Series A to IPO, Why Small Is Beautiful In Venture Partnerships & Why Venture Is Very Much Like Hollywood
Jul 10, 2017 negative
Insight
Lasky: VCs Overvalue Historical Pattern Matching Over Non-Continuous Innovation
“Both share a tendency to overvalue Professional experience and sort of historical pattern matching potentially over taking chances on really non-continuous innovation.”
Mitch Lasky Jul 10, 2017 ▶ 7:17 20VC: Benchmark's Mitch Lasky on The Snapchat Journey From Series A to IPO, Why Small Is Beautiful In Venture Partnerships & Why Venture Is Very Much Like Hollywood
Jul 12, 2017
Insight
Roseanne Wincek: Venture capital is the academia of technology
“I really feel like venture is kind of the academia of tech, right? We kind of create all these mental models for how we think the world works, and we go, we do experiments to test whether or not they're real”
Roseanne Wincek Jul 12, 2017 ▶ 4:11 20VC: The Blurring of Early & Late Stage, Why Your Go To Market Strategy Is More Important Now Than Ever & Why Venture Is The Academia Of Tech with Roseanne Wincek @ IVP
Jul 19, 2017 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
A robust IPO market inflates VC valuations and depresses overall returns
“There's just a good chance that With a robust public market, you'll see more dollars coming in to venture, and more dollars coming in means higher valuations at every round, and it just overall can drive returns down.”
Jason Pressman Jul 19, 2017 ▶ 9:31 20VC: Why It Is BS That You Never Regret Paying A High Price To Get Into A Good Company, Why There Are Only 2 Price Points That Work in SaaS and Why eSports Will Be Bigger Than Traditional Sports in 5 Years Time with Jason Pressman @ Shasta Ventures
Jul 26, 2017 negative
Insight
VCs should avoid seed extensions because bridge rounds rarely succeed
“But in general, I think you should stay away from it from the VC standpoint. Just to, they just tend to go nowhere, like Maple said.”
Michael Ma Jul 26, 2017 ▶ 9:39 20VC: Why YC Is The Exact Opposite of Proprietary Deal Flow, Why Having No Follow On Dramatically Aligns Incentives & Why Founders Do Not Have To Be Passionate About Their Idea From The Start with Michael Ma, Founding Partner @ Liquid 2 Ventures
Jul 26, 2017 positive
Insight
Aspiring VCs can perform analyst duties before getting hired
“I mean, it's actually possible for you to basically act like an analyst associate at a fund without getting a job. You can meet with founders. You can write market maps. You can basically do the job. You can send over these deals to VCs, and you'd be surprised…”
Michael Ma Jul 26, 2017 ▶ 19:55 20VC: Why YC Is The Exact Opposite of Proprietary Deal Flow, Why Having No Follow On Dramatically Aligns Incentives & Why Founders Do Not Have To Be Passionate About Their Idea From The Start with Michael Ma, Founding Partner @ Liquid 2 Ventures
Aug 2, 2017 neutral
Insight
Max Gazor notes VC apprentice model time constraints limit firm hiring
“In general, I think because they are small teams and it's an apprentice model and you spend and invest a lot of time in people, you really want to make sure that the people that you bring on are strong fits internally. And I think that that's The key barrier i…”
Max Gazor Aug 2, 2017 ▶ 4:03 20VC: When Should CEOs Ask Their VC For Help, When Do Companies Really Need A Board & What The Series A Expansion Means For Startups with Max Gazor, General Partner @ CRV
Aug 4, 2017 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: ICOs will disrupt venture capital over next two to ten years
“If this trend around ICOs goes through its correction period and then continues to get traction, which I believe it will, it's hard to say on what timeframe, but let's say, you know, over the next two to 10 years or something like that, I do think that is pret…”
Brian Armstrong Aug 4, 2017 ▶ 15:20 20VC: Coinbase's Brian Armstrong on The Rise & Short Term Correction in ICOs, The Regulatory Framework Required For Blockchain To Succeed & How The Rise of Blockchain Disrupts The VC Industry
Aug 9, 2017 negative
Insight
Quintini: VCs shouldn't offer operational value-add just to satisfy LPs
“I think the important thing is you should only do it if it matches your skills and it matches your The relationship and the way you want to work with your founders, right? You shouldn't do it because the industry is doing it. You shouldn't do it because LPs, y…”
Renata Quintini Aug 9, 2017 ▶ 12:26 20VC: The 7 Requirements For Startup Scaling, Why VCs Must Approach Every Conversation with A Yes Mentality & Why We Will See The Humanisation of Technology with Renata Quintini, Partner @ Lux Capital
Aug 9, 2017
Insight
Quintini: Lower startup costs enabled the emergence of smaller VC funds
“Cloud, mobile, processing power, all those things that happened in the past, you know, call it 1520 years, they made founders need differently, and I saw what in 2006, seven, eight, people kind of taking that big step back and say, okay, what's changed now, an…”
Renata Quintini Aug 9, 2017 ▶ 10:39 20VC: The 7 Requirements For Startup Scaling, Why VCs Must Approach Every Conversation with A Yes Mentality & Why We Will See The Humanisation of Technology with Renata Quintini, Partner @ Lux Capital
Aug 9, 2017 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Quintini: Stanford's endowment helped launch the venture capital industry
“The Stanford endowment put venture capital in business in a sense.”
Renata Quintini Aug 9, 2017 ▶ 6:10 20VC: The 7 Requirements For Startup Scaling, Why VCs Must Approach Every Conversation with A Yes Mentality & Why We Will See The Humanisation of Technology with Renata Quintini, Partner @ Lux Capital
Aug 14, 2017 negative
Opinion
Calacanis: VCs Have Abandoned Early-Stage Investing to Angels and YC
“A lot of VCs have given up on doing early stage investing, and a lot of them just look to people like me or YC or other people, and they just outsource the whole goddamn thing.”
Jason Calacanis Aug 14, 2017 ▶ 33:03 20VC: Jason Calacanis on The 4 Questions Investors Must Ask Founders, Whether YC Have Scaled Their Process Successfully & Why Early Founder Liquidity Is Good Not Bad
Aug 25, 2017 negative
Insight
Abrams: Claiming to 'fall into VC' is usually masking unacknowledged privilege
“Really it does sound like the benefit of privilege when a family member or a former college roommate or somebody gives you this lucky break that is an entree into that world. It's a weird way of saying that you fell into it. It just doesn't sound like somethin…”
Jonathan Abrams Aug 25, 2017 ▶ 5:09 20VC: Nuzzel's Jonathan Abrams on Why The Top VCs Do Not Have A PlayBook For Startup Success, Why Most Boards Are Not Successful & Why He Is Bored Of Hearing "I Fell Into VC"
Aug 25, 2017 negative
Opinion
Abrams: VCs claiming to 'fall into VC' contradicts firm diversity excuses
“When you hear venture capital, you know, famous VCs sometimes in the media talking about the lack of diversity in their firms and being challenged about it and saying that they can't relax their standards, and fair enough, but when then you hear people saying …”
Jonathan Abrams Aug 25, 2017 ▶ 4:08 20VC: Nuzzel's Jonathan Abrams on Why The Top VCs Do Not Have A PlayBook For Startup Success, Why Most Boards Are Not Successful & Why He Is Bored Of Hearing "I Fell Into VC"
Aug 28, 2017 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jones: Tokenization and ICOs will fundamentally change early-stage venture capital
“It is going to change venture. I mean, it has changed venture. It's just, if I look at my investing activities over the last six months since we've been participating in this, it's changed the way I think about equity and the way I think about early stage comp…”
Mike Jones Aug 28, 2017 ▶ 15:46 20VC: The First ICO Blockchain Incubator Ever, Why ICO's Will Change The World of Venture As We Know It & How The M&A Market Will Respond To ICO's with Mike, Jones, Co-Founder @ Science Inc
Sep 1, 2017 negative
Opinion
Harris: VCs care more about company size than profitability
“At the end of the day, I think everyone's just going to keep accepting this big lie, because as long as markets still appreciate size over return, they're going to continue to support these types of companies. And if you look at it, proof is in the pudding. Th…”
Tim Harris Sep 1, 2017 ▶ 10:31 20VC: What Is The Big Lie To Silicon Valley, Why Silicon Valley Is No Longer Optimised For Deep Tech Investing & Why AI Will Lead To More Business Model Innovation Than Technology Innovation with Tim Harris, Founder & CEO @ Swift Navigation
Sep 6, 2017 negative
Insight
Callaghan: Loss aversion is the primary bias holding back venture capital
“The biggest bias is loss aversion, so if you were to break down the venture capital industry, one of the biggest issues constraining the potential of our industry is loss aversion”
Jon Callaghan Sep 6, 2017 ▶ 8:57 20VC: Why Investors Have The Biggest Problem with Bias, Why Our Job Is To Maximise Risk & Why It Is Essential To Get Good at Losing with True Ventures Founder, Jon Callaghan
Sep 6, 2017 bullish
Insight
Callaghan: The role of venture capital is to maximize risk
“Our job is to maximize risk. That is the role of venture capital in the world is, I mean, we are the safe place in the capital markets to maximize risk and to do crazy things.”
Jon Callaghan Sep 6, 2017 ▶ 10:28 20VC: Why Investors Have The Biggest Problem with Bias, Why Our Job Is To Maximise Risk & Why It Is Essential To Get Good at Losing with True Ventures Founder, Jon Callaghan
Sep 6, 2017 negative
Assertion Supported
Callaghan: Venture capital industry loses money on over half of investments
“The dirty little secret of venture capital is half the time we lose more than half the time, but half the time straight off the bat as an industry, we lose.”
Jon Callaghan Sep 6, 2017 ▶ 12:25 20VC: Why Investors Have The Biggest Problem with Bias, Why Our Job Is To Maximise Risk & Why It Is Essential To Get Good at Losing with True Ventures Founder, Jon Callaghan
Sep 8, 2017
Insight
Founders must force VCs to pitch their capital to the startup
“You're not selling your idea to them. You need to get them to sell their dollars to you. VCs are in the business of trying to get their capital and their money accepted by great entrepreneurs.”
Wayne Chang Sep 8, 2017 ▶ 18:42 20VC: How To Run The Perfect Fundraising Process, Why Time Kills All Deals & Why You Have To Get VCs Out Of The Board Room with Wayne Chang, Serial Entrepreneur & Angel Investor
Sep 8, 2017 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
VC power dynamics and egos will never disappear despite market shifts
“I think visually it might be dying, but I think ego so much ingrained as part of human nature that I think that would never go away. It might be mass. I still know a lot of VCs that have mega power ego trips.”
Wayne Chang Sep 8, 2017 ▶ 17:04 20VC: How To Run The Perfect Fundraising Process, Why Time Kills All Deals & Why You Have To Get VCs Out Of The Board Room with Wayne Chang, Serial Entrepreneur & Angel Investor
Sep 8, 2017 negative
Insight
Giving VCs or partners more time lowers the likelihood of deal completion
“The more time that VC has, the more A time that a potential vendor or partner has, the worse off you are, the less likelihood of a deal completion.”
Wayne Chang Sep 8, 2017 ▶ 20:03 20VC: How To Run The Perfect Fundraising Process, Why Time Kills All Deals & Why You Have To Get VCs Out Of The Board Room with Wayne Chang, Serial Entrepreneur & Angel Investor
Sep 8, 2017
Insight
Founders should never tell VCs which other investors they are meeting
“You never reveal who you're talking to the others, because VCs will always try to back channel each other. So you says entrepreneur raising, I believe you should never reveal while you're fundraising, who else you're fundraising from. That's only to your detri…”
Wayne Chang Sep 8, 2017 ▶ 18:09 20VC: How To Run The Perfect Fundraising Process, Why Time Kills All Deals & Why You Have To Get VCs Out Of The Board Room with Wayne Chang, Serial Entrepreneur & Angel Investor
Sep 11, 2017 neutral
Insight
Weissman: Traditional VC works near-perfectly for software, but nothing else
“I believe on one point that early stage software technology based venture capital is a near perfect craft for what it does. And by that, I mean, it is a near perfect allocation of a certain type of capital, risk capital, into endeavors that are focused on retu…”
Andy Weissman Sep 11, 2017 ▶ 16:17 20VC: USV's Andy Weissman on The Future of The VC Industry, Why USV Does Not Vote On Investment Decisions & Why VCs Should Be Invisible
Sep 11, 2017
Insight
Andy Weissman: Venture Capital Success Stems From Process, Not Foresight
“And so, I believe that a large, if not the largest part of that, is about the process you create to make those decisions, and if you have a process, and you perfect that process, and you stick with that process, sometimes it works, and that's luck, right? Whet…”
Andy Weissman Sep 11, 2017 ▶ 4:31 20VC: USV's Andy Weissman on The Future of The VC Industry, Why USV Does Not Vote On Investment Decisions & Why VCs Should Be Invisible
Sep 11, 2017
Insight
Weissman: VC funds only need a few right decisions per fund
“Well, that's okay because with this business, we actually don't have to be right every time we have to make a decision just a couple times each fund.”
Andy Weissman Sep 11, 2017 ▶ 8:47 20VC: USV's Andy Weissman on The Future of The VC Industry, Why USV Does Not Vote On Investment Decisions & Why VCs Should Be Invisible
Sep 11, 2017 negative
Opinion
Weissman: Venture capital is a service business and VCs should be invisible
“By the way, I don't believe at a fundamental matter, I'm old fashioned in the way that I believe actually VCs should be invisible, you know, and so I know you ask this question to a lot of people, what would you like most like to change in the world of VC? I'v…”
Andy Weissman Sep 11, 2017 ▶ 23:03 20VC: USV's Andy Weissman on The Future of The VC Industry, Why USV Does Not Vote On Investment Decisions & Why VCs Should Be Invisible
Sep 13, 2017
Insight
Good VCs should deliver target introductions for founders within 48 hours
“If your investor is worth anything, it should be able to get you to the right person. And that person should have enough respect for them to either say, yeah, it's a fair or no, it's not. And so you should have that connection within 48 hours.”
Kathleen Utecht Sep 13, 2017 ▶ 20:33 20VC: Why VC Is A Lifestyle Not A Job, Why You Must Do Post-mortems On Good and Bad Deals & Why Society Is On A Downgrade with Kathleen Utecht, Managing Partner @ Core Innovation Capital
Sep 13, 2017
Insight
Being a VC is a lifestyle that must be as important as family
“So I think that's why I say it's a lifestyle, and I tell all these young people that are going to try to get into VC, like, to realize that this is their life, and that it's as important as their family, and it should be their top priority.”
Kathleen Utecht Sep 13, 2017 ▶ 19:24 20VC: Why VC Is A Lifestyle Not A Job, Why You Must Do Post-mortems On Good and Bad Deals & Why Society Is On A Downgrade with Kathleen Utecht, Managing Partner @ Core Innovation Capital
Sep 27, 2017 positive
Insight
Oetting: Young VCs Have An Advantage Because Incumbents Aren't Threatened
“The real benefit of being young, and I'm sure that you've experienced this, is that people are really willing to help you. Partially, that's because they probably don't see you as that competitive. And so they don't see you as threatening, which is probably tr…”
Drew Oetting Sep 27, 2017 ▶ 11:16 20VC: Why VCs Have Forgotten Their Job To Invest In Entrepreneurs not Technologists, How To Know When Growth Creates Value and When It Destroys It & How To Bootstrap Learning Most People Acquire Over Decades with 8VC Founding Partner, Drew Oetting
Sep 27, 2017 neutral
Opinion
Oetting: Venture Capital and Private Equity Are Identical Businesses
“Venture capital is so distinct, at least culturally and, you know, in the media from private equity, because fundamentally they are very similar and really they're identical businesses done at different scale and at different times in a company's life cycle.”
Drew Oetting Sep 27, 2017 ▶ 4:16 20VC: Why VCs Have Forgotten Their Job To Invest In Entrepreneurs not Technologists, How To Know When Growth Creates Value and When It Destroys It & How To Bootstrap Learning Most People Acquire Over Decades with 8VC Founding Partner, Drew Oetting
Sep 27, 2017 negative
Opinion
Oetting: Private Equity Is More Operationally Focused Than Venture Capital
“Private equity actually has been incredibly entrepreneurial for a long period of time and really actually much more operationally focused than venture capital.”
Drew Oetting Sep 27, 2017 ▶ 4:47 20VC: Why VCs Have Forgotten Their Job To Invest In Entrepreneurs not Technologists, How To Know When Growth Creates Value and When It Destroys It & How To Bootstrap Learning Most People Acquire Over Decades with 8VC Founding Partner, Drew Oetting
Oct 2, 2017
Disclosure
Hootsuite only engages VCs regarding M&A with startup management consent
“We almost always try to work through the management team directly, or if we are interacting with VCs, we are typically trying to do so with the consent of management.”
Matt Switzer Oct 2, 2017 ▶ 18:01 20VC: 3 Things Acquirers Look For In Startup M&A's, How To Price A Startup Acquisition & The Biggest Risk of M&A with Matt Switzer, SVP of Corporate Development @ Hootsuite
Oct 6, 2017 negative
Insight
Inkinen: EIR roles at VC firms stifle crazy, contrarian startup ideas
“My viewpoint is that, first of all, in a, in any VC, venture capitalist environment, you're surrounded by extremely thoughtful and extremely smart people who can poke holes into any idea that's not completely logical. And you know, these smart, thoughtful, lik…”
Sami Inkinen Oct 6, 2017 ▶ 20:14 20VC: Why CEOs Must Read Less & Listen Less, What VC Funding, Shelf Space & Time Have In Common & Why CEOs Must Look After Themselves Like Athletes with Sami Inkinen, Founder @ Virta Health & Trulia
Oct 6, 2017
Insight
Inkinen: Raised venture capital should be treated as a mortgage
“The mental model that I use, and I communicate to my team, every time we raise money, I say, I think about this cash that we raised as a mortgage that needs to be paid back.”
Sami Inkinen Oct 6, 2017 ▶ 12:00 20VC: Why CEOs Must Read Less & Listen Less, What VC Funding, Shelf Space & Time Have In Common & Why CEOs Must Look After Themselves Like Athletes with Sami Inkinen, Founder @ Virta Health & Trulia
Oct 18, 2017 positive
Opinion
Arbesman: VCs can succeed in deep tech by avoiding naive cross-domain analogies
“Yes, I do think so. As long as we're really just not stepping too naively from one domain to another, and we recognize essentially both the promise and perils of analogizing from one complex system to another. So as long as we do this with open eyes, I think w…”
Sam Arbesman Oct 18, 2017 ▶ 19:11 20VC: Lux Capital's Scientist-In-Residence on Why We Cannot Just Be Specialists Today, The Benefits of Interdisciplinary Thinking & Computational Creativity That Makes Man and Machine Partners with Sam Arbesman
Oct 25, 2017
Insight
Nicole Quinn: Board members provide peripheral vision, founders drive the car
“It's not the VC's job to grab the wheel at the end of the day. It is your job to have the periphery vision. So if the founder's the driver, it's your job to have the periphery vision and say, hey, there's this thing happening over here. I just want to make sur…”
Nicole Quinn Oct 25, 2017 ▶ 22:12 20VC: Lightspeed's Nicole Quinn on Why We Are Not In A Consumer Downturn, Why M&A Has Not Been This Exciting For A Long Time & Why Amazon Is Never Your Friend
Oct 30, 2017
Insight
Rowghani: Unlike operational decisions, venture capital investments cannot be reversed
“The biggest challenge is, as an operator, almost every decision you make, you can either test at small scale to see if it works, Or reverse it if it doesn't work. And as an investor, once you've made an investment, there's really no reversing it. There's no su…”
Ali Rowghani Oct 30, 2017 ▶ 19:16 20VC: YC's Ali Rowghani on Leadership Lessons From Steve Jobs, Ed Catmull and Jack Dorsey & The 3 Traits All Truly Successful Leaders Share
Nov 6, 2017
Insight
Zeev: Inverse correlation exists between VC deal activity and investment quality
“So there's an inverse correlation I found between how active you are and how good you are.”
Oren Zeev Nov 6, 2017 ▶ 5:10 20VC: Oren Zeev on Why Diversification Does Not Work, Thesis Based Investing Is Sceptical & Partners Mostly Stay Together For LPs
Nov 8, 2017
Insight
Ries: Entrepreneurship is chaotic individually but manageable as a portfolio
“My view is that entrepreneurship itself is very chaotic and unpredictable and confusing, but entrepreneurship as a portfolio activity, you know, like what VCs do is totally manageable.”
Eric Ries Nov 8, 2017 ▶ 7:39 20VC: The Lean Startup's Eric Ries on The Missing Function of Entrepreneurship in Most Companies, Creating A New Accountability Paradigm & How To Structure Promotions and Compensation In The New Structure
Nov 15, 2017 negative
Opinion
VCs assess founders on pitch skill and pedigree, not execution
“And very often VCs assess people based on those meetings, just basically by how well you talk. And also based on your resume, especially at the early stage, when you don't have a whole lot to show, Do you have pedigree or do you not have pedigree? VCs don't ac…”
Elizabeth Yin Nov 15, 2017 ▶ 4:15 20VC: Why VCs Fundamentally Assess Founders The Wrong Way, Why VC Needs To Innovate On The Scouting Model & Why SAFE's and Convertible Notes Are The Future Of Investing with Elizabeth Yin, Founder & General Partner @ Hustle Fund
Nov 15, 2017 negative
Opinion
VCs exhibit very little innovation in founder scouting
“I think, to be honest, there hasn't been a lot of innovation on scouting amongst VCs.”
Elizabeth Yin Nov 15, 2017 ▶ 10:34 20VC: Why VCs Fundamentally Assess Founders The Wrong Way, Why VC Needs To Innovate On The Scouting Model & Why SAFE's and Convertible Notes Are The Future Of Investing with Elizabeth Yin, Founder & General Partner @ Hustle Fund
Nov 17, 2017 negative
Insight
Barrett: Founders must follow a playbook for single-company success, not VC portfolios
“And I think that as an entrepreneur, we don't have a portfolio. We have one company. We need to make it work, and so I think we need to follow a playbook For how to make your company succeed, not how to make your VC's portfolio succeed.”
David Barrett Nov 17, 2017 ▶ 11:27 20VC: Why Valley Investors Are Really Gamblers, Why The Business Model of Selling To The Biggest Sucker Is Wrong & Why The Best Potential Hires Don't Care Who Your VC is with David Barrett, Founder & CEO @ Expensify
Nov 17, 2017 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
Barrett: Venture capital as an asset class underperforms the S&P 500
“And I'd say like as an asset class, venture capital returns less than, you know, S and P 500.”
David Barrett Nov 17, 2017 ▶ 8:48 20VC: Why Valley Investors Are Really Gamblers, Why The Business Model of Selling To The Biggest Sucker Is Wrong & Why The Best Potential Hires Don't Care Who Your VC is with David Barrett, Founder & CEO @ Expensify
Nov 17, 2017 negative
Opinion
Barrett: Top Talent Doesn't Care Which VC Backs Your Startup
“I think that the best people out there just don't give a damn about your VC. They're probably not reading Hacker News. They probably don't care about TechCrunch.”
David Barrett Nov 17, 2017 ▶ 18:41 20VC: Why Valley Investors Are Really Gamblers, Why The Business Model of Selling To The Biggest Sucker Is Wrong & Why The Best Potential Hires Don't Care Who Your VC is with David Barrett, Founder & CEO @ Expensify
Nov 22, 2017 positive
Insight
Unattached VCs Build Credibility and Value During M&A Negotiations
“If the VCs can kind of step in as a more seasoned, maybe less emotionally attached person, Player at the table to really help get to those truths and understanding earlier, it can be really beneficial for the shareholders of the company that's being acquired b…”
Chad Richard Nov 22, 2017 ▶ 22:33 20VC: Why Strategic Investing Is Slow Motion M&A, Why Valuation Is The Hardest Element of M&A & What Determines Between Cash vs Stock Deals with Chad Richard, SVP of Business & Corporate Development @ Yelp
Nov 27, 2017 positive
Insight
Gordon: Controversial startup deals are better VC investments than obvious ones
“The other thing that we've discovered is we go around the table and it's controversial. That's often a good thing. And at that point, we depend on one person being a fervent champion on behalf of the company. But if it's really obvious to us, it's probably obv…”
Bing Gordon Nov 27, 2017 ▶ 18:09 20VC: Kleiner Perkins' Bing Gordon on Lessons From Serving On Amazon & Zynga's Board, Why The Best Investors Are Good Listeners and Sceptical Optimists & The Most Important Value Add A VC Can Provide
Nov 27, 2017
Insight
Gordon: VCs cannot help failing CEOs, only help successful ones scale
“You can't much help them when they fail, but how do you help them scale when they succeed?”
Bing Gordon Nov 27, 2017 ▶ 5:43 20VC: Kleiner Perkins' Bing Gordon on Lessons From Serving On Amazon & Zynga's Board, Why The Best Investors Are Good Listeners and Sceptical Optimists & The Most Important Value Add A VC Can Provide
Nov 29, 2017
Assertion Supported
Waxman: Top-performing VCs have higher loss ratios because they take greater risks
“And if you look at the data, the best VCs have slightly higher loss ratios than the middling ones because they're not afraid to swing hard and take more risks.”
David Waxman Nov 29, 2017 ▶ 20:40 20VC: Why Convertible Notes Are Ridiculous, Why Party Rounds Are Bad For Both Founder and Investor & Why Pro-Rata Rights Are A Mess with David Waxman, Founding Partner @ TenOneTen Ventures
Dec 1, 2017 negative
Opinion
VCs miss out by avoiding children's products and inventory risk
“So many VCs, they don't want to touch the children's space with a ten-foot pole. They don't want to take on any inventory risk, and I think it's a shame because I see so many really, really exciting young entrepreneurs and innovators who are tackling really, r…”
Debbie Sterling Dec 1, 2017 ▶ 18:34 20VC: Overcoming The Engineer Boys Club, Disrupting The "Pink Aisle" & Why VCs Are Missing A Trick Not Investing In The CPG Space with Debbie Sterling, Founder & CEO @ Goldieblox
Dec 8, 2017 positive
Insight
Bansal: Self-awareness is the top criterion when selecting venture capital partners
“I primarily look for VCs who are self-aware, who are aware of, like, in what they're good at, what they're not good at. That's my number one criteria.”
Jyoti Bansal Dec 8, 2017 ▶ 18:35 20VC: AppDynamic's Jyoti Bansal on The Sale vs IPO Process with AppDynamics' $3.7Bn Exit & The 3 Simple Things VCs Look For When Investing In Startups
Jan 3, 2018 neutral
Insight
Thau: Venture capital is fundamentally about manufacturing serendipity
“We're in the business of manufacturing serendipity, and that's very unclear to me how you do that.”
Kevin Thau Jan 3, 2018 ▶ 13:18 20VC: Why VC Is A Game of Maximising Serendipity, How VCs Can Characterise Their Approach To Working & Product Lessons from Jack Dorsey & Sonos' John MacFarlane with Kevin Thau, General Partner @ Spark Capital
Jan 12, 2018 negative
Opinion
Davis: Venture capital is as bad as any industry for diversity
“And I think venture capital is, is as bad as any industry for diversity and should be called out as such.”
Henry Davis Jan 12, 2018 ▶ 24:27 20VC: Why Risk Is Misunderstood In Entrepreneurship, Why Acquisitions Are Cheap For Incumbents Today & 3 Strategies To Improve Diversity In Your Team with Henry Davis, President & COO @ Glossier
Jan 17, 2018 neutral
Insight
Altman: Capital Crowding Forces Investors into Undiscovered Sectors for Alpha
“After you do something for a while and it starts to work, that area gets so flooded with other people trying to do the same thing that you've got to continually push into new areas to find these sort of undiscovered returns.”
Sam Altman Jan 17, 2018 ▶ 20:05 20VC: Sam Altman, Y Combinator President on What Makes Truly Great Leaders, Why We Will See A Compression of Seed Funding & The Future Scaling of YC
Jan 26, 2018 negative
Opinion
Neil Young: VCs who slow roll founders waste time and lose deals
“I would most like to see VCs respecting the time of entrepreneurs. I can tell you that when I go spend time talking to a VC, there's three types of interaction I have. There's one interaction, which is like very exciting. Holy shit. We have to work together. T…”
Neil Young Jan 26, 2018 ▶ 25:36 20VC: How To Analyse Platform Shifts Effectively, The Effects Of Not Having Free and Open Distribution & The Right Way To Think About Board Composition with Neil Young, Founder & CEO @ N3twork
Jan 29, 2018 positive
Insight
Great venture capital deals are definitionally never too expensive in hindsight
“Put it this way, like a great deal definitionally is never too expensive in hindsight.”
Andrew Parker Jan 29, 2018 ▶ 16:28 20VC: Investing Lessons From Fred Wilson and Brad Burnham @ USV, How CEO's Can Operationally Utilise Their Board & The Single Most Important Quality of A CEO with Andrew Parker, General Partner @ Spark Capital
Jan 29, 2018 neutral
Insight
VC hesitation over valuation usually reflects underlying execution or financing risks
“I just think that that's never the thing that you're really looking at alone. Right. Instead, maybe that vacuum doesn't exist, and you're like, oh man, I really don't like this price, and then you ask yourself why, right, and if you're exploring, like, well, I…”
Andrew Parker Jan 29, 2018 ▶ 16:41 20VC: Investing Lessons From Fred Wilson and Brad Burnham @ USV, How CEO's Can Operationally Utilise Their Board & The Single Most Important Quality of A CEO with Andrew Parker, General Partner @ Spark Capital
Feb 5, 2018 negative
Opinion
Brian Garrett: The venture capital industry is driven by ego and greed
“Industry generally is driven by ego and greed, and I think it brings out some of the bad side of humanity.”
Brian Garrett Feb 5, 2018 ▶ 7:08 20VC: Why Vulnerability Is A Strength In VC, 3 Core Components That Make The Most Successful VCs & How VCs and Entrepreneurs Can Build Meaningful Relationships Pre-Investment with Brian Garrett, Founding Partner @ Crosscut Ventures
Feb 5, 2018 neutral
Insight
Brian Garrett: Venture capital success mostly comes down to luck and timing
“Because at the end of the day, most of this is about luck and timing.”
Brian Garrett Feb 5, 2018 ▶ 16:02 20VC: Why Vulnerability Is A Strength In VC, 3 Core Components That Make The Most Successful VCs & How VCs and Entrepreneurs Can Build Meaningful Relationships Pre-Investment with Brian Garrett, Founding Partner @ Crosscut Ventures
Feb 16, 2018 negative
Opinion
Boujarwah: VC gender imbalance leaves transformative female-led startups unfunded
“I think one of the biggest opportunities that we have for change in the world of VC is really in having more women venture capitalists. I think that there are so many opportunities, so many businesses that are likely not getting funded today that could have tr…”
Nadia Boujarwah Feb 16, 2018 ▶ 22:34 20VC: How To Think About Founder-Category Fit, Why The Biggest Opportunities Are In Category Re-Architecture & What Can Be Done To Increase The Amount of Women In VC with Nadia Boujarwah, Founder & CEO @ Dia & Co
Feb 23, 2018 negative
Opinion
Hutchins: Most VCs fake interest in startups and withhold honest feedback
“Most VCs that I've worked with or talked to, they're not really interested in the company. In order to protect the future opportunity, they don't always give the best honest feedback, and that hurts the founder.”
Chris Hutchins Feb 23, 2018 ▶ 22:59 20VC: The Fundamentals Of Optimising The Fundraising Process, SAFE's vs Priced Equity Rounds & Why Hiring Is Really A Big Data Problem with Chris Hutchins, Founder @ Grove & Former Partner @ Google Ventures
Feb 23, 2018 negative
Insight
Hutchins: Founders should never name-drop other VCs during fundraising
“Oh, I think none. If I'm a founder, and I tell someone at VC or at GV, oh, you know, I just had this great conversation with this other investor. I'm going to be like, great, I'll call them and see what's really happening. VCs all know each other. They all tal…”
Chris Hutchins Feb 23, 2018 ▶ 11:19 20VC: The Fundamentals Of Optimising The Fundraising Process, SAFE's vs Priced Equity Rounds & Why Hiring Is Really A Big Data Problem with Chris Hutchins, Founder @ Grove & Former Partner @ Google Ventures
Mar 26, 2018 positive
Insight
Loftus: The best VCs serve as steadying forces during M&A
“I think that the best VCs, especially in the M&A process, can act both as a balancing and a calming factor for founders. It's an incredibly difficult and challenging task for a founder to sell their company, whether it's big or small. There's just a lot going …”
James Loftus Mar 26, 2018 ▶ 13:38 20VC: How Great VCs Handle Themselves In An M&A Process, Why M&A Has Become The Primary Method of Exit & How The Best M&A Teams Operationalise Their Process with James Loftus, Corporate Development Lead @ Square
Apr 2, 2018 neutral
Insight
Chen: Venture capitalists are advisors, never company decision-makers
“Part of venture you have to realize is you're an advisor, an influencer, you're a mentor and a coach, but you're actually never a decider, right? So I think a lot of ventures getting comfortable with a lot of things being out of control.”
Jerry Chen Apr 2, 2018 ▶ 5:42 20VC: Greylock's Jerry Chen on The 2 Fundamentals To Assessing Startup Risk, Why Good Investors Have To Be Optimistic & Why VCs Get In Trouble When They Move Outside Their "Strike Zone"
Apr 9, 2018 positive
Insight
Founders should pick individual VC partners over firm brands
“Vice says CEO is that ultimately an entrepreneur's relationship with VCs is with one individual of the firm. You rarely see other partners, so picking the right GP for you is the most important and not the firm, and I've seen that to be very true.”
Paul Hsiao Apr 9, 2018 ▶ 6:59 20VC: Why You Have To Raise $100m+ If You Want To Go Big Today, The 5 Fundamentals To Starting and Scaling A Successful Marketplace & Why Female Founders Under-Promise and Over-Deliver with Paul Hsiao, Founding Partner @ Canvas Ventures
Apr 30, 2018 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Neumann: Power law dynamics make larger VC portfolios yield higher returns
“With a power law, the more investments you make, the higher your average.”
Jerry Neumann Apr 30, 2018 ▶ 5:00 20VC: Why Follow-On Investments Are Always A Better Investment, Why Spray and Pray Investing Is Like The Stock Market & Why Startups Need A Board From Day One with Jerry Neumann
May 14, 2018
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wertz: ICOs Present Global Competition for Venture Capital
“So there's suddenly a tremendous global platform for raising money for startups, and that's certainly a new competition for these VCs.”
Boris Wertz May 14, 2018 ▶ 7:22 20VC: Why Crypto Is The Biggest Disruptor To Hit VC In A Decade, The State of Crypto Today & Why Investing In Decentralized Platforms Requires A New Mental Model with Boris Wertz, Founding Partner @ Version One Ventures
May 18, 2018 positive
Insight
Sternberg: Great VCs offer strategic advice without trying to run companies
“They really understand that the company is run by the founders, and they understand the limits of their knowledge on what's going on on the inside, kind of tactically, and so they're really, like, the truly great VCs are really good at giving strategic advice,…”
Seth Sternberg May 18, 2018 ▶ 9:50 20VC: 3 Questions Founders Must Stress Test VCs with, What Separates the Good From The Great VCs & Why 80% of VC Detract Value From Board Meetings with Seth Sternberg, Founder & CEO @ Honor
May 18, 2018 negative
Opinion
Sternberg: 80% of VCs detract value from board meetings
“I, more than anything, because I kind of have this theory, I think about 80% of VCs, frankly, detract from the value of the kind of board in the discussion. I think 10% are neutral, and I think 10% are really positive.”
Seth Sternberg May 18, 2018 ▶ 13:42 20VC: 3 Questions Founders Must Stress Test VCs with, What Separates the Good From The Great VCs & Why 80% of VC Detract Value From Board Meetings with Seth Sternberg, Founder & CEO @ Honor
May 21, 2018 negative
Insight
Startups need cash reserves during fundraising to prevent predatory VC pricing
“I think you need enough money so that you can achieve your milestones and achieve the mythical product market fit, and still have enough money in the bank that the VC goes, Ooh, I better invest now, rather than let them say, ooh, I'll wait this out, and I'll g…”
Dan Scheinman May 21, 2018 ▶ 13:00 20VC: Why The Days of Spray and Pray at Seed Are Over, How To Compete In A World of Sequoia Seed Funds & Why Price Doesn't Matter with Dan Scheinman, Angel Investor @ Zoom & Arista Networks
May 25, 2018 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Adrian Aoun: VC has far fewer bad actors than a decade ago
“The entire industry has done this over the last kind of five or 10 years, and you actually see far, far Fewer bad actor VCs than you did even a decade or 15 years ago.”
Adrian Aoun May 25, 2018 ▶ 28:32 20VC: The Core Lessons From Building a 150 Startup Angel Portfolio, Why Founders Who Angel Invest Have Such Strong Advantages and Why The Lean Startup Makes Less and Less Sense Today with Adrian Aoun, Founder & CEO @ Forward
Jun 4, 2018 negative
Opinion
Venture Capital Decision-Making Does Not Scale Beyond Five Partners
“And so one of the learnings for myself was that I wasn't so sure that venture scaled well. Of making hard decisions. It's different when you have five people around a table versus 10 people around the table.”
Trae Vassallo Jun 4, 2018 ▶ 9:49 20VC: What John Doerr Taught Me About Great Investing, Why Not All A Rounds Are Post-Traction and Why Despite Overfunding, There Is Still Gaps In Venture Financing with Trae Vassallo, Founding Partner @ Defy.vc
Jun 11, 2018
Insight
Venture Capital Takes Ten Years to Begin Doing Well
“This is a hard business. I mean, I think it takes 10 years to even begin to do it well.”
Peter Parker Jun 11, 2018 ▶ 31:04 20VC: Why Process is Everything In Good Venture Firms, Why GPs Should Have More Empathy For LPs and Lessons from 32 Years In VC, Chairing Over 25 Boards with Peter Parker, Managing Partner @ Bioinnovation Capital
Jun 11, 2018 negative
Insight
VCs Should Not Invest in Their Own Internally Created Ideas
“I was sort of raised in the world that said, don't invest in your own ideas. Wait for the guy with passion to come in the front door and really sway you that this is an important idea.”
Peter Parker Jun 11, 2018 ▶ 24:01 20VC: Why Process is Everything In Good Venture Firms, Why GPs Should Have More Empathy For LPs and Lessons from 32 Years In VC, Chairing Over 25 Boards with Peter Parker, Managing Partner @ Bioinnovation Capital
Jun 11, 2018 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
The VC Industry Had Only 200 Firms Worldwide in the Late 1980s
“There were probably, we thought, maybe 200 venture firms in the world, and in those days, the U.S. Was the predominant player in venture capital. Now, this is early stage venture capital. A lot of these were efforts that spun out of investment banks or other e…”
Peter Parker Jun 11, 2018 ▶ 5:00 20VC: Why Process is Everything In Good Venture Firms, Why GPs Should Have More Empathy For LPs and Lessons from 32 Years In VC, Chairing Over 25 Boards with Peter Parker, Managing Partner @ Bioinnovation Capital
Jun 18, 2018 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Taneja: Tech VC is a decade into a 30-year golden age
“I think we're in the golden age of venture capital, and we're probably a decade into a 30 year secular shift as opposed to being in another cycle.”
Hemant Taneja Jun 18, 2018 ▶ 8:03 20VC: General Catalyst's Hemant Taneja on Why We Are In A Golden Age For VC, Why Pro-Rata Is A Lazy Posture and Why He Does Not Focus On Price
Jun 25, 2018 negative
Insight
Motschwiller: Capital Gluttony Causes Startups to Lose Discipline and Focus
“There is a ton of capital in the system, and access to capital is a great thing in some respects, but to use a Rob Ward term, he frames it, there's capital gluttony. When there's too much capital, it can lead to deprioritization and defocus, Because you think …”
Max Motschwiller Jun 25, 2018 ▶ 31:23 20VC: The 4 Key Skills All VCs Need To Be Successful, How To Build, Maintain and Scale Your Network in VC and What is The Process Through Which VCs Build Conviction in Opportunities with Max Motschwiller, General Partner @ Meritech Capital
Jun 25, 2018
Insight
Motschwiller: Junior VCs Fail by Neglecting Deep Co-Investor Relationships
“Where I think people get tripped up is they don't farm the bottom of the network and make sure that they develop what we call internally as best friends.”
Max Motschwiller Jun 25, 2018 ▶ 15:27 20VC: The 4 Key Skills All VCs Need To Be Successful, How To Build, Maintain and Scale Your Network in VC and What is The Process Through Which VCs Build Conviction in Opportunities with Max Motschwiller, General Partner @ Meritech Capital
Jun 25, 2018 positive
Insight
Motschwiller: Early conviction helps junior VCs win competitive deals
“Entrepreneurs want people who believe in their vision and have conviction around the same belief that they have. And if you To that entrepreneur. And instead of have them convince you go to them and you are already convinced and share that with them and offer …”
Max Motschwiller Jun 25, 2018 ▶ 19:04 20VC: The 4 Key Skills All VCs Need To Be Successful, How To Build, Maintain and Scale Your Network in VC and What is The Process Through Which VCs Build Conviction in Opportunities with Max Motschwiller, General Partner @ Meritech Capital
Jul 13, 2018 positive
Insight
Blumenthal: Former operators make better VCs due to empathy and prioritization
“An investor that was an operator, which I have to say is really hard to find, but an investor that was an operator, I'd say first and foremost, really understands how hard it is to be a founder, how hard it is to be an operating team, and so there's a sensitiv…”
Rachel Blumenthal Jul 13, 2018 ▶ 16:43 20VC: Why Fundraising Is Like Dating and How to Play The Game Successfully & How To Increase The Flexibility of Your Burn When Growth is Ambiguous with Rachel Blumenthal, Founder & CEO @ Rockets of Awesome
Jul 17, 2018 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Elad Gil: Mega funds will drive preemptive rounds and VC defensiveness
“I do think these billion dollar funds will effectively lead to an ongoing trend of preemption. And it also means that certain VCs will double down much more aggressively on companies that are working and potentially shut out others from participating in their …”
Elad Gil Jul 17, 2018 ▶ 26:22 20VC: Elad Gil's High Growth Handbook on The Commonalities of The Truly Great CEOs, How To Hire The Very Best Execs, Why Cash is A Defensible Moat Today & The Pros and Cons of M&A and IPOs
Jul 23, 2018 negative
Opinion
Most VCs are mediocre and overall VC returns are poor
“The vast majority of VCs are mediocre. That's why the asset class generally is poor, and the top funds generally perform quite well.”
Jason Stoffer Jul 23, 2018 ▶ 20:03 20VC: The Metrics That Matter In Early-Stage Consumer, Why Moats Matter More Than Brand Today and How VCs Deal with S*** Hit The Fan Moments with Jason Stoffer, Managing Partner @ Maveron
Aug 10, 2018 negative
Opinion
Dadgar: Silicon Valley VC prioritizes high valuations over capital efficiency
“I think people have forgot what capital efficiency means, so I think To me, it's not impressive if you spend four hundred million building a hundred million dollar a year business relative to the same group spent a hundred million to build that thing, right? A…”
Armon Dadgar Aug 10, 2018 ▶ 24:40 20VC: Why Founding Your First Company Is Like Learning Through A Thousand Paper Cuts, The 3 Core Phases to Product Adoption and Why Valuation Obsession Must Change In The Valley with Armon Dadgar, Founder & CTO @ Hashicorp
Aug 13, 2018
Insight
Outliers are the only investments that matter in venture capital
“Consensus beat out the outliers and the outliers are the only things that matter in this business.”
Jeff Fagnan Aug 13, 2018 ▶ 16:39 20VC: Why Partners Are There To Save Each Other From Themselves, Why Effective Reserve Allocation Is The Hardest Question In Venture & What Makes The Truly Special Board Members with Jeff Fagnan, Founding Partner @ Accomplice
Aug 17, 2018
Insight
Serota: Startups should treat VC fundraising as an ongoing market barometer
“Where some startups get it wrong is that funding is a process that you just start and finish. And I think it should be a series of ongoing conversations with various VCs to get their perspectives.”
Dylan Serota Aug 17, 2018 ▶ 23:30 20VC: Why Founders Must Use VCs as a Barometer, How to Make Distributed Teams Work Successfully & The Biggest Mistake People Make Early In Their Career with Dylan Serota, Founder @ Terminal
Aug 20, 2018 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Garg: Crypto-native companies will accrue the most long-term value
“So I think that's always the risk for the VCs or for the ecosystem in general is that investors pursue things that pattern match to things that we already know rather than identifying the places where the platform is natively able to do things that we weren't …”
Avichal Garg Aug 20, 2018 ▶ 8:54 20VC: The 2 Core Areas Value Will Accrue In Crypto, Why Crypto Will Drive The Re-Centralisation of Talent Back Into Silicon Valley & Why Regulation Is The Opposite of What We Should Be Concerned By in Crypto with Avichal Managing Partner @ Electric Capita
Aug 31, 2018 neutral
Insight
Krim: Strategic corporate investors often have non-financial motives unlike VCs
“A lot of times, strategic are investing for reasons that are not financially motivated, unlike a VC who usually you know what their motivation is. So understanding what the motivation is, and then what they're looking to solve with the investment, I think is r…”
Philip Krim Aug 31, 2018 ▶ 17:47 20VC: Casper Founder Philip Krim on The Right Way To Think About Marketing Channel Diversification, When To Accept Strategic Investors & How To Successfully Build Out Your Exec Team
Sep 4, 2018 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Eggers: Modern stage specialization in venture capital is unsustainable
“So there's a lot of specialization now, and so people are sort of cutting, slicing the pie of value creation based on time. I don't think it's sustainable, but that's sort of, I think, the phase that we're in right now.”
Barry Eggers Sep 4, 2018 ▶ 7:27 20VC: What It Takes To Found and Scale A Global Venture Firm Like Lightspeed, 3 Ways Firms Do Not Succeed in Generational Transition & What Makes The Truly Special Board Members Like Jim Goetz with Barry Eggers, Founding Partner @ Lightspeed Venture Partn
Sep 4, 2018
Insight
Eggers: VC from 1980 to 1995 was a hands-on craftsman era
“If you start in 1980, starting 1980 to 1995, I like to call that the craftsman era of venture capital, and that was where venture investors Didn't make a lot of investments, but when they did, they got in very early, and they stayed all throughout the company'…”
Barry Eggers Sep 4, 2018 ▶ 6:03 20VC: What It Takes To Found and Scale A Global Venture Firm Like Lightspeed, 3 Ways Firms Do Not Succeed in Generational Transition & What Makes The Truly Special Board Members Like Jim Goetz with Barry Eggers, Founding Partner @ Lightspeed Venture Partn
Sep 7, 2018 negative
Opinion
VC decision-makers and corporate boards suffer from extreme demographic homogeneity
“I think that it definitely could really use some improvements in the diversity of the people who are making those decisions. You know, whether it's corporate boards or it's managing directors, it is amazing, the homogeneity.”
Andrew Farah Sep 7, 2018 ▶ 23:04 20VC: The Mindset The Best Investors Assume When Assessing Opportunities, Why So Many Hardware Startups Fail Today & The Right Way To Think About Employee Retention with Andrew Farah, Founder & CEO @ Density
Sep 7, 2018 positive
Insight
The best VCs assume a founder's premise to evaluate upside potential
“The best venture capitalists I've ever spoken to assume your premise and then ask, okay, what could happen if you were right? And you spend 45 minutes talking about that portion of the idea and not 45 minutes justifying your existence.”
