Meta

also referred to as: facebook · facebook inc. · the facebook

includes Facebook News Feed, Facebook Platform, Facebook Marketplace, Facebook Messenger, Facebook Connect, Facebook Events, Facebook Live, Facebook Poke, Facebook Ads, Facebook Gaming, Facebook Advertising

204 statements across 19 episodes · 85 bullish · 25 bearish · 10 people on the record · first statement Oct 19, 2021 by Ben Gilbert · said 1,278 times in 51 episodes since 2021 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Ben Gilbert (600), David Rosenthal (549), Mark Zuckerberg (49), Ben Thompson (37), Daniel Ek (9), Brendan Eich (5), Sam Bankman-Fried (4), Packy McCormick (4)

tap a year for its mentions
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0815202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
00757.515015202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 2 mentions in 2 episodes 1 per episode
2025 97 mentions in 8 episodes 12 per episode
2024 992 mentions in 9 episodes 110 per episode
2023 68 mentions in 12 episodes 6 per episode
2022 102 mentions in 15 episodes 7 per episode
2021 17 mentions in 5 episodes 3 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Meta, oldest first

Oct 19, 2021 negative
Opinion
Gilbert: Facebook buying Instagram and WhatsApp mirrors the Cleveland Massacre
“Facebook buying Instagram and WhatsApp is a lot like Standard Oil's Cleveland Massacre and you know, the subsequent roll-up of all these other refiners elsewhere.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 19, 2021 ▶ 2:16:54 Standard Oil Part II (Extended Cut) · Acquired
Oct 19, 2021 negative
Opinion
Rosenthal: Facebook leadership repeated Standard Oil's mistake responding to press scrutiny
“And I think about not all the big tech companies, but, again, to pick on Facebook, like, this really seems to, on the outside, to be the case with Facebook right now and, like, the Facebook files and everything going on with the Wall Street Journal, like, it r…”
David Rosenthal Oct 19, 2021 ▶ 2:20:39 Standard Oil Part II (Extended Cut) · Acquired
Mar 7, 2022 bullish
Opinion
Only Apple has the balance sheet to rival Meta in VR
“I think Meta is investing just gobs and gobs of money and talent and everything into the next five versions of the, you know, MetaQuest and everything that's gonna come after that, and I don't know, at this point I'm not sure there's a balance sheet deep enoug…”
Ben Gilbert Mar 7, 2022 ▶ 2:36:28 SONY (75 years of electronics history in 3 hours) · Acquired
Mar 15, 2022 bullish
Disclosure
Gerstner: Facebook became Altimeter's largest position when it hit $7 in 2012
“I remember Facebook became our largest investment in 2012 when it went on the cover of Barron's at seven,”
Brad Gerstner Mar 15, 2022 ▶ 59:15 Altimeter (with Brad Gerstner) · Acquired
Mar 15, 2022 positive
Insight
Gerstner: The belief that companies cannot innovate in public markets is nonsense
“This idea that you can't innovate in the public markets is nonsense, right? Jeff Bezos innovated plenty in the public markets, Facebook in the public markets. You know, look at what Marc Benioff has done in the public markets. And so I think that that the publ…”
Brad Gerstner Mar 15, 2022 ▶ 1:07:19 Altimeter (with Brad Gerstner) · Acquired
Apr 6, 2022
Insight
Additive Direct Network Effects Strongly Drive Winner-Take-All Market Outcomes
“A direct network effect is where your joining has an immediate value impact on somebody that's sort of on the same side. So I joined Facebook because I'm your friend, and those effects are strong because they're additive. So another friend's join, it doesn't s…”
Hamilton Helmer Apr 6, 2022 ▶ 1:07:41 Platforms and Power (with Hamilton Helmer and Chenyi Shi) · Acquired
Apr 20, 2022 bullish
Opinion
Rosenthal: Google and Meta depend fundamentally on Nvidia
“This is Google and Facebook and a whole list of other companies on the consumer side, and they're all dependent on NVIDIA.”
David Rosenthal Apr 20, 2022 ▶ 53:36 Nvidia: The Machine Learning Company (2006-2022) · Acquired
Sep 28, 2022
Assertion Contradicted
Friendster CEO Tim Koogle blocked Benchmark from investing in Facebook's Series A
“Specifically what happened was Benchmark had invested in Friendster, and so was conflicted out. Now you could argue that was an unavoidable mistake, you know, but like, boy does that hurt. And supposedly, I think it was Bob Kegel who was on the board of Friend…”
David Rosenthal Sep 28, 2022 ▶ 2:26:12 Benchmark Part I · Acquired
Sep 28, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sequoia invested in Instagram 48 hours before the Facebook acquisition
“It's also funny that Sequoia claims Instagram was one of their investments where it sold 48 hours after they invested.”
Ben Gilbert Sep 28, 2022 ▶ 2:46:37 Benchmark Part I · Acquired
Sep 28, 2022 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Peter Fenton walked away from Accel's Facebook fund carry to join Benchmark
“He had GP economics, even if they were baby GP economics, in the Facebook fund. And he's walking away from that to join Benchmark.”
David Rosenthal Sep 28, 2022 ▶ 2:37:08 Benchmark Part I · Acquired
Sep 28, 2022 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Benchmark returned Fund VI entirely from Facebook's acquisition of Instagram
“I mean, they returned the fund on the investment, but, like, with the sale to Facebook.”
David Rosenthal Sep 28, 2022 ▶ 2:46:15 Benchmark Part I · Acquired
Oct 4, 2022 positive
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Chamath Palihapitiya invented 'growth hacking' at Facebook
“There is no equivalent of growth. That was, the idea of growth hacking didn't exist as a term until Chamath did what he did.”
Jason Calacanis Oct 4, 2022 ▶ 14:14 ACQ Sessions: Jason Calacanis · Acquired
Dec 6, 2022 bullish
Opinion
Thompson: Apple's privacy changes enhanced Meta's long-term ad moat
“The Apple changes were very devastating, and they're structurally devastating, and so they deserve a significant haircut on their valuation because of that, but I also think they were moat-enhancing in the long run, where I question whether any other company i…”
Ben Thompson Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 1:34:12 Stratechery (with Ben Thompson) · Acquired
Dec 6, 2022 positive
Opinion
Thompson: Meta's targeted ads are essential for niche online businesses
“And actually one of the reasons I actually am in general favorable towards meta is I think they're an essential component in the broader ecosystem of niche businesses, because if the entire world is your audience, how does the world find out about you? I'm luc…”
Ben Thompson Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 1:16:14 Stratechery (with Ben Thompson) · Acquired
Apr 26, 2023 negative
Opinion
Robbins: Tech giants fail in gaming because Valley executives aren't gamers
“And a lot of the executives in the Valley, they're just not gamers. And they're like, oh, we can maybe launch a game thing, but they're sort of dipping their foot in the water versus actually like really committed to it.”
