The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 1,004 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 6 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Gabbard: DNC leadership rigged the 2016 primary for Hillary Clinton
“The party leadership was heavily waiting and tilting the scales and essentially rigging the primary for Hillary Clinton, much in the same manner that we have seen occur in this 2024 election for Joe Biden”
Woods saved a company $300M in 10 minutes using ChatGPT interviews
“I saved one company, three hundred million dollars in 10 minutes with ChatGPT. Cause I knew how to get it to ask me the right questions.”
Hammer: Ramsey's 6-7% Retirement Withdrawal Rule Is Dangerous
“They suggest you can withdraw six to seven percent a year. And just live off of it forever. Cause it averages 10% a year, but it makes no sense. Like no financial model agrees with that. You, four percent has a 95% chance of completion. Even four percent is no…”
Gurley: Anthropic funds more lobbyists advocating for AI regulation than anyone else
“No one's funding more lobbyists begging for AI regulation than Anthropic themselves.”
Liemandt: AI tutoring propels students to top 1% in two hours daily
“So in two hours a day, they sit down for two hours. They learn more than twice as much as if they sat in class. And so they're learning so fast. It doesn't matter where they come in. They can come in, you know, top 25%, bottom 25%. They are going to get to top…”
Lyon: Evidence Does Not Support Claims That Seed Oils Derange Metabolism
“The evidence doesn't support that seed oils are causing the derangement that people are saying.”
Dr. Moore: Excessive carnivore diets can induce insulin resistance
“You can over carnivore yourself into insulin resistance. High levels of arachidonic acid can send you into insulin resistance as well.”
Dr. Moore: Five obese online friends exponentially increases your obesity risk
“They showed in one study that if you have even five friends on the internet, just internet, Proximity, not in real person who are struggling with obesity, your chances of becoming obese are exponentially higher.”
Dr. Moore: IVF hormonal treatments damage metabolic health and reduce fertility
“That's the problem, is that hormonal load that these women go through is just wreaking havoc on their metabolic health, so they're becoming less and less and less It's fertile through the process of IVF.”
Dr. Moore: Eli Lilly directly reported doctors' social media accounts
“And when she appealed. She was allowed to find out who reported her, and it was Eli Lilly, and it was the day after my account went down.”
Brooks: Dark Triad personalities are disproportionately social activists
“There's a really interesting papers that we've seen recently, the dark triads, they're disproportionately social activists.”
Brooks: Anonymous internet posters are overwhelmingly likely Dark Triad personalities
“Do you like to post anonymously on the internet? Because the answer is yes, you're overwhelmingly likely to be talking to a dark triad. You're overwhelmingly likely to be talking to a pathological personality, somebody who really likes to stir up trouble and h…”
Kennedy: Hundreds remain missing in North Carolina and Tennessee disaster zone unreported
“The number of missing is, is still in the hundreds and again, not being reported.”
Kennedy: FEMA personnel fully booked one of the only powered local hotels
“I go to the only hotel where there's two in the town that had power, and it was completely booked up with federal FEMA personnel.”
Saladino: Tufts Food Compass ranked Cheerios and Froot Loops above ground beef
“Darius Mazzafarian, the same guy who gifted us with the food compass guidelines that told us that Froot Loops and Cheerios were healthier than ground beef and eggs.”
Saladino: Consumed animal organs biologically target and support corresponding human organs
“What you see is there's a lot of evidence that Oregon's Do support the corresponding organ in humans, which really breaks the mind of a traditionally trained doctor like myself. So when you give we can take an embryo, for instance, and you put a little bit of …”
Lonsdale: Harris-Warren price gouging proposal covers 23,000 large companies
“Well, if you look at the price gouging law that Kamala Harris and Senator Warren and all these people on the very extreme left were putting forward, it's actually something that applies to about 23,000 big companies, and it would give them a lot of arbitrary p…”
Lonsdale: US federal government abandoned merit-based testing 45 years ago
“So this was basically a form of DEI. It's like proto-DEI in the late seventies, and it was under Jimmy Carter's administration, and then eventually the courts pushed it and finalized it in the early eighties. So for 45 years, We haven't had merit-based tests i…”
Dr. Lyon: Chronic metabolic diseases begin decades earlier in skeletal muscle
“Is all the issues that we are seeing, obesity, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, Alzheimer's, is this all a fat problem? No. It begins in skeletal muscle first. Decades before.”
Gabbard: Democratic colleagues warned endorsing Sanders placed me on Clinton's blacklist
“Some of my Democratic colleagues basically telling me, like, you just committed political suicide. Hillary Clinton is going to be president. That is going to happen, and you will be persona non grata to that her administration. You will not get a single penny …”
Gabbard: Google shut down my campaign AdSense during 2020 debate peak
“I ended up being the most searched candidate of the night, that debate night, which is what I had hoped for, and, ah, right at that time of peak interest, Google shut down our AdSense account with no warning, no explanation, no ability.”
Gabbard: Studies show Gmail sends most Republican campaign emails to spam
“Studies are done how Google in particular, but essentially big tech, Has been proven to divert the vast majority of, you know, if you're a Republican running for office and you're sending out a, you know, a bulk email, most of those emails for conservatives Re…”
Gabbard: The U.S. goal in Ukraine is regime change to remove Putin
“The goal of the U.S. Government at the heart of this is another regime change war. They want to get rid of Putin, and that's not a secret. Some of the highest leaders, you know, Secretary Austin Secretary of State Blinken, others within the White House have ma…”
Sexton: Infidelity plays a role in 70% to 80% of divorces
“I would be speculating, because it's hard to measure those things. I would say close to 70 to 80%. Where there's some, where infidelity played some part, in some degree.”