Andrew Farah Sep 7, 2018 ▶ 23:32 20VC: The Mindset The Best Investors Assume When Assessing Opportunities, Why So Many Hardware Startups Fail Today & The Right Way To Think About Employee Retention with Andrew Farah, Founder & CEO @ Density
Sep 14, 2018 bullish
Opinion
Lerman: Going Public Is Essential; VCs Discourage It Out of Self-Interest
“First off, being public is way better than being private. For those people that say that you shouldn't be public, that's just a timing thing. And honestly, sometimes it's a VC that has a self-interest that wants to do a late stage round before you go public. B…”
Howard Lerman Sep 14, 2018 ▶ 27:47 20VC: Behind The Scenes of a $Bn IPO Process, What Startups Can Learn From Teddy Roosevelt's "Five Minute Meetings" and What John Lennon Teaches Founders About Storytelling with Howard Lerman, Founder & CEO @ Yext
Sep 24, 2018
Insight
Lack of immediate feedback loops causes VCs to default to low-leverage activities
“There's no feedback loop that will really help you know what to do, and so it's so easy to just spend your time doing things like meeting with people and making investments in friends or any of those types of things”
Sarah Tavel Sep 24, 2018 ▶ 25:19 20VC: Benchmark's Sarah Tavel on Why Investing Success Lies In Small Markets Adjacent To Very Large Ones, Why You Have To Be Judicious On When To Pay Up vs Be More Price Sensitive & Why Crypto Investing Is Like The Early Days of AdTech Investing
Sep 24, 2018 negative
Opinion
Startups raising massive capital struggle to yield positive returns, warns Tavel
“And I worry about what the effect is going to be on returns for our asset class. And also for, you know, the eventual outcomes of these companies that are raising a lot of capital. And it's not clear to me when you raise As much capital as many of these compan…”
Sarah Tavel Sep 24, 2018 ▶ 15:58 20VC: Benchmark's Sarah Tavel on Why Investing Success Lies In Small Markets Adjacent To Very Large Ones, Why You Have To Be Judicious On When To Pay Up vs Be More Price Sensitive & Why Crypto Investing Is Like The Early Days of AdTech Investing
Sep 24, 2018
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Venture capital partners typically make only one or two investments per year
“Over the course of a year, you'll make just one or two investments”
Sarah Tavel Sep 24, 2018 ▶ 25:04 20VC: Benchmark's Sarah Tavel on Why Investing Success Lies In Small Markets Adjacent To Very Large Ones, Why You Have To Be Judicious On When To Pay Up vs Be More Price Sensitive & Why Crypto Investing Is Like The Early Days of AdTech Investing
Sep 24, 2018
Insight
Effective board members focus on communicating one to three key strategic issues
“The really experienced VCs, experienced board members, come in to the board meeting knowing exactly the one issue that they really want to make sure that they get across, and that's the goal for them of the board meeting. It could be one, it could be two or th…”
Sarah Tavel Sep 24, 2018 ▶ 22:33 20VC: Benchmark's Sarah Tavel on Why Investing Success Lies In Small Markets Adjacent To Very Large Ones, Why You Have To Be Judicious On When To Pay Up vs Be More Price Sensitive & Why Crypto Investing Is Like The Early Days of AdTech Investing
Sep 28, 2018 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Webb: Mega-funds and angel capital allow VCs to wait for proven startups
“There's a lot more money in the market today, both at the low end, which frankly makes it even easier for the VCs who used to have to do more of their funding. They're able to see things that are more Proven out by the time they actually deploy big bucks, but …”
Maynard Webb Sep 28, 2018 ▶ 5:37 20VC: How The Best Founders Approach Bet The Company Decisions, How to Put Your Board to Work & How To Optimise Strategic Thinking on Boards with Maynard Webb, Founder @ Webb Investment Network & Everwise
Oct 15, 2018 bearish
Insight
Phin Barnes: High Capital Velocity Lowers Startup Quality and Venture Returns
“When you think about what it takes to get funded as the velocity of capital increases, what it takes to raise money. Decreases. So not only do you have increasing prices due to increased supply, but you also have a lowering of quality due to the increase in ve…”
Phin Barnes Oct 15, 2018 ▶ 17:39 20VC: First Round's Phin Barnes on How The Best Founders Optimize for Learning Per Dollar Spent, What Makes A Truly Special Founder/VC Relationship and Why Pattern Recognition is Another Term For Intellectual Laziness
Oct 15, 2018
Insight
Phin Barnes: Top VC Returns Come From Market Creation, Not Pattern Matching
“The largest outcomes in venture capital come from new markets that are created by entrepreneurs, not entrepreneurs matching patterns and capturing markets that already exist.”
Phin Barnes Oct 15, 2018 ▶ 15:36 20VC: First Round's Phin Barnes on How The Best Founders Optimize for Learning Per Dollar Spent, What Makes A Truly Special Founder/VC Relationship and Why Pattern Recognition is Another Term For Intellectual Laziness
Oct 26, 2018 positive
Opinion
Libin: Working two years in VC made me a better CEO than operating
“I think that my two year inadvertent vacation in venture capital, I think has probably made me a better CEO than any actual time operating a company.”
Phil Libin Oct 26, 2018 ▶ 6:13 20VC: Phil Libin on Why The Concept of A Silicon Valley Style Startup Is Made To Benefit VCs, Why The Very Structure of Companies Is Outdated and Inefficient & What It Means To Build The Netflix of Product
Oct 29, 2018 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Historical VC data showed government was a terrible sector for venture investment
“For 40 years, VCs had data telling them the government was a terrible place to invest”
Ron Bouganim Oct 29, 2018 ▶ 6:45 20VC: The 2 Core Roles Played By The Best Seed Investors Today, What To Look For In Potential Co-Investors & Why Seed Funds Can Grow Ownership in Their Best Companies Across Rounds with Ron Bouganim, Founder @ Govtech Fund
Nov 5, 2018
Insight
Startup board members must work for the company, not for prestige
“Board members have to remember that they work for the company, and you don't join a board with For the prestige or the addition to your resume, you join the board because you're ready to work. You become an extension of the organization. And if you're not read…”
Avidan Ross Nov 5, 2018 ▶ 28:58 20VC: Why The Engineer Will Replace The MBA As CEO, Why The Peace Dividends From The Autonomous Car Wars Will Generate More Value Outside of Transport & Why Old and Boring Industries Are The Most Exciting To Build In with Avidan Ross, Founding Partner @ R
Nov 9, 2018
Insight
Garg: Venture capitalists play a fundamentally different game than founders
“Venture capital is playing a very different game Than the game that entrepreneurs are playing.”
Ooshma Garg Nov 9, 2018 ▶ 9:12 20VC: Being A Wartime Leader in a Time of Peace, Why Marketing Channel Diversification Is Like The Life of A Scientist and Why Small and Mighty Beats Loud and Weak with Ooshma Garg, Founder & CEO @ Gobble
Nov 9, 2018 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Garg: CPG industry sees D2C food delivery playing out over 20 years
“And especially in our market and direct to consumer food delivery, venture capital oftentimes thinks that it's played out based on a couple players trying and failing, but actually the CPG industry could not be more excited about the shift to direct to consume…”
Ooshma Garg Nov 9, 2018 ▶ 13:57 20VC: Being A Wartime Leader in a Time of Peace, Why Marketing Channel Diversification Is Like The Life of A Scientist and Why Small and Mighty Beats Loud and Weak with Ooshma Garg, Founder & CEO @ Gobble
Nov 12, 2018 negative
Insight
Polovets: Most VCs know very little about your specific startup
“VCs know a lot about businesses in general and sort of have a lot of knowledge across many companies, but it's very broad and not that deep. And they usually know very little about your specific business and industry.”
Leo Polovets Nov 12, 2018 ▶ 29:03 20VC: Why Warm Intros Are Mostly Dumb, Why Ownership is Built On First Check and 4 Crucial Elements To Make Cold Inbound Attractive with Leo Polovets, General Partner @ Susa Ventures
Nov 19, 2018
Insight
Jeff Morris Jr.: Market timing in venture capital is a fool's game
“Anyone who claims to know how to time markets, I think is crazy or just a little bit too self-confident. So I don't try to time markets. I do try and just back the best possible entrepreneurs in a given space.”
Jeff Morris Jr. Nov 19, 2018 ▶ 16:30 20VC: Investing Lessons From Observing Doug Leone and Bill Gurley, Why It Is Easier To Be Contrarian As A VC Than As An Angel & What It Takes To Run Tinder's Product and Revenue Alongside A Seed Fund with Jeff Morris Jr, Founder @ Chapter One
Dec 3, 2018 negative
Insight
Danny Rimer: VCs Are Poor at Predicting Dramatic Platform Shifts
“It's really difficult to call when there's going to be a dramatic shift from the current mainstream platform to the next, and actually, I don't think it's necessarily something that VCs do really well in predicting.”
Danny Rimer Dec 3, 2018 ▶ 8:29 20VC: Index's Danny Rimer on His Biggest Lessons On Price, Ownership, Board Dynamics & Building Consumer Businesses from Backing The Likes of King, Skype, Farfetch, Glossier and more...
Dec 7, 2018 bullish
What-if
Sanwal: VC funding would have locked CB Insights into 1000x smaller TAM
“And I think if we were not revenue funded, we'd have not seen that opportunity. I'm pretty sure that we'd have raised a bunch of money. We'd have burned time and effort on that. It's ultimately a total addressable market. For that first segment of dealmakers, …”
Anand Sanwal Dec 7, 2018 ▶ 8:28 20VC: CB Insights' Anand Sanwal on The Most Dangerous Myth Some Investors Have Promoted, Why Most B2B Content Is Crap and How To Make It Successful & Why Predigree Is Overrated and The Right Way To Scale Teams
Dec 7, 2018 positive
Insight
Sanwal: Revenue funding beats VC on cheap capital, clarity, and speed
“There are three main reasons before that I think revenue funding is the cheapest form of capital, and I'll kind of dial into these. Two, it provides clarity on where you as an organization and your team should focus, and then third, I think it helps achieve pr…”
Anand Sanwal Dec 7, 2018 ▶ 5:37 20VC: CB Insights' Anand Sanwal on The Most Dangerous Myth Some Investors Have Promoted, Why Most B2B Content Is Crap and How To Make It Successful & Why Predigree Is Overrated and The Right Way To Scale Teams
Dec 10, 2018 neutral
Insight
Duggal: Venture capital is fundamentally driven by FOMO on returns
“So, I mean, you know, from what I've seen, ultimately what drives venture capital is FOMO, particularly when it comes to missing out on, on returns.”
Anu Duggal Dec 10, 2018 ▶ 12:42 20VC: Top 3 Considerations When Evaluating Consumer Businesses Today | 700 Meetings, 70 LPs, 2 Years, What It Takes To Raise a First Time Fund| The Power of The Female Network In Action Today with Anu Duggal, Founding Partner @ Female Founders Fund
Dec 14, 2018
Insight
Vasen: Evaluating VCs during downturns yields better signals than success stories
“The situations that I think are very telling is when it doesn't go well, when there's an outcome that folks weren't happy about or things turned in the wrong direction, how people act in those situations, I think is really telling.”
Dave Vasen Dec 14, 2018 ▶ 20:24 20VC: Why Founders Should Not Always Be Raising, How To Build Relationships with VCs In A Condensed Timeframe, Why The Founder To VC Relationship Is Not Like A Marriage with Dave Vasen, Founder & CEO @ Brightwheel
Dec 14, 2018
Opinion
Vasen: Founder-VC relationships can be evaluated much faster than marriage
“I just think you can condense it more when it comes to an investing relationship, maybe more than a personal relationship. I think when it's time to fundraise, then you spend the time, you do your diligence, you back channel the And you think through one of th…”
Dave Vasen Dec 14, 2018 ▶ 18:45 20VC: Why Founders Should Not Always Be Raising, How To Build Relationships with VCs In A Condensed Timeframe, Why The Founder To VC Relationship Is Not Like A Marriage with Dave Vasen, Founder & CEO @ Brightwheel
Jan 15, 2019 bullish
Insight
Destin: Portfolio of 25 seed companies mitigates venture loss risk
“The reality is if you invest with a certain level of discipline across 25 companies, you own enough of them, you know, 10, 12, 15, 18%, you're actually really looking at a relatively spread risk and with odds of certainly returning a multiple of capital that a…”
Fred Destin Jan 15, 2019 ▶ 5:06 20VC: Stride's Fred Destin on The Acceptable vs Non-Acceptable Risks When Investing, How Startup Founders Can Improve The Quality of Their Decision-Making and Must Play for Batting Average & Why Plans Do Not Matter and No Board Member Should Bash An Entre
Jan 15, 2019
Insight
Destin: Venture capital risk lies in exit duration, not investing
“I think we do have a risk is on duration. You know, when are the returns going to be realized? Because it's as we know, it's easy to invest. It's extremely hard to exit.”
Fred Destin Jan 15, 2019 ▶ 5:39 20VC: Stride's Fred Destin on The Acceptable vs Non-Acceptable Risks When Investing, How Startup Founders Can Improve The Quality of Their Decision-Making and Must Play for Batting Average & Why Plans Do Not Matter and No Board Member Should Bash An Entre
Jan 18, 2019 negative
Insight
Wand: VCs undervalue InsurTechs because they misunderstand insurance de-risking mechanics
“VCs don't really understand insurance. So they don't understand the risking that was done behind the scene. To lower the risk and actually bring you to have a customer. They don't understand how you manage your claims, and what you've done on the reinsurance, …”
Assaf Wand Jan 18, 2019 ▶ 9:13 20VC: Why Every Company Looks One Round Earlier Than It Should Be, Why Investors Don't Understand Term Sheet Psyche & How The Brand Behind The Investor Can Overweight The Attention Their Opinion Is Given with Assaf Wand, Founder & CEO @ Hippo
Jan 21, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Somerville: Median fund performance across the venture capital industry is bad
“And we all know that the median performance within venture is not good. It's actually bad.”
Hunter Somerville Jan 21, 2019 ▶ 21:58 20VC: The Framework LPs Use To Assess Emerging Managers, What Concerns and Excites LPs in Potential Opportunities & The Current State of Seed Today with Hunter Somerville, Partner @ Greenspring Associates
Jan 21, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Somerville: Venture funds face scaling limits unlike buyout and growth equity
“Yeah, I mean, I think within venture, there's still limits to scaling that you don't see in large growth equity or in elements of buyout. I think there still is a limit You don't see a ton of multi-billion dollar funds, and even the funds that are above a bill…”
Hunter Somerville Jan 21, 2019 ▶ 17:24 20VC: The Framework LPs Use To Assess Emerging Managers, What Concerns and Excites LPs in Potential Opportunities & The Current State of Seed Today with Hunter Somerville, Partner @ Greenspring Associates
Jan 25, 2019 negative
Opinion
Mathé: Silicon Valley operates on a rigid company-building and funding monoculture
“And what strikes me here is while we have this adoration of entrepreneurship, the way we're supposed to build companies is like a monoculture. There's traditionally like one way to build a company, one way to fund your company, One way to do things X, Y, and Z…”
Olof Mathé Jan 25, 2019 ▶ 25:41 20VC: The 3 Stages of Denial For Founders When Scaling, Why You Will Likely Be Unable To Hire Through Your Network & The Interview Question All Founders Must Ask with Olof Mathé, Founder & CEO @ Mixmax
Feb 1, 2019 negative
Opinion
Joel Flory: Raising capital and getting press can be a burden
“Just the press around we raised or having that capital can actually be more of a burden than it is a help.”
Joel Flory Feb 1, 2019 ▶ 6:31 20VC: How To Build Meaningful Relationships With Your Investors, 4 Key Elements CEOs Must Focus On In Scale Mode & How Top Optimise Leadership Team Dynamics with Joel Flory, Founder & CEO @ VSCO
Feb 1, 2019 negative
Opinion
Joel Flory: Capital is no longer a differentiator for venture investors
“Someone that has value to add beyond their capital, because quite honestly, everyone has capital. It's, it really is not a differentiator anymore at all.”
Joel Flory Feb 1, 2019 ▶ 8:22 20VC: How To Build Meaningful Relationships With Your Investors, 4 Key Elements CEOs Must Focus On In Scale Mode & How Top Optimise Leadership Team Dynamics with Joel Flory, Founder & CEO @ VSCO
Feb 8, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Midha: Late-entrant platforms will disrupt and displace incumbent VC firms
“I think that venture capital is going to go the way of past financiers of creative mediums where usually you have, you know, the early folks end up being pretty comfy execs because they took a risk on the industry and on early creatives when there weren't too …”
Anjney Midha Feb 8, 2019 ▶ 8:58 20VC: What Makes The Best Venture Firms Today So Special, The 3 Structural Impediments That Face Venture Today and Why The Debate on AR vs VR is BS with Anjney Midha, Founder & CEO @ Ubiquity6
Feb 11, 2019 negative
Opinion
David Cohen: Seed and angel investing are not venture capital
“I believe that angel investing, seed investing is a completely different thing than venture capital. I don't think it's part of venture capital. I think that it's a different type of asset, which has different needs and requirements and has a different perform…”
David Cohen Feb 11, 2019 ▶ 25:57 20VC: Techstars Founder David Cohen on Why Seed Investing Is A Different Asset Class To Venture, What Makes The Best And The Worst Board Members & Why Every Company Has To Have A Pessimist In The Room
Mar 8, 2019 positive
Insight
Allred: Founders Must Model if VC Leaves Them Better Off
“And I feel like that's the fundamental analysis everybody should be doing before they raise VC, sitting down and doing the math and saying, does this make sense for the business I'm running?”
Austen Allred Mar 8, 2019 ▶ 11:44 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem That Will Be Solved Over The Next 20 Years, Why The Speed and Quality of Decisions Are Not Mutually Exclusive & The 1 Question All Founders Must Ask Themselves Befor
Mar 8, 2019 negative
Insight
Allred: Running a Company to Please VCs Is a Disaster
“We've never lived to please investors. We've never run a business to try to make it marketable to VCs, and I think that's a recipe for disaster.”
Austen Allred Mar 8, 2019 ▶ 12:16 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem That Will Be Solved Over The Next 20 Years, Why The Speed and Quality of Decisions Are Not Mutually Exclusive & The 1 Question All Founders Must Ask Themselves Befor
Mar 15, 2019 bearish
Opinion
Profitable consumer brands at $30M-$40M revenue make poor VC investments
“Brands don't have to grow forever. They can get to 30 or forty million in revenue and generate profit, which is why they're not great VC investments, but that doesn't mean they don't deserve capital.”
Adam Pritzker Mar 15, 2019 ▶ 16:06 20VC: Why The Current VC Financing Mechanism For Consumer Brands Is Broken, Why The Infrastructure To Power Emerging Brands Is Broken and What The Re-Platforming of Retail Means For The Next Decade in Consumer with Adam Pritzker, Chairman & CEO @ Assemble
Mar 15, 2019 neutral
Insight
Consumer brands suitable for venture capital financing are rare exceptions
“They tend to have very few skews and have a strategy in which they underprice the incumbent by selling direct, and those categories might include mattresses, razors, eyewear, and beauty, but again, I would say those are rare birds. Those are the exceptions to …”
Adam Pritzker Mar 15, 2019 ▶ 11:55 20VC: Why The Current VC Financing Mechanism For Consumer Brands Is Broken, Why The Infrastructure To Power Emerging Brands Is Broken and What The Re-Platforming of Retail Means For The Next Decade in Consumer with Adam Pritzker, Chairman & CEO @ Assemble
Mar 29, 2019 negative
Insight
Gascoigne: VC forces startups into a rollercoaster of 100% annual growth
“For the longest time, the only option has been VC. And then the only option is that you lock yourself into this white knuckle ride rollercoaster and that the outcome has to be this a hundred percent year over year growth for the longest time. And I think there…”
Joel Gascoigne Mar 29, 2019 ▶ 13:08 20VC: Buffer's Joel Gascoigne on The Moment The Founder Is No Longer The Boss, The Questions Founders Must Ask Their VCs and Why We Need A Spectrum of Different Financing Mechanisms Other Than VC
Mar 29, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gascoigne: VC incentives drive overfunding startups to see what happens
“The way the VCs are set up generally is structured towards basically triggering an environment where it is almost better if they can pump up these startups, put a lot of money into them, and just kind of see what happens, see if it works, and 90% of the time i…”
Joel Gascoigne Mar 29, 2019 ▶ 11:00 20VC: Buffer's Joel Gascoigne on The Moment The Founder Is No Longer The Boss, The Questions Founders Must Ask Their VCs and Why We Need A Spectrum of Different Financing Mechanisms Other Than VC
Apr 1, 2019 bullish
Opinion
Tan: The narrative of too much capital chasing few deals is false
“I think a lot of people still believe this sort of financial trope that there's too much money chasing too few good deals and too few good ideas, and my living reality every single day is actually the exact opposite.”
Garry Tan Apr 1, 2019 ▶ 27:30 20VC: Initialized's Garry Tan on The Most Important Thing A Seed Investor Can Do For Founders, How Ownership Requirements Change With Evolution of Funds & Why There Is Not Too Much Capital Chasing Too Few Deals
Apr 5, 2019 negative
Insight
Russakow: Modern VCs Are Generalists Driven by Consensus
“VCs tended to have very deep expertise in certain industries or technologies and could go very deep on, on diligence, whereas today's investors tend to be more generalists. So you're less likely to find investors today who develop a proprietary view versus hav…”
Jeff Russakow Apr 5, 2019 ▶ 9:49 20VC: One Question Founders Must Ask Themselves When Approaching Investor Selection, Why Series B Is One Of The Most Challenging Phases & What Makes For A Successful CEO Transition with Jeff Russakow, CEO @ Boosted
Apr 8, 2019 negative
Opinion
Comparing venture capital fundraising and investing to dating is silly
“One saying that I really do not like in venture and in entrepreneurship is the idea that raising capital is like dating or investing in entrepreneurs is like dating. That's quite silly if you think about it. A VC and an entrepreneur should be quite up front”
Dayna Grayson Apr 8, 2019 ▶ 11:56 20VC: NEA Partner, Dayna Grayson on Sourcing, Picking, Winning, Gut vs Data in Investment Decision-Making & The Evolution of Entrepreneurial Expectations of Venture
Apr 22, 2019
Insight
Liew: Founders should build VC relationships early rather than always raising
“You shouldn't always be raising. It's exhausting, but if you're going to consider adding someone to your board, that person is going to be on your board for years, and if you're going to make that decision on the basis of having met somebody two or three times…”
Jeremy Liew Apr 22, 2019 ▶ 26:08 20VC: Lightspeed's Jeremy Liew on Why It Is More Important To Be Right Than Contrarian, The Most Common Mistakes Made By Hyper-Growth Companies & 3 Characteristics That Make An Individual Incredible At Sourcing
Apr 22, 2019
Insight
Liew: VCs must see 1,000 companies to spot a 1-in-1,000 outlier
“The job of venture is to spot that one in a thousand company. Not one in a hundred, not one in 10, but one in a thousand. And the challenge is you don't know what a one in a thousand company looks like until you've seen at least a thousand companies.”
Jeremy Liew Apr 22, 2019 ▶ 5:59 20VC: Lightspeed's Jeremy Liew on Why It Is More Important To Be Right Than Contrarian, The Most Common Mistakes Made By Hyper-Growth Companies & 3 Characteristics That Make An Individual Incredible At Sourcing
Apr 22, 2019
Insight
Liew: In venture capital, there is no prize for second place
“There's no prize for second place. If you almost got the entrepreneur to choose you, but they ended up taking a temperature from someone else, it doesn't matter. Like, it didn't matter that you identified this was a great opportunity if you didn't get to inves…”
Jeremy Liew Apr 22, 2019 ▶ 22:33 20VC: Lightspeed's Jeremy Liew on Why It Is More Important To Be Right Than Contrarian, The Most Common Mistakes Made By Hyper-Growth Companies & 3 Characteristics That Make An Individual Incredible At Sourcing
May 10, 2019 negative
Insight
Romanow: Funding celebrations glorify founders giving up 30% of their companies
“It's actually celebrating founders giving up a piece of their company, often a very large piece, 20 to 30% around, and giving up control of their companies.”
Michele Romanow May 10, 2019 ▶ 15:47 20VC: Clearbanc's Michele Romanow on Why 40% of VC $ Raised Today Goes To Google and Facebook, How To Create A Financing Mechanism For The Repeatable Parts Of Your Business & Why We Need To Stop Celebrating Fundraises
Jun 3, 2019
Insight
Coelius: Entry price is the only thing that matters in venture capital
“At the end of the day, the only thing that matters in this business is price.”
Zach Coelius Jun 3, 2019 ▶ 20:01 20VC: Why Portfolio Construction Is Inefficient, Why The Only Thing That Matters In Venture Is Pricing & The Future of Venture; Bundled or Unbundled with Zach Coelius
Jun 3, 2019 negative
Opinion
Coelius: VCs make a mistake by not leading follow-on rounds
“The venture capital industry generally makes a mistake by not taking advantage of that. Why is it that we get an inside position and then we let somebody else lead the round and take all the opportunity to deploy capital in subsequent rounds?”
Zach Coelius Jun 3, 2019 ▶ 16:45 20VC: Why Portfolio Construction Is Inefficient, Why The Only Thing That Matters In Venture Is Pricing & The Future of Venture; Bundled or Unbundled with Zach Coelius
Jun 3, 2019
Insight
Coelius: Deal flow and access are the only hard things in venture capital
“The only two hard things that I can see in this business are basically deal flow and access. So if you don't have basically good deal flow and you don't have access, you're out of luck. You're not going to be successful.”
Zach Coelius Jun 3, 2019 ▶ 13:21 20VC: Why Portfolio Construction Is Inefficient, Why The Only Thing That Matters In Venture Is Pricing & The Future of Venture; Bundled or Unbundled with Zach Coelius
Jun 3, 2019 negative
Opinion
Coelius: Venture capital remains static and conformist due to LP relationships
“The industry, in my opinion, is really, really static. It doesn't Adapt and evolve very well because of the nature of the LP relationships. It's pretty sort of conservative, and it's very conformist,”
Zach Coelius Jun 3, 2019 ▶ 12:22 20VC: Why Portfolio Construction Is Inefficient, Why The Only Thing That Matters In Venture Is Pricing & The Future of Venture; Bundled or Unbundled with Zach Coelius
Jun 3, 2019 negative
Opinion
Coelius: Theoretical portfolio construction creates market inefficiencies in venture
“Portfolio construction leads to a bunch of inefficiencies that are great in a sort of theoretical world, but not in the sort of reality of this business.”
Zach Coelius Jun 3, 2019 ▶ 15:25 20VC: Why Portfolio Construction Is Inefficient, Why The Only Thing That Matters In Venture Is Pricing & The Future of Venture; Bundled or Unbundled with Zach Coelius
Jun 10, 2019 positive
Insight
Kupor: Venture capital is fundamentally a network-effects business
“I think the biggest one has been that this is fundamentally a network effects business. If you do things right, if you respect the entrepreneurial process, if you know, handle yourself professionally, you get tremendous lift from that.”
Scott Kupor Jun 10, 2019 ▶ 22:15 20VC: a16z's Scott Kupor on The Biggest Learnings From Scaling a16z from $300m to $7Bn AUM, The Biggest Mistakes Entrepreneurs Make When Pitching VCs & Why VC Is Simply A Customer Service Business
Jun 17, 2019 negative
Opinion
Hsu: Historical Loss Ratios in Venture Capital Are Too High
“We believe that historical loss ratios are too high in venture to some extent.”
Jonathan Hsu Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 18:33 20VC: Why Historical Loss Ratios Are Simply Too High, Why Data Is The #1 Most Important Piece When Evaluating Effective Reserve Allocation & Why Nothing Is Truly Defensible Today with Jonathan Hsu, Co-Founder and General Partner @ Tribe Capital
Jun 17, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hsu: Industry Venture Capital Loss Ratios Sit at 30% to 40%
“So historical loss ratios for venture at large tends to be in this 30 to 40% range”
Jonathan Hsu Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 18:37 20VC: Why Historical Loss Ratios Are Simply Too High, Why Data Is The #1 Most Important Piece When Evaluating Effective Reserve Allocation & Why Nothing Is Truly Defensible Today with Jonathan Hsu, Co-Founder and General Partner @ Tribe Capital
Jun 24, 2019 positive
Insight
Gurley: Venture capital inherently favors younger investors
“I think venture capital bends towards youth. There's a hustle element. There's a curiosity element. There's a lot of these really big outcomes are started by people that are 19 to 21.”
Bill Gurley Jun 24, 2019 ▶ 22:53 20VC: Benchmark's Bill Gurley on 5 Traits Benchmark Look For When Adding To The Partnership, Why The Abundance of Capital Is Today's Biggest Challenge in VC & The Right Way To Think About Market Size When Assessing Opportunities
Jun 24, 2019
Insight
Gurley: Venture firms must dwell on missed winners, not bad investments
“Because of the asymmetry situation that I talked about, we do dwell on the decision errors that led us to miss big winners. We don't dwell on the decision errors that led us to make a bad investment.”
Bill Gurley Jun 24, 2019 ▶ 29:40 20VC: Benchmark's Bill Gurley on 5 Traits Benchmark Look For When Adding To The Partnership, Why The Abundance of Capital Is Today's Biggest Challenge in VC & The Right Way To Think About Market Size When Assessing Opportunities
Jun 24, 2019
Insight
Gurley: Venture capitalists spend 85% to 90% of their time selling
“I think people on the outside may not realize how much selling goes into venture capital. It's probably the one thing that I didn't realize when I joined that I know innately now. But I could argue you're spending 85 or 90% of your time selling, and so if you …”
Bill Gurley Jun 24, 2019 ▶ 24:30 20VC: Benchmark's Bill Gurley on 5 Traits Benchmark Look For When Adding To The Partnership, Why The Abundance of Capital Is Today's Biggest Challenge in VC & The Right Way To Think About Market Size When Assessing Opportunities
Jun 28, 2019
Insight
Galanis: VCs should convince founders to take their money, not vice versa
“When you're fundraising, it should never be you convincing VCs or any investor to invest in the business. You want to find that investor that seeks you out and has so much conviction about what you're doing that they spend their time convincing you to take the…”
Steven Galanis Jun 28, 2019 ▶ 19:30 20VC: Cameo's Steven Galanis on Why You Must Fall In Love With Your Mission Not Your Product, How To Extract As Much Value From Your Investor Base As Possible & Should You Really Hire For 6 Months Ahead of What You Need?
Jul 15, 2019 positive
Insight
Subotovsky: VC should only fund early risk, not proven models
“Venture capital should be used For discovery, for product development, early on when you're taking a risk, then when the model is working out, you should be able to access a different type of capital, and we're gonna start seeing those distinctions for differe…”
Santi Subotovsky Jul 15, 2019 ▶ 31:01 20VC: Zoom From Series A to IPO, How VCs Can Provide CEOs with Additional Leverage and Why The Negative Effects of Signalling Are Very Real with Santi Subotovsky, General Partner @ Emergence Capital
Jul 15, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Subotovsky: VC will be disrupted by specialized capital, not mega-funds
“I feel that venture capital is going to get disrupted, and I feel it's not going to get disrupted by humongous funds. It's going to get disrupted by people who are funding businesses and are providing the right capital for the right needs.”
Santi Subotovsky Jul 15, 2019 ▶ 30:46 20VC: Zoom From Series A to IPO, How VCs Can Provide CEOs with Additional Leverage and Why The Negative Effects of Signalling Are Very Real with Santi Subotovsky, General Partner @ Emergence Capital
Jul 15, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Subotovsky: VC demographic biases dictated which entrepreneurs received funding
“People had very strong biases in terms of who's the right person to be in venture, who's not. And that translated into who's the right entrepreneur that I want to back and who's not.”
Santi Subotovsky Jul 15, 2019 ▶ 8:48 20VC: Zoom From Series A to IPO, How VCs Can Provide CEOs with Additional Leverage and Why The Negative Effects of Signalling Are Very Real with Santi Subotovsky, General Partner @ Emergence Capital
Jul 15, 2019 negative
Disclosure
Subotovsky: VCs rejected him in 2010 due to demographic background
“I talked to a number of venture firms, and the message that I got from a lot of venture firms was that given my background, I was not a perfect fit for venture. And when I double clicked on what they meant by that, it was more that there were not a lot of Lati…”
Santi Subotovsky Jul 15, 2019 ▶ 4:58 20VC: Zoom From Series A to IPO, How VCs Can Provide CEOs with Additional Leverage and Why The Negative Effects of Signalling Are Very Real with Santi Subotovsky, General Partner @ Emergence Capital
Jul 22, 2019 negative
Insight
Beyroutey: Many viable companies should not raise venture capital
“There are a ton of companies that are worth building that Are not necessarily with the present level of information that the founder has a great high volatility upside call option that makes it a good idea to raise a bunch of capital and to scale it.”
Jesse Beyroutey Jul 22, 2019 ▶ 14:52 20VC: IA Ventures' Jesse Beyroutey on Game Theory and How It Impacts Investor Mindset, How To Avoid "The Pressure To Deploy" Today In Venture & Why Ownership Is The Single Most Important Parameter When Investing
Aug 9, 2019
Insight
Hiten Shah: Venture capital investing beyond seed is a numbers game
“I feel like investing is something that you have to be pretty dedicated to in order to do an amazing job at it beyond like pre-seed or seed rounds. The reason for that is it is a numbers game. You are basically writing enough checks so that some of them work o…”
Hiten Shah Aug 9, 2019 ▶ 21:52 20VC: Hiten Shah on The Right Way To Think About Depression, Control and Burnout, Why Nobody Really Knows What They Are Doing and How One Should Receive Advice As A Result & How To Gain Self-Awareness As A Leader
Aug 12, 2019
Insight
Agarwal: Venture investors without portfolio failures are taking insufficient risk
“If you're not pushing the envelope, and you're not failing, you're probably not doing it right.”
Puneet Agarwal Aug 12, 2019 ▶ 12:59 20VC: True Ventures' Puneet Agarwal on Why EQ Is Going To Separate The Best Firms In Venture Over The Next Decade, The Negatives of Attribution in Venture & What Makes A Truly Efficient Venture Partnership
Aug 26, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Vernal: VC feedback cycles take eight to ten years
“It takes eight to 10 years to really understand if a company is going to be great and enduring or not.”
Mike Vernal Aug 26, 2019 ▶ 9:09 20VC: Sequoia's Mike Vernal on His Biggest Lessons From 8 Years of Hyper-Growth at Facebook, Why The Strength of Data Moats Is Over-Rated Today and The Challenge of "Overthinking Investments" In Venture
Aug 26, 2019
Insight
Vernal: Test investment conviction by asking if you'd join the startup
“Another litmus test is just Would you want to quit and go work at the company?”
Mike Vernal Aug 26, 2019 ▶ 11:45 20VC: Sequoia's Mike Vernal on His Biggest Lessons From 8 Years of Hyper-Growth at Facebook, Why The Strength of Data Moats Is Over-Rated Today and The Challenge of "Overthinking Investments" In Venture
Sep 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Messerschmidt: Asking VCs to define target metrics tests their partner quality
“Well, I think you can learn a lot about who you might want to work with by seeing if they actually do the work. And so it's a good first test of, you know, is this person going to be in the trenches with me? And are they going to help me?”
Jana Messerschmidt Sep 2, 2019 ▶ 25:06 20VC: How Founders Can Gain Leverage in Fundraising Negotiations, The Metrics You Need To Raise Your Series A in Consumer & What We Have To Change About Cap Table Construction with Jana Messerschmidt, Partner @ Lightspeed Venture Partners
Sep 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Messerschmidt: Compressed VC deal timelines and inflated valuations harm everybody
“There's just so much competition for deals. And I think having to make these decisions too quickly or prices being driven up of deals, I think it's just bad for everybody, founders, investors, and employees.”
Jana Messerschmidt Sep 2, 2019 ▶ 39:17 20VC: How Founders Can Gain Leverage in Fundraising Negotiations, The Metrics You Need To Raise Your Series A in Consumer & What We Have To Change About Cap Table Construction with Jana Messerschmidt, Partner @ Lightspeed Venture Partners
Sep 13, 2019 negative
Opinion
MacCaw: Venture Capitalists Are Just Salespeople Selling Financial Products
“So the first thing to realize that VCs are professional salespeople. That's all they are. They're salespeople that sell financial instruments.”
Alex MacCaw Sep 13, 2019 ▶ 22:49 20VC: Clearbit Founder Alex MacCaw on How To Successfully Negotiate with Investors, What Value-Add Do VCs Really Bring & Why You Should Only Have Operators on Your Board
Sep 13, 2019 neutral
Insight
MacCaw: Profitability Is the Only True Leverage Founders Have With VCs
“If you can't walk away, you have no leverage. So get profitable. It's the only way you can walk away.”
Alex MacCaw Sep 13, 2019 ▶ 23:00 20VC: Clearbit Founder Alex MacCaw on How To Successfully Negotiate with Investors, What Value-Add Do VCs Really Bring & Why You Should Only Have Operators on Your Board
Sep 16, 2019 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Shah: VC fund deployment cycles have compressed from three to two years
“So like the industry norm has moved from three year vintages to two year vintages.”
Semil Shah Sep 16, 2019 ▶ 17:54 20VC: Haystack's Semil Shah on Whether Founders Are Bypassing Seed Funds in Favour Of Less Dilutive Multi-Stage Funds, How Fund Strategy Changes With Fund Scaling & Why The Hardest Challenge is Price Discipline
Sep 16, 2019 neutral
Insight
Shah: Tech operational experience replaced university degrees as founder talent signals
“The pedigree of what people look for as a signal of talent now has shifted where if you are, you know, it doesn't even matter where you went to high school or college. If you were working for five years on the infrastructure team at Stripe in the early days, o…”
Semil Shah Sep 16, 2019 ▶ 7:02 20VC: Haystack's Semil Shah on Whether Founders Are Bypassing Seed Funds in Favour Of Less Dilutive Multi-Stage Funds, How Fund Strategy Changes With Fund Scaling & Why The Hardest Challenge is Price Discipline
Sep 23, 2019 positive
Insight
Matt Harris: Refusing rule-breaking founders sacrifices venture upside
“If we only back founders who are unwilling to break rules, then I think we're giving away a lot of the upside of our industry.”
Matt Harris Sep 23, 2019 ▶ 26:42 20VC: Bain's Matt Harris on Why Valuation And Market Size Are Not The Most Important Thing At Series A, Why Backing Sociopaths Can Work & Late Cycle Momentum Investing & The Changes That Will Stay in Venture Forever
Sep 27, 2019
Insight
Founders should validate ideas before raising to avoid VC portfolio bet dynamics
“I think that there's a lot of incentive for the VCs to put money into a lot of different ideas with the hope that a one or two of them truly become businesses. But for the founder, you don't want to spend your time working on a bad business idea. And so you re…”
Julia Enthoven Sep 27, 2019 ▶ 22:08 20VC: Kapwing Founder Julia Enthoven on Why Marketing Innovation Is As Important As Product Innovation, Why Every Company Is Becoming A Media Company & The Benefits Of Not Raising Money Too Early
Sep 30, 2019 negative
Opinion
Brad Feld: Venture capital is currently at a moment of peak noise
“I feel like we're in a moment of peak noise. There's just an enormous amount of noise in the system, and the noise does start to grate on me over time.”
Brad Feld Sep 30, 2019 ▶ 45:41 20VC: Brad Feld on Why Market Size At Early Stage Is Not Helpful, His Biggest Learnings From The Boom & Bust of The Dot Com and How The Best VCs Work For Their CEOs
Sep 30, 2019 negative
Insight
Brad Feld: VCs excel at self-promotion, but crisis behavior reveals true quality
“Most VCs are really good at selling themselves. That's not where it matters. Where it matters is when things get all screwed up or when you're having tension or when there's exogenous pressures on the other person that have nothing to do with you or the compan…”
Brad Feld Sep 30, 2019 ▶ 30:35 20VC: Brad Feld on Why Market Size At Early Stage Is Not Helpful, His Biggest Learnings From The Boom & Bust of The Dot Com and How The Best VCs Work For Their CEOs
Oct 18, 2019 negative
Insight
Bahat: VCs requesting early customer calls is a bad sign for founders
“VCs who ask founders to talk to their customers right off the bat, I tell the founder like, whoa, slow that down a minute. Like that's a bad sign about the VC that they want to go for the sanctum sanctum. Before they've even had a chance to build trust.”
Roy Bahat Oct 18, 2019 ▶ 8:52 20VC Exclusive: Roy Bahat on Bloomberg Beta's New Fund, The Truth About Valuation That Very Few VCs Will Tell You & Why Founders of Venture Backed Startups Make The Best Angels
Oct 18, 2019 bearish
Insight
Bahat: Revenue is a better startup co-investor than traditional venture capital funds
“My favorite co-investor is revenue. My second favorite co-investor is the founder of a venture-backed company in which we invest, and then you get to VCs.”
Roy Bahat Oct 18, 2019 ▶ 36:21 20VC Exclusive: Roy Bahat on Bloomberg Beta's New Fund, The Truth About Valuation That Very Few VCs Will Tell You & Why Founders of Venture Backed Startups Make The Best Angels
Oct 18, 2019
Insight
Bahat: Startup valuation does not reflect how highly VCs rate companies
“A lot of founders believe mistakenly, in part because VCs lead them on, that company valuation is some kind of a marker of how highly the VC rates your company.”
Roy Bahat Oct 18, 2019 ▶ 5:50 20VC Exclusive: Roy Bahat on Bloomberg Beta's New Fund, The Truth About Valuation That Very Few VCs Will Tell You & Why Founders of Venture Backed Startups Make The Best Angels
Oct 18, 2019 bearish
Opinion
Bahat: Venture capital's greater fool dynamic will not survive a market downturn
“We do have this greater fool dynamic happening in our industry. And one of the challenges is if your strategy, nobody's explicit strategy is this, but if your actions reveal that actually your approach is making money on the greater fool, which is to say the l…”
Roy Bahat Oct 18, 2019 ▶ 25:17 20VC Exclusive: Roy Bahat on Bloomberg Beta's New Fund, The Truth About Valuation That Very Few VCs Will Tell You & Why Founders of Venture Backed Startups Make The Best Angels
Oct 18, 2019 positive
Opinion
Bahat: Dollar-for-dollar, angel investors are more valuable to startups than VCs
“Angels dollar per dollar are the most valuable investors in the ecosystem, even more valuable than VCs, more valuable than us, especially angels who are themselves founders of venture backed companies.”
Roy Bahat Oct 18, 2019 ▶ 34:34 20VC Exclusive: Roy Bahat on Bloomberg Beta's New Fund, The Truth About Valuation That Very Few VCs Will Tell You & Why Founders of Venture Backed Startups Make The Best Angels
Oct 21, 2019
Insight
VC feedback loops take five to ten years to evaluate investor judgment
“In the venture capital world, the feedback loop is slow. You can prove that you can win deals, but you, it takes time to really learn whether you're good at winning the right deals. In many cases, it can take five, maybe 10 years to know if your judgment is ri…”
Arif Jan Mohamed Oct 21, 2019 ▶ 26:34 20VC: Lightspeed's Arif Janmohamed on Why Market Risk Is The Most Dangerous Risk To Underwrite As A VC, How To Determine When to Stretch vs Not on Price Today & The $TRN of Market Cap Up For Grabs Today In Enterprise
Nov 4, 2019 positive
Opinion
A 2.5% management fee is reasonable for small venture capital funds
“If you're raising a very small venture capital fund, having fees at two and a half percent is reasonable. I mean, you're building a team, you're building a platform. I mean, that would not be egregious, right?”
Lisa Edgar Nov 4, 2019 ▶ 20:01 20VC: Inside The Mind of A Leading LP: How LPs Evaluate New Fund Managers on Everything from First Meeting to Portfolio Construction To Fees and Carry with Lisa Edgar, Managing Director @ Top Tier Capital Partners
Nov 4, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Edgar: Globalization is the biggest shift in venture capital over 20 years
“It's changed, obviously, dramatically from a very small cottage industry that was really Silicon Valley in Boston, so it was really US-based, and I would say the biggest change that we see today is really the globalization, and sitting in this room, you know, …”
Lisa Edgar Nov 4, 2019 ▶ 7:02 20VC: Inside The Mind of A Leading LP: How LPs Evaluate New Fund Managers on Everything from First Meeting to Portfolio Construction To Fees and Carry with Lisa Edgar, Managing Director @ Top Tier Capital Partners
Nov 4, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Top venture capital firms command premium carry above the standard 20%
“So VC is not a two and 20 world. PE is, but a lot of VC isn't, and certainly when I say that, I really mean the top players. I mean, they have premium carry, and we are fortunate enough to have a portfolio of a lot of that.”
Lisa Edgar Nov 4, 2019 ▶ 19:38 20VC: Inside The Mind of A Leading LP: How LPs Evaluate New Fund Managers on Everything from First Meeting to Portfolio Construction To Fees and Carry with Lisa Edgar, Managing Director @ Top Tier Capital Partners
Nov 4, 2019
Assertion Supported
Edgar: Only four fund of funds existed when she joined VC
“That was a, at a time where I think there was four fund of funds in the entire industry.”
Lisa Edgar Nov 4, 2019 ▶ 4:08 20VC: Inside The Mind of A Leading LP: How LPs Evaluate New Fund Managers on Everything from First Meeting to Portfolio Construction To Fees and Carry with Lisa Edgar, Managing Director @ Top Tier Capital Partners
Nov 4, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Premium venture capital carry should require a 3X return hurdle
“For carry, I think you have to start at 20%. That is the base when you're getting started, and to have some type of premium carry after a return hurdle is okay, but really that return hurdle should be three X, you know, not two X, because you kind of have to d…”
Lisa Edgar Nov 4, 2019 ▶ 20:45 20VC: Inside The Mind of A Leading LP: How LPs Evaluate New Fund Managers on Everything from First Meeting to Portfolio Construction To Fees and Carry with Lisa Edgar, Managing Director @ Top Tier Capital Partners
Nov 11, 2019
Insight
VCs must proactively issue term sheets instead of waiting for fundraises
“So you can't reactively wait for someone to raise their hand and say they're raising. You have to proactively be focused on the best companies and the best entrepreneurs, and basically proactively kick off a financing process by putting out a term sheet or bei…”
Rick Heitzmann Nov 11, 2019 ▶ 10:04 20VC: Firstmark's Rick Heitzmann on The Rise of Pre-Emptive Rounds, His Biggest Learnings From The Pinterest Board, 2 Things VCs Can Do To Prepare Their Companies For The Downturn and Why Now Is A Good Time to Be Contrarian and Invest In Consumer
Nov 11, 2019 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Venture capital will not lose its artisanal, craftsman approach
“I don't think we're going to lose it because there's folks like you or I who really treasure that, and they really view working with an entrepreneur as a partnership and not being, especially at the earliest stages, solely driven by quantitative and being data…”
Rick Heitzmann Nov 11, 2019 ▶ 11:40 20VC: Firstmark's Rick Heitzmann on The Rise of Pre-Emptive Rounds, His Biggest Learnings From The Pinterest Board, 2 Things VCs Can Do To Prepare Their Companies For The Downturn and Why Now Is A Good Time to Be Contrarian and Invest In Consumer
Nov 11, 2019 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Venture capital has transitioned from an artisan business to buyout-style structures
“It's gone from being an artisan business on the whole to being a structured business that looks more like a buyout group.”