Blake Robbins Apr 26, 2023 ▶ 47:48 Benchmark’s Mitch Lasky and Blake Robbins on The Art of Business in Gaming · Acquired
Jun 13, 2023 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Rides drives more new Eats customers than all external ads combined
“Yeah, we get more new customers from Arise than we do From Google, Meta, Instagram, you know, all of these other channels combined.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 13, 2023 ▶ 25:19 Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi · Acquired
Sep 6, 2023 bullish
Opinion
AI feed recommendations made Instagram a $100B to $500B asset for Meta
“Instagram would have been a great acquisition anyway, but it was AI-powered recommendations in the feed that made that into a 102 105 hundred billion dollar asset for Facebook.”
David Rosenthal Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 17:27 Nvidia Part III: The Dawn of the AI Era (2022-2023) (Audio) · Acquired
Jul 22, 2024
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Microsoft invested $240M in Facebook at $15B valuation in 2007
“So the terms of the deal are, in October, 2007, Microsoft invests two hundred and forty million dollars for 1.6% of Facebook. So for those trying to do the math at home, that is a fifteen billion dollar valuation on the deal. Microsoft will get the exclusive r…”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 2:58:31 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Jul 22, 2024
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Microsoft offered $24B to acquire Facebook in 2007
“Microsoft puts an offer on the table. It's a very complex deal structure, but effectively what it does is it lets Facebook shareholders cash out over a long period of time as the company's value grew. So you're not taking all your money off the table today. An…”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 2:57:36 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024 bullish
Disclosure
Zuckerberg scaled AI and Reality Labs knowing investors would hate it
“Go double down on those things, and build out the AI infrastructure that we needed to, and scale up some of the Reality Lab stuff, and I knew that a lot of the investors would hate it, at least in the short term, before it's clearly the right thing to do.”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 1:02:26 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024
Assertion Partly supported
Zuckerberg: Facebook board tried to fire him after rejecting Yahoo's $1B offer
“In 2006, Yahoo wanted to buy the company for a billion dollars, and everyone on our management team wanted to sell it, and the board tried to fire me, and everyone, and basically in the next year, everyone else on the management team left because they, I hadn'…”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 49:28 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024
Insight
Zuckerberg: Overstaffing projects strips employee agency and repels top talent
“I think it also is problematic to have more people working on something than you should have for the stage that it's at, because then the people who are working on it don't have the agency to actually, like, make the changes and do the things that they need to…”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 53:25 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024
Assertion Supported
Zuckerberg: Facebook paused feature development for a year during mobile rewrite
“We basically took, I think it must have been like a year or something, we were just like, look, we're gonna pause feature development of the company, Because it's hard enough to do a rewrite, right? So if you look at, like, the history of the tech industry, th…”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 39:20 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024 negative
Insight
Zuckerberg: Companies lacking technical CEOs and boards are not tech companies
“You know, they, the CEO wasn't technical. The board of directors had no one technical on it. They had, like, one dude on the management team who was the head of engineering who was technical, and, like, everyone else wasn't. It's like, alright, if that's your …”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 22:11 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024 positive
Insight
Zuckerberg: Meta is not embarrassed to copy successful products from competitors
“We're not embarrassed about learning from things that other people, like, discovered that were good first, and then we build a better version of it, and I mean, I think that that's, You know, no one company is going to invent everything, right? I think if you …”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 31:31 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024 positive
Opinion
Zuckerberg: Meta might be twice as profitable if it owned the platform
“I, it's hard to exactly estimate it, but I think we might be, like, twice as profitable if we own the platform or something.”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 55:31 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zuckerberg: Apple will be Meta's primary rival in ideological platform war
“I think Apple will have a place for sure. I expect them to be our primary competitor, and I think it will not be Just a product competition. I think it's like a, in some ways, very deeply values driven and ideological competition around what the future of the …”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 1:10:34 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Zuckerberg: Open Compute saved Meta billions by standardizing supply chains
“So now you have, like, all these other, you know, cloud service platforms that, you know, basically use, Open compute, and because of that, the supply chain is standard around, standardized around our designs, which means that it's, like, way more supply, way …”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 34:12 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2027
Zuckerberg: Threads could reach one billion users in a few years
“Hopefully in the next few years, five with threads, if that continues scaling”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 1:04:26 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Zuckerberg: Designing custom clothes helps him prepare for Meta's wearable hardware
“I started working with people to design some of my own clothes. And so I figured, you know, look, we're gonna design eyewear, we're gonna design other stuff that people wear, let's get good at this.”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 7:28 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024 bullish
Disclosure
Zuckerberg: Meta aims to build and win open computing platforms
“Part of my goal for the next 1015 years, the next generation of platforms, is to build the next generation of open platforms and have the open platforms win.”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 1:10:09 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024 neutral
Insight
Zuckerberg: Meta's shipping culture is the opposite of Apple's polished approach
“I think in a lot of ways we're like the opposite of Apple, and clearly their stuff has worked really well too, right? But I mean, they take this approach, it's like, we're gonna take a, like, a long time, we're gonna polish it, we're gonna put it out and maybe…”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 26:04 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024 negative
Insight
Zuckerberg: Accepting blame during political crises only invites more attacks
“If you take responsibility for things, because you think it's a corporate crisis, not a political crisis and your view is like, okay, I'm, like, I'm gonna take responsibility for all this stuff. Like, and people are basically, like, blaming social media and th…”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 45:00 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zuckerberg: Meta's 2016 political mistake will take another 10 years to resolve
“I think that the political miscalculation was a 20 year mistake. And so it started in 2016... And I think it's going to take another 10 years or so for us to kind of fully work through that cycle before our brand and all of that is back to kind of the place th…”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 45:43 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 18, 2024
Assertion Supported
Zuckerberg: Meta has spent 10 years developing holographic AR glasses
“This is like some huge project. We've been working on it for 10 years.”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 13:57 The Mark Zuckerberg Interview · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 negative
Disclosure
Zuckerberg: Meta might be twice as profitable if it owned mobile platforms
“You know, we did this calculation or estimate at some point where it's like, how much money do we lose from our core family of apps to the various, like, taxes that the platforms have to, like, when they tell us we can't run the ad business the way that we thi…”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 2:03:05 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Zuckerberg: Meta's shipping philosophy is the opposite of Apple's long-cycle polish
“I think in a lot of ways we're like the opposite of Apple, and clearly their stuff has worked really well too, right? But I mean, they take this approach, it's like, we're gonna take a, like, a long time, we're gonna polish it, we're gonna put it out and maybe…”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 1:34:21 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zuckerberg: Open Compute supply chain standardization saved Meta billions of dollars
“Because of that, the supply chain is standard around, standardized around our designs, which means that it's, like, way more supply, way cheaper to produce. We've saved billions of dollars, and the quality of the stuff that we get to use goes up.”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 1:42:12 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Zuckerberg: Meta deliberately stacks its management team with technical leaders
“I think one of the things that I've always been pretty careful about is I actually, like, want, like, the, a lot of the people on our management team, it's like, You know, split. It's mostly people running either of these big product groups who come up through…”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 1:30:41 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2027
Zuckerberg: Threads could reach one billion users within a few years
“Hopefully in the next few years, five with threads, if that continues scaling.”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 2:12:28 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ek: Zuckerberg runs productive product review meetings with 15 to 20 people
“Mark, the average meeting he has is like 15 to 20 people in the room and how you make you know, a product review or discussion productive with 15 and 20 people still get people to be heard. Like he's very, very good at that stuff.”
