| 1M | “a million” | Movva: Nvidia avoids selling tokens to prevent competing with its customers | Neil Movva |  INVEST LIKE THE BEST | Aug 25, 2026 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Movva: A Trillion Tokens Is Approaching Tens of Thousands of Dollars | Neil Movva | INVEST LIKE THE BEST | Aug 25, 2026 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Movva: Sail Research will buy data centers with only 95% uptime | Neil Movva | INVEST LIKE THE BEST | Aug 25, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Movva: Expanding Fab Capacity Immediately Exposes Downstream Bottlenecks | Neil Movva | INVEST LIKE THE BEST | Aug 25, 2026 | — |
| 2× | “two X” | Losing TSMC Wouldn't Be Disastrous Because Intel Is Only 2x Behind | Neil Movva | INVEST LIKE THE BEST | Aug 25, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Nvidia's Peak FLOPs Are Impossible to Hit Due to Power Throttling | Neil Movva | INVEST LIKE THE BEST | Aug 25, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Frontier Mixture of Experts Models Now Activate Only 1% of Experts | Neil Movva | INVEST LIKE THE BEST | Aug 25, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Frontier Mixture of Experts Models Now Activate Only 1% of Experts | Neil Movva | INVEST LIKE THE BEST | Aug 25, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1T | “A trillion” | Movva: A Trillion Tokens Costs at Least $5M at OpenAI Pricing | Neil Movva | INVEST LIKE THE BEST | Aug 25, 2026 | Supported |
| $5M | “five million dollars” | Movva: A Trillion Tokens Costs at Least $5M at OpenAI Pricing | Neil Movva | INVEST LIKE THE BEST | Aug 25, 2026 | Supported |
| 5M | “five million” | Movva: NVIDIA is producing 5 million Blackwell chips this year | Neil Movva | INVEST LIKE THE BEST | Aug 25, 2026 | Open |
| 8× | “eight times” | Movva: Sharding matrix multiply across eight GPUs yields only 4x to 5x speedup | Neil Movva | INVEST LIKE THE BEST | Aug 25, 2026 | — |
| 5× | “five X” | Movva: Sharding matrix multiply across eight GPUs yields only 4x to 5x speedup | Neil Movva | INVEST LIKE THE BEST | Aug 25, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | Movva: Reducing Costs Tenfold Creates a New Product Category | Neil Movva | INVEST LIKE THE BEST | Aug 25, 2026 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Casado: 20-person AI startups can productively deploy $1 billion | Martin Casado |  a16z | Aug 25, 2026 | — |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Go: Active co-development project will exit at $20 million | Neyshia Go |  PAUL MORRIS | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Go: Up to 80% of joint venture deals fail from excessive closeness | Neyshia Go | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Go: Up to 80% of joint venture deals fail from excessive closeness | Neyshia Go | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| $6M | “six million dollars” | Morris: Sold Santa Monica remodel with a hidden room above $6M | Paul Mark Morris | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Morris: Buyers pick smaller luxury homes over generic larger ones | Paul Mark Morris | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Morris: Buyers pick smaller luxury homes over generic larger ones | Paul Mark Morris | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| $10M | “ten million dollars” | Go: Price-per-square-foot cannot be extrapolated without comparable local sales | Neyshia Go | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Go: Passed on 800-square-foot ADU on $20M project to maintain privacy | Neyshia Go | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| $3T | “three trillion dollars” | Kantrowitz: Top tech companies hold $3T in off-balance sheet AI commitments | Alex Kantrowitz |  BIG TECHNOLOGY | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 600B | “six hundred billion” | Kantrowitz: Top tech companies hold $3T in off-balance sheet AI commitments | Alex Kantrowitz | BIG TECHNOLOGY | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 27B | “twenty-seven billion” | Kantrowitz: $27B in debt financing Meta's Hyperion project is off-balance sheet | Alex Kantrowitz | BIG TECHNOLOGY | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| $300M | “three hundred million dollars” | Adelman: Levered $300 million equity into a $1B real estate joint venture | David Adelman |  BIGDEAL | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Adelman: Levered $300 million equity into a $1B real estate joint venture | David