Codie Sanchez
Founder & CEO, Contrarian Thinking · 158 appearances on the record.
computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →
founderinvestorauthorhostjournalist@Codie_Sanchez ↗LinkedIn ↗codiesanchez.com ↗
Codie Sanchez is the founder and CEO of Contrarian Thinking and Contrarian Thinking Capital. She previously worked at Goldman Sachs and Vanguard, and advocates for acquiring small, cash-flowing businesses.
898statements → 346claims → 257claims resolved → 52%fully supported → 3.9/5average certainty → 2.18/5average debate potential → 3.5/5argument clarity · the sources → 26said about them ↓
133 supported 59 partly supported 65 contradicted 8 not yet assessed 81 not checkable as stated how the 346 claims stand · each chip opens the sources
24 predictions · 322 assertions · 90 opinions · 365 insights · 94 disclosures · 3 what ifs · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 346 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 257 are resolved, 8 are not yet assessed, and 81 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.
The record, in short
What the tape says about how Codie argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.
Their most notable supported claim
Their most notable contradicted claim
Sanchez: Passive income represents under 1% of US earned income
“According to the Federal Reserve survey, only 11% of Americans earn any passive income at all. And of those, 75% comes from real estate requiring some management. So truly passive monthly income represents less than one percent of all income earned in the U.S.”
Expressed certainty vs assessment result
weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet
Argument clarity: do they answer the question? how? →
3.5 / 5
directness 2.9 · coherence 3.9 ·
precision 3.6 · compression 3.1
redirected or did not address 6 of 16 assessed questions (38%). Watch them ▸
This is a score against a rubric. It is not a rank. Every host question → answer exchange is scored with names hidden on directness, coherence, precision and compression, 1–5 each, on meaning alone: disfluencies are ignored, and only raw unedited episodes count. This is the score that measures thought. Every scored exchange, scores shown → · The rubric and its checks →
How they sound: not measured why? →
We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Codie Sanchez on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.
Everything Codie Sanchez said on BigDeal that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →
Sanchez: Khosla backs open borders while suing to block public beach access
“He is going out there saying that we should have an open border when he has a private mansion on a beach trying to block public access to the beach for normal people, is in a lawsuit for like five or seven years while trying to say that we should have open bor…”
Sanchez: Anyone Saying Elon Musk Harms Economy Is Lying or Dumb
“Anyone who thinks he's bad for the economy is either lying or so dumb as to be irrelevant.”
Sanchez: Manifestation acts as anesthesia, draining the drive to do work
“So your brain books the fantasy as like a partial payment on the real thing. And it actually gives you the reward before you've done the work. So the drive to do the actual work drains out of you. Fascinating. So in other words, manifestation is actually anest…”
Sanchez: US Unemployment Is Racing Toward 10% or 20%
“I think America is racing towards a 10% unemployment rate, maybe 20.”
Sanchez: Crying at work guarantees you will stall in middle management
“I'm sorry to say this, but don't listen to anybody else who says, oh, you can cry if you want to. Oh, you can just say your truth out loud. Oh, it's fine. No, no, no, no. Those people will forever rent apartments and at most get to middle management. They will…”
Sanchez struggles to find women founders building sufficiently large businesses
“I actively look for women to invest in, and I have a really hard time finding women who are building big enough businesses.”
Sanchez: Mark Cuban is wrong that teaching business online proves it fails
“His clip basically said, if they're telling you about how to do it on the internet,
It doesn't work because if it worked, they'd just go do it.
And I thought that was so funny.
Sounds great.
Except it's wrong.
Because what actually happens is when you give mor…”
Sanchez: Men negotiate better, closing deals faster and on better terms
“I actually do see it First hand that men are better at negotiating than women, that men make more than women often, even with a similar skill set, that's partial negotiation, and that men, when they are in a deal, let's say arguing for a business to buy, they …”
Sanchez: Fired podcast vendor who refused to work on Joe Lonsdale episode
“So, Joe Lonsdale was gonna come on the show, and we had a vendor that was working on our podcast. They do some, what's called pre-production stuff, like come up with thumbnails or their interesting tidbits on the internet. And this young gentleman reached out,…”
Sanchez: Western Sanctions on Russia Ended Up Hurting Europe More
“We had a sanction on Russia and Europe that we thought was gonna hurt Russia, but actually ended up hurting Europe more.”
