Venture capital, startups and investing, on tape.

Every prediction, opinion and bold claim from BigDeal: extracted from the transcript, verified against the tape, checked against cited public sources, playable at the exact moment it was said.

1,313 insights1,004 assertions316 disclosures302 opinions99 predictions17 what-ifs

Recently on the ledger full ledger →

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Trump states he will close the Department of Education early in administration
“One other thing I'll be doing very early in the administration is closing up the Department of Education in Washington, D.C., And sending all education and education work and needs back to the states. We want them to run the education of our children.”
Donald Trump Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 1:16:29 American Policymaker Reveals How Politics REALLY Works | Ryan Streeter
Opinion
Brooks: Polyamory is nonsense because humans are built for pair-bonding
“All of the nonsense about, I don't know, polyamory that are coming around. That's all Nonsense. And again, I mean, look, no judgment, different strokes, but look, I'm a behavioral scientist, and the truth of the matter is that we are built for pair-bond mating”
Arthur Brooks Mar 26, 2026 ▶ 2:59 You Need To Be Bored. Here's Why. | Dr. Arthur Brooks
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gurley: US proprietary AI will likely lose its lead over Chinese open-source AI
“I think the odds that, that, you know, The US with two, you know, proprietary models can stay ahead of China with 10 open source ones is very low.”
Bill Gurley Mar 4, 2026 ▶ 44:55 The Most Important Career Advice You'll Ever Hear (In The AI Era) | Bill Gurley
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Daymond John: AI disruption will trigger civil war in the US
“Because AI is going to turn this country into a civil war. Because when the have-nots don't have anything, they're coming after us.”
Daymond John Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 37:44 My Billion Dollar Shark Tank Investment: Daymond John
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gary Vaynerchuk predicts some people's grandchildren will marry AI robots
“Well, I've gone pretty viral lately because I, my craziest prediction is that most people's grandchildren will marry an AI robot. Some of them will, not everyone's going to”
Gary Vaynerchuk (Gary Vee) Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 1:06:19 The Biggest Bets I Made — And How They Paid Off: Gary Vee
Opinion
Sanchez: Khosla backs open borders while suing to block public beach access
“He is going out there saying that we should have an open border when he has a private mansion on a beach trying to block public access to the beach for normal people, is in a lawsuit for like five or seven years while trying to say that we should have open bor…”
Codie Sanchez Oct 1, 2024 ▶ 1:23:41 Billionaire Entrepreneur: “America Will Collapse Without A Recession” | Joe Lonsdale

How the calls resolved the full record →

Assertion Supported
Dr. Moore: Obesity is a standalone risk factor for multiple cancers
“Because obesity is a standalone risk factor for multiple types of cancer.”
Dr. Tyna Moore Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 49:48 Ozempic Expert: They’re Lying To You About Getting Fat | Dr. Tyna Moore
Assertion Contradicted
Saladino: No randomized controlled trials on seed oils in 50 to 70 years
“Most of them were done, in fact, all of them were done really between the late 19 fifties and the early 19 seventies. So they're all 50 to 70 years old. We haven't had a randomized controlled trial with seed oils in 50 to 70 years.”
Paul Saladino Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 17:58 Everything I Learned In Med School Was WRONG | Paul Saladino
Assertion Supported
Streeter notes Mitch Daniels froze Purdue tuition for his entire ten-year tenure
“Mitch Daniels at Purdue kept tuition at the same rate, his entire decade he was there never raised tuition once,”
Ryan Streeter Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 36:17 American Policymaker Reveals How Politics REALLY Works | Ryan Streeter
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Rove: Democrats cannot replace Kamala Harris as the vice presidential nominee
“You cannot replace Kamala Harris. She's going to be the running mate of whoever.”
Karl Rove Jul 9, 2024 ▶ 1:00:26 Political Mastermind: How to Influence Others and Get What You Want - Karl Rove

Open predictions the full timeline →

1143days Galloway: Female college grads will outnumber males 3 to 2 within five years Scott Galloway · prediction date: 2029-10-30 1375days Sanchez: AI will create billion-dollar one-person companies within five years Codie Sanchez · prediction date: 2030-06-19 1402days Daymond John: Tesla robots will cost $30k in two years and $5k in five Daymond John · prediction date: 2030-07-16 1570days Serhant Predicts His Brokerage Will Be a Public Company by 2030 Ryan Serhant · prediction date: 2030-12-31

Track records all people →

Ordered by full support rate, then by supported count. Minimum three resolved. Partly supported claims count as resolved but not as fully supported, same as everywhere on the ledger.

PersonEpsStatementsSupportedPartly supportedContradictedFull support rate
Kendra Scott 1 23 7 0 0 100%
David Senra 1 37 6 0 0 100%
Tulsi Gabbard 1 12 4 0 0 100%
Alex Ramon 1 18 3 0 0 100%
Caleb Hammer 1 33 7 0 1 88%
Allison Ellsworth 1 22 5 1 0 83%
Sahil Bloom 1 20 5 0 1 83%
Dr. Gabrielle Lyon 2 42 17 3 1 81%

From the Wisdom Wall all quotes →

“So your brain books the fantasy as like a partial payment on the real thing. And it actually gives you the reward before you've done the work. So the drive to do the actual work drains out of you.…”

“Urgency gets you out of poverty. Patience gets you to wealth is what I had to learn.”

“Instead of waiting till the product is done a hundred percent, wait until it's done 20% and call a paying customer.”

Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 100 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.