Feb 13, 2025 · 45m · catalyst

The case for colocating data centers and generation

Sheldon Kimber · 26m spoken Shayle Kann · 12m spoken
0:00 / 0:00

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In this episode of Catalyst, host Shayle Kann interviews Sheldon Kimber, CEO of Intersect Power, exploring how co-locating multi-gigawatt clean energy and storage assets directly with AI data centers solves severe grid interconnect bottlenecks and satisfies the surging, inflexible power demands of artificial intelligence.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. Shayle holds 29.3% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

Shayle as informed peer 5.0 Guest teaching 3.8 Guest disagreement 2.9 Shayle pushing back 2.4
05100:0015:0030:0045:000:00–2:43 · Shayle as informed peer 0/10 Latitude Media Newsletter Promotion and Pre-Roll Announcement Introductory teasers, newsletter promotion, and sponsor announcements for Bloom Energy, Engie, and EnergyHub. No interactive host-guest dialogue occurs.2:48–5:41 · Shayle as informed peer 5/10 Introduction to the Data Center Power Bottleneck and Intersect Deal Shayle opens with a structured overview of the data center bottleneck, contrasting excess capacity hunting, nuclear additions, and on-site generation before introducing Intersect's deal with Google and TPG.5:42–9:00 · Shayle as informed peer 5/10 Macro Dynamics, Domestic Policies, and Supply Chain Tariff Pressures Sheldon outlines the supply-side Biden manufacturing push against the AI demand boom, while Shayle adds nuance regarding complex pre-existing tariff structures beyond recent administration changes.9:00–13:46 · Shayle as informed peer 6/10 PPA Market Evolution, Off-Taker Risk, and Pricing Divergence Shayle and Sheldon dig into PPA tenor shifts and merchant tail risk. Sheldon corrects the perception around tenor trends, clarifying that developers moved away from 15-year terms due to uncompensated tail risk.13:49–22:35 · Shayle as informed peer 6/10 Mid-Roll Sponsor Break: Fuel Cells, Energy Advisory, and Virtual Plants After mid-roll sponsor reads, Shayle asks what fundamentally drives co-location. Sheldon lays out the triad of speed, scale, and the broken grid, explaining why load and generation interconnection rules differ.22:35–27:25 · Shayle as informed peer 5/10 Grid Interconnection Architecture and Hybrid Baseload Generation Sheldon dismisses the traditional holy war between gas and renewables, arguing that a hybrid 80% renewable plus 20% reciprocating engine setup beats expensive new combined cycle gas turbines on cost and speed.27:25–35:59 · Shayle as informed peer 6/10 Capital Economics and the Impossibility of Flexible Compute Load Shayle inquires whether flexible load has any operational traction. Sheldon forcefully dismantles the idea by breaking down capital expenditure: thirty billion dollars of chips will never be curtailed for cheap electricity.36:00–44:24 · Shayle as informed peer 7/10 DeepSeek Efficiency Hype, Jevons' Paradox, and Autonomous AI Load The conversation debates DeepSeek and Jevons paradox. Shayle offers a historical counterexample where cloud efficiency flattened power consumption for two decades, prompting Sheldon to challenge him to a source-off and describe recursive machine queries.0:00–2:43 · Guest teaching 0/10 Latitude Media Newsletter Promotion and Pre-Roll Announcement Introductory teasers, newsletter promotion, and sponsor announcements for Bloom Energy, Engie, and EnergyHub. No interactive host-guest dialogue occurs.2:48–5:41 · Guest teaching 1/10 Introduction to the Data Center Power Bottleneck and Intersect Deal Shayle opens with a structured overview of the data center bottleneck, contrasting excess capacity hunting, nuclear additions, and on-site generation before introducing Intersect's deal with Google and TPG.5:42–9:00 · Guest teaching 3/10 Macro Dynamics, Domestic Policies, and Supply Chain Tariff Pressures Sheldon outlines the supply-side Biden manufacturing push against the AI demand boom, while Shayle adds nuance regarding complex pre-existing tariff structures beyond recent administration changes.9:00–13:46 · Guest teaching 4/10 PPA Market Evolution, Off-Taker Risk, and Pricing Divergence Shayle and Sheldon dig into PPA tenor shifts and merchant tail risk. Sheldon corrects the perception around tenor trends, clarifying that developers moved away from 15-year terms due to uncompensated tail risk.13:49–22:35 · Guest teaching 5/10 Mid-Roll Sponsor Break: Fuel Cells, Energy Advisory, and Virtual Plants After mid-roll sponsor reads, Shayle asks what fundamentally drives co-location. Sheldon lays out the triad of speed, scale, and the broken grid, explaining why load and generation interconnection rules differ.22:35–27:25 · Guest teaching 5/10 Grid Interconnection Architecture and Hybrid Baseload Generation Sheldon dismisses the traditional holy war between gas and renewables, arguing that a hybrid 80% renewable plus 20% reciprocating engine setup beats expensive new combined cycle gas turbines on cost and speed.27:25–35:59 · Guest teaching 6/10 Capital Economics and the Impossibility of Flexible Compute Load Shayle inquires whether flexible load has any operational traction. Sheldon forcefully dismantles the idea by breaking down capital expenditure: thirty billion dollars of chips will never be curtailed for cheap electricity.36:00–44:24 · Guest