The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Carbon auditor approved dead mangrove project because specific sample plots survived
“And we've seen that, for example, in a mangrove project where we were asking the auditor who's doing the verification, the MRV, hey, you know, what was going on in the project? We knew that most of the mangroves were dead, right? So, and they were like saying,…”
Alistair Frew (Alistair Fury) Jun 8, 2023 ▶ 38:36 The carbon market’s quality problem
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fury: Forestry projects frequently claim credits for pre-funded government plantings
“Maybe your, maybe the field report was in China, and the Chinese government paid us fully to do that project as part of its, like, regional reforestation initiatives five years before the project even started, right? So, and this is, like, not a theoretical ex…”
Alistair Frew (Alistair Fury) Jun 8, 2023 ▶ 32:56 The carbon market’s quality problem
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fury: None of 40+ biochar developers shared data with Sylvera
“In the biochar sector we reached out to over 40 developers And typically, you can issue credits with, for biochar without having to go through a very process where you'd have public documentation and a level of transparency. Not a single one would share us any…”
Alistair Frew (Alistair Fury) Jun 8, 2023 ▶ 27:27 The carbon market’s quality problem
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Top-three carbon credit broker applied a massive 23x markup
“The biggest markup we've seen from a top three broker. This is, I won't name names cause it's probably just a bit much, but it's 23 times. So, so like, so somebody's buying a credit for 85 cents and selling it for like 20 bucks.”
Alistair Frew (Alistair Fury) Jun 8, 2023 ▶ 45:39 The carbon market’s quality problem
Assertion Supported
Sylvera rates under a quarter of carbon credits in top three grades
“We would say of the credits on the market the minority have like a strong environmental integrity. So you'd maybe say around, well actually less than a quarter, we would rate in our top three grades. And now you would have very, very high degree of confidence …”
Alistair Frew (Alistair Fury) Jun 8, 2023 ▶ 11:16 The carbon market’s quality problem
Disclosure
Fury: Carbon credit prices were initially inversely correlated with project quality
“In fact, at the beginning, when we first did our first kind of plot of the market price versus the rating, they were inversely correlated. So it's basically like the better the credit, the cheaper it was.”
Alistair Frew (Alistair Fury) Jun 8, 2023 ▶ 22:40 The carbon market’s quality problem
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