The Argument Index

Debate potential by speaker, the highest-scored statement each year, and the companies with the most bearish calls on record. All of it clickable, all of it playable.

70debate potential 4–5 → 4debate potential 5 → 198rated speakers →
People

Average debate potential by speaker

All 198 guests with 5 or more scored statements, ranked. 22 more have fewer than 5, too few for a fair average, and the host is scored on his own page. Sort or filter below.

#PersonAvg debate potential Statements scored
1 Brett Kugelmass Founder & CEO, Last Energy 3.14 14
2 Tom Tillis U.S. Senator, United States Senate 3 18
3 Alistair Frew (Alistair Fury) 3 8
4 Ryan Orbuch Partner, Lowercarbon Capital 2.8 25
5 Yanai Yedvab Co-founder & CEO, Stardust Solutions 2.75 12
6 David Roberts Host and Creator, Volts 2.75 16
7 Freya Chay (Freya Che) Program Lead, CarbonPlan 2.73 11
8 K.R. Sridhar Founder & CEO, Bloom Energy 2.67 15
9 Mike Schroepfer Founding Partner, Gigascale Capital 2.67 12
10 Hans Smit President & CEO, Ocean Minerals LLC 2.64 11
11 Zach Stein Co-founder & CEO, Carbon Collective 2.64 11
12 Dr. Emily Grubert 2.62 8
13 Dr. Bodhi Cabiyo Director of Interdisciplinary Science, Carbon Direct 2.61 18
14 John Koomey Founder and President, Koomey Analytics 2.58 12
15 Scott Jacobs Co-Founder & Former CEO, Generate Capital 2.56 9
16 Dr. Chris Bataille Global Fellow, Columbia University SIPA 2.53 17
17 Dana Guernsey CEO and Co-founder, Voltus 2.5 6
18 Michael Stadler Co-founder & CTO, Xendee 2.5 6
19 Ben Hertz-Shargel President, New Jersey Board of Public Utilities 2.5 16
20 Eric Slesserev Assistant Professor, Yale University 2.5 10
21 Mark Cupta 2.5 8
22 Ari Lipman 2.46 13
23 Bob Sorenson Chief Analyst, Hyperion Research 2.44 16
24 Rafi Garabedian Co-Founder and CEO, Electric Hydrogen 2.43 14
25 Brian Janous Co-Founder and CCO, Cloverleaf Infrastructure 2.42 48
26 Jeremy Eliahu-Ontiveros Managing Director, SemiAnalysis 2.41 22
27 Jamie Beard Founder & Executive Director, Project InnerSpace 2.41 17
28 Alex Modon Co-Founder and CEO, Unlimited Industries 2.36 11
29 Jigar Shah Co-Managing Partner, Multiplier LLC 2.34 41
30 Josh Wong Founder & CEO, ThinkLabs AI 2.33 15
31 Carrie Von Munch Co-Founder and COO, Pacific Fusion 2.33 12
32 Nick Chaset CEO, Octopus Energy US 2.33 9
33 Sheldon Kimber Founder and CEO, Intersect Power 2.33 12
34 Jenny Chase Solar Specialist, BloombergNEF 2.33 18
35 Mike Grunwald Contributing Opinions Writer, The New York Times 2.32 19
36 Zach Dell Co-Founder and CEO, Base Power 2.31 13
37 Dan Steingart Chair & Professor, Columbia University 2.31 16
38 Jake Elder 2.29 7
39 Ian Rountree 2.29 14
40 Gene Berdichevsky Co-Founder and CEO, Sila Nanotechnologies 2.29 17
41 Renee Grogan Co-Founder and Board Director, Impossible Metals 2.29 7