Rick Heitzmann Nov 11, 2019 ▶ 11:09 20VC: Firstmark's Rick Heitzmann on The Rise of Pre-Emptive Rounds, His Biggest Learnings From The Pinterest Board, 2 Things VCs Can Do To Prepare Their Companies For The Downturn and Why Now Is A Good Time to Be Contrarian and Invest In Consumer
Nov 29, 2019 negative
Insight
Brown: Founders should assume VCs offer zero baseline value
“My starting point is you have to have the mindset that VCs are going to provide no value. They will all go on and on about the value they'll provide, but what you're shooting for as a base starting point is zero value. And what you're trying to avoid is negati…”
Jason Brown Nov 29, 2019 ▶ 16:01 20VC: Why Startup Valuations Are Not As Overpriced As You Think, How To Determine Whether An Investor Is Truly Aligned To Your Mission and What 2 Traits Make The Truly Special Board Members with Jason Brown, Founder & CEO @ Tally
Nov 29, 2019 negative
Opinion
Brown: Venture capital is a commodity differentiated mostly by marketing
“Outside of the actual partner who's doing the investing, money is a complete commodity, and so the drive is to try to differentiate an undifferentiatable commodity through the quote unquote value add.”
Jason Brown Nov 29, 2019 ▶ 17:22 20VC: Why Startup Valuations Are Not As Overpriced As You Think, How To Determine Whether An Investor Is Truly Aligned To Your Mission and What 2 Traits Make The Truly Special Board Members with Jason Brown, Founder & CEO @ Tally
Dec 2, 2019
Insight
Tisch: Watching a hyped startup collapse grounds venture investor expectations
“I think the first feedback loop you get is actually Something that goes all the way up and then all the way back down. And so I think that that's where you are able to find the rational side of this business. So if you for two years, see a company go all the w…”
David Tisch Dec 2, 2019 ▶ 34:49 20VC: BoxGroup's David Tisch on Whether Concentrated Investing At Seed Works, Do Founders Really Want Direct Feedback and Is It Good For Them & Why Consumer Social Is Interesting Again
Dec 2, 2019 negative
Insight
Tisch: Founders avoid public VC criticism to protect future fundraising
“It's incredibly hard to be public about bad experiences, because as an entrepreneur, as a founder, you at some point will need to go back to market, and if you're viewed in any way as a risk, that just lowers the probability that you're going to get the outcom…”
David Tisch Dec 2, 2019 ▶ 14:32 20VC: BoxGroup's David Tisch on Whether Concentrated Investing At Seed Works, Do Founders Really Want Direct Feedback and Is It Good For Them & Why Consumer Social Is Interesting Again
Dec 2, 2019 negative
Insight
Tisch: VCs cannot deploy 'company building' value at scale across portfolios
“And so the idea that a diverse portfolio is amongst the VC can deploy this value add and company building at scale. I just haven't seen that happen over my 10 years doing this.”
David Tisch Dec 2, 2019 ▶ 13:54 20VC: BoxGroup's David Tisch on Whether Concentrated Investing At Seed Works, Do Founders Really Want Direct Feedback and Is It Good For Them & Why Consumer Social Is Interesting Again
Dec 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tisch: Venture capital feedback loops take 10 to 15 years, not 7
“And so in this business where the feedback loop is somewhere between, they used to say seven to 10 years, but it's really 10 to 15 years, only 10 years in did I get comfortable that we might have a clue what we're doing.”
David Tisch Dec 2, 2019 ▶ 5:47 20VC: BoxGroup's David Tisch on Whether Concentrated Investing At Seed Works, Do Founders Really Want Direct Feedback and Is It Good For Them & Why Consumer Social Is Interesting Again
Dec 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Tisch: Venture capital is built for rapid scale, not early profit
“I think if your ambition is to build a profitable business, these early on, obviously later on, everybody should, but VC isn't the right weapon. It's VCs to go fast and big”
David Tisch Dec 2, 2019 ▶ 22:00 20VC: BoxGroup's David Tisch on Whether Concentrated Investing At Seed Works, Do Founders Really Want Direct Feedback and Is It Good For Them & Why Consumer Social Is Interesting Again
Dec 6, 2019 negative
Insight
Schalit: A startup board is not the CEO's boss
“With VCs, because your board is not your boss. You are running the company and you're running the board and you have to really understand that because you become effective at working with your board and your VCs. The moment you understand that the board is the…”
Emmanuel Schalit Dec 6, 2019 ▶ 23:46 20VC: Why Raising A Mega-Round Makes Your Life Harder Not Easier, Why Your Board Is Not Your Boss and Lessons on Successful Board Management & The Biggest Breakpoints in Company Scaling with Emmanuel Schalit, Founder & CEO @ Dashlane
Dec 9, 2019 positive
Opinion
Vrionis: Every VC should be required to raise their own fund
“I think every VC should have to do it. Their empathy goes up.”
John Vrionis Dec 9, 2019 ▶ 12:04 20VC: Unusual Ventures' John Vrionis on Why We Need To Raise The Bar In Venture, Why Taking Multi-Stage Money At Seed Is Not In The Best Interest of Founders & Why To Be The Best, You Have To Specialise To Be The Best
Dec 9, 2019 neutral
Insight
Vrionis: VC firms must specialize to achieve best-in-class performance
“To be best in class, to be truly the best you can be. You have to specialize and it's not just sports. It's medicine. It's music. It's art, right? To do things very, very well here, which is what venture capital and entrepreneurship is. It's such a competitive…”
John Vrionis Dec 9, 2019 ▶ 14:58 20VC: Unusual Ventures' John Vrionis on Why We Need To Raise The Bar In Venture, Why Taking Multi-Stage Money At Seed Is Not In The Best Interest of Founders & Why To Be The Best, You Have To Specialise To Be The Best
Dec 9, 2019 neutral
Insight
Vrionis: Venture capital reduces to sourcing, selecting, and earning founder trust
“The job comes down to sourcing, selecting, earning founders' trust and respect”
John Vrionis Dec 9, 2019 ▶ 7:27 20VC: Unusual Ventures' John Vrionis on Why We Need To Raise The Bar In Venture, Why Taking Multi-Stage Money At Seed Is Not In The Best Interest of Founders & Why To Be The Best, You Have To Specialise To Be The Best
Dec 16, 2019 positive
Insight
D'Augelli: Janeway and Perez books are essential reading for venture capitalists
“I would say it, combined with Carlota Perez's Technological Revolutions in Financial Capital, Are must reads for anyone in the business of venture capital.”
Adam D'Augelli Dec 16, 2019 ▶ 25:55 20VC: How To Think Through Portfolio Construction and The Business Model of VC, Why You Cannot Grow Ownership In Your Best Companies Over Time & How To Make The Space for Serendipity To Strike in VC with Adam D'Augelli, Partner @ True Ventures
Dec 16, 2019 neutral
Insight
D'Augelli: Overpacked VC calendars hinder investment performance and serendipity
“So I think VC is a strange job where doing more doesn't often correlate to improve performance. And I argue filling your calendar with lots of meetings doesn't create the space for luck and serendipity to occur.”
Adam D'Augelli Dec 16, 2019 ▶ 26:07 20VC: How To Think Through Portfolio Construction and The Business Model of VC, Why You Cannot Grow Ownership In Your Best Companies Over Time & How To Make The Space for Serendipity To Strike in VC with Adam D'Augelli, Partner @ True Ventures
Dec 16, 2019 neutral
Insight
D'Augelli: In highly uncertain markets, knowing more leads to worse decisions
“As an aside, there's an awesome academic paper called Investing in the Unknown and Unknowable, which argues that in markets with many unknowns and things you cannot know, Knowing more actually leads to worse decisions for an investor, and rather they should fo…”
Adam D'Augelli Dec 16, 2019 ▶ 28:07 20VC: How To Think Through Portfolio Construction and The Business Model of VC, Why You Cannot Grow Ownership In Your Best Companies Over Time & How To Make The Space for Serendipity To Strike in VC with Adam D'Augelli, Partner @ True Ventures
Jan 6, 2020 negative
Insight
Jain: Venture capital is a human service business that cannot scale like software
“But I think people forget that venture is a services business. This is not a software company. You know, two core parts of being a venture capitalist are exercising judgment and advising founders. And both of those things cannot be productized. Well, at least …”
Gaurav Jain Jan 6, 2020 ▶ 15:36 20VC: Why Now Is The Hardest Time To Raise an Institutional Pre-Seed in the Last Decade, What To Do When The Founder and VC Interests Do Not Align & The Rise of Pre-Emptive Rounds with Gaurav Jain, Founder & Managing Partner @ Afore Capital
Jan 6, 2020 positive
Insight
Jain: VCs should ask founders questions rather than dictate actions
“Don't tell founders what to do, even though you have that urge all the time, because you've seen that before, but instead to focus on first principles to ask the right questions of the founder. So they can make, they can come to that conclusion themselves and …”
Gaurav Jain Jan 6, 2020 ▶ 34:16 20VC: Why Now Is The Hardest Time To Raise an Institutional Pre-Seed in the Last Decade, What To Do When The Founder and VC Interests Do Not Align & The Rise of Pre-Emptive Rounds with Gaurav Jain, Founder & Managing Partner @ Afore Capital
Jan 6, 2020 positive
Insight
Jain: Success in venture capital requires staying small and resisting expansion
“Success and venture actually means you have to fight that inherent desire to expand and grow. Success and venture means you have to get really, really good at what you set out to do. You stay within your lane. And that's counterintuitive because it's staying s…”
Gaurav Jain Jan 6, 2020 ▶ 7:29 20VC: Why Now Is The Hardest Time To Raise an Institutional Pre-Seed in the Last Decade, What To Do When The Founder and VC Interests Do Not Align & The Rise of Pre-Emptive Rounds with Gaurav Jain, Founder & Managing Partner @ Afore Capital
Jan 10, 2020
Insight
Rathmann outlines the five core ways venture capitalists add value
“If you boil it down, I think VCs in general can do about five things for a company and varying levels and varying levels of expertise and execution. But the first would be they can write checks. The second is they can make intros to talent. The third is they c…”
Kurt Rathmann Jan 10, 2020 ▶ 12:16 20VC: Raising $105m in Just 13 Months Over 3 Separate Rounds, The 5 Core Ways VCs Can Add Value & How Founders Can and Should Fully Leverage Their Cap Table with Kurt Rathmann, Founder & CEO @ ScaleFactor
Jan 10, 2020 positive
Insight
Rathmann: Founders Should Take Capital Whenever It Is Available
“I have generally a saying that's drink when you're fed. And so maybe more saying, you know, you take money when it's available, but it really comes into the circumstance, comes into the problem you're trying to solve.”
Kurt Rathmann Jan 10, 2020 ▶ 9:22 20VC: Raising $105m in Just 13 Months Over 3 Separate Rounds, The 5 Core Ways VCs Can Add Value & How Founders Can and Should Fully Leverage Their Cap Table with Kurt Rathmann, Founder & CEO @ ScaleFactor
Jan 10, 2020
Insight
Rathmann: Founders must actively extract value from VCs rather than expecting hand-offs
“As a founder, you have to know that all those things are available. It's really your job To extract it. I think folks get into trouble when they think that a lot of these things are these kind of marketing elements of a particular VC or particular firm are goi…”
Kurt Rathmann Jan 10, 2020 ▶ 13:00 20VC: Raising $105m in Just 13 Months Over 3 Separate Rounds, The 5 Core Ways VCs Can Add Value & How Founders Can and Should Fully Leverage Their Cap Table with Kurt Rathmann, Founder & CEO @ ScaleFactor
Jan 13, 2020 bullish
Insight
Samir Kaul: Double down aggressively when positive startup signals emerge
“The odds of one of our initial investments being successful is lower than 50%. Sometimes it's 10%. And so when you get a signal that it might be better, you've got to really push your chips to the table and have the courage to do that.”
Samir Kaul Jan 13, 2020 ▶ 12:32 20VC: Khosla Ventures Founding Partner, Samir Kaul on Why Pro Rata Is A Cop Out, Why He Likes Technical Risk and Does Not Take Market Risk & How To Approach Time Allocation Across The Portfolio In Venture
Jan 13, 2020
What-if
Kaul: I would have taken wilder venture bets earlier in my career
“That you can only lose one time your money and that you can make infinite amounts. I would have taken even wilder bets earlier in my career.”
Samir Kaul Jan 13, 2020 ▶ 33:17 20VC: Khosla Ventures Founding Partner, Samir Kaul on Why Pro Rata Is A Cop Out, Why He Likes Technical Risk and Does Not Take Market Risk & How To Approach Time Allocation Across The Portfolio In Venture
Feb 7, 2020 positive
Insight
Makani: Venture Capital Experience Helps Founders Avoid Pursuing Bad Ideas
“And I think venture doesn't by any means guarantee success as an entrepreneur, but I really do think it kind of makes sure that you don't at the minimum pursue bad ideas. And that does improve the likelihood of having an outcome.”
Shoaib Makani Feb 7, 2020 ▶ 6:43 20VC: Why You Never Want To Fight A Fair Fit For Distribution, Why No Great Company Is Built with 1 Product and When To Release Your Second & What Founders Can Do To Extract The Most From Their Cap Table with Shoaib Makani, Founder & CEO @ KeepTruckin
Feb 11, 2020
Insight
Gomila: $50M-$100M exits do not move the needle for VC fund math
“It's okay if you have a fifty million exit or a hundred million exit. And most people around the world would say that is absolutely insane. But for the VC, that's not going to cut it. It's not going to move the needle. The math doesn't work. They need some muc…”
Jude Gomila Feb 11, 2020 ▶ 12:08 20VC: Lessons from 150 Angel Investments into the likes of Carta, Gusto, Airtable and Superhuman, Creating Algorithms and Models For Investing At Seed & Why Younger Investors Have An Advantage When It Comes To Finding Deals Early with Jude Gomila, Angel I
Feb 11, 2020 positive
Insight
Gomila: Data tools raise the skill required for venture capital
“I think as we get more data and we get more analytics, that means more complexity and more opportunity to be analytical. So I think the skill actually goes up. Some of the art maybe goes down, but the skill can go up.”
Jude Gomila Feb 11, 2020 ▶ 42:05 20VC: Lessons from 150 Angel Investments into the likes of Carta, Gusto, Airtable and Superhuman, Creating Algorithms and Models For Investing At Seed & Why Younger Investors Have An Advantage When It Comes To Finding Deals Early with Jude Gomila, Angel I
Feb 11, 2020 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gomila: Faster market dynamics will force VC verticalization
“So I think if the markets are changing faster, then we'll see a lot more verticalization and people focus, you know, that our algorithms in a verticals are focused on, on particular verticals and markets, and that's going to change much quicker.”
Jude Gomila Feb 11, 2020 ▶ 19:07 20VC: Lessons from 150 Angel Investments into the likes of Carta, Gusto, Airtable and Superhuman, Creating Algorithms and Models For Investing At Seed & Why Younger Investors Have An Advantage When It Comes To Finding Deals Early with Jude Gomila, Angel I
Feb 11, 2020 positive
Insight
Investors Must Introduce Randomness to Maximize Their Learning Speed
“And there's another component as well that you've got to add a little bit of randomness in because your algorithm, you won't be able to learn in the quickest possible way unless you need a little bit of randomness to go against your kind of feelings and your a…”
Jude Gomila Feb 11, 2020 ▶ 17:53 20VC: Lessons from 150 Angel Investments into the likes of Carta, Gusto, Airtable and Superhuman, Creating Algorithms and Models For Investing At Seed & Why Younger Investors Have An Advantage When It Comes To Finding Deals Early with Jude Gomila, Angel I
Mar 2, 2020 negative
Opinion
Goldberg: Venture capital is not efficiently funding climate change technology
“I think this isn't being addressed efficiently by the venture capital industry, and I think it's kind of the defining issue of our generation.”
Mark Goldberg Mar 2, 2020 ▶ 28:37 20VC: Index Ventures Partner, Mark Goldberg on The Questions Founders Must Ask A Multi-Stage Fund Before Taking Their Money At Seed, Why Most Angels Will Lose Their Money & Why We Will See Our First $100Bn Neo-Bank Shortly
Mar 2, 2020 neutral
Insight
Goldberg: Venture capital is a highly commoditized product
“I think what people get wrong about VC is it's a highly commoditized product. It's money. And there's more of it now than ever.”
Mark Goldberg Mar 2, 2020 ▶ 6:13 20VC: Index Ventures Partner, Mark Goldberg on The Questions Founders Must Ask A Multi-Stage Fund Before Taking Their Money At Seed, Why Most Angels Will Lose Their Money & Why We Will See Our First $100Bn Neo-Bank Shortly
Mar 20, 2020 negative
Insight
Esipov: VCs should make fewer bets and spend more time per company
“Any one of their eggs, I think, is directly correlated to how much time they spend with that egg. I would love to see the VC engagement extend beyond the boardroom, and some VCs are very good at this, and spend more time on site with the company, get to actual…”
Misha Esipov Mar 20, 2020 ▶ 10:33 20VC: How To Assess Risk and Value Creation, Why It Would Be Better If VCs Had Smaller Portfolios & How To Optimise Internal Decision-Making with Misha Esipov, Founder & CEO @ Nova Credit
Apr 6, 2020
Insight
Viswanathan: Venture capital fails if private companies do not provide liquidity
“The other way to think about it is, at the end of the day, you can stay private longer, but you really do need to figure out a way to give liquidity to your investors, your venture and other investors, and even your employees. Because if you don't do that, ven…”
Ravi Viswanathan Apr 6, 2020 ▶ 23:32 20VC: Raising A $1.35Bn Fund I, The Emerging Secondary Opportunity For Early Stage Managers and Founders & What It Takes To Win The Best Growth Deals Today with Ravi Viswanathan, Founder & Managing Partner @ NewView Capital
Apr 6, 2020 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Viswanathan: Venture investors are price-takers for top early-stage companies
“Largely in this business, we are price takers for the best companies. And I think that's generally been the case in the last 20 years of venture with maybe one or two extreme examples.”
Ravi Viswanathan Apr 6, 2020 ▶ 16:01 20VC: Raising A $1.35Bn Fund I, The Emerging Secondary Opportunity For Early Stage Managers and Founders & What It Takes To Win The Best Growth Deals Today with Ravi Viswanathan, Founder & Managing Partner @ NewView Capital
Apr 6, 2020 negative
Opinion
Viswanathan: Most venture capital firms' operational 'value add' is hot air
“Yeah, I think you're spot on in terms of most of what's out there is hot air.”
Ravi Viswanathan Apr 6, 2020 ▶ 13:13 20VC: Raising A $1.35Bn Fund I, The Emerging Secondary Opportunity For Early Stage Managers and Founders & What It Takes To Win The Best Growth Deals Today with Ravi Viswanathan, Founder & Managing Partner @ NewView Capital
Apr 8, 2020
Insight
Destin: No one in venture capital will train or mentor you
“Nobody will train you, nobody will mentor you in a way that's really meaningful, and that from day one, what you have to do as a young person in venture capital is learn every aspect of the trade.”
Fred Destin Apr 8, 2020 ▶ 29:05 20VC: Are VCs Still "Open For Business", How VCs Attitude To Risk Has Changed & The 2 Most Valuable Assets To Founders Today with Fred Destin, Founding Partner @ Stride VC
Apr 10, 2020 negative
Opinion
VC pattern matching rewards SpaceX copycats over broader aerospace innovation
“The industry as a whole pattern matches very strongly on exactly what successes have existed previously. So for example, for today, it's really easy to raise money for a rocket company because SpaceX is a success, but that doesn't strongly translate over into …”
Blake Scholl Apr 10, 2020 ▶ 10:27 20VC: Why Venture Fund Life Cycles Do Not Align To Companies Today, Actionable Strategies To Separate Good From Great When Assessing and Hiring Multiple Candidates & Why We Need More Adventure in Venture Capital with Blake Scholl, Founder & CEO @ Boom Sup
Apr 14, 2020 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
DHH: Starting a Software Company Without VC Is Easier Than Ever
“It's never been easier to start a new software company than it is today without raising money.”
David Heinemeier Hansson Apr 14, 2020 ▶ 26:42 20VC: Basecamp Founder David Heinemeier Hansson on Why It Is The Biggest BS To Chase Being A Unicorn, His Relationship to Wealth and Status and Why Now More Than Ever It Is A Myth Entrepreneurs Have To Raise VC
Apr 20, 2020 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Pay-to-play provisions have returned to venture capital deal structures
“It doesn't come back. It is back. It's back. Pay to play is on the table.”
Mark Suster Apr 20, 2020 ▶ 24:10 20VC: Upfront's Mark Suster on COVID Redefining What A Great Company Looks Like and What Valuations Look Like, Why Pay-To-Play Is Back On The Table & Why We Will See The Death of Party Rounds
Apr 20, 2020
Assertion Partly supported
Venture capital industry average fund deployment cycle shortened to 2.2 years
“And the industry average right now is 2.2 years. And you have some firms coming back every 18 months.”
Mark Suster Apr 20, 2020 ▶ 26:02 20VC: Upfront's Mark Suster on COVID Redefining What A Great Company Looks Like and What Valuations Look Like, Why Pay-To-Play Is Back On The Table & Why We Will See The Death of Party Rounds
Apr 20, 2020
Insight
Longer fund deployment pace is necessary to capture platform shifts
“So being across time and time diversity is important for catching platform shifts And changes to a regulatory environment, changes to geopolitical environment, and changes to the economy itself.”
Mark Suster Apr 20, 2020 ▶ 29:58 20VC: Upfront's Mark Suster on COVID Redefining What A Great Company Looks Like and What Valuations Look Like, Why Pay-To-Play Is Back On The Table & Why We Will See The Death of Party Rounds
May 1, 2020 positive
Insight
A VC's Greatest Value-Add Is Keeping Founders Focused on Forward-Looking Strategy
“What I think is most helpful is when your investors are always looking forward because they're not caught up in the day to day. And many founders get so caught up in the day to day, their context switching, their racing between fires, that they sort of lose tr…”
Jeff Seibert May 1, 2020 ▶ 32:03 20VC: Framework For Hiring The Best Talent 100% Remotely, Raising $32M From Benchmark and GV Pre-Launch and How To Think Through Capital Efficiency and Runway Today with Jeff Seibert and Wayne Chang, Co-Founders @ Digits
May 4, 2020 negative
Prediction Held up
Cuban refuses to invest in venture-backed companies that buy market share
“The type of investments I won't do or don't do is ones where companies buy sales. So this is going to be a company that has to raise five hundred million to do one hundred million in sales because they want to own market share. And then they can get an exit be…”
Mark Cuban May 4, 2020 ▶ 15:29 20VC: Mark Cuban on His Relationship To Wealth and Risk, Why Coming Out of The Pandemic Will Be The Best Time In The History of Mankind To Start A Business & Why Silicon Valley Investors Are Like Old Hollywood
May 11, 2020 negative
Opinion
Maples: Venture capital has become overly self-promotional with platform noise
“It's gotten a little bit Too self-promotional, I think. So I think that a lot of people now are overly focusing on their personal platforms, and I can understand why some do, but there's an awful lot of noise out there now.”
Mike Maples May 11, 2020 ▶ 37:25 20VC: Floodgate's Mike Maples on 3 Key Breakthroughs Startups Experience in Success, The Rise of Angel and Operator Funds, Multi-Stage Funds Re-Entering Seed Investing and The Insight Development Framework
May 11, 2020 neutral
Insight
Stebbings: A venture fund's size fundamentally dictates its strategy
“Kind of your fund size is your strategy as well, and so that's always very much front and center for me.”
Harry Stebbings May 11, 2020 ▶ 28:40 20VC: Floodgate's Mike Maples on 3 Key Breakthroughs Startups Experience in Success, The Rise of Angel and Operator Funds, Multi-Stage Funds Re-Entering Seed Investing and The Insight Development Framework
Jun 8, 2020
Disclosure
Harry Stebbings lost two investment deals by moving too slowly
“I've lost a deal, and it's happened twice, and the feedback was actually the same for me, which was great relationship with me. Trouble was, I wasn't there quick enough, and so, although the relationship was great, they had deeper, more trusting relationships …”
Harry Stebbings Jun 8, 2020 ▶ 12:59 20VC: Lightspeed Partner, Merci Victoria Grace on The Future of Collaboration Tools, Bundling vs Unbundling, Synchronous vs Asynchronous & What It Means To Productise The S*** Out of Venture
Jun 8, 2020 positive
Opinion
Venture capital needs more female and diverse check-writers
“Venture-backed companies are this outsized engine of wealth creation and societal change relative, right, to the dollars at work. Venture funding changed my life, and it changes the lives of founders and employees. And venture-backed companies have the scale a…”
Merci Victoria Grace Jun 8, 2020 ▶ 32:15 20VC: Lightspeed Partner, Merci Victoria Grace on The Future of Collaboration Tools, Bundling vs Unbundling, Synchronous vs Asynchronous & What It Means To Productise The S*** Out of Venture
Jun 8, 2020 positive
Insight
VCs cannot oversell themselves or show too much excitement to founders
“You can never be too early or too excited to work with the founder. And at first I was nervous about coming on too strong or being too aggressive, but it's really not possible to oversell.”
Merci Victoria Grace Jun 8, 2020 ▶ 32:01 20VC: Lightspeed Partner, Merci Victoria Grace on The Future of Collaboration Tools, Bundling vs Unbundling, Synchronous vs Asynchronous & What It Means To Productise The S*** Out of Venture
Jun 15, 2020 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
David Sacks Predicts Venture Capital Investment Pace Will Slow Post-COVID
“We're still very much open for business, and I think a lot of other VCs are too, but I do think that the pace of investing will slow down.”
David Sacks Jun 15, 2020 ▶ 6:12 20VC: Craft Ventures' David Sacks on How To Assess Founder Psychology, How To Accurately Evaluate CAC, Burn and Churn & What Makes The Very Best Startup Boards
Jun 26, 2020
Insight
Toney: VCs should join early to build multi-fund track records
“Get into the venture business as early as possible. You're going to, you're just going to take a minute to figure out whether or not you're good. And when you have some wins, that's helpful because you'll need to be able to negotiate for better economics and s…”
Lo Toney Jun 26, 2020 ▶ 34:57 20VC: How Fundraising For Funds Has Changed in The World of COVID, The Benefits of Managers Selling Part of Their GP & How To Think Through Your "Minimum Viable Fund Size" with Lo Toney, Founding Managing Partner @ Plexo Capital
Jun 29, 2020 neutral
Insight
Zeev: VCs should work for founders rather than act as equal partners
“Oftentimes, VCs talk about themselves as partners to the entrepreneurs, and I actually don't like the terminology, because a partner implies that I have a say, he has a say, or she has a say. No, I think I'm more than a partner. I work for them.”
Oren Zeev Jun 29, 2020 ▶ 32:39 20VC: Oren Zeev on Why Diversification Is Overrated, The Downside of Thematic Investing, Making Quality Decisions In Uncertain Conditions & Why He Has No Reserves Allocation
Jul 10, 2020
Insight
Mather: Founders must prepare for press like VC pitches
“I would just give any entrepreneur the advice of investing in comms. Someone who's wonderful on the comm side, and Taylor Patterson on our team, is just amazing. Keeps me honest. Keeps me trained, and dealing with the press is a job, and you have to have a str…”
Alex Mather Jul 10, 2020 ▶ 15:51 20VC: The Future of Subscription Media, Why Startups Need To Stop Blaming Facebook and Google & How Founders Should Think Through Customer Acquisition Channel Dependencies with Alex Mather, Founder & CEO @ The Athletic
Jul 13, 2020 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2025
Palihapitiya predicts venture capital returns will decay to single-digit IRRs globally
“The thing that I think people need to realize is as that happens, returns will decay. And it happens in every market when you expand. So real estate used to generate 30% IRRs. Now they generate high single digit IRRs. But the asset class and the category is a …”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 13, 2020 ▶ 47:00 20VC: Chamath Palihapitiya on Why IPOs and Direct Listings Are Broken, Turning Social Capital Into A Combination of Berkshire Hathaway, Koch Industries and The Red Cross, Why Forecasts Are Worthless, What Creates True Defensibility & Why You Have To Be Pr
Jul 31, 2020 bearish
Opinion
Wilkes argues eager venture capital is driving overvaluations in the neobanking sector
“Yes, absolutely. I think the VCs are anxious to jump in and to participate, and that drives a bit of overvaluation.”
Clay Wilkes Jul 31, 2020 ▶ 11:52 20VC: Why The Unbundling of Fintech Will Continue, How VCs Are Propping Up The Neo-Banking Industry & Why We Need A New Framework To Value Businesses Today with Clay Wilkes, Founder & CEO @ Galileo
Aug 14, 2020 negative
Opinion
Anna Khan: The VC Gender Gap Is Not a Pipeline Problem
“I think pipeline is a lazy crutch. I think the reality is it's only a pipeline problem if you believe the best VCs have to be technical, which if you look at the Midas list is not the case at all.”
Anna Khan Aug 14, 2020 ▶ 26:24 20VC: Why Few Firms Are Doing True Early Stage Investing Today, Why Founders Should Spend Time with Analysts When Raising & The Rise of Pre-Empting Rounds and How To Know When To Engage vs Wait with Anna Khan, General Partner @ CRV
Aug 14, 2020 negative
Insight
Anna Khan: Former Operators and CEOs Do Not Make Good Venture Capitalists
“That operators don't make good VCs. That's what I believe. I think it's really tough to have two CEOs in the boardroom. I think CEOs, when things work well for them, they're so used to repeating that, and sometimes it can work for another founder, but it's oft…”
Anna Khan Aug 14, 2020 ▶ 36:32 20VC: Why Few Firms Are Doing True Early Stage Investing Today, Why Founders Should Spend Time with Analysts When Raising & The Rise of Pre-Empting Rounds and How To Know When To Engage vs Wait with Anna Khan, General Partner @ CRV
Aug 14, 2020 positive
Opinion
Anna Khan: Sharing Carry Is the Most Meaningful Validation for Women
“When you hire a female GP, you're telling the rest of the world, I believe in this woman's work so much that I am willing to give more share of my dollars in my pocket to her, and more than that, I believe she is going to bring so much more to this GP pie that…”
Anna Khan Aug 14, 2020 ▶ 31:03 20VC: Why Few Firms Are Doing True Early Stage Investing Today, Why Founders Should Spend Time with Analysts When Raising & The Rise of Pre-Empting Rounds and How To Know When To Engage vs Wait with Anna Khan, General Partner @ CRV
Aug 14, 2020 negative
Opinion
Anna Khan: VC Pitching Has Become Overly Commoditized Around Software Metrics
“Unfortunately, I see that less and less in venture, because I think it's become So commoditized, where within five minutes, we're asking about the ARR, and the net dollar retention, and the growth rate, and few people really take time to ask the questions like…”
Anna Khan Aug 14, 2020 ▶ 31:58 20VC: Why Few Firms Are Doing True Early Stage Investing Today, Why Founders Should Spend Time with Analysts When Raising & The Rise of Pre-Empting Rounds and How To Know When To Engage vs Wait with Anna Khan, General Partner @ CRV
Aug 14, 2020
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Anna Khan: Every Stanford Senior Today Knows What Venture Capital Is
“Today, every senior at Stanford knows what a VC is, but back then it wasn't really an industry that was accessible to young people.”
Anna Khan Aug 14, 2020 ▶ 3:32 20VC: Why Few Firms Are Doing True Early Stage Investing Today, Why Founders Should Spend Time with Analysts When Raising & The Rise of Pre-Empting Rounds and How To Know When To Engage vs Wait with Anna Khan, General Partner @ CRV
Aug 14, 2020 negative
Insight
Anna Khan: Women in VC Are Promoted for Results, Men for Potential
“Women still get promoted for results while men get promoted for potential, and that's what we need to change.”
Anna Khan Aug 14, 2020 ▶ 28:01 20VC: Why Few Firms Are Doing True Early Stage Investing Today, Why Founders Should Spend Time with Analysts When Raising & The Rise of Pre-Empting Rounds and How To Know When To Engage vs Wait with Anna Khan, General Partner @ CRV
Aug 14, 2020 negative
Insight
Anna Khan: VC Networking Is Antithetical to Good Deal Sourcing
“Hanging out with other VCs as fun as it is, is It's antithetical to good sourcing. If we're very honest, the only deals you pass on to other VCs are deals that you don't want to do, especially if you're collaborating with firms that invest at the same stage.”
Anna Khan Aug 14, 2020 ▶ 14:15 20VC: Why Few Firms Are Doing True Early Stage Investing Today, Why Founders Should Spend Time with Analysts When Raising & The Rise of Pre-Empting Rounds and How To Know When To Engage vs Wait with Anna Khan, General Partner @ CRV
Aug 24, 2020 neutral
Insight
Sahil Lavingia says VCs lack incentives to give honest rejection feedback
“The incentives just aren't really there for VCs like us to sort of really say, look, you're just not impressive enough. You need to go work at a company, or do this, or do that for a few years before I really am going to be sold on this opportunity.”
Sahil Lavingia Aug 24, 2020 ▶ 22:22 20VC: Sahil Lavingia on Rolling Funds and Their Impact on The Future of Venture, How To Evaluate Market, Team and Product, The Value of Party Rounds & The Pros and Cons of Multi-Stage Funds Investing at Seed
Aug 24, 2020 positive
Insight
Sahil Lavingia advises founders to raise as much capital as reasonable
“VCS want their same rough allocation, and that roughly means that a founder's gonna get hit with the same dilution if they're raising a million bucks, or five million bucks, or thirty million bucks, frankly, right? Everyone wants their 10, 15, 20, 25%, dependi…”
Sahil Lavingia Aug 24, 2020 ▶ 17:47 20VC: Sahil Lavingia on Rolling Funds and Their Impact on The Future of Venture, How To Evaluate Market, Team and Product, The Value of Party Rounds & The Pros and Cons of Multi-Stage Funds Investing at Seed
Aug 31, 2020 negative
Opinion
Hartz: SPAC market structure is decades behind venture capital's evolution
“SPACs follow the same pattern, but they're really just a few decades behind.”
Kevin Hartz Aug 31, 2020 ▶ 15:36 20VC: SPACs. What Are They? Why Now? How Do They Change The Venture Landscape? Are They Better Than IPOs & Direct Listings? How Should Founders Think About Them? Kevin Hartz & Troy Steckenrider @ A*
Sep 11, 2020 neutral
Assertion Supported
Harry Stebbings: Some venture capitalists hire Twitter ghostwriters
“VCs actually do have Twitter ghostwriters in some cases. It's actually genuinely a demographic of career that people do have these days”
Harry Stebbings Sep 11, 2020 ▶ 12:27 20VC: Calm Founder Alex Tew on What It Takes To Build Viral Products Today, The Current State of Customer Acquisition Costs, What Makes The Best Brands
Oct 1, 2020
Insight
Boyle: Journalist VC's Superpower Is Listening and Pressure-Testing Founder Conviction
“I'd say that the core superpower of a former journalist or the core superpower of many investors is to just listen to the And actually decide whether you believe the story to be true, and then be kind of a helpful, almost Socratic guide to the founder on their…”
Katherine Boyle Oct 1, 2020 ▶ 12:22 20VC: What Is Founder Narrative Fit and How to Detect and Invest In It, How To Avoid Consensus Thinking When Investing, Price Sensititivity; When To Pay Up vs Stay Disciplined & From New York Times To General Catalyst; Why Venture and Journalism are Not S
Oct 1, 2020
Insight
Boyle: Venture Capital and Journalism Hunt for the Same Three Elements
“They're the exact same job, except in journalism, you write a story, and in venture, you write a check. But you really are hunting for the same things. So the three components of a great story are strong protagonists, A contrarian hook or thesis that really ma…”
Katherine Boyle Oct 1, 2020 ▶ 7:01 20VC: What Is Founder Narrative Fit and How to Detect and Invest In It, How To Avoid Consensus Thinking When Investing, Price Sensititivity; When To Pay Up vs Stay Disciplined & From New York Times To General Catalyst; Why Venture and Journalism are Not S
Oct 1, 2020 negative
Insight
Boyle: Young VCs Are Highly Mimetic and Desperate for Peer Validation
“And to me, that was some of the most liberating advice that I had received, because this field is so mimetic, and so many young people start out their careers wanting to impress other investors, and they're desperate to get into the hot deals because other peo…”
Katherine Boyle Oct 1, 2020 ▶ 13:57 20VC: What Is Founder Narrative Fit and How to Detect and Invest In It, How To Avoid Consensus Thinking When Investing, Price Sensititivity; When To Pay Up vs Stay Disciplined & From New York Times To General Catalyst; Why Venture and Journalism are Not S
Oct 1, 2020
Insight
Boyle: Probabilistic Thinking Distinguishes Venture Capital From Journalism
“I'd say the biggest difference is the probabilistic thinking that you have to have as an investor. That's definitely not something that journalists think about in terms of looking at upside or looking at opportunity.”
Katherine Boyle Oct 1, 2020 ▶ 7:58 20VC: What Is Founder Narrative Fit and How to Detect and Invest In It, How To Avoid Consensus Thinking When Investing, Price Sensititivity; When To Pay Up vs Stay Disciplined & From New York Times To General Catalyst; Why Venture and Journalism are Not S
Oct 5, 2020 negative
Assertion Supported
Arlan Hamilton: 90% of venture capital funding goes to white men
“I came across the statistic that 90% of venture capital and investment money into startups was going to white men.”
Arlan Hamilton Oct 5, 2020 ▶ 5:37 20VC: Arlan Hamilton: "We Have Come For Cake, Not The Crumbs", Arlan's Plan To Return $1Bn in 10 Years, Why Arlan Plans To Giveaway or Invest 90% of Her Wealth & What The LP Class Can Do To Ensure More Under-Represented Managers Get Funded
Oct 5, 2020 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Black female founders received just $250M of $130B US VC in 2018
“It is catching up to the hundred and thirty billion dollars that was It was put into venture capital in 2018 in the United States alone, where black women received, I think, two hundred and fifty million of that.”
Arlan Hamilton Oct 5, 2020 ▶ 26:07 20VC: Arlan Hamilton: "We Have Come For Cake, Not The Crumbs", Arlan's Plan To Return $1Bn in 10 Years, Why Arlan Plans To Giveaway or Invest 90% of Her Wealth & What The LP Class Can Do To Ensure More Under-Represented Managers Get Funded
Oct 8, 2020 negative
Opinion
Lawee: Venture capital is overly clubby and white male-oriented
“It's incredibly clubby. And white male oriented. And I don't think that's helping the entrepreneurial world. It's kind of not helping the venture world decision making. So that's the biggest thing. It's also the hardest thing, but it's kind of the biggest thin…”
David Lawee Oct 8, 2020 ▶ 21:00 20VC: CapitalG Founder David Lawee on Why People Overvalue Diversification in Venture, Why Investment Clubs Are More Successful Than Investment Partnerships & How Growth Funds Think About Portfolio Construction, Loss Ratio & Reserves
Oct 12, 2020
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Only five of 50 venture capitalists from the 1995 cohort survived
“In 1995, 96, when I got in, there were about 50 people that entered into venture. And as of several years ago, there were about five of us left. Most of the people were exited out of the business in the first four or five years.”
George Zachary Oct 12, 2020 ▶ 23:51 20VC: CRV's George Zachary on His Relationship To Money and How it has Changed Over Time, Why The Best Founders Have Often Experienced Parental or Home Instability and The Stories Behind Investing in Unicorns; PillPack, Yammer and Udacity
Oct 22, 2020
Disclosure
Stebbings: I suppress personal opinions due to LP and VC pressure
“Actually, I don't say any of them because I'm concerned about how LPs perceive it and how other VCs perceive it.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 22, 2020 ▶ 12:35 20VC: Intercom Founder, Eoghan McCabe on How To Deal with the Weight of Expectation, Having Your Identity Tied To Your Company, How To Be Your Authentic Self Even with Stakeholders & Why There Are No Rules
Oct 29, 2020 negative
Insight
Bad VC board behavior stems from LP pressure and asset illiquidity
“When I've seen sort of bad behavior or weird behavior, I think it often comes down to the fact that VCs are money managers for other people, and it's a bit the same as you get in kind of middle management in companies, that you get people that are under pressu…”
David Helgason Oct 29, 2020 ▶ 19:05 20VC: Unity Founder David Helgason on The Hypergrowth Early Days of Unity, Why Running A Company Is Like A Liberal Art, The Secret To A Successful CEO Transition and What Makes Roelof Botha Such A Special Board Member
Nov 2, 2020 negative
Opinion
Eggers: VCs choose investing because they are notoriously poor people managers
“I think VCs are notorious for being poor people managers. That's why they become VCs and not operating people.”
Barry Eggers Nov 2, 2020 ▶ 17:18 20VC: The Implications of a Biden vs a Trump Administration on Venture and Startups, How The Rise of Rolling Funds, SPACs and Solo Capitalists Will Impact Venture & What We Can Do To Swing the Race Pendulum in VC with Barry Eggers, Founding Partner @ Ligh
Nov 2, 2020 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Eggers: VC firms will collaborate on diversity rather than compete
“I think generally the industry wants to collaborate, and we want to learn from each other as peers to accelerate the industry faster versus treating this as an area of competitive differentiation between firms. So I expect to see a lot more collaboration among…”
Barry Eggers Nov 2, 2020 ▶ 20:34 20VC: The Implications of a Biden vs a Trump Administration on Venture and Startups, How The Rise of Rolling Funds, SPACs and Solo Capitalists Will Impact Venture & What We Can Do To Swing the Race Pendulum in VC with Barry Eggers, Founding Partner @ Ligh
Nov 2, 2020 bearish
Prediction Held up
Eggers: Venture capital will consolidate as capital inflows slow
“And I think over time, we're going to have a consolidation that capital is not going to be as plentiful coming into our industry and the best funds will survive and some won't.”
Barry Eggers Nov 2, 2020 ▶ 15:24 20VC: The Implications of a Biden vs a Trump Administration on Venture and Startups, How The Rise of Rolling Funds, SPACs and Solo Capitalists Will Impact Venture & What We Can Do To Swing the Race Pendulum in VC with Barry Eggers, Founding Partner @ Ligh
Nov 2, 2020 bearish
Insight
Eggers: Buying high and selling higher in venture capital is unsustainable
“In some cases we're buying high and selling higher, but there's only a matter of time while that works.”
Barry Eggers Nov 2, 2020 ▶ 9:42 20VC: The Implications of a Biden vs a Trump Administration on Venture and Startups, How The Rise of Rolling Funds, SPACs and Solo Capitalists Will Impact Venture & What We Can Do To Swing the Race Pendulum in VC with Barry Eggers, Founding Partner @ Ligh
Nov 6, 2020 neutral
Insight
Weinberg: Initial checks drive almost all value in venture returns
“I'm more and more convinced that it kind of doesn't matter. And actually by far the most important thing is did you get into the right great company in the first place? It's the initial check that drives almost all the value.”
Zach Weinberg Nov 6, 2020 ▶ 20:35 20VC: Zach Weinberg on Whether A Company is a Democracy, The Importance of Ownership, The Rise of Pre-Emptive Rounds, Multi-Stage Funds Entering Seed and How he Approaches Both Risk and Personal Capital Allocation
Nov 6, 2020
Insight
Weinberg: Startup liquidity cycle times are now 10 years or longer
“I think the cycle times on these companies are so long. We used to say seven years, but I think it's actually much closer to 10, if not longer.”
Zach Weinberg Nov 6, 2020 ▶ 17:12 20VC: Zach Weinberg on Whether A Company is a Democracy, The Importance of Ownership, The Rise of Pre-Emptive Rounds, Multi-Stage Funds Entering Seed and How he Approaches Both Risk and Personal Capital Allocation
Nov 12, 2020 bullish
Prediction Held up
Levine: Solo Capitalists Will Persist as a Long-Term VC Model
“I think the sole capitalists are here, and I think many of them will continue to be a thing for a long period of time, and it might become a new mode in our industry, a bimodal or trimodal situation”
Daniel Levine Nov 12, 2020 ▶ 26:13 20VC: Accel's Dan Levine on The Current State of Seed & Series A, The Rise of Pre-Emptive Rounds, Solo Capitalists and Multi-Stage Funds Entering Seed & Market, People and Product; What To Prioritise?
Nov 12, 2020 negative
Opinion
Levine: Individual personal branding within a VC partnership hurts firm cohesion
“I'm very nervous anytime somebody tries to develop an individual brand at a venture firm, because I really believe that it's a team sport. I really, really, really fundamentally believe that you need a group and a partnership, and it makes everyone stronger.”
Daniel Levine Nov 12, 2020 ▶ 25:17 20VC: Accel's Dan Levine on The Current State of Seed & Series A, The Rise of Pre-Emptive Rounds, Solo Capitalists and Multi-Stage Funds Entering Seed & Market, People and Product; What To Prioritise?
Nov 19, 2020 positive
Insight
Ohanian: VC diversity is a capitalism issue, not a social justice one
“I would like to see more people doing this job who don't look like you and me, Harry, because I want to make more money because that's actually how we're going to have better things. Like, and this isn't like a social justice argument. This is a, we have 24 ho…”
Alexis Ohanian Nov 19, 2020 ▶ 27:31 20VC: Alexis Ohanian on Why Now Was The Right Time To Start Seven Seven Six, The 2 Very Distinct Types of Deals In Venture & The Unbundling of Social in 2021
Nov 19, 2020 neutral
Insight
Ohanian: VC deals split between consensus access plays and contentious nascent bets
“There's the like intelligence test type deals where, you know, it's a repeat founder, really strong, obvious market. Maybe they're just taking a second swing at the thing they had done before. So you know, they're capable. You've worked with them before. Like …”
Alexis Ohanian Nov 19, 2020 ▶ 21:38 20VC: Alexis Ohanian on Why Now Was The Right Time To Start Seven Seven Six, The 2 Very Distinct Types of Deals In Venture & The Unbundling of Social in 2021
Nov 19, 2020 neutral
Insight
Ohanian: Venture capital is fundamentally an NPS and service business
“Doing this job well is about service. I think most VCs don't realize that they're in the net Promoter score business. And that is really what matters most.”
Alexis Ohanian Nov 19, 2020 ▶ 8:24 20VC: Alexis Ohanian on Why Now Was The Right Time To Start Seven Seven Six, The 2 Very Distinct Types of Deals In Venture & The Unbundling of Social in 2021
Nov 23, 2020 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tavel: Compressed venture timelines will cause suboptimal board relationships
“Rounds are just happening so quickly right now, and to use the analogy I used before of speed dating, it just feels like It used to be that a round would happen over the course of a couple weeks, but now I just see things happening in a few days, and it is the…”
Sarah Tavel Nov 23, 2020 ▶ 32:17 20VC: Benchmark's Sarah Tavel on Why Chasing GMV Will Lead To The Wrong Direction, The 2 Crucial Tipping Points For Marketplace Adoption, Why UGC Plays Are Like Marketplaces & How To Determine Between Existential and Non-Existential Risk
Nov 30, 2020 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tenev: Startups no longer need Silicon Valley proximity for VC or hiring
“You no longer need proximity to venture capital to get your project funded. You don't need proximity to existing companies to be able to hire talent.”
Vlad Tenev Nov 30, 2020 ▶ 30:39 20VC: Robinhood Founder Vlad Tenev on The Single Most Important Thing Leadership is Responsible For, How To Manage Fear and Self-Doubt as a Leader & The Future of Fintech; Bundled or Unbundled
Dec 7, 2020
Insight
Venture capitalists should serve on a maximum of 10 to 12 boards
“Venture capital should really be only on a maximum of, call it, 10 to 12 boards as a way of kind of working on them for these kind of commercial boards.”
