The Calls
Every prediction date that has already passed, checked against the public record: green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly held up. Diamonds at the right edge were assessed before their prediction date arrived.
Everyone Nathan Latka (17)Rand Fishkin (5)Oliver Moseni (5)Jeff Booth (3)Kenny Hawk (2)Eddie Vaca (2)Brian Scudamore (2)Zach Yadegari (1)Zach Resnick (1)Yui Vo (1)Tyler Tringas (1)Tristan Luis (1)
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The record (205) every resolved claim →
Santens: Post-pandemic job recovery will be worse than the 2008 recession
“So we're gonna, I expect us to see something even worse than we saw the last time this happened when, you know, it took 10 years to create all these jobs that we just lost in a matter of time.”
Kershenbaum predicts Anthropic's Claude will avoid targeting niche month-end accounting workflows
“Can Claude focus on, on that specific use case and try to wage war? Yeah, I think it's highly unlikely though for them to do so.”
Holmes: Resonant could reach $100M revenue by 2025 to 2026
“We're thinking that the opportunity set is in the 20, 25, 20, 26 range is where those opportunities will present themselves as the unit volumes continue to expand and the number of devices continue to expand over the course of the next several years.”
Latka predicts Zoom will enter the asynchronous video meeting space
“And I imagine Zoom will also get into this at some point.”
Svizovich: Referizer Will Go Public Within Five Years
“A hundred employees to get a rich financial freedom in five years when you go public.”
Bhattacharya: Involve.ai can reach $20M ARR without raising more capital
“We don't think we would need to raise another round, at least in the near future to keep growing. And we feel we can get to ten million, even twenty million in ARR very quickly without even raising extra capital.”
Chen: Testimonial.to will reach multi-million dollar scale in 3-5 years
“I have confidence that I bring testimony to multimillion dollars in next, you know, I would say three to five years.”
Garcia: Solides is targeting an IPO in roughly three years
“Maybe in three years, we are trying to build a solid business to offer this in the public market.”
Dragunov: Batch Products will become a billion-dollar brand in five years
“We're growing a billion dollar company brand in the next five years.”
Schwartz: Upcoming 2025 regulations will force unprepared banks to lend to SMBs
“There's going to be some regulation coming out next year where banks are going to be forced to go back and start to lend out to the small businesses, but banks are not equipped to underwrite a small bit.”
Arison: Shift Will Launch Captive Lending by 2024 or 2025
“So eventually, you know, out in 20, 24, 25, we will do capital loans, but we just need to grow to be large enough before we can do that.”
Britton: Suzy will likely IPO in two to three years at around $200M ARR
“So who knows what, when we'd be able to IPO, I would say likely in the next two to three years, but probably closer than we're at two hundred million ARR versus a hundred.”
Ninety will auto-generate org charts and seat-level KPIs within a year
“Well, within Plus or minus a year from now, you can give us that information, and we will immediately give you what a likely organizational chart will look like for you. Not only that, we'll give you the KPIs, not just for your company, but for every single se…”
Salihefendić predicts Doist will surpass $100M annual revenue by 2025
“We want to pass like a hundred million in revenues in the next five years, or like, it's right now probably more like four and a half years.”
UserZoom plans to reach its IPO without raising additional venture funding
“We actually have more cash than we need or that, not that we need, but we, that we expected you know, and we are, we foresee not needing any additional rounds.”
Merkley: Datalab hopes to reach 50 million in revenue in 2-3 years
“So we hope that we'll be getting the 50 in probably two to three years.”
Volset: Wall Street will eventually securitize bootstrapped SaaS cash flows
“I think people don't really fundamentally understand the fructibility and like the amazingness of these cashflow businesses once they get to a certain scale. And I think someone smart will end up like securitizing and packaging those type of cashflow.”
Chesseri: Dynasty Will Secure South Dakota Trust License in Nine Months
“We're getting licensed in the next nine months. We're working on the application process right now. We're working with the South Dakota legislators. We're building our board in South Dakota and we'll be licensed in about nine months.”
Jeff Booth: Technology Will Prevent Net Global Job Growth
“There's not going to be net global job gain globally. Right. Through, through what's happening with technology.”
Pysh: Governments will soon start bailing out municipalities
“They're going to start bailing out all the municipalities. And that's the one people aren't even ready for is you're going to start having those.”
