The Argument Index

Debate potential by speaker, the highest-scored statement each year, and the companies with the most bearish calls on record. All of it clickable, all of it playable.

53debate potential 4–5 → 4debate potential 5 → 38rated speakers →
People

Average debate potential by speaker

All 38 guests with 5 or more scored statements, ranked. 13 more have fewer than 5, too few for a fair average. Sort or filter below.

#PersonAvg debate potential Statements scored
1 Joseph Gordon-Levitt Co-founder & CEO, HitRecord 2.8 5
2 Blake Robbins Co-founder & Partner, Hidden Capital 2.62 8
3 Andrew Marks Co-Founder and Managing Partner, TQ Ventures 2.6 5
4 Peter Fenton General Partner, Benchmark 2.57 21
5 Charlie Munger Former Vice Chairman, Berkshire Hathaway 2.56 50
6 Mark Zuckerberg Founder & CEO, Meta 2.54 46
7 Katherine Boyle General Partner, Andreessen Horowitz 2.44 16
8 Hamilton Helmer Co-Founder & Co-CIO, Strategy Capital 2.4 10
9 Jason Calacanis Founder & CEO, LAUNCH 2.33 24
10 Steve Ballmer Owner and Chairman, Los Angeles Clippers 2.33 40
11 Anthony Gonzalez Co-CEO, Cobalt Service Partners 2.3 27
12 Brendan Eich Co-Founder and CEO, Brave Software 2.28 29
13 Mitch Lasky General Partner, Benchmark 2.19 32
14 Brinton Johns Co-founder & Portfolio Manager, NZS Capital 2.16 19
15 Chenyi Shi Partner, Strategy Capital 2.14 7
16 Sam Bankman-Fried Former CEO, FTX 2.12 24
17 Howard Marks Co-Founder and Co-Chairman, Oaktree Capital Management 2.11 18
18 Morris Chang Founder, TSMC 2.09 43
19 Jamie Dimon Chairman and CEO, JPMorgan Chase 2.07 29
20 Doug DeMuro Co-founder, Cars & Bids 2.06 51
21 Peter Gassner Founder & CEO, Veeva Systems 2 14
22 Michael Lewis Author & Financial Journalist 2 10
23 Jensen Huang Founder and CEO, NVIDIA 2 36
24 Ben Thompson Founder & Author, Stratechery 1.97 32
25 Michael Ovitz Chairman, Treville Capital Group 1.96 23
26 Daniel Ek Founder & Executive Chairman, Spotify 1.89 46
27 Brian Koppelman Screenwriter, Director & Showrunner 1.89 9
28 David Senra Host, Founders Podcast 1.88 40
29 Eric Yuan Founder & CEO, Zoom 1.88 8
30 Howard Schultz Chairman Emeritus, Starbucks 1.85 53
31 John Bathgate Investor & Portfolio Manager, NZS Capital 1.84 19
32 Michael Mauboussin Head of Consilient Research, Counterpoint Global 1.81 32
33 Dara Khosrowshahi CEO, Uber 1.78 23
34 Packy McCormick Founder & Writer, Not Boring 1.78 36
35 Brad Gerstner Founder & CEO, Altimeter Capital 1.76 38
36 Anu Hariharan Founder & Managing Partner, Avra 1.5 10
37 Jim Weber Former CEO, Brooks Running 1.47 34
38 Mark Canlis Owner and Operator, Canlis 1.27 11
Companies

The most bearish calls

Debate potential is an AI score of how much a statement invites disagreement. Bearish counts tally what was said about a company on the show; they describe the conversation, not the company. Every count opens to the exact tape. full disclaimer →

All 275 companies, funds and products with at least one bearish claim on the record.