Daniel Ek Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 30:40 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zuckerberg: AR and AI smart glasses will become completely ubiquitous
“I'm pretty sure glasses and kind of, like, holographic presence and AR is going to be a completely ubiquitous Product, right? It's just like everyone who had a phone before replaced it with a smartphone, and then a lot of more people got smartphones. If all we…”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 2:02:31 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Zuckerberg: Meta owns four apps with at least one billion users
“We went through a period where it's like, we had Facebook and a handful of small apps, and now we have, like, you know, four apps that have a billion people or more using them”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 2:12:28 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zuckerberg: Meta brand will take another 10 years to recover
“I think it's going to take another 10 years or so for us to kind of fully work through that cycle before our brand and all of that is back to kind of the place that it maybe could have been if I hadn't messed that up in the first place.”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 1:54:20 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Zuckerberg: Facebook rebrand to Meta was running toward future, not escaping controversy
“I'm only going to do this when we come up with a brand that is going to be evocative of the future that we're trying to build because we run towards something. We don't run away from things.”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 2:13:19 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Zynga drove over 10% of Facebook's revenue at IPO
“It was like north of 10% of Facebook's revenue at IPO was from Wazinga.”
Ben Gilbert Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 29:05 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 bullish
Insight
Zuckerberg: If Meta learns and iterates faster than competitors, it will win
“So like I define our strategies. We can learn faster than every other company. We're going to win. We're going to build a better product than everyone else because we're going to get it out first or early. We're going to have a good feedback loop. We're gonna …”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 1:32:02 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 positive
Opinion
Daniel Ek: Mark Zuckerberg is the best learner I have ever seen
“Specifically from him you know, he's the, probably the best learner I've ever seen. You know, you can have a conversation with him about a topic, he may not know very much about it, and then the next time, he would know more than, I would say, most experts abo…”
Daniel Ek Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 29:39 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Zuckerberg: Meta open-sourced infrastructure because Google already held proprietary compute advantage
“Google was the first of the great companies that built this distributed computing infrastructure. So they came first. They were like, all right, let's keep this proprietary because it's a big advantage for us. And then we're like, all right, we need that too. …”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 1:41:35 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 negative
Insight
Zuckerberg: Overstaffing projects destroys employee agency and repels top talent
“It also is problematic to have more people working on something than you should have for the stage that it's at, because then the people who are working on it don't have the agency to actually, like, make the changes and do the things that they need to, Which …”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 2:01:13 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 negative
Opinion
Zuckerberg: Meta's post-2016 political strategy was a 20-year mistake
“My guess is if the IPO Was a year and a half mistake. I think that the political miscalculation was a 20 year mistake.”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 1:53:35 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 bullish
Disclosure
Zuckerberg: Goal for next 10-15 years is building winning open platforms
“Part of my goal for the next 1015 years, the next generation of platforms, is to build the next generation of open platforms and have the open platforms win. And I think that that's going to lead to a much more vibrant tech industry.”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 2:17:56 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 bullish
Disclosure
Zuckerberg: Meta scaled AI and Reality Labs knowing investors would hate it
“What we knew was gonna be really painful, you know, to go double down on those things, and build out the AI infrastructure that we needed to, and scale up some of the Reality Lab stuff. And I knew that a lot of the investors would hate it. At least in the shor…”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 2:10:16 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024
Disclosure
Mark Zuckerberg: 'I don't apologize anymore'
“I don't apologize anymore.”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 1:14:13 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 positive
Insight
Zuckerberg: Prioritizing praise over rapid shipping wastes critical product learning time
“I do just think that, like, you want to really have a culture that values shipping and getting things out and getting feedback more than needing always to get great positive accolades from people when you put stuff out. Because I think, like, if you want to wa…”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 1:35:10 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 neutral
Insight
Zuckerberg: Adding features during platform rewrites risks projects never finishing
“We basically took, I think it must have been like a year or something, we were just like, look, we're gonna pause feature development of the company, because it's hard enough to do a rewrite, right? So if you look at, like, the history of the tech industry, th…”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 1:47:20 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 positive
Insight
Ek: Social music works via shared co-listening, not passive friend-watching
“While I still think music is very social, I think what we got wrong in the product was this sort of notion that just seeing sort of what all of your friends are listening to may not be the sort of right social product. But if you instead sort of say like, I wa…”
Daniel Ek Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 27:47 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 positive
Insight
Zuckerberg: Meta is unashamed to adopt and improve competitors' innovations
“We're not embarrassed about learning from things that other people, like, discovered that were good first, and then we build a better version of it, and I mean, I think that that's, You know, no one company is going to invent everything, right? I think if you …”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 1:39:31 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zuckerberg: Holographic smart glasses will be the ultimate form of AI
“It's going to be, I think, the ultimate Digital social experience, and I think it's also going to be the ultimate incarnation of AI, because you're going to have conversations where it's like, alright, there's some people, it's like maybe like, I'm physically …”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 1:21:49 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zuckerberg: Apple is Meta's primary competitor in ideological open-vs-closed race
“I expect them to be our primary competitor, and I think it will not be Just a product competition. I think it's like a, in some ways, very deeply values driven and ideological competition around what the future of the tech industry should be”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 2:18:23 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024 bullish
Disclosure
Zuckerberg: Meta must build AI and hardware platforms to avoid mobile gatekeeper dependence
“We've just been, we've been through too much stuff with the other platforms to fully depend on, on anyone else, and we're a big enough company at this point that, like, we don't have to, right? We can build our own core technology platforms, whether that's gon…”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 1:43:08 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Sep 30, 2024
Assertion Partly supported
Zuckerberg: Facebook board tried firing him over $1B Yahoo offer
“In 2006, Yahoo wanted to buy the company for a billion dollars, and everyone on our management team wanted to sell it, and the board tried to fire me, and everyone, and basically in the next year, everyone else on the management team left because they, I hadn'…”
Mark Zuckerberg Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 1:57:25 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Facebook's 2004 Palo Alto house really had a chimney zipline
“And yes, the house did indeed have a pool. Yes, they did indeed install a zipline off the chimney. That was not fiction in the movie. That did actually happen.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:06:52 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Ten Percent of Facebook Users Joined a Group Protesting News Feed
“10% of the entire global user base signs up for a group, a Facebook group called Students Against Facebook News Feed.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:14:53 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sandberg Bet on Mobile Because Zuckerberg's Control Prevented His Firing
“And when they sort of arrived at this plan of, we are going to forego a lot of desktop revenue to basically bet it all on figuring out mobile revenue, she said, well, Mark, nobody can fire you, and only you can fire me, so if you're in, I'm in.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:46:25 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 bullish