Adelman | BIGDEAL | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Adelman: Levered $300 million equity into a $1B real estate joint venture | David Adelman | BIGDEAL | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Adelman: Levered $300 million equity into a $1B real estate joint venture | David Adelman | BIGDEAL | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Adelman: Levered $300 million equity into a $1B real estate joint venture | David Adelman | BIGDEAL | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 100M | “hundred million” | Adelman: Scaling to $10 million is much harder than $100M to $1B | David Adelman | BIGDEAL | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Adelman: Scaling to $10 million is much harder than $100M to $1B | David Adelman | BIGDEAL | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Adelman: Michael Shulson's restaurant group achieves 20 percent operating margins | David Adelman | BIGDEAL | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 2M | “two million” | Adelman: The United States faces a shortage of two million electricians | David Adelman | BIGDEAL | Aug 24, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 13% | “13%” | Sanchez: SBA loan default rate averages approximately 8 percent | Codie Sanchez | BIGDEAL | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Sanchez: SBA loan default rate averages approximately 8 percent | Codie Sanchez | BIGDEAL | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Sanchez: Putting in 10% extra work still creates major career opportunities | Codie Sanchez | BIGDEAL | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 15% | “15%” | Ryan Seiders sold his fishing rod company for just under $200,000 | Ryan Seiders |  HOW I BUILT THIS | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 49.5% | “49.5%” | Ryan Seiders bought 49.5% of YETI by funding three shipping containers | Roy Seiders | HOW I BUILT THIS | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 1M | “one million” | YETI grew to $3 million in sales with seven employees in 2008 | Roy Seiders | HOW I BUILT THIS | Aug 24, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 3M | “three million” | YETI grew to $3 million in sales with seven employees in 2008 | Roy Seiders | HOW I BUILT THIS | Aug 24, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | YETI reached $100 million in sales exclusively from hard coolers | Roy Seiders | HOW I BUILT THIS | Aug 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | YETI's sales grew from $100 million to $400 million in 18 months | Roy Seiders | HOW I BUILT THIS | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 400M | “four hundred million” | YETI's sales grew from $100 million to $400 million in 18 months | Roy Seiders | HOW I BUILT THIS | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 99% | “99%” | Florence: Gen-1 reached 99 percent reliability with one hour of data | Pete Florence |  AMERICAN OPTIMIST | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 times” | Florence: Generalist lab robotics can enable ten times more scientific research per year | Pete Florence | AMERICAN OPTIMIST | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 10M | “ten million” | Loiacono: A $10M ARR startup is nothing in consolidated healthcare markets | AJ Loiacono |  PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| $10M | “Ten million dollars” | Loiacono: A $10M ARR startup is nothing in consolidated healthcare markets | AJ Loiacono | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 96% | “96%” | Loiacono: 96% of Patients Accept Prescription Prices at the Pharmacy Register | AJ Loiacono | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| $10B | “ten billion dollars” | Loiacono: US drug spend surged from $110B in 2000 to $1T today | AJ Loiacono | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Loiacono: US drug spend surged from $110B in 2000 to $1T today | AJ Loiacono | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Loiacono: Capital Rx scaled from 500 lives to Fortune 500 clients quickly | AJ Loiacono | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Loiacono: Capital Rx won Fortune 500s by operating 70% more efficiently | AJ Loiacono | PRODUCT MARKET FIT | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 900M | “an eight hundred million” | Beck: Rocket Lab's $800M SDA deal grew past $1B supplying competing primes | Sir Peter Beck |  SOURCERY | Aug 24, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 