The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 259 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 7 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Morris: OpenAI and Anthropic Have Both Filed to Go Public
“OpenAI and Anthropic have both filed to go public next.”
Kuno: Cryotherapy enables rheumatoid arthritis patients to stop immunosuppressive drugs
“So we have people as an example with rheumatoid arthritis, and many of them were on immunosuppressive agents. You've heard about Humira and all these advertised, right? They bring your immune system down to manage the overreaction that causes this joint proble…”
Kuno: Umbilical cord stem cells recognize cancer cells and trigger apoptosis
“Umbilical cord stem cells are from newborns, from healthy c-section births. It's the birth tissue that usually gets discarded. Now, these cells don't have a fingerprint. They become your own cells to some extent, but they also recognize cancer cells, and they …”
Morris: Institutional caps will thin competition for small single-family buyers
“With the new housing law pushing the mega funds out of single family buying, the small operators competition is about to thin out.”
Morris: The US Housing Market Will Not Crash in 2026
“Will the housing market crash in 2026? Short answer, no. The data says the opposite, and this week proved it.”
Morris: Fed Minutes Show Majority Open to Raising Rates
“The May meeting minutes revealed that the majority of Fed officials now see the possibility of raising rates if the war continues and if inflation persists as a result of it.”
Morris: SpaceX Lost Over $4B in the Previous Quarter
“SpaceX lost over four billion dollars last quarter.”
Morris: SpaceX Is Raising Capital to Build AI Data Centers
“SpaceX is raising this money partly to build AI data centers and infrastructure.”
Morris: Secondary residential markets will outperform primary markets over 10 years
“So, secondary markets will outperform primary markets in residential real estate over the next 10 years.”
Mike Lazerow: Etched's AI Chip Is 10x Faster Than Nvidia's
“They just announced, you know, they raised five hundred million at a five billion dollar valuation. Significant orders, because their stuff is 10 times faster than NVIDIA's fastest, fastest chip. Half the cost, half the energy.”
Morris: US and Israel launched joint strikes on Iran, killing supreme leader
“February 28th, more than three weeks ago, the U.S. And Israel launched joint strikes on Iran. Operation Epic Fury. That's the actual US term for it. And they killed Iran's supreme leader and dozens of their senior military officials.”
Morris: The next 24 months are the decade's best real estate opportunity
“So, to say it plainly, I believe the next 18 to 24 months represent one of the best real estate buying windows we will see in this entire decade.”
Morris: ARM resets will trigger big discounts on distressed real estate
“The distressed assets are distressed because people bought them at a much lower interest rate. When that interest rate adjusts, it's going to become a, it's, when those interest rates adjust, the mortgages are going to go up to a rate that people cannot afford…”
Dr. Jonas Kuno: Low-dose naltrexone improves cancer outcomes by reducing inflammation
“One of the latest things in cancer research, which was interesting, there is a Microinflammatory environment that cancer cells need to thrive. They don't need oxygen. They like a low oxygen environment and they like an inflammatory environment. And so they're …”
Dr. Kuno: Preclinical Studies Show Ivermectin Triggers Cancer Cell Apoptosis
“There's a combination of what is it? Mabendazole and ivermectin, for example. Couldn't say that word like three years ago, you know, but again, this was something that predates COVID. It's been studied to treat cancer. Has some good mechanism where triggers ap…”
Morris: Institutional Investors Own Over 25% of Atlanta Housing Stock
“All you have to do is look at certain concentrated areas, and you look at a place like Atlanta, where more than 25% of the housing stock is owned by large institutional investors.”
Fifield: Landlords Can Remove Affordable Housing Designations by Moving Children In
“You can also use the Ellis act. And if you have your children that are living in this building, you can take affordable housing and make it market rate housing.”
Morris: $1T of Maturing Commercial Debt in 2026 Creates Massive Investment Opportunities
“20, 26, one trillion dollars worth of debt is going to mature. One hundred and twenty billion of that was taking it. Yeah. And then, and that's going to create real problems and it's going to create amazing opportunities.”
David Bailey claims real estate prices have fallen to 2015 levels
“The last 10 years of appreciation as of today have been wiped out. We are back to prices that we haven't seen since 2015.”
David Bailey predicts California's economy will overtake Germany by 2026
“California next year will probably become the third largest economy, overtaking Germany.”
David Bailey claims San Francisco has 78 new AI-driven billionaires
“There are currently 78 new billionaires in the city of San Francisco, all as a result of AI.”
O'Neill: California is withholding funds and suing cities defying RHNA mandates
“Now, the governor and the state are coming down on them, and they're not providing dollars, state dollars, to these municipalities if they don't update their arena update their housing elements. And they're in fact suing them in the court, the state AG, if the…”
O'Neill: California AB 130 exempts sub-85ft market-rate projects from CEQA
“They just passed an ordinance, I think it was last week, AB- one-thirty. AB- one-thirty gets rid of, removes CEQA completely. One does not even have to go through CEQA permitting or the CEQA clearance at all for projects that are market rate and under 85 feet …”
O'Neill: LA's Executive Directive 1 Enables Affordable Housing via Private Equity
“Executive director, order one in the city of Los Angeles for building a hundred percent affordable housing is magical. It's been through multiple iterations right now, but it's still a very, very Viable thing to build affordable housing, not with LIHTC or usin…”
Art stored in international freeports like Geneva avoids capital gains tax
“Artists considered immune from capital gains tax, okay? If you sell your shares in, in a stock, you're taxed. Sell your Picasso, untouchable. You go into another country, now you put it into Geneva into a Freeport, you're not taxed, and that's legit.”
