Venture capital, startups and investing, on tape.

Every prediction, opinion and bold claim from the Paul Morris Podcast: extracted from the transcript, verified against the tape, checked against cited public sources, playable at the exact moment it was said.

222 assertions180 insights87 disclosures37 predictions35 opinions4 what-ifs

Recently on the ledger full ledger →

Assertion Supported
Morris: OpenAI and Anthropic Have Both Filed to Go Public
“OpenAI and Anthropic have both filed to go public next.”
Paul Mark Morris Jun 23, 2026 ▶ 28:22 MARKET CRISIS: Will the Housing Market Survive the Coming Storm?
Opinion
Morris: Seat-based SaaS business model is broken by agentic AI
“This is a business model that's worked for 20 years, and the market is looking at this and saying the business model is broken, and it's broken by Open Claw in combination with AI and what Open Claw can do with AI.”
Paul Mark Morris Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 10:30 URGENT SHIFT: Digital Wealth is Dying and Real Estate Holds the Key!
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kuno: Cryotherapy enables rheumatoid arthritis patients to stop immunosuppressive drugs
“So we have people as an example with rheumatoid arthritis, and many of them were on immunosuppressive agents. You've heard about Humira and all these advertised, right? They bring your immune system down to manage the overreaction that causes this joint proble…”
Dr. Jonas Kuno Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 25:28 Chasing Wealth, Neglecting Health — The Real Consequences.
Assertion Partly supported
Kuno: Umbilical cord stem cells recognize cancer cells and trigger apoptosis
“Umbilical cord stem cells are from newborns, from healthy c-section births. It's the birth tissue that usually gets discarded. Now, these cells don't have a fingerprint. They become your own cells to some extent, but they also recognize cancer cells, and they …”
Dr. Jonas Kuno Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 29:30 Chasing Wealth, Neglecting Health — The Real Consequences.
Opinion
Muller: Photography Is Safe from AI Because Image Generation Requires Base Photos
“Fortunately, photography's not something that you're at risk, and here's, here's the why. To do AI and to make the cat swimming on the lake with Brad Pitt, you need those photos. You need a photo of a cat. You need a photo of the lake. You need a photo of Brad…”
Michael Muller Oct 21, 2025 ▶ 17:53 How Michael Muller Built a Career Doing What He Loves
Insight
Lane: Renovating kitchens and bathrooms yields lowest ROI in short-term rentals
“The lowest return renovating your kitchen, renovating your bathrooms. Like those are not going to return for a short-term rental.”
Jamie Lane Sep 1, 2026 ▶ 53:18 The Mistakes with Short-Term Rentals Costing You $1000s

How the calls resolved the full record →

Assertion Supported
Morris: Most government loans are assumable, while conventional loans are not
“Most government-backed loans, those are FHA loans, VA loans, USDA loans, many of them Can be assumed by a buyer who qualifies, but most conventional loans cannot because they carry what's known as a due on sale clause, and that just means that the loan has to …”
Paul Mark Morris Aug 18, 2026 ▶ 8:16 Is Real Estate Only for People With Money? Straight Answers To Your Real Estate Questions
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Morris: Caruso will reopen Palisades Village in December
“Caruso is going to open the village back up in December.”
Paul Mark Morris Oct 21, 2025 ▶ 11:56 The $7K Venice Beach Deal That Made This Chiropractor a Millionaire
Assertion Supported
Morris: US Existing Home Sales Rose 3.2% in May to 4.17M Pace
“So, existing home sales have risen again, 3.2% in May, to an annual pace of 4.17 million homes. That's the highest level since December. And that is a report that was issued June ninth by the National Association of Realtors.”
Paul Mark Morris Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 2:20 INVESTOR ALERT: Is The Real Estate Market On The Verge Of Recession Or Recovery?
Assertion Contradicted
Stepp: Lenders Cap Commercial Real Estate Leverage at 50%
“Nobody's getting more than 50% loan. On anything. Underwriting.”
Kimberly Stepp Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 44:36 Turning Rent Control Into Profit

Open predictions the full timeline →

9days Morris: Mortgage rates will stay in the mid-sixes through summer 2026 Paul Mark Morris · prediction date: 2026-09-22 109days Morris: Mortgage Rates to Stay Above 6.5% if Hormuz Conflict Continues Paul Mark Morris · prediction date: 2026-12-31 109days David Bailey predicts California's economy will overtake Germany by 2026 David Bailey · prediction date: 2026-12-31 3563days Morris: Secondary residential markets will outperform primary markets over 10 years Paul Mark Morris · prediction date: 2036-06-15

Track records all people →

Ordered by full support rate, then by supported count. Minimum three resolved. Partly supported claims count as resolved but not as fully supported, same as everywhere on the ledger.

PersonEpsStatementsSupportedPartly supportedContradictedFull support rate
Adam O'Neill 1 9 5 0 0 100%
John Umbanhowar 1 13 3 0 0 100%
Jamie Lane 1 31 6 0 1 86%
Kimberly Stepp 1 19 3 0 1 75%
Michael Lazerow 0 0 2 0 1 67%
Dr. Jonas Kuno 1 13 5 4 1 50%
Claire Baucom 1 11 1 2 0 33%
Mikey Taylor 1 17 1 1 1 33%

From the Wisdom Wall all quotes →

“the lowest return renovating your kitchen, renovating your bathrooms. Like those are not going to return for a short-term rental.”

“tech is no longer a competitive advantage. It is an enabler of other advantages. And so to me, the biggest You know, what it's all about is demand generation. So the next generation of great companies…”

“in real estate insider trading is legal. Insider trading, meaning not doing anything to break a fiduciary duty, but insider trading, meaning I can learn more about the property than the market knows…”

Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, about 40 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.