The Argument Index

Debate potential by speaker, the highest-scored statement each year, and the companies with the most bearish calls on record. All of it clickable, all of it playable.

190debate potential 4–5 → 8debate potential 5 → 91rated speakers →
People

Average debate potential by speaker

All 91 guests with 5 or more scored statements, ranked. 4 more have fewer than 5, too few for a fair average, and the host is scored on his own page. Sort or filter below.

#PersonAvg debate potential Statements scored
1 Tulsi Gabbard Former Director of National Intelligence 3.67 12
2 Nick Freitas Host, Making the Argument 3 18
3 Paul Saladino Founder, Heart & Soil Supplements 2.9 29
4 Brendan McCord Founder & Chair, Cosmos Institute 2.84 25
5 Mikhaila Peterson Co-founder & CEO, Peterson Academy 2.83 6
6 Bryan Johnson Founder, Project Blueprint 2.8 15
7 Joe Liemandt Principal, Alpha School 2.78 27
8 Joe Lonsdale Founder & Managing Partner, 8VC 2.77 26
9 Gary Vaynerchuk Chairman, VaynerX & CEO, VaynerMedia 2.76 25
10 Malcolm Gladwell Host, Revisionist History 2.74 19
11 Tim Kennedy Founder & CEO, Sheepdog Response 2.73 33
12 Dr. Tyna Moore Host, The Dr. Tyna Show 2.69 32
13 Dr. Mike Israetel Co-Founder, Renaissance Periodization 2.69 29
14 Kimberly Van Der Beek Co-Host, Bathroom Chronicles 2.67 9
15 Scott Galloway Professor of Marketing, NYU Stern 2.66 86
16 Robert Greene Author and Speaker 2.6 15
17 Dara Ladjevardian Co-founder & CEO, Delphi 2.59 34
18 Morgan Housel Partner, The Collaborative Fund 2.57 28
19 James Sexton Managing Partner & Founder, Law Offices of James J. Sexton 2.54 35
20 Shelby Sapp Founder, She Sells 2.53 34
21 Bill Gurley General Partner, Benchmark 2.52 29
22 Chris Do Founder & CEO, The Futur 2.48 27
23 Gabrielle Bernstein Author & Spiritual Teacher 2.46 13
24 Ryan Streeter Executive Director, Civitas Institute 2.45 22
25 Dan Go Founder and CEO, High Performance Founder 2.44 18
26 Ankur Jain Founder & CEO, Bilt Rewards 2.43 21
27 Arthur Brooks Professor of the Practice, Harvard Kennedy School 2.4 87
28 Vivian Tu Founder and CEO, Your Rich BFF 2.4 15
29 Mark Manson Owner, Infinity Squared Media 2.4 25
30 Mike Michalowicz Co-founder, Profit First Professionals 2.4 20
31 Nir Eyal Author & Consultant, Nir & Far 2.39 23
32 Dr. Gabrielle Lyon Founder, Institute for Muscle-Centric Medicine 2.33 42
33 Chris Voss CEO and Founder, The Black Swan Group 2.33 57
34 Amjad Masad Co-founder & CEO, Replit 2.32 34
35 Geoff Woods Founder & CEO, AI Leadership 2.31 26
36 Jeremy Zimmer Co-Founder and Board Member, United Talent Agency 2.3 23
37 Karl Rove President, Karl Rove & Company 2.29 28
38 Robert Herjavec Founder & Board Member, Cyderes 2.26 19
39 Evy Poumpouras Adjunct Professor, The City University of New York 2.25 20
40 Matthew Hussey Dating Coach and Author, Love Life 2.25 12
41 Bryan Callen Co-host, The Fighter and the Kid 2.25 8