1B | “a billion” | Beck: Rocket Lab's $800M SDA deal grew past $1B supplying competing primes | Sir Peter Beck | SOURCERY | Aug 24, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Beck: Rocket Lab Added Nearly $1B in Backlog in Record Quarter | Sir Peter Beck | SOURCERY | Aug 24, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $8M | “eight million dollars” | Beck: Small Rockets Cannot Absorb $1.5M Launch Pad Fees | Sir Peter Beck | SOURCERY | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Beck: Small Rockets Cannot Absorb $1.5M Launch Pad Fees | Sir Peter Beck | SOURCERY | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 51M | “a fifty million” | Beck: Small Rockets Cannot Absorb $1.5M Launch Pad Fees | Sir Peter Beck | SOURCERY | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| $33B | “thirty three billion dollars” | Friedberg: China R&D Spending Grew 19x to $670B by 2021 | David Friedberg |  ALL-IN | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 70B | “seventy billion” | Friedberg: China R&D Spending Grew 19x to $670B by 2021 | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 19× | “19 x” | Friedberg: China R&D Spending Grew 19x to $670B by 2021 | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 3× | “three x” | Friedberg: China R&D Spending Grew 19x to $670B by 2021 | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 86% | “86%” | Friedberg: Nature poll found 86% of scientists backed Harris vs 6% Trump | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 6% | “six percent” | Friedberg: Nature poll found 86% of scientists backed Harris vs 6% Trump | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Kratsios: US R&D funding shifted from 70% federal to 70% private | Michael Kratsios | ALL-IN | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| $2B | “two billion dollars” | Kratsios: 25% of Biden-Era NSF Grants Went to DEI Initiatives | Michael Kratsios | ALL-IN | Aug 24, 2026 | Contradicted |
| $8B | “eight billion dollars” | Kratsios: 25% of Biden-Era NSF Grants Went to DEI Initiatives | Michael Kratsios | ALL-IN | Aug 24, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 25% | “25%” | Kratsios: 25% of Biden-Era NSF Grants Went to DEI Initiatives | Michael Kratsios | ALL-IN | Aug 24, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 1M | “a million” | Bek: VC funds will collaborate more on hardware and physical AI deals | Julien Bek |  20VC | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 1,000× | “1000 times” | Bek: Cloudflare projects agent traffic will exceed human traffic 1,000x in 5 years | Julien Bek | 20VC | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Bek: AI customer support autopilots have reached $1B in ARR | Julien Bek | 20VC | Aug 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Bek Entered Revolut at $200M Valuation Before It Surpassed $100B | Julien Bek | 20VC | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Stebbings: $1B Valuations Are Becoming the New Series A Baseline | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 51M | “a fifty million” | Stebbings: $1B Valuations Are Becoming the New Series A Baseline | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Stebbings: $1B Valuations Are Becoming the New Series A Baseline | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 21B | “a twenty billion” | Stebbings: $1B Valuations Are Becoming the New Series A Baseline | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 24, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | Hopkins: Changing an ad's headline commonly multiplies returns five to ten times | David Senra |  FOUNDERS | Aug 23, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Abel: Selling a $100K enterprise solution follows the exact same process as $1M | Jen Abel |  LENNY'S PODCAST | Aug 23, 2026 | — |
| 4× | “four times” | Abel: Legal is the largest budget line item in enterprise organizations | Jen Abel | LENNY'S PODCAST | Aug 23, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 99% | “99%” | Abel: Sellers must co-author pilot success metrics and guide user tasks | Jen Abel | LENNY'S PODCAST | Aug 23, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three times” | Abel: Enterprise sales reps should delay pricing conversations until post-demo | Jen Abel | LENNY'S PODCAST | Aug 23, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Abel: CRM Stages Are For Forecasting, Not Guiding Customer Sales Steps | Jen Abel | LENNY'S PODCAST | Aug 23, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Abel: CRM Stages Are For Forecasting, Not Guiding Customer Sales Steps | Jen Abel | LENNY'S PODCAST | Aug 23, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Abel: CRM Stages Are For Forecasting, Not Guiding Customer Sales Steps | Jen Abel | LENNY'S PODCAST | Aug 23, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Abel: 90% of founders fail by forcing buyers into rigid sales processes | Jen Abel | LENNY'S PODCAST | Aug 23, 2026 | — |