teaching 6/10 DeepSeek Efficiency Hype, Jevons' Paradox, and Autonomous AI Load The conversation debates DeepSeek and Jevons paradox. Shayle offers a historical counterexample where cloud efficiency flattened power consumption for two decades, prompting Sheldon to challenge him to a source-off and describe recursive machine queries.0:00–2:43 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Latitude Media Newsletter Promotion and Pre-Roll Announcement Introductory teasers, newsletter promotion, and sponsor announcements for Bloom Energy, Engie, and EnergyHub. No interactive host-guest dialogue occurs.2:48–5:41 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Introduction to the Data Center Power Bottleneck and Intersect Deal Shayle opens with a structured overview of the data center bottleneck, contrasting excess capacity hunting, nuclear additions, and on-site generation before introducing Intersect's deal with Google and TPG.5:42–9:00 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Macro Dynamics, Domestic Policies, and Supply Chain Tariff Pressures Sheldon outlines the supply-side Biden manufacturing push against the AI demand boom, while Shayle adds nuance regarding complex pre-existing tariff structures beyond recent administration changes.9:00–13:46 · Guest disagreement 3/10 PPA Market Evolution, Off-Taker Risk, and Pricing Divergence Shayle and Sheldon dig into PPA tenor shifts and merchant tail risk. Sheldon corrects the perception around tenor trends, clarifying that developers moved away from 15-year terms due to uncompensated tail risk.13:49–22:35 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Mid-Roll Sponsor Break: Fuel Cells, Energy Advisory, and Virtual Plants After mid-roll sponsor reads, Shayle asks what fundamentally drives co-location. Sheldon lays out the triad of speed, scale, and the broken grid, explaining why load and generation interconnection rules differ.22:35–27:25 · Guest disagreement 4/10 Grid Interconnection Architecture and Hybrid Baseload Generation Sheldon dismisses the traditional holy war between gas and renewables, arguing that a hybrid 80% renewable plus 20% reciprocating engine setup beats expensive new combined cycle gas turbines on cost and speed.27:25–35:59 · Guest disagreement 5/10 Capital Economics and the Impossibility of Flexible Compute Load Shayle inquires whether flexible load has any operational traction. Sheldon forcefully dismantles the idea by breaking down capital expenditure: thirty billion dollars of chips will never be curtailed for cheap electricity.36:00–44:24 · Guest disagreement 5/10 DeepSeek Efficiency Hype, Jevons' Paradox, and Autonomous AI Load The conversation debates DeepSeek and Jevons paradox. Shayle offers a historical counterexample where cloud efficiency flattened power consumption for two decades, prompting Sheldon to challenge him to a source-off and describe recursive machine queries.0:00–2:43 · Shayle pushing back 0/10 Latitude Media Newsletter Promotion and Pre-Roll Announcement Introductory teasers, newsletter promotion, and sponsor announcements for Bloom Energy, Engie, and EnergyHub. No interactive host-guest dialogue occurs.2:48–5:41 · Shayle pushing back 1/10 Introduction to the Data Center Power Bottleneck and Intersect Deal Shayle opens with a structured overview of the data center bottleneck, contrasting excess capacity hunting, nuclear additions, and on-site generation before introducing Intersect's deal with Google and TPG.5:42–9:00 · Shayle pushing back 2/10 Macro Dynamics, Domestic Policies, and Supply Chain Tariff Pressures Sheldon outlines the supply-side Biden manufacturing push against the AI demand boom, while Shayle adds nuance regarding complex pre-existing tariff structures beyond recent administration changes.9:00–13:46 · Shayle pushing back 3/10 PPA Market Evolution, Off-Taker Risk, and Pricing Divergence Shayle and Sheldon dig into PPA tenor shifts and merchant tail risk. Sheldon corrects the perception around tenor trends, clarifying that developers moved away from 15-year terms due to uncompensated tail risk.13:49–22:35 · Shayle pushing back 3/10 Mid-Roll Sponsor Break: Fuel Cells, Energy Advisory, and Virtual Plants After mid-roll sponsor reads, Shayle asks what fundamentally drives co-location. Sheldon lays out the triad of speed, scale, and the broken grid, explaining why load and generation interconnection rules differ.22:35–27:25 · Shayle pushing back 2/10 Grid Interconnection Architecture and Hybrid Baseload Generation Sheldon dismisses the traditional holy war between gas and renewables, arguing that a hybrid 80% renewable plus 20% reciprocating engine setup beats expensive new combined cycle gas turbines on cost and speed.27:25–35:59 · Shayle pushing back 3/10 Capital Economics and the Impossibility of Flexible Compute Load Shayle inquires whether flexible load has any operational traction. Sheldon forcefully dismantles the idea by breaking down capital expenditure: thirty billion dollars of chips will never be curtailed for cheap electricity.36:00–44:24 · Shayle pushing back 5/10 DeepSeek Efficiency Hype, Jevons' Paradox, and Autonomous AI Load The conversation debates DeepSeek and Jevons paradox. Shayle offers a historical counterexample where cloud efficiency flattened power consumption for two decades, prompting Sheldon to challenge him to a source-off and describe recursive machine queries.