Reid Hoffman Dec 7, 2020 ▶ 36:16 20VC: Reid Hoffman on Investing in Airbnb and Passing on Stripe, The Different Styles of Truly Great Leaders, How To Think Through Ownership and Price in Venture & How To Ensure Venture Partnerships Always Have Trust and a Learning Mindset
Dec 21, 2020 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
AngelList data shows more check-writers leads to more founders and innovation
“Is that when you have more VCs in the ecosystem, you actually do get more innovation, which I know is against what most VCs think, but we're actually seeing it play out in our data that when you have more people writing checks, you actually end up getting more…”
Avlok Kohli Dec 21, 2020 ▶ 12:41 20VC: Why the Theory of Pro-Rata is Often False, How Rolling Funds Impact Both Pricing and Competition & The Biggest Lessons from Working with Jack Dorsey with Avlok Kohli, CEO @ AngelList Venture
Dec 21, 2020 positive
Insight
Rolling funds operate as high-resolution fundraising tools that democratize venture capital
“Rolling funds enable capital to flow to more VCs who fund the tech innovation. And before rolling funds, managers would have to raise capital through closed networks. Now, all you need is a tweet and a fund, and the network just comes to you. And really, rolli…”
Avlok Kohli Dec 21, 2020 ▶ 11:52 20VC: Why the Theory of Pro-Rata is Often False, How Rolling Funds Impact Both Pricing and Competition & The Biggest Lessons from Working with Jack Dorsey with Avlok Kohli, CEO @ AngelList Venture
Dec 28, 2020
Insight
Clark: Former operators in VC miss operational control after two years
“The other hump comes around two years in where most people after, you know, long operating careers, it's kind of a relief not to have to like drive and make decisions every day and be in that machine. But after a couple of years for a lot of people, that charm…”
Quentin Clark Dec 28, 2020 ▶ 16:01 20VC: Lessons From Working with Bill Gates, How To Lead Without Authority and The Difference Between Leadership and Management & How Fundraising Changes In A COVID World with Quentin Clark, Managing Director @ General Catalyst
Dec 28, 2020
Insight
Clark: Former operators face schedule shock six months into venture capital
“The two spots are kind of six months in and two years in. At the six month in mark, it's kind of, what am I doing exactly? Especially for a lot of people that come into venture, they show up for their first Monday or whatever, and they literally have nothing t…”
Quentin Clark Dec 28, 2020 ▶ 15:06 20VC: Lessons From Working with Bill Gates, How To Lead Without Authority and The Difference Between Leadership and Management & How Fundraising Changes In A COVID World with Quentin Clark, Managing Director @ General Catalyst
Jan 4, 2021 neutral
Insight
Gurley: There is no such thing as conservative venture capital
“And so there's no such thing as conservative venture. You don't take your cards off the table and maximize return. It never works, and so you're forced to, you know, I've used this phrase before, but play the game on the field.”
Bill Gurley Jan 4, 2021 ▶ 5:07 20VC: Bill Gurley and Howard Marks: What Happened In 2020? What Can We Expect Looking Forward to 2021?
Jan 25, 2021 negative
Insight
Libin: Early-stage VC incentives force startups to take damaging shortcuts
“The incentives are when you're investing, especially if you're doing early stage investing, just like me, you're not looking for things that are likely to succeed, right? You're looking for things that have a plausible chance of succeeding, even if it's not a …”
Phil Libin Jan 25, 2021 ▶ 8:14 20VC: Evernote & mmhmm Founder Phil Libin on Why We are Beginning a Multi-Trillion Dollar Restructuring of the World, Why Shortcuts are the Biggest Mistakes Startups Make & The Future of Video and The Unbundling of Zoom
Feb 4, 2021 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Fishner-Wolfson: Top-quartile VC funds will continue outperforming other asset classes
“So, you know, you could still see compression across everything, but I think on a relative basis, you know, the top quartile of venture will continue to perform or outperform, you know, the other asset classes.”
Justin Fishner-Wolfson Feb 4, 2021 ▶ 31:18 20VC: Why VCs Should Care More About Cost of Capital and Less About Ownership, Investing Lessons from working with Peter Thiel at Founders Fund, Why Liquidity Aligns Incentives Between Founders and Investors & Why It Is The Last Double That Matters in Ven
Feb 15, 2021 positive
Disclosure
Reber has reinvested 50% of his personal wealth into venture capital
“I have actually, I think I've taken 50% of my personal wealth and reinvested it into venture capital by investing into funds and startups.”
Christian Reber Feb 15, 2021 ▶ 12:25 20VC: Wunderlist & Pitch Founder, Christian Reber on His Personal Relationship with Risk, Money, Whether the Sale to Microsoft was a Mistake, What Great Product Designs Means Today & Why Founders Investing External Capital is a Distraction
Feb 18, 2021 negative
Opinion
Wallace: Venture capital is a boring industry that has never been disrupted
“VC is a pretty boring industry. Talk about an industry that's never been disrupted, right?”
Brendan Wallace Feb 18, 2021 ▶ 10:59 20VC Special: The Real Estate Fintech OGs on Why This Is Not The End For The Bay Area and What Can Be Done To Solve It, The Pros and Cons of Working with Corporate Investors and How Leading Their Teams Has Fundamentally Changed in a COVID World
Feb 18, 2021 neutral
Assertion Supported
Wallace: Corporate investors now account for 45% of all venture capital dollars
“Corporate investors represent 45% of all dollars into venture capital.”
Brendan Wallace Feb 18, 2021 ▶ 37:19 20VC Special: The Real Estate Fintech OGs on Why This Is Not The End For The Bay Area and What Can Be Done To Solve It, The Pros and Cons of Working with Corporate Investors and How Leading Their Teams Has Fundamentally Changed in a COVID World
Feb 18, 2021 negative
Insight
Simkoff: VCs resist specialization because they hate extinguishing option value
“The one thing VCs hate is extinguishing option value. So, like, when you're in a meeting with them, you're like, what's your typical investment size? Well, we do Series B and C. You're like, oh, we're looking for And they're like, oh, we do seed investments to…”
Max Simkoff Feb 18, 2021 ▶ 6:51 20VC Special: The Real Estate Fintech OGs on Why This Is Not The End For The Bay Area and What Can Be Done To Solve It, The Pros and Cons of Working with Corporate Investors and How Leading Their Teams Has Fundamentally Changed in a COVID World
Mar 8, 2021 positive
Insight
Ek: Venture capital timeline constraints prevent endless startup pivoting
“I would say generally speaking, I think where the industry has netted out has been good, right? Because if you had unlimited amounts of funding in a limited amount of timeline, it's very likely that you would just pivot, pivot, pivot, and actually never ship a…”
Daniel Ek Mar 8, 2021 ▶ 31:00 20VC: Spotify Founder Daniel Ek on Optimising Decision-Making, Structuring Effective Learning Processes, The Trials and Tribulations in The Transition From Founder To CEO & The Future of Building Prima Materia with Shakil Khan
Mar 11, 2021 negative
Insight
Sandell: VC differentiation is harder as competitors push absurd valuations
“At the simplest level, it's harder and harder to differentiate yourself as a venture capitalist when people will come along and offer valuations that might be, in your mind, sort of absurd, and so we've been facing this challenge now for a number of years, but…”
Scott Sandell Mar 11, 2021 ▶ 7:05 20VC: NEA's Scott Sandell on SPACS and Why Liquidity is One of the Challenges of our Time, Why We Are At An Inflection Point For Secondaries & Why There Is Nothing To Suggest The Boom Will Not Continue
Mar 11, 2021
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sandell: Only a few VC jobs existed annually in 1996
“There were only a few jobs available in the whole industry in a given year.”
Scott Sandell Mar 11, 2021 ▶ 3:22 20VC: NEA's Scott Sandell on SPACS and Why Liquidity is One of the Challenges of our Time, Why We Are At An Inflection Point For Secondaries & Why There Is Nothing To Suggest The Boom Will Not Continue
Mar 29, 2021
Insight
Fenton: Believing You Mastered VC Destroys Your Capacity to Perform
“The minute you think that you figured it out and that you've mastered it, you've shut down your capacity to do it effectively.”
Peter Fenton Mar 29, 2021 ▶ 28:33 20VC: Benchmark's Peter Fenton on The Single Question That Defines The Art of Early Stage Venture, Marketing Timing Risk, Why The Oversupply of Capital Is Good & His Biggest Lessons from 12 Years On The New Relic Board
Apr 15, 2021 positive
Disclosure
Foster met select VCs quarterly to preserve fundraising options without pitching
“I did want to be in a position where we could do that quickly, and so I just sort of set up a, like, simple calendar where I said, you know, hey, One Friday, every quarter, I'm gonna, like, go snag lunch with somebody, or I'm gonna jump on a Zoom call with som…”
Wade Foster Apr 15, 2021 ▶ 24:23 20VC: Scaling Zapier To $140M ARR and a $5Bn Valuation on $1.4M of Funding, What Founders Misunderstand About Fundraising & How Founders Should Think About Secondaries Today with Wade Foster, Founder & CEO @ Zapier
Apr 19, 2021 positive
Insight
David Sze: VCs should back category leaders over second-best alternatives
“If you think that the best company is Is this other company, and you believe that the economic rents and returns will accrue to that winner, then you should really go and back that company.”
David Sze Apr 19, 2021 ▶ 9:03 20VC: Greylock's David Sze on His Biggest Lessons Working with Mark Zuckerberg and Reid Hoffman, The Rise of Pre-Emptive Rounds, How To Think Through Price Discipline Today and How Truly Strong Venture Partnerships Function
Apr 19, 2021 positive
Insight
David Sze: Domain-focused VC investors must be stage-agnostic
“The business was becoming very specialized and much more focused, and so I was pushing to say, we need to have people that have expertise in a domain, and as a result, if you're going to narrow down your domain focus, we need to have to give them the freedom t…”
David Sze Apr 19, 2021 ▶ 7:47 20VC: Greylock's David Sze on His Biggest Lessons Working with Mark Zuckerberg and Reid Hoffman, The Rise of Pre-Emptive Rounds, How To Think Through Price Discipline Today and How Truly Strong Venture Partnerships Function
Apr 26, 2021 positive
Insight
Conrad: High modern VC valuations enable founders to build ambitious compound startups
“Part of why everyone said five years ago, you have to focus, focus, focus, is that was the reality. That was the sort of bite-sized chunk of risk and product that investors were willing to fund. And now in this new world where unicorn rounds are the new series…”
Parker Conrad Apr 26, 2021 ▶ 9:14 20VC: Rippling's Parker Conrad on Why The VC/Founder Marriage Analogy is Weird, Why The Notion of Focus, Focus, Focus is Overrated, Why Narrow Point Solutions Are Not Best in Class Products & The Rise of the "Compound Startup"
Apr 26, 2021 negative
Opinion
Conrad: Comparing founder-VC relationships to a marriage is weird
“The marriage thing is weird. Like, I mean, I think about the relationship that I have with my wife, and it's very different from the relationship that I have with my investors.”
Parker Conrad Apr 26, 2021 ▶ 24:15 20VC: Rippling's Parker Conrad on Why The VC/Founder Marriage Analogy is Weird, Why The Notion of Focus, Focus, Focus is Overrated, Why Narrow Point Solutions Are Not Best in Class Products & The Rise of the "Compound Startup"
Apr 29, 2021 negative
Insight
Fralic: Increasing Early-Stage VC Ownership Post-Initial Round Is Way Harder
“I think it's way harder for everything you mentioned, and there's so much more capital that's around so many more firms. Again, like, I think Roblox was unique in being under the radar company for so long, whereas anything that's got traction and visibility wi…”
Chris Fralic Apr 29, 2021 ▶ 11:29 20VC: The Roblox Memo: First Round's Chris Fralic on The 17 Year Journey to Build a $41BN Market Cap Company, Why It Is Way Harder To Increase Ownership Across Rounds Today & What Happens Post SPACMania
May 4, 2021 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Tisch: VCs selling Shopify at IPO missed 100x post-public upside
“If you had sold Shopify when they went public, you left like a hundred X on the table. So don't sell Shopify. If you own Shopify as a VC, when they go public that you missed the actual bigger set of upside in that company.”
David Tisch May 4, 2021 ▶ 29:56 20VC: David Tisch on Why Ownership in Venture Does Not Matter, His Biggest Investing Misses and Hits and How His Investing Style Changed as a Result & 3 Core Reasons VCs Pass That Do Not Make Sense
May 4, 2021 negative
Insight
Tisch: VC returns depend on outlier companies, not rigid ownership targets
“Every VC's math works if you fund great companies. And so it's not about this, like, ownership threshold.”
David Tisch May 4, 2021 ▶ 6:21 20VC: David Tisch on Why Ownership in Venture Does Not Matter, His Biggest Investing Misses and Hits and How His Investing Style Changed as a Result & 3 Core Reasons VCs Pass That Do Not Make Sense
May 24, 2021 negative
Opinion
Morris: Venture capital is full of boring people with identical backgrounds
“There's a lot of really boring people in it, Harry. I want people that, you know, quirky, funny, orthogonal, stimulating, thinking people. You know, I'd love to see more of that. So many of us come from this classic, went to business school, strategy consultin…”
Nigel Morris May 24, 2021 ▶ 39:05 20VC: Why Bundling Does Not Work, How The Best Founders Analyse Unit Economics, Why The Way We Approach Mental Health in Venture and Startups is Wrong with Nigel Morris, Co-Founder & Managing Partner @ QED Investors
May 24, 2021 neutral
Insight
Nigel Morris: Venture capital is about extracting signal from minimal data
“Venture is about extracting enormous signal out of very little data.”
Nigel Morris May 24, 2021 ▶ 12:02 20VC: Why Bundling Does Not Work, How The Best Founders Analyse Unit Economics, Why The Way We Approach Mental Health in Venture and Startups is Wrong with Nigel Morris, Co-Founder & Managing Partner @ QED Investors
May 24, 2021
Insight
Morris: Growing a 4x return to 5x is easier than saving a 0x
“In venture, it's much easier to turn four X into five X than turn zero X into one X. Clearly mathematically the case.”
Nigel Morris May 24, 2021 ▶ 20:38 20VC: Why Bundling Does Not Work, How The Best Founders Analyse Unit Economics, Why The Way We Approach Mental Health in Venture and Startups is Wrong with Nigel Morris, Co-Founder & Managing Partner @ QED Investors
May 24, 2021
Opinion
Morris: Venture ecosystem is replete with mental health struggles
“Our world of venture, of entrepreneurs, I think is replete with people who are going through these kinds of difficulties, even without COVID”
Nigel Morris May 24, 2021 ▶ 10:32 20VC: Why Bundling Does Not Work, How The Best Founders Analyse Unit Economics, Why The Way We Approach Mental Health in Venture and Startups is Wrong with Nigel Morris, Co-Founder & Managing Partner @ QED Investors
Jun 24, 2021 neutral
Opinion
Mullen: Anyone Can Do VC; the Industry Is Put on a Pedestal
“Oh, that anybody can do this job. I mean I think VC has, is up on this pedestal in some ways, and that it's, there's some sort of secret key to unlock the door to become a VC, and I think you can do it from any type of position.”
Mark Mullen Jun 24, 2021 ▶ 37:57 20VC: Optimising Investment Decision-Making in Compressed Fundraising Timelines & A Deep Dive on Portfolio Construction, Price Sensitivity and The Importance of Ownership with Mark Mullen, Co-Founder @ Bonfire Ventures
Jun 24, 2021
Insight
Mullen: Venture Investing Requires a Barbell Strategy With Liquid Assets
“Ventures illiquid. You kind of end up having a barbell mentality where you have a lot of illiquid investments And then maybe some real liquid stuff, for example, in the stock market or just cash.”
Mark Mullen Jun 24, 2021 ▶ 6:03 20VC: Optimising Investment Decision-Making in Compressed Fundraising Timelines & A Deep Dive on Portfolio Construction, Price Sensitivity and The Importance of Ownership with Mark Mullen, Co-Founder @ Bonfire Ventures
Jul 26, 2021 negative
Insight
Individual deal attribution creates unhealthy political biases in venture firms
“Like it can be easier to bring the wrong biases when it's a deal attached to a person. Like we need brutal honesty as a firm and a kind of no holds barred kind of debates, but you might think about supporting the person behind the deal, which is a nice sentime…”
Nick Shalek Jul 26, 2021 ▶ 21:39 20VC: Ribbit Capital's Nick Shalek on How To Think Through Ownership and Price Sensitivity, When More Money and Pre-Emptive Rounds are Good vs Bad & Investing Lessons from Yale's David Swensen
Jul 26, 2021
Insight
Shalek: Core VC metric is whether top founders choose your firm
“A friend of mine has a theory that any decision or any investment can be whittled down to like One single most important question. And for me in venture capital, that's like, will great entrepreneurs consider working with us? You know, there are lots of good p…”
Nick Shalek Jul 26, 2021 ▶ 8:55 20VC: Ribbit Capital's Nick Shalek on How To Think Through Ownership and Price Sensitivity, When More Money and Pre-Emptive Rounds are Good vs Bad & Investing Lessons from Yale's David Swensen
Jul 26, 2021 positive
Opinion
Shalek: Sector-Focused International Funds Can Succeed in Venture Capital
“Look, the thing that Mickey wanted to do, which was start a sector-focused fund that would invest internationally, it went against everything that I'd learned as an LP about what worked in venture. You know, I told Mickey sector-focused funds don't work, and t…”
Nick Shalek Jul 26, 2021 ▶ 4:45 20VC: Ribbit Capital's Nick Shalek on How To Think Through Ownership and Price Sensitivity, When More Money and Pre-Emptive Rounds are Good vs Bad & Investing Lessons from Yale's David Swensen
Aug 12, 2021
Insight
Stebbings: Top founders do not need VCs for talent recruiting
“I do believe something which a lot of people get angry at me for, and it's that the best founders do not need VCs to help them get talent.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 12, 2021 ▶ 29:27 20VC: The Lyft Memo: Floodgate's Ann Miura Ko on Why Successful Seed Investing Is Not Investing In a Company But The Development of a Set of Secrets, Whether Capital Is a Defensible Moat Today &How Startups Should Approach Competition
Aug 16, 2021 negative
Insight
Szekasy: Local network edges make cross-border VC investing ineffective in distant markets
“We believe that the fact that we have been around for 20 years gives us an edge on many dimensions, where one degree of separation from anything that a founder might need might argue that we could not be successful VCs in Indonesia, for example.”
Nicolas Szekasy Aug 16, 2021 ▶ 21:44 20VC LATAM: LATAM's Largest Fund, Kaszek Ventures on Scaling from $100M to $1BN, Why Capital is not a Source of Moat & Why LATAM is More Than Copycat Companies with Nicolas Szekasy, Co-Founder @ Kaszek Ventures
Aug 16, 2021 negative
Insight
Diplomacy Makes No Sense in Venture Capital Founder Relationships
“We don't think that diplomacy is something that makes any sense in our industry, but you do that very respectfully, and then you tell the team, this is your opinion, this is your view, but the team makes the decision.”
Nicolas Szekasy Aug 16, 2021 ▶ 22:45 20VC LATAM: LATAM's Largest Fund, Kaszek Ventures on Scaling from $100M to $1BN, Why Capital is not a Source of Moat & Why LATAM is More Than Copycat Companies with Nicolas Szekasy, Co-Founder @ Kaszek Ventures
Aug 26, 2021
Insight
Rotman: Initial check size determines long-term VC fund ownership
“The challenge in venture today is that that initial check that you write almost sets the stage. For how much ownership you're going to have in the future, unless you are an extreme value added venture capitalist, a player where the founders, the other investor…”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 31:33 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021
Insight
Rotman: Venture capital is easy to do poorly, hard to do well
“I find this job a very easy job to do poorly and a very difficult job to do well.”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 39:58 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021
Insight
Rotman: VCs must be more thoughtful per decision due to higher stakes
“The conviction that you have to have around the decisions that you make are different. You have to be much more thoughtful about each and every decision that you make. Because you make fewer of them, and they have bigger consequences.”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 6:55 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 26, 2021 negative
Opinion
Frank Rotman prefers operating over venture capital due to immediate feedback
“I will say that there's a part of me that likes being an operator more than being a VC because of the feedback loop, but you do eventually get used to it, and you figure out how to operate with very long cycle feedback loops.”
Frank Rotman Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 7:05 20VC: Has Price Discipline Disappeared? Is it Possible to Build Ownership Over Time? Why Venture Is Less Collaborative Now Than Ever? How fast Do Breakout Companies Become Obvious? How To Construct an Optimised and Repeatable Investment Decision-Making Pr
Aug 30, 2021 positive
Opinion
Claure: SoftBank disrupted venture capital just like Uber disrupted taxi drivers
“The same way Uber disrupted the taxi drivers, we disrupted the venture capital industry. While people used to write these small checks, we suddenly showed up with a hundred billion dollars, and we disrupted the way venture capital works today, and therefore, w…”
Marcelo Claure Aug 30, 2021 ▶ 21:30 20VC: Marcelo Claure, CEO of Softbank Group International on Lessons From Investing $1BN Per Week with Masa Son, How Softbank Could Have Up To 8 Companies Go Public in LATAM Alone Next Year & How Softbank Analyse Both Deal Pricing and Competition Today
Sep 14, 2021 negative
Insight
Leone: Inflated VC valuations distort essential feedback loops for founders
“What founders need is a true feedback type of system. If you build a great product, customers will buy it, valuation will increase, people are going to be interested. But what do you do with founders that build a crappy product, nobody's buying it, and somebod…”
Doug Leone Sep 14, 2021 ▶ 45:14 20VC: Sequoia's Doug Leone on What Has Been Instrumental To Scaling Sequoia Over Generations, How Sequoia Think About International Expansion and What They Learned From China and India & Why When You Lose Pre-Seed You Become Private Equity
Sep 20, 2021
Insight
Hans Tung: Venture investment outcomes take seven to nine years to determine
“And as you know about venture, you don't know exactly what will happen until year seven, year eight, year nine.”
Hans Tung Sep 20, 2021 ▶ 6:27 20VC: Investing Lessons From Rounds In Peloton and Square, Why Great Investing is Stock-Picking and Sector Penetration & The Next Decade in Venture, Is Tiger's The Right Model with Hans Tung, Managing Partner @ GGV Capital
Oct 5, 2021 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Levy predicts unprincipled venture capitalists will be ejected from the ecosystem
“So I think that's also the future of our business. I think a lot of the jerks get ejected from the system because you're going to call around and people are going to say that guy, Anton, you don't want to work with him.”
Anton Levy Oct 5, 2021 ▶ 34:18 20VC: The Two Largest Changes in the Investing Market Today, Why The Scarce Resource in Venture is Access & Why Investors Are Acting Mostly Rational and Upside Scenario Planning Needs To Change with Anton Levy, Co-President @ General Atlantic
Oct 11, 2021
Insight
Successful venture capitalists are obsessives lacking intellectual balance
“The people who succeed in this business, and this is not an endorsement, this is an observation, are not normal. They don't have incredible balance. And so they may like make good time for family and good time for health and working out and may put vacations o…”
Chris Sacca Oct 11, 2021 ▶ 38:01 20VC: Chris Sacca on Coming Out of Retirement To Unf**k The Planet with Lowercarbon, How Chris Evaluates His Relationship To Money Today, Why We Have Bred a Generation of Ass**** Kids, Do VCs Provide Any Real Value and The True Unfiltered Opinion on Faceb
Nov 4, 2021 negative
Opinion
Only a very small percentage of VCs add value beyond capital
“A very small percentage do. Don't believe most add any value beyond capital, but I'm partial because I think my investors do a stellar job of that.”
Ryan Denehy Nov 4, 2021 ▶ 29:15 20VC Unscripted: Pricing is Crazy, Pre-Emptive Rounds are Normal, Pricing at 200x Revenue Multiple is Common, There is More Cash Than Ever. What Happens Next; Market Analysis with Ryan Denehy, Founder and CEO @ Electric
Nov 8, 2021
Assertion Supported
Patterson: VC market is 100 times larger today than in 1980
“Today, the business is two orders of magnitude, what it was in those days. It's just, everybody knew everybody in those days, and today it's two orders of magnitude.”
Arthur Patterson Nov 8, 2021 ▶ 4:27 20VC Special: Accel Founders Arthur Patterson and Jim Swartz on Building Accel Into One of the Most Prominent Venture Firms Over Four Decades, How Today's Market Compares To The Dot Com Bubble, How To Do Generational Transition Well and Why Accel Will Nev
Nov 11, 2021 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Every Founders Fund partner operates an independent investment strategy
“Everybody at Founders Fund runs their own strategy, and my strategy is very different from even everybody else's at Founders Fund, let alone other VCs.”
Brian Singerman Nov 11, 2021 ▶ 5:20 20VC: The Anduril Memo: Founders Fund's Brian Singerman on What Makes Palmer Luckey One of the Greatest Innovators in History, Why It Is BS The DOD Do Not Want To Work With Silicon Valley & Why in Venture You Have To Play A Different Game to the Hedge Fun
Nov 15, 2021 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zaki: Private equity firms like Blackstone may enter VC by acquiring startups outright
“Maybe the Blackstone start to come to this world and they just offer to buy these companies outright.”
Kareem Zaki Nov 15, 2021 ▶ 13:24 20VC: Thrive Capital's Kareem Zaki on The One Rule That Drives Investment Decision-Making and Focus at Thrive, Why Every Large Institution Will Enter Venture Capital Over the Next Decade and How To Create a Firm Culture That Attracts The Best Young Talent
Nov 15, 2021 negative
Insight
Zaki: Historical venture capital success was largely passive
“There's just been a ton of passive success in the industry. So many funds enjoyed success because they happen to live in the epicenter of the greatest boom of entrepreneurial success the world has ever seen.”
Kareem Zaki Nov 15, 2021 ▶ 11:32 20VC: Thrive Capital's Kareem Zaki on The One Rule That Drives Investment Decision-Making and Focus at Thrive, Why Every Large Institution Will Enter Venture Capital Over the Next Decade and How To Create a Firm Culture That Attracts The Best Young Talent
Nov 15, 2021 positive
Prediction Held up
Zaki: Every major asset manager will compete in venture capital
“And so every asset manager is going to come compete in space. Because it's not about they like tech or they think tech's interesting. It's just a good business now to be investing behind.”
Kareem Zaki Nov 15, 2021 ▶ 11:13 20VC: Thrive Capital's Kareem Zaki on The One Rule That Drives Investment Decision-Making and Focus at Thrive, Why Every Large Institution Will Enter Venture Capital Over the Next Decade and How To Create a Firm Culture That Attracts The Best Young Talent
Nov 29, 2021 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Foroughi: VCs universally avoided gaming and advertising investments in 2012
“Well, in 2012, everyone hated gaming, and everyone hated advertising.”
Adam Foroughi Nov 29, 2021 ▶ 7:17 20VC: AppLovin's Co-Founder & CEO, Adam Foroughi on How AppLovin Might Be The Venture Capital Industry's Biggest Miss, How To Run a 1,000+ Organisation with Very Few Meetings & Balancing the Demands of Wall St with Long Term, Sustainable Growth
Dec 6, 2021
Insight
Gurley: Real VC risk is missing a winner, not losing $10M
“When I think back on that or any of the other misses, there's just this failure to imagine how high is up and to recognize that the risk is really missing it rather than losing ten million dollars.”
Bill Gurley Dec 6, 2021 ▶ 35:52 20VC: Bill Gurley and Michael Eisenberg on The First Signs of an Impending Bust, What Happens with a Market Crash, How Do Public Markets Impact Private Valuations & The Biggest Lessons from 20 Years Investing in Venture
Dec 6, 2021 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Eisenberg: Nineties VC Was Concentrated Solely in Silicon Valley and Israel
“Venture capital was decidedly a Silicon Valley and Israel, candidly, investment theme in the late nineties. You almost didn't see it anywhere else at the time. You know, New York wasn't a thing. London certainly wasn't a thing, and it wasn't China yet to the b…”
Michael Eisenberg Dec 6, 2021 ▶ 5:34 20VC: Bill Gurley and Michael Eisenberg on The First Signs of an Impending Bust, What Happens with a Market Crash, How Do Public Markets Impact Private Valuations & The Biggest Lessons from 20 Years Investing in Venture
Dec 6, 2021 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gurley: Claims of Disrupting Traditional Venture Capital Have Been Proven False
“I think this whole notion that you're going to disrupt and fundamentally take over the business has just been proven false over and over again. AngelList is awesome, but it's not 20% of the industry, you know. Andreessen said, we're going to completely, you kn…”
Bill Gurley Dec 6, 2021 ▶ 43:52 20VC: Bill Gurley and Michael Eisenberg on The First Signs of an Impending Bust, What Happens with a Market Crash, How Do Public Markets Impact Private Valuations & The Biggest Lessons from 20 Years Investing in Venture
Jan 20, 2022
Insight
Sacca: Successful venture capitalists are obsessive, not balanced
“Look, the people who succeed in this business, and this is not an endorsement, this is an observation, are not normal. Like they don't have incredible balance. And so they may like make good time for family and good time for health and working out and may put …”
Chris Sacca Jan 20, 2022 ▶ 39:44 Chris Sacca's True Unfiltered Opinion on Facebook and Softbank | Full Interview · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 21, 2022 positive
Opinion
Partovi: The 'us versus them' founder-VC dynamic is unhealthy and false
“If there was one thing I would change, it's the us versus them attitude between founders and VCs. It's, I touched on this just earlier. I think it's just false. You know, it's an unhealthy, false implication that these are two different species, or that the go…”
Ali Partovi Jan 21, 2022 ▶ 35:52 20VC: How I Lost a $125M Deal with Yahoo by Being Too Honest, The M&A Meeting with Steve Jobs That Did Not Go Well and How U2's Bono Saved The Day For One Tech Startup with Ali Partovi, CEO @ Neo
Jan 21, 2022 negative
Opinion
Partovi: Most venture capitalists are not good at recruiting for founders
“Most VCs are not good at that, and regardless, I don't want anyone, including myself, to be a crutch.”
Ali Partovi Jan 21, 2022 ▶ 9:05 20VC: How I Lost a $125M Deal with Yahoo by Being Too Honest, The M&A Meeting with Steve Jobs That Did Not Go Well and How U2's Bono Saved The Day For One Tech Startup with Ali Partovi, CEO @ Neo
Feb 14, 2022 negative
Opinion
Geoff Lewis: Only about a dozen VCs globally actually add value
“I think that some do. And by some, I mean maybe a dozen or so. And so I think there's probably a dozen VCs that you could say are actually value added.”
Geoff Lewis Feb 14, 2022 ▶ 12:41 20VC: Bedrock's Geoff Lewis on Whether VCs Actually Provide Value or Not, Why Bedrock Does Not Have An Ownership Focus and The Difference Between Principles and Rules When Building a Firm or Company
Feb 14, 2022 negative
Insight
Geoff Lewis: The best companies do not fit pre-existing patterns
“But I do believe that there's a pattern match thing in venture capital. And I think there's some value to that, but the best companies just don't fit any preexisting patterns is what I've found.”
Geoff Lewis Feb 14, 2022 ▶ 12:17 20VC: Bedrock's Geoff Lewis on Whether VCs Actually Provide Value or Not, Why Bedrock Does Not Have An Ownership Focus and The Difference Between Principles and Rules When Building a Firm or Company
Feb 23, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kareem Zaki: The era of passive venture capital success is ending
“If you don't compete, I think this era of passive success because you're at the right place at the right time is starting to shift away.”
Kareem Zaki Feb 23, 2022 ▶ 15:41 The Tiger Global Memo: From Sequoia Capital to Benchmark and Thrive: The World's Best on the Rise of Tiger Global
Mar 1, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sahil Bloom predicts mid-sized venture funds will face severe survival pressure
“The middle of this landscape that exists here is going to be challenged. And I think what it leads to is maybe not the death of the middle. It's going to be a survival of the fittest though, where they have to, and will be forced to figure out what their true …”
Sahil Bloom Mar 1, 2022 ▶ 13:16 How I Built a Twitter Audience of 500K+ in 18 Months | Sahil Bloom Full Interview · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 28, 2022
Insight
Lieberman: Learning from failure is much easier than learning from success
“I think it's much, much easier to learn from failure than from success.”
Jeff Lieberman Mar 28, 2022 ▶ 29:31 20VC: Lessons Scaling Insight Partners to a $20BN Latest Fund, The Two Biggest Learnings on Price, How to Manage and Train Young People in Venture, Why Business Classrooms Do Not Work and How to Assess the Two Commodities in Life; Money and Time with Jeff
Mar 28, 2022 bearish
Prediction Held up
Lieberman: VC industry's 50% returns are ridiculous, unsustainable, and will mean revert
“50% returns I read this weekend across the industry. Like, as an industry, that's ridiculous. Massively unsustainable. We're not all that smart. We're not all that good, including myself. It's not possible. So there's clearly something going on, and there'll b…”
Jeff Lieberman Mar 28, 2022 ▶ 10:27 20VC: Lessons Scaling Insight Partners to a $20BN Latest Fund, The Two Biggest Learnings on Price, How to Manage and Train Young People in Venture, Why Business Classrooms Do Not Work and How to Assess the Two Commodities in Life; Money and Time with Jeff
Apr 8, 2022 negative
Opinion
Liaw: Venture capital has lost sincerity due to a self-congratulatory echo chamber
“I think that, hey, did you hear so-and-so did this seed? And then that becomes the A, and then everyone's like, oh, you're so smart. Like, it's lost some of the sincerity, and that's too bad.”
Eric Liaw Apr 8, 2022 ▶ 35:26 20VC: What Happens To Growth Rounds in this New Environment? Where is the Funding Crunch? How Does This Impact M&A and Going Public? How do Crossover Funds Respond? What Does it Mean For Early Stage and more with Eric Liaw, General Partner @ IVP
Apr 8, 2022 positive
Insight
Liaw: Unprepared introductory pitch meetings with founders are now obsolete
“The idea of, you know, have a first meeting. So tell me about your company and you know nothing like that's a dead meeting. And that's actually great. It saves time, saves the entrepreneurs time so they can get back to running their companies and doing the bus…”
Eric Liaw Apr 8, 2022 ▶ 23:16 20VC: What Happens To Growth Rounds in this New Environment? Where is the Funding Crunch? How Does This Impact M&A and Going Public? How do Crossover Funds Respond? What Does it Mean For Early Stage and more with Eric Liaw, General Partner @ IVP
Apr 8, 2022
Insight
Liaw: Early-stage venture is about picking; late-stage is about access
“I think at earlier in seed stages, I think there's Probably more picking going on. I think that those stages companies need capital or else they're likely to die. Capital is more like a necessity. I think as you get much, much later sort of companies that are …”
Eric Liaw Apr 8, 2022 ▶ 6:49 20VC: What Happens To Growth Rounds in this New Environment? Where is the Funding Crunch? How Does This Impact M&A and Going Public? How do Crossover Funds Respond? What Does it Mean For Early Stage and more with Eric Liaw, General Partner @ IVP
Apr 11, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Garg: Mid-tier venture firms face severe disruption from on-chain capital competition
“The people I think should be worried are if you're like VC firm, 15 through 1000, right? Like I think you get disrupted because capital, as it becomes a commodity, if you're a venture firm, 25 and you're like not breaking the top decile in terms of returns, An…”
Avichal Garg Apr 11, 2022 ▶ 21:55 20VC: Why Crypto is Software Eating Money, Why Crypto Firms Will Outcompete Traditional Venture Firms, How To Price Tokens and When To Have Them, DAOs: How Are They Structured and What Makes One Successful with Avichal Garg, Co-Founder @ Electric Capital
Apr 11, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Garg: Crypto will eat capital markets and venture capital
“Crypto is also going to eat capital markets, right, which is the deployment of money and the deployment of capital. And if crypto is going to eat capital markets, it's going to eat venture capital.”
Avichal Garg Apr 11, 2022 ▶ 12:12 20VC: Why Crypto is Software Eating Money, Why Crypto Firms Will Outcompete Traditional Venture Firms, How To Price Tokens and When To Have Them, DAOs: How Are They Structured and What Makes One Successful with Avichal Garg, Co-Founder @ Electric Capital
Apr 25, 2022
Insight
Stebbings: Sending VCs three relevant deals monthly for six months gets hires
“Show the freemium version of yourself. Like, choose five VCs that you want to work with. Like, all of our portfolios are very public. Understand the type of deals they like, and for six months, send them three deals every single month. And after six months, Di…”
Harry Stebbings Apr 25, 2022 ▶ 28:32 20VC: Why You Should Think Twice Before Taking Multi-Stage Money at Seed, Why Venture Has Never Been Less Collaborative, How Becoming a Parent Made Me a Better Investor and Why We Should Be Optimistic About the Future of Diversity in Venture with Deena Sh
Apr 25, 2022 negative
Opinion
Stebbings: Venture capital is less collaborative than ever before
“I think venture's less collaborative than ever before.”
Harry Stebbings Apr 25, 2022 ▶ 9:56 20VC: Why You Should Think Twice Before Taking Multi-Stage Money at Seed, Why Venture Has Never Been Less Collaborative, How Becoming a Parent Made Me a Better Investor and Why We Should Be Optimistic About the Future of Diversity in Venture with Deena Sh
Apr 25, 2022
Insight
Shakir: Aspiring VCs should pitch specific deals instead of asking to network
“So rather than asking for someone's time, for the love of God, please don't ask me to freaking pick my brain, which reminds me of the COVID test stick going up. I mean, that is like the worst words you can hear. Tell me something interesting. Tell me is a comp…”
Deena Shakir Apr 25, 2022 ▶ 27:58 20VC: Why You Should Think Twice Before Taking Multi-Stage Money at Seed, Why Venture Has Never Been Less Collaborative, How Becoming a Parent Made Me a Better Investor and Why We Should Be Optimistic About the Future of Diversity in Venture with Deena Sh
May 6, 2022 negative
Insight
Lemkin: Pass on Founders Lacking 20-Year Commitment
“My rule is, and I've made this mistake since, don't invest. No matter how much you love, you can love them as humans. They can be doing very well. But if you don't have this crazy 20 year commitment to building something huge, it's hard to make money in ventur…”
Jason Lemkin May 6, 2022 ▶ 5:40 20VC: Why the Traditional Seed Fund Model No Longer Works, Why Multi-Stage Funds Investing at Seed Bring Signaling Risk but also Less Pressure, The One Criteria All Potential Sales Hires Need to Have and The Clear Signs of 10x Sales Hires with Jason Lemki
May 6, 2022
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: First meetings in venture and enterprise sales are no longer in person
“And I think the biggest change in venture and enterprise sales, because they're similar venture and enterprise sales actually have some similarities to them is that those first meetings are no longer done in person.”
Jason Lemkin May 6, 2022 ▶ 43:05 20VC: Why the Traditional Seed Fund Model No Longer Works, Why Multi-Stage Funds Investing at Seed Bring Signaling Risk but also Less Pressure, The One Criteria All Potential Sales Hires Need to Have and The Clear Signs of 10x Sales Hires with Jason Lemki
May 9, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Grinda: Annual Venture Capital Deployment Tripled From $50B to $150B
“It used to be venture capital was fifty billion a year, and all of a sudden it became a hundred fifty billion a year, right?”
Fabrice Grinda May 9, 2022 ▶ 23:04 20VC: WTF Is Going On? 3 Outcomes for What Could Happen From Here; What Needs to Happen To Avoid Recession? Why Stagnation is Most Likely and What This Means for Startups and Venture & Why Catastrophe is More Likely Than Ever and Switzerland Could Be a "H
May 16, 2022
Assertion Partly supported
Fialkow built a multi-hundred million dollar travel company without VC funding
“We built a business with several hundred million dollar business without ever having to raise venture capital.”
David Fialkow May 16, 2022 ▶ 4:16 20VC: The Founding of General Catalyst, What it Takes to Build a Firm That Stands the Test of Time, Why VCs Need to Give Founders Greater Permission to Go For It & Why Venture Capital is Like Tennis with David Fialkow, Co-Founder @ General Catalyst
May 21, 2022 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Fabrice Grinda notes annual US seed deals expanded from 5,000 to 20,000
“There used to be 5000 seed funded startups per year in the U.S. That would raise 500 K or more. And last two years, it was almost 20,000. So we tripled, we more than tripled, I mean, it was over 15,000. It was between 15 and 20,000. So we tripled or quadrupled…”
Fabrice Grinda May 21, 2022 ▶ 24:43 Fabrice Grinda: The First Person to Predict the Collapse of Credit Suisse? | 20VC #886 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 24, 2022 negative
Insight
Zeev: LPs face no competitive consequences for moving slowly
“I think that it's an extremely non-competitive space. I'm talking about the LPs now, because generally speaking, like, When you're a VC, you're competing for a deal. If you don't move fast enough, if you're not attracted enough to the, for the founders, they'l…”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 30:12 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 27, 2022
Insight
Senkut: Venture capital cannot scale without 100x to 1000x return bets
“Because if you don't get that hundred X or thousand X type of bets, you know, like, this is not a business that's gonna scale with, like, just two, three X type of investments, if you know what I mean.”
Aydin Senkut May 27, 2022 ▶ 37:58 Aydin Senkut: How I Scaled from a $4M Angel Fund to $900M AUM | 20VC #890 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 27, 2022
Insight
Senkut: The ideal VC fund portfolio size is 40 to 50 companies
“I really do think that in venture, the ideal size is around 40, 50 companies and not 20.”
Aydin Senkut May 27, 2022 ▶ 14:41 Aydin Senkut: How I Scaled from a $4M Angel Fund to $900M AUM | 20VC #890 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 30, 2022
Insight
Rabois: High entry valuation VC requires active exit management
“Is that if you're going to play the game of high-priced valuation entry, you also need to be good at exiting trades.”
Keith Rabois May 30, 2022 ▶ 10:42 Keith Rabois: The End of Woke Capitalism; Time Allocation Tips; Silicon Valley vs Miami | 20VC #891 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 30, 2022
Insight
Rabois: Spending time on failing startups will not drive VC returns
“In venture it's really tricky because actually in some ways you should rationally allocate your time to your best performing companies. It turned, if you're not careful though, the worst performing companies will, it will require the most of your time. And whi…”
Keith Rabois May 30, 2022 ▶ 13:05 Keith Rabois: The End of Woke Capitalism; Time Allocation Tips; Silicon Valley vs Miami | 20VC #891 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 30, 2022 negative
Opinion
Rabois: Only 5 to 10 VCs actually add value at scale
“There's probably only five to 10 VCs that actually add value at scale.”
Keith Rabois May 30, 2022 ▶ 34:32 Keith Rabois: The End of Woke Capitalism; Time Allocation Tips; Silicon Valley vs Miami | 20VC #891 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 30, 2022 negative
Insight
Rabois: Merely getting money back via liquidation preference is a VC failure
“Like every time you get your money back as a VC, it means you made a mistake in some ways.”
Keith Rabois May 30, 2022 ▶ 11:17 Keith Rabois: The End of Woke Capitalism; Time Allocation Tips; Silicon Valley vs Miami | 20VC #891 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 10, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sanghvi: VCs demanding innovation while operating as legacy firms is 'bullshit'
“You know, I think it's bullshit that VCs ask their companies to innovate when they operate as old school white collar legacy firms.”
Ruchi Sanghvi Jun 10, 2022 ▶ 9:01 Ruchi Sanghvi: My Job Interview with Mark Zuckerberg; Deep Dive on DAOs | 20VC #895 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 27, 2022 positive
Assertion Partly supported
De Rycker: $200B to $400B in VC dry powder remains uninvested
“There is enough dry powder, Harry, right now. I think it's like the numbers are two, three, four hundred billion that is out there in venture capital at the moment in dry powder.”
Sonali De Rycker Jun 27, 2022 ▶ 33:31 Sonali De Rycker | How I Became a Partner at Accel; Type 1 vs. Type 2 Mistakes | 20VC #902 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 27, 2022
Insight
De Rycker: VC outcomes are driven by missing winners, not backing losers
“We all know it's not about the type one mistakes, frankly, it's all about the type two mistakes.”
Sonali De Rycker Jun 27, 2022 ▶ 29:50 Sonali De Rycker | How I Became a Partner at Accel; Type 1 vs. Type 2 Mistakes | 20VC #902 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 27, 2022
Insight
De Rycker: Risks listed in investment memos will eventually materialize
“If something can go wrong, and in a long enough period, it actually might go wrong. So don't just write it down, absorb it, internalize it.”
Sonali De Rycker Jun 27, 2022 ▶ 32:07 Sonali De Rycker | How I Became a Partner at Accel; Type 1 vs. Type 2 Mistakes | 20VC #902 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 29, 2022
Insight
Rabois: VC paper gains are fake returns unless distributed
“The problem for younger VCs over the last three or four, maybe even five years, is with everything inflated, most of that inflation is paper, not real. So unless you were also savvy enough to sell, those are fake returns. Depends on whether you distribute it.”
Keith Rabois Jun 29, 2022 ▶ 9:17 20VC: The Memo: Bill Gurley, Doug Leone, Keith Rabois; Investing Lessons from Prior Busts, How Their Investor Psychology Changed, What Can Be Applied To Today's Market
Jun 29, 2022
Assertion Partly supported
Gurley: VC LP Gains Peak Right Before Major Market Resets
“If you were a LP that had been exposed to venture capital for the past 30 years, it'd be interesting, you would notice that some of your biggest gains were the years right prior to the resets, in like, oh, one and oh, nine.”
Bill Gurley Jun 29, 2022 ▶ 4:02 20VC: The Memo: Bill Gurley, Doug Leone, Keith Rabois; Investing Lessons from Prior Busts, How Their Investor Psychology Changed, What Can Be Applied To Today's Market
Jul 8, 2022 negative
Insight
Chalfen: Most Venture Capitalists Are Bad at Building Firms
“And actually I think a lot of VCs are not good at building firms.”
Mike Chalfen Jul 8, 2022 ▶ 9:20 Mike Chalfen: How to Build Anti-Fragile Venture Portfolios Today | 20VC #904 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 1, 2022 neutral
Insight
Green: Most factors in venture capital are beyond an investor's control
“Certainly in venture, the lion's share of things are out of our control.”
Kirsten Green Aug 1, 2022 ▶ 6:21 Kirsten Green: The Biggest Challenges Scaling Both Teams and AUM | 20VC #912 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 15, 2022 positive
Opinion
Sheel Mohnot: Venture capital is less sharp-elbowed and competitive today
“So I think actually, I think we're less sharp elbow than we used to be.”
Sheel Mohnot Aug 15, 2022 ▶ 22:37 Sheel Mohnot: Lessons from Investing in Flexport and Missing on Robinhood | 20VC #917 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 15, 2022 negative
Opinion
Stebbings: Venture capital has reached an unprecedented level of uncollaborative competition
“I specifically think that venture has never been quite so sharp elbowed, and has never been as uncollaborative.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 15, 2022 ▶ 21:33 Sheel Mohnot: Lessons from Investing in Flexport and Missing on Robinhood | 20VC #917 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 15, 2022 negative
Insight
Mohnot: VC-dependent customer acquisition models create inherently worse businesses
“Businesses that constantly need venture capital dollars to acquire customers just aren't as good businesses.”
Sheel Mohnot Aug 15, 2022 ▶ 31:26 Sheel Mohnot: Lessons from Investing in Flexport and Missing on Robinhood | 20VC #917 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 22, 2022 negative
Insight
Wesley Chan: Dogmatic venture capitalists usually get knocked out quickly
“In fact, the VCs that subscribe to hard and fast rules that have dogma are usually the ones that get knocked out very quickly.”
Wesley Chan Aug 22, 2022 ▶ 28:46 Wesley Chan: How I Created Google Analytics; The Founding Story of Gmail & Canva | 20VC #919 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 30, 2022
Insight
Venture capital has evolved into hyper-personalized offerings for founders
“It's, I think the venture capital world that we live in today is is more akin, we went from a generation, and I, I've made this analogy, that we were in the generation of Broadcast television, right? Where there were only a handful of channels and what you wer…”
Logan Bartlett Aug 30, 2022 ▶ 18:36 Logan Bartlett: WTF is Happening at Growth Stage Investing? | 20VC #920 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 30, 2022 positive
Insight
A disciplined valuation process matters more than the markdowns themselves
“Just having a disciplined structure of how you're doing it, I think is more important than actually taking down the marks themselves.”