| 35% | “35%” | Abel: A healthy enterprise sales win rate is 25% to 35% | Jen Abel | LENNY'S PODCAST | Aug 23, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Abel: Well-qualified enterprise software pilots should see an 80% success rate | Jen Abel | LENNY'S PODCAST | Aug 23, 2026 | — |
| 1B | “A billion” | Altman: ChatGPT has reached one billion users in under four years | Sam Altman |  DAVID SENRA | Aug 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 51B | “a fifty billion” | Mehra: $50B outcomes look like $500M companies at the seed stage | Krishna Mehra |  NEON SHOW | Aug 22, 2026 | — |
| 2.5B | “a half a billion” | Mehra: $50B outcomes look like $500M companies at the seed stage | Krishna Mehra | NEON SHOW | Aug 22, 2026 | — |
| 2.5B | “a half a billion” | Mehra: Founder ambition separates $500M outcomes from $10B outcomes | Krishna Mehra | NEON SHOW | Aug 22, 2026 | — |
| 11B | “a ten billion” | Mehra: Founder ambition separates $500M outcomes from $10B outcomes | Krishna Mehra | NEON SHOW | Aug 22, 2026 | — |
| 51M | “a fifty million” | Mehra: Cohesity's largest customer accounted for $50M in annual revenue | Krishna Mehra | NEON SHOW | Aug 22, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Innovaccer reached nearly $1M ARR selling data to universities before pivoting | Krishna Mehra | NEON SHOW | Aug 22, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 x” | Mehra: Outlier startups succeed via 10x founder spikes, not box-checking | Krishna Mehra | NEON SHOW | Aug 22, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | Murdock: Fireworks Is 10x Better Business Than Baseten Due to Capital Efficiency | Jerry Murdock | 20VC | Aug 22, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Murdock: Flipboard Turned Down ~$1B Acquisition Bids From Twitter and ByteDance | Jerry Murdock | 20VC | Aug 22, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Murdock: Mega rounds for Anthropic and OpenAI might actually have been cheap | Jerry Murdock | 20VC | Aug 22, 2026 | — |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Murdock: Mega rounds for Anthropic and OpenAI might actually have been cheap | Jerry Murdock | 20VC | Aug 22, 2026 | — |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Murdock: Customizing models executes specific tasks cheaper than frontier models | Jerry Murdock | 20VC | Aug 22, 2026 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Jerry Murdock: OpenRouter's 5% markup is unsustainable and will not last | Jerry Murdock | 20VC | Aug 22, 2026 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Murdock predicts disruption of model routing fee markups within 3–5 months | Jerry Murdock | 20VC | Aug 22, 2026 | — |
| 6× | “six X” | Stebbings: Many PE-owned software assets are levered at 4x to 6x | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 22, 2026 | — |
| 300B | “a two hundred billion” | Stebbings: Enterprise Specialized Data Is a $200 Billion Market Opportunity | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 22, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Howell: Running One Newsletter Consumed 90% of His Weekly GrokBot Limit | Billy Howell |  STARTUP IDEAS | Aug 21, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Howell: Three Rounds of Adversarial AI Review Improves Output to 90% | Billy Howell | STARTUP IDEAS | Aug 21, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Howell: Three Rounds of Adversarial AI Review Improves Output to 90% | Billy Howell | STARTUP IDEAS | Aug 21, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Park: Advanced simulation discovers multi-step paths to achieve a target outcome | Joon Sung Park |  LATENT SPACE | Aug 21, 2026 | — |
| 85% | “85%” | Park: Generative agent digital twins replicate human behavior at 85% accuracy | Joon Sung Park | LATENT SPACE | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Park: Frontier models hit only 20-30% accuracy predicting niche human behavior | Joon Sung Park | LATENT SPACE | Aug 21, 2026 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Park: Frontier models hit only 20-30% accuracy predicting niche human behavior | Joon Sung Park | LATENT SPACE | Aug 21, 2026 | — |
