Assertion Supported
Cabiyo: Enviva turns whole, lumber-grade saw logs into wood pellets for export
“I have a colleague that has toured their facilities in the past and saw that they were pulling whole saw logs, which is, like, stuff you would turn into lumber, like, two-by-fours, pulling saw logs and turning it into pellets to be burned in the UK or elsewher…”
Opinion
Cabiyo: A Montana cobalt mine is far better than DRC child labor
“On the surface, you know, like, a cobalt mine in Montana seems like a pretty bad deal from that lens, but it's a whole hell of a lot better than the alternative, which is, you know, mining cobalt in open pits in the DRC with child labor.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cabiyo: Global biomass demand in 2050 exceeds sustainable supply by 11x
“There's a huge mismatch between the supply and demand there of biomass and biomass uses and that mismatch is, based on the best estimates that, that I've seen, that mismatch is something on the order of, like, 11 to 16 X. In other words, 11 to 16 X more uses i…”
Insight
Cabiyo: True "waste wood" does not exist due to competing commercial demands
“Waste wood is not really, especially if we think about that twenty-fifty scenario, waste wood is not really a thing. There's always going to be a use for waste wood.”
Assertion Contradicted
Cabiyo: High-quality wood pellets require whole logs, not just waste residues
“You can't make good pellets out of treetops and branches and sawmill residues. You need whole logs to do that well.”
Insight
Cabiyo: Biomass CDR developers ignoring counterfactual baselines are fooling themselves
“I think that if you're working on biomass CDR, and you're not thinking about counterfactuals every day, you're probably fooling yourself, or you have a really easy case that's going to get harder in the next couple decades.”
Insight
Cabiyo: Assuming harvested biomass power has zero net climate impact is flawed
“All these facilities are predicated on carbon neutrality that if you harvest biomass and burn it, you have no net climate impact which is probably a simplification that we should stop making. Oftentimes you can get close to that, but it's not always going to b…”
Insight
Cabiyo: Removing crop straw depletes soil carbon, impacting BECCS accounting
“If you are leaving straw residue on a field and letting it decompose, it actually, a lot of that carbon ends up stored in the soil, up to a certain threshold. So if you start taking it off, you can actually get decreasing soil carbon and that's usually not ref…”
Assertion Supported
Cabiyo: EU Deforestation Regulation will force full forest chain-of-custody tracking
“The EU deforestation regulation is gonna be probably kind of a game changer. We'll see how much the global effect is, but that'll force at least products that are coming into the EU to have full chain of custody tracking all the way back to the source, all the…”
Assertion Supported
Cabiyo: Post-Soviet Estonian forests face conflict between harvest maturity and social value
“During the Soviet era, there was a lot of agricultural land abandonment that turned into reforestation. And now a lot of those forests, 60 years later, a lot of those forests are maturing and what you have is you have forests that, you know, maybe they've been…”
Insight
Cabiyo: Biomass CDR accounting must be measured at regional ecosystem scales
“What we came to in this report is that you should be looking at sort of a regional, like, ecosystem-defined scale, where you have you know, maybe it's the size of, like, a small U.S. State, where you have a kind of ecologically continuous forest and you have, …”
Assertion Supported
Cabiyo: Diverting saw timber into biomass CDR reduces overall carbon storage
“Biomass fetch is a pretty high price, and you have shifting production away from saw timber for producing lumber into producing biomass. That means that you have less carbon storage because timber stores carbon. And that also means that you have lower carbon s…”
Assertion Supported
Cabiyo: Burying biomass in clay pits can sequester carbon for centuries
“The simplest is you just take some plant matter, you take some biomass, you put it into a clay pit, and you bury it, and it stays there for centuries. That's wood vaulting or biomass burial.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cabiyo: Cellulosic feedstocks represent the future of biomass carbon removal startups
“A lot of the most exciting startups right now are focusing on cellulosic feedstocks, and that's really the future of biomass solutions, I think.”
Assertion Supported
Cabiyo: Biomass tracking monitors regional mill areas, not specific forest plots
“We have, like, we have these kind of crude oversight frameworks, or, sorry, supply chain transparency efforts that they look at sort of the sourcing area, so you know roughly, like, Okay, we got the biomass from this pellet mill and this is the woodshed for th…”
Assertion Supported
Cabiyo: Global forest carbon stocks are increasing due to CO2 fertilization
“If you look at the global scale forest carbon stocks are globally stable and actually increasing because we have we have an increasing terrestrial carbon sink because of actually because of climate change itself, which is kind of a fun a fun quirk of the syste…”
Assertion Supported
Cabiyo: Plants photosynthesize about 400 gigatons of CO2 every year
“If you look at, like, a global scale, actually plants photosynthesize about 400 gigatons of CO₂ every year, and that actually shows up in, like, our CO₂ readings.”
Assertion Supported
Cabiyo: The Netherlands is phasing out biopower without carbon capture
“But like in the Netherlands, they're, like, phasing out biopower in favor of biopower with CCS.”
