John O'Donnell

Founder & Chief Innovation Officer, Rondo Energy · 1 appearance on the record.

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founderexecutiveengineerLinkedIn ↗rondo.com ↗

John O'Donnell is an energy innovator who co-founded Rondo Energy to decarbonize heavy industry using refractory brick heat batteries. Prior to Rondo, he co-founded GlassPoint Solar and Ausra, and previously worked on fusion experiments at the Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory.

19statements → 14claims → 12claims resolved → 42%fully supported → 4.05/5average certainty → 1.84/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated → 1said about them ↓

5 supported 6 partly supported 1 contradicted 2 not checkable as stated how the 14 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

1 prediction · 13 assertions · 4 insights · 1 disclosure · every statement was checked. The prediction and assertions are the 14 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 12 are resolved, and 2 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how John argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
O'Donnell: Oklahoma Saw 2,000 Hours of Negative Wind Prices in 2021
“Oklahoma had 2000 hours last year of negative wind prices.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 40:49 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat

Their most notable contradicted claim

Assertion Contradicted
O'Donnell: Roughly 80% of industrial heat is below 350 degrees Celsius
“Something like 80% of industrial heat is in the low to mid mid range temperatures below about 350 C.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 8:47 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
0% certainty 3
75% certainty 4
50% certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of John O'Donnell on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything John O'Donnell said on Catalyst that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Assertion Not checkable as stated
O'Donnell: Intermittent electricity is the cheapest energy in human history
“The reason why these Resistance heated electric thermal storage things are only emerging now is that it's only in the last few years where intermittent electricity has become the cheapest form of energy that humans have ever known in civilization's history, ri…”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 18:16 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Insight
O'Donnell: No business case for thermal storage beyond 20 hours
“And that says that we don't see a business reason for very, for storage beyond about 20 hours of storage. That if you have about 20 hours of storage, You know, there's going to be about 10 or 12% of annual energy that you're going to get from something else.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 33:48 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Assertion Partly supported
O'Donnell: Renewable electricity sources are now cheaper than industrial fuels
“Those renewable electricity sources are now cheaper than the fuel being used today.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 6:05 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Assertion Partly supported
O'Donnell: Electricity-to-heat thermal storage solutions exceed 95% efficiency
“This entire class of solutions, every one of them is above about 95% efficient in capturing electricity and delivering continuous heat.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 28:53 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Donnell: Industrial Decarbonization Over Next 20 Years Will Focus on Existing Sites
“Over time, we're going to see energy intensive industries adapt to where renewables are cheapest, but look, for the next 20 years, it is all about repowering the facilities that we have today”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 37:41 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Assertion Supported
O'Donnell: Oklahoma Saw 2,000 Hours of Negative Wind Prices in 2021
“Oklahoma had 2000 hours last year of negative wind prices.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 40:49 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Assertion Partly supported
O'Donnell: Oklahoma Wind Faces 10-Year Queue, California Solar Averages 7.5 Years
“There's a 10 year interconnection queue in Oklahoma for new wind projects. The average interconnection time for new utility scale PV projects in California is seven and a half years.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 41:20 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Disclosure
O'Donnell: Rondo pairs heat batteries directly with off-grid renewable farms
“A great deal of what we're doing is off-grid generation. We've built our particular heat batteries to manage off-grid wind farms, off-grid solar farms.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 42:42 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Assertion Supported
O'Donnell: Biogas trades at about a 4x price premium to natural gas
“There's a very limited supply of biogas. It's being aggressively taken up and it sort of typically trades at a, about a four times price premium to natural gas.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 15:02 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Assertion Partly supported
O'Donnell: Hydrogen heat requires 2 units of electricity per unit of heat
“Making it from clean electricity. It's about two units of electricity for one unit of heat. The production equipment, the electrolyzers are expensive today, and they're coming down in cost. That two to one ratio, though, is not something that's going to change…”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 15:45 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Insight
O'Donnell: Direct electrification cannot achieve a 90% emissions reduction without storage
“The upper limit that we typically see in the United States anywhere is anywhere that Maybe you'll get 30% of the hours of the year of clean power. You might get as much as 40% of the hours of the year of low cost power. But so it's a solution that's on the mar…”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 20:52 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Insight
O'Donnell: Containment structures cost much more than aggregate in thermal storage
“What you find when you pull on that thread is the box costs lots more than the rocks.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 26:42 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Insight
O'Donnell: Do not use lithium-ion for seasonal energy storage
“If you want to move energy from July to January, don't use something that self-discharges over time. Don't use lithium-ion.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 34:35 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Assertion Supported
O'Donnell: Replacing 2019 industrial heat requires 10,600 gigawatts of renewables
“If we do a units conversion and ask ourselves, we want to repower that with renewables, it's about 10,600 gigawatts of renewables, wind and solar with typical capacity factors, needed to replace that fuel consumption.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 5:40 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Assertion Contradicted
O'Donnell: Roughly 80% of industrial heat is below 350 degrees Celsius
“Something like 80% of industrial heat is in the low to mid mid range temperatures below about 350 C.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 8:47 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Assertion Supported
O'Donnell: Most industrial heat up to 600°C is moved as steam
“Up to about 600, the vast majority of heat is moved around as steam.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 10:05 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Assertion Partly supported
O'Donnell: Smelters and refineries operate continuously with one annual shutdown
“You start up a smelter or a refinery. If you turn it off, it could take you weeks to restart it. So yeah, they operate typically with one annual shutdown for inspection.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 19:15 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Assertion Partly supported
O'Donnell: 300 GW of brick heat storage currently operates in blast furnaces
“There's 300 gigawatts of heat storage running right now at the blast furnaces around the world. They store heat in brick. They figured it out in 1828.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 28:41 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat
Assertion Supported
O'Donnell: Only 22% of Proposed Swedish Wind Projects Were Permitted in 2021
“22% of the wind projects that were proposed in Sweden last year were permitted.”
John O'Donnell Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 37:24 Solving the conundrum of industrial heat

The other half of the tape: John O'Donnell's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 1 time in 1 episode on Catalyst. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Shayle Kann 1

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
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0112023episodes it came up in
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2023 1 mention in 1 episode

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
Solving the conundrum of industrial heat Dec 8, 2022 26m
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