Ahmad Faruqi

Independent Energy Economist · 1 appearance on the record.

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Dr. Ahmad Faruqui is an energy economist specializing in dynamic electricity pricing, rate design, and demand response who spent over 15 years as a Principal at The Brattle Group. He has advised nearly 150 utilities and regulatory commissions globally and authored multiple books and articles on electricity tariffs and strategic policy.

11statements → 6claims → 3claims resolved → 100%fully supported → 4.09/5average certainty → 2.27/5average debate potential →

3 supported 0 partly supported 0 contradicted 3 not checkable as stated how the 6 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

3 predictions · 3 assertions · 5 insights · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 6 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 3 are resolved, and 3 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Ahmad argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Prediction Held up
Faruqi: Solar generation will push electricity peak hours into late night
“The peak will keep on going into the later evening, early nighttime hours, and the off peak will be in the middle of the day when the sun is shining and you have a lot of solar generation, both supply side and customer side.”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 11:08 With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum

Everything Ahmad Faruqi said on Catalyst that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Faruqi: Utilities that fail to update rate structures will go bankrupt
“And if they don't change those utilities that don't change them, they'll go bankrupt.”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 22:22 With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum
Insight
Faruqi: Time-of-use rates are a poor fit for heat pumps
“A heat pump, which is both an air conditioner in the summer and a heat source in the winter, will be running precisely when there is a peak situation in the summer or a peak situation in the winter. Actually, it will create a peak demand in the winter that cur…”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 7:34 With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum
Insight
Faruqi: Utilities do not need pilots given 400 existing global trials
“Let's try to actually move to actual implementation, and my advice is you don't really need to do a pilot because we already have 400 pilots across the globe.”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 14:28 With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Faruqi: Oklahoma Gas and Electric led California in dynamic pricing a decade ago
“Oklahoma Gas and Electric, actually about 10 years ago I discovered That Oklahoma was ahead of California when it came to dynamic pricing”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 19:17 With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum
Insight
Faruqi: Electric vehicles, not smart meters, drove time-of-use rate adoption
“The change that came was through a technology. Not digital meters, but through electric cars. Electric cars, or EVs as they're called, were the defining moment. Customers finally realized That they can lower their charging cost if they just charge during the o…”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 6:28 With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum
Insight
Faruqi: Net grid load impact of DERs remains uncertain
“Some of them will raise load growth, EVs and heat pumps certainly being those two. But then there are other DERs which will lower load growth, like energy efficiency, demand response, and certainly solar. So what will be the net effect of those is anybody's gu…”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 9:18 With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum
Prediction Held up
Faruqi: Solar generation will push electricity peak hours into late night
“The peak will keep on going into the later evening, early nighttime hours, and the off peak will be in the middle of the day when the sun is shining and you have a lot of solar generation, both supply side and customer side.”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 11:08 With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Faruqi: Technical jargon like 'real-time pricing' is guaranteed to fail with customers
“Using terms like real-time pricing, terms like locational marginal cost real-time pricing, I mean, that's guaranteed to fail.”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 15:43 With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum
Assertion Supported
Faruqi: Missouri rejected aggressive default dynamic pricing after political backlash
“One utility tried it. Actually, one state tried it with Missouri, and then they rejected it because of the political crisis that they were about to precipitate.”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 17:41 With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum
Assertion Supported
Faruqi: Australia Introduced Afternoon Off-Peak 'Sponge Tariffs'
“In Australia, they have introduced what they call the sponge tariff, and it is basically the off-peak period is now in the afternoon as opposed to at night”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 10:35 With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum
Insight
Faruqi: Dynamic electricity pricing operates like Uber surge pricing during critical grid shortages
“Dynamic pricing says, well, but on a hundred to 200 hours of the year, the system, the power system has a critical condition. There might be outages because there's a shortage of supply, and therefore in those few hours, 100 to 200 hours, we have to have even …”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 11:49 With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum May 28, 2024 14m
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