speaking balance: gold is Shayle, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · Shayle 14.6% · guest 85.4%0:00 · Shayle 14.6% · guest 85.4%3:00 · Shayle 81.6% · guest 18.4%3:00 · Shayle 81.6% · guest 18.4%6:00 · Shayle 19.6% · guest 80.4%6:00 · Shayle 19.6% · guest 80.4%9:00 · Shayle 46% · guest 54%9:00 · Shayle 46% · guest 54%12:00 · Shayle 6.2% · guest 93.8%12:00 · Shayle 6.2% · guest 93.8%15:00 · Shayle 43.1% · guest 56.9%15:00 · Shayle 43.1% · guest 56.9%18:00 · Shayle 16.8% · guest 83.2%18:00 · Shayle 16.8% · guest 83.2%21:00 · Shayle 13.6% · guest 86.4%21:00 · Shayle 13.6% · guest 86.4%24:00 · Shayle 27.6% · guest 72.4%24:00 · Shayle 27.6% · guest 72.4%27:00 · Shayle 29.5% · guest 70.5%27:00 · Shayle 29.5% · guest 70.5%30:00 · Shayle 35.2% · guest 64.8%30:00 · Shayle 35.2% · guest 64.8%33:00 · Shayle 7.5% · guest 92.5%33:00 · Shayle 7.5% · guest 92.5%36:00 · Shayle 14.1% · guest 85.9%36:00 · Shayle 14.1% · guest 85.9%39:00 · Shayle 54% · guest 46%39:00 · Shayle 54% · guest 46%42:00 · Shayle 17.3% · guest 82.7%42:00 · Shayle 17.3% · guest 82.7%45:00 · Shayle 87.1% · guest 12.9%45:00 · Shayle 87.1% · guest 12.9%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 27:47 Dismissal of flexible data center load