Godin: Authors can buy a NYT bestseller spot for $65,000
“Because I can tell you how to do it for 65,000 dollars. There are people who have to Books on there. Paid money to game their way onto it.”
Herjavec: 4,400 people became millionaires on SpaceX's public listing day
“Like SpaceX went public, 4400 people became millionaires on that day. 400 people became deca-millionaires.”
Hammer got a guest fired for using a racial slur
“I called his boss in the post show and got him fired.”
Sanchez: Remote human assistants deliver higher ROI than AI for her company
“I just told my team today that we found that hiring a remote assistant has a better ROI for my company than using AI.”
Jorgenson: Musk solved a months-long Starship bottleneck in an overnight surge
“They'd spent months trying to, like, weld a dome for Starship that fit over the, this, like stainless steel cone that was gonna go over the top of the rocket, and they hadn't gotten it done for months, and he just showed up at the site, was like, we're gonna h…”
Jorgenson: Musk escalates status updates to hourly 24/7 emails during bottlenecks
“The status updates escalate with how serious the bottleneck is. So weekly cadence for, you know, maybe a normal bottleneck. It'll go to daily, like a daily, 24 hour sync on whatever the bottleneck is to run the algorithm on it. For one week, one guy, I don't k…”
Sanchez: Peter Thiel rejected Replit, saying it would never be big
“I remember when I told Peter Thiel that he should invest in the company and Peter said, it's never going to be a big company. This vibe coding thing is sort of ridiculous. And he put it in an email”
McDonald: MIT study shows AI essay writing reduces brain activation
“It's kind of new, but it's a study out of MIT that's shown that, okay, they had people Use AI versus Google versus nothing to write essays, and what they found was that over time it led people that used AI specifically like less engagement in their brain, less…”
Eyal: 'Spiritual but not religious' people have higher depression risk
“Turns out those people are much more likely to suffer from depression and anxiety disorder than people who do affiliate with some kind of religious community.”
Galloway: 30-Year-Old Americans Are Less Wealthy Than Parents Were at 30
“The average seven year old is 72% wealthier than they were 40 years ago. The average forty-year-old is 24, a person under the age of 40 is 24% less wealthy, and for the first time in our nation's history, a thirty-year-old man or woman isn't as wealthy as his …”
Galloway: Harvard Grew Endowment 4,000% While Class Size Grew 4%
“Harvard, fifty-four billion dollars in endowment, It's grown its endowment 4000% in the last 30 or 40 years, up forty-fold. It's grown its freshman class size four percent.”
Galloway: Mississippi Average Household Income Equals or Exceeds UK and Germany
“If you take the poor state, Mississippi, the average household income there is still the same or higher than it is in the UK, Germany, South Korea, Japan.”
Galloway: Corporate Taxes Lowest Since 1938, Top 25 Pay 6% to 8%
“Corporations are paying the lowest tax rate since 1938. The super rich, not the near rich, but the super rich, the wealthiest 25 Americans pay an average tax rate of six to eight percent.”
Galloway: 40% of US government spending goes to seniors, heading to 50%
“40% of all spending right now, government spending, goes to seniors. It's about to be 50%, which lowers the amount of money we can invest in technology, R&D, and education, which have a much bigger payoff.”
Galloway: 66% of women under 30 have boyfriends vs 33% of young men
“Two out of three women under the age of 30 has a boyfriend. One out of three men under the age of 30 has a girlfriend. Why? Because women are dating older.”
Galloway cites extreme disparities in male suicide, addiction, homelessness, and incarceration
“Young men are four times as likely to kill themselves. They're three times as likely to be addicted. They're three times as likely to be homeless. They're 12 times as likely to be incarcerated.”
Galloway: Historically 80% of women procreated versus 40% of men
“80% of women have procreated. It's only 40% of men throughout history.”
Sanchez: Confident wrong speakers are rated more credible than hesitant correct speakers
“But a really scary study, they did a follow-on study that showed people who argued more confidently but were wrong were rated even more credible than those who argued not confidently but were right.”
Sanchez: Bill Gurley backed WeWork because Adam Neumann was a showman
“He said when he first met him in a series A, so the company basically had nothing in existence. His company benchmark had never done a real estate transaction. That's what this guy was asking him to do. But he goes, within the first few minutes, I knew I was g…”
Charlamagne: Malcolm Gladwell no longer believes many ideas from Outliers
“I remember talking to Malcolm Gladwell one time, and Malcolm Gladwell said to me, you know, there's a lot of things that I wrote in books like The Outliers that I don't necessarily believe anymore.”
Sanchez: Passive income represents under 1% of US earned income
“According to the Federal Reserve survey, only 11% of Americans earn any passive income at all. And of those, 75% comes from real estate requiring some management. So truly passive monthly income represents less than one percent of all income earned in the U.S.”
Sanchez: 95% of Shopify Stores Never Make a Single Sale
“Shopify says, 95% of stores, they never make a single sale.”
Sanchez: 90% of Amazon FBA Businesses Fail or Make Under $100/Month
“Amazon fulfilled by Amazon, so Amazon FBA. 90% fail rate. Or they plateau at, let me tell you how much, a hundred bucks a month in profit.”
Sanchez: EQ increases salary 20-30% while IQ has zero correlation to wealth
“I was reading a study the other day about how there's something like a, like, 20 to 30% increase in salary just from thinking about increasing your EQ and really ignoring IQ, that IQ almost has no correlation between monetary success.”