42 Seth Godin Author, Speaker, and Teacher, Seth's Blog 2.23 39
43 David Senra Host, Founders Podcast 2.22 37
44 Eric Jorgenson CEO, Scribe Media 2.2 44
45 Caleb Hammer Host, Financial Audit 2.18 33
46 Emily McDonald Founder & CEO, Emonthebrain 2.18 17
47 Bill Perkins Founder & Managing Partner, Skylar Capital Management 2.18 17
48 Ali Abdaal Founder & Content Creator, Productivity Lab 2.17 6
49 Ankur Nagpal Founder & CEO, Carry 2.15 27
50 Tony Robbins Chairman, Robbins Research International 2.14 14
51 Charlamagne Tha God Co-host, The Breakfast Club 2.13 15
52 Danica Patrick Host, Pretty Intense 2.13 15
53 Chris Petkas General Partner, Contrarian Thinking Capital 2.12 8
54 Rich Roll Host & Founder, The Rich Roll Podcast 2.12 8
55 Daymond John Founder & CEO, FUBU 2.09 32
56 Dean Graziosi Co-Founder, Mastermind.com 2.09 11
57 Jefferson Fisher Founder & Trial Attorney, Fisher Firm 2.09 32
58 Sean Rad Founder, Rad Fund 2.08 25
59 James Altucher Host, The James Altucher Show 2.08 13
60 David Adelman CEO, Campus Apartments 2.07 27
61 Diego Perez (Yung Pueblo) Founder, Ready Platform Inc. 2.06 17
62 Ryan Holiday Founder & Host, The Daily Stoic 2 25
63 Dr. Shadé Zahrai Co-Founder, Influenceo Global LLC 1.96 24
64 Aaron Alexander Host, The Align Podcast 1.96 28
65 Ethan Evans Founder, Level Up 1.91 22
66 Rory Vaden Co-Founder, Brand Builders Group 1.91 23
67 Chris Koerner Host, The Koerner Office 1.9 20
68 Vanessa Van Edwards Founder & Lead Investigator, Science of People 1.9 39
69 Senada Greca Founder, WeRise 1.89 19
70 Rob Dial Host, The Mindset Mentor 1.88 17
71 Kwame Christian Founder & CEO, American Negotiation Institute 1.86 22
72 Dr. Rena Malik Associate Professor, University of Maryland School of Medicine 1.86 35
73 Ryan Serhant Founder & CEO, SERHANT. 1.85 27
74 Everette Taylor CEO, Kickstarter 1.84 19
75 Nathan Barry Founder & CEO, Kit 1.83 6
76 Joshua Weissman Chef & Content Creator, JW Entertainment 1.82 17
77 Mike Chandler Professional Fighter, UFC 1.82 11
78 Alex Ramon Magician & Illusionist, Alex Ramon Magic 1.78 18
79 Blake Mycoskie Founder, ENOUGH 1.77 13
80 Sahil Bloom Managing Partner, SRB Ventures 1.75 20
81 Mohnish Pabrai Managing Partner, Pabrai Investment Funds 1.74 27
82 Devon Levesque Co-Founder, Promix Nutrition 1.71 17
83 Dhar Mann Founder, Dhar Mann Studios 1.7 10
84 Mel Robbins Host, The Mel Robbins Podcast 1.69 16
85 Kendra Scott Founder & Executive Chairwoman, Kendra Scott 1.65 23
86 Dave Ramsey Founder & CEO, Ramsey Solutions 1.6 15
87 Allison Ellsworth Co-founder & Chief Brand Officer, Poppi 1.59 22
88 Jenny Just Co-Founder and Managing Partner, PEAK6 Investments 1.58 19
89 Kelly Loeffler Administrator, U.S. Small Business Administration 1.57 14
90 2 Chainz Musician & Entrepreneur, Self-employed 1.5 12
91 Jesse Itzler Founder, The 100 Mile Group 1.25 16
Companies