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Mobile in-feed ads proved far more valuable than desktop sidebar ads
“Because the ads are front and center, the value per ad is actually higher. So they ended up creating a much, much more valuable ad unit than they ever had on desktop purely because of this incredible attention on them when you're scrolling in feed on mobile.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:47:36 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Eduardo Saverin's Ownership Dropped from 33 Percent to Two Percent
“That Eduardo Saverin goes from owning a third of this Florida-based LLC to something like two percent of this C-Corp that is a Delaware C-Corp based in California that goes on to become, or is, Facebook Inc.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:08:07 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Contradicted
Rosenthal: Facebook was the sixth most-trafficked website globally in May 2007
“It is the sixth highest trafficked site in the world, and they're announcing to all the developers in attendance, Facebook API, Facebook Graph is now open to you.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:27:34 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Facebook Shipped Zuckerberg's Entire 2005 Roadmap Within Two Years
“And the wild thing is, they do accomplish all of this in the next two years.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:39:52 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 negative
Opinion
Gilbert: Cambridge Analytica impacting the 2016 election is wildly oversold
“They had an incredible treasure trove of data that apps could slurp up in the early 20 tens, but the actual narrative of Facebook data that Cambridge Analytica had impacted election results is, like, wildly oversold.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:49:28 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 negative
Opinion
Gilbert: Apple's ATT was net value destructive rather than captured by Apple
“And what ended up actually happening from ATT? It's been value destructive. Overall, because I don't think the amount of money that has shifted away from Facebook has been captured by Apple.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:10:39 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Meta CFO Projected $10 Billion Impact From Apple's ATT in 2022
“The CFO kind of casually says in a response to someone, oh, we think that the, Impact from ATT to our ad business will end up costing us on the order of ten billion dollars for twenty-twenty-two.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:06:39 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: In September 2005, Facebook held one-third of US college students at 70% DAU
“By September of o' five, they were at five million users. That was 10 X their user base just a year ago in September of o' four, and almost a third of all U.S. College students Were included in that five million. So by September of oh five, they had a third of…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:47:13 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Meta Devoted Zero Minutes to Core Social Apps at Connect 2024 Keynote
“Meta held a multi-hour keynote at Connect in September, 24. And of those multiple hours, zero minutes were dedicated to their core products of social media apps, their hundred billion dollar business of selling advertisements on these social media products.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:21:49 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Rosenthal: 650 Harvard students joined Facebook in first 24 hours
“Within the first 24 hours, 650 people join.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 52:28 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Yann LeCun required open source and NYU professorship to join Meta
“And Jan says like, well, I'm flattered that you would want me to come work here. That's interesting. But like, I live in New York. I teach at NYU. I don't want to leave. I don't want to quit teaching at NYU. And I'm pretty darn committed to open source and pub…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:34:03 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Facebook Avoided First-Day IPO Crash Only Due to Underwriting Bank Intervention
“Facebook shares end the day at 38 dollars and 23 cents, up 23 cents from the IPO price, but only because all of the underwriting banks in the IPO stepped in to buy shares and support the price, which was totally crashing throughout the day.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:42:32 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 negative
Opinion
Rosenthal: Facebook opening registration created room for Instagram and Snapchat
“Which ultimately would be a problem because that's what created room for Instagram, for Snapchat, et cetera.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:22:02 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Insight
Rosenthal: Facebook skipped the 'startup phase' to build a global empire directly
“It's quite ironic that Facebook became the prototypical startup, given that the goal was never to be a startup. The goal was first to be a project, and then to build, like, a very profitable business. The largest empire in the world. Yes. There was no in-betwe…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 6:06:10 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Insight
Gilbert: Startups seeking complete market dominance should extinguish their hardest competitor first
“If you're okay splitting the market, you go for the white space, and then you say, let's see how much of the low-hanging fruit we can easily get. But if you're Facebook, you're gonna say, let's go to the hardest possible competitor, Extinguish them. And then w…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 59:26 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Meta Enjoys Guaranteed Profitable ROI on AI Hardware via Ad Optimization
“It's one of the fundamental advantages that Facebook has today relative to all other AI companies is that they are guaranteed profitable ROI on all of their AI spend. All of their research, all their infrastructure, all their GPUs, they have highly, highly pro…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:37:18 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Gilbert: Facebook hit 8.3M users and $1M monthly revenue by October 2005
“At this period of time, October of oh five, They were up to 8.3 million users. They were the 10th most visited site on the Internet. But the important part is they were doing a million dollars a month in revenue.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:47:51 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Benchmark Passed on Facebook Due to a Conflict With Friendster
“Which is what tied their hands and why they could not pursue an investment in Facebook.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 28:02 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Facebook Does Not Sell User Data, It Sells Access to Targeting
“In part, you know, you can see why Facebook massively prefers the ad based business model of, we never even expose any information to you, advertiser. You target, and then we just deliver the ads. You never get to know anything about who the users are on our p…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:53:01 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Facebook Became Consistently Profitable Roughly 18 Months After Founding
“They lost money and not that much money for like a year and a half, and then from that point on, they were just profitable.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:49:02 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Rosenthal: Facebook's Newsfeed was the invention of the web feed
“They didn't exist. This was the first one. This was the invention of the feed.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:10:46 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 negative
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Oct 2024
Rosenthal: News Feed initially hurt Facebook revenue by reducing page views
“Newsfeed actually Significantly hurt Facebook's revenue because where do you think all the page views were coming from and all the refreshes?”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:17:19 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Microsoft's $240M Facebook Stake Became Worth $8 Billion Post-IPO
“That two hundred and forty million dollar investment, by the time they start selling it down years after Facebook is public, ends up being worth eight billion dollars.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:47:40 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Opinion
Rosenthal: Almost no company can match Meta's global integrity and anti-spam scale
“So, while probably, you know, YouTube, to a certain extent, TikTok, perhaps, also have similar strengths here, I doubt there is any other company in the world capable of actually operating privacy, integrity, and security, and within that is also anti-spam stu…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:39:21 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Contradicted
Gilbert: Original 'Facebook Guy' Header Image Was J. Geils Band Singer Peter Wolf
“There's a great Quora post about this where there's unmistakably the photo of Peter Wolf that Facebook guy is based on. They just sort of pixelated it and You know, made it duotone instead of the original photograph.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 47:01 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Gates's Harvard Talk Helped Convince Zuckerberg to Drop Out
“Mark would actually say later that Bill saying that At the event was part of what got him comfortable doing the same thing.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:04:00 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Rosenthal: Facebook revenue grew from $153M in 2007 to $2B in 2010
