Austen Allred

Founder & CEO, Bloom Institute of Technology · 2 appearances on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

founderexecutiveauthorinvestor@Austen ↗LinkedIn ↗austenallred.com ↗

Austen Allred is the co-founder of Lambda School (rebranded as BloomTech), an online coding academy that popularized Income Share Agreements for tech education. He also co-authored the book Secret Sauce and founded Gauntlet AI, an intensive training platform for AI engineers.

38statements → 11claims → 2claims resolved → 3.79/5average certainty → 2.21/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated → 15said about them ↓

1 supported 0 partly supported 1 contradicted 1 not yet assessed 8 not checkable as stated how the 11 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

5 predictions · 6 assertions · 3 opinions · 14 insights · 8 disclosures · 2 what ifs · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 11 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 2 are resolved, 1 is not yet assessed, and 8 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Austen argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Allred: Lambda School Raised Its Series B Without a Pitch Deck
“We didn't have a pitch deck for a series B.”
Austen Allred Mar 8, 2019 ▶ 15:12 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem That Will Be Solved Over The Next 20 Years, Why The Speed and Quality of Decisions Are Not Mutually Exclusive & The 1 Question All Founders Must Ask Themselves Befor

Their most notable contradicted claim

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Allred: Lambda School Will Reach 500,000 Students Annually in Five Years
“Five years from now, we're probably half a million students a year.”
Austen Allred Mar 8, 2019 ▶ 33:25 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem That Will Be Solved Over The Next 20 Years, Why The Speed and Quality of Decisions Are Not Mutually Exclusive & The 1 Question All Founders Must Ask Themselves Befor