Logan Bartlett Aug 30, 2022 ▶ 27:22 Logan Bartlett: WTF is Happening at Growth Stage Investing? | 20VC #920 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 30, 2022 negative
Opinion
Legacy VCs retired rather than adjust to higher market competition
“A lot of very famous investors retire, and I don't blame them at all because the game on the field has definitely changed and it's far more competitive than it was in their day. And you're chasing around people trying to earn the opportunity to invest. And whe…”
Logan Bartlett Aug 30, 2022 ▶ 17:33 Logan Bartlett: WTF is Happening at Growth Stage Investing? | 20VC #920 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 30, 2022 neutral
Opinion
Venture capital institutionalized more in the past five years than previous 25
“Venture has been a pretty cottage asset class, right, for the last, whatever, 30 years, and it's been institutionalized more in the last, you know, five than it had in the previous 25, in my opinion”
Logan Bartlett Aug 30, 2022 ▶ 16:00 Logan Bartlett: WTF is Happening at Growth Stage Investing? | 20VC #920 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 30, 2022 negative
Opinion
VCs maintaining unadjusted peak valuations are delusional and lose LP trust
“It is some level of delusion. If you actually believe That all of these companies are worth what they were worth six months ago, then and you're saying that with a straight face to your limited partners, and I think you're losing trust, right? A hundred percen…”
Logan Bartlett Aug 30, 2022 ▶ 26:05 Logan Bartlett: WTF is Happening at Growth Stage Investing? | 20VC #920 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 12, 2022
Insight
Quist: Venture capital exists to fund testable high-upside experiments
“I fundamentally believe the point of venture capital, right, is to allow a founder to run an experiment against a hypothesis that is knowable, testable, right? Where a true answer dramatically changes the enterprise value of the company.”
Will Quist Sep 12, 2022 ▶ 7:12 Will Quist: Why 95% of Venture Capital is Not Really “Venture Capital” | 20VC #924 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 12, 2022 negative
Opinion
Quist: Only 5% of venture capital funds classic early-stage venture bets
“Five percent of the industry or the capital of the industry, I think is really seeking out classic venture bets and the rest of it is piling on into growth”
Will Quist Sep 12, 2022 ▶ 8:53 Will Quist: Why 95% of Venture Capital is Not Really “Venture Capital” | 20VC #924 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 12, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Quist: Mid-sized VC funds will struggle to find alpha by 2027
“I think the pie gets bigger. But unfortunately it subsists less people. Goldman and Morgan are much more profitable than a lot of other investment banks. And so I think you'll see firms that have picked a quadrant and set up their organization and strategy wor…”
Will Quist Sep 12, 2022 ▶ 34:25 Will Quist: Why 95% of Venture Capital is Not Really “Venture Capital” | 20VC #924 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 12, 2022
Insight
Quist: Venture capital follows the evolutionary path of private equity
“When I look at whether it's investment banking, mutual funds, hedge funds, private equity, and now venture, they've all followed a very similar curve where early on in the assets class lifestyle or business model lifestyle, it's really subscale and it's volati…”
Will Quist Sep 12, 2022 ▶ 11:34 Will Quist: Why 95% of Venture Capital is Not Really “Venture Capital” | 20VC #924 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 1, 2022 bearish
Opinion
Mansour: The overinflated B2B SaaS ecosystem resembles a VC Ponzi scheme
“It's just the ecosystem is very hyper overinflated through a mechanism that is not too dissimilar to Ponzi schemes.”
Tarek Mansour Oct 1, 2022 ▶ 31:10 Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: How to Build Moats Against Incumbents; How to Hire Engineers | 20VC #931 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 7, 2022 negative
Opinion
Weil: Venture capital industry is fifty-fifty on hard work versus hype
“Less hype, more hard work for founders. I think the industry's kind of fifty-fifty there, you know. Some people are in, like, hustling every single day for the right things and helping their portfolio companies, and others are not.”
Kevin Weil Oct 7, 2022 ▶ 54:24 Kevin Weil: Lessons from Leading Product at Instagram & Twitter | 20VC #934 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 10, 2022 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Gerstner: A 20% risk-free rate beats 70th percentile VC returns
“That's a higher rate of return than the 70th percentile in venture.”
Brad Gerstner Oct 10, 2022 ▶ 31:04 Brad Gerstner: How I Pick Companies; Lessons from Warren Buffet; Chamath vs Gurley | E935 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 10, 2022 positive
Insight
Gerstner: Public market investing experience benefits venture capital investors
“I think being a public market investor is really a value add in terms of that type of culture when you're investing in a venture.”
Brad Gerstner Oct 10, 2022 ▶ 20:56 Brad Gerstner: How I Pick Companies; Lessons from Warren Buffet; Chamath vs Gurley | E935 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 10, 2022 negative
Insight
Gerstner: Spray-and-pray venture strategies produce uninspiring index-like returns
“If you have a diversified portfolio across hundreds of hundreds of investments, you will have an index like return, which as we started off by saying, it's not very compelling in this category.”
Brad Gerstner Oct 10, 2022 ▶ 16:22 Brad Gerstner: How I Pick Companies; Lessons from Warren Buffet; Chamath vs Gurley | E935 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 10, 2022 positive
Insight
Gerstner: Proactive first-principles investors outperform passive trend-followers in venture
“The history in venture has really inured to the benefit of first principle thinkers, who frankly, rather than waiting for the founder to show up in their office, they identify what they want to invest in, and they go find them.”
Brad Gerstner Oct 10, 2022 ▶ 18:00 Brad Gerstner: How I Pick Companies; Lessons from Warren Buffet; Chamath vs Gurley | E935 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 10, 2022 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2027
Gerstner: VC returns will compress as the industry scales
“The industry is going from highly fragmented to much more industrial scale. Returns are going to compress.”
Brad Gerstner Oct 10, 2022 ▶ 45:30 Brad Gerstner: How I Pick Companies; Lessons from Warren Buffet; Chamath vs Gurley | E935 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 10, 2022 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2027
Gerstner: Institutional capital has permanently increased venture capital supply
“This is going to mean that we have a permanent increase In the amount of capital that exists in venture capital, a permanent increase and pension funds went in.”
Brad Gerstner Oct 10, 2022 ▶ 45:04 Brad Gerstner: How I Pick Companies; Lessons from Warren Buffet; Chamath vs Gurley | E935 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 21, 2022 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Harrison: Venture capitalists are avoiding self-criticism following the market crash
“I thought that it would be more humbling for more people I think that there's been this sort of, like, suspension of criticism. Like, people are desperately trying to avoid having to come to grips with what they did, basically, like, with what a lot of people …”
Kyle Harrison Oct 21, 2022 ▶ 43:38 Kyle Harrison: Why 75% of Active Investors Will Disappear in the Next Few Years | 20VC #940 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 21, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Harrison: Excess capital will remain in venture capital despite market correction
“I don't think that people are just going to say, oh, nevermind. Venture is actually not that great of an asset class, you know, back to bonds and real estate. Like, I think that people recognize that there are still large outcomes to be had here. And so there'…”
Kyle Harrison Oct 21, 2022 ▶ 42:46 Kyle Harrison: Why 75% of Active Investors Will Disappear in the Next Few Years | 20VC #940 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 25, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Sunak: UK pension industry is top-three globally but underinvests in VC
“We have, you know, either the second or third largest pension fund industry, I think in the world it has historically, when you benchmark it to places like the U S or Canada or others, underinvested in illiquid assets like VC”
Rishi Sunak Oct 25, 2022 ▶ 19:20 UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak on Turning the UK Into a Talent Magnet | Full Interview · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 31, 2022 negative
Opinion
Singerman: Applying 'buy low, sell high' to venture capital makes no sense
“So this concept of buy low, sell high, like using regular stock market phrases in venture to me just doesn't make any sense.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 2:08 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 31, 2022 bullish
Insight
Singerman: Venture capital is about backing top companies, not cheap deals
“With venture being about upside maximization, Are you really just looking for, like, a good deal, or do you just want to invest in the best companies? And I would argue it's all the latter.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 5:27 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 4, 2022
Assertion Supported
Mauboussin: Venture return dispersion leaves median and bottom firms with dismal results
“What we know is that there's huge dispersion in returns in venture capital. So if you own the top decile or top Quintile type of firms you do spectacularly well over time, but if you own the median firm or a bottom quartile firms, the results are actually quit…”
Michael Mauboussin Nov 4, 2022 ▶ 6:55 Michael Mauboussin: The Single Biggest Mistake Investors Make In Decision-Making | 20VC #945 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 4, 2022
Assertion Supported
Mauboussin: Venture capital continues to have high performance persistence
“If you look across asset classes, the asset class that continues to have high persistence is actually venture capital.”
Michael Mauboussin Nov 4, 2022 ▶ 6:05 Michael Mauboussin: The Single Biggest Mistake Investors Make In Decision-Making | 20VC #945 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 4, 2022
Assertion Supported
Mauboussin: Venture capital excess returns are highly episodic and short-lived
“If you look at long-term public market equivalent, so, so this is how academics are measured is public market equivalent for venture capital. It's actually been pretty good over long periods of time, but it's extremely episodic. So almost all the returns are e…”
Michael Mauboussin Nov 4, 2022 ▶ 28:41 Michael Mauboussin: The Single Biggest Mistake Investors Make In Decision-Making | 20VC #945 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 4, 2022
Insight
Mauboussin: Investment success depends on win magnitude, not win frequency
“So it's not how often you make money that matters. It's how much money you make when you're right.”
Michael Mauboussin Nov 4, 2022 ▶ 26:28 Michael Mauboussin: The Single Biggest Mistake Investors Make In Decision-Making | 20VC #945 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 11, 2022
Insight
Escobari: Three warning signals that mark the end of a bull market
“You know, things are really, really silly, and it's beginning to be the end of the bull market when three things happen. First, everyone's making money, even the least talented people in the market. That's a clear warning signal when everyone's making money. S…”
Martin Escobari Nov 11, 2022 ▶ 15:37 Martin Escobari: How to Invest During a Recession; Negotiation Tips; Developing Markets | 20VC #948 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 14, 2022 neutral
Insight
Stebbings: Venture is the only asset class where assets choose capital
“In venture, it is one of the only asset classes, I believe, where the asset chooses the capital. In all others, the capital chooses the asset,”
Harry Stebbings Nov 14, 2022 ▶ 39:00 Cathie Wood: Elon & Twitter; Why Facebook is a Value Stock Now; ARK's Performance | 20VC #949 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 19, 2022 negative
Insight
Stebbings: Seed VCs seeking early DPI creates core misalignment with founders
“It is not in the interest of the founder for you, the lead seed VC, to sell your position at this time, but It is in your interest because you need to provide DPI to your investors. Very common right now. Core misalignment between founder and VC.”
Harry Stebbings Nov 19, 2022 ▶ 14:20 Oana Olteanu: Why Founders Should Expect More From Their VCs | 20VC #950 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 19, 2022 negative
Insight
Olteanu: Founder-to-founder advice always beats VC advice
“Founder to founder talk always beats VC talk.”
Oana Olteanu Nov 19, 2022 ▶ 10:57 Oana Olteanu: Why Founders Should Expect More From Their VCs | 20VC #950 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 30, 2022 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: LPs Will Drop Many VC Managers But Stay Committed to Venture
“Managers are going to get dropped. Don't get me wrong. Like it's going to be brutal. Right. But they're not going to not remain committed to the asset class.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 30, 2022 ▶ 53:08 Jason Lemkin: Cold Email Tips; Why Only 15% of Founders Listen to their VCs | 20VC #954 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 30, 2022 negative
Insight
Lemkin: Subscale Brand Building in Venture Capital Is a Waste of Time
“Subscale brand building on VC is a waste of time.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 30, 2022 ▶ 1:04:58 Jason Lemkin: Cold Email Tips; Why Only 15% of Founders Listen to their VCs | 20VC #954 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 30, 2022 negative
Insight
Lemkin: VCs Who Ignore Aging Out Turn Into Fee-Milking Funds
“You get like, you age out of a lot of things in venture. You really do. And if you're not honest about it, I think you're used to end up in a fee milking vehicle.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 30, 2022 ▶ 18:32 Jason Lemkin: Cold Email Tips; Why Only 15% of Founders Listen to their VCs | 20VC #954 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 30, 2022
Insight
Lemkin: New operator-VCs should invest in five pain-point startups initially
“Invest in like five companies your first year that are your top problems, where you have this special insight, and you'll know who the best founders are in that space too, because they can't bullshit you.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 30, 2022 ▶ 15:09 Jason Lemkin: Cold Email Tips; Why Only 15% of Founders Listen to their VCs | 20VC #954 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 3, 2022 negative
Insight
Hockey: Venture capital is just mutual fund management, not operating
“I think everyone should just admit that venture is just capital allocation and private tech and, you know, It's more like being a mutual fund manager than an operator maybe present company excluded, but I think pretending otherwise is probably anything but a d…”
William Hockey Dec 3, 2022 ▶ 58:48 William Hockey: How I Founded Plaid; The Ultimate Cold Email Tip; Hiring Lessons | 20VC #955 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 6, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Casado: Tech downturn will drive tourist VCs out of the industry
“We're at the tail end of a decade long bubble. So of course, you know, you've just got, you know, a bunch of people that just want to get the spoils. And of course you run into them the most because they're the most flamboyant. But I think with this downturn, …”
Martin Casado Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 49:05 a16z GP Martin Casado: How I Went from Engineer to VC; Lessons from Chris Dixon | 20VC #956 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 6, 2022
Insight
Casado: Scaling remains an unsolved problem in venture capital
“I will say scale is an unsolved problem in, in venture capital. It's a solved problem in finance because, you know, you don't have conflicts. Every asset's fungible.”
Martin Casado Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 49:52 a16z GP Martin Casado: How I Went from Engineer to VC; Lessons from Chris Dixon | 20VC #956 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 6, 2022 negative
Opinion
Casado: Operating background likely hurts venture capitalists more than it helps
“I don't know if operating helps or not. Like, I don't know if it helps you pick. I don't know if it helps you close. I don't know. Like, I don't know how to answer that. Probably not. It probably hurts more than helps.”
Martin Casado Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 2:59 a16z GP Martin Casado: How I Went from Engineer to VC; Lessons from Chris Dixon | 20VC #956 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 16, 2022
Insight
Partovi: Convincing elite engineers to join is harder than VC fundraising
“It is far easier for a VC to write a check with somebody else's money than to get a stellar engineer who has a hundred options, but can only pick one of them to basically say, you're going to be the company that I'm going to make my bet on.”
Hadi Partovi Dec 16, 2022 ▶ 20:39 Hadi Partovi: How I Became an Advisor to Mark Zuckerberg; Lessons from Steve Ballmer | 20VC #961 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 21, 2022
Assertion Partly supported
Stebbings: Lead VCs require at least 8% ownership
“So VCs that lead, and you would want to lead, they need to own at least eight percent. Very, very minimum.”
Harry Stebbings Dec 21, 2022 ▶ 13:34 20VC Special: How To Fundraise Like a Pro: How to Size and Price a Round, How to Create FOMO and Urgency in a Fundraise, How to Structure Angel Allocations, The 7 Deadly Sins of Fundraising Decks, The 3 Signs a Potential Investor is Bad News
Dec 21, 2022 positive
Insight
Stebbings: 14 days is the optimal fundraising decision timeline
“14 days is perfect. This is enough time for any VC to do the work they need to do, but also if they cannot do it in that time, without a plausible excuse, it's unlikely they would have done the deal anyway”
Harry Stebbings Dec 21, 2022 ▶ 18:44 20VC Special: How To Fundraise Like a Pro: How to Size and Price a Round, How to Create FOMO and Urgency in a Fundraise, How to Structure Angel Allocations, The 7 Deadly Sins of Fundraising Decks, The 3 Signs a Potential Investor is Bad News
Dec 21, 2022 positive
Insight
Stebbings: VCs have a duty to review pitch decks before meeting founders
“I would have asked for a deck pre the meeting, and I as the VC should have gone through this beforehand. That's really my duty as a VC to have done the work beforehand, and so in the meeting we can really spend the time to double click or try and expand upon m…”
Harry Stebbings Dec 21, 2022 ▶ 9:04 20VC Special: How To Fundraise Like a Pro: How to Size and Price a Round, How to Create FOMO and Urgency in a Fundraise, How to Structure Angel Allocations, The 7 Deadly Sins of Fundraising Decks, The 3 Signs a Potential Investor is Bad News
Dec 21, 2022
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Standard startup rounds assume 15% to 20% dilution
“The truth is, when you say the size of your fundraise, say two million, the basic assumption is that each round will dilute 15 to 20%, and so the average VC will think of a ten million post money valuation, Straight away, when you say a two million raise.”
Harry Stebbings Dec 21, 2022 ▶ 16:10 20VC Special: How To Fundraise Like a Pro: How to Size and Price a Round, How to Create FOMO and Urgency in a Fundraise, How to Structure Angel Allocations, The 7 Deadly Sins of Fundraising Decks, The 3 Signs a Potential Investor is Bad News
Dec 21, 2022
Insight
Stebbings: VCs spend less time on checks under 1% of fund size
“For example, if the check size they are investing is less than one percent of their fund, It's not that meaningful. If it's less than .5%, it's really not that meaningful. Now this could be bad, as it means that they are unlikely to be able to provide you with…”
Harry Stebbings Dec 21, 2022 ▶ 14:21 20VC Special: How To Fundraise Like a Pro: How to Size and Price a Round, How to Create FOMO and Urgency in a Fundraise, How to Structure Angel Allocations, The 7 Deadly Sins of Fundraising Decks, The 3 Signs a Potential Investor is Bad News
Jan 11, 2023 negative
Opinion
Stebbings: VCs refusing to introduce other managers to LPs is moronic
“Many VCs do not like to introduce other managers to their LPs. They view it as competition. This is moronic.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 11, 2023 ▶ 20:51 20VC: The Memo: How to Raise a Venture Capital Fund (Part I) | The Core Lessons from Raising $400M Over The Last Four Years| The Biggest Mistakes VCs Make When Fundraising | How To Find and Build Relationships with New LPs
Jan 13, 2023 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: 90% of VCs haven't built products and cannot talk to CTOs
“90% of VCs make is they haven't built product themselves. They don't even know how to talk to a CTO or a technical co-founder.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 13, 2023 ▶ 33:56 Jason Lemkin: WTF is Going On in VC? Are LPs Investing in New Funds? | 20VC #965 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 13, 2023 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: VCs tweeting about buying public Shopify shares are "losers"
“And so when I see VCs on Twitter talking about how they're looking at buying some shares of Shopify, honestly, I think they're losers.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 13, 2023 ▶ 26:21 Jason Lemkin: WTF is Going On in VC? Are LPs Investing in New Funds? | 20VC #965 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 16, 2023
Insight
Jordan: A 50% success rate makes great VCs but fired operators
“You're a spectacular investor of half your companies create, you know, create value, which means half your companies don't create value, and that hit rate If you're batting 500 as an operator, you're an ex-operator.”
Jeff Jordan Jan 16, 2023 ▶ 50:38 a16z GP Jeff Jordan: The Ultimate Guide to Two-Sided Marketplaces | 20VC #966 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 27, 2023
Assertion Supported
Canva was rejected by over 100 VCs before securing its first check
“We spent over a year there, like back and forth, still trying to run our other business. And we got rejected over a hundred times by VCs before we finally convinced some people to invest in us”
Cliff Obrecht Jan 27, 2023 ▶ 2:53 Canva's Cliff Obrecht: How We Turned Our Yearbook Company to $40B Business | 20VC #971 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 31, 2023 bearish
Insight
Patel: Momentum investing fails to generate outsized returns in changing markets
“Everyone was focused on being part of every company that seemed like it had momentum because everybody else was investing in it, and that looked great because the bull market ran longer than it did, but in markets that change, like, that's not a strategy that'…”
Satya Patel Jan 31, 2023 ▶ 49:47 Homebrew’s Hunter Walk & Satya Patel: Why $100M is Not Enough to Execute a Seed Strategy | 20VC #972 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 31, 2023 positive
Insight
Patel: VCs should let struggling startups ride if founders can pivot
“VCs, we're in the business of losing money, right? Like, there's a reason that the power law is a thing, and if you still believe that the founders are smart enough to try to figure something out, even if it's a pivot, then you let it ride, and you see if they…”
Satya Patel Jan 31, 2023 ▶ 1:09:33 Homebrew’s Hunter Walk & Satya Patel: Why $100M is Not Enough to Execute a Seed Strategy | 20VC #972 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 31, 2023 negative
Opinion
Walk: VCs refusing founder liquidity risk exploiting entrepreneurs while collecting fees
“Like the very least you're missing opportunities to de-stress founders in a way that will increase the probability of a wonderful outcome. And at the worst, you know, you're exploiting, you know, founders who have all their eggs in one basket, you know, while …”
Hunter Walk Jan 31, 2023 ▶ 20:31 Homebrew’s Hunter Walk & Satya Patel: Why $100M is Not Enough to Execute a Seed Strategy | 20VC #972 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 13, 2023
Insight
Loverro: VCs avoid down rounds because they hate the complexity
“Fewer down rounds happen than probably should happen because VCs don't like them.”
Tom Loverro Feb 13, 2023 ▶ 4:33 Tom Loverro: The Ultimate Startup Survival Guide for 2023 | 20VC #977 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 13, 2023 negative
Opinion
Loverro: Venture capital is too hierarchical and promotes talent too slowly
“And I think venture is too hierarchical we promote people too slowly, but a lot of the talent and the ideas come from people who are younger in their careers and so I think venture firms need to promote sooner, give mid-level junior people more credit, it'll o…”
Tom Loverro Feb 13, 2023 ▶ 45:45 Tom Loverro: The Ultimate Startup Survival Guide for 2023 | 20VC #977 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 18, 2023 neutral
Insight
Harry Stebbings: VCs focus on incremental milestone de-risking between funding rounds
“I think the other thing that people forget with VCs is we think in increments, people often think they want to see like the twenty billion dollar outcome. And yes, we absolutely do, but we also want to see where the next round comes from.”
Harry Stebbings Feb 18, 2023 ▶ 53:17 Aloe Blacc: The Secret to Songwriting & Storytelling; Working w/ Avicii on “Wake Me Up” | 20VC #979 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2023 negative
Insight
Levin: Excessive cash reserves harmed more startups than they helped
“I do think it was dangerous for a lot of companies to be overstuffed with cash, and I think that that was a danger to more companies than it was a help to.”
Joey Levin Feb 24, 2023 ▶ 41:21 IAC CEO Joey Levin: Why Value Investing is BS; The Most Insane Element of SPACs | 20VC #982 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 27, 2023 negative
Insight
Tisch: VCs who overpaid deserve no sympathy; valuation is their problem
“The valuation to me is the investor's problem. And I just don't like, I don't believe that my sympathy sits for all the VCs that overpaid on things that they did. Like, everybody could, again, back to this, like, you could have said no. If you thought somethin…”
David Tisch Feb 27, 2023 ▶ 21:46 David Tisch: The 3 Most Important Variables When Raising Your Seed Round | 20VC #983 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 27, 2023
Insight
Tisch: Venture capital is a collection of small businesses, not an asset class
“And that's the, like, venture gets viewed as an asset class, and it's not. These are all very small businesses with independent investment styles and independent investment beliefs.”
David Tisch Feb 27, 2023 ▶ 40:21 David Tisch: The 3 Most Important Variables When Raising Your Seed Round | 20VC #983 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 27, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tisch: A tier-three VC attempted to personally bankrupt a startup founder
“I saw a VC try to personally bankrupt a founder.”
David Tisch Feb 27, 2023 ▶ 1:03:59 David Tisch: The 3 Most Important Variables When Raising Your Seed Round | 20VC #983 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 3, 2023 negative
Opinion
Siminoff: VC Overfunding Harmed Entrepreneurs by Pushing Them Toward Wrong Goals
“It over watered the grapes and that was an unfair thing to do to entrepreneurs. It actually hurt the entrepreneurs. It gave too much money to too many people too fast and the wrong goals. And it led people who are great people into the wrong places that it rea…”
Jamie Siminoff Mar 3, 2023 ▶ 1:09:58 Ring CEO Jamie Siminoff: The $1BN Amazon Acquisition; How Richard Branson Invested | 20VC #984 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 4, 2023 bullish
Prediction Held up
Somerville: VC Will See More GP-Led Restructurings Through 2025
“Venture is always slower to adopt some of these structures and I think we'll see a lot more of it in the second half of this year and the following two years.”
Hunter Somerville Mar 4, 2023 ▶ 14:20 Hunter Somerville: Biggest Mistake LPs Make; Deep Dive into Secondary Markets | 20VC #985 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 13, 2023
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Reses: VCs will start requiring treasury controls and multi-bank strategies from startups
“I think it'll change the dynamic for how people manage their deposits going forward. Like I would not be surprised going forward if when a venture backed company raises money that VCs don't demand that they take controls over where they put their funding, how …”
Jackie Reses Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 12:58 Jackie Reses & Kris Dickson: What Happened with SVB? Are VCs to Blame? | E988 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 17, 2023 negative
Opinion
Brown: Founders should not pick VC partners in under a week
“I don't know how people would decide on a VC that they want to work with within, you know, 48 hours or a week. Like you want to know how that person's going to be able to support you, how they're going to work with you, challenge you, open doors.”
Ophelia Brown Mar 17, 2023 ▶ 5:10 Ophelia Brown: How We Raised $432M in a Pandemic; What's New in European Venture Capital | E990 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 17, 2023 positive
Insight
Brown: Leading deals in venture capital inevitably requires being sharp-elbowed
“Venture is a competitive sport. If you want to lead deals and you want to be a great partner to your founders, then you are going to inevitably be a bit sharp elbow.”
Ophelia Brown Mar 17, 2023 ▶ 54:45 Ophelia Brown: How We Raised $432M in a Pandemic; What's New in European Venture Capital | E990 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 24, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stebbings: VCs did not cause the Silicon Valley Bank run
“Can I be honest, it really pissed me off when I saw a lot of people say, oh, VCs are to blame for the bank runs. I was like, are you kidding me? Have you studied the mechanics of how banks work in SVB's balance sheet? It was not VCs that caused the bank runs.”
Harry Stebbings Mar 24, 2023 ▶ 31:24 Mike Maples: Lessons from SVB; Crisis Management Tips; USD's Status as the Reserve Currency | E993 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 24, 2023 positive
Insight
Maples: Early-stage venture funds benefit from longer capital deployment horizons
“The riskier you are in terms of the stage that you invest, the better it is for you to have a longer time horizon.”
Mike Maples Mar 24, 2023 ▶ 45:02 Mike Maples: Lessons from SVB; Crisis Management Tips; USD's Status as the Reserve Currency | E993 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 5, 2023 bearish
Insight
Salguero: Founders mistakenly assume venture capital is necessary for success
“I don't think most founders think before they start raising money. They think that they have to raise money in order to build a successful business. And I just wish they didn't.”
Mike Salguero Apr 5, 2023 ▶ 1:26:47 Mike Salguero: How I Grew ButcherBox to $600M/year in Revenue; Tips for Influencer Marketing | E998 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 5, 2023 bearish
Insight
Salguero: VC funding precludes building a lifestyle business
“I think if you are hopping on the VC train, like you need to understand that the train that you're hopping on is not one that you can get off of. And it's not one that you can then build lifestyle design into.”
Mike Salguero Apr 5, 2023 ▶ 19:23 Mike Salguero: How I Grew ButcherBox to $600M/year in Revenue; Tips for Influencer Marketing | E998 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 7, 2023
Insight
Lacher: Venture Capital Is All-In, Part-Time VCs Fail Founders
“I think it's an either all in or not business because the moment you start hanging out maybe in southern France at your holiday home and tanning and only working three days a week, I think that moment you're not a good VC anymore because every founder will say…”
Rob Lacher Apr 7, 2023 ▶ 1:07:39 Rob Lacher: How I Scaled to $600M AUM; Hiring Tips for VCs; Venture Capital in Europe vs USA | E999 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 21, 2023 negative
Opinion
Tunguz: Single fund closes are vanity metrics for VCs
“The purpose of a close date is just to drive people in unison to a cadence that you're trying to set. There's nothing magical about it. There's nothing terrible about having multiple closes. It's just a way of organizing a particular process. And that close da…”
Tomasz Tunguz Apr 21, 2023 ▶ 9:39 Tomasz Tunguz: How I Raised $230M; ChatGPT vs. Google; How LLMs Work; Trump vs DeSantis | E1004 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 21, 2023
Insight
Tunguz: Concentration near power law apex yields higher VC returns
“A venture capital, the industry is governed by a power law. And the more dollars you can have closer to the y-axis, so to speak, on the power law, the better your returns will be.”
Tomasz Tunguz Apr 21, 2023 ▶ 2:26 Tomasz Tunguz: How I Raised $230M; ChatGPT vs. Google; How LLMs Work; Trump vs DeSantis | E1004 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2023 negative
Insight
Paik: Excess venture capital subsidizes businesses unfit for VC
“With the glut of venture capital and dollars chasing returns, I think that venture capital Perhaps intentionally, maybe unintentionally subsidizes business building of companies that should never have been venture capital targets.”
Chris Paik May 9, 2023 ▶ 1:07:38 Chris Paik: How I Raised $400M; Substack's Broken Business Model; Music on TikTok vs IG | E1011 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2023 negative
Opinion
Paik: Venture capital is not an asset class meant to scale
“We think that venture isn't an asset that is meant to scale. It's pretty hands-on.”
Chris Paik May 9, 2023 ▶ 17:11 Chris Paik: How I Raised $400M; Substack's Broken Business Model; Music on TikTok vs IG | E1011 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2023 positive
Opinion
Paik: Taxing carried interest as ordinary income would redistribute tech talent
“You probably should tax carried interest like income tax. That would write, that would like break that structurally different incentive mechanism, and then it would defuse talent elsewhere.”
Chris Paik May 9, 2023 ▶ 1:21:50 Chris Paik: How I Raised $400M; Substack's Broken Business Model; Music on TikTok vs IG | E1011 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2023 positive
Opinion
Paik: Thrive Capital backs young talent better than venture peers
“One of the things that Thrive does really, really, really well In my opinion, maybe even better than anyone else in the industry is it leans into people's potential regardless of their age, regardless of their credentials.”
Chris Paik May 9, 2023 ▶ 5:52 Chris Paik: How I Raised $400M; Substack's Broken Business Model; Music on TikTok vs IG | E1011 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2023
Insight
Paik: Investors break the most rules on their highest-conviction investments
“The highest conviction things that you get comfort with are the ones that you break the most number of rules on.”
Chris Paik May 9, 2023 ▶ 19:21 Chris Paik: How I Raised $400M; Substack's Broken Business Model; Music on TikTok vs IG | E1011 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2023
Insight
Paik: VC is only for companies that cannot exist without it
“I think that is almost certainly like if the company Literally could not exist without venture capital. That probably is the area where venture capital is a suitable, like, spitballing this in real time. That's probably a good criteria to suggest that it is wi…”
Chris Paik May 9, 2023 ▶ 1:10:52 Chris Paik: How I Raised $400M; Substack's Broken Business Model; Music on TikTok vs IG | E1011 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 24, 2023
Insight
Podjarny: Broadly pitching VCs on preemptive interest risks scorched earth
“When you do that, you're sort of going a bit all in, and you, I think you can really burn, kind of, you leave some scorched earth.”
Guy Podjarny May 24, 2023 ▶ 33:08 Guy Podjarney: $7.4B Startup Founder; How to Analyse Market Size; Good vs Great Messaging | E1018 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 29, 2023
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2033
Besvinick: Venture capital will bifurcate into small thematic funds and behemoths
“What you're ultimately going to see is a very distinct bifurcation of relatively smaller vertical oriented, thematic oriented funds, and then behemoths. And if you're just in the middle, it's very tough to stand out.”
Adam Besvinick May 29, 2023 ▶ 55:28 Adam Besnivick: How to Invest in Pre-Seed & Seed Stage Companies; Looking Glass Capital | E1020 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 7, 2023
Insight
Liu: Rely on VC compensation benchmarks over candidate counteroffers
“There are some good benchmarks out there for any role, AE, CSM, marketer, you know, partnerships person, ops person, strategy person. So, so, so trust that any, all the VCs, all the talent folks and recruiter will give you that.”
Rich Liu Jun 7, 2023 ▶ 45:51 Rich Liu: Sales in 2023; How to Onboard, Manage and Scale Reps; PLG vs Enterprise Growth | E1023 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 19, 2023 negative
Insight
Lebrun: Founders Need VCs Who Are Ex-Entrepreneurs, Not Former Bankers
“10 years ago, VCs in Europe were all from the financial industry, you know, there is nothing about financial industry, finance in being a VC, a little bit, of course, but it's mostly about entrepreneurship, and so 10 years ago, all the VCs I was working with i…”
Alex Lebrun Jun 19, 2023 ▶ 1:14:33 Alex Lebrun: Why the EU's AI Regulation is a Disaster; How Zuck Prepares for Meetings | E1027 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 19, 2023 negative
Opinion
VCs Are Late to Realize Proprietary Data Moats Are Diminishing
“I think VCs are always one train late. So proprietor, having a lot of proprietary data was very, very important for the last cycle five years ago. Maybe it's less and less true.”
Alex Lebrun Jun 19, 2023 ▶ 17:28 Alex Lebrun: Why the EU's AI Regulation is a Disaster; How Zuck Prepares for Meetings | E1027 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 23, 2023
Insight
Rob Go: Energy and Hustle Give Young VCs a Competitive Advantage
“But I really believe venture is a young person's game. Like the amount we were talking about this before you started recording, right? Like the amount of like energy and hustle that you're able to deploy as a young person is truly a competitive advantage.”
Rob Go Jun 23, 2023 ▶ 3:38 Rob Go: The Ultimate Guide to Raising a Venture Fund | E1029 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 23, 2023 neutral
Insight
Rob Go: Accessing Top Companies Outweighs Strict Deal Terms in VC
“In a power law business, you just want to get into the best companies.”
Rob Go Jun 23, 2023 ▶ 1:05:31 Rob Go: The Ultimate Guide to Raising a Venture Fund | E1029 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 26, 2023 negative
Opinion
Babayigit: Very few venture capitalists are truly long-term oriented
“Very few VCs are really long, long term people in general, right? Like you have a horizon that you want to exit and totally understand that's the business, right?”
Akin Babayigit Jun 26, 2023 ▶ 1:47:53 Akin Babayigit: How Tripledot Studios Became #1 Fastest-Growing Company in Europe | E1030 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 26, 2023 positive
Insight
Babayigit: The greatest VC value add is support during tough times
“The biggest value add, I think, that I've You know, a VC can have on a company is really just to be there for the bad times and just be a friend in the good times.”
Akin Babayigit Jun 26, 2023 ▶ 1:44:18 Akin Babayigit: How Tripledot Studios Became #1 Fastest-Growing Company in Europe | E1030 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 26, 2023 negative
Insight
Babayigit: VCs cannot add operational value to truly exceptional founders
“Because I don't think a VC can truly add operational value to a truly exceptional founder.”
Akin Babayigit Jun 26, 2023 ▶ 1:42:37 Akin Babayigit: How Tripledot Studios Became #1 Fastest-Growing Company in Europe | E1030 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 30, 2023 bullish
Opinion
Douwe Kiela: Large AI startup funding rounds are justified by potential payoffs
“I think some of the rounds were pretty big, but I think it's also justified just because this stuff is really going to change the world. And so one bet, if it's right, has massive payoff.”
Douwe Kiela Jun 30, 2023 ▶ 44:33 Douwe Kiela: Why Data Size Matters More Than Model Size; Why Open Source Isn't Going to Win | E1032 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 17, 2023 negative
Insight
Mohnot: Even top venture capitalists struggle to identify moats
“And I think it's like, there are ways that you can invest, but actually knowing what to invest in or what a mode is, I think people are still figuring it out. And even if you look at the greats, they have a bunch of misses and they have a bunch of companies th…”
Sheel Mohnot Jul 17, 2023 ▶ 3:57 Sheel Mohnot: How I Got Married in the Metaverse; Founder vs Product vs Market | E1035 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 17, 2023 negative
Insight
Mohnot: VCs should invest only in category leaders, not secondary players
“Invest in the best company, not in number two or number three. And a lot of those haven't have shaken out to not, not work out that well.”
Sheel Mohnot Jul 17, 2023 ▶ 45:47 Sheel Mohnot: How I Got Married in the Metaverse; Founder vs Product vs Market | E1035 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 21, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Remote VC Investments Are Unraveling Faster Than In-Person Deals
“We see a load of VCs who made a load of investments without ever meeting the company and they are unraveling faster than ever now. And that is in large part because they didn't spend the time in person.”
Harry Stebbings Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 23:30 Jean-Denis Greze: CTO of Plaid, the $18B Fintech Startup; How to Hire, Fire & Build Great UX | E1038 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 26, 2023
Insight
Batchu: VC strategy changes fundamentally with every 5x increase in check size
“I think the strategy only works up to a certain size. And, you know, my general understanding with venture is the job is like materially different every five X or so the check size. So and it's a completely different job. What can help you win in the previous …”
Sri Batchu Jul 26, 2023 ▶ 46:35 Sri Batchu: Biggest Growth Lesson from Instacart & Opendoor; 70% of Experiments Should Fail | E1040 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 28, 2023
Insight
Stephane Kurgan: Venture capital operates on an eight-to-ten-year feedback loop
“When you're an executive, especially in the digital business, you have a daily clock, right? The feedback loop is, is extremely fast. So, you know, every morning I would get a thousand data points, you know, with all the reporting, and then suddenly you go to …”
Stephane Kurgan Jul 28, 2023 ▶ 57:49 Stephane Kurgan: Lessons Scaling King from 100 Employees to 2,400; How to Find Great Talent | E1041 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 31, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nyatta: Indexing and Trend-Chasing in VC and AI Will Fail
“Passive beta capture, you know, this whole idea that you just buy an index of tech, and you sit aside and let it perform, I think that's gone. I think you have to be a stock picker, and so people that are just trying to place a range of bets, I don't think tha…”
Shu Nyatta Jul 31, 2023 ▶ 58:16 Marcelo Claure & Shu Nyatta: LATAM's New $500M Growth Fund; Investing Billions at SoftBank | E1042 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 9, 2023 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: VCs will write fraudulent startups to zero rather than expose them
“No, it won't come out because VCs aren't talking about it. They're just marking them to zero.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 9, 2023 ▶ 52:43 Jason Lemkin: Every VC has a FRAUD in their portfolio; The IPO market is about to EXPLODE | E1046 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 9, 2023 negative
Insight
Lemkin: VC due diligence is purely confirmatory after deal decisions are made
“And why it's because the diligence is always confirmatory. VCs decide they want to do the deal and they don't want to hear reasons to not do it.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 9, 2023 ▶ 51:39 Jason Lemkin: Every VC has a FRAUD in their portfolio; The IPO market is about to EXPLODE | E1046 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 9, 2023
Insight
Lemkin: One early iconic VC winner can support three subsequent funds
“The earlier you get a winner and a winner really being like the person on the board, the first investor, like an iconic winner where the founders will back you. The earlier you get in your career, you could probably raise three funds on the back of that, even …”
Jason Lemkin Aug 9, 2023 ▶ 3:04 Jason Lemkin: Every VC has a FRAUD in their portfolio; The IPO market is about to EXPLODE | E1046 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 9, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Every venture capital firm has a fraudulent company in its portfolio
“And every VC has a fraud in their portfolio. Every single VC has a fraud in their portfolio.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 9, 2023 ▶ 52:06 Jason Lemkin: Every VC has a FRAUD in their portfolio; The IPO market is about to EXPLODE | E1046 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 9, 2023 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: Modern founders no longer respect venture capital investors
“Founders today don't respect venture capital anymore. They don't respect venture capital.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 9, 2023 ▶ 35:37 Jason Lemkin: Every VC has a FRAUD in their portfolio; The IPO market is about to EXPLODE | E1046 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: Mega-Cap Tech CEOs Give Founders Better Feedback Than VCs
“That, that, you know, a 10 or a hundred billion dollar company CEO will actually respond thoughtfully. More than many VCs, frankly, who's just saying, good job.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 43:15 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 negative
Insight
Lessin: VC's worst outcome is picking a winner without equity upside
“You know, I think the most depressing thing in the world is not being wrong. It's being right and not making money. You know, being right to the tune of, like, having these epic outcomes and being like, ah, fuck, that was a one-ex returner of the fund, right? …”
Sam Lessin Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 23:22 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Lessin: Muck Rack Raised Zero VC Money Until Late Private Equity Round
“By far, the most successful company come out of that is a company called Muckrack, right? Unbelievable success, right? And it was a team in the corner that actually took zero dollars of VC, Right? Until very, very late in the game when they did a private equit…”
Sam Lessin Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 15:15 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2023 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: Venture capital was abused to fund unnecessary startup overhiring
“I think venture has been abused the last few years, right? It has been abused to fund over hiring and massive teams that are not required”
Jason Lemkin Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 32:12 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 21, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Huber: Tech VCs haven't set foot in a Walmart in 10 years
“These folks have not been in a Walmart in 10 years. They have, they just haven't been in one. They haven't looked at the average American. They have no idea what the average American thinks about, you know, looks for, eats does with their free time. They have …”
Nick Huber Aug 21, 2023 ▶ 31:29 Nick Huber: Biggest Lies of Silicon Valley; Lost Art of Delegation; How to Grow Your Network | E1051 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 23, 2023 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: Founders view 40% VC ownership as granting zero governance say
“Founders don't think of, Hey, I sold 40% of my company. That means they have a 40% say. I think a lot of founders think that means they have a nonce percent say, a zero percent say. I don't know what it is, but it ain't what it was five or even five or six yea…”
Jason Lemkin Aug 23, 2023 ▶ 18:00 Jason Lemkin & Rick Zullo: How "Mark to Market" Corrupted Venture Capital | E1052 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 23, 2023 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: Portfolio markups have completely corrupted venture capital
“The way we've done markups, especially for smaller and other funds, has completely corrupted the industry.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 23, 2023 ▶ 32:12 Jason Lemkin & Rick Zullo: How "Mark to Market" Corrupted Venture Capital | E1052 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 23, 2023
Insight
Lemkin: LP investing feedback loops are much slower than venture investing
“It's an easy job and that it's very, very slow, but it's very hard to get good at it, right? It's very, it's another order of magnitude slower feedback loop than venture, which is pretty slow.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 23, 2023 ▶ 39:17 Jason Lemkin & Rick Zullo: How "Mark to Market" Corrupted Venture Capital | E1052 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 23, 2023 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: VC behavior driven by paper markups will return after market pause
“Maybe we took a pause on it briefly, but that corruption is going to come back.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 23, 2023 ▶ 34:18 Jason Lemkin & Rick Zullo: How "Mark to Market" Corrupted Venture Capital | E1052 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 23, 2023 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: VCs bear 51% of the blame for startup overspending
“We did and I blame the VCs at least as much as the founders, right? I stipulated, 51% 49”
Jason Lemkin Aug 23, 2023 ▶ 10:48 Jason Lemkin & Rick Zullo: How "Mark to Market" Corrupted Venture Capital | E1052 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 23, 2023 positive
Opinion
Rick Zullo: Asset management is a better business than traditional venture
“The asset management business is a better business than the venture business. You know, fees are guaranteed. Carry isn't.”
Rick Zullo Aug 23, 2023 ▶ 1:46 Jason Lemkin & Rick Zullo: How "Mark to Market" Corrupted Venture Capital | E1052 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 6, 2023
Insight
Basu Trivedi: Exceptional startups deserve exceptions to standard VC portfolio rules
“Exceptional companies deserve exceptions. And it's a mantra that I've tried to always have in my venture career, which is yes, you have this model of how you want to invest this dream idea of portfolio construction and the profile of company that you're lookin…”
Nikhil Basu Trivedi Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 1:43 Nikhil Basu Trivedi: Why 99% of AI Investments Will Go Bust | E1057 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 6, 2023
Insight
Basu Trivedi: Junior VC investors should ignore titles and act like partners
“Don't look at your title. Don't think about exactly what the role is. Just think about yourself as a VC. And I think you'll be better off for that.”
Nikhil Basu Trivedi Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 1:32 Nikhil Basu Trivedi: Why 99% of AI Investments Will Go Bust | E1057 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 18, 2023 negative
Insight
Grimshaw: Venture investments are only complete upon LP distribution
“It's only a great investment in some sense when the, you know, shares are distributed to a broader shareholder base in terms of distribution or the like. I think people forget about, you know, in, in, in the push for forever funds and forever, you know, people…”
Miles Grimshaw Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 17:41 Miles Grimshaw: The 5 Pillars of Venture Capital & Why Co-Pilot is an Incumbent Strategy | E1061 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 18, 2023 neutral
Opinion
Stebbings: Second-time founders view VC funding as a deal, not partnership
“I find like second time founders, especially, I get it, you're selling cash with some advice, which is great, but it's a deal.”
Harry Stebbings Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 30:40 Miles Grimshaw: The 5 Pillars of Venture Capital & Why Co-Pilot is an Incumbent Strategy | E1061 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 18, 2023 positive
Insight
Grimshaw: Venture investing should be commitments, not bets
“If you think of investing as betting I think you spend a lot more, you know, a lot more energy on the funnel and winning the first, like you're placing chips on a roulette table. And I just don't, I don't think of it that way. I really think of the work we do …”
Miles Grimshaw Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 29:22 Miles Grimshaw: The 5 Pillars of Venture Capital & Why Co-Pilot is an Incumbent Strategy | E1061 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 18, 2023 positive
Insight
Grimshaw: User Focus Matters More in VC Than Metrics Frameworks
“And the most important thing is always like, who's the user and why do they care? If you ground yourself in that always, instead of sometimes a sort of like whirlwind of other, you know, framings from investing, it'll probably serve you pretty well.”
Miles Grimshaw Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 7:03 Miles Grimshaw: The 5 Pillars of Venture Capital & Why Co-Pilot is an Incumbent Strategy | E1061 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 20, 2023 negative
Assertion Supported
Paley: Most VCs Earn Money From Management Fees, Not Carry
“It's why most VCs get paid on management fees. They don't get paid on, on, on carried interest, because TVPI, TVPI in that case, doesn't actually translate to DPI.”
Eric Paley Sep 20, 2023 ▶ 10:08 Is the VC Model Broken? Jason Lemkin, Mike Maples, Eric Paley & Harry Stebbings Debate | E1062 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 20, 2023 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Paley: Top Company Never Matched Its Founding Year's Hottest Theme
“Never, not the last 20 years, has the most valuable company born in any single year, right, valuable as of now, been this in the theme that was hot in that year. It has not happened.”
Eric Paley Sep 20, 2023 ▶ 6:23 Is the VC Model Broken? Jason Lemkin, Mike Maples, Eric Paley & Harry Stebbings Debate | E1062 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 20, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Recent VC vintages will produce many 'mulligan funds'
“Maybe that's not true today, but I think there's gonna be a lot of mulligan funds out there.”
Jason Lemkin Sep 20, 2023 ▶ 48:42 Is the VC Model Broken? Jason Lemkin, Mike Maples, Eric Paley & Harry Stebbings Debate | E1062 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 20, 2023 negative
Opinion
Paley: VCs who block founders from selling their companies are nuts
“It's like when a founder wants to sell their company, you say, yes, you should probably sell your company. VCs standing in the way are, I think are nuts.”