Morris claims no losses across 25 years of real estate investing
“Having invested for more than 25 years and having never lost money in a real estate deal sounds absolutely incredible.”
Morris: Property buyers with resetting adjustable loans will get crushed in 2025
“People are in 20, 25 are going to get crushed. Here's why. They bought retail five years ago. Lots of properties. They may be on a 30 year payment plan, but the interest rate could adjust at five years or seven years. Yeah. As those come up, now interest rates…”
Morris: The Fed Will Not Cut Interest Rates in Near Future
“The Fed is not going to rescue your deal with a rate cut in the near future”
Morris: Fed debate centers on rate hikes rather than cuts
“This week, the Federal Reserve meets, and for the first time in years, the live debate is not whether there's going to be a rate cut, but rather whether there's going to be a rate hike.”
Owen: Made $300,000 Net Profit Off A $500 Investment In Three Days
“I've had deals where I bought them and put 500 bucks into it and made 300 grand or net profit in less than three days.”
Morris: US Housing Market Will Not Crash in 2026
“Is
The housing market actually going to crash in 2026, and based off the latest data, the answer is no.”
Morris: Proposed housing bill caps institutional buyers at 350 homes
“The actual truth of it is large institutional investors, the Wall Street players who already own 350 or more single-family homes would be barred from buying more single-family homes. So if they had a thousand Doesn't say you have to sell down to three 50. It j…”
Morris: Institutional homebuyer ban will not crater US housing prices
“So don't expect this law to crater prices. It's not going to.”
Morris: SpaceX IPO Raised $75B at a $2.2 Trillion Valuation
“SpaceX recently went public on the NASDAQ. With the ticker SPCX in the largest IPO in the history of the stock market. It was, the IPO was priced at a dollar 35, but the markets opened at a dollar 50 and closed at just over a dollar 60. That's almost 20% rise …”
Morris: Capital leaving SaaS will rotate into hard assets and real estate
“Huge shift in the way internet and online investing is taking place, and really that shift, a lot of it, I believe, will go to hard assets, and that definitely includes real estate.”
Morris: Salesforce lost $158B in market valuation by March 2026
“Salesforce, which was 16 months ago worth three hundred and thirty seven billion dollars. Today in March 2026 is worth a hundred and seventy nine billion dollars. That's a hundred and fifty eight billion dollars worth of value erased.”
Morris: AI job creation is concentrating in secondary metropolitan markets
“AI related job creation, concentrating in secondary Metros, not just San Francisco, LA, New York City.”
Mike Lazerow: AI Will Eliminate Work Currently Outsourced Overseas
“So if you're sending work overseas, which you're not doing in real estate, chances are that AI is going to eliminate that.”
Mike Lazerow: Human Real Estate Broker Relationships Will Never Disappear
“The relationship, the trusted relationship between a broker and a buyer in this very emotional and seller, very emotional transaction, I don't think is ever going away.”
Paul Morris: DeepSeek Replicated OpenAI's AI for Just $26 Million
“Open AI took so many years and billions of dollars to create this and then deep seek, you know, yeah. Oh, we see how you did it, and you know, twenty six million dollars, six months later, you've got something not as good, but, you know, and so on and so on.”
Morris: Persian Gulf oil production is down at least 10M barrels daily
“All combined Gulf oil production is down at least ten million barrels per day as of mid-March.”
Morris: Data center rents are up 50% since 2022
“Data centers, rents are up 50% since 2022. No other real estate sector is anywhere close.”
Morris: Remote work is permanent and office occupancy will not recover
“The remote work shift is permanent. The occupancy story doesn't recover.”
Baucom: Fine art has beaten the S&P 500 over 25 years
“So with me, I found art is the safest way to do that because as you know, art has beat the S and P 500 for the last 25 years as well.”
Baucom: Fine art values are completely uncorrelated with public markets
“Not at all correlated. So it is your alpha.”
Baucom: Art fund sees immediate 20-30% value bumps before capital deployment
“A lot of the pieces when we buy them, we immediately, because we have that information, They'll immediately be bumped up by 20, 30%. And that's just even before we've even deployed the capital out to whoever we're buying it from. So we usually will buy in that…”
Dr. Kuno: Cancer Cells Rely on Fermentation Due to Mitochondrial Dysfunction
“And when you look at cancer cells, they have malfunctioning mitochondria. The mitochondria can't do this elaborate Citric acid cycle where they take sugar and makes 36 ATP per molecule. They can only ferment. It's a very primitive way of energy production, two…”