The most bearish calls

Debate potential is an AI score of how much a statement invites disagreement. Bearish counts tally what was said about a company on the show; they describe the conversation, not the company. Every count opens to the exact tape. full disclaimer →

All 105 companies, funds and products with at least one bearish claim on the record.

Company Bearish statements Of which 4–5
Amazon company 6 ↓ 1
Tinder company 5 ↓
Instagram product 5 ↓ 1
Google company 5 ↓ 3
YouTube company 3 ↓
United Talent Agency company 3 ↓
TikTok product 3 ↓
Robinhood company 3 ↓
Ozempic product 3 ↓
NBA company 3 ↓
Goldman Sachs company 3 ↓
Facebook company 3 ↓ 1
ChatGPT product 3 ↓
Bilt Rewards company 3 ↓
Twitter company 2 ↓
TOMS company 2 ↓ 1
Teachable company 2 ↓
Starbucks company 2 ↓
OnlyFans company 2 ↓
Novo Nordisk company 2 ↓
Netflix company 2 ↓
Klarna company 2 ↓
Kickstarter company 2 ↓
Four Hour Work Week product 2 ↓
Culdesac company 2 ↓ 1
Bed Bath & Beyond company 2 ↓
Zentoa company 1 ↓
Yellow Rose company 1 ↓
Whoop company 1 ↓
Warner Discovery company 1 ↓
Warner Brothers company 1 ↓
Vanguard fund 1 ↓
US Dollar product 1 ↓
Upwork company 1 ↓
Submariner product 1 ↓
Space Shuttle Challenger product 1 ↓
Snapchat product 1 ↓
Slack company 1 ↓
Silicon Valley Bank company 1 ↓
Silencers product 1 ↓
Shopify company 1 ↓
SERHANT. company 1 ↓ 1
Semaclutide product 1 ↓
Salesforce company 1 ↓
S&P Global company 1 ↓ 1
Rolex company 1 ↓
Replit company 1 ↓
Prozac product 1 ↓
PowerPoint product 1 ↓
Polymarket company 1 ↓
Pinterest company 1 ↓
Oura Ring product 1 ↓
OrangeTheory company 1 ↓
OpenAI company 1 ↓ 1
NVIDIA company 1 ↓
NotePD product 1 ↓
Nike company 1 ↓
New York Times Bestseller List product 1 ↓
The New York Times company 1 ↓
Monsanto company 1 ↓ 1
Mercedes Benz company 1 ↓
Meditations product 1 ↓
McKinsey And Company company 1 ↓ 1
McDonald's company 1 ↓
Major League Baseball company 1 ↓
Madefor company 1 ↓
Lovable company 1 ↓ 1
KFC company 1 ↓
Kalshi company 1 ↓
Intel company 1 ↓
In N Out Burger company 1 ↓
Google AdSense product 1 ↓ 1
Gmail product 1 ↓ 1
Fulfillment By Amazon product 1 ↓ 1
FTX company 1 ↓
Froot Loops product 1 ↓ 1
Fox News company 1 ↓ 1
Founders Podcast product 1 ↓
Facebook Marketplace product 1 ↓
Esco Bar product 1 ↓
Delphi company 1 ↓ 1
The Daily Stoic product 1 ↓
CrossFit company 1 ↓
Creative Artists Agency company 1 ↓
Contrarian Thinking company 1 ↓
Comcast company 1 ↓
CNN company 1 ↓ 1
CNBC company 1 ↓
Cigarettes product 1 ↓ 1
Cheerios product 1 ↓ 1
Budweiser product 1 ↓ 1
The Breakfast Club product 1 ↓
Botox product 1 ↓ 1
BlackRock fund 1 ↓
BizScout company 1 ↓
BigDeal Podcast Vendor company 1 ↓ 1
Apple company 1 ↓ 1
Apogee School company 1 ↓ 1
Anthropic company 1 ↓ 1
American Apparel company 1 ↓
Amazon FBA product 1 ↓
Aluminum Can product 1 ↓
Afterpay company 1 ↓
AdSense product 1 ↓
Adidas company 1 ↓

Highest debate potential, by year

2026

Opinion
Brooks: Polyamory is nonsense because humans are built for pair-bonding
“All of the nonsense about, I don't know, polyamory that are coming around. That's all Nonsense. And again, I mean, look, no judgment, different strokes, but look, I'm a behavioral scientist, and the truth of the matter is that we are built for pair-bond mating”
Arthur Brooks Mar 26, 2026 ▶ 2:59 You Need To Be Bored. Here's Why. | Dr. Arthur Brooks
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gurley: US proprietary AI will likely lose its lead over Chinese open-source AI
“I think the odds that, that, you know, The US with two, you know, proprietary models can stay ahead of China with 10 open source ones is very low.”
Bill Gurley Mar 4, 2026 ▶ 44:55 The Most Important Career Advice You'll Ever Hear (In The AI Era) | Bill Gurley

2025

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gary Vaynerchuk predicts some people's grandchildren will marry AI robots
“Well, I've gone pretty viral lately because I, my craziest prediction is that most people's grandchildren will marry an AI robot. Some of them will, not everyone's going to”
Gary Vaynerchuk (Gary Vee) Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 1:06:19 The Biggest Bets I Made — And How They Paid Off: Gary Vee
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Daymond John: AI disruption will trigger civil war in the US
“Because AI is going to turn this country into a civil war. Because when the have-nots don't have anything, they're coming after us.”
Daymond John Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 37:44 My Billion Dollar Shark Tank Investment: Daymond John

2024

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Trump states he will close the Department of Education early in administration
“One other thing I'll be doing very early in the administration is closing up the Department of Education in Washington, D.C., And sending all education and education work and needs back to the states. We want them to run the education of our children.”
Donald Trump Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 1:16:29 American Policymaker Reveals How Politics REALLY Works | Ryan Streeter
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gabbard: DNC leadership rigged the 2016 primary for Hillary Clinton
“The party leadership was heavily waiting and tilting the scales and essentially rigging the primary for Hillary Clinton, much in the same manner that we have seen occur in this 2024 election for Joe Biden”
Tulsi Gabbard Jul 16, 2024 ▶ 13:18 Tulsi Gabbard: Who Actually Runs the U.S. Government (And What We Should do About it)
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