Eric Paley Sep 20, 2023 ▶ 52:34 Is the VC Model Broken? Jason Lemkin, Mike Maples, Eric Paley & Harry Stebbings Debate | E1062 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 27, 2023 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lanng: AI will completely disrupt traditional venture capital workflows
“I know, but on, on the investment side, right, I mean, beyond work, we worked with Moonfire, and they're really interesting because they actually tried to build an AI-first venture fund. Yeah. They went out with a real framework, invested heavily in, you know,…”
Christian Lanng Sep 27, 2023 ▶ 1:11:16 Christian Lanng: "How Being a Founder Almost Killed Me" | E1065 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 27, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lanng: 99% of venture capital invested in AI will be wasted
“99% of the money going in is going to be lit on fire, and two, we are underestimating the impact of AI.”
Christian Lanng Sep 27, 2023 ▶ 59:17 Christian Lanng: "How Being a Founder Almost Killed Me" | E1065 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 27, 2023 negative
Opinion
Lanng: VCs ask pitch questions primarily to sound smart
“VCs will always want to have a question that makes them sound smart.”
Christian Lanng Sep 27, 2023 ▶ 36:50 Christian Lanng: "How Being a Founder Almost Killed Me" | E1065 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 27, 2023
Disclosure
Lanng removed team slides from pitch decks to control VC questions
“I used to always take out one or two slides of the deck, like I'll make the perfect pitch deck, and then I'll remove the team slide. All VCs will then ask the question, but what about team? And that's the question I want them to ask instead of asking some stup…”
Christian Lanng Sep 27, 2023 ▶ 36:34 Christian Lanng: "How Being a Founder Almost Killed Me" | E1065 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 27, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lanng: VCs own most equity after six years for 99% of startups
“The first thing is, for 99% of startups, you know, I mean, No offense, but VCs is gonna own most of your company by the time you have worked for six or seven years, and your salary will probably be less than if you had worked anywhere else combined.”
Christian Lanng Sep 27, 2023 ▶ 16:56 Christian Lanng: "How Being a Founder Almost Killed Me" | E1065 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 2, 2023 negative
Opinion
Barnes: Traditional VC Technical Diligence Is an Ineffective Game of Telephone
“The traditional process of understanding what a founder is doing technically is as a VC, that's not technical. You sit in that room, you do your best to understand, you reach out to someone who is technical, you provide some bastardized description of what tha…”
Phin Barnes Oct 2, 2023 ▶ 1:00:06 Phin Barnes: The Services Model of Venture Capital is Broken, The Best Founders Do Need Help | E1067 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 2, 2023 negative
Opinion
Barnes: Scaling in Venture Capital Has Eroded the Industry's Product
“I mean, I think there's been this push to scale and I think it's eroded the product of venture. Broadly.”
Phin Barnes Oct 2, 2023 ▶ 1:11:18 Phin Barnes: The Services Model of Venture Capital is Broken, The Best Founders Do Need Help | E1067 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 2, 2023 negative
Opinion
Barnes: Great Founders Need Help, But Not From VCs
“Every great founder needs help. They just don't need it from VCs.”
Phin Barnes Oct 2, 2023 ▶ 29:36 Phin Barnes: The Services Model of Venture Capital is Broken, The Best Founders Do Need Help | E1067 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 2, 2023 negative
Insight
Barnes: Traditional VC Fee and Carry Model Fails for Platform Services
“Then the fee and carry model doesn't work because those services show up as a cost center on the statement, the cash flow statement of the VC firm itself.”
Phin Barnes Oct 2, 2023 ▶ 20:16 Phin Barnes: The Services Model of Venture Capital is Broken, The Best Founders Do Need Help | E1067 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 16, 2023 positive
Opinion
Prince: Public market investors are better partners than VCs
“Public market investors are great because if they'll tell you the truth, because, you know, if they don't like what you're doing, they sell your stock.”
Matthew Prince Oct 16, 2023 ▶ 57:55 Matthew Prince: The Two Biggest Mistakes Every Founder Makes | E1072 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 18, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Beezer Clarkson: VC loss ratios were unusually low from 2020 to 2022
“One of the weird things about the market from the last, sorry, twenty-twenty to twenty-twenty-two, we did not, as an industry, have the loss ratios, even probably back earlier, that one would expect in venture.”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 32:25 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 20, 2023 positive
Opinion
Series A Is Currently the Best Risk-Reward Entry Point in Venture
“I think Series A is actually the best risk to reward insertion point in venture stay.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 20, 2023 ▶ 16:41 20VC: NEW FORMAT: Harry Stebbings on Why Seed Pricing is as High as Ever, Why Series A is the Best Place to Invest Today, Why Growth Founders Need to Reshape Expectations, Why M&A Windows Remain Shut and When Will IPO Windows Crack Open
Oct 23, 2023
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stebbings: Startups that lose 100% of invested capital are quite rare
“But actually companies that lose all your money, quite rare.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 23, 2023 ▶ 40:47 Matthieu Rouif: The Story of PhotoRoom, Is This YC’s Most Capital Efficient Company? | E1074 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 24, 2023
Insight
Prince: Quick failure is the second-best outcome for VC-backed startups
“If the wild success is the best outcome, the second best outcome I would argue is quick failure. It just doesn't work. Right. And it falls on its face and dies. That's actually a really great outcome.”
Matthew Prince Oct 24, 2023 ▶ 2:35 Harry debates Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince: "Should startups target niche markets?" · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 30, 2023 negative
Opinion
Tomaino calls VC fund size focus the fakest part of venture
“Yeah, a hundred percent. I mean, I, to me, it's one of like the fakest parts of venture capital. It's like everyone, it feels like everyone's competing for prestige. Everyone talks about fund size or, you know, is trying to get press. These kind of vanity you …”
Nick Tomaino Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 28:59 Nick Tomaino: The Future of NFTs, What Will Happen with FTX & Who Should be Held to Account | E1076 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 3, 2023
Insight
Lemkin: Early-stage VCs must evaluate 10x more startups than five years ago
“If you want to see ever those one or two, I actually think it helps to see 10 times more startups than it did five or six years ago. 10 times.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 24:08 Roundtable #5 with Jack Altman, Auren Hoffman, Jason Lemkin, Harry Stebbings | E1077 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 3, 2023
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hoffman: Firing founder CEOs was commonplace in the 80s/90s but rare today
“Every VC today is founder friendly, right? It's pretty rare nowadays for a founder to get fired. Whereas like in the eighties and nineties, that was commonplace for a founder to get fired.”
Auren Hoffman Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 7:39 Roundtable #5 with Jack Altman, Auren Hoffman, Jason Lemkin, Harry Stebbings | E1077 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 3, 2023
Opinion
Hoffman: Venture capital is more competitive than any SaaS business
“Venture is just like, is incredibly competitive. It's way more competitive than any type of SAS business that's out there. It's one of the most competitive, you're basically selling a commodity. You're selling money.”
Auren Hoffman Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 44:08 Roundtable #5 with Jack Altman, Auren Hoffman, Jason Lemkin, Harry Stebbings | E1077 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 3, 2023
Insight
Hoffman: VCs should focus their time on mid-tier portfolio companies
“The winners don't really need you. So spending time with them doesn't really change the outcome. The losers don't really need you either. Cause they're going to lose. So it's actually kind of the people in the middle that probably need you the most”
Auren Hoffman Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 53:24 Roundtable #5 with Jack Altman, Auren Hoffman, Jason Lemkin, Harry Stebbings | E1077 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 3, 2023 neutral
Insight
Hoffman: Board Oversight Matters Little Compared to Securing 10x VC Winners
“I also don't, I don't know how much oversight matters in the, if it's really power law driven, like the bad ones are bad. And, you know, so yeah, maybe you could have got a one X and you get a .5 X or something out of this thing. If you, if you're really in it…”
Auren Hoffman Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 52:00 Roundtable #5 with Jack Altman, Auren Hoffman, Jason Lemkin, Harry Stebbings | E1077 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 17, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kaden: LPs will reshuffle allocations rather than exit venture capital
“I don't think it's like there's going to be a massive retreat also because innovation is exciting and it will always be, and this is at the heart of it. And Long-term such a believer in it, but I think you're gonna see at least a little bit of a reshuffling an…”
Rebecca Kaden Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 36:09 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 17, 2023 neutral
Insight
Kaden: Slower Series A startups face severe fundraising difficulty
“On the other hand, I think anything with a complicated story, things that are figuring it out and are seeing some growth curve, but it took a while for that to figure it out, so maybe they had to spend some of that seed money, so their, you know, ultimate reve…”
Rebecca Kaden Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 17:55 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 17, 2023
Insight
Kim: Multi-stage funds write seed checks primarily to train junior partners
“And it's a, it's candidly, it's an effort for their earlier partners to get some experience because they're not going to be able to put growth in dollars to work because growth is harder. The traction needs to be higher. Now you're like, okay, well, why don't …”
Eurie Kim Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 11:36 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 17, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kaden: LPs are overallocated to venture capital amid a liquidity drought
“They've been over allocated to venture. The liquidity cycle isn't really there. They're nervous about these vintages.”
Rebecca Kaden Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 36:00 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 17, 2023
Insight
Kim: Long fund return lags obscure underperformance and shorten LP memory
“The lag is long. By the time you've had a bad fund, you might've had another good fund. You know, start to return. And so it all gets mixed in where, you know, the returns are happening from funds that are earlier than the bad ones that we have yet to see play…”
Eurie Kim Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 10:52 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 1, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Richter: Most DTC startups should raise angel capital, not VC
“I do think there were a lot of companies that ended up being venture backed when the better path would have been to raise an angel angel round, trying to get to profitability and actually scale the business to a 102 hundred million in revenue.”
Dominik Richter Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 35:24 Dominik Richter: You Only Have Two Options With VC Funding | E1089 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 1, 2023
Insight
Richter: VC-backed founders seeking long-term control must go public
“If you want to keep being in charge for a long time and you have raised venture, in the end, you need to go public. That's pretty clear.”
Dominik Richter Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 27:03 Dominik Richter: You Only Have Two Options With VC Funding | E1089 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 1, 2023 neutral
Insight
Richter: Raising VC forces founders to either sell or IPO
“When you raise a lot of venture capital, you need to make a decision. Are you gonna sell that company or are you gonna take it public?”
Dominik Richter Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 0:00 Dominik Richter: You Only Have Two Options With VC Funding | E1089 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 11, 2023 neutral
Insight
Corcos: VCs Have Far Greater Market Exposure Than Founders
“The reality is that VCs or investors broadly just have way more exposure than a founder does. If you're a founder and you're working on your one company for five years. You don't know what's going on outside of your company. You don't have the capacity. You're…”
Sam Corcos Dec 11, 2023 ▶ 31:38 Sam Corcos: Why Founders Should Take as Many VC Meetings as Possible | E1093 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 11, 2023 neutral
Insight
Stebbings: VC associates fall into research or outbound sales roles
“Being in the industry, there's kind of two functions or two types. One is like the research person who is just incredible depth and analysis, post meeting, benchmarking, landscape analysis, you name it. And the other is outbound sales prospecting. We can't mis…”
Harry Stebbings Dec 11, 2023 ▶ 45:11 Sam Corcos: Why Founders Should Take as Many VC Meetings as Possible | E1093 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 15, 2023
Insight
Davis Smith: VCs require a path to $1B in revenue
“Venture capital is not going to fund that business. You need to go build something that's going to do a billion dollars in revenue.”
Davis Smith Dec 15, 2023 ▶ 33:25 Davis Smith: From Selling $6M of Pool Tables to Scaling Cotopaxi to $150M in Revenues | E1095 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 15, 2023
Insight
Smith: Entrepreneurs misunderstand the scale required for venture capital
“I think a lot of entrepreneurs don't understand how big and ambitious the idea needs to be to go raise venture capital.”
Davis Smith Dec 15, 2023 ▶ 33:10 Davis Smith: From Selling $6M of Pool Tables to Scaling Cotopaxi to $150M in Revenues | E1095 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 18, 2023 positive
Insight
Lacaillade: Venture Capital Displays Stronger Return Persistence Around Brand Than Buyouts
“Although that's probably more true in buyouts, I think, ah, where the track record piece, because in venture there is brand, right? And there is, I think, more persistence of returns around brand.”
Peter Lacaillade Dec 18, 2023 ▶ 1:18:20 Peter Lacaillade: Why Now is the Best Time to Invest in Emerging Managers | E1096 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 4, 2024
Insight
Lemkin: Extremely wealthy VCs must raise billions to see financial impact
“Now, if you're too rich in venture, you just have to raise billions and billions and billions. That's the only way.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 4, 2024 ▶ 9:53 Jason Lemkin: Predictions for 2024 - What Does a Trump Administration do for Startups? | E1099 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 4, 2024
Insight
Lemkin: Long-term VCs must be driven by accumulating wealth
“I really think it, to go long in this business, you, you've just gotta to bleed money. You've got to want to put the zeros and ones in your bank account, or what's the point?”
Jason Lemkin Jan 4, 2024 ▶ 7:11 Jason Lemkin: Predictions for 2024 - What Does a Trump Administration do for Startups? | E1099 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 4, 2024 negative
Opinion
Salary-dependent VCs focused on downside protection are toxic
“I think there is a category of Lifer VC with no other opportunity that are mediocre investment investors that are, can be inadvertently toxic. They can be so focused on the downside. They need their million dollar salary. There's nothing, they have no other po…”
Jason Lemkin Jan 4, 2024 ▶ 8:10 Jason Lemkin: Predictions for 2024 - What Does a Trump Administration do for Startups? | E1099 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 4, 2024 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: VCs claim macroeconomic vision but only care about personal returns
“VCs try to claim they're these big macro folks, but they really care about their own pocketbooks.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 4, 2024 ▶ 1:03:08 Jason Lemkin: Predictions for 2024 - What Does a Trump Administration do for Startups? | E1099 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 12, 2024 bearish
Assertion Supported
Rabois: Venture capital returns outside the top funds are horrific
“The general returns in venture are not strong at all. The general returns in 7580, and if you normalize against, like, the two hot periods of the last 50 years, like, 1996, 99, and take out, like, I 2019 and 21. The returns are horrific except in maybe the top…”
Keith Rabois Jan 12, 2024 ▶ 53:28 Keith Rabois on Rejoining Khosla Ventures | E1102 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 12, 2024
Opinion
Stebbings: Top venture investors cannot be home for dinner every night
“You can be like eight out of 10 good and be there for dinner, I think, but if you want to be like 9.9 out of 10, which you have to be in venture, I don't think you can be home for dinner every night.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 12, 2024 ▶ 1:06:59 Keith Rabois on Rejoining Khosla Ventures | E1102 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 12, 2024
Insight
Rabois: Unique venture strategies take years for competitors to copy
“Eventually all strategies and venture people learn that they're effective and Can reverse engineer them, but you may have a five or 10 year window before that's the case.”
Keith Rabois Jan 12, 2024 ▶ 1:14:38 Keith Rabois on Rejoining Khosla Ventures | E1102 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 15, 2024
Insight
Brian Halligan advises startups with inexperienced venture boards to recruit independent directors
“I think it's important if your VCs haven't built companies before, or their pattern matching is light, they're new having a great independent is worth its weight in gold.”
Brian Halligan Jan 15, 2024 ▶ 1:11:07 Brian Halligan: Leadership Lessons Scaling Hubspot to $28BN | E1103 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 15, 2024 negative
Opinion
Brian Halligan argues AUM-driven management fees created an oversupply of venture capital
“I do, I think this tendency to grow the AOM because you get management fees on the AOM and limb off those management fees, and there's such a long timeline on, on where the returns are coming in. I think that's just incredibly tempting to general partners and …”
Brian Halligan Jan 15, 2024 ▶ 1:14:45 Brian Halligan: Leadership Lessons Scaling Hubspot to $28BN | E1103 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 22, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fisher: Early venture capital was adversarial and paternalistic toward founders
“I worked back then at a time where it was much more adversarial relationship with entrepreneurs. The VCs kind of acted as if they knew what they were doing, that they knew the right way. A lot of these VCs were former Maybe entrepreneurs themselves, or at leas…”
Adam Fisher Jan 22, 2024 ▶ 3:57 Adam Fisher: Why Small Markets are Better Than Big Markets | E1106 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 22, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Fisher: Oversupply of venture capital limits industry-wide success
“I do worry, for instance, in venture capital that there's still far too much capital to make this a business that we can all do, or even a lot of us can do well in.”
Adam Fisher Jan 22, 2024 ▶ 1:10:13 Adam Fisher: Why Small Markets are Better Than Big Markets | E1106 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stebbings: Venture Capital Will Never Return to a High-Margin Boutique Model
“I don't think we ever go back to that boutique high margin business. I think we've forever private-equitized or hedge fundized. Our business has changed so seismically, and there's not a going back, just like hedge funds are the asset allocation industry that …”
Harry Stebbings Jan 29, 2024 ▶ 6:08 Ryan Akkina: How MIT Builds Their Venture Fund Portfolio & How MIT Approach Direct Investing | E1109 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Akkina: Venture capital is a secular growth industry despite cycles
“I think this is something that only goes one direction, and of course there will be cycles, like right now in things to You know, having a bad spell the past few years, it's become a little less popular and there's a little less competition, but I think that i…”
Ryan Akkina Jan 29, 2024 ▶ 6:27 Ryan Akkina: How MIT Builds Their Venture Fund Portfolio & How MIT Approach Direct Investing | E1109 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2024 negative
Insight
Akkina: Generating consistent public market alpha is harder than venture
“I just find it much easier for me and my personality to I think generate alpha on the private side. I mean, the public side is always becoming more competitive. You think, if you think venture is competitive, try making alpha versus you know, the NASDAQ, right…”
Ryan Akkina Jan 29, 2024 ▶ 43:38 Ryan Akkina: How MIT Builds Their Venture Fund Portfolio & How MIT Approach Direct Investing | E1109 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 31, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kellogg: VCs stop calling SaaS startups with CAC payback exceeding 24-36 months
“I do think somewhere around 24 to 36 months people stop calling you back, so you have a different problem. It doesn't matter how good your story is if you don't get the meaning.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 6:54 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2024 negative
Insight
Tisch: VCs never cause startup success, only failure
“The company's either going to work or not work. And you are not the reason for either of those two things. If anything, you're the reason it's not going to work.”
David Tisch Feb 5, 2024 ▶ 1:30:36 David Tisch & Terrence Rohan: Biggest Misconceptions & Hardest Truths About Seed Investing | E1112 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2024 neutral
Insight
Rohan: Venture capital power dynamics have flipped to favor founders
“Everything and what you're really having is like, I think the founders went from, or the VCs kind of went from the customers to now the founders of the customers.”
Terrence Rohan Feb 5, 2024 ▶ 15:33 David Tisch & Terrence Rohan: Biggest Misconceptions & Hardest Truths About Seed Investing | E1112 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2024 neutral
Insight
Rohan: Founders should aim to make venture capital optional after seed
“I think it's the right way to look at venture is like, you know, raise, raise that initial capital. And if you get to the point where venture capital is optional and you can dip in and dip out, that's the ultimate. And you've, you know, you choose your own des…”
Terrence Rohan Feb 5, 2024 ▶ 1:08:30 David Tisch & Terrence Rohan: Biggest Misconceptions & Hardest Truths About Seed Investing | E1112 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2024
Insight
Tisch: Investors won't last long without human alignment with founders
“And if you as the human investor Aren't aligned with that journey on the down and on the other side, aligned with the journey on the up as a human. I don't think you're going to be in this business for very long.”
David Tisch Feb 5, 2024 ▶ 13:16 David Tisch & Terrence Rohan: Biggest Misconceptions & Hardest Truths About Seed Investing | E1112 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2024
Insight
Tisch: Pre-Series B investing is art, post-Series B is math
“I think venture is two different jobs. There's the pre-series B job, and there's the post-series B job, and I don't think they have any relation to each other. I think at pre-series B, you are doing more art, and at post-series B, you are doing more math.”
David Tisch Feb 5, 2024 ▶ 25:27 David Tisch & Terrence Rohan: Biggest Misconceptions & Hardest Truths About Seed Investing | E1112 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2024 negative
Insight
Tisch: All VC firms offer the same commoditized product
“I think at the end of the day, for the most part, all VCs offer the same product. We are giving money and we are taking equity. What comes after that is obfuscated in a sales pitch.”
David Tisch Feb 5, 2024 ▶ 5:42 David Tisch & Terrence Rohan: Biggest Misconceptions & Hardest Truths About Seed Investing | E1112 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2024 negative
Opinion
Tisch: Outside the top 25 VCs, investors are commodities or net negatives
“I don't think outside of the top five to 25 VCs, individuals, that VCs can magically impact a company. I think most of those investors join your board at series A or B, and they, those five to 25, whatever the number is, and the rest of the investment Sort of …”
David Tisch Feb 5, 2024 ▶ 1:23:47 David Tisch & Terrence Rohan: Biggest Misconceptions & Hardest Truths About Seed Investing | E1112 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2024 positive
Insight
Tisch: Venture power law ensures top incumbent firms stay dominant
“The best firms in venture have the highest probability of being the best firms in the future, because brand matters, the quality of investors at that brand matter, and they're going to see and win better than the challengers are.”
David Tisch Feb 5, 2024 ▶ 56:38 David Tisch & Terrence Rohan: Biggest Misconceptions & Hardest Truths About Seed Investing | E1112 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2024 positive
Insight
Rohan: Brand is the most potent currency in venture capital
“I think the more interesting point as opposed to naming names is, I think brand is a very interesting, like not well discussed, not well understood, but probably the most potent currency in venture.”
Terrence Rohan Feb 5, 2024 ▶ 1:16:29 David Tisch & Terrence Rohan: Biggest Misconceptions & Hardest Truths About Seed Investing | E1112 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 9, 2024
Insight
Leone: Price-insensitive VC strategies fail when bull markets end
“But if your attitude is invest, invest, invest, price don't matter, that is going to serve you well in a momentum driven economy, and may serve you well for one fund cycle, maybe two fund cycles, as long as the momentum increases. You've got a public market ad…”
Doug Leone Feb 9, 2024 ▶ 4:37 20VC: Doug Leone, Bill Ackman, Bill Gurley and Orlando Bravo on "Does Price Matter"; When to Pay Up vs When to Stay Disciplined, The Biggest Lessons on Price Discipline from 8 of the World's Best Investors
Feb 9, 2024 negative
Opinion
Gerstner: Unchecked VC valuation frenzy severely damaged founders
“What has happened over the last 24 months has been a great disservice to founders and is the worst example, I think, of lack of discipline.”
Brad Gerstner Feb 9, 2024 ▶ 21:26 20VC: Doug Leone, Bill Ackman, Bill Gurley and Orlando Bravo on "Does Price Matter"; When to Pay Up vs When to Stay Disciplined, The Biggest Lessons on Price Discipline from 8 of the World's Best Investors
Feb 12, 2024 bullish
Disclosure
Taussig: Vinted is no longer raising venture capital
“We're not raising venture capital anymore. We're looking at our cash flow and saying, how do we want to invest that cash flow next year?”
Alex Taussig Feb 12, 2024 ▶ 37:38 Thomas Plantenga & Alex Taussig: Vinted CEO's Ultimate Guide to Scaling Marketplaces | E1114 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 19, 2024 negative
Opinion
Ehrenberg: VCs Are Value-Destructive Unless Humble About Their Limitations
“I don't know about the percentage, Harry, but I do think that there is something to the general view that VCs think a lot of themselves and probably attribute more skill than they act to themselves than they actually have. I think unless a VC is, is proactivel…”
Roger Ehrenberg Feb 19, 2024 ▶ 1:18:49 Roger Ehrenberg: Why VC Returns Will Get Worse & Why LP Incentive Structures are so Broken | E1117 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 19, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ehrenberg: Early-Stage Venture Capital Will Never Be Commoditized
“Venture is never going to be commoditized. Maybe mid and late stage will feel more like institutional asset management, but I think incubation, pre-seed, and seed will always occupy a different place.”
Roger Ehrenberg Feb 19, 2024 ▶ 0:06 Roger Ehrenberg: Why VC Returns Will Get Worse & Why LP Incentive Structures are so Broken | E1117 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 19, 2024 negative
Opinion
Ehrenberg: Corporate venture LPs are cyclical and fair-weather investors
“So I think that corporates, I don't even need to make the argument. They are fair weather and they are cyclical. So as a generalization, there are obviously a few that are in it for the long haul, but it is very much a fruit of the day.”
Roger Ehrenberg Feb 19, 2024 ▶ 16:41 Roger Ehrenberg: Why VC Returns Will Get Worse & Why LP Incentive Structures are so Broken | E1117 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 19, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ehrenberg: Underperforming VC Firms Face a Slow-Motion Train Wreck
“I think there is a whole swath of the industry that is going, it's like a slow motion train wreck. They are not going to be able to raise new funds.”
Roger Ehrenberg Feb 19, 2024 ▶ 34:19 Roger Ehrenberg: Why VC Returns Will Get Worse & Why LP Incentive Structures are so Broken | E1117 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 19, 2024 neutral
Prediction Held up
Ehrenberg: Late-Stage Venture Capital Will Face Hedge Fund-Style Fee Compression
“So what I would expect is a normalization that would look a lot like the hedge fund industry where smaller Longer dated, higher returns, differentiated managers will still command premium fees, and then more mature strategies, late-stage growth, pre-IPO, massi…”
Roger Ehrenberg Feb 19, 2024 ▶ 13:23 Roger Ehrenberg: Why VC Returns Will Get Worse & Why LP Incentive Structures are so Broken | E1117 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 19, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Ehrenberg: Inflow of sovereign and family office capital into VC is permanent
“If there's no going back because there are now these much larger firms that are institutionally investable that can take sovereign money and, you know, massive family office money in that trend, that wave is just going to continue.”
Roger Ehrenberg Feb 19, 2024 ▶ 10:50 Roger Ehrenberg: Why VC Returns Will Get Worse & Why LP Incentive Structures are so Broken | E1117 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 19, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roger Ehrenberg: Continuation Funds Will Be the Primary VC Liquidity Source
“I think probably the greatest source of liquidity now is going to be continuation files, and it's going to be existing portfolios, raising money from net new investors, yet it reflects today's valuations, and you basically get fresh capital to join the partner…”
Roger Ehrenberg Feb 19, 2024 ▶ 26:36 Roger Ehrenberg: Why VC Returns Will Get Worse & Why LP Incentive Structures are so Broken | E1117 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 19, 2024
Assertion Supported
Ehrenberg: Sovereign wealth funds have become ubiquitous across venture capital
“I mean, sovereigns were not major players in the last cycle of VC and now sovereigns are everywhere.”
Roger Ehrenberg Feb 19, 2024 ▶ 9:04 Roger Ehrenberg: Why VC Returns Will Get Worse & Why LP Incentive Structures are so Broken | E1117 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 19, 2024
Insight
Ehrenberg: The best founders use VCs for psychological support, not dependence
“I think the best founders aren't dependent. I think the best founders benefit from really good VCs to act as a sounding board, especially in those earliest days and to give them honestly, empathy and psychological support, because that is often the hardest thi…”
Roger Ehrenberg Feb 19, 2024 ▶ 1:17:42 Roger Ehrenberg: Why VC Returns Will Get Worse & Why LP Incentive Structures are so Broken | E1117 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 19, 2024 neutral
Insight
Ehrenberg: Venture Capital Returns Below 10% Fail to Compensate for Illiquidity
“If you could get risk adjusted returns of. 12 to 15%, that's pretty freaking good. If it's below 10%, then you're not getting paid for the risk. Right, so there's, it's what is the premium that you're willing to accept Above liquid strategies over long periods…”
Roger Ehrenberg Feb 19, 2024 ▶ 24:37 Roger Ehrenberg: Why VC Returns Will Get Worse & Why LP Incentive Structures are so Broken | E1117 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 28, 2024
Insight
Sami Inkinen warns removing a VC is harder than replacing a co-founder
“Cause you really, it's easier to get rid of your co-founder than your VC and on, on the board.”
Sami Inkinen Feb 28, 2024 ▶ 1:09:55 Sami Inkinen: "Why the Two Weeks Following Our IPO Were the Worst of my Life" | E1120 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 28, 2024 positive
Opinion
Inkinen: Top founders purposely select and leverage the bundled VC offering
“It's false, and here's why. The best founders recognize that this bundle, what VCs often deliver, is a bundle of three things. Capital, advice, and for better or worse, onboard governance. Capital, advice, governance, often is a bundle and you can't unbundle i…”
Sami Inkinen Feb 28, 2024 ▶ 1:08:53 Sami Inkinen: "Why the Two Weeks Following Our IPO Were the Worst of my Life" | E1120 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 6, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Wagner: Excessive fund scale gets in the way of VC excellence
“The adventure is a scale game. Like, I think it actually kind of runs quite the opposite, that excessive scale, you know, gets in the way of excellence. So, you know, you can be too small too, you know, don't get me wrong, and scale, scale has its benefits, bu…”
Peter Wagner Mar 6, 2024 ▶ 56:55 Peter Wagner: 27 Years of Investing Lessons of Picking Founders, Price Discipline & Reserve | E1123 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 6, 2024 positive
Insight
Wagner: Word of mouth and personal touch no longer cover modern VC market
“Well, the industry has scaled to the point where you know, just things like word of mouth and direct personal touch you know, are insufficient to reach the market, and even though I happen to prefer working that way but I just have to get over myself a little …”
Peter Wagner Mar 6, 2024 ▶ 53:11 Peter Wagner: 27 Years of Investing Lessons of Picking Founders, Price Discipline & Reserve | E1123 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 6, 2024 bullish
Assertion Supported
Wagner: History shows predictions of lower VC returns have always been wrong
“Yeah, no, and we've heard this before. We've, I mean, this type of statement has been made at multiple times, even just during, you know, the time that I've been in the business and it's been wrong every time.”
Peter Wagner Mar 6, 2024 ▶ 47:32 Peter Wagner: 27 Years of Investing Lessons of Picking Founders, Price Discipline & Reserve | E1123 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 6, 2024
Insight
Wagner: VC partners are rarely punished for consensus mistakes
“There's this kind of safety in the herd thing, and I, a belief within, you know, firms and partners, and not incorrect, that if they're making the same mistake that everyone else in the industry is making, they probably won't be punished for it, because, you k…”
Peter Wagner Mar 6, 2024 ▶ 3:57 Peter Wagner: 27 Years of Investing Lessons of Picking Founders, Price Discipline & Reserve | E1123 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 6, 2024 neutral
Insight
Wagner: Early VC Success Builds Credibility but Can Delay Crucial Lessons
“You know, it's a double edged sword, right? So it can be very good in terms of building some credibility and some reputation. And that certainly was the case, you know, for me. And so it brought, You know, maybe sort of more relevant and interesting to founder…”
Peter Wagner Mar 6, 2024 ▶ 2:30 Peter Wagner: 27 Years of Investing Lessons of Picking Founders, Price Discipline & Reserve | E1123 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 8, 2024 negative
Opinion
Cassidy: VCs are notoriously bad at making hiring recommendations
“Investors are notoriously bad hiring recommenders. I'm sure I know you're different, but most, most investors and VCs like They make a recommendation, and my advice would be like, just, no.”
Brendon Cassidy Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 18:27 Brendon Cassidy: Why You Should Never Hire Someone You Do Not Know in Your First Five Hires | E1124 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 13, 2024
Insight
Narayanan: Avoiding bad investments is venture capital's biggest opportunity
“I actually think that good investments are relatively, I mean, there may be this one great investment that nobody knows about, and those are hard, and I agree with that. But if you think about the good investment, very quickly, everyone knows about it. It's no…”
Chandra Narayanan Mar 13, 2024 ▶ 15:08 Chandra Narayanan: Top 5 Lessons from Leading Analytics at Facebook | E1126 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 22, 2024
Disclosure
Harry Stebbings admits venture capitalists constantly pander to founders and LPs
“As a VC, I constantly pander to founders and to LPs.”
Harry Stebbings Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 9:26 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 25, 2024
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Clark: 30 companies yearly drive over half of global VC exit value
“Venture is a power law industry, and it's one percent of the exits that ultimately generate the bulk of the returns created by the entire industry globally. So we're looking at around 30 companies a year that generate more than half of the total exit value for…”
David Clark Mar 25, 2024 ▶ 7:56 David Clark: Lessons from 32 Years of Fund Investing - Why Exits Will Be Larger | E1131 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 25, 2024 negative
Insight
Clark: LPs prioritize capital deployment over 15-year fund performance
“Most LPs probably aren't going to be in the same job when that feedback comes. So they're more worried about deploying than they are about what happens 15 years down the line when, you know, when the performance data is, is actually in.”
David Clark Mar 25, 2024 ▶ 32:02 David Clark: Lessons from 32 Years of Fund Investing - Why Exits Will Be Larger | E1131 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 27, 2024
Insight
Dixon: The internet unbundled traditional venture capital firm brands
“I think that the internet changed the way that information flowed for sure. And I think probably unbundled a lot of brand and venture.”
Chris Dixon Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 49:19 Chris Dixon: Who Will Win the Next Generation of Venture? | E1132 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 27, 2024 negative
Opinion
Dixon: Remote work does not work for venture capital investing
“I, I've come to think it's, especially in our business, just doesn't work.”
Chris Dixon Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 59:37 Chris Dixon: Who Will Win the Next Generation of Venture? | E1132 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 27, 2024 neutral
Insight
Dixon: Two Main Venture Capital Strategies Work — Heat Seeking and Truffle Hunting
“I think there's sort of broadly two methods that work in venture, heat seeking and truffle hunting.”
Chris Dixon Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 0:06 Chris Dixon: Who Will Win the Next Generation of Venture? | E1132 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 27, 2024 negative
Insight
Chris Dixon: Selling winning investments early is the worst VC strategy
“Look at the history of venture capital, like selling your winners is the worst possible strategy, and the things that aren't winners don't move the needle on funds. Like, it's just not how venture capital works.”
Chris Dixon Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 40:34 Chris Dixon: Who Will Win the Next Generation of Venture? | E1132 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 3, 2024
Insight
Stephens: Large VC Funds Require $10B+ Winners for Economics to Work
“For large funds, the economics only really work if you have a 10 plus billion dollar winner in every fund. Or more than one in, in most cases.”
Trae Stephens Apr 3, 2024 ▶ 28:23 Trae Stephens: Why No Company is Successful Because of their VC | E1135 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 3, 2024 positive
Opinion
Stephens: Venture Capital Would Be Better if Dominated by Founders
“I think it would be better and more interesting if it were because I think that most of the advice that I've gotten the most out of is from existing founders or former founders or operators. Like they're the ones that have lived in those shoes. They're the one…”
Trae Stephens Apr 3, 2024 ▶ 1:08:22 Trae Stephens: Why No Company is Successful Because of their VC | E1135 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 3, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Stephens: Losing $20M Is Cheap for Learning Venture Capital
“Twenty million sounds low. I mean, if you only lose twenty million dollars figuring out how to do this, then that's pretty good.”
Trae Stephens Apr 3, 2024 ▶ 13:06 Trae Stephens: Why No Company is Successful Because of their VC | E1135 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 3, 2024 negative
Disclosure
Stephens: Almost Left Venture Capital During 2021 Market Peak
“Like I was on the verge of just leaving venture capital.”
Trae Stephens Apr 3, 2024 ▶ 23:50 Trae Stephens: Why No Company is Successful Because of their VC | E1135 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 8, 2024 negative
Insight
Lehmann: Top VCs and hype cannot change startup outcomes
“A lot of times even the great VCs and a lot of hype can't really change the outcome of a company.”
Bastian Lehmann Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 15:16 Bastian Lehmann: How the Uber Deal Went Down and How a $2.65BN Deal Turned into $5BN | E1137 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 8, 2024 negative
Opinion
Bastian Lehmann: 99% of VCs are sheep who lack independent thinking
“I would probably today say that 99% are sheep.”
Bastian Lehmann Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 39:52 Bastian Lehmann: How the Uber Deal Went Down and How a $2.65BN Deal Turned into $5BN | E1137 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 8, 2024 negative
Insight
Lehmann: Mismatched expectations are the top source of founder-VC friction
“No, it's expectations more in the sense when and sort of how, and I think there, there's a lot of friction there in general.”
Bastian Lehmann Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 1:05:04 Bastian Lehmann: How the Uber Deal Went Down and How a $2.65BN Deal Turned into $5BN | E1137 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2024 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2029
Kevin Ryan: VCs will deploy existing dry powder over five years
“There's another characteristic in our business is there's actually a lot of VC money. You know, there's tons of cash sitting on the sidelines. That money is not going to be given back. That money is going to be spent. We're only debating whether people are goi…”
Kevin Ryan Apr 10, 2024 ▶ 11:21 Kevin Ryan: Are the Best CEOs the Best Fundraisers & Why Ownership Should Not Be a Focus in VC|E1138 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
30% of VCs Reject Pitch Decks Unseen Due to Prior Sector Losses
“I see it all the time when we have a company going out and we approach 10 VCs and three of them will say, I invested in this sector eight years ago and I lost all my money. They haven't even read the deck yet”
Kevin Ryan Apr 10, 2024 ▶ 15:39 Kevin Ryan: Are the Best CEOs the Best Fundraisers & Why Ownership Should Not Be a Focus in VC|E1138 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kevin Ryan: Vast majority of venture rounds are not preempted
“There's, I think you're being misled by the 10 supposed hottest deals who get preempted. That's not where the industry is. The vast majority of things are not being preempted. They're going out. They're raising good rounds. They take a couple of years to be re…”
Kevin Ryan Apr 10, 2024 ▶ 52:44 Kevin Ryan: Are the Best CEOs the Best Fundraisers & Why Ownership Should Not Be a Focus in VC|E1138 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 24, 2024
Insight
Zaparde: VC-founder misalignment stems from portfolio math versus all-in commitment
“It's like the time horizon, maybe and like how much the outcome matters, right? I mean, ultimately, like for an investor, this is one of whatever number of portfolio companies they have, you know, of course, the dynamics are such that, you know, only one, mayb…”
Rujul Zaparde Apr 24, 2024 ▶ 56:55 Rujul Zaparde: Why Hiring Inexperienced People is Better | E1144 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 1, 2024 negative
Insight
Mark Suster: All investors act like sheep and follow herd mentality
“All investors are sheep. End of story. Like, I don't want to pick on LPs, like LPs are no different than VCs. They're no different than retail investors.”
Mark Suster May 1, 2024 ▶ 20:54 Mark Suster: Why Private Equity Will Replace IPOs and M&A as the Exit Path | E1147 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 positive
Insight
Hulme: Founders and VCs should take secondary liquidity to minimize regret
“And my recommendation often to founders, often to VCs is to take some money off the table. It's a classic place. I like to apply a kind of regret minimization framework. Will you regret taking 10% or 20% off the table in this round? Probably not. Will you regr…”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 16:19 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 negative
Opinion
Hulme: Requiring every VC investment to be a fund-returner is flawed
“I think, ah, a lot of VC strategy is a lagging indicator of what did work in the past, and the test, Or the experiment that worked very well in the past is funds with 25 portfolio companies, power law of returns, and one or two return the whole fund, and then …”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 40:18 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 negative
Opinion
Hulme: Venture capital is undoubtedly a game of access
“Look, without doubt it is. I think it would be really unfair to say that actually everyone has even access.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 32:54 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024
Insight
Hulme: VC learning depends on deal cadence over time, not cash losses
“The learning cycle is number of deals and time To see how they do. And so for me, it looks more like five deals over five years to figure out, actually, if you're building the muscle and you're learning, then it looks like an absolute quantum of cash.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 23:38 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 neutral
Insight
Hulme: Venture capital is like being a founder on antidepressants
“Venture capital. It's like being a founder on antidepressants. You basically have all of the highs, just not as high. All of the lows, just not as low.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 0:00 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 15, 2024 negative
Insight
Siroker: Investors' job is just capital and doing no harm
“The one thing that really kills me is when I see a founder playing the victim here and say, well, my investors didn't help me enough. Like, That's not their job. Their job is to give you money and hopefully do no harm.”
Dan Siroker May 15, 2024 ▶ 51:06 Dan Siroker: Second-Time Founders Are More Investable & Why Not To Hire People Out of College |E1153 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 15, 2024 negative
Insight
Siroker: Founders should never accept over 1x non-participating preferred liquidation preference
“Never take more than One X non-participating preferred liquidation preference.”
Dan Siroker May 15, 2024 ▶ 54:01 Dan Siroker: Second-Time Founders Are More Investable & Why Not To Hire People Out of College |E1153 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 27, 2024 negative
Insight
Lemkin: VCs Conduct Zero Diligence on Follow-On Investments
“There's zero diligence for these checks. None for these follow on checks, right? As long as the top line looks good, no one ever checks anything below the top line. There's no diligence, no customer calls, no nothing, right?”
Jason Lemkin May 27, 2024 ▶ 38:30 Jason Lemkin: Why Pricing is Worse Than Ever and There is More Funding Than Ever | E1157 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 27, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: LPs Are Giving VCs Mulligans on 2021 Funds to Focus on AI Deals
“Everyone's getting a mulligan. Everyone is getting, the LPs have decided they just, there's no point in being a critic for your, A hundred X deals in 20, 21. We're gonna more be a critic for your hundred X AI deals in 20, 24, but the 20, 21 deals are behind us…”
Jason Lemkin May 27, 2024 ▶ 27:19 Jason Lemkin: Why Pricing is Worse Than Ever and There is More Funding Than Ever | E1157 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 31, 2024 neutral
Insight
Stebbings: VCs can be world-class even with a 90% failure rate
“Can you imagine like a chef in a restaurant where 90% of the meals they produce can be terrible, the worst. As long as 10% are great, you are, you can be the best in the world.”
Harry Stebbings May 31, 2024 ▶ 34:34 Matt Lerner: How to Hire Growth Leaders and Teams and Why in a World of AI | E1159 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 3, 2024 positive
Insight
Lemkin: Founders Shouldn't Stress About Losing Single-Digit Millions for VCs
“But I worried too much as a founder. I remember about losing single digit millions for my VCs. I shouldn't have worried about it. It was bad for them and it was bad for me. I should, I stressed it too much. Like they can survive. You know, a four hundred milli…”
Jason Lemkin Jun 3, 2024 ▶ 13:22 Jason Lemkin: PluralSight S*** the Bed & The Next IPO Candidates | E1160 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 17, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Danny Rimer: Future VC will split into aggregators and artisans
“I mean, of course, we're trying to wedge ourselves in between, right? That's the plan, but I agree with you. I think there will be asset aggregators and artisans, and what we're trying to be, what we talk about internally, is scaled artisans.”
Danny Rimer Jun 17, 2024 ▶ 31:53 Danny Rimer: The Biggest Lessons from Missing Snap, Airbnb, Spotify and Facebook | E1166 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 19, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Eisenberg: Venture Capital Performance Declines as Investors Age
“You know, I don't ignore the data which says as you get older in this business, you don't do as well”
Michael Eisenberg Jun 19, 2024 ▶ 59:59 Michael Eisenberg: How China Could Overtake the US in the AI Race | E1167 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 28, 2024 negative
Opinion
Vasavada: VCs Maintain Flawed Ethos That Startups Must Scale Quickly
“VCs have built this ethos that if it doesn't get big fast, it's never going to get big.”
Samir Vasavada Jun 28, 2024 ▶ 14:31 Samir Vasavada: The Real Story of Vise: The Regrets, Mistakes and Mis-Hires | E1171 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 1, 2024 positive
Insight
Matt Clifford: VC Preference for Familiar Co-Founders Is Survivorship Bias
“You can start a company with a stranger. You know, I think a lot of the conventional wisdom on who you should start companies with is just survivorship bias.”
Matt Clifford Jul 1, 2024 ▶ 1:01:37 Matt Clifford: The Bull & Bear Case for China's Ability to Challenge the US' AI Capabilities | E1172 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 3, 2024
Insight
Eyal: Private VC insight provides no edge in public market trading
“The fact that you've known how the company operates in the private sector does not mean that you know how the company trades in a public market, where it's at the whims of trading machines, of hedge funds of other people that can manipulate the stock price and…”
Avi Eyal Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 34:49 Avi Eyal: Making $2.3BN on Monday, Stripe & PillPack from Entrée Capital MP | E1173 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 8, 2024 negative
Insight
Grady: Venture capital has devolved into passive order taking
“And the venture business in the last several years has turned into a business of order taking. And it's a business of order taking in the sense that a lot of companies are raising money rounds are happening frequently. And when the round comes along, you raise…”
Pat Grady Jul 8, 2024 ▶ 29:51 Pat Grady: Sequoia Partner on Investing Lessons from Doug Leone, Roelof Botha and Alfred Lin | E1174 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 8, 2024 positive
Insight
Grady: Mid-career investors make the best venture capital pickers
“A lot of times the sort of mid-career investors can be the best because they have both the right attitude and the right experience.”
Pat Grady Jul 8, 2024 ▶ 54:11 Pat Grady: Sequoia Partner on Investing Lessons from Doug Leone, Roelof Botha and Alfred Lin | E1174 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 15, 2024
Insight
Motamedi: Uncompetitive VCs Fail Slowly Due to Lagging Signals
“And if you're wired that way, I think it doesn't matter if you're 20 years old, 30 years old, 40 years old, 50 years old. But I think if you're not wired that way, you're dead. And it takes a while to notice, given the lagging nature of our business.”
Saam Motamedi Jul 15, 2024 ▶ 3:00 Saam Motamedi: Why Series B Won’t Make Money & Why $1M ARR is a BS Milestone for Series A | E1177 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 24, 2024 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
Lemkin: Venture capital market has faced three years without liquidity
“There's no liquidity in venture today. It's a disaster. It's three years of no liquidity. There's none. It's dried up.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 24, 2024 ▶ 14:15 Jason Lemkin: Crowdstrike, WTF Happens From Here? Wiz Rejects Google’s $23BN Acquisition Offer|E1181 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 29, 2024 negative
Insight
Asparouhov: Venture capital is tech's most commoditized sector; brand is the only moat
“Venture is the most, you know, sort of commoditized let's say, you know, industry within, you know, sort of tech. You have no moat other than your brand. The product that you deliver at the end of the day is, you know, US dollars, just like anybody else can de…”
Delian Asparouhov Jul 29, 2024 ▶ 26:50 Delian Asparouhov: Inside the Walls of Founders Fund: What the World Does Not See | E1183 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 29, 2024 negative
Insight
Asparouhov: VC advice quality degrades without recent operational experience
“Unless you have been, you know, in a true operational day to day role, In the last, like, you know, sort of three to five years in some ways, your ability to significantly, you know, sort of provide, you know, high quality advice really degrades.”
Delian Asparouhov Jul 29, 2024 ▶ 52:18 Delian Asparouhov: Inside the Walls of Founders Fund: What the World Does Not See | E1183 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 31, 2024
Assertion Supported
Mollick: Average distance between a VC and portfolio company is 40 miles
“I mean, the average distance, at least pre-pandemic, I would, I'd be surprised if it actually changed. The average distance between a VC and a company to invest in is about 40 miles.”