Company Bearish statements Of which 4–5
Microsoft company 28 ↓
Google company 27 ↓ 3
Enron company 26 ↓
Meta company 25 ↓ 4
Disney company 19 ↓
Apple company 18 ↓
TSMC company 16 ↓ 1
Starbucks company 12 ↓ 1
National Football League company 11 ↓ 1
Benchmark fund 11 ↓ 2
Acquired product 11 ↓
The Walt Disney Company company 10 ↓ 2
Nike company 9 ↓
Sony company 7 ↓
TikTok product 6 ↓
Standard Oil company 6 ↓
Peloton company 6 ↓
NVIDIA company 6 ↓
Intel company 6 ↓ 2
Coca Cola product 6 ↓
Amazon company 6 ↓
YouTube company 5 ↓
Not Boring company 5 ↓
Instagram product 5 ↓ 1
ESPN company 5 ↓
Brave product 5 ↓ 1
Zoom company 4 ↓
Windows Vista product 4 ↓
Qualcomm company 4 ↓
Porsche company 4 ↓
Lockheed Martin company 4 ↓
JPMorgan Chase company 4 ↓ 1
FTX company 4 ↓
Android product 4 ↓
Amazon Web Services company 4 ↓
Yahoo company 3 ↓
Windows product 3 ↓
Walmart company 3 ↓
Vista Equity Partners fund 3 ↓
Visa company 3 ↓
NZS Capital fund 3 ↓
McKinsey And Company company 3 ↓
Ferrari company 3 ↓
Chrome product 3 ↓ 1
Cerner company 3 ↓
Bear Stearns company 3 ↓ 1
Bank One company 3 ↓
21st Century Fox company 3 ↓
Windows XP product 2 ↓
Verizon company 2 ↓
Veeva Systems company 2 ↓
Vanguard fund 2 ↓
Uber company 2 ↓
Steam product 2 ↓
Spotify company 2 ↓
Silicon Valley Bank company 2 ↓
Shamrock fund 2 ↓ 1
Sequoia Capital fund 2 ↓ 1
Samsung company 2 ↓
Rolex company 2 ↓
Pixar company 2 ↓
Pepsi product 2 ↓
OpenAI company 2 ↓
Netscape company 2 ↓
Netflix company 2 ↓
NBA company 2 ↓
Mozilla company 2 ↓ 1
McDonald's company 2 ↓
Longhorn product 2 ↓
LJM Partnerships fund 2 ↓
IBM company 2 ↓
Google Plus product 2 ↓
Goldman Sachs company 2 ↓ 1
First Republic Bank company 2 ↓
Disney Plus product 2 ↓
Disney Animation company 2 ↓
Costco company 2 ↓
Blockbuster company 2 ↓
Berkshire Hathaway company 2 ↓
AT&T company 2 ↓
Arthur Andersen company 2 ↓
Apple ATT product 2 ↓
App Store product 2 ↓
Andreessen Horowitz fund 2 ↓ 2
YouTube Shorts product 1 ↓
Yeezy company 1 ↓
Xbox product 1 ↓
WorldCom company 1 ↓
Win Thirty Two API product 1 ↓
WhatsApp product 1 ↓
Wegovy product 1 ↓
Watches product 1 ↓
Washington Mutual company 1 ↓
Walt Disney Studios company 1 ↓
The Wall Street Journal company 1 ↓
Volkswagen Touareg product 1 ↓
Volkswagen Group company 1 ↓
Volkswagen Beetle product 1 ↓
Under Armour company 1 ↓
Twitter company 1 ↓
Trello product 1 ↓
Theranos company 1 ↓
Taylor Swift's Original Albums product 1 ↓ 1
Surface product 1 ↓
Substack company 1 ↓
Stratechery company 1 ↓
Starbucks Mobile App product 1 ↓
Star Wars product 1 ↓
Star TV company 1 ↓
SR 71 product 1 ↓ 1
Space Shuttle product 1 ↓
South Improvement Company company 1 ↓
Snowflake company 1 ↓
Snapchat product 1 ↓
Snap Inc. company 1 ↓
Smiths company 1 ↓
Slack company 1 ↓
Skunk Works company 1 ↓
Silicon Graphics company 1 ↓
Sega company 1 ↓
Sears company 1 ↓
Savedisney.com product 1 ↓
Renaissance Technologies fund 1 ↓
Reliance Industries company 1 ↓
Redshift product 1 ↓
Reality Labs company 1 ↓
Raptors company 1 ↓
Pune Warriors India company 1 ↓
PS Three product 1 ↓
Porsche Taycan product 1 ↓
Porsche Digital company 1 ↓
Porsche Cayenne product 1 ↓
PlayStation product 1 ↓
Perplexity company 1 ↓
PepsiCo company 1 ↓
Peet's Coffee Company company 1 ↓
PageRank product 1 ↓