Sheldon forcefully rejects the premise of flexible compute loads, calling power the tail of the dog and insisting nobody would idle $30B of silicon for energy savings.

Hardest push from Shayle ▶ 39:07 Historical cloud efficiency counterargument

Shayle pushes back against uninterrupted load growth assumptions by pointing to two decades of data center power demand remaining flat despite massive cloud computing expansion.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 28:00 CapEx breakdown of modern gigawatt data centers

Sheldon educates the audience on the economic reality of data centers, contrasting $5B of generation assets against $30B in compute silicon to prove flexibility is uneconomic.

Shayle holds their own ▶ 39:20 Challenging Jevons paradox certainty

Shayle demonstrates deep market knowledge by raising the historical decoupling of compute growth from energy consumption, forcing Sheldon to clarify how autonomous AI inference differs from past web traffic.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicShayle as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementShayle pushing backWhy
Latitude Media Newsletter Promotion and Pre-Roll Announcement 0000 Introductory teasers, newsletter promotion, and sponsor announcements for Bloom Energy, Engie, and EnergyHub. No interactive host-guest dialogue occurs.
Introduction to the Data Center Power Bottleneck and Intersect Deal 5111 Shayle opens with a structured overview of the data center bottleneck, contrasting excess capacity hunting, nuclear additions, and on-site generation before introducing Intersect's deal with Google and TPG.
Macro Dynamics, Domestic Policies, and Supply Chain Tariff Pressures 5322 Sheldon outlines the supply-side Biden manufacturing push against the AI demand boom, while Shayle adds nuance regarding complex pre-existing tariff structures beyond recent administration changes.
PPA Market Evolution, Off-Taker Risk, and Pricing Divergence 6433 Shayle and Sheldon dig into PPA tenor shifts and merchant tail risk. Sheldon corrects the perception around tenor trends, clarifying that developers moved away from 15-year terms due to uncompensated tail risk.
Mid-Roll Sponsor Break: Fuel Cells, Energy Advisory, and Virtual Plants 6533 After mid-roll sponsor reads, Shayle asks what fundamentally drives co-location. Sheldon lays out the triad of speed, scale, and the broken grid, explaining why load and generation interconnection rules differ.
Grid Interconnection Architecture and Hybrid Baseload Generation 5542 Sheldon dismisses the traditional holy war between gas and renewables, arguing that a hybrid 80% renewable plus 20% reciprocating engine setup beats expensive new combined cycle gas turbines on cost and speed.
Capital Economics and the Impossibility of Flexible Compute Load 6653 Shayle inquires whether flexible load has any operational traction. Sheldon forcefully dismantles the idea by breaking down capital expenditure: thirty billion dollars of chips will never be curtailed for cheap electricity.
DeepSeek Efficiency Hype, Jevons' Paradox, and Autonomous AI Load 7655 The conversation debates DeepSeek and Jevons paradox. Shayle offers a historical counterexample where cloud efficiency flattened power consumption for two decades, prompting Sheldon to challenge him to a source-off and describe recursive machine queries.

