why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
Nagpal: Raised a $70M venture fund via Twitter DMs
“When I fundraised for my fund, I raised about seventy million dollars on Twitter DMs with, I want to say like maybe under five actual meetings.”
Disclosure
Sanchez: We screen job candidates' Twitter replies and reject negative trolls
“We started running the screen when we hire people, which is that we look at their Twitter replies. And what we found, I don't know if it's dark triad or not, but if it's largely negative, And trolling or hateful comments. There's a high correlation between the…”
Opinion
Gladwell: Twitter remains an effective idea-finding mechanism despite criticism
“For all of the crap it takes, it is really good at certain, very, very specific things. It's an idea-finding mechanism. It's really good.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2028
Gary Vee predicts Meta, Google, and X will enter live shopping
“I expect Meta, Google, Twitter, everybody to get into this game. Live social shopping is the underpriced attention.”
Insight
Brooks: Evolutionary Mismatch Makes Online Hostility Trigger Physical Threat Responses
“This is a mismatch between our biological, our evolutionary environment and our technological environment. We were not built for Twitter. We were built for the Savannah, and our body still acts as if it were, and so all of these threats, the only way you can c…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sanchez: Twitter survey found only two multimillionaires who stayed in hometowns
“We did this study, and we surveyed thousands of people on Twitter and on Instagram, and we ask, have any of you Never left your hometown for college, work, anything, for longer than six months and become very monetarily successful. Define monetarily successful…”
Assertion Supported
Gary Vee's first three angel investments were Facebook, Twitter, and Tumblr
“Facebook, Twitter, and Tumblr were my first three investments of my life.”
Assertion Partly supported
TikTok reached 1.6 billion users in 2024, triple the size of X
“TikTok goes from zero users to 1.6 billion by 20 24. And oh, by the way, that's like three X Twitter and Snapchat and almost the same as Instagram, slightly less. However, it is the fastest growing social channel ever with 10 X the growth trajectory.”