| $40M | “forty million dollars” | Park: Agent simulations beat multi-year field trials via instant repeated execution | Joon Sung Park | LATENT SPACE | Aug 21, 2026 | — |
| 15% | “15%” | Park: Simile AI has ~60 employees, 15-20% from Stanford lab | Joon Sung Park | LATENT SPACE | Aug 21, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Park: Simile AI has ~60 employees, 15-20% from Stanford lab | Joon Sung Park | LATENT SPACE | Aug 21, 2026 | — |
| 3T | “three trillion” | AI market faces correction because infrastructure capex far outpaces enterprise use | Dave Morin |  MORE OR LESS | Aug 21, 2026 | — |
| $4T | “four trillion dollars” | AI market faces correction because infrastructure capex far outpaces enterprise use | Dave Morin | MORE OR LESS | Aug 21, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Calacanis: Uber and Zipline Partnership Will Reach 1 Million Daily Deliveries | Jason Calacanis | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Open |
| 3% | “three percent” | Sacks: Data Centers Will Account for 3% of US GDP | David Sacks | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Open |
| 80% | “80%” | Calacanis: Anthropic's seven co-founders donated 80% of their shares to a trust | Jason Calacanis | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Calacanis: Anthropic's seven co-founders donated 80% of their shares to a trust | Jason Calacanis | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 96% | “96%” | Sacks: US overall inflation rose 96% between 2000 and 2026 | David Sacks | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Sacks: Meta faces over $1T in addiction lawsuits after $6M LA verdict | David Sacks | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 7M | “a six million” | Sacks: Meta faces over $1T in addiction lawsuits after $6M LA verdict | David Sacks | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 53% | “53%” | Friedberg: 53% of young conservatives support government-run grocery stores | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Sacks: U.S. Murder Rate Dropped 20% to Lowest Level in 70 Years | David Sacks | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| $50M | “fifty million dollars” | Friedberg: 10% tax on $50M+ individuals funds only 3 months of spending | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Friedberg: 10% tax on $50M+ individuals funds only 3 months of spending | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 6.6T | “6.6 trillion” | Sacks: Forbes 400 total wealth is less than 10% of DSA platform cost | David Sacks | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Sacks: Forbes 400 total wealth is less than 10% of DSA platform cost | David Sacks | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 61% | “61%” | Friedberg: Fox News poll shows Republican support for capitalism dropped to 61% | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 72% | “72%” | Friedberg: Fox News poll shows Republican support for capitalism dropped to 61% | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 41% | “41%” | Friedberg: Fox News poll shows Republican support for capitalism dropped to 61% | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Friedberg: Fox News poll shows Republican support for capitalism dropped to 61% | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 42% | “42%” | Friedberg: Fox News poll shows Republican support for capitalism dropped to 61% | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 6T | “six trillion” | Friedberg: Top 50% of Americans hold $178T in net worth versus $6T for bottom 50% | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Friedberg: Top 50% of Americans hold $178T in net worth versus $6T for bottom 50% | David Friedberg | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 135% | “135%” | Sacks: US average hourly wage grew 135% from 2000 to 2026 | David Sacks | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Sacks: US average hourly wage grew 135% from 2000 to 2026 | David Sacks | ALL-IN | Aug 21, 2026 | Supported |
| $250K | “quarter million dollars” | Wong: Transmission interconnection studies take 6-9 months and cost $250K | Josh Wong |  CATALYST | Aug 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 99.9% | “99.9%” | Wong: ThinkLabs trains state-sized utility models in 10 minutes for $5 | Josh Wong | CATALYST | Aug 20, 2026 | — |