“In 2008, the company had done two hundred and eighty million in revenue, up from one 53 the year before in 2007. 2009, they do almost eight hundred million in revenue. He's crushing it. 2010, an even two billion in revenue.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:17:37 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Early Facebook Kept Columbia and Harvard Networks Completely Isolated
“They set up Columbia as a completely different network than Harvard. So if you join the Columbia Facebook, you can't then go access all the profiles of Harvard students.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:00:24 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Mark Zuckerberg Turned Down a $24 Billion Acquisition Offer From Microsoft
“Less than two years later, he turned down twenty four billion and that they were really good for the money. It's Microsoft.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:46:02 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Insight
Meta Requires Tight Engineering Coupling Unlike Amazon's Decoupled API Interfaces
“Amazon uses interface so teams don't have to talk to each other. At Meta, they require incredibly tight communication. It's a very different organizational philosophy where they're like, no, no, no, not only do we not have external customers, we want this insa…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 6:11:24 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Rosenthal: Facebook daily user additions surged to 70k post-OpenReg
“So over the summer, Facebook was adding, like, five to 10,000 users a day. By late fall after launching open registration, they're now adding 70,000 users a day.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:24:16 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Facebook's Ratio of Daily to Monthly Users Reached Nearly 70 Percent
“50% of monthly actives were daily actives in oh eight. Since then, they have basically improved that metric every year. There's been a little bit of variance, but it is now almost 70% today.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:11:20 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Facebook Newsfeed Initially Updated via Cron Jobs Due to Memory Limits
“Yeah, it was a cron job because they didn't have enough memory to run it in real time.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:12:41 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Opinion
Gilbert: Microsoft is the true strategic and operational comparison for Meta
“The real comp for this company is Microsoft. That was actually my next one. They do iterative product development. They put the first version out just to kind of get feedback and see how they need to rev it and get better for the future. The early days are cha…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:51:38 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Facebook Acquired Onavo to Track Competitor Network Traffic and App Usage
“Well, in 2013, Facebook acquired a small Israeli company called Onavo, and Onavo was exactly what you just said, Ben. A VPN, actually, I think it initially started as, like, a data compression tool, so if you were worried about your data plan, which was Really…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:10:32 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
WhatsApp Has Surpassed 100 Million Monthly Active Users in the US
“WhatsApp has a hundred million now in the US, which this is sort of a big narrative violation that WhatsApp will never catch on in the US, and iMessage is dominant, and even after that it's, you know, text message. This is crazy. A hundred million people a mon…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:25:39 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Early Facebook high school signups required college student invitations
“You had to log into hs.facebook.com, and it looked mostly the same. It had slightly different features, but there was this weird thing where somebody who was already in college had to invite you. It's not like anyone could sign up for high school Facebook. You…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:51:56 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Rosenthal: Facebook was potentially the first startup with an open office plan
“I think Facebook was potentially maybe the first company, first startup, to have an open office plan.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:06:23 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Facebook's Series A included $3M in secondary for founders
“Three million went to Mark, Dustin, and Sean as a secondary in this deal.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:37:40 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: WTI loaned Facebook $600,000 with warrants in 2004–2005
“Yeah, and so they basically invented venture debt, and so they make a 300,000 dollar loan, it's like, I think like a revolving credit line, in the fall of 2004, and that comes with warrants, that if the company ever goes public, that they can then exercise The…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:32:42 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 bullish
Insight
Rosenthal: GPU-driven feed recommenders create a rising barrier to entry
“I think the only way that this new paradigm exists is because of AI and because of GPUs specifically, and I'm not even talking about generative AI, I'm talking about, like, feed recommender systems and personalization systems. And so, like, there is a very, ve…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:41:15 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Insight
Gilbert: Users react strongly when information switches from pull to push
“People react really strongly when you change the ease of obtaining that information or whether it feels like you are pushing that information out Versus someone is sort of pulling by going to your profile and viewing.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:16:17 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Facebook Had 425M Mobile Users but Zero Meaningful Mobile Revenue Pre-IPO
“We had more than four hundred and twenty five million monthly active users who used Facebook mobile products in December 2011. We anticipate that the rate of growth in mobile users will continue to exceed the growth rate of our overall MAUs for the foreseeable…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:23:17 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Facebook grew from 100M users in August 2008 to 350M by late 2009
“They go from like just barely getting to a hundred million users in August of 2008 to almost a hundred and fifty million by the end of the year. So 50% growth in the last four months of the year. And then 2009 is just like lights out. They grow 250% in 2009 to…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:10:01 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
The Failure of Facebook Beacon Directly Led to the Growth Team
“Chamath Palihapitiya... This was Chamath's big thing before Growth. And actually, the epic failure here of Beacon leads directly to growth, as we shall see in a sec.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:51:00 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Insight
Gilbert: Meta reached four billion users via engineered growth tactics, not virality
“It would be easy to look at this company and say, wow, what a viral product. What a universally applicable product. That is not the case. It is unnatural to have connected four billion humans. This is a freak of nature. This is not just something that people a…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 6:11:49 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Contradicted
Facebook Expanded to Over 100 Campuses Within Four Months
“By the end of the semester, they're in over a hundred schools in like, you know, what, three, four months?”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:04:49 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Meta's US and Canada Revenue Per User Grew from $11 to $227
“The second insane thing, at IPO, the US and Canada market had an average revenue per user of 11 dollars. That number is now 227 dollars.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:29:07 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
What-if
Gilbert: TikTok could have disrupted Meta without FAIR's AI research foundation
“If not for FAIR, TikTok could have disrupted Facebook.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:40:14 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Meta reports $135 billion revenue and 35% operating margin in 2023
“Their revenue in twenty-twenty-three at the end of the year was a hundred and thirty-five billion dollars, operating income of forty-seven billion dollars, so that's a 35% operating margin.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:26:58 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Gilbert: TikTok stealing users was a bigger existential threat than Apple's ATT
“The interesting thing is, at this time, the real threat wasn't actually ATT. The biggest of those three threats was TikTok stealing users. The whole ATT thing is about how much money can we make off of an ad because it is so well targeted? That's an optimizati…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:08:44 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Facebook's senior team churned after rejecting Yahoo's buyout offer
“The whole management team basically churns over the next set of months.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:00:08 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Facebook revenue reached $48 million in 2006
“In 2006, with this Microsoft partnership, that jumps to forty eight million dollars in revenue.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:02:46 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Facebook generated $9 million in revenue in 2005