Ozempic product 1 ↓
Oracle company 1 ↓
Opera company 1 ↓
OnLive company 1 ↓
On Running company 1 ↓
OKX company 1 ↓ 1
Office For IPad product 1 ↓
Novo Nordisk company 1 ↓
Not Boring Capital fund 1 ↓
Nissho Iwai company 1 ↓
Nisho Iwai company 1 ↓
Nintendo company 1 ↓
News Feed product 1 ↓
National Music Publishers' Association company 1 ↓
National Bank Of Detroit company 1 ↓
Moody's company 1 ↓
Mobile Order & Pay product 1 ↓
Midjourney company 1 ↓
Microsoft Surface product 1 ↓
Meta Ray Bans product 1 ↓
Meta AI product 1 ↓ 1
Merck company 1 ↓
Mercedes Benz company 1 ↓
MediaTek company 1 ↓
McDonnell Douglas company 1 ↓
Marvel Studios company 1 ↓
Marvel Entertainment company 1 ↓
Marqued company 1 ↓
Manning Cast product 1 ↓
Major League Cricket company 1 ↓
Major League Baseball company 1 ↓
Macy's company 1 ↓
Lucasfilm company 1 ↓
Louis Vuitton company 1 ↓
Lotus Notes product 1 ↓
Lotus company 1 ↓
Lockheed Missiles And Space Company company 1 ↓ 1
Llama product 1 ↓ 1
Lilly company 1 ↓
Liberty Media company 1 ↓
League Of Legends product 1 ↓ 1
Lavazza company 1 ↓
Lamborghini Urus product 1 ↓
L 1011 product 1 ↓
Kochi Tuskers Kerala company 1 ↓
Kmart company 1 ↓
Kin product 1 ↓
iPhone product 1 ↓
IPad product 1 ↓
International Paper company 1 ↓
Insight Partners fund 1 ↓
India Cements company 1 ↓
Il Giornale company 1 ↓
Hulu company 1 ↓
HoloLens product 1 ↓
Hoka company 1 ↓
Hermès company 1 ↓
Hermes company 1 ↓
GPTs product 1 ↓
GoTo company 1 ↓
GoPro company 1 ↓
Google Stadia product 1 ↓
Google Glass product 1 ↓
Gmail product 1 ↓
General Motors company 1 ↓
Game Pass product 1 ↓
Gaikai company 1 ↓
Fundrise company 1 ↓
Frito Lay company 1 ↓
Friendster company 1 ↓
Founders Podcast product 1 ↓
Fossil Watch product 1 ↓
Foot Locker company 1 ↓
Fitbit company 1 ↓
First Chicago company 1 ↓
Firefox product 1 ↓
Fidelity Investments company 1 ↓
Fiat company 1 ↓
Ferrari LaFerrari product 1 ↓
Fantasound product 1 ↓
Fantasia product 1 ↓
Faema company 1 ↓
Facebook Platform product 1 ↓
F One Cars product 1 ↓
Experian company 1 ↓
Euro Disney company 1 ↓
Epic Systems company 1 ↓
Epic Games Store product 1 ↓
Epic Games company 1 ↓
Enron Energy Services company 1 ↓
Emergence Capital fund 1 ↓
Eli Lilly company 1 ↓
Electron product 1 ↓
eBay company 1 ↓
Dynegy company 1 ↓
Dyna G product 1 ↓
Droid product 1 ↓
Docker company 1 ↓
Disney Plus Hot Star product 1 ↓
Disney Plus Core product 1 ↓
Discord company 1 ↓
Digital Research company 1 ↓
CUDA product 1 ↓
Courier company 1 ↓
Conversations With Tyler product 1 ↓
Compaq company 1 ↓
Coke product 1 ↓
Citibank company 1 ↓
Citi company 1 ↓
Chromium product 1 ↓
Chennai Super Kings company 1 ↓
Cartier company 1 ↓
Cars & Bids company 1 ↓
Cambridge Analytica company 1 ↓ 1
Cadillac company 1 ↓
Breather company 1 ↓
BMW company 1 ↓
Blackbird fund 1 ↓ 1
The Black Cauldron product 1 ↓
BitMEX company 1 ↓ 1
Beacon product 1 ↓
BCCI company 1 ↓
Bard product 1 ↓
BamTech company 1 ↓
Audi company 1 ↓
Atlassian company 1 ↓
Arthur Andersen Legal company 1 ↓
Arm company 1 ↓
Apple Watch product 1 ↓
Apple Mac product 1 ↓
App Tracking Transparency product 1 ↓
Anthropic company 1 ↓
American General company 1 ↓
AMD company 1 ↓
Altimeter Capital fund 1 ↓
Alameda Research company 1 ↓
Air Jordan product 1 ↓
Adidas company 1 ↓

