The Calls
Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.
Everyone Nathan Latka (17)Rand Fishkin (5)Oliver Moseni (5)Jeff Booth (3)Kenny Hawk (2)Eddie Vaca (2)Brian Scudamore (2)Zach Yadegari (1)Zach Resnick (1)Yui Vo (1)Tyler Tringas (1)Tristan Luis (1)
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213 days left 2027-04-14
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Winkler predicts all oil geosteering will be automated within five years
“But I think it'll eventually prevail so that in five years, nobody, nobody's manually doing GPS during the old way.
They might be, might not be using hard software, but I think in five years, people will all be doing it in this computed automated fashion.
That…”
1205 days left 2029-12-31
Purwar: 2020s Will Experience Climate-Induced Depression Similar to 1930s
“I was really interested in doing a PhD in economics on climate change induced financial depression, and I was working with Professor Gary Gordon in Yale, so I'm a Yale graduate in the master's program, and I really, really wanted to do that because I was obses…”
1570 days left 2030-12-31
1570 days left 2030-12-31
1570 days left 2030-12-31
3731 days left 2036-11-30
5455 days left 2041-08-20
8467 days left 2049-11-18
9360 days left 2052-04-29
Closed calls (60+) the full record →
Santens: Post-pandemic job recovery will be worse than the 2008 recession
“So we're gonna, I expect us to see something even worse than we saw the last time this happened when, you know, it took 10 years to create all these jobs that we just lost in a matter of time.”
Kershenbaum predicts Anthropic's Claude will avoid targeting niche month-end accounting workflows
“Can Claude focus on, on that specific use case and try to wage war? Yeah, I think it's highly unlikely though for them to do so.”
Holmes: Resonant could reach $100M revenue by 2025 to 2026
“We're thinking that the opportunity set is in the 20, 25, 20, 26 range is where those opportunities will present themselves as the unit volumes continue to expand and the number of devices continue to expand over the course of the next several years.”
Latka predicts Zoom will enter the asynchronous video meeting space
“And I imagine Zoom will also get into this at some point.”
Svizovich: Referizer Will Go Public Within Five Years
“A hundred employees to get a rich financial freedom in five years when you go public.”
Bhattacharya: Involve.ai can reach $20M ARR without raising more capital
“We don't think we would need to raise another round, at least in the near future to keep growing. And we feel we can get to ten million, even twenty million in ARR very quickly without even raising extra capital.”
Chen: Testimonial.to will reach multi-million dollar scale in 3-5 years
“I have confidence that I bring testimony to multimillion dollars in next, you know, I would say three to five years.”
Garcia: Solides is targeting an IPO in roughly three years
“Maybe in three years, we are trying to build a solid business to offer this in the public market.”
Dragunov: Batch Products will become a billion-dollar brand in five years
“We're growing a billion dollar company brand in the next five years.”
Schwartz: Upcoming 2025 regulations will force unprepared banks to lend to SMBs
“There's going to be some regulation coming out next year where banks are going to be forced to go back and start to lend out to the small businesses, but banks are not equipped to underwrite a small bit.”
Arison: Shift Will Launch Captive Lending by 2024 or 2025
“So eventually, you know, out in 20, 24, 25, we will do capital loans, but we just need to grow to be large enough before we can do that.”
Britton: Suzy will likely IPO in two to three years at around $200M ARR
“So who knows what, when we'd be able to IPO, I would say likely in the next two to three years, but probably closer than we're at two hundred million ARR versus a hundred.”
Ninety will auto-generate org charts and seat-level KPIs within a year
“Well, within Plus or minus a year from now, you can give us that information, and we will immediately give you what a likely organizational chart will look like for you. Not only that, we'll give you the KPIs, not just for your company, but for every single se…”
Salihefendić predicts Doist will surpass $100M annual revenue by 2025
“We want to pass like a hundred million in revenues in the next five years, or like, it's right now probably more like four and a half years.”
UserZoom plans to reach its IPO without raising additional venture funding
“We actually have more cash than we need or that, not that we need, but we, that we expected you know, and we are, we foresee not needing any additional rounds.”
Merkley: Datalab hopes to reach 50 million in revenue in 2-3 years
“So we hope that we'll be getting the 50 in probably two to three years.”
Volset: Wall Street will eventually securitize bootstrapped SaaS cash flows
“I think people don't really fundamentally understand the fructibility and like the amazingness of these cashflow businesses once they get to a certain scale. And I think someone smart will end up like securitizing and packaging those type of cashflow.”
Chesseri: Dynasty Will Secure South Dakota Trust License in Nine Months
“We're getting licensed in the next nine months. We're working on the application process right now. We're working with the South Dakota legislators. We're building our board in South Dakota and we'll be licensed in about nine months.”
Jeff Booth: Technology Will Prevent Net Global Job Growth
“There's not going to be net global job gain globally. Right. Through, through what's happening with technology.”
Pysh: Governments will soon start bailing out municipalities
“They're going to start bailing out all the municipalities. And that's the one people aren't even ready for is you're going to start having those.”
Yanowitz: Federal Reserve balance sheet will reach $10 trillion
“I think we're, we'll be at 10 trillion dollars right on the feds balance sheet, which is basically the amount of money that's in the economy right now.”
Pompliano: 2020 Pandemic Bailouts Will Widen US Wealth Inequality Gap
“And I think the same thing's going to happen here. Unfortunately, Is we're just going to continue to see a widening of that wealth inequality gap because the rich, right? And it's not even the top, it's like the top two percent understand how the game is playe…”