Yanowitz: Federal Reserve balance sheet will reach $10 trillion
“I think we're, we'll be at 10 trillion dollars right on the feds balance sheet, which is basically the amount of money that's in the economy right now.”
Pompliano: 2020 Pandemic Bailouts Will Widen US Wealth Inequality Gap
“And I think the same thing's going to happen here. Unfortunately, Is we're just going to continue to see a widening of that wealth inequality gap because the rich, right? And it's not even the top, it's like the top two percent understand how the game is playe…”
Pompliano: Gold will crack $2,000 but not exceed $2,500
“My opinion is that it'll probably go, it'll crack 2000, but it won't go past 2500, right? So it'll kind of end up in like a 2020, a hundred dollar gold price point.”
Pompliano: COVID-19 mortality rates will be much lower in retrospect
“One of the things that I personally think we're not going to get this for probably three to five years, but we're going to look back three to five years from now. We're going to say the death rates that were originally thought are going to be nowhere near wher…”
Google Will Soon Index Audio, Massively Boosting Podcast SEO
“No, but I think if you're a betting man, betting person, you would say Google will start indexing audio very soon, and that's what we think. So the SEO impact of podcasting will get massive, you know, for folks that have hundreds of shows.”
The US is still years away from federal privacy laws, says Barokas
“And still to this day, we don't have national data privacy legislation that has been passed. And we're probably a couple of years away”
Lagrave: Netflix will eventually have to adopt advertising for monetization
“We believe that Netflix will need to address a monetization fear through advertising at some point, but that's up to the good folks at Netflix.”
Parsons: Palo Alto Software targets $50M ARR within five years
“So, 50 but that, it's not just live plan, that's adding this outpost product to it, and that's, you know, the five-year goal, my big stretch goal, that's where I would like us to be.”
Raanani: Chorus.ai will become a billion-dollar company in 5-7 years
“Is that there's a billion dollar enterprise value company five to seven years from now, that's ours to lose.”
Bala predicts competitor Trust & Will will add document storage features
“Trust & Will right now has been focusing on estates, on will, sorry, and trust. As they get bigger into the US, I'm sure they're going to start to build this idea of, you know, document storage and guided journeys.”
Free D Group aims to IPO its travel unit at $250M+ valuation
“So for that particular entity, we're aiming to IPO in 24. So hopefully that actually gave us a but minimal IPO. We're looking at two hundred fifty million at least the evaluation.”
Kaplan: Digital asset management market will reach $7.5B by 2024
“Right now that 20 15 dam market was around 1.4 billion. It's expected to grow up to about seven and a half billion by 2024.”
De la Nuez says UserZoom needs no additional funding before IPO
“We actually have more cash than we need, or that not that we need, but we, that we expected you know, and we are, we foresee not meeting any additional rounds.”
Ujjainwalla: A major tech giant will acquire Marketo
“I do think one of the giants will acquire a marketo at some point. I'm not sure if it'll be Adobe, but I think we will see some kind of consolidation happen.”
Perry: D-ID's next round will probably raise a few dozen millions
“So we didn't decide yet, but it's going to be a bigger round, probably a few dozens of millions.”
Alfonso de la Nuez Predicts UserZoom Will Reach $1B Valuation Soon
“No, I don't, I think we'll get there pretty soon. I'm very confident, and it's very exciting, of course, but no, we're not there yet.”
Pysh: Bitcoin will probably peak between $200,000 and $300,000
“It's going to go straight through that number. It's probably going to go to two to 300,000.”
BitClout will not offer fiat payment options alongside creator coins
“The possibility that they will also say you can access this if you pay 10 dollars a month or if you own the coin is very low. Because they want to bring people into the community. They don't want to give people that option of using fiat currency.”
Experiential ETC projects $3.5M to $4.0M in revenue for FY23-24
“23, 24, we are poised to do about 3.5 to four million dollars.”
McCormick: Substack will not build an ad network anytime soon
“I don't think they're going to be building an ad network anytime soon, which is fine by me”
Yampolskiy: SecurityScorecard topped $100M ARR, expects 50%+ growth in 2023
“We exceeded a hundred million run rate last year, and we're gonna probably grow by at least 50% this year.”
Naluichi: Jellify will close $50M in revenue this year
“We are going to close fifty million this year in revenues.”