Highest debate potential, by year

2026

Opinion
The NFL blackballed Colin Kaepernick following his 2016 national anthem protests
“The NFL blackballed Colin Kaepernick after this.”
David Rosenthal Jan 27, 2026 ▶ 2:46:53 The NFL: How small-town teams became America's most valuable sports empire (Audio) · Acquired
Opinion
Netflix functions as a utility button, not a brand with emotional equity
“The Netflix brand doesn't mean anything to anyone. The Netflix brand is the button that I push on my TV when I want to watch stuff. And sometimes it's great stuff, but if it's not great stuff, whatever. It whizzes by. I don't think one way or another about Net…”
Ben Gilbert Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 3:28:43 Disney: The Renaissance and the Empire · Acquired

2025

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chang: Tim Cook told me in 2011 that Intel cannot run a foundry
“And anyway, he told me there's nothing to worry about because Intel just does not know how to be a Foundry.”
Morris Chang Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 1:43:50 TSMC founder Morris Chang · Acquired
Disclosure
Dimon: $5B Mortgage Penalties Led Him to Never Trust the Government Again
“They made us pay five billion dollars on the more, the bad mortgages that Bear Stearns had done, and that's what made me make the statement I wouldn't do it again. I wouldn't, put it this way, I don't know how to say this, I wouldn't really trust the governmen…”
Jamie Dimon Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 40:48 The Jamie Dimon Interview: How JP Morgan Became an $800 Billion Bank · Acquired

2024

Opinion
Schultz: Coffee in Italy is no longer as good as it once was
“The by and large coffee in Italy is not as good as it once was. There are certain coffee companies that have maintained the standard, but by and large, the coffee is not as good.”
Howard Schultz Jun 4, 2024 ▶ 2:31:46 Starbucks (with Howard Schultz) · Acquired
Opinion
Schultz: Starbucks developed hubris and shifted to playing defense over time
“The worst thing that could happen to a company is believing that you are incapable of doing anything but succeeding, and you deserve the success. But if you start playing defense and don't have the offensive mind, it's not going to go well. And I think over ti…”
Howard Schultz Jun 4, 2024 ▶ 3:00:28 Starbucks (with Howard Schultz) · Acquired

2023

Opinion
Munger says top venture capital earners are trend-chasers, not great investors
“The people who made the most money out of venture capital are a lot like investment bankers deciding which hot new area they're going to get in. They're not great investors or great at anything.”
Charlie Munger Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 25:05 Charlie Munger (Audio) · Acquired
Opinion
Munger claims BYD founder Wang Chuanfu is better at manufacturing than Musk
“The guy at BYD is better at actually making things than Elon is.”
Charlie Munger Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 57:21 Charlie Munger (Audio) · Acquired

2022

Opinion
Rep. Gonzalez: January 6 was an unforgivable assault inspired by Trump
“My view remains that it's an unforgivable assault on the country. And it was led by the former president who was inspired by him. And ultimately my view, which I think is coming out in this January six commission is that he kind of liked it and kind of liked w…”
Anthony Gonzalez Aug 2, 2022 ▶ 40:24 From NFL to Startup COO to Congressman Regulating Crypto (with Rep. Anthony Gonzalez) · Acquired
Opinion
Calacanis: Andreessen Horowitz is a soulless index fund of venture capital
“I think they're just an index adventure. I find it quite soulless, if I'm being honest. Like, I feel like it's a giant index on venture, and I don't think that their hearts are super into it.”
Jason Calacanis Oct 4, 2022 ▶ 2:01:13 ACQ Sessions: Jason Calacanis · Acquired

2021

Assertion Contradicted
Bankman-Fried: FTX's revenue is clean, clear, and completely transparent
“When you talk about, like, recurring revenue, like, there's sort of, like, doesn't exist a clearer example of that than, like, you know, I don't know, we have volume each day, and we charge a transaction fee on it, right? It's incredibly clean, right? People a…”
Sam Bankman-Fried Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 48:37 FTX with Sam Bankman-Fried & Mario Gabriele (Extended Cut) · Acquired
Opinion
Bankman-Fried: The two dominant crypto futures exchanges in 2018 were 'shitshows'
“There are only two real players in it, and they're shitshows. But they're still printing money, despite being shitshows.”
Sam Bankman-Fried Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 39:02 FTX with Sam Bankman-Fried & Mario Gabriele (Extended Cut) · Acquired
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