42 Ahmad Faruqi Independent Energy Economist 2.27 11
43 Julian Dumoulin-Smith Managing Director, Jefferies 2.25 12
44 Tony Brough President, Dora Partners 2.25 8
45 Jeff Waters CEO, Powin 2.25 16
46 Gnevamir Fleece 2.25 12
47 Chris Sharp Chief Technology Officer, Digital Realty 2.24 17
48 Isha Datar Executive Director, New Harvest 2.24 17
49 Doge Chubuk 2.23 13
50 James Frith 2.23 13
51 Drew Baglino Founder & CEO, Heron Power 2.2 40
52 Andy Lubershane Partner & Head of Research, Energy Impact Partners 2.15 169
53 Katie Huff 2.15 13
54 Akshat Rathi Senior Climate Reporter, Bloomberg News 2.15 13
55 Chris Colbert Chairman and CEO, Elementl Power 2.15 20
56 Stacey Kauk Chief Science Officer, Isometric 2.14 14
57 Dan Visioni Assistant Professor, Cornell University 2.14 22
58 Kurt House Co-Founder and CEO, KoBold Metals 2.14 21
59 Michael Dunne CEO and Founder, Dunne Insights 2.12 17
60 Kate Steele SVP, NRECA International 2.12 17
61 Dave Schroeder Managing Partner, Volta Energy Technologies 2.12 26
62 Mateo Jaramillo Co-founder and CEO, Form Energy 2.11 18
63 Jessica Lovering Postdoctoral Researcher, Uppsala University 2.11 19
64 Ramez Naam Founder & Managing Partner, Planetary VC 2.11 9
65 Tim Hade Senior Vice President, Voltus 2.1 30
66 Doğuş Çubuk 2.1 10
67 Thomas Koch-Blank Managing Director, RMI 2.1 10
68 Jesse Jenkins Associate Professor, Princeton University 2.1 30
69 Eyal Cohen Founder and CEO, Humble Robotics 2.09 11
70 Tom Burton Chair, Sustainable Energy Practice, Mintz 2.09 11
71 Sam Jaffe VP of Business Development, Mana Battery 2.09 70
72 Dr. Ben Lee 2.08 13
73 Kurt Kelty 2.08 13
74 Matthew Sachs 2.08 13
75 Amin Vahdat Chief Technologist for AI & Infrastructure, Google 2.07 15
76 Carlos Araque Co-Founder and CEO, Quaise Energy 2.07 14
77 Mario Fernandez Former Head, Breakthrough Energy Catalyst 2.07 15
78 Garth Sheldon-Coulson Co-Founder & CEO, Panthalassa 2.06 18
79 Landon Mossberg Co-Founder and CEO, Peak Energy 2.06 18
80 Julio Friedmann 2.06 63
81 Colin Grabow Associate Director, Cato Institute 2.06 16
82 Dan Rutherford Senior Director of Research, ICCT 2.06 18
83 Jayant Mukhopadhyay Senior Aviation Researcher, ICCT 2.05 20
84 Seth Frader-Thompson 2 14
85 James McGinnis CEO & Co-Founder, David Energy 2 12
86 Allison Clements Principal, 804 Advisory 2 7
87 Heather O'Neill President & CEO, Advanced Energy United 2 9
88 Ben Brown 2 13
89 Pierre Lafarge Co-founder & CEO, Sparkfund 2 15
90 Charlotte Johnson GM of Generation Flex, Kraken 2 9
91 Billy Briscoe CEO, Clean Energy Fund of Texas 2 5
92 Amelia DeLuca 2 14
93 Ty Yeagerson 2 13
94 Seyed Madaeni CEO & Co-Founder, Verse 2 10
95 John Larson Partner, Rhodium Group 2 18
96 Nick Fulgham Senior Energy and Climate Data Analyst, Ember 1.94 18
97 Cassie Bowe Partner, Energy Impact Partners 1.94 17
98 TP Huang (TP Wang) Independent Analyst, TP's Substack 1.93 15
