The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Gerstner (in 2022): Snowflake can reach a $500B valuation by 2029
“I think this company can be worth over five hundred billion dollars over the course of the next five to seven years.”
Brad Gerstner Mar 15, 2022 ▶ 1:05:35 Altimeter (with Brad Gerstner) · Acquired
Opinion
Gilbert: Missing the data warehouse market to Snowflake is AWS's biggest failure
“It's probably AWS's biggest failure.”
Ben Gilbert Sep 6, 2022 ▶ 2:02:48 Amazon Web Services · Acquired
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gabriele: Snowflake stock will perform extremely well over next three years
“I think over a three plus year time horizon, it can do extremely well. It is a play that summarizes the growth of data in the technology industry, which feels like a safe bet.”
Mario Gabriele May 12, 2022 ▶ 12:02 Arena Show Part I: Idea Dinner + YC Continuity · Acquired
Disclosure
Gerstner: Altimeter tested beta Snowflake on its own data before investing
“Over Christmas I'll replace our data warehouse with this, you know, with Snowflake, which was non-GA at the time, right? It was in beta with a couple companies. Wow. And so we did that, and he's like, this is gonna win. Like, this is the winning arc.”
Brad Gerstner Mar 15, 2022 ▶ 1:02:51 Altimeter (with Brad Gerstner) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Gerstner: Altimeter led Snowflake's round at a ~$175M enterprise value
“I don't remember what the exact share price was. I think the enterprise value at the time was somewhere around a hundred and seventy five million dollars.”
Brad Gerstner Mar 15, 2022 ▶ 51:39 Altimeter (with Brad Gerstner) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Gabriele: Snowflake grew revenue 105% with 178% net retention
“Revenue's up about a 105% net retention is one 78. It was one 68 the year before.”
Mario Gabriele May 12, 2022 ▶ 11:18 Arena Show Part I: Idea Dinner + YC Continuity · Acquired
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