Ex-Nvidia engineer Neil Movva pushes back against widespread geopolitical anxiety over potential disruption to TSMC's foundries in Taiwan.
Disclosure
Movva: Sail Research will buy data centers with only 95% uptime
“You'd have missing zero buyers for a data center that is 95% uptime. I'm that first buyer. I will buy 95% uptime.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nvidia's BF16 Efficiency Barely Improves Across Hopper, Blackwell, and Rubin
“If you look at, you know, Hopper to Blackwell to Rubin, and you compare like for like, what is the performance per watt of a beefload-sixteen multiply? It hasn't improved all that much.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
TSMC Performance Per Watt Barely Changes From 5nm to 2nm
“If you look at TSMC five nanometer versus four versus three versus two, the performance per watt on these chips doesn't change like a dramatic amount.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cursor Forced Baseten, Fireworks, and Together to Prioritize Low Latency
“The challenge is, all those companies, you could take your pick, Base-Ten, Fireworks together, they all focus on low latency inference. And they were pulled in that direction by one very important customer Cursor.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Future AI Agents Will Prioritize Long-Horizon Task Completion Over Speed
“You wanted more persistence, more long horizon tasks, and now it's, to me, very obvious that the future of agentic inference is long horizon tasks. You're gonna run the machine for hours or days at a time. It doesn't matter if it spits out tokens at a hundred …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI Workloads Will Eventually Shift to 90% Background and 10% Real-Time
“So long-term, I think, you know, we're going to end this year at maybe fifty-fifty background and real-time workloads, but I see this going to ninety-ten in favor of background.”