“So Facebook had made nine million dollars in revenue in 2005 when they were selling themselves.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:02:28 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Insight
Rosenthal: Civilization simulates running a top ten mega-cap company
“So it's kind of like this amazing simulation of what it's like to run one of the top 10 market cap mega capitalization companies in the world today.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 9:52 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 bullish
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Oct 2024
Zuckerberg Claims Meta Media Would Be Twice as Profitable on Owned Hardware
“And Mark made the comment on stage with us that they've run the analysis. They think they could be twice as profitable in their Core media products if they were on their own platform.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:21:16 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Winklevoss Twins Settled Facebook Dispute for $65M Including Stock
“Eventually, the two twins sue Mark and Facebook. They settle for sixty-five million dollars, forty-five million of which is paid in pre-IPO Facebook stock.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:05:59 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Facebook IPO raised $16B at $104B cap, ranking third all-time
“They raise sixteen billion dollars at a one hundred and four billion dollar market cap, making it, I think, the third largest IPO of all time at that point behind Visa and, ironically, General Motors coming out of the bankruptcy during 2008.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:41:25 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Zuckerberg Negotiated Facebook's $1B Instagram Acquisition Over a Single Weekend
“Not to mention, on top of it all, we're not gonna go into it here because we had a whole episode on Facebook and Instagram, but this was done over two days, over the course of a weekend. Mark didn't do a whole lot of socializing this before pulling the trigger…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:40:02 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Partly supported
Jim Breyer personally invested $1.1M in Facebook's Series A
“1.1 million dollars of this 12.7 million dollar round was done by Jim Breyer personally.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:36:43 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Beacon activity collapsed after Facebook shifted to opt-in
“Ultimately, after a few weeks, they do acquiesce, and they say like, okay, we will turn Beacon off, we'll make it opt-in, as opposed to opt-out, and You can have a way to, like, completely turn off all beacon tracking permanently from your profile. A lot of pe…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:55:47 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Partly supported
Rosenthal: Facebook had $150M revenue and broke even during 2007 Microsoft deal
“Facebook at this point in time is basically break even and doing one hundred and fifty million in revenue, most of which is Microsoft itself.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:47:26 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Facebook Surpassed Google in Daily Page Views in November 2005
“By November of 2005, they were getting two hundred and thirty million page views daily, which means that they had passed Google in page views.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:45:49 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Zuckerberg Pitched Steve Jobs on Integrating Facebook's Platform Directly Into iOS
“The next year, in 2008, when the iPhone SDK was launching and people were building apps, Mark and Facebook actually go to Apple and meet with Steve, and they pitch Steve on exactly what you were just talking about, Ben. Like, hey, how about you let us bring ou…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:02:55 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 negative
Insight
Gilbert: Network effects lack the durability of hardware and OS platforms
“A network effect is good, but it's not as good as that incredible platform durability.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 6:07:32 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Microsoft invested $240M in Facebook at a $15B valuation
“And the big kicker, Microsoft is going to invest two hundred and forty million dollars in Facebook at a 15 billion dollar valuation.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:45:21 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Facebook reached $153 million in revenue in 2007
“And then the next year in 2007, again, I think almost all of this is Microsoft, that goes to a hundred and fifty three million dollars in revenue.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:02:57 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Partly supported
Rosenthal: Viacom offered $750 million to buy Facebook in 2006
“Viacom, which owned MTV, thought that that was worth seven hundred and fifty million dollars, which is what they offered to buy the company for in the summer of 2006.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:54:01 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Opinion
Gilbert: Early Facebook remains the cultural archetype for modern startup culture
“I mean, to this day, early Facebook is still What most startup culture is aspiring to be. I think often without knowing it, I mean, everything from the sort of posters on the walls with your mantras and your values, to almost having like an employment brand th…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:06:36 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Opinion
Sean Parker Is Entirely Responsible for Mark Zuckerberg's Founder Control
“Mark having full control over the company as we are going to see time and time and time again as we go through the story here makes all the difference in the world, and that is 100% because of Sean Parker.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:30:14 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Pre-JOBS Act SEC Rules Mandated Reporting at 500 Shareholders
“Well, back then, once a company crossed 500 shareholders, the SEC actually mandated by law that you had to start reporting quarterly like a public company.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:30:18 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Rosenthal: Facebook mobile hit 53% of revenue in Q4 2013 while desktop shrank
“Facebook announces that mobile advertising is now 53% of revenue, and total ad revenue for the company grew 76% year over year in the fourth quarter, which of course is the most important quarter of the year, which means, I did all the math on that, that means…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:58:00 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Facebook July 2018 Drop Wiped $119B, Setting a Historic Record
“The company announces in their July, 20 18 earnings call that they're gonna be more focused on user privacy, and that revenue may slow as they make this intense focus. They dropped 19% in one day. They wiped out a hundred and nineteen billion dollars in market…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:57:29 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Oct 2024
Gilbert: Facebook Rejected Microservices for a Monolithic Codebase
“So they structured themselves in a way that encouraged flexibility of engineers, and they really broke from the tide of microservices in this era. They had one monolithic code base that everyone worked out of.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:33:04 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Rosenthal: Facebook bought facebook.com domain for $200,000 in 2005
“I believe they bought it for 200,000 dollars, which actually was a good chunk of that venture money that they raised.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:32:00 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Mark Zuckerberg expanded Facebook to Columbia specifically to test head-to-head competition
“And he specifically chooses Columbia because, Ben, as you said, there was an existing competitor there. And he's like, I want to see how Facebook competes. And like, I want to know right away, can we displace it?”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 58:49 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 negative
Opinion
Gilbert: Facebook overcomplicated advertising instead of offering display ads
“The obvious thing is show an image that people can click on and take them to a website. It's display ads. And like, I don't understand why they needed to try to way overthink it and say our ad format has to be something that no one's ever thought of before. Li…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:52:40 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Insight
Rosenthal: Only giant platforms like Meta can afford to commoditize AI models
“Only a company of the scale of Meta can kind of run this playbook, playbook in quotes, because no startup is going to be like, oh, okay, what is my strategy to make sure that OpenAI and Anthropic don't get leverage over me?”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:50:13 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Facebook Captured Over Half of Harvard Undergrads in Two Weeks
“Within two weeks, over half of the entire undergraduate population is active on Facebook.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 52:40 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Seventy Percent of Early Facebook Signups Became Daily Active Users
“70% of people who ever signed up were active that day. There are not user engagement retention metrics better than that in the world.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 55:44 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Excluding China, Less Than Six Percent of Internet Users Escape Meta
