Yanai Yedvab

Co-founder & CEO, Stardust Solutions · 1 appearance on the record.

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Dr. Yanai Yedvab leads Stardust Solutions, a solar radiation management startup developing reflective atmospheric particles to cool global temperatures. Before founding Stardust, he spent nearly three decades in Israeli research institutions, including serving as deputy chief scientist at the Israel Atomic Energy Commission.

12statements → 7claims → 3claims resolved → 67%fully supported → 3.92/5average certainty → 2.75/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated →

2 supported 0 partly supported 1 contradicted 2 not yet assessed 2 not checkable as stated how the 7 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

7 assertions · 2 opinions · 2 insights · 1 disclosure · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 7 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 3 are resolved, 2 are not yet assessed, and 2 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Yanai argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Yedvab: Stardust particles match sulfate cooling effectiveness within tens of percent
“Our article, to be very, very straightforward, is not much better than sulfate with respect to the effectiveness and not much worse than sulfate. So up to, I'd say, A few tens of percents, which is not a, it's kind of similar.”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 9:13 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering

Their most notable contradicted claim

Assertion Contradicted
Yedvab: Background stratospheric levels make small-scale sulfate testing impossible
“One of the problems with sulfates, apart from what we've been discussing, is the fact that you cannot do testing at small scale of sulfates. And the reason for this, since this is something sometimes people overlook, is the very high background that you have c…”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 13:08 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Yanai Yedvab on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Yanai Yedvab said on Catalyst that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Opinion
Yedvab: Stardust silica particles can offset 50 years of global warming
“We believe that for, I would say, to provide cooling, which is comparable to the heating of the last 50 years, our simpler particle, the one which is composed of amorphous silica by itself is enough, but if you need to go higher, the second more complex partic…”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 10:18 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering
Assertion Contradicted
Yedvab: Background stratospheric levels make small-scale sulfate testing impossible
“One of the problems with sulfates, apart from what we've been discussing, is the fact that you cannot do testing at small scale of sulfates. And the reason for this, since this is something sometimes people overlook, is the very high background that you have c…”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 13:08 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering
Assertion Open · timeframe Jul 2029
Yedvab: Stardust lab tests show its particle is highly chemically inert
“Lab tests that we've done show that our particle is, I'd say, at a very high level of inertness, but definitely better than any other alternative that it was provided so far.”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 18:44 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering
Assertion Open · timeframe Jul 2029
Yedvab: Stardust developed tagging technology to track particle batches globally
“We have developed a unique tagging technology which enables us to track in real time each batch of particles as they move across the globe.”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 19:53 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Yedvab: 0.5 degrees of cooling costs $10 billion using Stardust particles
“So in, in terms of giving orders of magnitude or estimates, and we have a very detailed breakdown for every million tons of particles that will be Dispersed, the cost will be roughly ten billion dollars, and you'll get half a degree of cooling.”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 24:31 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Yedvab: Halting global warming would cost $20 billion annually using Stardust
“Essentially at current level to stop war, to stabilize temperature, to stop warming at the current level, and again, the level is changing all the time, but essentially you'll need Well, let's say you'd say two million tons of our particles, just to give you- …”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 26:03 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering
Assertion Supported
Yedvab: Stardust particles match sulfate cooling effectiveness within tens of percent
“Our article, to be very, very straightforward, is not much better than sulfate with respect to the effectiveness and not much worse than sulfate. So up to, I'd say, A few tens of percents, which is not a, it's kind of similar.”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 9:13 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering
Opinion
Yedvab: Global solar geoengineering requires only five to seven injection locations
“You'd probably like a few in the, a northern hemisphere, a few in the southern hemisphere. I would say two or three on each hemisphere, and maybe one around the equator. Should be enough.”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 12:48 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering
Disclosure
Yedvab: Stardust will only operate under strict multilateral government regulation
“We would definitely not participate in any endeavor that won't be conducted under, I would say, Clear and strict regulation and adequate governance by governments.”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 27:47 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering
Insight
Yedvab: Safe geoengineering alternatives reduce the risk of rogue deployments
“I believe that having a safe option essentially lowers the risk That people will go the wrong way because there is an alternative. Or to say it otherwise, if we didn't have options, I would say that the likelihood that someone would go the wrong way would be m…”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 29:09 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering
Insight
Yedvab: Having no geoengineering options is worse than moral hazard risk
“I would argue that, you know, Having no option is not a good balance for this. You need to have options. You want to make sure that you are not stuck in a position that in 10 years from now, people are saying, why no one worked on, on giving us option?”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 35:31 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering
Assertion Supported
Yedvab: Reflecting under 1% of sunlight stabilizes global temperatures
“Less than one percent is enough to essentially stabilize temperature, and you can even take temperature down a little bit.”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 5:04 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering Jul 1, 2026 24m
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