99 Dr. Daniel Yergin Vice Chairman, S&P Global 1.93 30
100 Varun Sivaram Founder & CEO, Emerald AI 1.92 37
101 Alyssa Peterson Founder & CEO, SeaAhead 1.92 12
102 Peter Reinhardt Co-founder and CEO, Charm Industrial 1.9 10
103 Josh Linville VP of Fertilizer, StoneX 1.89 19
104 George Hershman CEO, SOLV Energy 1.89 9
105 Tyler Norris Head of Market Innovation, Google 1.89 27
106 Adam Klauber Chief Sustainability Officer, World Energy 1.89 9
107 John Baumgartner Managing Director, Mizuho Securities 1.89 19
108 Sanjay Vijendran Co-founder & CTO, TerraSpark 1.89 19
109 Rayford Smith Global Head, Power and Energy, Google Cloud 1.89 9
110 Anne-Sophie Corbeau Global Research Scholar, Center on Global Energy Policy 1.89 28
111 Duncan Campbell VP of Project Development, Scale Microgrids 1.89 9
112 Sean McAvoy President & Chief Product Officer, GridBeyond 1.88 16
113 Sam Smith-Eppsteiner 1.88 8
114 Mary Powell CEO, Sunrun 1.87 15
115 Dr. Jen Shafer (Jen Schaefer) 1.86 14
116 Pete Johnson CEO and Co-Founder, Koloma 1.86 21
117 Astrid Atkinson CEO & Co-Founder, Camus Energy 1.86 14
118 Colin Campbell 1.85 13
119 Adrian Yao 1.85 13
120 Andreas Apley CFO, Reverion 1.84 19
121 John O'Donnell Founder & Chief Innovation Officer, Rondo Energy 1.84 19
122 Steve Piper Director of Energy Research, S&P Global 1.83 6
123 Paul Lambert Co-founder and CEO, Quilt 1.83 12
124 Jason Bordoff Founding Director, Center on Global Energy Policy 1.83 6
125 Corey Cantor Research Director, ZETA 1.82 22
126 Rob Black Cabinet Secretary, New Mexico Economic Development Department 1.8 15
127 Laurent Bueneau Power & Utilities Industry Leader, Microsoft 1.8 10
128 David Yeh Founder & Partner, Precursor 1.8 15
129 Brandon Moffat 1.8 15
130 Britta von Ossen Managing Director, CRC-IB 1.8 5
131 Kiran Bhatraju 1.8 15
132 Richard Wang Co-founder & CEO, Voya Energy 1.79 19
133 Stephen Lacey Co-Founder and Executive Editor, Latitude Media 1.79 24
134 Tristan Doherty VP of Manufacturing, Commonwealth Fusion Systems 1.79 14
135 Dr. Judson Boomhauer Associate Professor of Economics, UC San Diego 1.79 14
136 Trevor Houser Partner, Rhodium Group 1.79 14
137 Katie MacDonald 1.78 9
138 Paul Siegel 1.77 13
139 Ernest Scheyder 1.77 13
140 Jake DeWitt Co-founder & CEO, Oklo Inc. 1.77 13
141 Christian Belady Former VP, Datacenter Advanced Development, Microsoft Mathur, Microsoft 1.76 17
142 Scott Moskowitz VP Market Strategy & Public Affairs, Qcells 1.75 12
143 Rob Gramlich Founder & President, Grid Strategies 1.75 24
144 Ethan Zindler Head of Country and Policy Research, BloombergNEF 1.75 16
145 Liza Reed Director for Climate and Energy, Niskanen Center 1.75 16
146 Jeff McCauley 1.75 12
147 Nan Ransohoff 1.75 16
148 Erica Reinhart Executive Director & Co-Founder, Spark Climate Solutions 1.74 19