Sulekha predicts $40M to $50M revenue upon 2023 US events recovery
“So that market has come to a complete freeze. So we are expecting that in the year, 20, 23 was when we will get get that market back. And once we get that market back, we'll be able to hint the numbers that you're talking about.”
Volpini: WordLift reached €1.35M in H1 2023 and targets €2.5M by year-end
“In June this year, we've done 1.3 52. So we went beyond a hundred percent growth in the first semesters. And now, you know, the numbers is kind of slightly going down, but we were targeting 2.5000000 euro by the end of the year.”
Haaland projects SalesScreen will reach $8 million in revenue in 2023.
“Just to set, like, sales screen in a bit of a context we should be around eight million dollars this year.”
Porter: Salesloft will double ARR to $100M next year
“We'll hit a hundred million next year, sitting around the fifty million mark, growing a hundred percent, a 120% net expansion.”
Isilay: Cognism will reach $20M ARR by end of next year
“And we should finish this year at 11.5, and then next year, you know, I'm certain with the kind of metrics that we've got that we'll get, but we'll be at 20 at the end of next year.”
Programmatic advertising will dominate the recruitment ad market within five years
“Programmatic is going to own that market in five years. And it's companies like ours and ICIMS and others that are going to help customers do that.”
EssayJack expects its seed round to price at an $8M pre-money valuation
“Yeah, so it'll, to be honest, it'll probably be in the ballpark of around an eight million USD, you know, give or take.”
Mask: Infusionsoft's ultimate goal is serving five million small businesses worldwide
“It's literally five million small businesses worldwide.”
Rothrock: RedSeal expects to reach $100 million ARR within three years
“That's our goal would be, you know, in that zone, a hundred million. We think we can do that in the next two to three years.”
SecurityScorecard: Valuation will triple or quadruple within 18 to 24 months
“We believe that within the next. 18 to 24 months, again, we're going to triple or quadruple evaluation of a company or more.”
Cloudability plans to IPO by 2023 to become a consolidation platform
“So sometime in the next five years or mature, we will probably be an IPO. We can use our currency to combine or join a combined entity and go out there and just become something akin to a new version of Cisco or SAP.”
GitLab expects net retention to drop as initial deals grow larger
“We expect the number to come down. So I'm not going to give the number today because we're doing a better and better job at landing a bigger initial deal.”
Resonant CEO: 30-second 5G movie downloads are years away
“You know, we're looking for that 32nd download of a high-def movie as we're jumping on an airplane. Just doesn't happen today. It won't happen for a couple of years.”
Alex Bean: Divvy will hit a $100M run rate within two years
“No, I'm very confident that we will achieve that.”
Netcore Cloud plans to IPO in India within 12 months
“We're also planning to do an IPO in India in about 12 months time.”
Going public is a realistic midterm business goal for Namely
“And it's one of the reasons why our midterm business goal a realistic midterm business goal would be eventually to be a public company.”
Latka: Sumsub can achieve over a $1 billion valuation in Series B
“I think they can get over a billion dollar valuation.”
Bendov: Gong will not reach $100M run rate this year
“No, no, no. We're not we're not going to get to a hundred million. We're not.”
Akhtar: CyberSmart raised $10M and will likely raise $10M+ within weeks
“We've raised about ten million in cash, and we're gonna raise a lot more probably than ten million in the next few weeks”
Lemkin: SaaStr Annual Will Reach Over 10,000 Attendees in 2022
“We could not, I mean, we'll have over 10,000 this year.”
Singh: Non-BTC/ETH Top 10 Cryptos Will Be Replaced Within Two Years
“So I personally, my belief is that everyone in the top 10 maybe bar ETH and Bitcoin will be switched out in the next 12 to 24 months.”
MDI Health plans to raise a Series A within 12 months
“We'll probably raise a series a sometime in the next 12 months.”
Organ predicts Influitive will reach $100 million ARR within five years
“I think it would be four to five years.”
Flock Freight plans to reach 800 employees by late 2022
“We're going to be seven, 800 by this time next year.”
Resurface is about 12 months away from raising a Series A
“That clock is ticking for sure, and we're thinking we're about 12 months from series A. It could go faster, just depending on the climate and where we think we're ready”
Gartner: 65% of the global population will require cookie consent by 2022
“So Gardner says that today, 10% of the world's population live in a country where you need consent to cookies. In two years, it's 65%.”