“That leaves about four hundred and fifty million people, or six percent of the human population, Who have access to the internet, but are not yet meta monthly actives. That doesn't mean they're not meta users. That just means they weren't monthly active users …”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:30:21 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Early Facebook prioritized raw intelligence over industry experience in hiring
“The other thing that was basically true is they were not really interested in recruiting industry veterans, especially on the technical side. And Mark says this in early talks, that he was just prioritizing raw intelligence over experience.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:07:24 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Partly supported
Rosenthal: Bret Taylor and Paul Buchheit invented the Like button
“Brett Taylor and Paul Buchite invented the like button.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:12:11 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Meta's app heads and AI leadership all report to Chris Cox
“There's still all the individual products in the family of apps. Those all have their own heads, and they all roll up to Chris Cox, who has had a product for the whole company, and AI, too, actually, reports to him.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:28:05 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Naomi Gleit is Meta's longest-tenured employee besides Zuckerberg
“Naomi, Naomi is now Meta's longest tenured employee besides Mark and runs a ton of stuff at the company.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:05:31 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Facebook Handled No Native Ad Targeting When Sheryl Sandberg Joined
“And when she comes on board, like you referenced this earlier, Ben, there's Basically no ad targeting that's happening natively on Facebook. Like there probably is targeting that's happening through the third party Microsoft advertising network, but none of th…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:57:45 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 negative
Insight
Gilbert: Facebook Platform Failed Because It Was Too Distant from Hardware
“The reason why we aren't all using rich Facebook apps all the time today and think of it as the default platform, it was just too many layers of abstraction away from the hardware to win.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:32:24 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Meta's Reality Labs Segment Has Accumulated $60 Billion in Operating Losses
“So based on their spend already, since they started reporting Reality Labs as a separate segment in 2019, they've spent right around sixty billion dollars. That is in operating losses for the segment.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:15:59 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Facebook Photos Was Built by One Engineer in Two Weeks
“Which, by the way, photos got written by like one guy in two weeks.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:38:46 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Microsoft pursued Facebook in 2007 after missing search to Google
“Microsoft, perhaps obvious now in retrospect to everybody, really just wants to buy the company. But Mark's, of course, not gonna do that after the whole Yahoo experience, etc. Microsoft is also happy, though, to just keep the partnership going and expand it, …”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:41:05 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Zuckerberg Rejected Yahoo Acquisition After Terry Semel Lowered $1B Offer
“So Mark actually agrees to the Yahoo deal. Billion dollars. It's gonna be all in stock. Yahoo's gonna buy the company. In the interim between when they shake hands on the deal and while the docs are being drafted, Yahoo announces their quarterly earnings, and …”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:55:28 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Insight
Rosenthal: Process power transfers to new hires, cornered resources do not
“And a good test for this is when you bring somebody brand new into the organization and plug them in, does the power transfer to them as well? If no, then it's a cornered resource. If yes, then it's process power.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:35:52 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Facebook Settled with FTC for $5B with 20-Year Oversight
“The whole settlement here was not specifically about Cambridge Analytica. There were a bunch of other things that are privacy related, but the number is five billion dollars. And David, there is one thing that it comes with, and that is a 20 year window that t…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:55:44 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
UK probe found Facebook told Cambridge Analytica to delete data in 2015
“The conclusion was that the quiz was taken by 320,000 people. Since those people had access to friends, the total surface area was the public profile data of eighty-seven million Facebook users. They also found that Facebook had requested that Cambridge Analyt…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:47:24 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rosenthal: Obama successfully used Facebook strategy to win 2008 and 2012
“Obama totally doubled down on Facebook as a strategy and used it to great effect to win the 2008 and 20 12 elections.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:45:34 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 bullish
Assertion Supported
Meta Reached Four Billion Monthly Active Users
“Meta has four billion monthly active users.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:39 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Segmenting by School Solved Friendster's Server-Crashing n-Squared Problem
“Friendsters out there trying to compute second degree friends of friends, which is this crazy hard computer science problem, especially as the global number of people growing, it's an n squared problem. And Facebook is over here, or the Facebook at the time, i…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:01:32 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Insight
Gilbert: Incumbents must copy new interaction mechanics to prevent network migration
“I think when someone invents a new interaction paradigm, it's one of these things where, like, you have to adopt it because otherwise people are just going to flee, and of course your business depends on you adopting it because you can't let someone use this n…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:14:00 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Insight
Rosenthal: Great companies retain homegrown or long-tenured senior executives
“This is almost always true, really is true in every great company that I can think of. The core senior most executive team are all people who came up in the company Or have been there for a very, very long time. It's not a whole bunch of mercenaries there at t…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:56:50 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Insight
Meta Open-Sources AI to Commoditize Complements and Lower Long-Term Costs
“When you think about it, it's actually a form of operating leverage, where he's basically saying there's a big fixed cost I am willing to bear in order to bootstrap this ecosystem and commoditize all of these complements, commoditize all of these other closed …”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:47:08 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Harvard IT promised a digital student Facebook years before Zuckerberg
“The IT department at Harvard had been promising for years and talking about how they were going to build a digital version of the Harvard Facebook.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 41:16 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Gilbert: TikTok is the most significant competitor Facebook has ever faced
“That created a competitor for Facebook that is more significant than anything they've ever faced.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:22:44 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Facebook testing showed the Like button increased comment volume
“And so, ultimately, they started running some tests with, like, small user groups and specific geographies, and they found that it actually often boosted engagement of comments.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:14:37 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
What-if
Gilbert: Zuckerberg's post-2016 leadership mirrors Gates staying through DOJ antitrust fallout
“Zuck, after all the 2016 election fallout, and the shift in public perception, and having to do all this testifying, Is like watching an alternate future for Microsoft where Bill Gates had decided to stay at the helm instead of leaving after the DOJ case.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:52:25 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Sean Parker ensured all 2004 summer housemates received Facebook equity
“The other thing that Sean does, by all accounts, is he makes sure that everyone in the house that summer gets equity in the company.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:21:01 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Facebook Was the First Post-Dot-Com Deal With Founder Control
“It was the very first post.com institutional venture capital deal where the founder maintained control.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:34:23 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gilbert: No Entity in History Has Addressed as Much of Humanity as Meta
“So no government, tech company, utility, et cetera, has ever addressed so much of the world.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:22 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Turning Off Meta Ads Actually Reduces User Engagement in Some Markets