| $1.5M | “half a million dollars” | Hodak: Vision gene therapy reimburses at nearly $500,000 per eye | Max Hodak |  NO PRIORS | Aug 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Hodak: Vision gene therapy reimburses at nearly $500,000 per eye | Max Hodak | NO PRIORS | Aug 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Calvin: Classic Razor Scooters Still Sell Close to 1M Units Yearly | Carlton Calvin | HOW I BUILT THIS | Aug 20, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Calvin: Retailers always mistakenly believe consumer product crazes will last forever | Carlton Calvin | HOW I BUILT THIS | Aug 20, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Lamm: 20% of baby elephants die from EEHV | Ben Lamm | SOURCERY | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1.5T | “half a trillion” | Lamm: Invasive species represent a half-trillion-dollar global problem | Ben Lamm | SOURCERY | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Lamm: Colossal achieved world-record multiplex gene editing in healthy woolly mice | Ben Lamm | SOURCERY | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Lamm: ViaGen cloning efficiency reached 80% versus 2% industry norm | Ben Lamm | SOURCERY | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Lamm: ViaGen cloning efficiency reached 80% versus 2% industry norm | Ben Lamm | SOURCERY | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Lamm: Earth is forecasted to lose 50% of biodiversity within 25 years | Ben Lamm | SOURCERY | Aug 20, 2026 | Didn’t hold up |
| 40% | “40%” | Strange: 40% of a16z app investments back international founders | Angela Strange | a16z | Aug 20, 2026 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Strange: Scaling past $50M requires recruiting sales leaders from mature markets | Angela Strange | a16z | Aug 20, 2026 | — |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Strange: Scaling past $50M requires recruiting sales leaders from mature markets | Angela Strange | a16z | Aug 20, 2026 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Stebbings: Etched Raised $700M at a $21B Valuation | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 700M | “seven hundred million” | Stebbings: Etched Raised $700M at a $21B Valuation | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 21B | “twenty-one billion” | Stebbings: Etched Raised $700M at a $21B Valuation | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 44B | “a forty three billion” | Stebbings: Silver Lake Prepares $43B Take-Private Bid for Workday | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | O'Driscoll: Owning developers is 100% existential for Microsoft | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | — |
| $1.5B | “a half billion dollars” | Stebbings: Anthropic achieved its first quarterly profit on $11.5B in Q2 revenue | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | O'Driscoll: 70-80% of Anthropic valuation relies on AI coding | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | — |
| 51% | “51%” | Lemkin: >51% chance OpenRouter drives 20-30% of Stripe's revenue in 5 years | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | Open |
| 30% | “30%” | Lemkin: >51% chance OpenRouter drives 20-30% of Stripe's revenue in 5 years | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | Open |
| 14.3B | “a 13.3 billion” | Stebbings: Lovable Raised at $13.3B Valuation from Menlo Ventures | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | O'Driscoll: Price hardly matters in winning VC deals unlike PE buyouts | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | O'Driscoll: Price hardly matters in winning VC deals unlike PE buyouts | Rory O'Driscoll | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | — |
| 6.5B | “a 5.5 billion” | Stebbings: Higgsfield Raised at $5.5B Valuation with $700M ARR | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 700M | “seven hundred million” | Stebbings: Higgsfield Raised at $5.5B Valuation with $700M ARR | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 6M | “six million” | Lemkin: Software scale-ups are capping AI budgets at $6M to $8M annually | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | — |
| 8M | “eight million” | Lemkin: Software scale-ups are capping AI budgets at $6M to $8M annually | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Lemkin: Companies will allocate $100K in tokens per engineer and cut dev teams 30-40% | Jason Lemkin | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | — |
