why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sharp: Data centers built for spiky training runs will face major failures
“There's going to be some probably written about very big challenges and failures where they wanted a total capacity block, but they couldn't support the densification, or they were just building for the spike. It was very spiky, but the longer term utilization…”
Opinion
Sharp: Power and financing do not exist for top AI growth projections
“Where, you know, the power, the amount of power, and even the amount of financing required to meet these upper end projections, it doesn't exist, right?”
Insight
Sharp: Advanced reasoning models force AI infrastructure into tier-one hubs
“As you see bimodal, some of these more advanced reasoning models where a token isn't just generated against a prompt, and then you consume it, and it's done. A token may be generated inside of an AI world and go through multiple models to ensure that, you know…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Emerald and NVIDIA to deploy 100MW power-flexible AI factory in 2026
“I think later this year, as you know, Emerald and NVIDIA and some other partners, Digital BLT, Epri, Dominion, and PJM, we will put together the world's first, ah, A hundred megawatt commercial scale AI factory that is truly power flexible. It's custom designe…”
Opinion
Sharp: Gigawatt announcements are often just 'braggawatts' ignoring real demand
“There's a lot of noise, like one of the things we've been joking about is a lot of braggawatts. Oh, I have a gigawatt. I have a gigawatt. And there's just so much noise out there that you really want to get underneath the workload and the durability of the com…”
Opinion
Sharp: Pure off-grid bridge power remains an outlier in data centers
“Yeah, I think there's some outliers. Very few of it gets covered in the press because nobody wants to really go on to the market where you, the grid can't meet the customer ramp demands today. I mean, full stop... But yeah, it is an outlier.”
Assertion Supported
Sharp: Gas turbine delivery backlog extends past 2029
“Some markets were always investigating, you know, different types of, you know, solutions via gas turbines and, Even those are backlog plus 20, 29, right?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sharp: AI inference deployments require 5-megawatt blocks, unlike training arrays
“What we're really seeing is inference. Can come in, in like, five-ish megawatt blocks, and you can solve for it a bit differently. Now, the densification is still there, and then the private AI pieces, there's hot spots where it can be, you know, a couple of m…”
Prediction Held up
Sharp: AI inference, not training, will drive future data center growth
“I would say that there's been a lot of growth in that, but we see that kind of leveling out where we really see the consumption of AI or inference that's driving that regional specific growth going forward. And I think that's where it's more embedded. And a lo…”
Disclosure
Digital Realty operates nearly three gigawatts of diesel generators
“We operate almost three gigawatt of diesel generators today.”
Assertion Supported
Sharp: Transformer lead times for data centers exceed 50 weeks
“Some of the, you know, broader infrastructure constraints are transformer lead times are 50 plus weeks right now.”
Insight
Sharp: Embedding inference into training clusters boosts AI chip utilization and ROIC
“The expense to stand this infrastructure up is, these chips are not cheap, right? And so, being able to utilize that over a longer horizon of workload and driving that utilization is also a form factor of, if I have it installed for training, and training can …”
Disclosure
Digital Realty is building a gigawatt-scale data center by Dulles Airport
“When we say we're going to need a gigawatt, like with what we're building right now, right next to the Dulles Airport, that they have an understanding of that power requirement”
Assertion Supported
Sharp: Text-to-text AI workloads can service North America from three markets
“Yeah, we see a lot of text to text scenarios where that workload can be deployed, you know, in two or three markets throughout North America and service the entire market.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sharp: Hyperscalers prefer contiguous 100 MW halls over distributed mini-centers
“That's the outlier of what we're seeing is that to operationalize, they would really like it to be more of a contiguous scenario where they do logically think about them as five megawatt chunks, and they want a bit of resiliency... What we're seeing is having …”