Ethan Mollick Jul 31, 2024 ▶ 21:32 Ethan Mollick: Why OpenAl Abandons Products, The Biggest Opportunities They Have Not Taken | E1184 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 5, 2024
Insight
Cahn: Generating $1B+ Gains Is the Only Definition of Success in VC
“There is a definition of success in this business. You're either a slugger or you are not. If you are generating billion dollar gains, you are a slugger. Doug Leone is a slugger. Pat Grady is a slugger. And Jurita is a slugger, right? So you either are sluggin…”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2024 ▶ 51:16 David Cahn: Why Servers, Steel and Power Are the Pillars Powering the Future of AI | E1186 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 5, 2024
Insight
Cahn: Hardest part of VC is taking personal risk, not finding good deals
“And something I like to say to people is I don't think the hardest part of venture is figuring out what are the good companies. I think the hardest part of venture is figuring out when are you going to put your neck on the line for this company and all good pa…”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2024 ▶ 52:51 David Cahn: Why Servers, Steel and Power Are the Pillars Powering the Future of AI | E1186 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 7, 2024 negative
Disclosure
Stebbings: I ghost VCs who request agenda-less catch-up meetings
“I never know what to say, so I just ghost them.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 7, 2024 ▶ 1:34 Alexis Ohanian: The Full P&L Breakdown of the World's Most Valuable Women's Sports Team | E1187 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 7, 2024 negative
Opinion
Ohanian: Being an Elite Athlete Is Much Harder Than VC or Tech
“Being a professional athlete at that level is much harder than the work that we do, so I get that, like, it's just harder work as well”
Alexis Ohanian Aug 7, 2024 ▶ 1:15:28 Alexis Ohanian: The Full P&L Breakdown of the World's Most Valuable Women's Sports Team | E1187 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 9, 2024 negative
Opinion
Stebbings: Non-capital-intensive companies shouldn't raise VC for 5 years
“I think we should actually ban companies that are not, like, extremely capital intensive from raising for the first five years.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 13:35 Dax Dasilva: $900M ARR at $2.6BN Market Cap?! Lightspeed, The Most Undervalued Public Company |E1188 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 9, 2024 negative
Insight
Dasilva: SaaS Startups Shortcut Product Basics to Chase VC Metrics
“But when I've mentored companies that are building these SaaS solutions in order to have a track Tip metrics that are going to be interesting to VCs. They're shortcutting a lot of the product development and like they're the basics of building a business like …”
Dax Dasilva Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 0:22 Dax Dasilva: $900M ARR at $2.6BN Market Cap?! Lightspeed, The Most Undervalued Public Company |E1188 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 9, 2024 negative
Opinion
Harry Stebbings: Venture capitalists are better communicators than startup founders
“VCs are better at communicating than founders are.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 36:32 Dax Dasilva: $900M ARR at $2.6BN Market Cap?! Lightspeed, The Most Undervalued Public Company |E1188 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 9, 2024
Insight
Stebbings: VCs must master sales because venture capital is a commodity
“I think it's because VCs sell cash. And so you have to get really fucking good at selling. If it's like one dollar. Well, my dollar is prettier than your dollar.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 36:41 Dax Dasilva: $900M ARR at $2.6BN Market Cap?! Lightspeed, The Most Undervalued Public Company |E1188 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 26, 2024 negative
Opinion
Khan: Pushing for shorter IPO lockups signals insiders lack conviction
“A lot of the VCs, you know, I never like it, but a lot of the VCs push hard to shorter lockup. Hey, the stock goes up a lot and stays up For a certain period of time, then we can sell. But I think that's, if I were like an operator, you know, or a banker, I wo…”
Imran Khan Aug 26, 2024 ▶ 36:08 Imran Khan: Why the IPO Market is Not Closed & Lessons From Taking Snap & Alibaba Public | E1194 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 6, 2024 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
Chirls: VC is a Ponzi scheme guaranteeing 20% fees regardless of performance
“The venture Ponzi is you raise a fund, you take two percent management fees for 10 years guaranteed, it does not matter how well that fund does, and you've taken 20% of that fund and put it in your pocket.”
Nicholas Chirls Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 5:36 Nicholas Chirls: Why Big VCs Ruin Startups, VC is a Ponzi Scheme Today & Most VCs are Bankers |E1198 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 6, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chirls: No VC firm has ever determined a startup's success or failure
“I have never found that any investment we've made ever, or really any, I've never seen any VC Be truly the difference between success and failure of a company. Period.”
Nicholas Chirls Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 46:56 Nicholas Chirls: Why Big VCs Ruin Startups, VC is a Ponzi Scheme Today & Most VCs are Bankers |E1198 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 6, 2024 negative
Insight
Chirls: Stage, sector, and geo-focus are not sustainable VC advantages
“I think for the most part, stage, sector, geo-focuses these things get arbitraged away. They are not sustainable positions in venture, in my view. The only sustainable position is actually standing for something meaningful.”
Nicholas Chirls Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 12:17 Nicholas Chirls: Why Big VCs Ruin Startups, VC is a Ponzi Scheme Today & Most VCs are Bankers |E1198 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 6, 2024 positive
Opinion
Chirls: Only a small percentage of VCs actively destroy startup value
“In my experience, actually, it's a smaller percentage that actually destroy, like, when I think about lots of VCs in the community that we work with, like, there's not a long list of folks where I'm like, oh, this person is gonna be, like, dangerous to the com…”
Nicholas Chirls Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 51:42 Nicholas Chirls: Why Big VCs Ruin Startups, VC is a Ponzi Scheme Today & Most VCs are Bankers |E1198 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 6, 2024 negative
Insight
Chirls: VCs push founders to raise money for markups and promotions
“VCs are obviously incentivized for founders to think that or to be scared of that. Some ways it's a threat and there's all sorts of weird incentives in the middle, right? It's I'm raising my fund. I need to show some markups or I'm a trying to get a promotion …”
Nicholas Chirls Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 53:40 Nicholas Chirls: Why Big VCs Ruin Startups, VC is a Ponzi Scheme Today & Most VCs are Bankers |E1198 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 11, 2024 negative
Insight
Schneider: 'Seagull VCs' distract management without providing real assistance
“My terminology from experience is there are VCs that are seagulls, And here's my definition. They fly into a room, or fly into a meeting, fly into a location, they basically take a shit, and they fly away. They talk a lot, they give work to do for other people…”
David Schneider Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 55:15 David Schneider: Why the Worst VCs are "Seagull VCs" & VC Value Add - Is it Real? | E1200 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 16, 2024
Insight
Shah: Sins of omission matter more in VC than sins of commission
“I really think that the sins of omission Are much more significant than the sins of commission.”
Shardul Shah Sep 16, 2024 ▶ 30:05 Shardul Shah: How Index Makes Decisions & Why Benchmarks & Averages in VC are BS | E1202 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 16, 2024 positive
Insight
Shah: Team quality is far more important than market in VC
“Like, there's this canonical question, I think, in our industry. Is it the market or is it the team, right? And I think many great firms would argue that it's market. In my view, it's very clearly the team.”
Shardul Shah Sep 16, 2024 ▶ 8:03 Shardul Shah: How Index Makes Decisions & Why Benchmarks & Averages in VC are BS | E1202 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 16, 2024
Insight
Shah: Power law lets VC firms survive market cycles longer
“Given it's such a, and the industry is so driven by the power law, like, I think people can withstand cycles longer than we probably give them credit for.”
Shardul Shah Sep 16, 2024 ▶ 45:28 Shardul Shah: How Index Makes Decisions & Why Benchmarks & Averages in VC are BS | E1202 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 23, 2024 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gurski: Flo's success will make fundraising easier for future femtech founders
“Our success was so beneficial for the industry because you are VC and you know that VC are making decisions based on benchmarks. And now, like all VCs will start believing that it's possible to have a great success in this industry and all founders will have m…”
Dmitry Gurski Sep 23, 2024 ▶ 1:23:14 Dmitry Gurski: From Potato Farm to $200M in Revenue: The Never-Before-Told Story of Flo Health|E1205 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 16, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Perret: Average VC returns will decline as capital outpaces exceptional startups
“So I think, like, the average returns have to come down. Because like the amount of capital is going up and the amount of amazing companies is not necessarily going up at the same pace.”
Zach Perret Oct 16, 2024 ▶ 46:05 Zach Perret: Why ‘Founder Mode’ is the Most Dangerous Blog Post for Founders | E1215 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 16, 2024 negative
Opinion
Perret: The traditional venture capital product is largely played out
“So the question, is the VC product kind of played out? I think it's kind of played out.”
Zach Perret Oct 16, 2024 ▶ 46:24 Zach Perret: Why ‘Founder Mode’ is the Most Dangerous Blog Post for Founders | E1215 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 21, 2024 negative
Insight
Hamid: Venture capital is a business that does not scale with headcount
“It's, we think it's a business that doesn't scale, actually.”
Mamoon Hamid Oct 21, 2024 ▶ 21:35 Mamoon Hamid: AI - Where Value Accrues, Startups vs Incumbents & Scaling Laws | E1217 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 25, 2024 negative
Insight
Goldberg: VC has shifted from boutique partnerships to high-AUM platforms
“The direction of the industry, and I'm sure everybody who observes the industry would say the same thing, has been one of industrialization in the last decade. And when I say industrialization, what I mean is the boutique experience of, hey, there's going to b…”
Mark Goldberg Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 11:28 Mark Goldberg: Why Politics is Rife & Decision-Making is Broken in Large VCs | E1219 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 25, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stebbings: 90% of VCs don't add real value to startups
“Generally, 90% of VCs don't really add value.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 6:29 Mark Goldberg: Why Politics is Rife & Decision-Making is Broken in Large VCs | E1219 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 25, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stebbings: Most 2020-2021 vintage VC funds will fail to return 1x
“I don't think many of the 20, 21 vintage funds will return one X.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 38:01 Mark Goldberg: Why Politics is Rife & Decision-Making is Broken in Large VCs | E1219 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 25, 2024 negative
Insight
Goldberg: Knowing too much domain information can ruin Series A investing
“If you know too much, because the crazy ideas are crazy, right? Like they, You can out think yourself from any good series A by overthink. I've done it myself. I've seen other people do it. And I think knowing too much can actually be dangerous.”
Mark Goldberg Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 46:40 Mark Goldberg: Why Politics is Rife & Decision-Making is Broken in Large VCs | E1219 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 25, 2024 positive
Insight
Goldberg: Every VC should be required to fundraise to build founder empathy
“First off, I feel like every VC should have to fundraise just to be like table stakes as a VC.”
Mark Goldberg Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 25:37 Mark Goldberg: Why Politics is Rife & Decision-Making is Broken in Large VCs | E1219 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 25, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Goldberg: Typical Series A round sizes grew from $15M to $40M
“You know, I think I'm seeing deals in the market that are 30 to forty million dollars Series A's, and I think one thing you have seen or I've observed in the industry Is that A's that would have been fifteen million, you know, five years ago could be 30 to for…”
Mark Goldberg Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 13:39 Mark Goldberg: Why Politics is Rife & Decision-Making is Broken in Large VCs | E1219 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 30, 2024 negative
Opinion
Saarinen: VCs push founders to hire executive roles prematurely
“VCs? Tend to push you to hire more leadership people, but then it's not always the right time, or it's also tough to find the right person to like, at least for me, I'm again, looking for a fit in that leadership role. So I think there's way too much push on l…”
Karri Saarinen Oct 30, 2024 ▶ 31:26 Karri Saarinen: How to Grow Capital Efficiently in a World of BS Growth | E1221 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 11, 2024 negative
Opinion
Grimm: Venture capital lost its way by chasing quick fads
“I do think venture lost its way. And in pursuit of that kind of that, that early, that, that early fad, that next kind of quick trend, that next kind of, you know, quick pop.”
Matt Grimm Nov 11, 2024 ▶ 1:17:33 Matt Grimm, Co-Founder @Anduril: How a Trump Administration Changes the Defence Industry | E1224 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 13, 2024 negative
Opinion
Markus Villig: VCs Focused on Narrative Over Numbers and Were Wrong
“I think with VCs, it was their way around. So the numbers were great, but they didn't really focus on numbers. They sort of focused on what they thought was sort of the narrative in the industry. And that turned out to be completely wrong. So all these New Yor…”
Markus Villig Nov 13, 2024 ▶ 51:55 Markus Villig, Founder @Bolt: The Most Insane Story in Startups & The Future of Self-Driving| E1225 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 13, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Villig: VCs refused to invest in Bolt at $25M ARR
“We probably got to the point of doing about twenty-five million ARR, growing multiple hundred percent a year, and still no VCs wanted to invest.”
Markus Villig Nov 13, 2024 ▶ 0:09 Markus Villig, Founder @Bolt: The Most Insane Story in Startups & The Future of Self-Driving| E1225 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 13, 2024 negative
Opinion
Villig: 80% of VCs offer zero value beyond their capital
“I think there are some VCs who add value, but probably 80% of them just provide capital and that's it.”
Markus Villig Nov 13, 2024 ▶ 1:04:27 Markus Villig, Founder @Bolt: The Most Insane Story in Startups & The Future of Self-Driving| E1225 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 18, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stebbings: Venture capital feedback loops take 12 to 15 years
“One of the most challenging things about venture capital is it takes so long. It is the seven year football game, except it's not. Actually, it's 12 years. It's 15 years.”
Harry Stebbings Nov 18, 2024 ▶ 36:16 Alain De Botton: Why Status is Making You Miserable & Why Parents Want Their Kids to Fail · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 20, 2024
Insight
Sertoglu: VCs sell time, attention, and portfolio capacity, not cash
“I think our, what we sell is not our cash. The cash is available. It's I mean, the seed and a rounds are flush with New capital coming in all the time. So I think what we sell is our time and attention and capacity, and we're selling one of those 20 slots in t…”
Cem Sertoglu Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 23:49 Cem Sertoglu: Lessons from the Greatest Venture Investment in European History | E1228 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 20, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sertoglu: Early-stage VC cannot be commoditized or scaled with capital
“I don't think it is getting commoditized because it's limited. It's, you cannot scale it by just pouring money on it.”
Cem Sertoglu Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 6:24 Cem Sertoglu: Lessons from the Greatest Venture Investment in European History | E1228 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 20, 2024
Insight
Sertoglu: Headcount is the easiest metric for startup founders to inflate
“First of all, ours is a, is an industry that fetishizes growth. And as you know, the easiest metric to grow for a founder is headcount.”
Cem Sertoglu Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 19:21 Cem Sertoglu: Lessons from the Greatest Venture Investment in European History | E1228 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 20, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sertoglu: Venture capital is the only asset class where assets choose investors
“You know, we're the only asset class where the asset chooses the investor, right?”
Cem Sertoglu Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 21:00 Cem Sertoglu: Lessons from the Greatest Venture Investment in European History | E1228 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Klaus Hommels: European pension funds invest just 0.02% in venture capital
“And the European pension funds invest oh point oh two percent in venture.”
Klaus Hommels Nov 27, 2024 ▶ 17:58 Klaus Hommels: Why "Portfolios are Merely a Construct to Make LPs Happy"? | E1231 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2024
Insight
Hommels: Price sensitivity does not matter in venture capital investments
“Because the good things, I would still do them, the good companies I've invested in, even if they were 30% more expensive, and the shit, I don't want to have it, but it's worth 30% cheaper. So the beauty is, I'm not in the buyout where buying makes a differenc…”
Klaus Hommels Nov 27, 2024 ▶ 49:45 Klaus Hommels: Why "Portfolios are Merely a Construct to Make LPs Happy"? | E1231 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Stebbings: Multi-billion-dollar VC funds perform poorly and max out at 2x
“They are investing respectfully in immensely large funds that everyone in the business knows will do at best two X. At best. They are enormous. The three, four, five plus billion dollar funds. And, bluntly, they're not very good. They're not great assets.”
Harry Stebbings Nov 27, 2024 ▶ 20:01 Klaus Hommels: Why "Portfolios are Merely a Construct to Make LPs Happy"? | E1231 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2024 negative
Opinion
Stebbings: Europe Has Too Few Good Startups for Available VC Capital
“When you look at deal cycles, when you look at deal pricing, when you look at quality of deals, I think we have dramatically too few good companies for the amount of cash that we have, which is why we're seeing the exorbitant prices that we are in Europe.”
Harry Stebbings Nov 27, 2024 ▶ 12:01 Klaus Hommels: Why "Portfolios are Merely a Construct to Make LPs Happy"? | E1231 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2024
Insight
Klaus Hommels: Founder-focused early stage investing does not scale with money
“I'm always intrigued by the technology or by the founder, and this doesn't scale with money so much.”
Klaus Hommels Nov 27, 2024 ▶ 5:03 Klaus Hommels: Why "Portfolios are Merely a Construct to Make LPs Happy"? | E1231 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 2, 2024 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Storonsky: Quantum Light's AI model outperforms 95% of VCs on backtests
“We trained machine learning models on the startups, selecting the best startups. And then the machine learning model actually amazingly outperforms. 95% of VCs out there on, on backtest.”
Nik Storonsky Dec 2, 2024 ▶ 34:25 Nik Storonsky, Revolut Founder: What Revolut Needs to Do to Hit $100BN Valuation | E1233 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 2, 2024 positive
Opinion
Storonsky: Bootstrapped, cash-generating businesses are in some ways better than Revolut
“So I've got a couple of friends who build very large businesses, and some of them, they never used VCs and they just print cash those businesses. So I think, you know, in some ways they are much better compared to me.”
Nik Storonsky Dec 2, 2024 ▶ 42:25 Nik Storonsky, Revolut Founder: What Revolut Needs to Do to Hit $100BN Valuation | E1233 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 2, 2024 negative
Insight
Storonsky: Most VCs follow the crowd and rely on emotion over science
“A lot of investors, they are A following the crowd very often, and B they're very emotions driven, right? Sometimes they like the founder, sometimes they don't like the founder, they don't like the founder, they don't invest. So it's not very scientific.”
Nik Storonsky Dec 2, 2024 ▶ 34:01 Nik Storonsky, Revolut Founder: What Revolut Needs to Do to Hit $100BN Valuation | E1233 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 6, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Bookman: Bootstrapping is superior to venture capital to avoid alignment conflicts
“However, for those who can like bootstrap, that's the ultimate That's the ultimate, in my opinion, to avoid all of the conflicts that come from raising venture capital, and to own much more of the company yourself, that, that's when I'm like, tip of the cap, a…”
Zachary Bookman Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 15:12 Zachary Bookman: Why Valuations and Fundraising are BS | E1235 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 11, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Torsten Reil: Long-tail defense startup investments will lose value
“I think for some of the more fragmented tail, I think they're maybe not to zero, but I think they're going, going to go down.”
Torsten Reil Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 50:58 Torsten Reil, Helsing Founder: Raising $828M to Build the Defence Champion of Europe | E1237 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 11, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Torsten Reil: Europe does not lack early-stage venture capital
“I don't think that there is a lack of capital in Europe. Certainly not seed, series A, symptoms even series B.”
Torsten Reil Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 57:48 Torsten Reil, Helsing Founder: Raising $828M to Build the Defence Champion of Europe | E1237 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maples: Smartest Crypto VCs Focused on Ethereum and Solana Over Bitcoin
“So when I think about the way venture capital has thought about crypto, most of the really smartest people I know have been focused on Ethereum and Solana.”
Mike Maples Jan 6, 2025 ▶ 1:00:21 Mike Maples: Three Frameworks to Evaluate Startups and Founders | E1242 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 6, 2025 bearish
Insight
Maples: VC follow-on returns are so bad LPs would revolt
“If the LPs knew, like if they tracked, what's the return on follow-on checks versus first checks, there'd be pitchforks and like, Revolts in the street. It's so bad.”
Mike Maples Jan 6, 2025 ▶ 11:04 Mike Maples: Three Frameworks to Evaluate Startups and Founders | E1242 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 10, 2025 negative
Insight
Shulman: VC promises of reserve capital are actually not founder-friendly
“So that's, you know, that, that's billed as very founder friendly and it's actually the opposite.”
Mikey Shulman Jan 10, 2025 ▶ 42:20 Mikey Shulman, CEO @Suno: The Future of Music, What is Gonna Happen? | E1244 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 13, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2029
Pishevar: Trump administration will open VC to non-accredited investors
“So I think in the Trump administration, we'll see changes in that direction of like opening it up. And so that model I think is gonna change.”
Shervin Pishevar Jan 13, 2025 ▶ 1:02:12 Shervin Pishevar: What Really Happened in the Firing of Travis Kalanick | E1245 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 13, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Pishevar: Traditional venture capital model is dead
“Venture capital as it is today, especially with private equity coming downstream and what we've seen with the drunken era venture capital is dead. The venture capital that we grew up with and that we looked up to is that model is gone.”
Shervin Pishevar Jan 13, 2025 ▶ 1:00:45 Shervin Pishevar: What Really Happened in the Firing of Travis Kalanick | E1245 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 20, 2025
Insight
Kanji: Winning VC requires contrarian bets validated by consensus within two years
“You kind of have to do things that are a little bit off-piste. You kind of have to build for the big outcome, and you have to be a little bit contrarian, and then very quickly, about a year or two later, you have, the world has to recognize that you're right i…”
Hussein Kanji Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 3:50 Hussein Kanji, Founder @Hoxton Ventures: Why AI Means London Can Compete with the US | E1248 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 27, 2025 negative
Opinion
Tech Companies and VCs Have Abandoned and Openly Mocked DEI Values
“I feel like what's shocked me is how many companies, how many VCs, Have abandoned the values of diversity, equity, inclusion over the last year to now openly mocking it in ways that I could have never, never expected before.”
Wayne Ting Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 56:08 Wayne Ting, CEO @Lime: From Losing $3 on Every $1 to $90M in EBITDA | E1252 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 3, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hyatt: Treating venture capital as a packaging industry is a losing strategy
“I hate that analogy deeply. Well, I to a certain extent- I understand it. I don't think it's good for startups and I don't think it's good for founders. And I also, maybe more importantly than just some kind of value judgment, I think it's a losing strategy wh…”
Nabeel Hyatt Feb 3, 2025 ▶ 9:08 Nabeel Hyatt, GP @ Spark Capital: To Win in AI, Investors Need to Change Their Approach | E1255 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 3, 2025 negative
Insight
Hyatt: All VC measurements prior to exit are false profits and packaging
“The reason for that is that all of the measurements before exit are all false profits, right? Until the thing is actually a return back capital, and you see this wonderful, enduring institution, It's all just games and packaging”
Nabeel Hyatt Feb 3, 2025 ▶ 17:39 Nabeel Hyatt, GP @ Spark Capital: To Win in AI, Investors Need to Change Their Approach | E1255 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 3, 2025
Insight
Hyatt: A job protection mindset leads to the biggest VC investment mistakes
“And so I came in with a nothing to lose mentality, which allows you to sit on the front end of creative risk and being willing to take that extra risk, which of course, that's what this business is about. Versus this kind of protection is like, I just want to …”
Nabeel Hyatt Feb 3, 2025 ▶ 1:08:38 Nabeel Hyatt, GP @ Spark Capital: To Win in AI, Investors Need to Change Their Approach | E1255 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 3, 2025
Insight
Hyatt: B2B SaaS investing was about metrics; AI is a mystery
“Greg Treverton uses this phrase of puzzles versus mysteries, which is just like puzzles are this thing that you can like, you know, use that raw horsepower to solve. And mysteries are, you know, there you have to go on the journey. There's like fog of war and …”
Nabeel Hyatt Feb 3, 2025 ▶ 1:47 Nabeel Hyatt, GP @ Spark Capital: To Win in AI, Investors Need to Change Their Approach | E1255 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 3, 2025
Insight
Hyatt: VCs should focus on analyzing successes rather than studying losses
“I don't know that you should look at your losses. I mean, maybe if you felt like the decision that you made at the time, if you look back on it and like you just were in a bad place when you made the choice and you should try to not be in the bad place the nex…”
Nabeel Hyatt Feb 3, 2025 ▶ 57:44 Nabeel Hyatt, GP @ Spark Capital: To Win in AI, Investors Need to Change Their Approach | E1255 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 3, 2025
Insight
Hyatt: Venture capital is defined by exceptions, not playbooks
“This industry is all about exceptions. That's literally the industry we're in. And so, why are we building a bunch of playbooks if the whole thing is about exceptions?”
Nabeel Hyatt Feb 3, 2025 ▶ 15:13 Nabeel Hyatt, GP @ Spark Capital: To Win in AI, Investors Need to Change Their Approach | E1255 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 3, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hyatt: Most VC firms are failing to adapt due to LP constraints
“No, I think most, you know this cycle, because the cycle in VC evolution is like horribly, horribly slow, because it also loops back to LPs. They don't get to act on their own.”
Nabeel Hyatt Feb 3, 2025 ▶ 4:23 Nabeel Hyatt, GP @ Spark Capital: To Win in AI, Investors Need to Change Their Approach | E1255 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 3, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hyatt: Junior VCs prioritize quick markups from later-stage firms for promotions
“Well, that means if I want to get a promotion and I'm inside of schmooby schmooby VC firm, then I need markups. So if I need markups, how do I quickly get markups? I figure out what the guy one stage after me is interested in. And so my job is not really to go…”
Nabeel Hyatt Feb 3, 2025 ▶ 8:28 Nabeel Hyatt, GP @ Spark Capital: To Win in AI, Investors Need to Change Their Approach | E1255 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 3, 2025 positive
Opinion
Stebbings: Personal wealth makes venture capitalists better investors by removing fear
“I have a strong thesis that it does, because you no longer worry about downside. You no longer worry about your next fund. You no longer worry about Protection.”
Harry Stebbings Feb 3, 2025 ▶ 1:07:55 Nabeel Hyatt, GP @ Spark Capital: To Win in AI, Investors Need to Change Their Approach | E1255 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 3, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hyatt: Venture capital is now run by junior partners and associates
“The industry today is run basically by principals, associates, and junior GPs.”
Nabeel Hyatt Feb 3, 2025 ▶ 7:49 Nabeel Hyatt, GP @ Spark Capital: To Win in AI, Investors Need to Change Their Approach | E1255 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 3, 2025 negative
Opinion
Stebbings: VCs no longer find doubling enterprise ARR exciting due to AI
“It's not even they're stagnating. It's they're doubling. And that's not exciting enough now for VCs who are used to AI revenues”
Harry Stebbings Feb 3, 2025 ▶ 1:05:23 Nabeel Hyatt, GP @ Spark Capital: To Win in AI, Investors Need to Change Their Approach | E1255 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 26, 2025
Insight
Founders Should Never Assume Pitch Conversations With Venture Capitalists Are Confidential
“I think one thing I realized as a first time founder, when I spoke to VCs back then, I thought I was having a one-on-one conversation. And in reality is like, if you are broadcasting to the entire VC community now, so the amount of chit chatting that happens a…”
Oscar Pierre Feb 26, 2025 ▶ 53:38 Oscar Pierre, Glovo CEO & Founder: Selling 30% for €100K |The McDonald's Deal That Saved Them |E1263 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 26, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Green: Opportunistic 'tourist' investors will eventually be washed out of venture capital
“A hundred percent. When? I don't know. It might be like a slow You know, it might be like a slow hole in the canoe, but eventually, yes, they will, yes, a hundred percent.”
Mitchell Green Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 1:18:01 Mitchell Green, Founder @ Lead Edge Capital: Why Traditional VC is Broken · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 26, 2025
Insight
Stebbings: Sending free deal flow is the easiest way to land a VC job
“The thing I find astounding with people who want to get into venture is, Actually, it's quite easy if you just give the freemium version of yourself. If I send you three companies every quarter that align to LeadEdge's model and the companies that you like, an…”
Harry Stebbings Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 1:23:34 Mitchell Green, Founder @ Lead Edge Capital: Why Traditional VC is Broken · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 7, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Garcia: VCs rejected Carvana over capital intensity and being in Phoenix
“And I think at the time that we were trying to do our early fundraisers, I think, you know, capital intensity, operational intensity were not popular. Marketplaces were very popular. That was kind of like the pattern people saw. Phoenix was not viewed as a mar…”
Ernest Garcia Apr 7, 2025 ▶ 6:18 Carvana CEO & Co-Founder, Ernest Garcia: Building a $50B Company, Losing 99% and Coming Back · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tom Hulme: Hardware is under-invested and massive value will accrue there
“I'll go hardware. I think if you take a hardware company out to market, the people, investors, immediate response is, oh, that's really hard. But the paradox about venture capital is you need it to be difficult to be valuable. You need to be contrarian and rig…”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 1:22:31 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 positive
Insight
Stan Boland: Supplying venture capital creates company supply, not vice versa
“The causality is that if we put capital in place here, great companies will rise to the occasion and supply of companies will come.”
Stan Boland Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 9:38 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 negative
Opinion
Stebbings: UK lacks enough high-quality founders to absorb more VC money
“As a day to day venture investor on the ground trying to find companies and great people to invest in, There is simply not the supply of entrepreneurs. If I were to keep my bar as high as it needs to be to build great companies to deploy that money.”
Harry Stebbings Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 8:57 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 14, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Lazarte: AI replacing human workers is venture capital's top opportunity
“One thing that I think is super exciting right now is, like, just replacing people. It sounds really bad when you say it this way, but I actually think it's the most exciting opportunity and venture right now, and it's actually gonna be fantastic for humanity.”
Victor Lazarte Apr 14, 2025 ▶ 30:01 Benchmark GP, Victor Lazarte: The 3 Traits All the Best Founders Have · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 17, 2025 positive
Insight
O'Driscoll: Venture capital economics depend entirely on generational outlier companies
“The whole reason this business is awesome is there are singularly amazing companies in every generation. And maybe these are they, and when you do those companies, everything works and you're just so glad you bought it at any price, right? That's why this game…”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 17, 2025 ▶ 1:32:19 a16z's $20BN Fund & Founders Fund's $4.6BN & Why Josh Kushner Has Mastered the Game · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 17, 2025
Insight
O'Driscoll: Best venture investment window is when sentiment is unanimously hostile
“It will not be a great time to invest in venture until people spit at you when you mentioned the word.”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 17, 2025 ▶ 1:02:23 a16z's $20BN Fund & Founders Fund's $4.6BN & Why Josh Kushner Has Mastered the Game · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 17, 2025
Insight
O'Driscoll: Sole investment criterion is making money across the entire cycle
“The criteria is not, is it venture or not venture? There's only one criteria. Is it going to make you money? And is it going to make you money across the cycle?”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 17, 2025 ▶ 34:22 a16z's $20BN Fund & Founders Fund's $4.6BN & Why Josh Kushner Has Mastered the Game · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 24, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Stebbings: University endowments are pulling back from venture capital investments
“The withdrawal from endowment funds is very real. The awareness that fines is coming, ah, very likely for many of them, and tax-exempt status is at risk, means that there's just a lot of uncertainty, and a lot of them are just waiting.”
Harry Stebbings Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 34:03 How LP Deployment to Venture Will Change in 2025 & Are Endowment Funds in Trouble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 24, 2025
Insight
Lemkin: VC partners with a hot hand who don't run their firm should leave
“If you have a hot hand in venture and you're not running the place, I would leave the next day.”
Jason Lemkin Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 24:23 How LP Deployment to Venture Will Change in 2025 & Are Endowment Funds in Trouble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 24, 2025
Insight
Lemkin: Private equity illiquidity causes far more strain for LPs than VC
“PE is the big problem. They're really the same thing. I mean, venture is a subset of PE, right? And the PE is so much bigger. And the fact that these deals are, did not go public in two to three years is the bigger stressor. Venture, venture, they don't love i…”
Jason Lemkin Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 42:21 How LP Deployment to Venture Will Change in 2025 & Are Endowment Funds in Trouble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 24, 2025
Insight
Lemkin: Venture capital is just a rounding error used to juice endowment returns
“Venture's a rounding error in most of most endowments, right? It's a subset, just like seed is a subset of venture. Venture's a subset of PE. It's not that important. It's just juice, right? It's just a way to juice your returns. P.E. Is where you put, deploy …”
Jason Lemkin Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 42:55 How LP Deployment to Venture Will Change in 2025 & Are Endowment Funds in Trouble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 24, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Stebbings: Multiple tier-one endowments held over 30% in venture capital
“When we raised the fund last year, whatever it was, nine months ago, you know, obviously spoke to a lot of tier one endowment funds. The amount who had over 30% in privates was shocking to me. And over 30%, even in venture, was shocking to me.”
Harry Stebbings Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 47:54 How LP Deployment to Venture Will Change in 2025 & Are Endowment Funds in Trouble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 24, 2025 neutral
Insight
O'Driscoll: VCs seek capital-efficient startups in capital-inefficient ways
“We want to invest in capital efficient companies, and we want them, and I want to do that in a capital inefficient way. It's a paradox, but it's true.”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 52:18 How LP Deployment to Venture Will Change in 2025 & Are Endowment Funds in Trouble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 28, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hinrikus: Startup boards dominated by VCs are ineffective
“The things that I don't like about boards, they oftentimes become way too big, way too quickly. You know, your C round investor takes a board seat, your A round investor takes a board seat, your B round investor takes a board seat, your C and D. So you end up …”
Taavet Hinrikus Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 36:49 Plural Partner, Taavet Hinrikus: Why Founders Will Realise Multi-Stage Funds Damage Seed Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 28, 2025 neutral
Insight
Taavet Hinrikus: Venture capital is fundamentally a brand game
“Frankly, I think venture is a brand game.”
Taavet Hinrikus Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 8:35 Plural Partner, Taavet Hinrikus: Why Founders Will Realise Multi-Stage Funds Damage Seed Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 28, 2025 negative
Insight
Hinrikus: No venture capitalist will ever fight for a founder's equity ownership
“No VC will ever fight for the founder's ownership. You need to fight for it.”
Taavet Hinrikus Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 38:19 Plural Partner, Taavet Hinrikus: Why Founders Will Realise Multi-Stage Funds Damage Seed Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 28, 2025
Insight
Hinrikus: Investor alignment depends on investing personal capital alongside LP funds
“I think there is one thing if you're a rich investor and you play with only other people's money, there's a different thing if you're a rich investor and you're investing your own money. So I think it's a question of alignment and hopefully we'll talk more abo…”
Taavet Hinrikus Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 12:17 Plural Partner, Taavet Hinrikus: Why Founders Will Realise Multi-Stage Funds Damage Seed Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 28, 2025 neutral
Insight
Hinrikus: Venture capital is a commodity, so founders can negotiate lower dilution
“We are a commoditized product, Harry. VCs are a commodity. You can press them down.”
Taavet Hinrikus Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 38:03 Plural Partner, Taavet Hinrikus: Why Founders Will Realise Multi-Stage Funds Damage Seed Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 28, 2025 negative
Insight
Hinrikus: Timeline misalignment is the main under-discussed founder-investor conflict
“Timeline misalignment. Investors wanting their money back before the founder, which is a kind of a hard one.”
Taavet Hinrikus Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 20:44 Plural Partner, Taavet Hinrikus: Why Founders Will Realise Multi-Stage Funds Damage Seed Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 28, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hinrikus: VCs shouldn't make big money just for deploying capital
“I don't think people in venture should make a lot of money just because they are deploying capital.”
Taavet Hinrikus Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 14:35 Plural Partner, Taavet Hinrikus: Why Founders Will Realise Multi-Stage Funds Damage Seed Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 1, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Grinda: Tech remains in the middle of an AI bubble
“We're still in the middle of an AI bubble. If you look at like the amount of money that's going into AI versus every other category in terms of valuations raised, the amount, the number of companies getting funded.”
Fabrice Grinda May 1, 2025 ▶ 1:06 What Does it Take to Be Good at Series A and B Today? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 1, 2025 neutral
Insight
O'Driscoll: Companies will stay private until LP capital in VC shrinks
“Until while they keep putting money into the asset class, it will remain a stay private for longer asset class. And once the capital in the asset class reduces, then we'll go back to going public earlier.”
Rory O'Driscoll May 1, 2025 ▶ 3:57 What Does it Take to Be Good at Series A and B Today? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 1, 2025 bullish
Opinion
O'Driscoll: VC investors cannot afford to completely walk away from AI
“It mightn't be the best venture return, but I just think on these broad trends, not showing up. Yeah. Trying. Just walking away from the trend entirely is just too hard.”
Rory O'Driscoll May 1, 2025 ▶ 57:17 What Does it Take to Be Good at Series A and B Today? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 5, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Moore: VC will consolidate into a barbell structure
“I see a world in which both ends of the barbell really, really continue to rise, meaning small dedicated specialist firms on one end and large platforms on the other end. And I think that uncanny valley in between is is, is going to be an increasingly challeng…”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 1:00:11 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 5, 2025 negative
Insight
Stebbings: VCs Cannot Secure First Meetings Without Early-Stage Presence
“The cost of first meeting entry has gone through the roof, and so you cannot get that first meeting unless you've been at the pre-seed or the seed.”
Harry Stebbings May 5, 2025 ▶ 44:21 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 5, 2025 positive
Opinion
Moore: Large capital reserves give mega VC platforms a unique advantage
“And I think for that reason, it's really clear to me that having the chip stack that these large platforms have is, is really uniquely beneficial at this point in time.”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 3:05 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 5, 2025 positive
Opinion
Bucky Moore: Venture Capital Is Healthy, Not Overcapitalized
“And so I personally have a view that I think the industry's in a healthy place and it's just hard for me to say there's too much capital chasing too few opportunities.”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 38:27 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Five of six trillion-dollar companies were VC-backed
“There are six companies with a trillion dollar market cap. And I think all of them, but Berkshire were founded By VCs and founded within my lifetime, at least.”
Rory O'Driscoll May 8, 2025 ▶ 30:23 Benchmark vs a16z: Why Stage Specific Firms Win · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2025 neutral
Insight
O'Driscoll: VCs prioritize high option value over intrinsic value
“Venture guys love new shit with option value over all shit with intrinsic value. It's as simple as that. We don't do intrinsic value. You know why? There's no upside in intrinsic value. We are junkie, upside junkies, right?”
Rory O'Driscoll May 8, 2025 ▶ 56:22 Benchmark vs a16z: Why Stage Specific Firms Win · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
O'Driscoll: Multi-stage mega-funds control 50% to 60% of venture capital
“They have between 50 and 60% of the capital, provided they don't under index The rest of the industry, they're going to have 60% of the wins.”
Rory O'Driscoll May 8, 2025 ▶ 13:19 Benchmark vs a16z: Why Stage Specific Firms Win · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stebbings: Multi-stage mega-funds will dominate venture capital over next decade
“I think multi-stage win The next 10 years.”
Harry Stebbings May 8, 2025 ▶ 11:46 Benchmark vs a16z: Why Stage Specific Firms Win · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2025 neutral
Insight
O'Driscoll: Private equity structurally beats venture capital except for massive outliers
“Almost everything about PE is better in terms of making money than what we do. And the only thing we have in our favor is that every once in a while, maybe once every five years, you find yourself with a 10% ownership in a thing that's already worth billions o…”
Rory O'Driscoll May 8, 2025 ▶ 9:41 Benchmark vs a16z: Why Stage Specific Firms Win · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2025 positive
Insight
Crespo Advises Founders to Spend Time Working in Venture Capital
“It's something I would advise to any founder, pretty much being a VC, because it created so many things.”
Eleonore Crespo May 9, 2025 ▶ 15:04 20VC: Four Traits of the Most Successful Founders | How to Hunt and Close Talent Like a Pro and Where All Founders Go Wrong | Lessons Raising $397M From the Best Investors in the World with Eléonore Crespo @ Pigment
May 15, 2025 neutral
Insight
Lemkin: Top-Tier SaaS Startups Face Unlimited Venture Capital Supply
“If you're in the zone and I think it's harder than ever, I think, but if you're in it, there is just unlimited F and capital, right? But you got to be in that box.”
Jason Lemkin May 15, 2025 ▶ 2:49 OpenAI, SBF & Perplexity: What VCs Know That You Don’t · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 29, 2025
Insight
O'Driscoll: VC math requires heavy concentration in a single winner
“The only way the math works is if you stuff money into the very best company and you don't end up with a balanced portfolio. You end up literally with one company having 20, 30% of your fund in it, and that company turns out to be the big winner.”
Rory O'Driscoll May 29, 2025 ▶ 7:19 OpenAI’s $6BN Jony Ive Deal & YC Is Both Chanel and Walmart, and Has Officially Won! · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 5, 2025 negative
Opinion
O'Driscoll: Public market investors are just mean VCs on steroids
“Public company investors are just mean VCs on steroids.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 5, 2025 ▶ 43:32 Is DPI The Only Thing That Matters? with Sam Lessin, Jason Lemkin & Rory O’Driscoll · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 12, 2025 negative
Insight
O'Driscoll: Bankers leverage information asymmetry against founders in IPOs
“A lot of the time, the biggest advantage the banker has is you do this once in your life, or maybe if you're a VC, 10 times, and a banker's doing it every week, and you have an informational asymmetry there”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 12, 2025 ▶ 6:01 Elon’s Empire: SpaceX, Tesla, Neuralink After the Storm & Anduril’s $2.6BN Power Move · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 12, 2025 neutral
Insight
O'Driscoll: Growing $1M to $7M in three years fails VC models
“It is attractive for them. And that's the most important thing. It's a great entrepreneurial opportunity. It's just not compelling for our business model.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 12, 2025 ▶ 42:43 Elon’s Empire: SpaceX, Tesla, Neuralink After the Storm & Anduril’s $2.6BN Power Move · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 26, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Lemkin: Scale AI returned $15B to its venture capital investors
“At least Alexander from Scale gave his VCs back fifteen billion.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 26, 2025 ▶ 14:17 Navan Files to Go Public and Canva Pulls the Brakes: Why and What Happens? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 30, 2025 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Freise: KKR's DNA will never extend to early-stage venture
“I don't think that the DNA of KKR and of other later stage firms. It extends to what Insight does or what growth funds do. It will never extend to venture because it's a different skill set. It's a very different skill set.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 23:07 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 10, 2025 neutral
Insight
Lemkin: VC's only true value is funding otherwise undiscovered talent
“The only value I think you can add in venture in the world really is if you discover talent that would otherwise not get funded.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 10, 2025 ▶ 10:05 Daniel Gross and Nat Friedman: Acquired by Meta | Microsoft Layoff 9000 People | OpenAI's Bombshell · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 10, 2025 negative
Opinion
O'Driscoll: VCs are repeating 2021 SaaS mistakes by over-extrapolating AI growth
“The industry as a whole is probably making the same mistake with AI deals that it made in 2021 with a range of other SaaS fields, which is the extrapolation of the current growth rate to the sky.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 10, 2025 ▶ 42:35 Daniel Gross and Nat Friedman: Acquired by Meta | Microsoft Layoff 9000 People | OpenAI's Bombshell · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 10, 2025 bearish
Prediction Held up
O'Driscoll: University endowments will reduce venture capital investments
“If you're asking the impact on venture investing as a venture, as a source of capital, that's an easy question to answer. They're obviously going to be a lot less active.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 10, 2025 ▶ 48:05 Daniel Gross and Nat Friedman: Acquired by Meta | Microsoft Layoff 9000 People | OpenAI's Bombshell · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 10, 2025 negative
Insight
O'Driscoll: Venture capital cannot fit into liquid target-date retail funds
“One thing we know about venture is you can't target your return date, right? If you could, it would be easier. So it's a hard asset to fit into a liquid Individual portfolio, and I think they'll try. I think it'll be hard.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 10, 2025 ▶ 46:40 Daniel Gross and Nat Friedman: Acquired by Meta | Microsoft Layoff 9000 People | OpenAI's Bombshell · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 24, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: VCs routinely colluded and shared pitch details in earlier eras
“There was no transparency when I started all VCs colluded. In my first startup, I would go to a VC pitch and I'd go to the next one and they'd already talked a hundred percent of the time.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 24, 2025 ▶ 59:56 How Do All Providers Deal with Anthropic Dependency Risk & Figma IPO Breakdown: Where Does it Price? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 24, 2025
Insight
O'Driscoll: Anti-portfolio regret is the price of good deal flow
“Anti portfolio regret is the psychological price you have to pay for being in the game because it's literally the emotional tax you pay for being in good deal flow. Because if you're not seeing 10 great deals, you're probably not going to do one great deal, wh…”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 24, 2025 ▶ 59:07 How Do All Providers Deal with Anthropic Dependency Risk & Figma IPO Breakdown: Where Does it Price? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 24, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: VCs will make significant returns investing in AI guardrails
“Path one is guardrails, right? And there's a, and VCs are going to make a lot of money on guardrails.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 24, 2025 ▶ 7:15 How Do All Providers Deal with Anthropic Dependency Risk & Figma IPO Breakdown: Where Does it Price? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 28, 2025
Insight
Casado: Company diligence is far more reliable than predicting market adoption
“And so, I actually don't believe You can predict the future of technology adoption. It's a very tough thing, right? I mean, you don't know what a big company is going to do, can wipe out an entire market. You don't know what innovation will wipe out entire mar…”
Martin Casado Jul 28, 2025 ▶ 1:04:19 a16z GP, Martin Casado: Anthropic vs OpenAI & Why Open Source is a National Security Risk with China · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 28, 2025 negative
Insight
Casado: Traditional VC Partnership Models Kill Decision Velocity And Adaptability
“And I think it's very, I mean, it's kind of a historical quirk that VC was created around a partnership model. Like that's the same thing you'd use for a dentist office or a law firm. And I think it's, there's Positives in that there's a bunch of different age…”
Martin Casado Jul 28, 2025 ▶ 1:15:25 a16z GP, Martin Casado: Anthropic vs OpenAI & Why Open Source is a National Security Risk with China · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Venture Capital Represents Nearly 25% of Carnegie Mellon's Total Endowment
“For us, venture globally is a little less than 25%, the total endowment, so almost half of that private equity book.”
Miles Dieffenbach Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 6:49 Miles Dieffenbach: Inside Carnegie Mellon’s $4BN Endowment & The Math Behind DPI, TVPI, Illiquidity · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 4, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Top-Quartile VC Funds From 1998-2015 Yield 1.8x DPI
“Top quartile DPI from 1998 15 year vintage funds per vintage year up until 2015 is 1.8 X top quartile.”
Miles Dieffenbach Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 9:27 Miles Dieffenbach: Inside Carnegie Mellon’s $4BN Endowment & The Math Behind DPI, TVPI, Illiquidity · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 4, 2025 negative
Opinion
The Venture Capital Industry Overrates Founder Friendliness
“I think we way overrank founder friendliness.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 1:22:16 Miles Dieffenbach: Inside Carnegie Mellon’s $4BN Endowment & The Math Behind DPI, TVPI, Illiquidity · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 4, 2025 positive
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
CMU's Private Investments Were Self-Funding for Three Years
“From a liquidity perspective, we've been fortunate compared to most endowments where that private equity book has been self-funding the past three years, so our distributions Have paid for our capital calls over the past three years. Now, the sub asset classes…”
Miles Dieffenbach Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 6:00 Miles Dieffenbach: Inside Carnegie Mellon’s $4BN Endowment & The Math Behind DPI, TVPI, Illiquidity · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
CMU Is 5 to 10 Percentage Points Overweight Venture Versus Peers
“I'd say we're overweight venture, but I call it anywhere from five to 10 points versus most other endowments of our size. We're underweight hedge funds and real assets, which would be real estate and natural resources”
Miles Dieffenbach Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 6:58 Miles Dieffenbach: Inside Carnegie Mellon’s $4BN Endowment & The Math Behind DPI, TVPI, Illiquidity · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 4, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Mature Venture Funds Yield a Median 8% Net IRR
“The median IRR is about eight percent net for that asset class, and the top quartile is a bit higher, 15%, but the MOIC is about two and a half x, right?”
Miles Dieffenbach Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 9:06 Miles Dieffenbach: Inside Carnegie Mellon’s $4BN Endowment & The Math Behind DPI, TVPI, Illiquidity · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 4, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Venture Needs Multiple Years of Strong Liquidity to Fully Recover
“It's been such a dearth of liquidity over the past three years that, like, one year is not gonna solve the industry's problem, right? So we're gonna need, like, multiple years of really good liquidity to get back to a normal state”
Miles Dieffenbach Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 1:08:03 Miles Dieffenbach: Inside Carnegie Mellon’s $4BN Endowment & The Math Behind DPI, TVPI, Illiquidity · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 7, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Startups raise unchanged follow-on rounds weeks after big-name leads
“It's like in the venture equivalent that we're seeing now, you know, the way we're seeing it now when someone really big brand name Does a round. Like, six weeks later, many of these companies are doing a follow-on round. Nothing's changed.”
