Amazon

includes Amazon Web Services, Amazon Alexa

14 statements across 10 episodes · 6 bullish · 4 bearish · 10 people on the record · first statement Dec 16, 2021 by Mark Cupta · said 54 times in 24 episodes since 2021 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Shayle Kann (16), Jeremy Eliahu-Ontiveros (9), Brian Janous (6), Ty Yeagerson (2), Shanu Matthew (2), Jeff Bezos (2), James McGinnis (2), Stephen Lacey (1)

tap a year for its mentions
001052010202120222023202420252026episodesmentions
0510202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
002.55510202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 14 mentions in 3 episodes 5 per episode
2025 9 mentions in 5 episodes 2 per episode
2024 16 mentions in 9 episodes 2 per episode
2023 7 mentions in 3 episodes 2 per episode
2022 3 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2021 5 mentions in 1 episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Amazon, oldest first

Dec 16, 2021 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Major tech companies will achieve true zero-carbon power without using offsets
“So there is a future In my opinion, for those companies to get to not just net zero on a on a basis of using offsets or other things, but actually truly having zero carbon power”
Mark Cupta Dec 16, 2021 ▶ 22:40 Quantum computing could be a critical climate solution
May 5, 2022 negative
Insight
Orbuch: Avoided deforestation carbon credits have near-zero net impact due to leakage
“Avoided deforestation, for example, is like a classically cheap and conceptually compelling credit especially in, you know, say the Amazon that's I mean, basically impossible to prove the counterfactual because there's often significant amounts of leakage, and…”
Ryan Orbuch May 5, 2022 ▶ 24:30 Growing the Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) market
Aug 17, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lubbershane: Amazon turns to Bloom Energy fuel cells for Oregon data centers
“Amazon announced that they've got these three new data centers in Oregon that they're going to be, at least for the short term, powering with fuel cells from Bloom Energy, natural gas powered fuel cells. And part of that is because they just can't get connecte…”
Andy Lubershane Aug 17, 2023 ▶ 14:08 Navigating the electricity gauntlet
Feb 8, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Bullard: Amazon deforestation fell 60% from 2021 to 2023
“We had about 5000 square kilometers of deforestation in the Amazon last year, which is like 60% less than it was in the year 2021 and much less, like maybe a fifth of what it was or even less in the 19 nineties and in the early 2000.”
Nat Bullard Feb 8, 2024 ▶ 18:15 2024 trends: batteries, transferable tax credits, and the cost of capital
Jun 13, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Janus: Hyperscaler climate targets are probably not achievable on time
“And so there is, I think at this point, a point of coming to grips with the fact that those targets are probably not achievable in the time horizons that they had all set.”
Brian Janous Jun 13, 2024 ▶ 37:59 Under the hood of data center power demand
Jan 23, 2025
Prediction Held up
Grunwald: Feeding 2050 Population Needs Two Indias' Worth of New Land
“If, even if we continue to increase farm yields at the same rate they've increased throughout the Green Revolution we're gonna need another two India's worth of land, which essentially means, you know, gonna bye-bye Amazon and Congo rainforests, you know, very…”
Mike Grunwald Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 5:40 The climate-ag grab bag
Feb 13, 2025 bullish
Insight
Kimber: Edge LLMs trigger recursive queries, massively multiplying datacenter power demand
“Every smaller distilled LLM that is power efficient doing inference is going to launch thousands of queries to bigger, more capable models that can actually reason their way through buying something on Amazon and reason. So it's almost like increasing the worl…”
Sheldon Kimber Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 43:13 The case for colocating data centers and generation
Dec 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Matthew: Amazon added 3.8 GW and Microsoft added 2 GW over 12 months
“Like Amazon brought on 3.8 gigawatts in the last 12 months. So they're going to double their footprint in the next two years. Microsoft said they're going to double as well. And they brought on two gigawatts in the last 12 months.”
Shanu Matthew Dec 4, 2025 ▶ 14:29 Who benefits from the AI power bottleneck?
Jan 29, 2026 bullish
Insight
McGinnis: Permissionless plug-in systems can eliminate residential install soft costs
“Permissionless can effectively Put that to zero. Because two of the big components there are three of the big components are permitting labor and CAC. And so think about a buy online motion where a consumer is just going to Amazon and buying one of these and p…”
James McGinnis Jan 29, 2026 ▶ 16:01 The rise of permissionless DERs
Jan 29, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
McGinnis: Rising electric bills will drive mass adoption of DIY plug-in energy
“The more that we see bills go up in the U.S., regardless of what the rules out there are, people are gonna go on Amazon, they're gonna start buying the stuff, they're gonna start plugging it in, and so I think this is coming one way or another, and it's really…”
James McGinnis Jan 29, 2026 ▶ 25:59 The rise of permissionless DERs
Jul 9, 2026
Assertion Partly supported
Eliahu-Ontiveros: Google and Amazon drove bulk of 150 GW utility load pipeline
“The bulk of these contracted loads, I think at the end of 25, we had like a 150 gigawatts the PPL, you know, in, in, in Pennsylvania. That's mostly Google and Amazon. They're the ones sort of scouting all of the utility markets and you know, putting deposits a…”
Jeremy Eliahu-Ontiveros Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 31:26 Inside the AI power wars
Jul 9, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Eliahu-Ontiveros: OpenAI and Anthropic drive half of Amazon and Microsoft buildout
“Increasingly, you basically look at Amazon or Microsoft, how many gigawatts they're building every quarter? Half of that is going to either both of them combined, right? Open AI and Anthropic.”
Jeremy Eliahu-Ontiveros Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 11:56 Inside the AI power wars
Jul 9, 2026 negative
Opinion
Eliahu-Ontiveros: Microsoft has dropped to fourth in hyperscaler energy sophistication
“I don't think I wouldn't call Microsoft now the second. I probably would rank them fourth now. I think you've seen Amazon step up pretty dramatically, and you've seen them at the frontier of a bunch of, you know, unique type of deals.”
Jeremy Eliahu-Ontiveros Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 8:44 Inside the AI power wars
Jul 9, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Eliahu-Ontiveros: Nvidia risks losing silicon share unless it backstops neocloud power
“It's actually becoming a pretty existential risk for NVIDIA because if they don't support the NeoClouds, they're at risk of basically seeing Google Amazon and others take tremendous market share on the silicon side, right? So you would see Tranium take, take m…”
Jeremy Eliahu-Ontiveros Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 25:18 Inside the AI power wars
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