149 Tim Mills President & CEO, ERMCO 1.73 15
150 Nick Woolley Co-founder and CEO, ev.energy 1.73 15
151 Dr. Melissa Ball Director of Technology, Energy Impact Partners 1.71 14
152 Carl Popham Founder, Mobility+Energy Consulting LLC 1.71 7
153 Rob Hanson Co-founder & Senior Advisor, Monolith 1.71 7
154 Shanu Matthew SVP & Portfolio Manager, Lazard Asset Management 1.68 22
155 Rebecca Dell Adjunct Research Scholar, Columbia Business School 1.68 40
156 Katie Bayes Director of Research, Crux 1.67 6
157 Jamie Daggett 1.67 21
158 Lara Pierpoint Managing Director, Trellis Climate 1.67 24
159 Dr. Scott Hsu Fusion Partner, Lowercarbon Capital 1.67 15
160 Carl Hoyland Co-Founder & CEO, Zanskar 1.64 11
161 Yet-Ming Chiang Professor of Materials Science, MIT 1.64 11
162 Mallory Thomas Partner, Risk Advisory, Baker Tilly US 1.64 11
163 David Groarke Managing Director, Indigo Advisory Group 1.64 14
164 Kim Zou Co-founder & CEO, Sightline Climate 1.64 11
165 Gia Schneider Co-founder & CCO, Natel Energy 1.63 19
166 Nat Bullard Co-founder & CSO, Halcyon 1.62 128
167 Bilal Khashid 1.62 8
168 Dr. Greg Thiel Managing Director of Technology, Energy Impact Partners 1.62 21
169 Ian McGavis 1.62 13
170 Dr. Lynn Loo CEO, Global Centre for Maritime Decarbonisation 1.62 24
171 Dr. Heidi Jane Hawkins 1.62 8
172 Jesse Rivest Partner, Khosla Ventures 1.62 16
173 Leah Ellis 1.61 33
174 Scott Nolan Founder & CEO, General Matter 1.6 10
175 Saloni Multani Partner, Galvanize Climate Solutions 1.6 15
176 Raymond Hawkins Chief Customer Officer, Compass Datacenters 1.58 12
177 Neha Palmer CEO and Co-Founder, TeraWatt Infrastructure 1.57 21
178 Amanda Lee Co-Founder & COO, Banyan Infrastructure 1.57 7
179 Dr. Michael Webber Professor, The University of Texas at Austin 1.56 39
180 Liz Specht VP of Science & Strategic Initiatives, FSI 1.56 16
181 Tomas de Oliveira Bredariol 1.54 13
182 Charles Brooke Program Director, Spark Climate Solutions 1.54 24
183 Matt Rogers Co-Founder and CEO, Mill 1.53 17
184 Peter Battaglia Senior Director of Research, Google DeepMind 1.5 10
185 Scott Engstrom Co-founder & Chief Customer Officer, GridX 1.5 10
186 Ahmad Ghahreman Co-Founder and CEO, Cyclic Materials 1.48 27
187 Steve Letendre Senior Advisor, Vehicle-Grid Integration Council 1.45 11
188 Dr. Roland Horne Professor of Earth Sciences, Stanford University 1.43 14
189 Chase Lochmiller Co-Founder & CEO, Crusoe 1.42 12
190 Dr. Gabrielle Dreyfus Chief Scientist, IGSD 1.4 10
191 Steve Pantano 1.4 10
192 Daniel Ackerman Audio Journalist, Marketplace 1.4 5
193 Alfred Johnson Co-Founder and CEO, Crux 1.38 32
194 Addison Stark 1.38 8
195 Stacey Phillips 1.25 8
196 Cristobal Undurraga Co-Founder and CEO, Ceibo 1.2 15
197 Emily Pontecorvo Founding Staff Writer, Heatmap News 1.2 5
198 Eric Davidson Professor Emeritus, UMCES 1.11 9
Companies