Statements from this episode (14)

Assertion Supported
Kann: xAI Partially Powers Its Memphis Data Center with On-Site Natural Gas
“This, for example, is how XAI is partially powering its rapidly built data center in Memphis, but lots more similar announcements with new natural gas have arrived.”
Shayle Kann Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 3:51
Assertion Supported
Google and TPG inject $800M into Intersect Power for co-located generation
“Intersect partnered with TPG, which is a big investment firm, and Google on a partnership that initially will inject about eight hundred million dollars into Intersect to develop solar and storage and wind and some gas co-located with data centers in the Unite…”
Shayle Kann Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 4:30
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kimber: Federal crackdowns on Chinese clean energy equipment will not ease under Trump
“You've got the commerce and trade. You've got DOD and national defense you know, all kind of coming at, in particular, the Chinese sourced equipment for renewable energy. So that's been happening for a while. I don't anticipate it to get any better under Donal…”
Sheldon Kimber Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 8:01
Assertion Supported
Kimber: 15-year PPA prices are rising despite low spot electricity prices
“There's kind of an odd thing going on where spot prices remain quite low, but, you know, PPA prices for 15 year deals are kind of floating up.”
Sheldon Kimber Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 13:04
Disclosure
Kimber: Intersect pivoted clean power assets from hydrogen to AI
“We thought maybe hydrogen would be first because of the supply side supports under the IRA. The demand just didn't materialize, and now all of a sudden, AI has just swept up all of the assets that we developed for, you know, behind the meter And co-located loa…”
Sheldon Kimber Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 19:32
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kimber: Data centers are entering an era where grid connection is optional
“Generally speaking, I think we're moving into an era where grid connection is optional and should be optional. And that, you know, we should be able to, you know, operate these things fully off grid if necessary.”
Sheldon Kimber Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 23:28
Disclosure
Kimber: Intersect Power has two multi-gigawatt data center sites in Texas Panhandle
“We've got two multi gigawatt scale data center sites in the panhandle of Texas. One of them's three gigawatts, one of them's over a gigawatt single sites and they're capable of being fully off grid if you want them to. They're on gas, they have you know, multi…”
Sheldon Kimber Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 24:04
Assertion Open · timeframe Feb 2028
Kimber: Co-located renewables can power Texas data centers carbon-free 75%–80% of the year
“75 to 80% of the hours of the year, we can run fully carbon free with, you know, wind, solar, and batteries all on the same site. And then, you know, 20%, maybe a little over 20% of the time, we need to have some gas or we need to use the grid.”
Sheldon Kimber Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 25:58
Opinion
Kimber: Hybrid renewables and gas engines beat new combined-cycle plants
“If you go build a CCGT right now for 2000 dollars KW and, you know, like you can't even find sort of like You know, labor unions and pipe fitters and whatnot that have ever even built these things in many cases, right? You know, it's going to take five, six ye…”
Sheldon Kimber Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 26:44
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kimber: AI data centers will never offer flexible power load
“Every second you aren't running that at a hundred percent capacity factor is enormous amortized cost, right? So that it's just, it's one of those things where it's like, you'd be a fool to turn it down. You have to at some points because operationally, you kno…”
Sheldon Kimber Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 28:49
Opinion
Kimber: Reputable crypto players are among the smartest in the power market
“All of our interactions with the crypto folks almost universally, I'd say that the reputable players in the space are some of the smartest and most creative people I've found in the power market.”
Sheldon Kimber Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 33:35
Insight
Kimber: Edge LLMs trigger recursive queries, massively multiplying datacenter power demand
“Every smaller distilled LLM that is power efficient doing inference is going to launch thousands of queries to bigger, more capable models that can actually reason their way through buying something on Amazon and reason. So it's almost like increasing the worl…”
Sheldon Kimber Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 43:13
Prediction Held up
Kimber: AI inference will ultimately draw far more power than training
“I think now what we're seeing is that inference in the aggregate is actually probably a much larger draw than the training in the long run.”
Sheldon Kimber Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 44:04
Disclosure
Kimber: Intersect Power is project financing about $9B of capex
“We're in the middle of project financing about nine billion dollars of capex right now.”
Sheldon Kimber Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 44:46
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