The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 737 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Trump states he will close the Department of Education early in administration
“One other thing I'll be doing very early in the administration is closing up the Department of Education in Washington, D.C., And sending all education and education work and needs back to the states. We want them to run the education of our children.”
Hammer: Ramsey's 6-7% Retirement Withdrawal Rule Is Dangerous
“They suggest you can withdraw six to seven percent a year. And just live off of it forever. Cause it averages 10% a year, but it makes no sense. Like no financial model agrees with that. You, four percent has a 95% chance of completion. Even four percent is no…”
Gurley: Anthropic funds more lobbyists advocating for AI regulation than anyone else
“No one's funding more lobbyists begging for AI regulation than Anthropic themselves.”
Lyon: Evidence Does Not Support Claims That Seed Oils Derange Metabolism
“The evidence doesn't support that seed oils are causing the derangement that people are saying.”
Dr. Moore: Five obese online friends exponentially increases your obesity risk
“They showed in one study that if you have even five friends on the internet, just internet, Proximity, not in real person who are struggling with obesity, your chances of becoming obese are exponentially higher.”
Dr. Moore: IVF hormonal treatments damage metabolic health and reduce fertility
“That's the problem, is that hormonal load that these women go through is just wreaking havoc on their metabolic health, so they're becoming less and less and less It's fertile through the process of IVF.”
Dr. Moore: Excessive carnivore diets can induce insulin resistance
“You can over carnivore yourself into insulin resistance. High levels of arachidonic acid can send you into insulin resistance as well.”
Brooks: Anonymous internet posters are overwhelmingly likely Dark Triad personalities
“Do you like to post anonymously on the internet? Because the answer is yes, you're overwhelmingly likely to be talking to a dark triad. You're overwhelmingly likely to be talking to a pathological personality, somebody who really likes to stir up trouble and h…”
Brooks: Dark Triad personalities are disproportionately social activists
“There's a really interesting papers that we've seen recently, the dark triads, they're disproportionately social activists.”
Kennedy: Hundreds remain missing in North Carolina and Tennessee disaster zone unreported
“The number of missing is, is still in the hundreds and again, not being reported.”
Saladino: Consumed animal organs biologically target and support corresponding human organs
“What you see is there's a lot of evidence that Oregon's Do support the corresponding organ in humans, which really breaks the mind of a traditionally trained doctor like myself. So when you give we can take an embryo, for instance, and you put a little bit of …”
Saladino: Tufts Food Compass ranked Cheerios and Froot Loops above ground beef
“Darius Mazzafarian, the same guy who gifted us with the food compass guidelines that told us that Froot Loops and Cheerios were healthier than ground beef and eggs.”
Lonsdale: US federal government abandoned merit-based testing 45 years ago
“So this was basically a form of DEI. It's like proto-DEI in the late seventies, and it was under Jimmy Carter's administration, and then eventually the courts pushed it and finalized it in the early eighties. So for 45 years, We haven't had merit-based tests i…”
Lonsdale: Harris-Warren price gouging proposal covers 23,000 large companies
“Well, if you look at the price gouging law that Kamala Harris and Senator Warren and all these people on the very extreme left were putting forward, it's actually something that applies to about 23,000 big companies, and it would give them a lot of arbitrary p…”
Gabbard: Google shut down my campaign AdSense during 2020 debate peak
“I ended up being the most searched candidate of the night, that debate night, which is what I had hoped for, and, ah, right at that time of peak interest, Google shut down our AdSense account with no warning, no explanation, no ability.”
Gabbard: Studies show Gmail sends most Republican campaign emails to spam
“Studies are done how Google in particular, but essentially big tech, Has been proven to divert the vast majority of, you know, if you're a Republican running for office and you're sending out a, you know, a bulk email, most of those emails for conservatives Re…”
Sexton: Infidelity plays a role in 70% to 80% of divorces
“I would be speculating, because it's hard to measure those things. I would say close to 70 to 80%. Where there's some, where infidelity played some part, in some degree.”
Godin: Authors can buy a NYT bestseller spot for $65,000
“Because I can tell you how to do it for 65,000 dollars. There are people who have to Books on there. Paid money to game their way onto it.”
Herjavec: 4,400 people became millionaires on SpaceX's public listing day
“Like SpaceX went public, 4400 people became millionaires on that day. 400 people became deca-millionaires.”
McDonald: MIT study shows AI essay writing reduces brain activation
“It's kind of new, but it's a study out of MIT that's shown that, okay, they had people Use AI versus Google versus nothing to write essays, and what they found was that over time it led people that used AI specifically like less engagement in their brain, less…”
Eyal: 'Spiritual but not religious' people have higher depression risk
“Turns out those people are much more likely to suffer from depression and anxiety disorder than people who do affiliate with some kind of religious community.”
Galloway: 30-Year-Old Americans Are Less Wealthy Than Parents Were at 30
“The average seven year old is 72% wealthier than they were 40 years ago. The average forty-year-old is 24, a person under the age of 40 is 24% less wealthy, and for the first time in our nation's history, a thirty-year-old man or woman isn't as wealthy as his …”
Galloway: Harvard Grew Endowment 4,000% While Class Size Grew 4%
“Harvard, fifty-four billion dollars in endowment, It's grown its endowment 4000% in the last 30 or 40 years, up forty-fold. It's grown its freshman class size four percent.”