Sanchez: Balaji Srinivasan predicts 70% chance of economic crisis within two years
“His point here was, I'm concerned about the chance of a crisis, and so Balaji thinks there's a 10% chance of a crisis happening soon, a 70% chance in the next two years, which is scary because he's very smart.”
Sanchez: VCs repackage retirement homes as 'reimagined living' to raise millions
“I feel like this is what Venture has done since, you know, the last bull run of 2009 in Venture is they've been like, the thing is, We're reimagining the way that we live and what they're doing in actuality is retirement home, but for young people, but it's th…”
Sanchez: Tim Cook is purely a systems executive with no innovation
“And then obviously brought in people like Tim Cook, who are pure systems guys, no innovation.”
Sanchez: Working from home is a tragedy unless someone has made it
“I think it's a tragedy, actually. Unless you've made it. If you've made it, work from home, maybe.”
Sanchez: Remote human assistants deliver higher ROI than AI for her company
“I just told my team today that we found that hiring a remote assistant has a better ROI for my company than using AI.”
Sanchez: Ignoring Musk's lessons because you dislike him makes you an idiot
“If you don't like him, you know, Elon talks about the idiot test, but I think the other idiot test is, if you don't like Elon Musk, you're the idiot, because there's something to learn from him, no matter what.”
Sanchez: Many VC investors lack skin in the game and operating experience
“A lot of these investors are salaried investors. They got no skin in the game, and they've never actually run anything.”
Sanchez: Peter Thiel rejected Replit, saying it would never be big
“I remember when I told Peter Thiel that he should invest in the company and Peter said, it's never going to be a big company. This vibe coding thing is sort of ridiculous. And he put it in an email”
Sanchez: Harvard and Google credentials have almost zero correlation with job fit
“Resumes and history has so little correlation to good and a fit. There's almost no correlation. And it used to be that if you worked at some of these big companies, you're like, There's a pretty high indicator that you might continue to have like a certain out…”
Sanchez: Applicants must complete unpaid audition projects to prove authentic interest
“Now we make everybody do a creative project, and I don't like to pay people for it, not because of the expense. I don't like to pay people because I want to know how they feel about Doing work with us. Are they really interested? Or are they merely kind of cur…”
Sanchez: Naval Ravikant is mathematically wrong about not getting rich renting time
“He talks about how you know, you'll never get rich renting your time. And I actually don't agree with that. I mean, mathematically it's not true. Like Sheryl Sandberg, quite rich. Always been an employee.”
Sanchez: Chamath Palihapitiya led two of the decade's best investment deals
“Now look at the guy. He's done like two of the biggest and best transactions you could say in the last decade in investing.”
Sanchez: AI Shifts the 80/20 Rule to a 99/1 Dynamic
“With AI and automation, it's not eighty-twenty anymore. It's ninety-nine-one, which is like the right decision at the right time Will always outperform effort alone, and the one percent of things you choose to work on will now drive 99% of your results.”
The other half of the tape: Codie Sanchez's own voice is left out of every number here. 26 statements on the record name them. every mention, with the transcript →
Statements about Codie Sanchez, by other people (26)
Gary Vee: Financially supporting adult children signals they are losers
“Because parents don't realize if you're paying for your kid when they're a grown adult, you're telling your kid you don't believe in them. Through your actions, not your words. They know they're a loser. Yeah. That shit hurts. You know?”
Adelman: Scaling to $10 million is much harder than $100M to $1B
“That first 1,000,010 million are much harder than the hundred million to a billion.”
Brooks: Two-thirds of men prefer electric shocks over sitting in silence
“Two-thirds of the guys Would prefer to shock themselves painfully. One guy shocked himself a 190 times in 15 minutes, had to be thrown out of the experiment for being a sick and twisted freak.”
2 Chainz: Children should unashamedly leverage their parents' fame to get ahead
“I'm trying to get that in my little nepo babies. They don't want to say my name. Like, you should, Totally use my name to. To the best of your ability to get whatever you need.”
Senra: Marriages of the Greatest Entrepreneurs Are Typically Terrible
“Terrible. They're terrible. I mean, there's very few people because you tend to be obsessed. Like I also think like it's important to note. So the people that appear on founders podcasts, right? They were so good at their jobs that somebody wrote a book about …”
Vivian Tu: Couples Should Split Expenses Equitably Rather Than 50/50
“I think every couple should split things in an equitable fashion. That can be proportional. Doesn't have to be. That can be, oh, one partner just says, I'm gonna cover it all because you make so much less than me that I want you to save and invest your money.”