Rory O'Driscoll Aug 7, 2025 ▶ 16:23 Figma's 250% Pop - The Greatest IPO Mispricing Ever? Meta & Microsoft Blowout Quarters: Broken Down · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 7, 2025 positive
Insight
Lemkin: VCs should size funds smaller to enter carry mode faster
“Normal times you want to optimize your fund size to achieve the maximum carry you can in a given time, right? And then just go raise another, right? In an ideal world, you might even raise the fund a year, right? So you can get into carry mode as quickly as po…”
Jason Lemkin Aug 7, 2025 ▶ 1:20:43 Figma's 250% Pop - The Greatest IPO Mispricing Ever? Meta & Microsoft Blowout Quarters: Broken Down · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2025 negative
Opinion
Mignot rejects narrative that VC is splitting only into mega-funds and boutiques
“I know there is a meme which is the industry is gonna, is diverging into two camps. You either have the mega funds, the asset gatherers, or you have the tiny boutique shops. And I don't truly believe in that. I think there is a third way”
Martin Mignot Aug 11, 2025 ▶ 2:35 Index Ventures Partner, Martin Mignot: Figma, Scale, Wiz: Inside Index’s Decacorn Factory · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2025 positive
Insight
Mignot: VC relationships are cooperative because late-round returns remain high
“And most of our relationships are very cordial and they are very cooperative because we're creating value. There's so much value creation that happens that you don't have to, of course you compete to win a deal, but then you can still go on at the next round a…”
Martin Mignot Aug 11, 2025 ▶ 1:20:58 Index Ventures Partner, Martin Mignot: Figma, Scale, Wiz: Inside Index’s Decacorn Factory · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Mignot: Venture capital has institutionalized into a career rather than a calling
“I don't know if I would say Tourist VC, but I would say it's, ah, the asset class has institutionalized. You know, it's become, ah, you know, funds have become larger, there's more people in, in, in general, by and large. And so you bring people who, ah, may s…”
Martin Mignot Aug 11, 2025 ▶ 1:59 Index Ventures Partner, Martin Mignot: Figma, Scale, Wiz: Inside Index’s Decacorn Factory · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 14, 2025
Insight
O'Driscoll: VCs make most of their returns in one year out of seven
“You always, I mean, there's, as I say, there's one year in seven where you make most of your money, and the one thing you don't want to find is you don't want to not have assets to sell when that year comes around.”
Rory O'Driscoll Aug 14, 2025 ▶ 37:19 Sam Altman's Masterplan or a Gift to Anthropic? Palantir & Shopify Crush Earnings · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 21, 2025 neutral
Insight
O'Driscoll: Extended private market stays mathematically guarantee $100B+ VC outcomes
“In a power law world, the longer you let things cook in the private markets, the bigger one or two of the outcomes will be, and things have been cooking in the private market for, I mean, yes, I think SpaceX is almost 20 years old, they've been cooking a long …”
Rory O'Driscoll Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 12:22 Databricks at $100BN, CoreWeave’s $11B Debt Bet & Nubank’s $2.5B Profit Shocker - Ep.19 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 21, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Broad venture capital returns depend on more $5B outcomes
“For the venture business to work for us all, you're going to have to see more of these five billion dollar market cap outcomes. Yeah, as you say, the hinge helps. The owners of this world start to take place, and I think it will.”
Rory O'Driscoll Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 13:41 Databricks at $100BN, CoreWeave’s $11B Debt Bet & Nubank’s $2.5B Profit Shocker - Ep.19 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 25, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Deeter: VC is one of few asset classes where past performance predicts success
“It is one of the few asset cycles where past performance is an indicator of future success.”
Byron Deeter Aug 25, 2025 ▶ 1:09:14 BVP Partner, Byron Deeter: The Future of Venture - Why Chanel vs Walmart is BS · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 25, 2025 negative
Opinion
Deeter: 2019-2020 peak entry valuations washed out many promising venture investors
“Cycles matter a lot. I really feel bad for great potential investors who joined our industry with checkbooks in 2000, you know, two, 2020, 2019. And they did great deals, but at market prices, which were way too high. And many of those people got washed out of…”
Byron Deeter Aug 25, 2025 ▶ 1:06:21 BVP Partner, Byron Deeter: The Future of Venture - Why Chanel vs Walmart is BS · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 28, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Lemkin: Top 10 deals consume 40% of venture capital
“You know, the 10 deals are consuming 40% of venture capital.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 28, 2025 ▶ 1:04:56 Anthropic's $10B Round, Klarna's IPO, Inside a16z's 72 Deal Seed Investment Machine ft. Marc Benioff · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 11, 2025
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: 80% of venture capital dollars now go to late-stage deals
“Most of the money in quote unquote venture capital is with venture cap. It venture capital is 20% old school venture capital and 80% plus or minus late stage. What would have been fidelity growth, public investing. Right. This is where most of the dollars are …”
Rory O'Driscoll Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 32:28 OpenAI’s $10BN Secondary Sale, Ramp Hits $1BN ARR & Brex Hits $700M · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 18, 2025 positive
Insight
Lemkin: VCs must defer to founders when they decide to sell
“At the end of the day, unless you're a total douche, if the founder wants to sell, you sell. It's not your decision. It's not your decision. That's the height of hubris in my experience.”
Jason Lemkin Sep 18, 2025 ▶ 1:11:12 Opendoor CEO, Kaz Nejatian: OpenAI and Oracle, How Can Either Afford to Do This · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 22, 2025
Insight
Taneja: Maximize portfolio value while minimizing capital raised to drive alpha
“AUM can be one of two things. How much money did you raise? Or what is the value of the capital you raised? I want the value of the capital we raised to be the biggest, but the amount of money we raised to be smallest. That's when you've created the most alpha…”
Hemant Taneja Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 1:25:51 General Catalyst CEO, Hemant Taneja: Lessons Scaling GC to $40BN in AUM · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 22, 2025 positive
Insight
Taneja: VC firms can manufacture power-law outliers via founder tools
“If we can create more tools to have more founders to scale, then we can actually manufacture more outliers than the ones that naturally exist on the power law.”
Hemant Taneja Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 5:52 General Catalyst CEO, Hemant Taneja: Lessons Scaling GC to $40BN in AUM · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 22, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Taneja: Total venture capital value creation is noise compared to Big Tech
“When you look at the overall value created in venture compared to the Mag seven, it's noise.”
Hemant Taneja Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 21:48 General Catalyst CEO, Hemant Taneja: Lessons Scaling GC to $40BN in AUM · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 22, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Taneja: Venture capital cannot scale fund size and performance simultaneously
“I actually have a strong belief that venture capital can't scale and performance at the same time.”
Hemant Taneja Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 5:17 General Catalyst CEO, Hemant Taneja: Lessons Scaling GC to $40BN in AUM · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 22, 2025 positive
Insight
Taneja: Iconic VC firms require leaders to be both investors and CEOs
“I carry the title of CEO and managing director for a very intentional reason, which is General Catalyst is a business but it wouldn't be a business if it wasn't venture capital at its core. So, I am a managing director and a partner just like everybody else in…”
Hemant Taneja Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 1:33 General Catalyst CEO, Hemant Taneja: Lessons Scaling GC to $40BN in AUM · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 2, 2025 negative
Insight
O'Driscoll: A $15M revenue moderate-growth company has zero VC value
“A fifteen million dollar revenue company that's perfectly good and has reasonable growth is actually of zero value to a VC because we're in the upside option game.”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 0:04 Are Burn Multiples BS in an AI World? & Sam Altman Needs $1TRN of Energy · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 9, 2025 positive
Insight
Stebbings: Investors can identify best and worst investments within 60 days
“I also think that you can tell your best and your worst within the first 60 days. The messy middle, you don't know. There's a TBD, but the ones where you're like, shit, we regret that one. That, you tell pretty quickly, and same with the god, they're on it. Th…”
Harry Stebbings Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 57:16 OpenAI's Multi-Billion Deal with AMD & Polymarket, Vercel and Supabase Raise Mega Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 9, 2025 negative
Insight
O'Driscoll: Asking founders if they'd sell for $500M is meaningless
“I think it's a stupid question on its face, on, on multiple dimensions. Let me give you just two ways in which it's a stupid question. The first thing is, and I said this before, people's opinion on what they'll do if they're offered five hundred million dolla…”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 55:56 OpenAI's Multi-Billion Deal with AMD & Polymarket, Vercel and Supabase Raise Mega Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 9, 2025 bullish
Insight
O'Driscoll: High variance makes venture capital forgiving of overpaying
“It is the most forgiving equity business of getting the price wrong. Let me tell you what I mean by that. PE, if you get the price wrong, they're low variance assets. If you overpay by 50%, you're toast, because they're three X assets and they're not going to …”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 32:24 OpenAI's Multi-Billion Deal with AMD & Polymarket, Vercel and Supabase Raise Mega Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 9, 2025 positive
Opinion
Rory O'Driscoll: VC kingmaking occurs in the largest markets, like AI
“I disagree, because I think kingmaking is going on in the biggest markets. I think, to some extent, everything OpenAI done has been both brilliant technically and financial kingmaking, right?”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 1:06:01 OpenAI's Multi-Billion Deal with AMD & Polymarket, Vercel and Supabase Raise Mega Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 9, 2025
Insight
O'Driscoll: Investors lose money when overcomplicating obvious trends
“The more you do this, the more you just say to yourself, you just need to do big, exciting deals in trends that are Absolutely obvious. And every time you try and make it harder than that, you just, you lose money.”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 1:00:26 OpenAI's Multi-Billion Deal with AMD & Polymarket, Vercel and Supabase Raise Mega Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 16, 2025
Insight
O'Driscoll: A VC's Prime Career Window Lasts Only Three Years
“There's a huge period of time wherever it says you're a little too young, and then there's this brief shining moment where you're good, and then there is the When is he going to retire moment, right? And it seems to me it's like 10 years each and three years i…”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 2:50 Thinking Machines Co-Founder Joins Meta for $3.5BN, Industry Venture's $665M Acquisition · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 16, 2025 negative
Opinion
Stebbings: VCs Writing $100M Checks Without Meeting Founders Should Be Fired
“As a VC, you should be fired if you write a hundred million dollar plus check and you don't meet the co-founders, period.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 26:32 Thinking Machines Co-Founder Joins Meta for $3.5BN, Industry Venture's $665M Acquisition · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 23, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: VC compensation cannot match elite four-year AI engineer pay packages
“There's no one gonna, if reports of the billion dollar plus package are true, very few people are gonna make four, one billion dollars, four year vested in venture.”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 4:27 Why VC Today is Worse than 2021 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 23, 2025
Insight
O'Driscoll: Assessing VC market cycles requires a 30-year timeframe
“If you're in a business with 10 or 15 year cycles, you just have to internalize that you have to have a 30 year span to talk about cycles, right?”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:09:22 Why VC Today is Worse than 2021 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 23, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030
Calacanis: VCs will lose money on 80% of B2B AI investments
“VCs are gonna lose, like, 80% of their investments in AI B to B because they're ignoring these issues, and so be it.”
Jason Lemkin Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 31:45 Why VC Today is Worse than 2021 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 23, 2025
Insight
O'Driscoll: VC is get-rich-slow with decade-long dry spells in carry
“Venture, as someone said to me years ago, it's the get-rich-slow program, and there can be ten-year periods of non-payment.”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 6:05 Why VC Today is Worse than 2021 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 27, 2025 negative
Insight
Cahn: Venture capital firms cannot 'king-make' startups with capital alone
“I don't believe in King making and that's maybe a controversial thing to say. I think one of the lessons, you know, you'd think like, oh, Sequoia should be able to King make companies and like, that's so great. And that would be, by the way, if that was true, …”
David Cahn Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 34:56 Sequoia Partner, David Cahn on Who Wins in AI, Defence & The New $0–$100M Playbook · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 30, 2025 neutral
Insight
O'Driscoll: AI and delayed IPOs are the biggest recent VC shifts
“The two biggest changes of the last three to five years have been the advent of what's happening in AI and the transformation of the late stage and IPO marketplace to this ultra, ultra late stage where companies are way beyond the IPO threshold and still priva…”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 43:52 OpenAI Restructuring: Who Wins and Who Loses & Mercor Raises $350M at a $10BN Valuation · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 30, 2025 neutral
Insight
O'Driscoll: Non-AI late-stage VC returns will match public small-cap equities
“As you think about these late, super late growth fund things, the return they will realistically get absent the AI lift is some version of what was the small cap high growth public market return.”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 40:38 OpenAI Restructuring: Who Wins and Who Loses & Mercor Raises $350M at a $10BN Valuation · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 30, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: OpenAI's Web Browser Will Not Be a Major Game-Changer
“I mean, obviously the browser is where we live a lot of our lives, but it could be like MCP. It could end up being interesting, but not not really the game changer that that VCs and others think it'll be.”
Jason Lemkin Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 15:29 OpenAI Restructuring: Who Wins and Who Loses & Mercor Raises $350M at a $10BN Valuation · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 30, 2025 neutral
Insight
Lemkin: A $10B outcome benefits VCs, not founders
“Even 10 is not really worth it for a founder. It is worth it for the VCs.”
Jason Lemkin Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 58:58 OpenAI Restructuring: Who Wins and Who Loses & Mercor Raises $350M at a $10BN Valuation · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 30, 2025 neutral
Insight
O'Driscoll: VC Ownership Targets Matter Usually, But Not for Outliers
“90% of the time, your ownership target is a really meaningful metric, and it should run your business on it. And, you know, 10%, one percent of the time, who the hell cares? One percent of the biggest company on the planet is five billion dollars.”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 9:35 OpenAI Restructuring: Who Wins and Who Loses & Mercor Raises $350M at a $10BN Valuation · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 30, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Mega-fund VC dominance will continue for next four to five years
“This is the world we live in today, and as investors, we'll live in for the next four to five years, right?”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 17:52 OpenAI Restructuring: Who Wins and Who Loses & Mercor Raises $350M at a $10BN Valuation · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 31, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Ferriss: VCs and crossover funds bloated seed valuations and ruined angel terms
“Then around 2015, a lot of the VCs started coming downstream. Or upstream, as it were, choose your metaphor. And they were hunting in the same ponds that the angels were. And before you know it, then you have like Tiger Global and all sorts of other folks who …”
Tim Ferriss Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 1:00:23 20VC: Tim Ferriss: Why I Walked Away From Angel Investing After Uber | How I Accidentally Lost $150 Million | Money Fixed My Problems—Then Made Me Miserable
Nov 6, 2025
Insight
O'Driscoll: Fully Optimized Founder Fundraising Causes VCs to Miss Ownership Targets
“A founder's optimized fundraising is a VC's below ownership target.”
Rory O'Driscoll Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 31:49 Is a $4.5BN Exit Enough in VC? & Harvey Raises $150M & Why Google is a Buy and Amazon is a Sell · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 6, 2025
Insight
Lemkin: VCs refrain from giving critical feedback to successful founders
“I think there is so much fear among VCs of getting out of step with the most successful founders. There's so much fear and you guys are going to disagree with me, but I see it all across my portfolio. The better the company is doing, the more everyone's a grin…”
Jason Lemkin Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 37:28 Is a $4.5BN Exit Enough in VC? & Harvey Raises $150M & Why Google is a Buy and Amazon is a Sell · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 13, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Lemkin: The AI Era Requires Less Than Half of Today's VCs
“And so I think I could only imagine we don't even need half the VCs we have today for the AI world.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 13, 2025 ▶ 3:36 Michael Burry Shorts NVIDIA and Palantir & Has Defensibility Died in a World of AI? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 20, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Lemkin: Half of the $184B invested in VC in 2025 went to four companies
“They're estimated in a hundred eighty four billion in venture capital invested this year by their definition. Okay. The peak was 20, 21 of a hundred eighty three billion. So one more billion this year. Okay. But four of those half of the hundred eighty four bi…”
Jason Lemkin Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 55:01 Peter Thiel and Softbank Sell NVIDIA - Why? & Why VC Will Hit $1TRN and The Opening of Retail · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 20, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Tunguz: Secondary transactions now account for 10% to 12% of VC liquidity
“So private equity, you look at private equity, total fraction of dollars in secondaries is a fraction of the asset class is about 25%. Historically venture has been about two to three. Now we're kind of like 10 to 12.”
Tomasz Tunguz Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 1:13:45 Peter Thiel and Softbank Sell NVIDIA - Why? & Why VC Will Hit $1TRN and The Opening of Retail · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 20, 2025 negative
Opinion
Jason Lemkin: Venture capital requires massive TAM expansion to function
“If you're not seeing massive TAM expansion, there's just no point in even playing as VCs.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 5:11 Peter Thiel and Softbank Sell NVIDIA - Why? & Why VC Will Hit $1TRN and The Opening of Retail · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 21, 2025 negative
Opinion
Altman: Venture capital is a cutthroat market, not a collaborative environment
“I think that it is, people say it's this sort of chummy, like, collaborative thing where we're all kumbaya and having fun, and then, like, You know, you get to it, and someone just, like, elbows you out of the way. It's not. It's a competitive market. We're al…”
Max Altman Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 1:10:15 20VC: Max Altman on The New Seed War: Can Anyone Compete with Sequoia and a16z | Leaving $2BN on the Table with Reddit | Lessons from Backing Rippling at $25M Post | Why Climate Tech is a Mirage and Disaster
Nov 21, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Altman: VC today resembles hedge funds and PE more than traditional VC
“We look much more like a hedge fund or PE world than we do VC from 10 years ago.”
Max Altman Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 1:10:37 20VC: Max Altman on The New Seed War: Can Anyone Compete with Sequoia and a16z | Leaving $2BN on the Table with Reddit | Lessons from Backing Rippling at $25M Post | Why Climate Tech is a Mirage and Disaster
Dec 4, 2025
Insight
Lemkin: VCs Should Focus Almost Exclusively on Top Winners
“There's like only a couple of deals that matter to VCs. So when you, you'll see a VC stay on a board for 20 years and you'll see them always hanging out with this one CEO and Thrive has a lot of winners, right? But this is a big winner, right? And so anything …”
Jason Lemkin Dec 4, 2025 ▶ 2:07 Eventbrite Sold for $500M, Databricks $5B Raise at $134B Valuation & Why SaaS is Like Japan · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 4, 2025
Insight
O'Driscoll: A VC's Best Marketing Is Staying Close to Top Winners
“First of all, I think it's a great deal for Thrive because Jason's right. The whole trick in venture is we try and pretend we matter, but in our hearts, we know our best companies matter and the best marketing you can do is get as close as possible to your big…”
Rory O'Driscoll Dec 4, 2025 ▶ 3:00 Eventbrite Sold for $500M, Databricks $5B Raise at $134B Valuation & Why SaaS is Like Japan · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 11, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Total private venture fair market value is roughly $2.9 trillion
“The total private FMV of venture is, you know, something like 2.9 trillion.”
Rory O'Driscoll Dec 11, 2025 ▶ 9:39 SpaceX Valued at $800BN & Harvey Raises $160M at an $8BN Price & Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 11, 2025 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: VCs instructing CEOs on execution is condescending
“I think it's DC condescending to tell the CEO how they're gonna work it out. It is beyond condescending. The great CEOs will figure it out.”
Jason Lemkin Dec 11, 2025 ▶ 0:31 SpaceX Valued at $800BN & Harvey Raises $160M at an $8BN Price & Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 15, 2025 negative
Insight
Unscaled mid-tier venture capital firms face high risk of being squeezed out
“Yeah, there's scale players, and then there's specialists. And I think, you know, we're obviously a scale player. I think the risk is, is everything in between, right? Department stores that have general merchandise, but don't have scale, for example. And that…”
David George Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 38:39 a16z's David George on the Most Controversial Bet at a16z & Do Margins and Revenue Matter in AI? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 18, 2025 positive
Opinion
Calacanis: Delayed IPOs are the greatest gift to VC in modern history
“These, all these leaders not IPO-ing is the greatest gift of venture in our lifetimes. The greatest gift of venture capital, the fact that you can flood these top 20 companies With venture capital”
Jason Lemkin Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 8:02 Will Cursor Kill Figma? Lightspeed Raises $9B & OpenAI’s $1B from Disney & #1 App in App Store · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 8, 2026 bullish
Insight
Lemkin: Venture investors must seek out spite to back winning AI startups
“Like, I think if you want to make money in venture, you gotta search out Spite. This is driving the greatest AI companies of our generation is Spite.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 31:30 Groq’s $20BN NVIDIA Deal | Why Sam Altman Doesn’t Care About Dilution & Invisible Unemployment 2026 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 8, 2026
Insight
O'Driscoll: VCs should never force founders to reject exit offers
“And what you'll discover pretty quickly is trying to persuade a founder to hold on when they don't want to is a very hard thing to do, right? And arguably you shouldn't even try. Right? In fact, not even arguably, you shouldn't even try. In the end, you know, …”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 22:18 Groq’s $20BN NVIDIA Deal | Why Sam Altman Doesn’t Care About Dilution & Invisible Unemployment 2026 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 12, 2026
Insight
Rampell: Top VC deals differ from PE because founders choose investors
“A lot of the best deals will go to the best firms. Like that's, what's very different about venture capital than like private equity. Like if you and I are trying to take a public company private, You know, you're KKR and I'm Blackstone. We're both trying to, …”
Alex Rampell Jan 12, 2026 ▶ 9:22 Alex Rampell: The Best Founders Materialise Capital, Customers & Labour | The Future of Venture · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 12, 2026 neutral
Insight
Alex Rampell: Asset classes require being a large generalist or small specialist
“My view is most asset classes, you either have to be a large generalist or a small specialist.”
Alex Rampell Jan 12, 2026 ▶ 6:07 Alex Rampell: The Best Founders Materialise Capital, Customers & Labour | The Future of Venture · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 12, 2026 neutral
Insight
Rampell: Winning Top VC Deals Makes Venture Capital Fundamentally a Sales Job
“The entire job of venture capital is to find, pick, and win investments. If they're good investments, the winning is very, very hard. And the winning therefore goes to the person that is, like, the best, like, you have to sell. Like, this is a sales job.”
Alex Rampell Jan 12, 2026 ▶ 6:43 Alex Rampell: The Best Founders Materialise Capital, Customers & Labour | The Future of Venture · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2026 negative
Insight
Weinberg: VCs Cannot Identify Top AI Researchers from Resumes Alone
“I don't think you can. That, that I think is actually a pretty big disconnect. The researcher community knows. So like, this is a huge disconnect between VCs, I think, and the researcher community.”
Winston Weinberg Jan 19, 2026 ▶ 52:15 Harvey CEO Winston Weinberg: How to Make Mega Deals | Lessons from Rabois, Halligan & Grady · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2026 negative
Insight
Weinberg: VCs give bad hiring advice because executives manage them up
“The thing that I think they've been wrong about is who to hire. And I think sometimes the problem that VCs have is they're managed up. Right? Like they don't actually see inside a lot of these businesses. They see the board meetings. Right? And so sometimes th…”
Winston Weinberg Jan 19, 2026 ▶ 14:12 Harvey CEO Winston Weinberg: How to Make Mega Deals | Lessons from Rabois, Halligan & Grady · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 22, 2026 positive
Opinion
O'Driscoll: Venture Capital Model Is Legitimate Despite Converting High Multiples
“You described the system correctly, but you kind of imply it's called a scam. I don't think it is a scam.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 6:09 Elon Musk vs Sam Altman | The Implosion of Thinking Machines | Can VC Survive Public Pricing? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2026 neutral
Insight
O'Driscoll: Venture capital has split into two distinct asset classes
“I think venture is actually two asset classes. It's the traditional early stage venture that's existed for 2030 years, and this new late and later stage venture asset class that used to be called small cap growth, and is now it is now privately held.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 29, 2026 ▶ 50:31 Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket |TikTok Deal Closes |The IPO Market:Wealthfront & EquipmentShare · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2026 negative
Insight
Lemkin: Venture capital is not an asset class because the bottom 75% underperforms
“The classic take in ventures, it's not really an asset class. It's a weird niche of PE. Yes, the top Your quartile, certainly the top decile perform, but the rest is a disaster. So it's not an asset class. If the bottom 75% isn't even worth getting out of bed …”
Jason Lemkin Jan 29, 2026 ▶ 48:33 Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket |TikTok Deal Closes |The IPO Market:Wealthfront & EquipmentShare · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2029
O'Driscoll: Excess capital will erode venture capital returns
“I don't think in either case they benefit from excess capital because I do believe that, you know, Martin Biggs, I've said it before, there's no investing business so good that excess capital won't ruin it, right? And I do think that excess capital will make t…”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 29, 2026 ▶ 50:50 Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket |TikTok Deal Closes |The IPO Market:Wealthfront & EquipmentShare · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 2, 2026 positive
Insight
Zeev: A 50% VC hit rate is great given 100x upside asymmetry
“In my, in 50% of the time I'm right and 50% I'm wrong, that's actually a great result because a winner is so much more important than the loser. Because you know, as you know, if we lose something, we only lose one X our money. If we win, it could be a hundred…”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 19:48 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
Feb 2, 2026 negative
Insight
Zeev: VC anti-portfolios are fallacious because seeing deals doesn't mean winning
“This is one thing that is, Consistent fallacy within VCs that they think that just because they saw a deal, they necessarily would have been able to do it. No, you know with all due to anti-portfolio, it doesn't make sense that the same deal appears in 20 diff…”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 1:10:34 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
Feb 12, 2026 bearish
Opinion
O'Driscoll: Safe consensus bets in AI signal a market bubble top
“It's the venture capital equivalent of you can't get fired for buying IBM. Right? You can't get fired for sticking money in with a one X preference on the consensus winner. This is classic top of the bubble stuff.”
Rory O'Driscoll Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 0:24 Anthropic's Super Bowl Ad: Who Won & Lost? | Sierra Hits $150M ARR: Is Customer Support Too Crowded? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 12, 2026 negative
Insight
Cannon-Brookes: VCs waste capital following tech trends for five to six years
“That means a lot of capital is raised and deployed and a whole bunch of it turns out to be torched because VCs are very individual thinkers that they pile into the two winners and then the next 10 companies and probably the next 15 and a whole bunch of those d…”
Mike Cannon-Brookes Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 59:37 Anthropic's Super Bowl Ad: Who Won & Lost? | Sierra Hits $150M ARR: Is Customer Support Too Crowded? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 12, 2026 negative
Opinion
Cannon-Brookes: VCs back OpenAI at huge valuations for logo marketing
“One thing that they don't say is a lot of VCs want the loose side on the wall, so when you walk into the office, on the wall is a nice logo that says, oh, you invested in OpenAI. You invested in Anthropic. Well, if you put money at three hundred fifty billion,…”
Mike Cannon-Brookes Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 1:00:17 Anthropic's Super Bowl Ad: Who Won & Lost? | Sierra Hits $150M ARR: Is Customer Support Too Crowded? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 16, 2026 negative
Opinion
Siemiatkowski: VCs are piling money into AI technology they don't understand
“I think that the challenge right now is a lot of them are piling money into AI that they don't necessarily fully understand.”
Sebastian Siemiatkowski Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 53:25 Klarna CEO: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 23, 2026 negative
Insight
Swisher: Deploying a $3B early-stage venture fund is exceptionally difficult
“If you are a venture fund that is staring down the barrel of having to deploy three billion dollars, I think that is hard because again, at the early stage, it is hard to capture disproportionate ownership in the few companies that actually generate all of tha…”
Lucas Swisher Feb 23, 2026 ▶ 24:11 Insights from Coatue's Growth Investor Lucas Swisher · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 23, 2026 negative
Opinion
Swisher: Kingmaking in venture capital is not real
“I don't think the king, the kingmaking concept is a real thing. I think companies some companies attract more capital early. Some companies slingshot from behind, right? Having had somewhat less capital.”
Lucas Swisher Feb 23, 2026 ▶ 40:31 Insights from Coatue's Growth Investor Lucas Swisher · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 23, 2026 positive
Insight
Swisher: Small venture funds don't need SpaceX-level outliers to succeed
“If you're a small, if a small venture fund, I think it's super possible in today's world. You don't actually have to be in, you don't have to catch the seed of SpaceX. You'd really like to because those are the only, the platform companies generate liquidity. …”
Lucas Swisher Feb 23, 2026 ▶ 24:26 Insights from Coatue's Growth Investor Lucas Swisher · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 7, 2026 positive
Insight
Green: VCs add the most value by connecting founders to operators
“So I actually think that's the best way that VCs and private active people can help founders and entrepreneurs is connect them with people who have done it before and help them recruit.”
Mitchell Green Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 42:47 Mitchell Green: Why 50% of VCs Should Not Exist · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 9, 2026
Insight
Clements: VCs get hammered sitting in the middle of consensus
“I think you can actually be successful in this market investing in consensus. And I think you can actually do really well investing in like non-consensus. I think you get hammered sitting in the middle.”
Miles Clements Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 12:07 "Cursor is Dead" is Total BS: Here is Why | Miles Clements · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 16, 2026
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rajaram: Mega fund investors will continue spinning out into smaller funds
“I think we are going to see a more spin out. I do think there is a limit, but I do think you're going to see the, you're going to see these mega funds train again, more waves of investors. And these investors are going to realize that being a mid-level partner…”
Gokul Rajaram Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 1:11:20 Gokul Rajaram: How to Analyse for Durability and Defensibility in a World of AI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 16, 2026 neutral
Insight
Rajaram: Venture capital is about betting on new behaviors, not existing markets
“That's in some ways what venture is all about. It's not about existing. It's about new behaviors and betting on that.”
Gokul Rajaram Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 45:51 Gokul Rajaram: How to Analyse for Durability and Defensibility in a World of AI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 28, 2026
Insight
Gili Raanan: Venture capital is the science of exceptions, not linear rules
“The conclusion, again, in my mind, is that we are exercising the science of exceptions. And it's good that we share that, those lessons, but if you just take those lessons and apply them linearly I think that it would be very hard for you.”
Gili Raanan Mar 28, 2026 ▶ 23:15 Why Margins Don't Matter for Early-Stage Startups | Gili Raanan · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 28, 2026 negative
Insight
Gili Raanan: Venture Capital Is Difficult Because Feedback Takes Five Years
“And I think that, that's what makes this profession, you know, in many ways, it's a terrible profession. You know, it's a profession where you don't know if you are good in what you're doing for five or six years. You know, show me another profession where you…”
Gili Raanan Mar 28, 2026 ▶ 45:15 Why Margins Don't Matter for Early-Stage Startups | Gili Raanan · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 30, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: AI was a major money-loser for VCs from 1945 to 2017
“AI was a tremendously good way to lose a lot of money in venture capital from 19, from 1945 to 20 17 right”
Marc Andreessen Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 3:47 Marc Andreessen: Will a16z Go Public & Why Labour Displacement with AI is Wrong? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 30, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Top venture returns over 50 years persistently belong to same firms
“If you just look at the great outcomes adventure over the last 50 years, if you just rank the outcomes, it's just like, it's the same names over and over and over again.”
Marc Andreessen Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 35:41 Marc Andreessen: Will a16z Go Public & Why Labour Displacement with AI is Wrong? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 30, 2026 positive
Insight
Andreessen: Upside on $5M seed check equals $500M growth investment
“Because as you know, the upside on the five million dollar check is every bit as big as the upside on a five hundred million dollar growth investment.”
Marc Andreessen Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 30:27 Marc Andreessen: Will a16z Go Public & Why Labour Displacement with AI is Wrong? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 30, 2026 negative
Insight
Andreessen: Learning from mistakes is uniquely pernicious in venture capital
“In venture, the same thing happens. If you invest in a category, or if you invest in a kind of company or you invest in a kind of founder and it doesn't go well, it's extremely easy to learn from the mistake, right, and to basically say, all right, I touched t…”
Marc Andreessen Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 2:24 Marc Andreessen: Will a16z Go Public & Why Labour Displacement with AI is Wrong? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 9, 2026
Insight
O'Driscoll: Power law dynamics make venture capital psychologically brutal
“Psychologically, the thing about a power law they don't tell you is you can have the third best outcome in venture history and be only one-tenth as large as The largest outcome in venture history, and if you're going to let that into your head, it's going to b…”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 9, 2026 ▶ 32:44 OpenAI Buys TBPN & Their Management Team Reboot | Mercor Hack & Why Now is the Time for Cyber · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 11, 2026 negative
Opinion
Reyna: VC advice on sequential market expansion is bullshit
“In general, like one single market going one market at a time, it doesn't work. Traditional BCs, like, they've, like, the traditional method has been like, oh, you open one market, you go deep, you win the account, you show, like, the value, then you go to the…”
Carles Reina Apr 11, 2026 ▶ 14:23 ElevenLabs: Building an AI Sales Machine & Why We Set a 20x Sales Quota · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 11, 2026
Insight
Reyna: Go-to-market strategy should be managed like venture capital investing
“Go to market is similar to like investing in venture capital, right? So you need to test like a hundred things to actually be able to find like the three, four, five, six things that actually perform and do really well.”
Carles Reina Apr 11, 2026 ▶ 19:09 ElevenLabs: Building an AI Sales Machine & Why We Set a 20x Sales Quota · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 14, 2026 negative
Opinion
Midha: VCs Are Burning Hundreds of Millions on Redundant Inference Startups
“It's not clear to me that we need 50 inference companies, and it's not clear to me that VCs are smart enough to realize that they're just lighting hundreds of millions of dollars on fire in a category where having four or five really good inference trusted pro…”
Anjney Midha Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 50:52 The Early Days of Anthropic & How 21 of 22 VCs Rejected It | The Four Bottlenecks in AI | Anj Midha · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 14, 2026 negative
Insight
Midha: Traditional VC and Company Incubation Models Cannot Coexist in One Firm
“I think it's very hard for them to coexist inside of one person, and it's very hard to coexist sometimes inside of even one firm”
Anjney Midha Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 28:24 The Early Days of Anthropic & How 21 of 22 VCs Rejected It | The Four Bottlenecks in AI | Anj Midha · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 16, 2026
Insight
Lemkin: VPs who complain to VCs about their CEO will be fired
“And whatever, if any VPs get this far on the pod, whatever you do, do not reach out to your VCs to say there's problems with their CEO. You will, you're losing your job. And not only are you losing your job, it doesn't matter if you're right. You're your, at s…”
Jason Lemkin Apr 16, 2026 ▶ 1:29:28 SpaceX's Financials Leaked: Is it Worth $2TN | Meta Debuts Muse Spark: Are They Back in the AI Race? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 18, 2026 negative
Opinion
Jake Paul: Most Creators Lack the Skill Set for Venture Investing
“It's a very tough game, and if you like actually aren't good at it or know how to do it, Then, like, maybe don't just, like, try to do it, because it's almost second nature to me, because I have vision and can see, like, where things are heading. I'm ahead of …”
Jake Paul Apr 18, 2026 ▶ 20:52 Jake Paul: Traditional VC is Toast & Attention is More Valuable than Cash · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 18, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Geoffrey Woo: AI Commoditizes Technical VC Skills, Making Taste Dominant
“So, my sense is that The software and like the classic smart people stuff gets commoditized, and the attention, the taste, the culture side gets more and more important. So I think the world goes into our favor versus away.”
Jeffrey Wu Apr 18, 2026 ▶ 12:24 Jake Paul: Traditional VC is Toast & Attention is More Valuable than Cash · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 18, 2026 positive
Opinion
Geoffrey Woo: Jake Paul Intros Outperform Traditional 'Boomer Suited' VC Intros
“It's like, would you rather have a Jake Paul introduction or some random boomer suited VC make that intro? The response rate and the integration rate is like super high.”
Jeffrey Wu Apr 18, 2026 ▶ 14:30 Jake Paul: Traditional VC is Toast & Attention is More Valuable than Cash · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 25, 2026 negative
Opinion
Masad: Venture capitalists have poor information landscapes because they live on Twitter
“Which why I think VCs don't have the best, I think, information landscape, because a lot of them just live on, on Twitter, but the world is much larger than that.”
Amjad Masad Apr 25, 2026 ▶ 30:12 Replit CEO: Why the SaaS Apocalypse is Justified & Why Coding Models are Plateauing | Amjad Masad · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 30, 2026 neutral
Insight
O'Driscoll: VC requires 25%+ gross returns to justify 2&20 fees over public markets
“The only reason you can pay in the long term, two percent to VCs and 20% of the profit is because the gross returns have to be high enough, 25% plus, that the net return is still, you know, 20%, which is so far above the Ibbotson small cop return of 11, 12% th…”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 30, 2026 ▶ 1:23:30 Anthropic Raises $45B but Falls Short on Compute & Thoma Bravo Hand Back Medallia Keys to Creditors · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 30, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
O'Driscoll: Successful VC funds face a 4% to 5% fee drag between gross and net
“The average venture investor is charging two percent, And then, 20% of the profits, which typically turns into, if you're successful, a four or five percent drag between gross and net, right?”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 30, 2026 ▶ 1:23:01 Anthropic Raises $45B but Falls Short on Compute & Thoma Bravo Hand Back Medallia Keys to Creditors · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 18, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Stebbings: Series A is the worst stage in venture capital
“I think Series A is the worst place to be in the market. Little PMS, like one to three million of revenue. But the price is 200 X ARR.”
Harry Stebbings May 18, 2026 ▶ 1:16:22 Turning Peter Thiel's $100K into $10M Angel Portfolio & Why VCs Can Be Sharks | Josh Browder · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 18, 2026 negative
Opinion
Browder: VCs err by scouting high school math Olympiads over grit
“And I think this is actually a mistake a lot of VCs are making. They are focusing too much on, on these credentials. So there's a race right now to back the math Olympiads. VCs are like going to spelling bees and math competitions in high school.”
Josh Browder May 18, 2026 ▶ 45:01 Turning Peter Thiel's $100K into $10M Angel Portfolio & Why VCs Can Be Sharks | Josh Browder · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 18, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Browder: 75% of VCs invest only because someone else did
“Oftentimes they invest because someone else has invested. Oftentimes that's like, 75% of the time, I would say.”
Josh Browder May 18, 2026 ▶ 1:32:53 Turning Peter Thiel's $100K into $10M Angel Portfolio & Why VCs Can Be Sharks | Josh Browder · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 18, 2026
Insight
Browder: Founders should never reveal target valuation when pitching VCs
“Pitching VCs is like a game of poker. You should never reveal too much information about what you're seeking. So every founder I invest in, I say, don't reveal the price that you want. The price is a function of how hot the deal is, which ironically is less ho…”
Josh Browder May 18, 2026 ▶ 27:02 Turning Peter Thiel's $100K into $10M Angel Portfolio & Why VCs Can Be Sharks | Josh Browder · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 18, 2026 negative
Insight
Browder: VCs make fake customer promises to trick founders into signing SAFEs
“The VCs will say anything to get you to sign right there and then. Anything. They'll say, I, they, so they'll reverse engineer what the founder is looking for and say, oh, I'm friends. I'm buddies with that guy. I know someone at that company with golf buddies…”
Josh Browder May 18, 2026 ▶ 58:03 Turning Peter Thiel's $100K into $10M Angel Portfolio & Why VCs Can Be Sharks | Josh Browder · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 11, 2026 neutral
Insight
Lemkin: Founders Hold Grudges Far More Than Venture Capitalists Do
“Founders hold grudges in a way that VCs actually, I think don't because VCs, you miss the deal. You got to find another bus, right?”
Jason Lemkin Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 32:58 SpaceX Launches Largest Ever IPO | OpenAI Files to Go Public | Uber Cuts 23% of HR · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 11, 2026
Insight
O'Driscoll: Market contractions stem from investor fear, not lack of capital
“There's always money when people aren't afraid. When things get scary, it's not that money runs out, it's that money gets scared.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 0:40 SpaceX Launches Largest Ever IPO | OpenAI Files to Go Public | Uber Cuts 23% of HR · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 13, 2026 negative
Insight
Stebbings: VCs use elite founder credentials as a crutch amid AI uncertainty
“Fundamentally, there is intense uncertainty around what Anthropic and OpenAI will do and who they will kill at the application layer. And so in a world where we desperately seek certainty, we look for validators, and the validators of someone being a math Olym…”
Harry Stebbings Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 29:09 OpenAI vs Anthropic vs Open-Source | Token Maxing, AI Hangovers & The Coming ROI Reckoning · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 20, 2026 negative
Insight
Stebbings: Avoid Investors Who Need Education on Your Market
“If you need to educate an investor on the market, they're not the right investor for you.”
Harry Stebbings Jun 20, 2026 ▶ 57:39 Flexport CEO: Two Questions Every Founder Needs to Ask · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 20, 2026
Insight
Petersen: Founders should cherry-pick their best metric when pitching VCs
“You should never share your metrics because what you want to do when you pitch a VC is take, you want to cherry pick whatever metric looks the best and pitch that as the important metric for your firm. But once you've shared a metric, you're now committed to t…”
Ryan Petersen Jun 20, 2026 ▶ 1:04:18 Flexport CEO: Two Questions Every Founder Needs to Ask · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 20, 2026 negative
Insight
Stebbings: Passing on Great Companies Over Market Size Is My Biggest Mistake
“So my biggest mistake is when I focused on market at all. All of my biggest mistakes in investing have been actually not really like, you know, losing money. It's been turning down great companies, but because I thought that I was smarter than the market.”
Harry Stebbings Jun 20, 2026 ▶ 59:15 Flexport CEO: Two Questions Every Founder Needs to Ask · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 20, 2026 negative
Opinion
Petersen: Most VCs collude more with competitors than their own partners
“There's a lot of collusion in VC. Like, I have a feeling that most VCs actually collude more with competitors than with their own partners.”
Ryan Petersen Jun 20, 2026 ▶ 0:42 Flexport CEO: Two Questions Every Founder Needs to Ask · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 25, 2026 positive
Insight
Lemkin: SPV models require friction-free, instant LP capital deployment via WhatsApp
“For the SPV work, it needs to be one WhatsApp message, and I get the two hundred million to invest. Then I'm all, then it's the best model venture there is, right?”
Jason Lemkin Jun 25, 2026 ▶ 56:57 DeepSeek Raises at $50B | The Rise of Open Source vs OpenAI & Anthropic | OpenAI Builds Own Chip · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 27, 2026 positive
Opinion
Fred Wilson Has Rare Product Intuition for a VC
“He has a talk about VCs not being focused on the product, but Fred actually has a really good product intuition. I think it's very rare for VC”
Paul Erlang Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 39:20 How We Got Fred Wilson, Benchmark and Index to Invest $94M | Why Robinhood's Strategy is Wrong · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 2, 2026 negative
Insight
Lemkin: Wealthy VCs who become startup CEOs run out of energy
“When wealthy folks, especially VCs want to be a CEO, but they're not working at The insane rate of a traditional founder CEO. I just find those run out of energy.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 2, 2026 ▶ 59:48 Coinbase Cuts AI Spend by 50% | Kalshi's $40B Valuation & Impending IPO | The Year for SaaS Roll-Ups · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 16, 2026 neutral
Insight
O'Driscoll: Late-stage VCs are structurally forced to invest in competitors
“In the early stage, when you're on the board, you can't invest in two competitors. In the late stage, structurally, you have to.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 16, 2026 ▶ 1:09:59 Zuckerberg Back on X Challenging Codex & Claude Code | SK Hynix’s $26BN IPO · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 23, 2026
Insight
O'Driscoll: VCs cannot force a startup sale without core founder buy-in
“Even if, as the VCs, we have board control, 70% ownership, and a drag along for the founders. Jason knows this. If the founders who are core to the business don't want to sell, it's not going to happen.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 23, 2026 ▶ 24:48 Should the US Ban Chinese Open-Source Models | OpenRouter's Chance To Sell | Stripe Buying PayPal
Jul 23, 2026 negative
Insight
Lemkin: Series B VCs now need seed-level picking skills to survive
“I think the real pressure is, it means anything below that growth stage, you better be a damn good picker. Because it used to be when Rory and I met, Series B, even into Series A, you actually didn't have to be a good picker. You just had to be good at math an…”
Jason Lemkin Jul 23, 2026 ▶ 1:07:45 Should the US Ban Chinese Open-Source Models | OpenRouter's Chance To Sell | Stripe Buying PayPal
Jul 27, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sub-$100M boutique seed funds will be the worst-performing VC category
“I think one of the worst performing groups in terms of venture in this vintage will actually be the small boutique seed funds, which is what every single LP that you speak to today, Matt, wants. Every LP. This is the funniest thing. Every LP wants San Francisc…”
Harry Stebbings Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 37:43 Will Open-Source Threaten Anthropic's Business & Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | Matt Murphy
Jul 27, 2026
Insight
Small stakes in massive outliers beat high ownership in mid-sized exits
“You have to be in the big outliers to drive great returns, and you're better off being in them at a very small percent than owning a large percent of a company that exits for three to 500. Those just aren't going to move the needle.”
Matt Murphy Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 8:09 Will Open-Source Threaten Anthropic's Business & Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | Matt Murphy
Aug 7, 2026 neutral
Insight
Frankel: Seed investors must enter themes 5 to 10 years before momentum builds
“The job is to be in there five years or 10 years ahead, and it's not where the momentum is. It never is.”
David Frankel Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 40:26 The AI Boom Will Create Enormous Roadkill: Who Wins & Loses? | David Frankel
Aug 7, 2026 bearish
Disclosure
Stebbings: Scaling From $1.5M to $15M ARR Is No Longer VC-Fundable
“I turned down a company the other day that went from one and a half, and they were gonna go to five, and then they were gonna go from five to 15, and it's just not enough anymore. It's just not interesting. I'm sorry for venture. We have an opportunity cost of…”
Harry Stebbings Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 16:12 The AI Boom Will Create Enormous Roadkill: Who Wins & Loses? | David Frankel
Aug 7, 2026 bearish
Insight
Frankel: Billion-Dollar Early Rounds Are Momentum Plays, Not Seed Value Investing
“I think that that's the momentum business, and I think knowing how and when to get out quickly with some of those really, really matters, and that's not really my business. So my business is value, is getting involved early, and trying to find value opportunit…”
David Frankel Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 34:36 The AI Boom Will Create Enormous Roadkill: Who Wins & Loses? | David Frankel
Aug 7, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frankel: Top-tier tech returns will spill into venture and broader investing
“So the returns at the top are going to be Incredible. They have to be now. And I think that that capital is going to spill over into venture and all sorts of investing.”
David Frankel Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 1:05:37 The AI Boom Will Create Enormous Roadkill: Who Wins & Loses? | David Frankel
Aug 20, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Lemkin: Strategic Arms Race M&A Waves Are Likely a VC Myth
“A couple of times I've said on the other side, I don't know that it creates such a strategic arm race that everyone just gets picked off instantly. That, that might be a VC partial myth.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 20, 2026 ▶ 15:48 Stripe's $8B OpenRouter Bet | Anthropic's First Profit & The Math Behind Reaching $600B in Revenue?
Aug 24, 2026
Insight
Bek: Turning Small VC Dollars Into Big Returns Requires Controversy
“I think the, where you turn small dollars into big dollars, they have to be controversial.”
Julien Bek Aug 24, 2026 ▶ 19:31 Inside Sequoia's Investment Committee | How the SpaceX & Citadel Deals Went Down | Julien Bek
Aug 24, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Bek: Largest venture outcomes will emerge in mature markets over greenfield
“Ultimately what matters to you is how much ownership you have and how big the company can get. And that will be true only when that investment crystallizes in almost guarantee that will happen for the biggest outcomes in markets that are more mature as opposed…”
Julien Bek Aug 24, 2026 ▶ 25:52 Inside Sequoia's Investment Committee | How the SpaceX & Citadel Deals Went Down | Julien Bek
Sep 10, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: VCs will increasingly offer bad deal structures to win competitive rounds
“We will see deal structures that are objectively bad for the company done more and more often to win deals, whatever it takes.”
Jason Lemkin Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 1:09:54 Jensen Huang Declares AGI Has Arrived | Tesla Launches Cybercabs | Index Pulls Out of Town
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,200 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.