Galloway: Corporate Taxes Lowest Since 1938, Top 25 Pay 6% to 8%
“Corporations are paying the lowest tax rate since 1938. The super rich, not the near rich, but the super rich, the wealthiest 25 Americans pay an average tax rate of six to eight percent.”
Galloway: 40% of US government spending goes to seniors, heading to 50%
“40% of all spending right now, government spending, goes to seniors. It's about to be 50%, which lowers the amount of money we can invest in technology, R&D, and education, which have a much bigger payoff.”
Galloway cites extreme disparities in male suicide, addiction, homelessness, and incarceration
“Young men are four times as likely to kill themselves. They're three times as likely to be addicted. They're three times as likely to be homeless. They're 12 times as likely to be incarcerated.”
Galloway: Historically 80% of women procreated versus 40% of men
“80% of women have procreated. It's only 40% of men throughout history.”
Galloway: Mississippi Average Household Income Equals or Exceeds UK and Germany
“If you take the poor state, Mississippi, the average household income there is still the same or higher than it is in the UK, Germany, South Korea, Japan.”
Galloway: 66% of women under 30 have boyfriends vs 33% of young men
“Two out of three women under the age of 30 has a boyfriend. One out of three men under the age of 30 has a girlfriend. Why? Because women are dating older.”
Sanchez: Confident wrong speakers are rated more credible than hesitant correct speakers
“But a really scary study, they did a follow-on study that showed people who argued more confidently but were wrong were rated even more credible than those who argued not confidently but were right.”
Sanchez: Passive income represents under 1% of US earned income
“According to the Federal Reserve survey, only 11% of Americans earn any passive income at all. And of those, 75% comes from real estate requiring some management. So truly passive monthly income represents less than one percent of all income earned in the U.S.”
Sanchez: 95% of Shopify Stores Never Make a Single Sale
“Shopify says, 95% of stores, they never make a single sale.”
Sanchez: 90% of Amazon FBA Businesses Fail or Make Under $100/Month
“Amazon fulfilled by Amazon, so Amazon FBA. 90% fail rate. Or they plateau at, let me tell you how much, a hundred bucks a month in profit.”
Sanchez: EQ increases salary 20-30% while IQ has zero correlation to wealth
“I was reading a study the other day about how there's something like a, like, 20 to 30% increase in salary just from thinking about increasing your EQ and really ignoring IQ, that IQ almost has no correlation between monetary success.”
Liemandt: Alpha School ranks in top 1% across every grade and subject
“And we are the best performing academic school in the country on any, every single class we have is top one percent. And so in every grade, every subject, no school can say that.”
Liemandt: Harvard published research showing AI tutors outperform Harvard teachers
“Harvard has published an article that says AI tutors are better than Harvard teachers.”
Sanchez: Sequoia Capital only allows non-profits to invest in its funds
“And I know this because my friends at Sequoia who are big, huge investors, they only allow nonprofits to invest now. They like will not take actively many people's money.”
Sanchez: Intelligence has zero correlation with how much money people make
“Once you realize that, your life will totally change because intelligence really has no correlation with how much money you can make.”
Masad: Non-coder John Chaney reached $1M+ run rate in weeks with Replit
“He has some domain knowledge on how to use AI for different kind of things, marketing and storytelling and things like that, and but he hasn't coded ever. He hasn't used AI coding tools, and he wanted to build an education platform to do AI training. AI traini…”
Masad: Peter Thiel left Meta board over disagreements on VR and AI
“And at the time, he actually had just left the Meta's board, and the reason he left is he disagreed with how Meta's trying to invest in all these immersion technologies, like VR and AI, and Zuck is trying to find his next act.”
Masad: Replit launched the market's first end-to-end coding agent in Sept 2024
“And so we launched in September, 20, 24, and it was the first coding agent on the market where you can just, like, put a prompt, and it will, like, make you an application, it will create a database for you, it will, like, Put it out, deploy it, and scale it f…”
Masad: Replit grew from $10M to $100M ARR in 6–7 months
“And our revenue that year climbed to ten million ARR, and then when we got out of beta and the agent got really good, that's when we went to a hundred million ARR in a matter of six, seven months.”
Malik: 150 Minutes of Weekly Cardio Is as Effective as Viagra
“There's actually a study that shows that if you exercise a 150 minutes a week, current moderate intensity cardiovascular exercise, it's as good as taking a Viagra.”
Malik: Gynecologists and Urologists Receive Minimal Training on the Clitoris
“Even in our training, there's very little discussion about the clitoris. We're just now starting to have this discussion like, hey, the clitoris has foreskin. Hey, it can get smegma. It can, there's other issues. You have to look at the clitoris and you have t…”
Loeffler: Trump administration is cutting 10 regulations per new one
“President Trump is Leading the charge on that again. He did it in 2016, eliminating multiple regulations for each new one. We're doing it again, at least eliminating 10 for every new regulation”
Sanchez: Hotels Have an Average Profit Margin of Negative 15 Percent
“Do you guys know they are negative margin? Which means if I give you a hundred bucks in a hotel you actually don't give me anything back. You cost me another 15 bucks. They have a -15% margin on average.”
Dr. Moore: Intermittent fasting and high-intensity training cause weight gain
“If you're a middle-aged woman, you're stressed out of your mind, you're insulin resistant by nature because your hormones are waning. Now you're trying to do these long, intermittent fasts. You're trying to do hardcore intensity training because you're like, I…”