Antonopoulos: Over 90% of ICOs will fail
“More than 90% of these ICOs will fail. That's what I foresee. I mean, it's really obvious.”
LinkedIn's Ad Scale Will Never Match Facebook Due to Audience Focus
“From the scale standpoint, no, you know, like it's a B to B focused audience. The audience of professionals that they go after are, you know, high talent, high income professionals. So, you know, as opposed to janitors on the far end of the spectrum, you know,…”
Keynejad: Veed can reach $10M ARR efficiently within two years
“I see a very comfortable, like I kind of see a decent path for the next couple of years to get to the ten million ARR and I think there's a very good possibility we're going to get there and we're going to get there relatively efficiently.”
Tang: Bitcoin and Ethereum will coexist and serve distinct use cases
“I think all of these blockchains will exist, will coexist. So it's not like Ethereum is going to exist and Bitcoin is going to go away. My personal belief is that Bitcoin has its use case, and so does Ethereum.”
Kineshanko: Dedicated blockchains will emerge for identity and medical data
“There's going to be a lot of different blockchains. Like there'll be a blockchain for transferring identity. There will be a blockchain for secure medical information.”
Saarenvirta: Daisy Intelligence can reach $1B valuation with 50 enterprise customers
“We envision if we get to about 50 to 60 customers, we think we'll be in the, you know, close to a billion dollar valuation, and we're already at, kind of, 17 today, so it doesn't seem like a stretch that over the next three years we could, we can get to that, …”
Orbiter expects to receive at least $100k for its non-profit pivot
“We're going to be getting access to at least a hundred grand off the bat”
Falk: Fig will raise another funding round in 3-4 months
“I think we will raise in the next like three or four months.”
Sohn predicts Recruiter.com will reach profitability by early 2022
“And so we're trying to do this in a balanced fashion, hit profitability, and we'll, we'll get there early in 22.”
Jay Jumper: Vanguard will maintain its AUM lead over Wealthfront and Betterment
“Vanguard keeps its lead. Vanguard's done a great job of having a an investment. What most, most people don't spend a lot of time and attention on the cost associated with and having a low cost solution like Vanguard has been a very good, done a very good job o…”
Liu: Magic Eden on track for $400M–$500M NFT volume this month
“So this month we're about to trade around four, five, four to five hundred million dollars of NFTs. On a marketplace.”
Bala: Ready When aims to secure funding by May 2022
“Definitely next year. In 20, 22 around, well, we're going to start the VC tours in January. And then you know, the goal is to have some funding in place by May.”
Le Moal: Payment processing could become free in a few years
“All the rest, you could really imagine that in a few years, the payment itself, the processing itself will be free.”
Cantey predicts ParkEvergreen will eventually monopolize entire airport parking facilities
“Eventually we'll take over entire facilities, and so the only way to park will be to use Park Evergreen.”
Yanowitz: Bitcoin will reach $20,000 to $100,000 within two years
“My price target for the next two years at a minimum is 20,000 dollars. That's at the low end. At the high end, that's a 100,000 dollars.”
Freightos projects an 800% year-over-year increase in gross bookings for 2021
“Yeah, we should grow 800% in the bookings.”
Alex Bean: Divvy will easily top 20,000 customers by year-end
“I mean, I think we'll easily top 20 and even with some growth pay on that, so we'll see, but we're going over a hundred percent, so we expect that to continue.”
Zickerman claims upcoming ISP deal will reach 300,000 businesses next year
“We're about to launch, I can't really talk about the deal, but a major hardware deal that's slated to have us in about 300,000 businesses next year, tier one ISP style.”
Doist projected passing $15M revenue in 2020 and $20M in 2021
“Yeah, I mean I think, like, this year we'll probably pass 15 and maybe a bit more if we are lucky, and next year I think we'll definitely pass, like, 20. That's at least the plan.”
Pompliano: Bitcoin will hit $100,000 by the end of 2021
“I think that from now where we're recording this in April of 2020, I think that by the end of 2021, we'll see Bitcoin hit a 100,000 dollar price point”
Rokt expects 2021 gross profit of just under $90M
“No, we, our gross profit, if you will, it will be about just under ninety million. So we measure it It's a slightly different way we measure it, but yeah, if you looked at it on a gross profit or gross contribution level, it's about ninety million.”
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