| 60B | “sixty billion” | Stebbings: SpaceX closes $60B takeover of Cursor | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $8M | “eight million dollars” | Stebbings: SpaceX closes $60B takeover of Cursor | Harry Stebbings | 20VC | Aug 20, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | LaFontaine: Whatnot surpassed $1B in sales last year and YTD | Grant LaFontaine | a16z | Aug 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | LaFontaine: Over 80% of Whatnot's Daily Users Do Not Transact | Grant LaFontaine | a16z | Aug 19, 2026 | — |
| 80B | “eighty billion” | George: eBay's E-Commerce Market Share Fell From 15% to Under 1% | David George | a16z | Aug 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 15% | “15%” | George: eBay's E-Commerce Market Share Fell From 15% to Under 1% | David George | a16z | Aug 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | George: eBay's E-Commerce Market Share Fell From 15% to Under 1% | David George | a16z | Aug 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | LaFontaine: Trust and Safety Is About 40% of Whatnot's Headcount | Grant LaFontaine | a16z | Aug 19, 2026 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | LaFontaine: Live Shopping in Asia Is a $1 Trillion Market | Grant LaFontaine | a16z | Aug 19, 2026 | Supported |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | LaFontaine: Top Whatnot Sellers Do $100M+ in Revenue With Strong EBITDA | Grant LaFontaine | a16z | Aug 19, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Gupta: Enterprises use only 15% of their data tools' capabilities | Saurabh Gupta |  WE LIVE TO BUILD | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Thompson: Google agreed to sell about 20% of its TPUs to Anthropic | Ben Thompson | INVEST LIKE THE BEST | Aug 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Walling: HitTail operated at 90% net margins on $30k/month revenue | Rob Walling |  STARTUPS FOR THE REST OF US | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 200B | “two hundred billion” | Baszucki estimates Roblox captures 3% to 4% of the $200B gaming market | David Baszucki |  KNOWLEDGE PROJECT | Aug 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 4% | “four percent” | Baszucki estimates Roblox captures 3% to 4% of the $200B gaming market | David Baszucki | KNOWLEDGE PROJECT | Aug 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 30M | “thirty million” | Danzy: AODocs generates about $30M in revenue today | Stéphane Danzy |  TOP FOUNDERS | Aug 18, 2026 | Open |
| 1.5M | “half a million” | AODocs achieved independent profitability in 2022 after near-breakeven 2021 | Stéphane Danzy | TOP FOUNDERS | Aug 18, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Danzy: YAMM revenue grew 6x from $1M in 2016 to $6M | Stéphane Danzy | TOP FOUNDERS | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 6× | “six times” | Danzy: YAMM revenue grew 6x from $1M in 2016 to $6M | Stéphane Danzy | TOP FOUNDERS | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 2M | “two million” | AODocs' top three customers each pay over $2M annually | Stéphane Danzy | TOP FOUNDERS | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 56% | “56%” | Marquez: San Francisco Bay Area captured 56% of 2025 VC funding | Kristian Marquez |  INNOVATORS & INVESTORS | Aug 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Robinson: Money movement lacks the invisible markups of physical goods | Rodney Robinson | INNOVATORS & INVESTORS | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| $9B | “nine billion dollars” | Robinson: TabaPay processes nearly $9B across 75M monthly transactions | Rodney Robinson | INNOVATORS & INVESTORS | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Robinson: TabaPay touches a third of US households and 100M debit cards monthly | Rodney Robinson | INNOVATORS & INVESTORS | Aug 18, 2026 | — |
| 6.69% | “6.69%” | Morris: Freddie Mac Rate Reached 6.69%, a One-Year High | Paul Mark Morris | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 6.6% | “6.6%” | Morris: Freddie Mac Rate Reached 6.69%, a One-Year High | Paul Mark Morris | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 1.8% | “1.8%” | Morris: Median Existing Home Price Hit All-Time High of $440,600 in June | Paul Mark Morris | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 72% | “72%” | Morris: Market Odds Flipped From 72% Rate Hike to 60% Hold | Paul Mark Morris | PAUL MORRIS | Aug 18, 2026 | Partly supported |
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