why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Lubershain: Ford is moving ahead with $3B Michigan CATL-licensed plant
“Ford has basically said, we're moving ahead with this three billion dollar battery plant in Michigan, where they're licensing lithium iron phosphate technology from CATL, the Chinese battery giant.”
Opinion
Cantor: Big Three lack even a quarter of Tesla's EV scale competency
“None of them has really pulled into the same kind of space, or even half or a quarter of the space that Tesla occupies in terms of competency on their kind of scale up of EVs.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
US domestic battery manufacturing will reach 200 GWh by 2025
“And at that point, we're going to have the LG GM Ultium joint venture making over a hundred gigawatt hours of batteries throughout this country. LG Stellantis will be making 35 gigawatt hours. Stellantis Samsung STI will be making another 30. And then Ford wil…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
US battery manufacturing will reach roughly 200 gigawatt-hours by 2025
“And at that point, we're going to have the LG GM Ultium joint venture making over a hundred gigawatt hours of batteries throughout this country. LG Stellantis will be making 35 gigawatt hours. Stellantis Samsung STI will be making another 30. And then Ford wil…”
Assertion Supported
Ford commits to 10% near-zero carbon steel by 2030
“Ford Motor, is saying 10% of my supply chain, not a hundred percent, but 10% of my supply chain is going to be near zero carbon steel by 2030.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ford's early procurement commitments will materially lower global clean steel costs
“In 2030, Ford is going to make clean steel cheaper for literally every country on Earth. They're materially going to move us down the cost curve.”
Disclosure
Powell: Sunrun is deploying Ford F-150 Lightning bidirectional charging across 50 states
“I think we are solidly in an amazing partnership with Ford on their F-一-fifty Lightning and bringing it to, again, you know, 50 states with this really amazing bi-directional charger that we worked with them on that will allow customers, again, back to, You kn…”
Assertion Supported
Letendre: Ford and GM unlocked V2G via software after V2H rollout
“Both the Ford system and the GM system was originally marketed and sold for V to H, and then through a software upgrade, they were able to unlock the full V to G capability.”
Disclosure
Rountree: Early Cantos investment failed due to long Ford and Toyota sales cycles
“And one of my very first investments at Cantos in 2016 was a startup that had incredible machine learning and interoperability software that it was selling into the automotive industry, into industrial robots. Absolutely best in class, and we would hear this t…”
Assertion Supported
Cantor: Ford reached about 72,000 EV sales in 2023
“Flash forward to twenty-twenty-three, Ford has about 72,000, you know, EV sales.”