The most bearish calls

Debate potential is an AI score of how much a statement invites disagreement. Bearish counts tally what was said about a company on the show; they describe the conversation, not the company. Every count opens to the exact tape. full disclaimer →

All 145 companies, funds and products with at least one bearish claim on the record.

Company Bearish statements Of which 4–5
Energy Impact Partners fund 13 ↓
Microsoft company 7 ↓
Sylvera company 6 ↓ 2
Make Sunsets company 6 ↓ 2
Northvolt company 5 ↓
Google company 5 ↓
General Motors company 5 ↓
Digital Realty company 5 ↓
Tesla company 4 ↓
Monolith Materials company 4 ↓
Impossible Foods company 4 ↓
Climeworks company 4 ↓
Amazon company 4 ↓
NVIDIA company 3 ↓
Lithium Ion Batteries product 3 ↓
Graphite company 3 ↓
Generate Capital fund 3 ↓ 1
Facebook company 3 ↓
Delta Air Lines company 3 ↓
Beyond Meat company 3 ↓
Stripe Climate product 2 ↓
Stellantis company 2 ↓ 1
Shopify company 2 ↓
Scale Microgrids company 2 ↓
Nissan company 2 ↓ 2
Last Energy company 2 ↓ 1
Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund fund 2 ↓
Google DeepMind company 2 ↓
Ford Motor Company company 2 ↓
EnergyHub company 2 ↓
DNV company 2 ↓
CarbonPlan company 2 ↓
Carbon Collective company 2 ↓
Breakthrough Energy Catalyst fund 2 ↓
BMW company 2 ↓
BloombergNEF company 2 ↓
Airbus company 2 ↓ 1
World Trade Organization company 1 ↓
WeWork company 1 ↓
Waymo company 1 ↓
Watt Time company 1 ↓ 1
VW Group company 1 ↓
Volkswagen company 1 ↓
Voice Electric company 1 ↓
Valor Atomics company 1 ↓
Vale company 1 ↓
Urenco company 1 ↓
Uber company 1 ↓
U.S. Steel company 1 ↓
Trainium product 1 ↓
TPU product 1 ↓
Toyota company 1 ↓
Tim Hortons company 1 ↓
ThyssenKrupp company 1 ↓
Tesla Solar Roof product 1 ↓ 1
Synova company 1 ↓
Sunrun company 1 ↓
Subaru Outback product 1 ↓
Subaru company 1 ↓
Stripe company 1 ↓
Strawberry product 1 ↓
SQM company 1 ↓
Spark Climate Solutions company 1 ↓
SOLV Energy company 1 ↓
SolarCity company 1 ↓
Silicon Valley Bank company 1 ↓
Sightline Climate company 1 ↓
Siemens company 1 ↓
SemiAnalysis company 1 ↓
SeaAhead fund 1 ↓
Rewiring America company 1 ↓
Project InnerSpace company 1 ↓
Pexapark company 1 ↓
Periodic Labs company 1 ↓
Orsted company 1 ↓
OpenAI company 1 ↓
Oklo company 1 ↓
NuScale Power company 1 ↓ 1
NextEra Energy company 1 ↓
Natel Energy company 1 ↓
MP Materials company 1 ↓
Mosaic Browser product 1 ↓
MorningStar Farms company 1 ↓
Mizuho Securities company 1 ↓
Michelin company 1 ↓
McKinsey And Company company 1 ↓
Lowercarbon Capital fund 1 ↓ 1
Liquid Hydrogen Combustion Aircraft product 1 ↓
LG Energy Solution company 1 ↓
Koloma company 1 ↓
KKR company 1 ↓
Kellogg's company 1 ↓
Kaiso company 1 ↓
JPMorgan Chase company 1 ↓
iPhone product 1 ↓
IPad product 1 ↓
Intersect Power company 1 ↓
Halcyon company 1 ↓
Grain company 1 ↓
Goodyear company 1 ↓
Golden Pass company 1 ↓
Georgia Power company 1 ↓
Gazprom company 1 ↓
Galp company 1 ↓
Foxconn company 1 ↓
Fossil company 1 ↓
First Republic Bank company 1 ↓
ExxonMobil company 1 ↓
Eviation Aircraft company 1 ↓
ERMCO company 1 ↓
Enviva company 1 ↓ 1
Enron company 1 ↓
Enphase Energy company 1 ↓
Engine Number One fund 1 ↓
Electric Hydrogen company 1 ↓ 1
Dunkin' Donuts company 1 ↓
Duke Energy company 1 ↓
Dominion Energy company 1 ↓
CPower company 1 ↓
CoreWeave company 1 ↓
Consumer Reports company 1 ↓
Compass Datacenters company 1 ↓
Colonial Pipeline company 1 ↓
Clean Investment Monitor product 1 ↓
Clean Energy Fund Of Texas fund 1 ↓
Circular Energy Storage company 1 ↓
Chevy Blazer EV product 1 ↓
ChargerHelp company 1 ↓
Chaos Industries company 1 ↓ 1
Carbfix company 1 ↓
CAISO company 1 ↓
Burger King company 1 ↓
BP company 1 ↓
Boeing company 1 ↓ 1
Bloom company 1 ↓
BlackRock fund 1 ↓
Bitcoin product 1 ↓
Beyond Burger product 1 ↓
ASML company 1 ↓
Arcadium Lithium company 1 ↓
Albemarle company 1 ↓
AEP company 1 ↓
Advanced Energy United company 1 ↓
ACI company 1 ↓
Abingoa Hugotin company 1 ↓