“There are markets in the world today where I think Meta has run this test, where if you turn off ads, In the, you know, meta family of apps products, engagement in those products actually goes down, which is just, like, freaking wild.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 3:57:24 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Insight
TikTok Operates as Media, Rendering an Authenticated Social Graph Irrelevant
“TikTok and ByteDance, its parent company, as you point out, Ben, was so completely orthogonal to everything that Facebook had learned over the past 15 years. Because, yes, number one, most importantly, it's not social media. It's media. There's no social. And …”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:23:20 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rosenthal: App install ads drove early native mobile revenue for Facebook
“A very large percentage of the inventory that they were selling, and especially the revenue of these native mobile ads in the beginning, was actually for app install ads that game developers and other folks were buying on Facebook.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:04:36 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Rosenthal: Meta reached ~$175B market cap after Q4 2013 earnings
“After the QFOR, 2013 earnings announcement, the stock pops way, way, way up to, like, a 175 billion-ish market cap, so up 75% from IPO, you know, what is that, year and a half earlier.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:03:05 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Accel led Facebook's 2005 Series A with $12.7M at $98M post-money
“Excel comes in, leads a series A. 12.7 million dollars at a ninety eight million dollar post-money valuation.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:33:23 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Insight
Facebook Shifted From Product Innovator to Shameless Feature Copier
“For the first six or seven years of its life, Facebook was a change maker, defining what social networking was, and then after that, it became a change taker, and we'll talk about this when it happens, but like, again, the mental flexibility of Mark and the co…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:44:54 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Rosenthal: Facebook received 30,000 angry support emails on day one of News Feed
“They get 30,000 angry emails to support on the first day from users who are really upset about this.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:14:43 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Meta Erased $232 Billion in Market Capitalization in a Single Day
“The market cap went from nine hundred billion to seven hundred billion. The actual number is they lost two hundred and thirty-two billion in market cap, the new largest in history, surpassing their previous record.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:07:12 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Opinion
Rosenthal: Onavo was critical because it alerted Facebook to WhatsApp and Snap
“Either way, Onavo ended up being, like, a hugely important acquisition for Facebook, because it really tipped them off to WhatsApp and Snap, too.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 4:11:45 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Facebook reached 20M users and grew 100K daily at F8 launch
“So, at Effie, they announced that the Facebook user base is now over twenty million, and it is growing by over a 100,000 users a day, so growth is accelerating.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:26:59 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Opinion
Gilbert: WTI's Facebook warrant exercise is best venture debt deal ever
“I spoke with someone years ago who told me this ended up being phenomenally, phenomenally successful, and the warrant exercise on this I think is the greatest venture debt deal of all time.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 1:33:07 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 bullish
Assertion Supported
Meta Built a Hyperscaler-Sized Data Center Footprint Exclusively for Internal Use
“They now last year spent twenty-eight billion dollars in capex, which you should mostly read as data centers. They operate a Hyper-scaler-sized data center footprint, give or take. You know, you think AWS, Azure, Microsoft, and Google Cloud. Meta is the fourth…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:27:16 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Matching iPhone Cash Flows Would Leave Reality Labs Net Negative Until 2035
“Well, I did that napkin math, and if twenty-twenty-four, This year was Apple's 2007, so you just take all the iPhone's cash flows and you start the clock right now. Meta's cumulative cash flows from Reality Labs would be net negative until at least 2035.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:17:02 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Insight
Gilbert: Meta's core essence is its ability to move like water
“Ultimately, my big takeaway is the company moves like water. It is the company that has connected the world that will always gear up for the next battle and be whatever they need to be in the next era, and whether it's them defining the next generation of comp…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 6:15:34 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Mark Zuckerberg and Eduardo Saverin split initial Facebook ownership 66/33
“Eduardo invests a thousand dollars in infrastructure for the site. Mark invests another thousand dollars, so together there's 2000 dollars of investment in the facebook.com, and the deal they strike is that Mark gets two-thirds of the company, and Eduardo gets…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 58:20 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 positive
Insight
Gilbert: Facebook's Early Differentiator Was Authentic University-Verified Identity
“And that's what makes it different than all these other social networks. Myspace existed. Friendster existed. But anyone could sign up for these. And in part, that meant that they had more explosive growth, because there was no governor on the growth. And we'l…”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 49:14 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 28, 2024 bullish
Insight
Gilbert: Scaled players with the most engineers and data win platform shifts
“When a shift like this happens, the most scale player with the most engineers and the most data turns out they're still the winner.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 5:12:07 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Dec 16, 2024 positive
Insight
Complete ownership enables suboptimizing short-term results for long-term horizons
“Complete ownership, or at least board control in Meta's case, is freedom. You can do things like invest for 10 years from now when it's gonna be a super lumpy period between now and 10 years from now. If you believe in the long-term vision, you can suboptimize…”
Ben Gilbert Dec 16, 2024 ▶ 1:44:49 Mars Inc. - The Chocolate Story (Audio) · Acquired
Mar 24, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Facebook bid on IPL digital rights in 2017 and lost
“And in 2017, Facebook bid on the digital rights and lost.”
David Rosenthal Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 3:45:09 Indian Premier League Cricket (Audio) · Acquired
Mar 24, 2025
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Facebook invested $5.7B for 10% of Reliance Jio
“Facebook invested 5.7 billion dollars for a 10% stake in this new subsidiary of Reliance.”
David Rosenthal Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 2:57:25 Indian Premier League Cricket (Audio) · Acquired
Aug 26, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Google Owns Eight Distinct Products With Over One Billion Users
“It is wild that this one company has eight products with over a billion users and started this era with just one search that didn't even have a billion users yet, but search, Android, Chrome, YouTube, Gmail, Maps, Drive, Photos, and then if you count the Play …”
David Rosenthal Aug 26, 2025 ▶ 3:55:45 Google Part II: Alphabet (Audio) · Acquired
Aug 26, 2025 negative
Opinion
Google Glass and Meta Ray-Bans Share Features, but Google Ignored Fashion
“Meta Ray-Bans and Google Glass are the same thing, feature-wise. The gestures on the side, the fact that it could take a photo, I mean, Google Glass was a little more advanced, it could run these, like, very basic text-based apps, but I'm sure when Meta launch…”
Ben Gilbert Aug 26, 2025 ▶ 3:53:01 Google Part II: Alphabet (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 6, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Meta AI's User Numbers Are Inflated by Accidental Instagram Searches
“That was complete garbage. That was people searching Instagram who accidentally hit a llama model that made some things happen, and they were like, oh, go away. I actually am just looking for a user.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 3:13:54 Google Part III: The AI Company. Google is amazingly well-positioned... will they win in AI? (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 6, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
In the Mid-2010s, Nearly Every Prominent AI Researcher Worked at Google
“Basically, every single person of note in AI worked at Google, with the one exception of Yann LeCun, who worked at Facebook.”
David Rosenthal Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 7:17 Google Part III: The AI Company. Google is amazingly well-positioned... will they win in AI? (Audio) · Acquired
Oct 6, 2025 bullish
Opinion
The 2011 Google Brain 'Cat Paper' Drove Hundreds of Billions in Revenue
“I think it's not that much of a leap to say that the cat paper led to probably hundreds of billions of dollars of revenue generated by Google and Facebook and ByteDance over the next decade.”
David Rosenthal Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 43:12 Google Part III: The AI Company. Google is amazingly well-positioned... will they win in AI? (Audio) · Acquired
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