Graphite

7 statements across 5 episodes · 2 bullish · 3 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Jul 21, 2022 by Sam Jaffe · across every show →

Everything said about Graphite, oldest first

Jul 21, 2022 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2032
Jaffe: Graphite will continue to dominate EV anodes over the next decade
“On the anode side, it's going to be for this next decade, it's, we're still going to be living in a graphite dominated world with more and more silicon coming into the The anode, but it's still going to be mostly graphite”
Sam Jaffe Jul 21, 2022 ▶ 34:22 Seeking the holy grail of batteries
Dec 7, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
New non-Chinese graphite facilities could produce significant volume by 2026
“I mean, there are graphite facilities being built today that should happen very relatively quickly and have a chance to be producing significant amounts of graphite in twenty-twenty-six.”
Sam Jaffe Dec 7, 2023 ▶ 13:49 Update: What the new Treasury rules mean for EV supply chains
Dec 7, 2023 bearish
Assertion Supported
Essentially all EV battery graphite currently originates from China
“And graphite is of course going to be one of the most severely challenged areas of battery materials, because today all graphite essentially is coming from China.”
Sam Jaffe Dec 7, 2023 ▶ 12:25 Update: What the new Treasury rules mean for EV supply chains
Apr 4, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Steingart: Graphite battery recycling is hard to justify economically and technically
“Long story short, graphite recycling is in its infancy, and it's pretty difficult to justify from a purity and homogeneity basis, and, you know, frankly, there, there's plenty of graphite in the ground, so, so it's hard to justify from an economic basis recycl…”
Dan Steingart Apr 4, 2024 ▶ 31:12 The world of battery recycling
Apr 11, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Lott: China refines 90% of graphite and restricted exports in late 2023
“China refines 90% of the world's graphite. And at the end of 2023, China restricted graphite exports in an effort to protect its own supply.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 27:51 The Big Switch: Are Batteries the New Oil?
Apr 11, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lott: China Produces 80% of Global Graphite
“60% of manganese comes from South Africa, China, and Australia, and China sources 80% of the world's graphite.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 20:23 The Big Switch: Are Batteries the New Oil?
Oct 10, 2024 positive
Prediction Held up
Frith: Silicon anodes will eventually beat graphite on cost
“Over the next few years, we're going to see the increasing kind of adoption of silicon materials. And again, some silicon materials, not all, but some silicon materials will give you a Cost advantage over graphite. So on a per kilowatt hour basis, you'll have …”
James Frith Oct 10, 2024 ▶ 17:49 Unpacking China’s cheap battery costs
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