Highest debate potential, by year

2026

Opinion
Rountree: Chaos Industries Has Worse Technology but Superior Commercial Execution
“There's, you know, a much better funded company incubated by ABC called Chaos Industries, which I personally think has worse technology, but they're doing a lot better because they've productized this, they're very good at selling it, they're very good at mark…”
Ian Rountree Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 23:48 The VC case for 'full stack deeptech'
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2031
Chinese automakers will likely acquire vulnerable legacy brands like Nissan and Stellantis
“One is Nissan, and the other is Stellantis, the group that owns, you know, Fiat, and Maserati, and Jeep, and Chrysler brands. Those two are the most vulnerable, so what will happen is either they'll joint venture with the Chinese And eventually be taken over b…”
Michael Dunne Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 16:45 How China is reshaping the global auto market

2025

Opinion
Waters: US energy storage success requires partnering with Chinese companies
“The only way we're going to get anywhere in the U.S. Market with storage is by partnering with the Chinese.”
Jeff Waters Apr 23, 2025 ▶ 1:46 What’s next for the battery storage boom? [partner content]
Opinion
Grunwald: Extreme Land Efficiency Justifies Supporting Industrial Agriculture
“There are many, many reasons to not like industrial agriculture, but there's one really good reason to like it, and it's that it makes food extremely efficiency, efficiently, and we need efficiency.”
Mike Grunwald Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 9:54 The climate-ag grab bag

2024

Opinion
Orbuch: Legacy carbon registries protected brokers by pretending cheap offsets were real
“The original sin with carbon markets was this bad incentive structure encouraged by registries that weren't aligned around the problem to protect the interests of the sellers and brokers of the credits, to make them look like there are enough credits at low en…”
Ryan Orbuch Jan 4, 2024 ▶ 12:46 Fixing the messy voluntary carbon market
Insight
Orbuch: Legacy carbon offset market operated as an aligned house of cards
“Because the registries and the feedback loop with the registries is to just keep issuing credits and make each credit look the same as every other credit, everyone's incentivized the other way because the buyers don't want to go back and say, Wow, all this mon…”
Ryan Orbuch Jan 4, 2024 ▶ 25:31 Fixing the messy voluntary carbon market

2023

Opinion
Roberts: The commercial nuclear industry is historically corrupt and incompetent
“What I don't want is the sort of generalized hype around SMRs to translate into just yet another round of a large and historically Corrupt and incompetent industry getting another giant round of subsidies dumped on its head for ultimately nothing, which is wha…”
David Roberts Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 36:03 The Volts crossover episode
Assertion Supported
Hertz-Shargel: Bitcoin mining raises Texas power bills by $1.8B annually
“So collectively, it's 1.8 billion conservatively per year. And that's sort of a run rate, I would say. And that represents around a five percent increase in costs of Texans, of, you know non-Bitcoin mining consumers. And that, that's across all the different s…”
Ben Hertz-Shargel May 11, 2023 ▶ 17:33 The great Bitcoin energy debate

2022

Opinion
House: Direct air capture to synthetic fuel is a staggering waste of capital
“Absurd, absurd, totally absurd technology that will cost, that is the, that is a staggering waste of human brain cells and capital and resources. And it's, and we should be spending at, we should always be working on the most effective, the best marginal use o…”
Kurt House Apr 21, 2022 ▶ 44:58 The great rush for battery metals
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jenkins: Europe can viably eliminate 100% of Russian gas by winter 2022
“Europe's current plan is to cut natural gas use by about two thirds before this winter. Can they actually go a hundred percent? Can they cut if they needed to, or if they needed to make a credible threat on the global stage to Putin that we will cut our gas us…”
Jesse Jenkins Mar 31, 2022 ▶ 31:27 Can Europe quit Russian fossil fuel by next winter?

2021

Opinion
Rutherford: Boeing passes the buck on aircraft decarbonization compared to Airbus
“There are real merits to those fuels, but if you're a manufacturer to say, you know, we're going to build, we're going to continue to build our planes as they are today, and someone else is going to produce the fuel to make them zero carbon, it's a little bit …”
Dan Rutherford Dec 2, 2021 ▶ 25:28 A bumpy ride toward decarbonizing aviation
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