Bernstein: People lacking confidence should lower goals to match belief
“This isn't going to be something that you want to hear because it's a little off brand, but I would say change the goals because we don't want to be reaching for things that we don't believe in. If we have a goal that feels out of alignment with what we believ…”
Bernstein: Personal healing forces a partner to either do the work or separate
“In your self led energetic state, your partner has two choices. They can rise up to the occasion and get to work on their own, or they can stay stuck in their parts. And that's when a relationship choice is made. You know, is this, are we gonna grow together o…”
Poumpouras: Prioritizing personal dress over company culture isolates you from career opportunities
“When you do that, you make it about yourself. So what you're also saying is, I'm not a team player. I just care about me, and I dress for me, and I do me, and whoever likes me. And again, you can do that, but you will be isolating yourself from opportunities a…”
Perkins: Wealthy investors actively seek capable executors over ideas
“The money is easy. It's having an idea that you can execute on. There's tons of money. There's tons of rich guys that don't want to work. They just want to invest in somebody and make a good return.”
Manson: People develop progressive desensitization to fear and financial stakes over time
“But it's, I mean, it's like anything though, right? Like, I mean, it's, you, you've, you climb that ladder with money too, right? Like, it's like the first time you have a five figure deal, you're sweating bullets. You know, now it's like, You don't even, prob…”
Shift Conversations to the Future Tense to Neutralize Resentment
“One of the most powerful things you can do to make a conversation more productive, especially when there's been resentment and hurt in the past. Just focus on the grammatical tense of the conversation. Pain, resentment, frustration, judgment, all of that exist…”
Hussey: Intelligent women threaten men who date primarily for validation
“I think that's what happens is women's intelligence throws a lot of men off balance when they're already coming from a place of insecurity.”
Graziosi: Give failing business partnerships full attentiveness for 90 days before quitting
“What I always thought about is, what if you're in a relationship, you're not sure, like, should this be over? Business or personal? And you just treat it the next 90 days like the first 90 days. You were a little more respectful. You actually did active listen…”
Graziosi: Delegate low-rate tasks to reinvest time into high-earning core competencies
“Get somebody to do that, but replace that time immediately with the needle mover. And then as you get more and more in business, you get closer to the ring. There might be a time where Something's 300 dollars an hour, but you know you're making 3000 an hour, s…”
Fisher: Firing comebacks to insults escalates conflict until the last speaker loses
“When somebody is insulting you, where you lose, is you send the Zynga right back. So let's say you're at a three, and they send you something that puts you at a five. We have a choice. Do I rise to the level of it, or do I keep it there? Because if you rise to…”
Fisher: Complainers will not listen until they exhaust all grievances
“You have to let them get it all out or they're not going to listen to you, period.”
Levesque: I Reject Any Opportunity That Conflicts With My Five Values
“Cody, if there's something on my schedule that doesn't lie with one of those fives, a person, a place, a thing, a business opportunity, an investment, I'm just not doing it. I don't give a fuck. I'm not doing it. I'm just not doing it. It's, that's how stubbor…”
Alexander: Holding warm beverages causes people to perceive others as warmer
“There was research done with people holding a cold beverage versus holding a warm beverage. If those were holding, this is very clever. I mean, you guys didn't do this intentionally. But me holding a warm beverage Right now, based on the research, would cause …”
Dial: Pushing through six minutes of task anxiety unlocks focused flow states
“So all you have to do is fight through on average the first six minutes. And that's it. And you fight through those six minutes and your brain will actually start to become more focused. That's one of the most interesting things that I think is when we feel st…”
Dial: People only change when staying the same becomes more painful
“The only time that somebody will really make a change in their life is when the pain of staying the same is more painful than the pain of change.”
Van Edwards: Wiseman Study Shows Product Demonstrators Sell More Making Clumsy Mistakes
“There's studies on this where Dr. Richard Wiseman had a model try to sell a blender in a mall, ok? A blender. And he did two trials of this experiment. One where she did a demo of the blender. Hi, good morning folks. We're going to demo this blender for you. S…”
Voss: Summarize opponents' reality until they confirm it to resolve conflicts
“Summarize to how they see things until they say that's right. Because there's the underlying assumption of that is that your perception of reality is accurate. So while it may be accurate, it's always incomplete. There's no such thing as perfect information.”
Abdaal: Default mode network activation is vital for business creativity
“Especially if you're in anything creative, which all businesses to some degree, actually having that time for rest, having that time to allow the default mode network in the brain to Activate, which is what happens when you're doing nothing, or when you're in …”