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
0% certainty 3
none yet certainty 4
100% certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. We have 10,316 words of Austen Allred, and that is not enough to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Austen Allred said on 20VC that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Opinion
Allred: The Bay Area Is History's Greatest Squandering of Potential Wealth
“I think Patrick Collison has said something about the idea that in 50 years we'll probably look back at the Bay Area as one of the greatest squanderings of potential wealth that the world has ever known, and I tend to agree.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 27:13 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Allred Predicts San Francisco Faces Potential Bankruptcy and Budget Disarray
“From a governmental status, I'm sure the budget is going to be a wreck for a while. There is a possibility San Francisco goes bankrupt.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 25:44 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Allred: Unemployment Will Be Solved as an Optimization Problem Within 20 Years
“That unemployment is an optimization problem that will be solved in the next 20 years.”
Austen Allred Mar 8, 2019 ▶ 33:13 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem That Will Be Solved Over The Next 20 Years, Why The Speed and Quality of Decisions Are Not Mutually Exclusive & The 1 Question All Founders Must Ask Themselves Befor
Insight
Founders With Zero Net Worth Optimize for One Year, Not Ten
“A founder who has zero net worth, and this is something that I've battled with in myself, you can find yourself optimizing for a year from now and not thinking about 10 years from now because you're optimizing for today.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 10:56 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Allred: San Francisco and Palo Alto Permanently Lost Default Hub Status
“I think because of coronavirus, there is now enough of an impetus that it won't be obvious that you should go to San Francisco or Palo Alto anymore, and because of that, I think it will change permanently, and I think more will move to the cloud.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 26:04 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Lambda School Targets $10B Annual Student Income Increase by 2030
“We hold pretty sacred our ten-year goal at Lambda School of Increasing our student incomes over the next 10 years, so by 2030, by ten billion a year annually.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 29:24 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Insight
Allred: Raise Maximum Capital Once Unit Economics Yield 3-4x Return
“We got to a point where I knew that if you give me a dollar today, I can give you back maybe it's three or four dollars a couple of years from now, and when you have a machine that's working like that, you really should be raising as much as you can.”
Austen Allred Mar 8, 2019 ▶ 12:49 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem That Will Be Solved Over The Next 20 Years, Why The Speed and Quality of Decisions Are Not Mutually Exclusive & The 1 Question All Founders Must Ask Themselves Befor
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Allred: Lambda School Will Reach 500,000 Students Annually in Five Years
“Five years from now, we're probably half a million students a year.”
Austen Allred Mar 8, 2019 ▶ 33:25 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem That Will Be Solved Over The Next 20 Years, Why The Speed and Quality of Decisions Are Not Mutually Exclusive & The 1 Question All Founders Must Ask Themselves Befor
Opinion
Allred: Private Market Startup Valuations Are Paper Money and Don't Matter
“And the nice thing about private markets the way they are right now is it's all paper money. Like, whatever your last valuation was actually doesn't matter.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 6:45 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Disclosure
Allred: Lambda School Has Passed on Opportunities to Sell the Company
“We've had chances to sell Lambda School.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 13:18 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Disclosure
Lambda School Expanded Too Quickly Across Four Continents
“And so we had five different tracks running. We were on three different continents. We were spinning up in India as well. So we're starting on our Fourth continent. So we're in the U S Europe, Africa, and we're starting in Asia as well. And we just kind of did…”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 16:43 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Opinion
Allred: Lambda School Erred by Adopting Uber's Decentralized Operational Model
“But I think we picked the wrong one. We went with the Uber model. And the educational model is so sensitive to changes and so sensitive to experience that you can't Really get away with that.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 17:37 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Danner and Hastings Are the Sole Founders Scaling Public EdTech
“There are a lot of people who know a lot about education. There are a lot of people who have Built billion dollar companies and taken technology companies public. I think John Danner and Reed Hastings are basically the only people who are both at the same time…”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 28:31 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Insight
Allred: Wealth Beyond Basic Survival Has Negligible Impact on Satisfaction
“After a pretty small threshold, the differences between having a lot of money and a little money are fairly negligible. I mean, it comes down to, you know, once you're making, you know, enough to survive and have a car, you know, what car you drive might be di…”
Austen Allred Mar 8, 2019 ▶ 7:10 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem That Will Be Solved Over The Next 20 Years, Why The Speed and Quality of Decisions Are Not Mutually Exclusive & The 1 Question All Founders Must Ask Themselves Befor
Insight
Allred: Running a Company to Please VCs Is a Disaster
“We've never lived to please investors. We've never run a business to try to make it marketable to VCs, and I think that's a recipe for disaster.”
Austen Allred Mar 8, 2019 ▶ 12:16 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem That Will Be Solved Over The Next 20 Years, Why The Speed and Quality of Decisions Are Not Mutually Exclusive & The 1 Question All Founders Must Ask Themselves Befor
Insight
Allred: Faster Product Shipping Results in Higher Long-Term Quality
“I actually think that the faster you ship things, the higher quality they will be over time, and that if you focus on making things really high quality and delaying the time to ship, it will be lower quality overall.”
Austen Allred Mar 8, 2019 ▶ 27:54 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem That Will Be Solved Over The Next 20 Years, Why The Speed and Quality of Decisions Are Not Mutually Exclusive & The 1 Question All Founders Must Ask Themselves Befor
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Allred's Prior Startup Failed After Billionaire Investor Pulled Series A
“We had a series A close, all the docs were done, had this big billionaire investor who was leading the round, and he just called me, like, on December 23rd and said, hey, I'm not going to send a wire, and that was the end of that company.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 4:41 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Insight
Low-Income Individuals Must Constantly Hyper-Focus on Downside Risk
“But when you are poor, or when your salary or your income is low, I mean, most people don't even have salaries, they have incomes or wages coming into Lambda, you have to think really, really hard about downside risk, because any little thing that goes wrong t…”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 7:37 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Disclosure
Allred Has Taken Almost Zero Secondary Liquidity in Lambda School
“Transparently, I have done basically zero secondary relative to where Lambda is at”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 10:11 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Insight
Boards Give Random Advice Unless Founders Make Specific Asks
“Figure out exactly what your ask is, and then come to us with exactly that ask, and we will go crush it for you. But until then, you're just going to be getting random advice, and it's probably stuff that you've thought about 10 times as much as the board, and…”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 14:11 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Insight
Structure Round Docs to Avoid Chasing Every Angel Signature
“And we also set up our docs in such a way that if X percent of the seed round has signed docs, then we're good. I think that's really important. So you don't have to chase down literally every single person.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 15:28 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Insight
Consistency Matters More Than Minor Updates in Education Products
“And what's more important when you're in a learning state is expectations being met exactly more so than it getting marginally better and whiplashing you.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 19:04 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Insight
The COO Role Must Be Customized Around the Founder's Weaknesses
“COO is one of those roles where there's not like a single COO. It's very much a custom mold to what the CEO is and what the founder is and finding someone whose strengths are the founder's weaknesses and vice versa, more so than it is just Hire a COO off the s…”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 20:36 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
What-if
Lambda School Couldn't Have Succeeded as a Fully Remote Company Initially
“I know that Lambda would not be what it is today if we were doing it all remotely, just random lunches and dinners and meeting up with other founders and investors and people that I really admire was really, really unique.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 27:01 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale

Show 14statements(14 left)

The other half of the tape: Austen Allred's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 15 times in 6 episodes on 20VC. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Harry Stebbings 8Jeff Richards 7

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
005210420192020episodesmentions
02420192020episodes it came up in
002.525420192020episodesmentions per episode
2020 5 mentions in 4 episodes 1 per episode
2019 10 mentions in 2 episodes 5 per episode

Appearances (2)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Sep 18, 2020 20m
20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem Mar 8, 2019 24m
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,200 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.